#assassination

1 messages · Page 4703 of 1

clear finch
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or were griefing

zinc frost
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Yeah that’s just rough

normal mist
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You gotta be pretty stupid

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To do that

pseudo hamlet
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Maybe they thought that they will be getting random part of the tier set or something peeposhrug

mighty basalt
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quick question, is Sepsis when playing sin supposed to trigger shadowblades ?

normal mist
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Yes

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You have unity right?

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After sepsis final dmg you proc A.R and S.B

mighty basalt
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ah right haha, just swaped over and got abit confused

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thanks!

normal mist
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For like 10 seconds i believe

mighty basalt
#

yea, thought i was getting 2set bonus from sub for some reason

normal mist
trim cairn
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How tf am I simming 1.5k dps lower on dungeonslice with Decanter of Anima-Charged Winds 278 ilvl and Ticking Sack of Terror ilvl 272 than with pvp trinkets xd

limber lion
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link the sim

trim cairn
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How do I link it?

pseudo hamlet
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ctrl+c -> ctrl+v

trim cairn
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Oh like copy paste the import data

pseudo hamlet
#

I mean, copy paste the link here 😄

limber lion
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No

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You just copy the link

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and paste it here

trim cairn
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I sim with the simulationcraft exe

limber lion
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just like you would any other website xdf

trim cairn
#

Should I be using raidbots

limber lion
#

yes

trim cairn
#

ah

limber lion
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you should never use the local tool unless you're an advanced user

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and doing some very specific stuff

pseudo hamlet
#

I remember my PC crashing when I tried almost every gem combination possible when I had shitload of sockets with simcraft.exe

trim cairn
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I miss shadowcraft

gray crest
#

That's a name I haven't heard in a while

potent dagger
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With the shift back to venthyr i'm wondering which trinket to pursue :x

pseudo hamlet
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(and the ones that sim higher)

limber lion
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Sigil + Phial still one of the better combos

trim cairn
#

715 dps gain vs pvp trinkets was pretty depressing though ngl

limber lion
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lol

trim cairn
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255 pvp trinkets (cc removal + the nuke) vs Ticking Sack of Terror 272 and Decanter 278 xd

pseudo hamlet
limber lion
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You should always use it together with Vendetta

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And of course using it 20s before a fight ends, if that happens before a Vendetta pops up again

gusty adder
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Would anyone care to look over these logs? I feel like im doing most things correctly, bu cant understand how quite a few is doing more than 1,5k dps more than me with simular gear/ilvl and killtimers.

limber lion
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You have a lot of blunders throughout this kill, not just a few

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You don't follow the logic of Flag - finisher/mfd/finisher - Vend after the opener at all

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One time you did this, essentially wasting the MFD entirely

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One time you did this, essentially wasting the first 7s of Vendetta and missing out on the haste snapshot throughout

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You do a lot of small blunders here and there. You're just missing consistency

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The bottom one is the worst example because you 1. miss out on the Flag haste and snapshot potential, 2. you use Vanish outside of the Flag window so you don't benefit from the CP gain of MA at all

gusty adder
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Yea true - guess it was worse than I thought.

trim cairn
hollow escarp
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I actually prefer the wall of text

trim cairn
limber lion
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Yes

trim cairn
#

oh

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nvm

limber lion
trim cairn
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I'm fucking autistic

limber lion
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for sure

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anyways

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@gusty adder otherwise it looks good throughout the entire kill, you just need to be more consistent with the windows

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The entire build revolves around the snapshotting and if you don't abuse it every single time, there's no reason to play Venthyr

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We cleared heroic yesterday as well and I killed HallyD and did around 15.7k dps

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We have somewhat similar gear, so that should be your goal to reach

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Hoping to see 15k+ next week Sinscheme

gusty adder
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Thats like 1,1k dps higher than highest public log tho Feelskekman

limber lion
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Sure is

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You have all the tools in your toolbelt, just gotta get more consistent with it

gusty adder
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And you're telling me, that apart from you not fucking up the vendt/flag/mfd windows, you play much the same?

limber lion
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Well it's hard to look at a log and know how you play the actual encounter

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it just shows us what buttons you press in terms of rotation

gusty adder
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Will take some time off on dummy before next raid

limber lion
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but there's still other things to consider

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Like movement, mechanics, downtime and whatnot

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This is my damage breakdown for abusing every window properly

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This is yours

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As you can see, your bleeds are lagging a bit behind

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Melee and poison pretty much the same

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but bleeds are just a bit short

gusty adder
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And I garrote too much apparently (considering casts vs rupture in the two) ?

limber lion
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Well that's hard to say honestly

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I wouldn't think about that too much

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Just refresh in pandemic normally and you're chillin

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My encounter was also quite a bit shorter than yours, so the uptime looks different

hollow escarp
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yo, there's one public assa log on Halondrus Pog

gusty adder
limber lion
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you only overlap the very last casts

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to force the overhang

gusty adder
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thats what i mean ye

limber lion
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yup

gusty adder
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Do you have any videos of your kills, and even better with a trufi-GCD tracker on?

limber lion
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I do not unfortunately

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I do have the thing showing up which buttons I press, but I very rarely stream nowadays because of my bad pc

gusty adder
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Another question - in this example, I must have fucked up my MfD timing on the cast inbetween the two first vendettas, but is that SO bad, or do I still get the "full" value here, or loosing out on a bunch? I mean, obviously I shouldnt have popped vendetta just before the teleport/shield phase and loosing a few seconds of uptime, but disregarding that I guess

limber lion
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It's not that bad, but it's definitely worse

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But not that much

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very miniscule

ripe gulch
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cev, which absolutely bis trinkets should i farm

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the 2 single best trinkets

limber lion
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IQD and Phial

ripe gulch
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iqd better than xy'mox bleed?

gray crest
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Also what about sigil

mossy mulch
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have we an assasination spreadsheet ?

bleak sky
mossy mulch
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oh sorry, thanks!

trim raptor
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How do you avoid getting execute/mana with iqd then when bosses are low?

