┆⚾・baseball

[acoustic zephyr]

Can *

[rose raptor]

Hell nah Morton☠️

wtf

[jolly shell]

Morton wanted to take a day off today

[amber wren]

Chalked ranger k

Chalk chalk chalk

Just needed 1 this inning

Couldn’t even get that

I don’t he’s gonna play anymore innings either

[minor kelp]

bombcolttt

squarezz

[amber wren]

Is it possible for Ranger to play another inning?

Or he done?

[vocal spindle]

Pablo selling now too

[soft ether]

he's already at 83 pitch count

im hoping he plays 1 more inning and gets 1 K

need it for FS

[vocal spindle]

And now Houck is selling

Nvm score was off an error

But now it’s 1 out with someone in scoring position so he’s cooked

[amber wren]

If ranger gets 3 k’s next inning ill go crazyyy

If he plays*

[rose raptor]

He’s fine for now

J needs to bounce back

[silent quest]

ranger sold me for $125

[rose raptor]

Dawg, torres getting a single sold me $2500

[silent quest]

lord

[lean dust]

Are the Phillies gonna take the lead for us

[soft ether]

you went with K's and not FS huh

[amber wren]

U guys got any good plays for the next couple of games

[amber wren]

Yes im so dumb idk why i did k’s

[lean dust]

I did both :/

With u on one

[amber wren]

😞

[soft ether]

philly winning, 5 points there, need no more runs and suarez FS should cover

[lean dust]

Phillies took the lead

🤞

🤞

[amber wren]

Should I do lance lynn under fp?

[lean dust]

Got pulled so should be good

[soft ether]

yeah we need the philly win and he'lll barely cover 34

[lean dust]

🤞

[minor kelp]

fuck bru i should of picked FP

he sold 3 of my parlays

[lean dust]

I need Pablo to get his stuff together

[lean dust]

This will hit if Pablo straightens up

[soft ether]

i meann K was still a good play before the game started

[minor kelp]

cashedd

just need lynn and canning to not sell

[amber wren]

I’m so down bad

NOOOOOO

I MADE A MISTAKE

[minor kelp]

derrick white

…

[amber wren]

I CHOSE LUKA INSTEAD OF SHAI

[minor kelp]

of

lmfwo

[amber wren]

NOOO

[quiet pendant]

Morton pulled

[amber wren]

CAM I GET IT FIXED

wait can I get this fixed

[storm flame]

4/5 ugh

[soft ether]

send to support and see

still dont like white at 22.5 points tho bud

[lean dust]

Sadly no

I know it’s early but Pablo prolly chalked

[vocal spindle]

Every single bet I had chalked

[amber wren]

Frick man

[vocal spindle]

Nice

Lost so much money today

Surprised Ranger got pulled

[amber wren]

Bro he’s already at 15 rn

[vocal spindle]

But Pablo would’ve chalked me anyway

[soft ether]

either way i pray for u to hit

[lean dust]

Need his fantasy for 90$ and SO for 30$

Safe to say they gone

[rose raptor]

Another ez 6x

[amber wren]

Thanks bruv

[pallid dove]

thats not 6x right?

i coulda swore i saw suarez 5.5 hits lowered payour

[rose raptor]

Nah it’s def a 6x

I took it last night

[soft ether]

i think they changed the odds earlier today

[rose raptor]

Yeah

Odds shifted juice towards the under

[empty moss]

yessuhhh

[quiet pendant]

No shot he gets a no hitter

[dusk vortex]

Luka triple double chalking you

[lean dust]

Aaron judge on one today

[quiet pendant]

We’ll see

[lavish island]

Hope both of them don’t chalk

[round obsidian]

Lance Lynn under or over fantasy?

[lavish island]

Nvm chalked

[dapper vale]

Is tanner houck and Taji Bradley out for the rest of the game?

[ebon prism]

Griffin chalked

😭

Anyone know what the multi woudl be on this😂

[soft ether]

ranger chalk damn

[acoustic zephyr]

Y'all think this gonna hit

[lavish island]

I think tanner not coming back but idk

[minor kelp]

yoo

i js won 800$

[dapper vale]

On what?

[minor kelp]

dubsss

[dapper vale]

How much you had betted?

[minor kelp]

40$

[lean dust]

We getting one more out of Pablo

[edgy shore]

What about Logan over 4.5 ?

[dapper vale]

Good shit✅

[lavish island]

Dam u posted that ?

[minor kelp]

nahh i js guessed ngl

💀

[lavish island]

Dam u lucky

[dapper vale]

That’s crazy 😭

Lucky asl

[minor kelp]

im tellin tall these 1st inning under runs be hittin

past 3 days never dissapoited me

[round obsidian]

This chalk ?

