Strikes on Tehran were linked above, but not "assasination strikes".
#2024-2025 Iran / Israel and United States Clashes (NO MEMES)
thorn plaza
vast spade
exactly. Wasn't mean-spirited at all. Strong claims require good sourcing
deep pumice
exactly. Wasn't mean-spirited at all. Strong claims require good sourcing
dang i have cnn on a stream right now where a reporter mentioned it, but I'll find sources shortly. I know dropsite definitely made a recent post for it though. I'll send them in a moment
Nevermind all good, I must've misread while hearing the journalists on tv speak at the same time lol forgive me. this is the dropsite link i was mistakenly referring to though
X
clever cave
I hope this isnt considered speculation or intrusion by a newcomer but I just want to point out that "allegedly" Israel (and "allegedly" Hezbollah) violated the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire multiple times with no break to the ceasefire. Regardless of the time frame given for finishing salvos or whether this is "fake news", its been recently shown that Israel can continue to do strikes with impunity regarding a ceasefire.
strange wave
thorn plaza
It's 3:27 right now.
past knot
A thread with videos of multiple airstrikes in multiple locations in Iran
https://x.com/ThetiMapping/status/1937274597545504999
X
vast spade
Multiple outlets reporting the bombing of Tehran halted before 4am localtime
https://apnews.com/live/iran-israel-war-updates-6-23-2025#00000197-9f71-d4a5-afdf-9f7557840000
vapid whale
not sure about the veracity of this outlet
X
it seems that best case scenario, Trump prematurely announced an immediate ceasefire, when in reality there may have been a ceasefire that was not officially agreed upon that was supposed to start at 0400, and IL decided to get some hits in before the 0400 mark hit.
thorn plaza
Wasn't it 3:30?
vapid whale
I was seeing 0400, maybe that was wrong
vast spade
https://www.threads.com/@ryshead/post/DLQ7oziPBoq
hmmmm I'd like to see the reddit source
Definitely a healthy dose of skepticism is necessary with this post
clever cave
I was seeing 0400, maybe that was wrong
0400 Tehran is 0330 Tel Aviv?
vapid whale
what
loud marsh
it seems that _best_ case scenario, Trump prematurely announced an **immediate**...
hahaha, I'm Indian and this reminds me of something very similar
unreal wigeon
vapid whale
been in here like a couple hours and have already learned so much šāāļø
loud marsh
can someone please help assess reconstruction timelines for the damage inflicted on both Israel and Iran during the course of this war? Nuclear infrastructure aside: how long might targeted civilian infrastructure and energy facilities take to be re-built?
A lot of shared footage shows high-rise buildings in Tel Aviv, for instance, suffering shockwave impacts closer to their bases. Under what circumstances would the long term structural integrity of such complexes be compromised?
I understand that geolocatable footage might be a little harder to obtain from Iranian cities because of nationwide communication restrictions
floral jetty
can someone please help assess reconstruction timelines for the damage inflicted...
not to be mean but just read any national media outlet
NY times has some great info for a deep dive
potent lion
https://www.threads.com/@ryshead/post/DLQ7oziPBoq
This is Taji
placid osprey
https://x.com/ArmsControlWonk/status/1937311350289826084 Dr. Jeffrey Lewis says the 400 kg of 60% enriched Uranium was kept in tunnels at Isfahan.
lapis berry
And more missiles from Iran. So did they lie to Trump or were they never consulted in the first place? https://www.threads.com/@yasharali/post/DLRFc5fMWtP
lone pewter
Be'er Sheva
lapis berry
prime shore
https://www.threads.com/@yasharali/post/DLRJmArp1cp
But, I was told by the president of the United States that Iran had "gotten it all out of their system."
lapis berry
Be'er Sheva
Says it is official acct but not sure https://www.threads.com/@iranmilitaryofficial/post/DLQ4wnuSVZv?xmt=AQF0dl8m8sp4OTGLYf4Mq8DCVZ2U7Y6wqY8juio43RyAIw
minor nest
Be'er Sheva
Can you post a link of where you got this please?
lone pewter
Can you post a link of where you got this please?
X
lapis berry
upbeat edge
JPost is reporting this as happening Tuesday morning local time:
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-858756
vapid whale
X
I'm not seeing the normal Iron Dome footage. I wonder if there is a higher concentration of hypersonic missiles?
balmy cliff
I'm not seeing the normal Iron Dome footage. I wonder if there is a higher conce...
It's worth noting that "hypersonic" is a bit of a misnomer when it comes to Iranian ballistic missiles. Yes, they do travel at hypersonic speeds, but that's normal for ballistic missiles. Hypersonic cruise missiles and hypersonic glide vehicles (which Iran doesn't have) have the ability to maneuver to avoid defences. It's also worth noting that missiles slow down to circa Mach 2 to terminal phase due to increased drag and the need to obtain guidance.
vapid whale
oh neat, I didn't know that. thanks!