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Ive been using sigil over iqd for that reason

mossy mulch
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How much dps do I gain with windfury totem? anyone knows?

gusty adder
late birch
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Just me or does Spiteful feel like the worst affix for assa D:

limber lion
limber lion
limber lion
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IQD only as Venthyr

late birch
limber lion
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You don't need stealth

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Stealth is not that big of a gain or necessity as you might think

late birch
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I guess. I played MA last key so jsut felt bad that a talent going to waste

limber lion
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yep

strange python
limber lion
strange python
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Gross

ebon notch
ebon notch
limber lion
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That's a good thing

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that means you can just play the sigil

ebon notch
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But it also means I can only get it in vault

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I can't argue for it off loot council cause everyone wants it

ebon notch
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I'll DM you when I get it uploaded

gusty adder
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Sounds so good, thanks alot mate! 🙂

glass tulip
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trufi is a lifesaver in vod review

gusty mirage
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You’re a lifesaver

spice spire
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He’d be more of a lifesaver if he succumb to anvil gaming peepoNoted

gusty mirage
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Why do you hate him

spice spire
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Bro wdym

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He’s be climbing wr

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Anvil will he world 20th trust

glass tulip
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well right now im funding my character boost so i can learn to play warrior or something lol

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need a new character to play in weekend raid

spice spire
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Learn to play warrior kekg

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Both specs pretty simple

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Even this brain dead egg grasped it

gusty mirage
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Also you’re morally obliged to say nothing but “blululululu” over comms while bladestorming

glass tulip
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hm can I get a sound byte of that

gusty mirage
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Yeah I got you, next time I zug zug keys I’ll strim it and clip it for you

spice spire
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Warrior also stupid fun in keys

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It’s weird having aoe cooldowns

gusty mirage
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Pro tip, stand in your spear regardless of what’s on the ground

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You’re a warrior now, act like it. Mechanics don’t matter

spice spire
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AMEN

glass tulip
gusty mirage
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I’ve died more in the 5 keys I’ve run on my warrior than I died all season on my rogue

spice spire
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Yes man

gusty mirage
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The one spires I ran I was 9 of the 10 deaths in the key

spice spire
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Just something about ground effects

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They start to not exist

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All I see is meter

gusty mirage
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Just die by the sword and blululululululululu

spice spire
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“Rallying this”

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“Why?”

gusty mirage
spice spire
gusty mirage
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Insta -100 iq for anyone playing warrior iswtg

bleak sky
spice spire
glass tulip
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what about 6

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DS is a thing quake

spice spire
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Can’t run it

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Not enough brain cells

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Sorry king

muted ivy
spice spire
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5 max

regal cape
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Just spec your brain for deeper strat dogKEK

muted ivy
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Respec: -1 to wisdom +1 to intelligence

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Confirm (Y/N)

spice spire
muted ivy
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bro what do you think Respec means Weirdge

spice spire
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(Can’t lose what you don’t have is the joke)

bleak sky
ripe gulch
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for mythic vigilant guardian

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necro sin or kyrian sub and tunnel boss?

muted ivy
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doesn't matter, boss flops as long as you do mechanics right

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go with whatever you're gonna be using for the boss after lol

spice spire
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^

gusty mirage
spice spire
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You coming on to me?

gusty mirage
muted ivy
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i keep getting this OutOfBounds error when i finish above 5 tho dpsstop

open arrow
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so on lords your suppose to do like normal 2 target rotation right? just singel target one of them and keep bleeds on both of them including crimson tempest? and that's the same during entire encounter right?

autumn frost
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Yes

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Especially with the change. Save cds for the cloud burst window.

thorn fjord
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with DW vent should be up every cloud burst

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vend*

open arrow
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and you should still use dusk on it if you dont have 4 set yet? or is zoldyck better?

spice spire
brazen zodiac
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good morning

bleak sky
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gm gm

autumn frost
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I thought it would be dashing is generally better. Unless there's aN important execute phase without fourset and double lego

limber lion
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With 2p and without 4p Zoldy is better

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on 2t

normal mist
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How diff are dreads and ryg hc?

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From normal

limber lion
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Not much

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Rygelon is a bit harder with soaks

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but Lords doesn't really change in any way

drifting cloud
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yeah rygelon isnt really a boss in normal starege

normal mist
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So I'd say it is easier to pug dreads hc than ryg right?

limber lion
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Well, both are a bit aids

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Lords is awful because of the Among Us phase

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which cannot be auto-solved with the Pieces weakaura anymore

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And Rygelon is a bit aids because it requires coordination

normal mist
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They are my last chance at 4/4 this week 🥲

limber lion
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But yeh Lords is the same fight

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everything just hurts more

normal mist
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About 4/4... when we vendetta, all we do is refresh dots on vendetta target + CT, and re apply them 1 last time before vendetta expires right?

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Even in aoe/cleave scenarios?

brazen zodiac
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the voting system weakaura works pretty pog tho in pugs for lords

thin imp
brazen zodiac
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patched.

thin imp
brazen zodiac
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well i think blizzard just patched it is all, unsure what you mean by WA wise or blizzard wise haha

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i've heard of blizzard killin other weakauras in the past so

rocky sluice
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hey guys, which nercolord soulbind do you all recomend for Lords of dread?

thin imp
brazen zodiac
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oh haha, they said they'll take a look at it once they actually fight the boss this week

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unsure if they did it already or not

thorn fjord
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custome APL is for haste tea

kindred rapids
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yeah you need a better weapon

pure moth
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What other trinkets do you have?