[storm flame]

Someone homered

[round obsidian]

Yea Lynn trash

[storm flame]

These old pitchers gotta stay home and watch their kids man

Charlie Morton and lance lynn

Smh

[lean dust]

Lynn gave up a homer, fuck Man U we’re close

[minor kelp]

waitiwat

holy fuck

[lean dust]

The first inning wasn’t done yet

[minor kelp]

oh shi i js realized

🤦🏿‍♂️

fuckkk

[lean dust]

So close to a stack man

Nice card tho 💯

[dapper vale]

Did you flex it?

[lavish island]

Tell me you flex

[minor kelp]

nahh

damn suarez chalked me hard im@broke

[ebon prism]

Can anyone tell me how much I’m finna win😭

[lavish island]

Just wait for the payout

[ebon prism]

Ik but I’m just curious

[lavish island]

It complicated

[lean dust]

I’m assuming voids down to a 3 leg 6X but not positive

[ebon prism]

So it would be 6x then?

[lean dust]

I think yes cuz two will void,

With hitting even with prop

[ebon prism]

Yeah I just got it

I’ll take that still

Damn

[minor kelp]

damn

[stiff turret]

Me fr

[minor kelp]

squarezz

🫤

[stiff turret]

Google told me its sorry I'm stupid

[vocal spindle]

I didn’t hit a single slip today and the slate tomorrow is buns

[amber wren]

I might be gay

[vocal spindle]

Well looks like I’ll see yall Friday 😭😭

[quiet pendant]

They pulled him yes

W sweat

Wait nvm

I’m cooked

[finite dock]

@vocal spindle Maybe betting on batters is a method

[quiet pendant]

There goes my parlay

[pallid dove]

Man I js got sold by .5 outs smh

Im finna crashout

[lavish island]

Fucking L bro

[minor kelp]

bad day tdy

[lavish island]

How does that champion thing work

[lean dust]

I was wondering same thing, do u have to be in a certain state for it ?

[minor kelp]

its like everyone wins froma. prize pool

im in fl

so u cna get eithr more or less ur wxpected payput

i rlly hate it but 🤷🏾‍♂️

[lean dust]

Must be certain state laws

I’m in mn and don’t have that

Joe Ryan and glasnow that’s about it

[minor kelp]

yea fl bans it i think

so i have to do champions

[lean dust]

Makes sense wonder if they ever change

[minor kelp]

idek but i had to do the free version like 2 momths ago

and the max u could win is a 5 man parlay w 20$

[lean dust]

Straight terrible

[minor kelp]

yea..

the only good side is its free so

🤷🏾‍♂️

[quiet pendant]

Luka looking real good rn to me

[cosmic raft]

How bout those Phils

[tall creek]

Is he done?

Thank god

[fallen fable]

Anyone know how to tell what lever I am in this server 🤔

[dusk vortex]

Who cares. Your slip chalked anyway. so stupid

[quiet pendant]

I have multiple slips my guy

[vocal spindle]

Have fun with that

[acoustic zephyr]

Intentional walks count as a batters walk right?

[quiet pendant]

It’s okay lil bro

[normal sage]

ohtani fantasy cooked?

[dusk vortex]

Not a single person cares

[quiet pendant]

You okay lil bro your slip didn’t hit or sum?

[dusk vortex]

Yea I hope Kyrie breaks an ankle no cap

[quiet pendant]

Damn 😂😂😂 what you bet on

[dusk vortex]

Bro I bet his points past 3 games he chalked and cashed assist. So I take his assist today and sped only had 4 assist

Shit so cringe

Nice slip

[quiet pendant]

I was thinking about his assist too ngl

Yea kyrie idk rn I would take his under

He don’t really be playing on ball anymore

[dusk vortex]

All g. New day tmr

[quiet pendant]

Fr

[acoustic zephyr]

🔥

[stiff turret]

So many losers lately

[cosmic raft]

👀

[slender grove]

anyone got some good baseball picks i can tail

[finite dock]

Please take Christian Javier over 14.5 outs

I’ll do a little write up if you want

[vocal spindle]

This won’t be on UD

[slender grove]

yeah do that for me

[slender grove]

oh fr?

[vocal spindle]

They’re just gonna do a pepper for 15.5

They never do 14.5

[finite dock]

They might do 14.5 with like a .75 payout

[vocal spindle]

That’s rare and usually only for literal trash cans

I wouldn’t count on that

[finite dock]

How do the mets do at batting?