(I need a notebook for stuff I learned in the Bellingcat server)
balmy cliff
It doesn't help that Iran is purposely trying to claim they have hypersonics so no worries!
It's also worth pointing out that they have been using cluster warheads on their BMs, which can complicate interception efforts.
deep pumice
past knot
It's worth noting that "hypersonic" is a bit of a misnomer when it comes to Iran...
At least some Iranian ballistic missile warheads are MARV.
Meaning they have a limited ability to maneuver during descent at hypersonic speeds.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maneuverable_reentry_vehicle
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fattah-1
zinc comet
(first post here Hi) IDF shows some aircraft strike on missile launcher in "western Iran".
Is what is shown much or not in terms of Iran capabilities, and geolocation of those (this may not interesting to research)? (sorry for the multiple edits to clarify)
https://fixupx.com/idfonline/status/1937376287875551332
frozen tinsel
Latest tweet re:ceasefire
clever cave
I apologize if this is an ignorant question or not appropriate for OSINT, but can someone explain how there is enough Iranian senior leadership left, that arent in hiding for fear of assassination, that would be able to agree or commit to a coordinated ceasefire? That was my first thought when I saw the "fake news" responses to Trump's ceasefire announcement and I still haven't been able to find a good answer to it.
modern finch
Israel has officially accepted the ceasefire
past knot
modern finch
the ceasefire has been broken
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/after-ceasefire-idf-says-it-detected-new-launch-of-ballistic-missiles-from-iran/
plush nymph
did iran agree to a ceasefire? just catching up, sorry
clever cave
Ive seen a lot of opposing accounts and nothing verifiable.
modern finch
did iran agree to a ceasefire? just catching up, sorry
the situation is so fluid I'm not sure anyone has really agreed to anything
plush nymph
and all the outlets following the playbook. i cant find one source and all are only mirroring bibis and dons statement.
modern finch
the israelis appear very convinced they're under attack and now want to respond, as for evidence of the missile strike I'm not seeing much
TOI is saying that only two missiles were launched and both were intercepted. if this attack even took place it may have occurred much earlier in the flight profile and too high for visual evidence. but this is the IDF's word for it
https://x.com/manniefabian/status/1937419055310254178
clever cave
That is the military correspondent for Times of Israel, no more worth than the article lacking any substance.
plush nymph
sometimes we use these sources. but not clickbaiter, pls.
modern finch
I can send you more from more mainstream sources if you wish. Mannie has been reliable for news within israel I've found, mostly for air alerts
Reuters is now reporting the same. If thatās not evidence of the Israeli intention to proceed with the resumption of hostilities I donāt know what is
plush nymph
Trump asked both countries not to violate the ceasefire...why isnt media doing its job
clever cave
The ToI blog and its correspondents social media post being evidence that the Israelis will continue hostilities makes sense, it was your statement that the ceasefire has been broken while using those as evidence that didnt line up for me š¤·āāļø
plush nymph
finally found something https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-us-strikes-06-23-25-intl-hnk#cmc9xgn9p00003b75ckqosy8s
modern finch
The ToI blog and its correspondents social media post being evidence that the Is...
I guess. ceasefires are a mutual thing, if one side feels the ceasefire has been broken and seeks to respond with force then the ceasefire is dead no matter what the other parties think
the actual evidence for the supposed missile strike which has triggered this response remains flimsy, but such evidence is not necessary from a government perspective. if Israel believes they are under attack and responds as if they are, the ceasefire is broken regardless of the facts of the strike
dusky pine
Israel would know very well if there was missiles fired towards them, but they would for obvious reason not share that data.
modern finch
for sure. I'm not taking a position on whether there was or was not an Iranian missile strike, I'm only stating that there is a lack of verifiable evidence. however, it is entirely possible for the Israeli government to simply claim a missile strike regardless of the evidence and proceeded as if that were true. in such a case the evidence becomes immaterial and we're left with the present situation
clever cave
I guess. ceasefires are a mutual thing, if one side feels the ceasefire has been...
You also cant have a one-sided ceasefire to break in the first place.
And it is relevant to an OSINT channel to know whether and how an actually agreed upon ceasefire has ended for valid reasons or not and whether the blame is justified.
In the context here, your statement "the ceasefire has been broken" alongside a claim from a single source on one side lacking evidence sounds a lot like "Iranians broke the ceasefire, see my attached evidence".
It isnt, oh here we are now regardless of what happened. The details matter or this isn't OSINT investigations is it?
clever cave
I apologize if this is an ignorant question or not appropriate for OSINT, but ca...
So still I ask...