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I thought bells was not one to go for .

ocean cipher
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!guide

spice spire
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Earth breaker is good, but phial, totem, lot of decent 262-272 options

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Even IQD

pure moth
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You would think sgt and phial would sim better on a patchwerk sim

spice spire
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At 252 fusion amp is pretty good

peak bobcat
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What soulbind do we use for panth mythic?

spice spire
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Heirmir or marileth are fine.
Leaning toward heirmir. But whatever sims best

thorn fjord
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Fusion amp is showing lower

spice spire
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(+9 is within variance)

thorn fjord
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Guess this is the best i can do with what i have currently... did the same thing with Sub and was able to get 1.3k more out of sims with Kyr still using both Sylv daggers

spice spire
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Well yeah

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Sylv daggers are really really good for sub

thorn fjord
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Thought it would be the same for both specs

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TiL

spice spire
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Nooooooooooi

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Deeper daggers also affects blight

thorn fjord
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i did not know that

spice spire
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It’s shadow damage

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Also more finishers on sub = more banshee’s blight

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But there’s also the dagger swap tech

thorn fjord
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Yeah i saw that today

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you swap at less than 25% or something like that?

spice spire
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Ye

autumn frost
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Can you explain to me the rationale?

spice spire
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Of?

autumn frost
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Do i need to macro weaponswaps?

spice spire
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Are you playing sub?

autumn frost
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The dagger swap tech.

spice spire
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As in subtlety

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Not subterfuge 😛

autumn frost
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Occasionally

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Ill go check the sub channel

spice spire
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Yep

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Tl;dr banshee’s blight stacks quick below 25% and then you’re doing MonkeyPeepoWicked things

autumn frost
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Thx

gusty mirage
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Make it stop

thorn fjord
spice spire
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No MonkeyPeepoWicked

viscid spear
fleet anchor
#

Don't need to weapon swap if you can't get a Mythic dagger drop 100rogue

sturdy merlin
#

Hey guys is raidbots up to date with the new venthyr stuff ?

fleet anchor
#

😛

fleet anchor
sturdy merlin
#

So sims are accurate enough right now ?

viscid spear
#

So we're really living the "friendship ended with Dreamweaver, now Theotar is my best friend" meme?

vestal wren
sturdy merlin
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Good good thanks peepoComfy

limber lion
#

The rotation is scuffed, so just stick to the rotation in the pins and always sync Flag/Vendetta together

viscid spear
#

My 999 score is off-putting

spice spire
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I’m ready for the move to be over so I can help people with keys more

modest glen
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How long should you hold shiv to line up with vendetta/flag?

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If the 3rd one is like 10 sec off

strange python
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Rhen hold it

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Then

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Its a 25 sek cd. So you should hold it for every vend.flag

viscid spear
spice spire
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262s drop from 15s so in the public’s eyes

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That’s 10 ilvl too low Sinscheme

viscid spear
#

+10 Streets been sitting at 1/1/1 for 8 minutes

spice spire
pure moth
#

Ill never pug a streets again... was awful

kindred rapids
#

I've only done it once but it didn't seem too bad

pure moth
#

Its not bad at all... its just the people i got.

spice spire
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Eh, I kinda hate streets kekg

subtle tundra
#

whats pandemic for ct??

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cant do math

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:((

timid cloud
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30% of 12. I’m actually struggling…

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Ya boy also bad at math…

viscid spear
#

I preferred History in school

limber lion
#

4 is fine

spice spire
gusty mirage
#

everytime you fail to maximize pandemic, ion buffs warriors

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so get to practicing

subtle tundra
unborn needle
#

So looking over parses on Warcraft logs, it's hard to find many, if any Assasination Rogues anywhere in the top 50/100 in any fights in this raid. Is Sub really that far ahead that even the top performing Assas rogues barely make it on the list?

limber lion
muted ivy
#

Sub gets a lot more dmg than Sin from Sylv daggers, but the gap should close more the later the tier goes

limber lion
#

Assassination is not that far behind honestly

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And there's some big boy assassination players who are private logging

bleak sky
#

easier to perform on sub;
people not aware of venth tech;
community perception;
private logs (cev)

muted ivy
#

but ya shouldn't be a huge difference, especially for non-RtWF guilds

hollow river
#

Sub still sims over 1k dps more than sin for me

loud hearth
#

With the changes to LoD (100% damage) is it worth to play Zoldycks and hold Vendetta for each dmg phase or play Duskwalkers and just send Vendetta on CD

hollow river
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Dusk

unborn needle
#

I did my search using heroic pulls, since a lot of Mythic pulls are still just top end guilds only with a limited sample size. I also excluded anything but rogues. Basically just walk after walk of sub rogues for all bosses. Once you get to page two or theee, you might see one or two sin rogues.

hollow river
#

You should be able to line Vend up with the amp phases mostly

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Depending on how long amongus takes your raid

loud hearth
hollow river
#

No

muted ivy
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if you use Zold would you hold on pull?

spice spire
#

Probably?

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I ? Because I’m not totally sure

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But I’d think so

kindred rapids
spice spire
#

Yes

kindred rapids
#

Your WA won't tell you that though

spice spire
#

I place it at 2.9 NODDERS

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And 2 for Vendetta. No real perfect way to fix that, my WA doesn’t highlight CT for pandemic tho

kindred rapids
#

So many people fail to pandemic for this reason 😩

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1.5 w/ vendetta

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I've modified my WAs to use CP

spice spire
#

Based on 4, sure.
But I did light modification 🙂

coral sierra
#

my ww monk sucks at single target, but is oh so juicy at aoe. Is rogue the way to go?

spice spire
#

Is rogue the way to go for what?

coral sierra
#

single target dps*

kindred rapids
#

NO

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demo lock is the way to go

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you're welcome

kindred rapids
coral sierra
#

demo lock with PI*

limber lion
kindred rapids
#

There were only 83 sin logs on dassusy when we killed it

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rank 17 was only a 79% 😩

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It's getting lonely out there for sin players

bleak sky
#

demo is not really playable with no PI in raid right

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though they don't need any buffs to absolutely shit on rogues in M+

unborn needle
#

So apparently all the top Sin players log privately to even make the warcraft logs make sense and match up with the consensus that the two specs are close.

