Halloween Popper Chances 2025

[proud pagoda]

Here is the revised edition of the Halloween popper drop rates after somebody pointed out I was missing the Cauldron from my previous list https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/894303588556357692/1430325867141398670/image.png?ex=68f95e44&is=68f80cc4&hm=b46a46fcf62a6e26f149f19a58aa276b3c202bef92674e8f172e754b36f5f3b6&=&format=webp&quality=lossless&width=584&height=814

As a side note, you get an extra x1.17 value to your candy by gambling

Meaning if you bought 100k worth of poppers, you can expect to have 117k worth of rewards

If you're wondering why Halloween Horror is 125k even though its price is 75k now, Hoofer said that it still uses the old price

I did use the new price for the expected value for the poppers though

[glossy folio]

Out of curiosity, how did you calculate the weight and chances of each item?

[proud pagoda]

Hoofer gave us the formula: Weight = (1/(Item.Price^0.5)), then the chance can be found by (item's weight/total weight) x100

[glossy folio]

I see, do you mind if I use this for the item's page on the Miraheze wiki?

[proud pagoda]

Sure, go ahead

[glossy folio]

Thanks

[proud pagoda]

Happy to help, it's good to get more information out there for everyone to use

Would you want me to DM you copy of the table?

[glossy folio]

sure

[proud pagoda]

I've sent you it now

[dim smelt]

@mighty stone did this madman get this right?

if so thank you for doing us all a favor

[vocal hill]

I knew gambling paid off

[proud pagoda]

I didn't believe it, I had to calculate it before I would even think about it

Now I can say you get an extra 17% of value by gambling

[vocal hill]

Proof I'm not delusional

[proud pagoda]

Proof that I am for doing this

There's the exact message Hoofer sent, click on the time to take you to the message if you want to see it in Oak General

[fierce rain]

@proud pagoda needs updating thehalloween horror is 75k now

[proud pagoda]

I had it at 75k before, but Hoofer said it uses the old price, so I changed it

[ruby apex]

its closer to 100% fabric for me

[proud pagoda]

The total of the 4 wallpapers add up to 34.48%, so about 1/3 poppers give you wallpaper

[sharp cedar]

average industrialist player

[proud pagoda]

I love calculations

[sharp cedar]

cool, how your progress in industrialist?

im still selling gearbox

[proud pagoda]

Erm

[sharp cedar]

nice

[olive prism]

This is not truth: I got 2 gargoyles and 2 maloyseum keys from 27 poppers. Maybe I am lucky, but this is not truth.

[proud pagoda]

I think you just got lucky

Quit while you're ahead

[olive prism]

I am going to open 51 more now, so Ima tell what I get later

2 boxed spiders, cauldron, headstone, gravestones, tombstones, hallow woods, blood moon rising, coffin and trash

[ashen seal]

Mind dm’ing me a copy? @proud pagoda

[proud pagoda]

Sure thing, I'll do it now

[proud pagoda]

I know more about the chances than Hoofer

[woven spruce]

a

[shrewd cedar]

Guys i can hit the grudgula chance trust

[proud pagoda]

99% of gamblers quit before they win big

[fierce rain]

i got a manor key out of a popper from the daily popper like 2 days ago 😭

[proud pagoda]

Keep on gambling, you'll get your grudgula soon enough

[fierce rain]

ive grinded cobwebs to get 2 and got 2 and sold 1 for 2.7m so uhh

[proud pagoda]

But have you got one from the poppers yet?

[ashen seal]

Sir I have 901,075 candy to my name (ik so little) would it worth grinding poppers to get grudgula or just grind the other 98k

Cause the bright side poppers give you free stuff

Down side very very low chance of grudgula

[proud pagoda]

If I did my calculations right, you should get 17% more candy value when gambling poppers than buying stuff for candy

Only downside is you'll get a lot of wallpaper and other cheap stuff

[ashen seal]

Then I’ll have a lot of wallpaper to sell

More monies for mi

[ashen seal]

So Thas a “gamble poppers” answer?

[proud pagoda]

That midset will get you far, gamble away

[proud pagoda]

Yep

https://tenor.com/view/cat-gambling-gambler-gif-572068894331490223

[ashen seal]

I’ll keep you updated time to spend my hard earn money (luckily I have still have trees on standby when I go poor )

[proud pagoda]

If you get the grudgula before you spend all your candy, be sure to quit while you're ahead

[cosmic fractal]

600k down and no grudgula

[proud pagoda]

Keep on gambling

[cosmic fractal]

https://tenor.com/view/chuckles-im-in-danger-ralph-wiggum-the-simpsons-gif-14149962

[ashen seal]

@proud pagoda money well spent now I open for the next 100 years

I spent every candy

I got 775 left :).

[proud pagoda]

Oh my goodness, that is so many poppers

Good luck!

[ashen seal]

Guess my gambling results

[proud pagoda]

400 wallpapers, no grudgula

[ashen seal]

Miles wrong

[proud pagoda]

Gambling pays off

[ashen seal]

I did get 2 keys but as I grabbed one it went through the floor..

[proud pagoda]

That's about 1.4 mill worth of candy, so you got like 50% more by gambling

[ashen seal]

Would you like to see the pile of rubbish?

[proud pagoda]

Yeah

[proud pagoda]

Geez, that's a lot

Should I go all in?