Was there ever even unilateral Iranian agreement on a ceasefire?
https://en.mehrnews.com/news/233590/Iran-reacts-to-Trump-claims-on-ceasefire-with-Israel
https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/514877/Iran-has-not-agreed-to-a-ceasefire-Trump-is-lying-again
modern finch
You also cant have a one-sided ceasefire to break in the first place.
And it *i...
sorry I don't quite understand. the details do matter and I'm more than happy to see evidence of the supposed Iranian strike and have an analysis done. but if the ceasefire was in place at all to begin with (and I'm not sure myself), and if there was indeed a strike, then Israel has essentially declared its side of the deal void by claiming a strike and responding as such. I can't say with a straight face that the ceasefire still exists because Israel is now actively responding as though it does not bind them any longer. that's the entirety of my position. whether or not the response is justified is another issue
clever cave
Ok, that is fair. I think maybe the simplicity of your statement and my perception caused some miscommunication. That Israel intends to proceed with hostilities as if a ceasefire, real or not, has been violated, is something agreed on.
modern finch
I agree, a premature statement made in the heat of the moment
dusky pine
Here what claims to be trails from the missiles over Jordan https://www.svt.se/nyheter/utrikes/senaste-nytt-om-kriget-i-mellanostern?inlagg=8734e762e1d53615bb4f374d2d2f3f6f
vale saffron
From a telegram channel. You can translate using an ai. https://t.me/VahidOnline/66682
clever cave
uneven flint
is it spoof or real comment ?
brittle fulcrum
i checked, it's real..
uneven flint
could you give the x link i could not find it.
uneven flint
I there any chance that he is speaking about nukes or making up panic ?
brittle fulcrum
I there any chance that he is speaking about nukes or making up panic ?
no, i think he's refering to this: https://t.me/idf_telegram/17937
IDF Spokesperson:
Chief of Staff, Maj. Gen. Eyal Zamir, in assessing the current situation: "In light of the serious ceasefire violation committed by the Iranian regime. We will attack with force."
modern finch
static gale
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/jun/24/israel-iran-war-live-updates-trump-declares-ceasefire-tehran-attack-us-base-qatar snapshot from this page
glass rampart
is it spoof or real comment ?
Trump is really teaching everyone about the importance of checking their sources. I feel like every other time I see a Trump tweet posted anywhere I need to ask for evidence it's a real tweet.
deep pumice
š speaking of trump, this is in regards to Israel and Iranhttps://www.youtube.com/shorts/Pj3BMM8yGPo
zenith minnow
š speaking of trump, this is in regards to Israel and Iranhttps://www.youtube.c...
canāt say he isnāt right though šš
tranquil saddle
š speaking of trump, this is in regards to Israel and Iranhttps://www.youtube.c...
Oh heās mad
floral jetty
canāt say he isnāt right though šš
the only bipartisan consensus is that bibi is a terrible ally
uneven flint
Even if the war ended will bibi would be prosecuted for his corruption in his administration ?
frail halo
Even if the war ended will bibi would be prosecuted for his corruption in his ad...
Weāre moving into speculation again, but Netanyahuās trial is actually still ongoing. https://www.timesofisrael.com/cross-examination-of-netanyahu-in-criminal-trial-to-begin-on-tuesday/amp/
modern finch
The Guardian is quoting AFP that two further explosions have been heard in Babol and Babolsar on the Caspian Sea in Iran. no details on what the source is
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/jun/24/israel-iran-war-live-updates-trump-declares-ceasefire-tehran-attack-us-base-qatar?CMP=share_btn_url&page=with%3Ablock-685a9afd8f08ffb833a0c1ad#block-685a9afd8f08ffb833a0c1ad
vapid whale
in times like these swearwords hardly matter, but it's fairly notable that I can't remember many times he's dropped that word in front of cameras. He's probably pissed that Bibi is playing him.
Israel has been playing the "ceasefire chicken" game for a long time now. They've played that game and know how to play it in such a way that they can always deny breaking the ceasefire and always drop the bombs regardless
Do we know what the strategic/tactical importance of that radar installment that they hit was?
somber obsidian
lapis berry
is it spoof or real comment ?
You can always check at http://www.trumpstruth.org without having to go to Truth Social itself.
glass rampart
vapid whale
https://x.com/trump_repost/status/1937500323247219070?s=46&t=TYupyugzcQjoLf6exlS...
Uhm, since when China suspended the purchase of oil from Iran?
Honestly, can we start flagging any and all posts by Trump with the tag [Disinformation]?
Because every time I read his tweets I feel like I lose braincells just by trying to interpret this man's delusions 
split orchid
Most of China's oil moves through the Gulf of Hormuz, which is what he was referring to
vapid whale
Most of China's oil moves through the Gulf of Hormuz, which is what he was refer...