muted ivy
#

well a lot of top rogues will just go with Sub even if it is close

oak sky
#

The problem is more community perception i think

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Usually a lot of people like sin

muted ivy
#
  • Sub can pad a lot easier than Sin
unborn needle
#

I think people want to think Sin is closer/better than it is. Atleast from what the data is currently showing.

limber lion
#

lmao

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ok you believe that

muted ivy
#

Warcraftlogs isn't empirical

frosty cedar
#

sub is 4 plebs

muted ivy
#

it can be heavily influenced by community perceptions

oak sky
#

Build change means a lot of sin players arent gonna be doing as much damage as they could be doing if they havent adapted yet

kindred rapids
#

ppl still suck at using 4pc

oak sky
#

And some people dont have it yet

kindred rapids
#

it does so much dmg though

hollow river
spice spire
#

First night with it last night, I know I did.
Didn’t help I was also rling cuz our rl had to offrole last night rooDerp

muted ivy
#

the earlier in the tier the more sub is favored tbh

oak sky
#

Its funny because starege is literally me rn i have dark circles rn

hollow river
#

You get 4p this week bro

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I feel it

oak sky
#

Next week

loud hearth
#

Am I correct that with 4set, all pandemic timers in Vendetta are just 50% of regular? Just updating my WAs

hollow river
oak sky
#

Unless i can find it off normal anduin on sunday

muted ivy
#

i feel it PU_TopKEK

spice spire
#

Any other bosses you need mister agreon?

oak sky
#

My token is just really bricked it is what it is

spice spire
#

Guild doing alt normal on Saturday iirc

oak sky
#

Nah ive already done lords

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Those are the 2

spice spire
#

F

muted ivy
#

Zenith token is straight TRASH

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never drops

oak sky
#

Yeah p much

spice spire
#

Our zenny is pretty nice rn

hollow river
#

Get more monks and warriors

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I have 5p starege

muted ivy
#

meanwhile fuckin Mystic/Dreadful

solid venture
#

does anyone have numbers on xymox cache trinket with 4p? better to save the haste proc for vendetta /flag or just send when axe comes up?

spice spire
#

!cache

prisma monolithBOT
#

Cache of Acquired Treasures usage:
Axe is always the strongest weapon.
Note: The Weapon rotates every 12 seconds in the order Sword -> Axe -> Wand

spice spire
#

Oddly enough

#

Our mystic has been hard fucked

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Dreadful looking crisp tho

hollow river
#

Our GM is organizing little funnels for whatever particular bosses people need

kindred rapids
#

What do you mean?

spice spire
#

I am too

oak sky
hollow river
#

Trying to get our new hpal and Druid pieces

oak sky
#

Always appreciated

spice spire
#

Quakewar comes in for anduin to gift helms

hollow river
bleak sky
viscid spear
#

We all have at least 2pc now, don't we? monkahmm

spice spire
#

And he’s in for lihuvim because every single zenith person has hands Sinscheme

hollow river
#

My warr is still 1p

muted ivy
#

we've started swapping people that can't trade H tier tokens to try and help people PepeHands

spice spire
#

Warr is 2p

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My rogue is a rat 4p

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Lfr legs

viscid spear
#

I do like 2pc

timid cloud
#

Lol

kindred rapids
hollow river
#

Yep

#

More people=more tier chance anyway

spice spire
#

It drops the prospect of picking a dead piece of you have a weird number like 23 tho

strange silo
#

u guys play with 4p? kek 2 piece is the way to go till catalyst

muted ivy
#

i mean like dropping people out of the group

hollow river
#

You kinda want 20 people

spice spire
#

30% for a third

hollow river
#

At least

kindred rapids
spice spire
#

Is odd

muted ivy
#

???? to make sure it can be traded it does

hollow river
#

I mean

muted ivy
#

or at least the best chance to be traded

kindred rapids
viscid spear
#

I do feel bad, I accidently initiated the achievement on HC Lihuvim peeposcared

hollow river
#

Your entire raid will get less tier lmao

#

Overall

kindred rapids
#

every player adds 10% chance to get tier and has 10% chance to loot it

#

it evens out

hollow river
#

Better to just let people loot their own heroic pieces

bleak sky
spice spire
#

^

bleak sky
#

so if you can drop players and not fuck with the guaranteed drops, do it

muted ivy
#

if someone has 4pc and can't trade it's a dead token basically

spice spire
#

“Wtf is neo?!”

hollow river
#

Ye if it doesn’t fuck with the guaranteed drops sure

kindred rapids
#

Even if a token is useless to you, dropping ppl does not help your overall chance to get useful tier

muted ivy
#

as long as you don't drop under 20 ya

spice spire
#

Not everyone runs exactly 20

viscid spear
#

I wanted to drop jeeves to repair and the button's right next to the Reaves battery

hollow river
#

We usually run 20-24 for regular heroic full clears

spice spire
hollow river
#

10man specific bosses for Normal pieces

#

At this point

viscid spear
viscid spear
#

me when it spawned

hollow river
#

We don’t full clear normal as a guild anymore

muted ivy
#

if you remove the chance for failure, you can't fail dpsstop

spice spire
#

If all zenith people have 4 set and gloves drop is needed for mystic.

You drop 2 zenith people to twenty so it’s a higher chance for mystic

hollow river
#

Just don’t remove your chance to succeed monkaS

spice spire
#

1/22<1/20

kindred rapids
#

it's not a higher chance

hollow river
#

Yes it is

bleak sky
#

my man

hollow river
#

What quake just said

kindred rapids
#

no it's not

viscid spear
#

Shame there's not a failsafe that prevents unnecessary tokens from dropping

hollow river
#

Is correct

spice spire
#

IF YOU GET ZENITH AND IT IS DEAD IT IS BAD.