[slender grove]

andrew if you got a good baseball slip i can tail lmk

[finite dock]

Might take Walker over 17.5 but that banks that he only pitches like 15 times an inning

[finite dock]

Lot more on the board today. Yesterday just had to throw dumb shit together cause there wasn’t anything

[slender grove]

hmm so haven’t made one yet?

when you do send that through

[finite dock]

Not yet. Not a lot on the board right now but linemate says there is a lot of good stuff today.

[slender grove]

bet so if you place anything just dm ur slip

[finite dock]

yeah fasho

[minor kelp]

ngl bro im not betting today

these shits ass

[vocal spindle]

Yeah this board is straight terrible

people can be in here tryna cook if they want but I won’t be one of em

fading this whole bummy slate

[minor kelp]

na fr

[dire crown]

Quintana under Ks and gladnow over Ks

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow is at 8.5 Ks

Insane

Worst part is I’m still taking it if fantasy don’t drop

[dire crown]

8.5 ks ain’t much I think he hits it fairly easy well hopefully

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow the only pitcher who hasn’t fallen apart so far

[minor kelp]

merch im taking under

[vocal spindle]

On glasnow?

[minor kelp]

yup

ong if i hit every owes me 10$

[vocal spindle]

I slammed his over

If he chokes against the reds… at home…. Yeah he might not wake up tmrw

[lean dust]

Joe Ryan fantasy points ?

[minor kelp]

not makin this same mistake w him like suarwz

either i take under or i take his fp

[vocal spindle]

If pfaadt can put up 49 fantasy points against the reds without a win, than glasnow better be able to put up 43 at home while the reds are traveling today. Especially when the dodgers haven’t left California since the beginning of May

[vocal spindle]

I took over on fantasy

[lean dust]

No way steele gets 29.5 for cubs does he ?

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow is an ace, Suarez isn’t

Suarez was just playing great.

Glasnow is great

Think like PJ Washington during this series vs OKC

Except Ranger did it the first 10 games of the season and was leading cy young candidate

[lean dust]

@vocal spindle Joe Ryan over on fantasy today? And Steele under fantasy ? What you think?

[vocal spindle]

I think I’m not betting today 😭

I booked both my specials with glasnow fantasy and withdrew everything else

slate for every sport is buns

[lean dust]

If you were to bet would u just stay away from Ryan since Yankees smacked up my twins last night

[vocal spindle]

No

[vocal spindle]

I’m staying away from the entire slate

I wouldn’t touch any of these dudes

On my reverse diddy type stuff

[lean dust]

Hahaha understood loud and clear! Yankees have and always will be the twins big brother

[minor kelp]

dayum gladnow at 8.5??

[vocal spindle]

Can’t even bet on a 2 man, bc you got glasnow and then cherry bombs and randoms

Best off just pairing Tyler with a nba alt line

[vocal spindle]

Kinda low tbh

[minor kelp]

i have steele for under then 6 ks

[minor kelp]

u taking his fp or ks

[vocal spindle]

Ima make yall some betting cheat sheets real quick

[vocal spindle]

Fantasy

[minor kelp]

bet

[vocal spindle]

the way I see it, if he goes over strikeouts, he’s cashing fantasy

[minor kelp]

wb this ^^ his last gamw against then he only had 3, pit r a good batting team right

[vocal spindle]

27 points off Ks, even if he strikes out every one of the first 9 batters to go over, that’s 36 fantasy points.

If he pitches even 5, dodgers are obviously gonna win if he has 9 Ks

47 without even pitching 6

55 if he does pitch 6

[lean dust]

Cooper over 3.5 strike outs? Hit the over last three

[vocal spindle]

There’s really 0 reason to take over 8.5 strikeouts. Take fantasy if you think he’s gonna get it, and if you think he’s gonna get it without cashing fantasy, then take over 1.5 first inning strikeouts for the pepper.

[lean dust]

What I did 🤷‍♂️ thinking about joe Ryan over fantasy points Steele under cooper over 3.5 strike outs for another card

[vocal spindle]

I did the same thing

I made a cheat sheet for yall

This is a tier list of offenses based on the current point in the season, accounting for momentum, current injuries, and recent play, not a tier list for the season so far as a whole or the season to come as a whole either

Teams are also ranked within their tier with top being the best and bottom being the worst

Rockies could honestly be higher as they’re the best team in the MLB over the past week, sleeping the reigning World Series champs and another top batting team while having no good pitchers

[gleaming hamlet]

I like the detail of the Away/Home for some of these teams that perform differently depending on where they are.

[minor kelp]

we needa pin

the rays rlly that bad 👀

[dry flare]

i trust jpierree did the math but rays feel more average to me. in the last two games they lost they still scored 10 runs

[vocal spindle]

Pitcher cheat sheet as well based off the current point in the season, left off injured players. The garbage cans were an addition for unders, I usually won’t take unders on pitchers depending on matchup except for a select few who I’d take an under on almost any day, like those dudes.