Yes, but https://www.reuters.com/world/china/tankers-u-turn-zig-zag-pause-around-strait-hormuz-2025-06-23/
placid osprey
https://radar.cloudflare.com/ir Iran internet situation last few days, according to Cloudflare's traffic data.
dusky pine
The White House acknowledged the existence of the assessment but said they disagreed with it.
lapis berry
https://www.threads.com/@nytimes/post/DLS6ZOzomP7?xmt=AQF0ev7_esWdP19pTkRskdKBN81cFAbv0ERB39Lt-P16jQ
olive yacht
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/24/politics/intel-assessment-us-strikes-iran-nuc...
tangentially related to this, it looks like the US ran through way more SM-3s than we wanted to. https://www.businessinsider.com/us-warships-fire-top-missile-interceptors-alarming-rate-admiral-says-2025-6
muted bane
https://www.threads.com/@nytimes/post/DLS6ZOzomP7?xmt=AQF0ev7_esWdP19pTkRskdKBN8...
Anybody have a gift link?
strong rock
Anybody have a gift link?
placid osprey
If anyone's curious: 600 kg (Hex mass) of 60% Uranium Hexafluoride is about 167 liters in liquid form. It must be kept at >70Ā°C, and pressured at >22 PSI.
and, it's about 49 x 49 x 49 cm cube in solid form (room temperature & pressure).
- Density: https://pubchem.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/compound/Uranium-hexafluoride#section=Density
- Phase diagram: https://www.olisystems.com/resources/blog/predicting-the-behavior-of-actinides-for-power-generation-and-nuclear-waste-disposal/
- a bit of math
marble locust
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/world/middleeast/israel-iran-ceasefire-timeline.html
Just a recap over the oddities that occurred around the ceasefire announcement
split orchid
If anyone's curious: 600 kg (Hex mass) of 60% Uranium Hexafluoride is about 167 ...
A lot more compact than I was expecting.
IIRC even if heat is lost the material can be recovered
placid osprey
Yes, if the pressure and heating are lost (25Ā°C at 1 atm), the compound will simply freeze, become a solid block. (Referring to the phase diagram)
split orchid
That brings back memories of the time I trespassed to go visit several thousands containers of uranium hexafluoride. Good times...
trail summit
Yes, if the pressure and heating are lost (25Ā°C at 1 atm), the compound will sim...
I wonder if the increased density of the solid (at 1 ATM) leads to self-heating, which then leads to sublimates to gas, which cools, and so on.
twin thistle
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/24/politics/intel-assessment-us-strikes-iran-nuc...
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told CNN in a statement: āThis alleged assessment is flat-out wrong and was classified as ātop secretā but was still leaked to CNN by an anonymous, low-level loser in the intelligence community.
You forgot the best part
stable swallow
As an ex chemist, I'll have you know clouds of HF are ,in fact, very bad.
astral holly
I am surprised at the thoroughness of censorship in Qatar. On the night of the Iranian attack, there was a piece of debris that hit the Al-Ahli Hospital in Doha near the X-ray section. There are pictures and videos of smoke and evacuation circulating on WhatsApp and I even spoke to the colleague of a doctor who was eyewitness to it. But it's not mentioned in local or international news. You can also be fined over $3000 for circulating videos of the attack.
polar patio
I did receive a video from friends in Doha that I forgot to post here at the time
split orchid
Is the ceasefire holding?
subtle horizon
Seems like it
neon pawn
I am surprised at the thoroughness of censorship in Qatar. On the night of the I...
speculation, the qataris have an agenda of nonescalation as per hormuz being their cooridor so it makes sense theyd try to downplay
upbeat edge
Also from the Israeli side they don't have an obvious reason to restart the bombing. The original reason, uranium enrichment, is off the table as long as the US is attacking anyone that claims Iran's program is anything short of "totally obliterated". Even if Israel had intelligence saying Iran is enriching to 90% right now they'd get extreme pressure from the US to deny it or not act on it.
split orchid
Well, for a few weeks anyways. This administration has no qualms about contradicting itself once the Tiktok attention span statute of limitations has passed.
placid osprey
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfnJY2ydvc0 A civil & structural engineer briefly went over what methods can be used to assess the Fordo damage. He said InSAR is commonly used in civil/mining application and it's accurate to measure ground settlement over-time and we'd know for sure if the underground space(s) have collapsed. (He didn't do the BDA)
Not a big burger, just kind of interesting to take note.
upbeat edge
The image at around 6:50 in the video - that was disputed, yes?
crisp jungle
The image at around 6:50 in the video - that was disputed, yes?
Yeah it's from the explosion of a Russian ammo dump iirc.
snow rock
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfnJY2ydvc0 A civil & structural engineer briefl...