#

SO YOU DROP ZENITH

muted ivy
#

me rn ^

bleak sky
#

it's not that complicated to understand I feel

hollow river
#

It’s not

kindred rapids
#

The chance of getting tier piece X is 10% times the number of X players in the raid

hollow river
#

Bro

kindred rapids
#

independent of what other players are in the raid

bleak sky
hollow river
#

We’re talking about a 100% guaranteed 2 pieces

muted ivy
#

we're not talking about the number of tier pieces dropping

bleak sky
#

so you drop those players.

hollow river
#

If zenith token people DONT NEED IT

bleak sky
#

so they don't get a token they don't need.

spice spire
hollow river
#

But Mystic people DO NEED IT

#

You can drop zenith people

spice spire
hollow river
#

For a batter shot at mystic pieces

kindred rapids
#

dropping zenith players does not increase your chances of getting mystic

hollow river
#

Instead of zenith pieces

spice spire
#

My dude

viscid spear
spice spire
#

It is an example

hollow river
#

Holy guacamole

#

It does

kindred rapids
#

You don't understand probability if you think it does

bleak sky
#

You don't understand loot it seems

spice spire
#

The players that it’s dead for, are out. So it’s live for every other shard

muted ivy
#

i've successfully derailed the Sin channel now, mb bois PepeMods

hollow river
#

It’s not about a shot at chance of 3 pieces

solid venture
#

if you have 100% chance of 1 piece of loot with 10 raiders and all of those are on the zenith token, what do you think is gonna drop?

kindred rapids
#

It might reduce variance somewhat but it doesn't increase your expected number of mystic tier pieces

viscid spear
hollow river
#

If you stacks ONLY MYSTIC TOKEN CLASSES IN A RAID

#

What tokens will drop?????

hollow river
#

MYSTIC

spice spire
#

Since you were showing density to not understand the basic concept of dropping

#

People

kindred rapids
#

sure it's an example. Under no circumstances does it actually increase the expected number of usable tier to drop people.

muted ivy
#

it's not a big deal anyways dead

hollow river
viscid spear
#

A group of just Druids, Hunters, and Mages

spice spire
#

I’m clearly explaining this concept poorly.
starege

balmy condor
hollow river
#

7.7777777%

muted ivy
stray mural
#

Roughly less than 30%

kindred rapids
#

Point is dropping a player reduces the expected number of tier drops by 0.1

#

so it evens out

balmy condor
#

Can you answer the question

stray mural
#

But if you have 10 apples you have 100% chance of pulling an apple lets go

viscid spear
muted ivy
#

but if the expected number of live tier drops is bigger than .1 then dropping that player makes it more likely

spice spire
#

That wasn’t even the concept I was bringing up.
Zenny is packed. And stacked and doesn’t need the piece.
You drop zenny players so zenny can’t get a pieces that’s dead. And other shards can

#

That’s it, that’s the concept

#

No guarantee it’s ideal

kindred rapids
#

Yes and it doesn't help your expected value.

#

that's what I'm saying

balmy condor
#

You’re actually trolling this

#

Holy fuck

bleak sky
#

I was about to start drawing to explain this

balmy condor
#

Fuck the chance at dropping loot for a second, that doesn’t change

stray mural
#

@kindred rapids have you ever seen a class loot another classes tier token

viscid spear
balmy condor
#

If you have 4 people on a token that is worthless, everyone has loot

#

That gives you 4 people with a chance to drop useless tier

spice spire
#

How does that not help?

balmy condor
#

Replace them with people that don’t drop useless tier

spice spire
balmy condor
#

And you now have less useless tier

bleak sky
drifting cloud
#

and 60% to get 2 quake

balmy condor
#

Regardless of what the probability is

muted ivy
#

we need a statistics classroom thread starege

viscid spear
drifting cloud
#

yuge value

kindred rapids
#

Lets say you run with 10 mystic players. You get 1 guaranteed mystic drop. If you run with 10 mystic and 10 zenith you get 2 guaranteed tier drops, each with a 50% chance to be mystic so your expected value for mystic tier is still 1.

viscid spear
#

I'm going back to being declined for M+

spice spire
drifting cloud
#

just dont lose coinflips

void karma
#

What

balmy condor
kindred rapids
#

If you think about adding a single zenith player they have a 10% chance of looting zenith but they have will add an overall tier piece 10% of the time.

bleak sky
#

Sorry, I hope you have a wonderful day Sir Manwich. Please let me know if you have found the tier in question, that you so graciously asked for, by opening your calculator. Inbetween all the other tokens and gear you have packed for a wonderful day at Sepulcher of the First Ones, you may happen to find the token. They are so wonderfully hard to calculate if one doesnt have a probability and math degree. Hahaha, I understand your plight however.

viscid spear
#

I think we're missing the important information here
||he plays Outlaw||

kindred rapids
#

causing the expected values of other tier pieces to remain unchanged.

kindred rapids
uneven hamlet
#

my brain is too small for the ongoing coversation peepo

drifting cloud
#

yes and its better to just coinflip the extra tier piece than a useless player looting

spice spire
#

I’ll bark

drifting cloud
#

its not a big difference, but its not the same

kindred rapids
#

Lets say you have 20 mystic players and 1 zenith player. The expected number of tier drops is 2.1. The expected number of zenith drops is 0.1. Therefore the expected number of non-zenith tier is still 2.

drifting cloud
#

and when youre dealing with small sample sizes its better to just play it safe

spice spire
#

Okay but you get 2 drops and one goes to zenith

bleak sky
spice spire
#

?