I’d put Eovaldi in nearly aces since he’s coming back soon

[minor kelp]

ong we need these pinned

[vocal spindle]

I was considering it, but rays are nearly a top 5 struck out team in the league with no slugging power, which makes it very hard for them to shell a pitcher. It was definitely a debate which is why I had them at the top of weak just short of average

[lean dust]

No Joe Ryan 🤞

[dry flare]

this is why i trust you

[sturdy kayak]

Whats the plays

[vocal spindle]

And in those 2 games, both starting pitchers shoved, Luis Gil who’s an above average pitcher which makes sense, but they also got shoved by pivetta. And for the most part pitchers have been performing above their average performance in their matchups vs the rays

[vocal spindle]

There’s some pitchers that are above average that just didn’t really fit into any of those 4 groups

Luis Gil and Joe Ryan being 2 of them

As well as bradish

[sturdy kayak]

Tailing

[lean dust]

I understand I’m a Joe Ryan fan, wish he was a little more consistent like his stuff

Minnesota boy here was tough to let berrios go by Ryan is good to

But

[vocal spindle]

I think Joe Ryan is borderline nearly ace level

[lean dust]

Totally agree maybe another year will be there young still to

[vocal spindle]

He’s very consistent with PO but he’s someone you have to pray doesn’t give up any runs and he can’t really do that

[lean dust]

Yup gives up the homer and or big hits occasionally, that’s his problem, has some nasty stuff tho

[vocal spindle]

Also haven’t seen him pitch against a good offense yet which doesn’t give me confidence in his questionable performances

I also couldn’t fit eflin into a tier

[lean dust]

They knocked down Ryan PO too .85 👎

[vocal spindle]

I don’t think he’s gonna trend upwards into being a future ace but I don’t have him at ace status or near it, same with Lorenzen, blanco, verlander, crochet, fedder, and Blackburn

[sturdy kayak]

Whats your play

[lean dust]

Will be a solid number two his career I’m thinking

[vocal spindle]

For the pitcher list, the players are only sorted by tier, not ranked within the tiers fyi

[vocal spindle]

I’m fading todays slate

Paired Glasnow fantasy with a promo and that’s it.

[vocal spindle]

Still worth at 17.5, I’d just be glad they didn’t bump to 18.5 and make it a pepper

[lean dust]

Cubs kinda suck anyway like jones props ?

Anyone *

[vocal spindle]

Just realized I left the cubs off the tier list

[lean dust]

Jones might hit his points or PO against them ?

[vocal spindle]

I’d probably slap them in the middle of average tier though, they’re a weird batting team, good batters but also get struck out a ridiculous amount

[vocal spindle]

I was gonna bet jones today but playing the same team twice in a week puts a pitcher at a serious disadvantage

[lean dust]

No pitching out just points and strike outs

[vocal spindle]

And especially with him now being the away team after being just eh while he was at home, I chose not to mess with him today

I think he escapes with under 2.5 earned runs allowed if you really wanna bet him

[vocal spindle]

Yeah it’s very important for a few teams, it affects all teams but some have negligible differences, but some teams are a completely different team when they get on the road. Rockies on the road would honestly be 2nd worst if it wasn’t for the Rockies being on a heater rn

[vocal spindle]

I like the value of that cooper pick

Sharp read

[lean dust]

Thanks man

He been smacking the over and rays strike out a lot

[vocal spindle]

With no betting today I got extra time to look at tomorrows slate

[lean dust]

Gonna be on Yankees not doing what they always do and smacking the twins around

[vocal spindle]

Elite board tomorrow

Hopefully Glasnow hits bc I don’t wanna deposit lol

[lean dust]

https://tenor.com/view/tyler-glasnow-dodgers-glasnow-gif-12263925693094208683

https://tenor.com/view/tyler-glasnow-dodgers-strikeout-los-angeles-dodgers-gif-8660619205778701037

Money glasnow 💰

[sturdy kayak]

I putting glasnow fp for my promo too bro

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow takes number 1 in cy young race if he has a good game today after Ranger was eh

Yamamoto played eh too so he has a chance to be team’s undisputed ace

and I’ve never seen a matchup for Glasnow that I don’t like

Surely glasnow fantasy gets bumped right?