His 2 videos on the Kerch bridge bombing a month or two ago were interesting too I found.
balmy cliff
placid osprey
https://radar.cloudflare.com/ir Internet in Iran is looking quite healthy now, according to Cloudflare's traffic.
balmy cliff
Apparently the missile that hit Beersheba in was possibly the most advanced one in the Iranian arsenal.
placid osprey
Apparently the missile that hit Beersheba in was possibly the most advanced one ...
Where in the article that says this was used in Beersheba?
balmy cliff
Where in the article that says this was used in Beersheba?
Here's a Telegraph article stating so (probably behind the paywall, so I'll paste the relevant snippet):
"Targeted at the southern desert city of Beersheba, the ballistic missile ripped off the entire side of a residential apartment block shortly before 6am on Tuesday, going on to explode against one of the many āsafeā rooms inside the building.
The four people sheltering inside died instantly, bringing the total of Israeli fatalities to 28.
Only the previous day, Tehran announced that it had begun using the multi-warhead Kheibar Shekan (Ghadr-H) weapon against Israel, a so-called āmonster missileā.
While the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have not officially confirmed whether this munition was used in the Beersheba attack, Isaac Herzog, Israelās president, described it as āone of the heaviest missiles in the Iranian arsenalā. "
lapis berry
CNN airs side by side response to Hegseth accusations of not accurately covering the events and the IAEA info https://www.threads.com/@ash.renee411/post/DLaBsTTAQ4_
warped cedar
To be slightly fair on that, Hegseth is referring to a hyper-specific article in which his statements and accusations to such are somewhat aligned. Unlike us, they're likely not sitting watchinig every single CNN article and video like we are, they're getting little 1-2 sentence descriptors in daily news briefs.
CNN absolutely is reporting on this issued too compared to a lot of outlets.
For example "None of the pushback offered evidence that would allow Americans to make up their own minds." from their recent article.
So, to CNN, it's fine to spam report on "low confidence assessments" they've not actually seen but are leaked to them by politicized staffers. But "none of the pushback offered evidence" with the updated DIA claims, the CIA directors claims, nor Hegseth or Trumps.
This makes absolutely 0 sense. The only thing they are grading are individuals statements. They have no access to a source document that provides any "evidence". This is a wholly arbitrary weight that is intentionally being framed to lead beliefs. The original claims they made also offered no evidence, in fact, they technically have offered less data to support it than the other conclusion even if it is faulty.
nimble geyser
frigid flower
context? as in what is the specific update from this video?
snow rock
Isnāt FDD a neocon think tank?
past knot
Isnāt FDD a neocon think tank?
FDD was founded in 2001 as "Emet" ā Hebrew for "Truth".[14][15] In the initial documents filed for tax-exempt status with the Internal Revenue Service, FDD's stated mission was to "provide education to enhance Israel's image in North America and the public's understanding of issues affecting Israeli-Arab relations".[15] Its mission broadened after the September 11 attacks in 2001.[15] Later documents described its mission as "to conduct research and provide education on international terrorism and related issues".[16]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundation_for_Defense_of_Democracies
nimble geyser
context? as in what is the specific update from this video?
Basically a preliminary damage assessment. She's saying the loss of support facilities and documentation and human capital is going to set the program back years.
raven sundial
Basically a preliminary damage assessment. She's saying the loss of support faci...
She makes some statements like the documentation on how to make Nuclear weapons having been destroyed, which is a ridiculous assumption in the digital age. Overall not a convincing commentary
glass rampart
See this #1383207852964843540 message
nimble geyser
She makes some statements like the documentation on how to make Nuclear weapons ...
I think a lot of computers were also kaboomed in this assault as well.. do you not? The centrifuges are also super fragile was the other major point. If they were operational even slight disturbances would cause them to spin out
dusky pine
I think a lot of computers were also kaboomed in this assault as well.. do you n...
As said before, Iran has a lot of earthquakes, so they would have to deal with such disturbances on a regular basis.
gilded widget
IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi stated that U.S. and Israeli strikes caused "very serious" damage to Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan, destroying uranium enrichment capabilities to an important degree, though some infrastructure remains operational and Iran retains the industrial/technical knowledge and capacity to rebuild within months if they choose to do so.
raven sundial
I think a lot of computers were also kaboomed in this assault as well.. do you n...
Its a safe bet that there are multiple distributed backups of any and all data.
nimble geyser
Can't back up the scientists
strange wave
raven sundial
Anyone have a paywall busted version of the above?
hollow moss
polar patio
Its a safe bet that there are multiple distributed backups of any and all data.
This is not necessarily true given Iran has already had their nuclear archive stolen from storage
raven sundial
This is not necessarily true given Iran has already had their nuclear archive st...