[ashen seal]

Yes

Spend as much as you physically can

That’s what I did

[proud pagoda]

I'll see how it goes

There needs to be a better way to buy poppers

I wish we could buy a slot machine for our plot to pay 2k to automatically buy and open a popper

I would pay Robux for one

I need to take the 400k of poppers back to my plot before I buy any more, my sellner's physics is starting to fling stuff out

I'm finished 🎉

It's gambling time

[ashen seal]

Have funnn

Lmk the results

[proud pagoda]

Here is the pile of everything, I'll filter out all the worthless stuff and see what I'm left with

I don't think I got a grudgula though

[ashen seal]

RIP

[proud pagoda]

@ashen seal This is what I'm left with

I still have a chance of getting grudgula from the poppers I got from the poppers

[ashen seal]

🔥

Atleast your 2 keys survived lol

[proud pagoda]

Nothing of value from those last 6 poppers lol

[ashen seal]

Gonna take me years to sort out my mess

[proud pagoda]

Storage drawers are so convenient

I just need another four to sort out my vinyls

[ashen seal]

I is very poor:( 653k poor to be exact no one wanna buy grudgula or my hoofer tomb + stocking or kinder set

Me no able to afford drawers

[proud pagoda]

Should've farmed suiratcal while it was still good 💔

[ashen seal]

I couldn’t be bothered with the drive lol

[proud pagoda]

It sucks that it's been nerfed too much now

[ashen seal]

Ye

[proud pagoda]

Like I got why it got nerfed, but I think it has been nerfed too much for it to be comparable to things like sapphire

[ashen seal]

Is sapphire even that good anymore?

[proud pagoda]

I honestly don't know

[ashen seal]

It ranks tenth today at 12mil sold

Suffered a 200mil nerf since it released

Went from 200mil+ sold in a day to 12mil

[proud pagoda]

Geez

[ashen seal]

Sui still out ranks magma though by 5mil

[proud pagoda]

I guess suiratcal is still worth farming because it is the top money thing sold

[ashen seal]

Even though it’s difficult to get
I’ll probs just uhhhhhh figure out something

ATM my only worry is candy

[proud pagoda]

I guess I'll keep farming suiratcal after the event ends, I've never liked the magma caves

[ashen seal]

Fair enough

Anyways I shall go sort my massive gamble mess out then uhhh gamble more when I make more

[proud pagoda]

Who says you need to clean it up?
You can always just get more candy then add more to the existing mess

[ashen seal]

Fair point

[proud pagoda]

I have a little bit of catseye I can sell

80k, not too bad

[ashen seal]

I uhh saved a hallow tree and 12 spider trees

[proud pagoda]

Keep on gambling, you'll get that grudgula soon enough

[white turret]

I love telling people to gamble

[proud pagoda]

99% quit before winning big

[white turret]

For reallllllll

[proud pagoda]

I'm down 100k worth of candy, but I'll make that back once I get the grudgula

I just need to buy a few more poppers

[white turret]

True that i love gambling only down 2m on poppers but i can make it back 💪

[proud pagoda]

Keep on gambling, you only need 2 grudgulas to make it all back

[vocal hill]

I'm looking for a key

[proud pagoda]

I've got two keys from the poppers now

[vocal hill]

I've gotten none

Rarest thing I've gotten was gift of crystallized goods

[proud pagoda]

How many poppers have you opened?

[vocal hill]

Like 100

[proud pagoda]

Why did none of y'all tell me Christmas poppers existed before?

Now I have another spreadsheet to make

[vocal hill]

Those contained any item

Literally any item in stores

[proud pagoda]

Yeah, I know, it'll just be a more annoying version of this one

I've already checked with Hoofer, the formula is the same

[torn onyx]

? Only Christmas I thought

[proud pagoda]

Nope the Christmas poppers have any cash item for sale

[torn onyx]

dang

i have like 40. should i gamble them

[smoky atlas]

Thanks dude

[torn onyx]

i got 500k candy now

[torn onyx]

0

I have grudgula now

[proud pagoda]

I gave it some colour and formatted it a bit better

[timber forge]

Istg I get everything but what I actually want(I want wallpapers)

[proud pagoda]

Did some more changes

[warm axle]

how much poppers i need to buy to obtain grudgula?

[coral venture]

too many

[warm axle]

like 200?

[timber forge]

think thousands

[warm axle]

like 1.5k?

[timber forge]

think even more

[warm axle]

5k?

[timber forge]

maybe could be more

[warm axle]

7k?

@timber forge

[proud pagoda]

Around 1,111 poppers to get grudgula

[timber forge]

I’ve opened like 3k and haven’t gotten one💔💔

[warm axle]

ok thanks

[torn onyx]

Bro just buy it

Anyways what are thr chances to get popper 6 times in a row and then a grudgula

Using the popper you got from thr popper

[white turret]

I opened 7 and got it 🤣

[proud pagoda]

You had some amazing luck

[white turret]

Fr

[ashen seal]

B

[ocean mountain]

my first 2 poppers were both gargoyles

i didnt know you could get stuff like the grugdula though

[gritty ibex]

Hi, does anyone know if there will be Halloween items in them after Halloween?

[white turret]

Yea you can still open them after the update has finished

[proud pagoda]

Halloween Popper Chances 2025

[proud pagoda]

We shouldn't be needing this much longer, I'll stop bumping it after this