[lean dust]

Got to they always do after the initial morning release

[vocal spindle]

He’s projected 7 positive Ks, and a 6 inning quality start. Which is 44 fantasy points

And dodgers are huge favorites

Dodgers have a near 80% implied probability of winning

The implied probability of Glasnow winning is above 70%

[sturdy kayak]

Is their glasnow po up

[vocal spindle]

It’s an 18.5 pepper

Personally I think Glasnow pitches a 7-8 inning QS today with 10+ Ks

And gets the win

[sturdy kayak]

Im prob going with bos/tb under 1st inning runs for my promo. Then cook up something with glasnow

[jolly shell]

None of these have multiplies but it’s only giving 9

Found it. It’s Clarke but they don’t have it beside his name

And no I’m not running this lol

[sturdy kayak]

What you running

Is bos/tb under 1st inning runs good?

[jolly shell]

Idk anytihing about the Boston out pitcher but should be

[rose raptor]

Bc both pitchers in the game with an over r correlated

So lowery payout

[azure nebula]

Shmidt lower fantasy?

[rose raptor]

Now that is an absolute donation

[acoustic zephyr]

Thoughts?

[lavish island]

Another 5 man??

[rose raptor]

Plz don’t

[visual crystal]

Glasnow over 8.5 so?

[jolly shell]

Oh Nvr done it before so didn’t know. Should have took it

[jolly shell]

I don’t think little goes 6 because of his pitch count. If u think he can pitch 6 with 90 pitches or less go for it

[jaunty crater]

I’m thinking about that they just took away his fantasy

[lavish island]

I did

[jaunty crater]

Glasnow fantasy bumped

[jolly shell]

Went over 18.5 at home 🫠

[jaunty crater]

Thinking about this @jolly shell

[jolly shell]

Me too. Think I’m going to run it with the promo for 15

[jaunty crater]

Yeah I think imma lock his PO in with this 5 man

[round obsidian]

Chalk nrfi for Yankees game

[drifting kernel]

joe ryan sucks

fr

had the nrfi

[jaunty crater]

Gave a home run up in the 1st already damn

[drifting kernel]

had it in 2 slips. one is a flex but one wasn’t

[lean dust]

She gone first at bat 👎

Which discount you guys like

[jolly shell]

Well Ryan ain’t pitching 6 lol

Nvr touching day games again

[minor kelp]

i picked the hockey one because i wanted to put jokic over 30

but jokic is the best ngl

[lean dust]

I should of took my own advice

[jolly shell]

Mine ain’t popping up for some reason

[lean dust]

I even said Yankees are the twins big brother

Yankees always kill us

[lapis bobcat]

@primal mountain

Whatchu think gramps?

[lapis bobcat]

My typa discount

[primal mountain]

https://tenor.com/view/american-psycho-американскийпсихопат-кристианбейл-american-psychopath-christian-bale-gif-17867735

[lapis bobcat]

Yayyyy

Who is Omar?

Omar betta get on a base

[minor kelp]

how muxh strikeouts ryan got

[mossy coral]

4

[primal mountain]

The Yankees need to switch Soto to a lower batting position

[twin socket]

He’s been batting 2 since he came up

[primal mountain]

I know....but he's just so inconsistent at 2....maybe move him to 5 or even 3

[blissful lichen]

you guys think that zack littell getting higher than 6.5 strikeouts

against boston

??

[lean dust]

Ryan gonna make it to 18 outs

[lean dust]

5 now did u bet over

[atomic otter]

Saw that the .5 stroke promo was leaving in 10 minutes panic clicked these two how fucked am I

[minor kelp]

ye

[lean dust]

Good call man, I’m hoping he hits 18 outs, u just need one more to void

[minor kelp]

hopefully bro

he probly will

[lavish island]

First green

[jolly shell]

Ryan got 30 pitches left to pitch 6 innings 😓

[past charm]

Is verdugo getting another hit?

Need to know

[lean dust]

Come on Ryan three more outs

Keep him out there

[jolly shell]

89 pitches Ryan come on pitch the 6th man

[rose raptor]

Anyone watching the live game? Was bullpen warming up?

[vocal spindle]

Oof Ryan not looking great

He has pitched as much as 104 this season so I’d say there’s some hope

Yall just gotta hope he gets put in for a partial inning and ends up getting quick outs and makes it to that 3rd at bat without getting pulled

Ryan fantasy points is done for tho

[jolly shell]

Should have just stuck with Clark for 16 damn

[vocal spindle]

I swear everytime a good pitcher goes under their PO, you look at the random against them and they’re on pace to go for 12 innings 😭😭😭

[jolly shell]

Imagine taking Ryan when he was .9x just to not hit

[vocal spindle]

He just got a 1 pitch out

[lusty socket]

I had a similar slip to that

[rose raptor]

Joe Ryan downfall needs to be studied

[vocal spindle]

Yall definitely got a chance

[vocal spindle]

If he can get this batter out in under 6 pitches he just has to win the last at bat

[jolly shell]

I can’t watch just update me lol

[lusty socket]

In play no out

[lean dust]

Two more outs Joe

[past charm]

Y’all think the golf discount gonna hit?