Wasn't that back in 2018?, it didnt seem to have stalled development
polar patio
Wasn't that back in 2018?, it didnt seem to have stalled development
Not stalled development, but changed priorities regarding secret storage
I wouldn't expect them to be the things that are damaged however though
raven sundial
Not stalled development, but changed priorities regarding secret storage
Well they would obviously seek alternative storage even more after such an event so I cant see why you present the 2018 sacking as reason to sway towards thinking they've lost knowledge this time, or even that they truly lost it in that sacking.
balmy cliff
lapis berry
Cannot verify source but fyi new drone attack in Iran https://www.threads.com/@alluring/post/DLijwtoveDZ?xmt=AQF0hN9yC95jaNQIX-Dd2mYl33Dv8MCuFyekC5JJ4KD_nw
thorn plaza
All I'm finding is about an attack on June 23, not today
Although I'm seeing the same video on Instagram, talking about a drone attack.
Instagram
upbeat edge
I've seen two other videos claiming to be from last night:
https://bsky.app/profile/thecrosshairs.bsky.social/post/3lsuwp3z7gd22
https://bsky.app/profile/againstmullahs.bsky.social/post/3lsu2vz3s7k2t
Nothing official in any English-speaking news media.
minor nest
Cannot verify source but fyi new drone attack in Iran https://www.threads.com/@a...
"clip from Visegrad24" 
lapis berry
"clip from Visegrad24" <a:wth:1025118031753527408>
Is that good or bad? Iām not familiar
thorn plaza
From what I gather it's a pretty untrustworthy account.
upbeat edge
Searching "Visegrad24" within the Discord is a bit of a trip.
viscid depot
Is that good or bad? Iām not familiar
Rather bad source, making up things or manipilating delivery. Affiliated with Polish right wing, making random mess all over.
tranquil saddle
Rather bad source, making up things or manipilating delivery. Affiliated with Po...
Also posting CSAM
viscid depot
Also posting CSAM
How could I forget š©
obtuse raft
Analysis or the Iranian cluster munition strike locations
X
raven sundial
Analysis or the Iranian cluster munition strike locations
https://x.com/avisch...
ave to be a bit carefull with nomenclature as the original quote you posted says this...The defense establishment estimates that the missile launched at Beersheba had a fragmentation warhead A cluster munition and a fragmentation munition are quite different things
obtuse raft
> ave to be a bit carefull with nomenclature as the original quote you posted sa...
The original post and article say פצצ××Ŗ ×צ×Ø×Ø which is Hebrew for cluster munitions
There are also some videos of the explosions and photos of the submunitions in the article. Another photo was posted here by the Israeli Home Front Command: #bombs-arms-drones-other-killing-machines message
raven sundial
The original post and article say פצצ××Ŗ ×צ×Ø×Ø which is Hebrew for cluster munitio...
OK But you stated fragmentation., thanks for clearing that up
celest ridge
Thread of Iran missile bases with before/after Israeli strike sat images
https://x.com/BenTzionMacales/status/1941149374308032993
X
obtuse raft
OK But you stated fragmentation., thanks for clearing that up
You mean the quote I posted on the other channel (#bombs-arms-drones-other-killing-machines message)? I pointed it out that it was a Google translation
crisp jungle
The researchers from oregon state will release their full report in two weeks.
placid osprey
Internet anomaly in Iran according to Cloudflare's traffic.
https://radar.cloudflare.com/ir
placid osprey
KorrAI CFO released their InSAR data for Fordow
- https://media.licdn.com/dms/document/media/v2/D4E1FAQEawknypqrgoA/feedshare-document-pdf-analyzed/B4EZe3tqbDHsAY-/0/1751133893663?e=1752710400&v=beta&t=lZJkQ2Hfgu0wiP1D_-20Sv9hRbUrvmrOYmx72qTlFtc (PDF)
- https://www.linkedin.com/posts/robmcewan_korrai-insar-analysis-of-the-fordow-nuclear-activity-7344788657641316353-ZLEh (CFO's LinkedIn post)
- https://www.korrai.com/ (Company website)
split orchid
MILLImeters?
olive yacht
not sure if this has been posted or if it's appropriate.
Israel hit an Iranian prison for trans prisoners. It's looking like the entire trans prisoner population might have been killed in the blast. https://archive.is/2025.07.06-202730/https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/06/world/middleeast/israels-deadly-assault-on-iran-prison-incites-fury-even-among-dissidents.html
crisp jungle
KorrAI CFO released their InSAR data for Fordow
1. <https://media.licdn.com/dms/...
That reads more like an ad. That guy essentially just bought the data from a commercial satellite operator and published it for publicity's sake.
The epic four-slide presentation shows the full depth of their analysis and how much they care about the topic:
Slide 1: Title screen
Slide 2: Before and after VIS pictures of Fordow. They manage to cover one of the two very distinctive bomb entry points with their 300m red circle, possibly by random chance.
Slide 3: The slide above. The diagonal crosssection adds absolutely zero additional information.
Slide 4: Full page ad.