bleak sky
kindred rapids
#

Yes, it increases variance

viscid spear
kindred rapids
#

but not expected value

bleak sky
#

so

#

you agree with us

kindred rapids
#

that's all I have been claiming

bleak sky
#

that you should drop the useless playeyrs

#

to not fuck up the tier

#

and drop useless loot

balmy condor
#

Let’s say you have 100 raiders in the raid at the same time, and they all kill the boss

subtle tundra
#

lets say penis

#

penis

muted ivy
#

and reducing variance in small sample sizes is good YEP

bleak sky
#

penis

spice spire
#

So you’re being obtuse on a subject you’re in the wrong on, based on verbiage?

weak plover
#

Penis

muted ivy
#

YEP COCK

kindred rapids
#

bringing that zenith player could hurt you by causing you to loot a useless tier but it could help you by allowing you to loot 3 non zenith pieces

viscid spear
#

Manwich at his computer right now

solid venture
#

holy mother of doubling down

spice spire
kindred rapids
#

These effects equal out when you look at expected value

fleet anchor
#

I mean there are actually times when leaving people in can push you over a threshold for getting a higher chance of a piece in general and it's still better EV to leave them in

#

We've had to do this math a few times this tier

void karma
#

So why bring the zenith player? Literally risking a dead drop for no reason

spice spire
#

Sure, if you have 2 zenith people to make 26, yeah, makes sense

#

But let’s say 5 in a 20 man

next dune
#

Obtuse zenith penis mystic

balmy condor
#

Does this change if it’s a full moon and Saturn is in prograde

#

Asking because my guild lead is a psychic

fleet anchor
#

Definitely a lot of cases where the risk of the dead drop is lower than the gain of tokens in flex

spice spire
viscid spear
#

Naw, Uranus is in retrograde

fleet anchor
#

I mean the whole thing is kinda silly

#

Arbitrary breakpoints is rarely a good idea

spice spire
#

I agree that there are outlier cases where yes leaving in is a good thing, but this was just an off hand comment that got sent down the ackshually hole

steep hamlet
#

is MFD really essential for this vent build or can I be lazy and take something else for minimal loss

balmy condor
#

Less bad tokens = less chance for bad tokens = higher chance for good tokens

#

Easy peasy

steep hamlet
#

sadge

balmy condor
#

:)

kindred rapids
#

In practice, it could make sense to remove some variance by dropping players. What gets me is the whole discord not understanding probability and claiming it increases your expected value.

bleak sky
#

honestly true bestie

fleet anchor
#

I don't expect people on Discord to be good at statistics

balmy condor
#

Being obtuse doesn’t make people bad at math

#

It makes you an asshole

kindred rapids
#

People literally did argue that

#

I've said the entire time I was talking about expected value

muted ivy
#

it really doesn't matter anymore

fleet anchor
#

I would say that people have a natural tendency to think that reducing variance is better even though it's often not. In some specific case maybe if the EV is identical, reducing variance "for free" is good, but there's plenty of cases where people are inclined to reduce variance despite lowering EV which is often not a great idea.

kindred rapids
#

Agreed, I think if somewhat casual guilds are doing this they are probably just misunderstanding the overall effect on your chance of looting tier.

#

Reducing variance is such a minor thing it's not worth thinking about for 99% of guilds

autumn frost
fleet anchor
#

I mean you see this with sims too, with people claiming X spec is better because it's lower variance, but the reality is that if the average DPS is even moderately higher, there's rarely a benefit in reducing variance just for the sake of it.

timid cloud
#

All I'm sayin' is...we ran 24 & got a 3rd token, so...doesn't matter...

#

Just remove tokens that are straight up not needed & call it a day, musical class chairs, if you will.

#

All of our PPS token is all 4 setted, we still need HMD, WMR, DDL

muted ivy
#

often times reducing the variance in a situation where emotions are involved just makes people feel better YEP

timid cloud
#

We keep getting dead PPS, then what is the point...

muted ivy
#

even if the EV doesn't change or even lowers

kindred rapids
#

people tend to prefer something that's guaranteed

fleet anchor
bleak sky
#

yes

autumn frost
#

Statistics for a single incident vs a population or average need to be treated differently

bleak sky
#

guaranteed loot >>>> having a chance to drop useless loot

timid cloud
#

Fuck, my instant gratification main character syndrome isn't being hit enough what am I gonna do!?

fleet anchor
#

We can equally point to the case where we kept a number of people in, got an extra token, none of them were the bad token.. if we had dropped them we would have gotten 1 fewer token so we gained significantly from leaving them in. But if 2 of them had gotten tokens by bad luck, everyone would be like "TOLD YOU SO" and get upset. 😄

kindred rapids
#

But unless you're actually able to stack raids to the point you can guarantee the tier you want, just bring in ppl who can trade the tier you want and bother with trying to drop ppl who can't.

muted ivy
#

Negative emotions >>>>> outweigh positive emotions

timid cloud
#

No point on getting mad about shit you cannot change, it's pointless.

timid cloud
#

Exactly.

fleet anchor
#

Hard to be happy when the loot system is garbage, but we try 😄

vestal wren
#

just be lucky

#

worked well for me so far, 3 chests from guardian, 2 necks from artificer and 3 rings from lihuvim on heroic

fleet anchor
#

Soulblade Leggings in 3/4 of my vaults, gotten 3 Soulblade Leggings drop. I'm a Soulblade Leggings factory. But we've only seen 1 Shoulder drop ever for Zenith. lol 🤣

balmy condor
#

or you could just replace people with a better token and not rely on luck but apparently that’s bad math yep

vestal wren
#

also my vaults so far

fleet anchor
#

So much repeat loot all the time

#

For basically everyone

#

We've been tracking it this tier for our raid

#

It's actually awful

vestal wren
#

the thing is

#

if you think about it, if you always get the same loot from a tier boss, thats great

#

because you can trade tier

#

but getting 3 times the ring from lihuvim instead of tier

#

when tier set has a far higher loot chance due to 2 tier pieces of 4 pieces of loot

#

i find a lot of joy in that so far

oak sky
#

Ive gotten vg ring 3 times

vestal wren
#

guardian chest for me

muted ivy
#

i've gotten like 4 Anduin necklaces

#

-_-

#

literally joked about one dropping but with a socket last night, and then it happened.....

