#rates for dupes are higher than new characters
1 messages · Page 1 of 1 (latest)
Anyone reacting with the clown face care to explain their perspective?
I would love to refute your argument
you can't refute the argument, you are making an assumption since nor you or anyone else have a way to validate if the % in the game is what it says it is
if you think a sample size of 1 proves your point you are a clown, no discussion needed
so you can see it in two different ways:
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they do in fact make dupes more likely for whatever reason (it does not benefit them nor the players and it is a crime to do false advertisiment)
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they do not make dupes more likely and that is how % works in real life
there are other cases of people getting the same dupes multiple times in a row
If you pulled 14 characters on average you should end up with 10.8 different ones.
You got 11.
Even if the sample size of 1 argument had any ground to have, you got slightly luckier than average.
there are other cases of people getting no dupes at all
you get how that sounds right?
i havent seen a case like that at all lmao
You can try to read this for a relevant probabilistic quirk https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem
The odds of getting dupes are a lot higher than people think, because the pull of units is so small
In probability theory, the birthday problem asks for the probability that, in a set of n randomly chosen people, at least two will share the same birthday. The birthday paradox is the counterintuitive fact that only 23 people are needed for that probability to exceed 50%.
The birthday paradox is a veridical paradox: it seems wrong at first glanc...
ahh ok thx
if you pulled 14 characters total, the number of different ones is expected to be 25*(1-(24/25)^14) = 10.8
You literally got an average result
yeah no worries, im just saying i got 3 dupes on the same character
yeah, it's random how it will go, some will get 3 of one, some will get p2 on three different ones, some will get 2 + 2
some will get 4 dupes instead of three
on average it's around 11
ive gotten 4 dupes
also the odds aren't exactly equal across the board so the math isn't exact
as I've said, it's counteintuitive to the point where people who got lucky feel like they got unlucky, because we misassess the chance
true, lds have slightly higher chance to be pulled which makes (assuming fair gacha) the odds of pulling dupes slightly higher
fair enough, i forgot about the birthday problem.
i saw someone in chat say the last 3 ssrs they pulled was freya
I don't have kloss if that makes you give up on the conspiracy theory
and I have pretty much every other ssr
I think I have p2 kloss
Only L/D I'm missing is SSania and it's pain
I am missing Mio and a few random SSR's that I don't care about, only one that matters is Kloss
hopefully it won't take too long for them to release a red or blue similar unit 🥲
I have P4 Doki though yaaay
yeah its rough but
i think there should be a better way to get the characters you want
i get 8 copies in a row of lingluo!! 1 in the ssr ticket!
I feel that the problem is that very few characters can do specific content
like 2/3 of SSR's are maybe only useful on PvP once we can afford the luxury of building multiple characters
not having Kloss really hurts
there are other 3-4 units that feel the same way
I feel so bad for those who picked tiamat in the selector
i really doubt that
but feel free to show proof
agreed
So far every char I pulled except Massiah and Dokidoki who were the last ones and I got lucky there geting em close. Vur so far every char I got was 2 or 3x
I got Lily x2
I got other lighr one forgot name x2
So it is a bit weird that out of all this other chars, i pull 9 dif ssr
And 7 have 1 or 2 const
And 2 are LD
What is the ods of same LD going 2x
I got 3 copys so far
I picked Tsukiyo on selector
As Kloss i got 2x
Then day after i get tsuki
🤣
Thats why I was so so happy past 2 days, cos I got new chars and not juat any new chars 🤣
god damn

Sitting on my 4 Mio dupes in a row before finally getting a new character
Just waiting for my 5th and last Mio dupe before maxing her out 🗿
Can I have that? 😅
and after 5th dupe get another one and enjoy only the coins

you deleted the OP so i can't clown it so im just gonna clown the first comment i can find