What's left is the picture above. And without access to the dataset it's generated from and simple background information like for example when the pictures were taken and by which satellite, it's next to useless.
placid osprey
That reads more like an ad. That guy essentially just bought the data from a c...
Possible. Thanks for your theory.
dusky pine
MILLImeters?
So assuming mostly dirt displacement.
austere oar
not sure if this has been posted or if it's appropriate.
Israel hit an Iranian ...
I thinks that IRGC propaganda or disinfo
stuck zealot
I thinks that IRGC propaganda or disinfo
To be clear for others reading, the story is about strikes on Evin prison generally, and overall seems well sourced by reporters actually in Iran. The detail about the trans wing is that everyone in it is āmissing,ā according to a human rights lawyer ā and from the way I read the sentence, the part attributed to gov sources is that they are āpresumed dead.ā
austere oar
That strike hit Evin and people got angry at it.
Things like that remind me of Allied hit a prison where there was anti-Nazi political prisoners lived there and a lot was killed. Because at that time, no one couldnāt know it.
olive yacht
To be clear for others reading, the story is about strikes on Evin prison genera...
yes. considering how many much more high profile individuals around that section of the prison are dead (like ministry lapdog Ali Ghanaatkar) it feels very believable that there were no survivors. The reporter used the word "flattened" to describe that section of the prison. Flattened doesn't leave much room for hope
astral holly
Hard to make out from the satellite imagery for me, though thr videos of the inside indicate it was a huge massacre.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2025/07/06/israel-iran-evin-prison-attack/
"Structures 2,000 feet apart" were damaged
modern finch
OSINT defender is notoriously unreliable. I havenāt seen anything to this effect
minor nest
However, we can ignore sent defender and Meidas and just go look up what was quoted
Sentdefender uses capitalization like confetti and that post didn't have it, so i figured he copied and pasted it out of something real
astral holly
They did not send them to anyone but acquaintances and I don't think they're published anywhere on social media even.
The person told me they were just in that room literally 5 minutes before the debris hit!
hot python
If they didn't want them published, why are you publishing them here? What have you done to make sure nobody can be identified as the originator of the video and possibly face consequences?
astral holly
If they didn't want them published, why are you publishing them here? What have ...
- I got their permission to. I should clarify, they said it's okay to publish them but that they didn't want to post them to their own social media pages. 2. There are currently no consequences for sharing videos from that night, fines or otherwise. I checked all the ministry sites.
But I will remove to stay on the safer side of things.
lapis berry
https://www.airandspaceforces.com/iranian-ballistic-missile-hit-al-udeid-air-bas...
AP story https://apnews.com/article/iran-qatar-udeid-air-base-attack-us-aace65a65a0ce69090a7b65fe85cfac8#
ripe nacelle
Hey everyone!
If you don't mind, I'd like to go back in time a little - more specifically to June when Iran invaded Israel.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kKRfB8QNlXE
Most, if not all Iranian propaganda on the alleged F35 shooting seems to come from videogames (Warthunder and Arma 3) or AI.
This could be a training video? Anyone have any clues that could help me move forward w/my research?
dusky pine
Thats an 11 hour video, what exactly do you want help with?
ripe nacelle
Thats an 11 hour video, what exactly do you want help with?
Thanks for asking, looking in to footage of the alleged shooting - so 00:18 to 00:29 minutes
ripe nacelle
https://x.com/rudaw_arabic/status/1934948142698430607 here it is seperately, has been spread through Chinese X channels as well
X
dusky pine
The "missile" is not a missile but a target drone https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HESA_Karrar
dusky pine
It appears to have a AD-08 missile attached underneath, as seen here https://www.elespanol.com/omicrono/defensa-y-espacio/20231025/karrar-dron-ataque-iran-podria-usar-israel-lanza-misiles-guiados-cazas/802420102_0.html
I dont see that this combo would have any chance of scoring a hit against something like an F-35 https://www.armyrecognition.com/archives/archives-land-defense/land-defense-2022/iran-has-developed-ad-08-majid-new-short-range-air-defense-missile-system
crisp jungle
If you give Iran the benefit of doubt and this isn't completely unrelated or arma footage, the thermal video might show the interception of a low flying drone or loitering munition. The stream of fire in the first few seconds could be a shorad system like a Pantsir. The hitting missile appears to come from the same location.
The clip before with the launch of modified target missiles is some test/training footage with multiple cameras from carefully chosen angles set up for this occasion.
Israel did lose a few drones but there is no truth to the claim of four F-35 shot down. Otherwise it would have been easy for Iran to show credible footage of the wreckage.
dusky pine
If you give Iran the benefit of doubt and this isn't completely unrelated or arm...