sonic schooner
#

Nice vault fuu, i m a bit jealous i didnt get any of those very rare mats

vestal wren
#

like.. its fine. give me lihuvim tier, treasure cache on artificer or even a dagger/tier/or even legs on lihuvim

#

so like 50% of the loot i can get from this bosses is actually useful (somewhat)

restive falcon
#

you play necrolord on mythic pantheon?

vestal wren
#

enough complained, i hope to get tier set traded today so i get my 4p

restive falcon
#

and if so is the assass faq still correct?

spice spire
#

Also no tier from vault. Lucky drops at least but starege all normal tier except for lihu gloves

#

And lfr legs monkaGIGA

fleet anchor
#

I was very happy to get a helm from Mythic Pantheon last night that will set in my bags for 2 more weeks until I can Catalyst it lol

spice spire
hollow river
#

I have gloves helm and chest ready for catalyst starege

oak sky
restive falcon
#

still run duskwalkers on pantheon as necrolord

oak sky
#

Yeah

spice spire
#

I wouldn’t

restive falcon
#

run zoldyck?

oak sky
#

I played dashing venth yesterday pepechortle

spice spire
#

It’s a lot to deal with, and p3 only phase that matters

#

Yeah I’d run Zoldyck

oak sky
#

Nah i think dusk is good tho

#

Oh wait

restive falcon
#

hmmmm ig i can craft a zoldyck

oak sky
#

Wrong boss

muted ivy
#

bro

oak sky
#

Duh

spice spire
#

Pantheon kekg

oak sky
#

I was thinking lords for some reason

#

Yeah for sure pantheon zoldyck

#

100%

spice spire
#

Lords is 100% dusk

slow marsh
#

eh

#

i think pantheon is dusk still but

muted ivy
#

what's your garrote CD Forsen

spice spire
#

Too long pepew

oak sky
#

You play subt on those bosses ez

restive falcon
#

should i get rid of Mfd and go Vigor

#

or keep mfd

limber lion
#

Always MFD as Venth

#

Always DS as anything else

#

Never Vigor

slow marsh
#

there's literally no reason to ever play vigor in raid

restive falcon
#

for necro cev

limber lion
#

DS

slow marsh
#

DS

restive falcon
#

necro mythic pantheion

slow marsh
#

jinx

limber lion
#

DS

#

Necro Skrillex?

#

DS

#

Necro Pantheon?

#

DS

#

Necro m+?

#

DS

oak sky
#

Necro dn?

#

DS

slow marsh
#

always deeper for dn wtf

balmy condor
#

@limber lion daily reminder that venthyr isn’t a real covenant

muted ivy
#

the ultimate mobile game device Nintendo's DS?

balmy condor
#

Sub is better on pantheon dude we live in a cursed timeline

slow marsh
#

every tier has an axcuse why he not playin sin

oak sky
muted ivy
#

VENTH ISN'T REAL Copege Copege Copege Copege

oak sky
balmy condor
#

How does sub do more 4 target than necro zold sin

#

What a fucking stupid balancing

spice spire
#

🎰

slow marsh
#

idk blame ya boi

oak sky
#

Because sub is extra p8ggers with the sauce

muted ivy
#

shoulda made Vend also an AoE aura kekW

slow marsh
#

make vendetta a self buff

#

and it instantly breaks sin

vestal wren
#

pants or chest

limber lion
#

@balmy condor gibe string for overwriting umbrella proc chance/uptime

#

ty

spice spire
limber lion
#

:))

#

umbrella legit dog

balmy condor
#

I’m at work atm

spice spire
#

I went through dark channels to get mine

oak sky
vestal wren
#

yes

limber lion
#

oh okay have fun

vestal wren
#

3 times

limber lion
#

make those gains

#

monetary gains

spice spire
#

3rd was the charm for me

violet hemlock
vestal wren
#

we have 2 warriors

spice spire
#

We run heroic halo Monday NODDERS

slow marsh
balmy condor
#

No

slow marsh
#

and some nachos

spice spire
#

Monk - warrior - 2 rogues

vestal wren
#

one of them has a fucking mythic weapon, 2 mythic tier sets iirc and 2 heroic

balmy condor
#

That’s the food court not my problem

vestal wren
#

thats like... 👀 nice

spice spire
#

Yo @balmy condor can I get a pair of 14s tho

limber lion
slow marsh
#

ZAMNM 14s

muted ivy
spice spire
#

Big feet homie

vestal wren
spice spire
#

Pops got the 15s tho

oak sky
#

Bro half my guild has alts with tier

limber lion
#

luckernoob

vestal wren
#

but i am happy that both of our warriors have full set

oak sky
#

So fucking annoying

vestal wren
#

means i might get sth traded again in normal

spice spire
#

Ty papi

balmy condor
#

We carry up to size 18

slow marsh
#

wow

oak sky
#

You bigfoot lookin ass mfs

spice spire
slow marsh
#

im reporting you for refusing service to a white male

spice spire
#

I played ball with a pair of twins that wore 16s and 19s

spice spire
bleak sky
fleet anchor
limber lion
#

only r4 speed

#

:(

oak sky
#

Oh did the stream happen

spice spire
#

Yeah they were some big boys.

slow marsh
#

am sad i dont get to play the pantehon prog tonight

bleak sky
#

next reset r1 speed

slow marsh
#

=\

spice spire
bleak sky
spice spire
#

Or whatever that officer said to push that one time

limber lion
bleak sky
#

ok so maybe not

oak sky
fleet anchor
spice spire
limber lion
#

to many padders

#

too

#

:(

spice spire
#

The darkest of techs

slow marsh
#

oximorons the lot of them

fleet anchor
#

2 buttons is hard

oak sky
#

Haha bp go brrr

slow marsh
#

its like DH's complaining about eyebeam rng

#

like my guy

fleet anchor
#

Although the redesign of Pantheon is probably worse for Sub

slow marsh
#

you literally press 6 buttons for your entire rotation

fleet anchor
#

28% less DPS in P3

#

More of the fight 2T

bleak sky
spice spire
#

“Guys, I pressed storm in a pack, what should I do next?”

oak sky
#

Oh they made you able to overpush on pantheon right

bleak sky
#

ye

slow marsh
#

that why i made my hunter my main alt not my dh

fleet anchor
#

Pantheon was changed to 40% push now yes

slow marsh
#

once i found out that meta cdr was a joke

spice spire
bleak sky
#

meta isn't even a cd anymore

kindred rapids
# balmy condor *or you could just replace people with a better token and not rely on luck but a...