[jolly shell]

Damn he coming out then

[past charm]

I alr took it but im curious

[vocal spindle]

He gave up a double and now a mound visit

He’s prolly gone

[lean dust]

Torres double

[jolly shell]

lol knew it

[lusty socket]

He hasn’t gone over that line the whole year

[past charm]

Oh shit ight

[vocal spindle]

The fact that it’s a double ruins all chances of a gidp

[past charm]

😭

[vocal spindle]

Yeah he got pulled

[lean dust]

So stupid

[rose raptor]

Joe Ryan downfall needs to be studied

[jolly shell]

All u need is the Yankees to stop twins hot streak lol 3 game sweep

Meanwhile Clark going to pitch 7

[lean dust]

Our big brother

Have always kicked our ass

Going on like 20 something years

Everytime we make play offs Yankees beat us to

Like 3 straight

[vocal spindle]

Yankees are a pretty good offense so that makes it rough

[nimble dew]

Yo need plays?

[pliant gust]

Yankees been whooping on Minnesota since I was in middle school

[jolly shell]

Least they gave him a shot. Most of the time they don’t even come out and try

[finite dock]

How the asstros at batting?

[pliant gust]

Up and down. They can beat up on bad teams or pitches who make pitch to contact

They players give me PTSD I will say

[finite dock]

What bout the mets?

[lean dust]

For real dog I’m 28 been kicking our ass since Ron gardinhire days

[pliant gust]

They rally a lot so some of their batters going to have you sweating

[lean dust]

My three leg pga card to get promo tmrw

[lunar patio]

what u running family

[hasty patio]

Once a pitcher gets subbed out they don’t come back in right?

[pliant gust]

Yeah they done for the day

[past charm]

U think he’s allowing another hit?

[lunar patio]

@jolly shell

potd?

[finite dock]

????

[pliant gust]

It’s a pitchers day from the numbers I looked at

[finite dock]

Ion think the mets will give him hell they are decent at batting

[jolly shell]

Would have been Clark. Would say tyler but I’m not 100 percent sold on it. But I think he pitch 7

[lean dust]

Walker getting 4 or 5 strikeouts ?

[jolly shell]

Shiii I hope 5 today

I took it

[lean dust]

Thanks brother

[hasty patio]

😭💔

[jolly shell]

I posted it

[sturdy kayak]

Whos your fav pick on their

[jolly shell]

Javier or tyler pick your poison

[sturdy kayak]

Im staying off glasnow since he bumped and its a community play

[past charm]

I think Clark just got 7

[jolly shell]

Not surprising it was for 5

[lusty socket]

It’s a community play because he’s the best pitcher itl lmao

[lean dust]

Since Ryan ruined my first one 🤷‍♂️

[past charm]

I think Clarke getting subbed out

[vocal spindle]

No such thing as a community play in baseball

Essentially every baseball pick is a community play.

[delicate oriole]

Who else placed an in game bet on volpe right before he started playing like buns ✋🏾

AY CASH✅🤞🏾

[knotty bane]

Yall think Soto got this ?

[vocal spindle]

Judge is a home run machine these days

[lean dust]

We love that baseball

[past charm]

Clarke went under right?

[minor kelp]

ye

[past charm]

Lfggg

[vocal spindle]

I just need Glasnow to be Glasnow today

[primal mountain]

@dawn urchin I F'ING HATE BASEBALL

[dawn urchin]

SAME JOE RYAN IS TRASH

[finite dock]

Lock it in

[vocal spindle]

Can’t believe yall was really dropping units on this slate 😭

[finite dock]

Wym

The board is better than yesterday

There was nothing yesterday

[vocal spindle]

Wrong

Yesterdays board was loaded, players just didn’t come out to play how they normally do

Today’s board had a single ace and that was it.

Way less games, and nobody aside from that 1 ace really has a favorable matchup either

[finite dock]

There was one pitching out line that was over -145

[vocal spindle]

That doesn’t matter

Like at all.

[finite dock]

Yes it does if you are an odds better

[quiet pendant]

Ngl these games are pretty bad

[vocal spindle]

Odds for baseball don’t matter on underdog, way too many partial payouts and bumped lines.

It’s impossible to use odds to run a DFS beater if you’re using underdog for baseball.

You can do it with NBA and NFL

But baseball will never give you a high enough implied probability for the payout to be profitable

[finite dock]

I use a sportsbook

[vocal spindle]

At least not on UD

[vocal spindle]

Betting off odds on a Sportsbook isn’t a viable strategy.