The last seconds in this clip seems to show an air-to-air missile fired, possibly a fighter shooting down a drone https://x.com/rudaw_arabic/status/1934948142698430607 but its impossible to say when and where the footage is from. But the conclusion so far is that it is a bunch of random clips from testing/exercises and nothing that supports the claim of a F-35 shoot down.
X
lilac forum
lilac forum
(Screenshot source: https://jinsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/JINSA-Building-on-the-Win-October-2025.pdf https://jinsa.org/jinsa_report/rising-lion-air-defense/)
https://fixupx.com/BasedIMINT/status/1971683967373042079
https://fixupx.com/idfonline/status/1982492827759132811/en
shy mica
I don't really know where this belongs so I will just leave it here:
https://en.mehrnews.com/news/240133/IRGC-seizes-an-oil-tanker-in-the-Strait-of-Hormuz
please keep in mind that Mehr News Agency is sponsored by the government of Iran and using it as a source should come with a lot of caution
Iran has apparently seized another oil tanker in the Persian Gulf - I find it quite interesting to compare how little role these actions play in Western media in comparison to the similar actions of the US in the Caribbean, even though the general concepts (accusation of smuggling --> interrupting and seizure of oil tankers) are strikingly similar
crisp jungle
It's a small flagless product tanker without any western connection, that was apparently seized within Iranian waters for smuggling subsidised fuel out of Iran to anonymous customers.
Geopolitically, that's an internal matter of Iran.
The "Skipper" that was seized in international waters by the US is a supertanker with a cargo of 286 million liters compared to the 4 million in the Iranian example.
The vessel was sailing under a false Guyanese flag, making the seizure legal under UNCLOS.
Still with the most likely cargo destination being China and the ship also servicing Cuba and Iran , there are some parties that are quite unhappy about this seizure. Not to mention Venezuela and the dampening effects this has on similar ships and Venezuelas oil trade.
glass rampart
UNCLOS only grants the right to board if nationality is suspected, seizing is only explicitly allowed for a few other reasons.
But in any case this is somewhat moot because the US isn't a party to UNCLOS anyway, and is doing more of a "I follow what I want" approach.
rigid light
WRT UNCLOS: while the US doesnāt subscribe to treaties it broadly adheres to them so theyāre a good baseline
glass rampart
Well, they've been blowing up civilian ships in the Caribbean for like a month now, that's not in UNCLOS either
gilded widget
ā¶ļø Gentle reminder that the focus of this space is 2024-2025 Iran / Israel and United States Clashes (NO MEMES)
shy mica
@gilded widget is there a good channel yet to discuss topics regarding Iran with neither Israel nor the US involved?
hot python
<@419915503272984596> is there a good channel yet to discuss topics regarding Ir...
#middle_east-north_africa is the best spot
shy mica
Thank you!
lilac forum
US operated THAAD AD site in Israel is empty, movement of the equipment/launchers from the location began between nov17/nov20
slate spade
peak skiff
https://www.n2yo.com/?s=58400|61072|58817|28893|53370 tracking Iran's sole four satellites on orbit plus Malligyong, North Korea's only satellite
raven apex
prime glen
I think this should be in #israel-palestine
real kayak
Another excellent researcher/planespotter. https://x.com/steffanwatkins/status/2016428836523499791?s=46
prime glen
prime glen
lapis berry
Not sure where we are tracking Iran buildup but crosspostingkink about 6th US vessel in ME #middle_east-north_africa message
gilded widget
ā¶ļø Suggested Channel Usage
Since we're now in 2026, it might be helpful to post general regional military movements and deployments in #middle_east-north_africa
If/when active military operations begin, a dedicated thread for conflict monitoring will be created.
plush nymph
Continues here or new one now?
minor nest
Continues here or new one now?
Good question. Waiting to see who all is involved
There's been some posts in #1473081625775706295
deep raven
There's been some posts in <#1473081625775706295>
I think I'm gonna stick with the 2026 one. It has the relevant background already there
plush nymph
Agree
upbeat edge
We can always rename the https://discord.com/channels/709752884257882135/1473081625775706295 post if we need a better reference.
strong rock
I just saw this one monitoring South African news. If it belongs elsewhere let me know
https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/israel-and-us-launch-strikes-on-iran
fading ingot
Yeah, there's a new thread but I see where you're coming from since this is a spiritual successor to the 24/25 conflict
strong rock
Yeah, there's a new thread but I see where you're coming from since this is a sp...
Iran isn't my focus but will post in whichever group(s) those who are following more closely prefer
fading ingot
The news about the new war goes there since its like an entirely new campaign
Theyve been tracking it there for a few hours now, but things are still very fluid and are still happening
strong rock
Theyve been tracking it there for a few hours now, but things are still very flu...
This channel was so new it wasn't even showing up in my channel list but I've reposted there and started following the channel just so it's available if I get more news from my feeds
fading ingot
Sounds like a good plan