Okay I'll bite. Lets say you have a raid of 5 of each token class. What is your probability of looting at least one mystic token? 1 - (15/20)(14/19) = 44.736%. Now lets say you add one more zenith player to the raid, how does your probability to loot at least one mystic token change? It is now 0.9(1 - (16/21)(15/20))+0.1(1-(16/21)(15/20)(14/19)) = 44.360%. So if you drop that extra zenith player, congrats, you've increased your probability of looting a mystic piece by a whopping 0.375%. In the meantime you've also reduced your chances of looting 2 or 3 mystic tokens. Not really worth excluding players over for 99% of guilds.

oak sky
#

Was it ever a cd

spice spire
#

You’re a survival main now

fleet anchor
slow marsh
bleak sky
#

oh yeah for sure

#

but for raid it kinda stinks

#

and 3:15 cd in keys dead

slow marsh
spice spire
viscid spear
#

Missed a Shroud in ToP CryBoy

oak sky
#

If they steal 5p

#

Its useless

gusty adder
#

what stats do we value on guardian? (and how do you guys sim for guardian?) :b

kindred rapids
#

that's what I'm saying, assume that extra zenith player is a dead piece

slow marsh
#

crit mast

kindred rapids
#

that's how the math changes

bleak sky
slow marsh
hollow river
limber lion
#

damn ya'll are cray

gusty adder
#

Aight, first night here, just wanted to prep accordingly :>

oak sky
#

Also yeah bro why the essay

slow marsh
#

you're good

subtle tundra
spice spire
hollow river
bleak sky
limber lion
muted ivy
#

DONT BITE

balmy condor
slow marsh
#

Cev is a musician not a mathematician. Can't be talkin probabilities and stuff

balmy condor
#

I said replace and you just added a player and said look probability small

#

I actually

#

Do not have enough time in the day

#

To vent my anger

kindred rapids
#

I've also said from the start that adding more players that can trade the tier you want is the only thing that really matters.

slow marsh
#

People still arguing over trying to get 4p these days?

kindred rapids
#

But that removing players does not really help.

subtle tundra
#

good soup

limber lion
balmy condor
#

I said you should REPLACE players on dead slots

next dune
balmy condor
#

So you can trade more pieces in slots you need

oak sky
#

If i dont get tier next week im actually quitting

bleak sky
oak sky
#

Cant deal with having to wait 1 more week for catalyst

oak sky
#

Have fun all your parses will be 1 place higher everyone

muted ivy
#

jk ily GWcmeisterPeepoLove

spice spire
ember mural
slow marsh
kindred rapids
subtle tundra
#

eyo

#

wtf

#

my mom

#

...

#

isnt a public domain

muted ivy
#

penis

oak sky
#

Its great guys my OT arc is coming soon

subtle tundra
#

she has prices

oak sky
#

(Off topic)

bleak sky
limber lion
oak sky
#

Lmao xd acquisition only affects rwf lol

viscid spear
#

I don't recall Manwich being a stubborn troll, it's bizarre

muted ivy
#

not like it's a huge dps gain or anything kekl

kindred rapids
ember mural
kindred rapids
#

There's no reason to replace.

alpine latch
#

Is anyone here pushing reasonably higher keys as Sin? 25+?

muted ivy
#

STOP

limber lion
#

there isn't a single +25 key completed as sin

#

so probably not

alpine latch
#

I didn't look, sorry 😦

viscid spear
bleak sky
#

and varas is playing sub

alpine latch
#

bah

#

I was really, really hoping Sin would get better in m+ this tier

limber lion
#

Sin is fine

slow marsh
#

i mean it is better than last tier

bleak sky
#

same place as last tier I guess

#

not suited for high high keys

alpine latch
#

I mean, yeah - I know that. But my group is still going to tell me to go Sub because it's just better

bleak sky
slow marsh
#

but everyone else also got better except outlaw so

oak sky
slow marsh
#

grats we went from 3rd spec in m+ to 2nd

oak sky
#

Nah blade flurry got buffed bro outlaw is saved

alpine latch
# bleak sky is your group doing 25s?

That is our goal, yes. At least 1 timed 25 this tier. The highest we did last year was 20s but we also didn't even really attempt higher than that

bleak sky
viscid spear
signal pier
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did a 20PF as a sub, and had a sin in my grp, we rolled the dung

alpine latch
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I think we may have failed a 21, maybe 2. But the highest we timed were 20s

bleak sky
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idk

spice spire
alpine latch
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Yeah, I know I can always wait. I almost have 2500 as Sub so I'm knocking out 2500 on Sin immediately after

limber lion
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I +2'd a 20 SD

alpine latch
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I want to pick up the Sin leggo anyway because I want to be able to swap for bosses when I need to

limber lion
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and I was top dps

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so it's probably fine

alpine latch
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Yeah but you're legit one of the best rogues there are

bleak sky
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at 20 stuff still just dies anyway

signal pier
alpine latch
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I'm like 73% of you on my best day

limber lion
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Yeh true, but even then it's just to show that the higher you go with a coordinated group, the better your odds are that you'll get more value out of assa

muted ivy