The hit rate for a -145 line is going to have enough misses to offset the payout of a -145 line, which is why it’s at -145

[vocal spindle]

Odds betting is a DFS strategy

[minor kelp]

@vocal spindle dum ah jit 💀🤦🏿‍♂️

[vocal spindle]

I hate idiots 😭😭

I’m glad I’m not a moderator bc I would be purging all the idiots in the server 😂😂

[sturdy kayak]

criswell so and javier po good?

[primal mountain]

It wasn't too bad...I got one out of two

Of course, it wasn't a complete win

😭

[stiff turret]

I'm feeling confident

[lean dust]

Lets go man hope they close it out for you

[stiff turret]

I lost my woods bet with his 18th hole bogey

Pepehands

[finite dock]

Ehhh I can make a 4 play with like -140 -150 -145 -155 with a 6x payout only has to win 1/6 of the time to profit

[vocal spindle]

With the implied probabilities it’s going to miss enough times to break you even or put you negative

[vocal spindle]

And none of those odds are gimmes, you can get lines with those same odds on underdog if you know what you’re doing, yet only need a 3 play to get that same multiplier, which is why it’s a DFS beater

[faint chasm]

Tag me and block me while you’re at it

https://tenor.com/view/lebron-james-evil-lebron-satanic-freemason-gif-14954088308609579544

[quaint cypress]

Is this hitting

[finite dock]

How do you win on a sportsbook then and be profitable?

[vocal spindle]

Gotta find an edge

Sportsbook is more about ball knowledge, dfs is more about math.

[sturdy kayak]

are you confident in this

[lean dust]

The Houston athletics game makes me nervous

[sturdy kayak]

alright tailing the others than glooks

[finite dock]

@slender grove

[slender grove]

glooks

[finite dock]

Yall fw the write up?

Might start doing this

[sturdy kayak]

why does it say this

[vocal spindle]

Focus more on past matchups than hit rates, taijuan has only pitched against 1 team so far that isn’t bottom 5 in batting, and that was the padres with half their starting lineup benched.

[finite dock]

Mets are bottom 10 in batting

[vocal spindle]

Stuff like that is what’s actually important to a write up, baseball is all matchups

[vocal spindle]

I know.

I’m talking about your write up.

[finite dock]

Would that be nice to include in the write up?

That they are bottom 10?

[vocal spindle]

And although Mets aren’t good, they also aren’t bottom 10, although close to it

[vocal spindle]

Yeah

Focus on matchup strength compared to their performances against prior matchup strength

[sturdy kayak]

do you have one pick you like tonight?

i guess i cant combine combos

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow and nothing else

I only like Glasnow and 0.5s today lol

That’s why I didn’t bet

[finite dock]

Looks like they are struggling really bad vs Philly

[vocal spindle]

Everyone struggles bad vs Philly lol

They’re so good

[sturdy kayak]

is litell pitching outs good?

[vocal spindle]

They took away Glasnow fantasy points

It’s back

[vocal spindle]

For batter writeups, write about the opposing team’s pitcher, reds giving up hits is irrelevant to the line

For example, a pitcher like Skubal is gonna be on a team that surrenders a lot of earned runs and hits, but Skubal ain’t gonna do that, the rest of his pitching room just sucks, it’s more about the actual pitcher

[finite dock]

Do you know who’s pitching for the reds today?

Brent Suter?

[vocal spindle]

Yes

He’s usually a reliever so don’t know what to expect

Could pull a Soriano and be crazy

Or could get pulled after 1 inning

[finite dock]

Yeah i’m looking and he literally doesn’t play more than 2 innings

[vocal spindle]

Don’t go off that

Pitchers rarely play more than 1 inning when relief pitching

When a relief pitcher starts it’s a different story

Soriano was a relief pitcher and then went past 5 innings in his first start

[crisp turret]

That’s true 😂

[vocal spindle]

Same with this dude last night

He’s a reliever and then pitched 6 in his first start

And got a quality start

It’s a wild card

[crisp turret]

That’s how they be getting some people cause they know certain people will just look at the ip

[finite dock]

Do we know who the starting pitcher even is tho

[vocal spindle]

Yes

Brent Suter is starting

[finite dock]

He’s gaven up about 24 hits this season

[finite dock]

Do you know how to find how many games he’s started this season

Do you just look at the innings and if it is over 4 just consider it

[crisp turret]

Shid ESPN 😭

[vocal spindle]

He’s also pitched 17 games this season. And relievers a lot of the come in when a pitcher starts playing bad, especially on the reds, so a lot of these teams are already on a hot streak when he comes in, these are all things you gotta consider and include in your write up

[finite dock]

I’ll try to find the longest he has pitched

I’ll consider that a start

Because most of his games are 1ip

Okay so I don’t even think he has started this season because the longest time I could find that he played was 3.1 IP and he gave up 4 hits

If he plays 6 expect him to give up 10 because of fatigue towards the end of his play

[vocal spindle]

Yeah don’t do that

He hasn’t started this season, he’s a reliever.

[vocal spindle]

The last 2 relief pitchers to make their first start both went past 5 and gave up 1 hit and 4 hits.

That’s not a good strategy

Relievers typically get pulled after an inning no matter how good they are doing because relief pitchers play nearly every game

So don’t base it off that, not a good strategy at all

[finite dock]

Not good to include in the write up or not good to play?

[amber wren]

I haven’t been following y’all today what’s the pick of the day

Glasnow fantasy?

[finite dock]

https://tenor.com/view/roblox-gangster-yba-the-streets-vorachi-gif-21147048

[vocal spindle]

It’s not good to try and use that as information, the truth of it is there isn’t any information on him as a starter and that’s what’s important, those assumptions you were making were baseless and don’t help you

[crisp turret]

Basically since this is his first start of the season the stats that’s your looking at really don’t matter because none of those games he was the starting pitcher

[vocal spindle]

That’s why UD doesn’t have lines up for him

Bc no information

[amber wren]

Yo dude

What should I take

2 locks

[vocal spindle]

I didn’t bet today

Bc I didn’t even have 2 locks

[amber wren]

lol

[vocal spindle]

Todays slate was hot garbage

[amber wren]

how do u like glasnow

I needa pair my promos

[vocal spindle]

Withdrew everything this morning and saving for tmrw

I paired Glasnow with promos

[amber wren]

Ok

[vocal spindle]

But if I was you I’d take a NRFI or sum

[amber wren]

His fantasy right?

[crisp turret]

I high key wanna take him 😭

[vocal spindle]

Bc he’s been bumped a lot

[amber wren]

Ah ok

[vocal spindle]

I think Glasnow is gonna get like 60 fantasy points today

but don’t take my word for it

[amber wren]

Ok fuck it im taking glasnow idgaf

[vocal spindle]

lol

[finite dock]

I am willing to bet my life savings that Javier will hit (not literally)

Especially against the poverty As

They literally have an identity crisis

[amber wren]

How about peralta pitching outs it’s up rn

[finite dock]

That’s hood bro

[amber wren]

Or his k’s

[amber wren]

Fr?

His k’s look fine

Fuck it im going skubal even though it’s 0.75

[finite dock]

Take javier outs

[vocal spindle]

Yo they got tomorrow’s lines up already?

What the heck

[vocal spindle]

Skubal > Javier

[finite dock]

the data is impeccable on javier

and the matchup is perfect

[vocal spindle]

Skubal PO is better.

Javier pitched 1.1 innings against the poverty tigers last game

[pine cypress]

javi is better

[finite dock]

He got injured

[vocal spindle]

Any non ace can get shelled any day

[vocal spindle]

He had 50 pitches with 4 outs

He wasn’t injured he sucked

Even without injury he was on pace to pitch 2.2

Any non ace can get shelled on any given day

Skubal has a longer history of data and is a proven ace and has been for a while now.

I’d rather role with him any day.

[lean dust]

.75 is wild

[vocal spindle]

Respectfully, I don’t respect your opinion on this.

You’re an Arizona fan and Skubal is pitching against the diamondbacks

[lean dust]

Six strikeouts ?

[vocal spindle]

No bias there right?

[vocal spindle]

I love the 6 strikeouts

[finite dock]

Skubal has to play 6 full innings to cash

Too long

Especially against the matchup

[vocal spindle]

No offense, but wrong.

[finite dock]

How? Diamondbacks are one of the best batting teams in the league and he needs to play 6 complete innings to cash

[lean dust]

Ty

[vocal spindle]

Skubal has an 100+ pitch limit, hasn’t been shelled since July of last season, and has made it 6 innings with less than 80 pitches in 5 of his last 6 games.

And he’s an ace, so he has a longer leash and more room for error without getting pulled.

6 innings isn’t long either

He’s only went under once this season after coming back from a minor injury

[finite dock]

Are you assuming Javier won’t hit tho?

[vocal spindle]

He averages over 19 PO a game

[vocal spindle]

No I’m saying Skubal is way less risky and the implied probability is way higher

Every line either goes over or under. That’s a given, but a lot of lines have way less risk and variance to them which is what the aim is to bet on

[vocal spindle]

Diamond backs are NOT one of the best batting teams.

They’re slightly above average at best

[finite dock]

Javier is .85 and Skubal is .75 tho

[finite dock]

In a league full of Miami Marlins being slightly above average is good

[vocal spindle]

And I’ll take an ace against any team except dodgers, Phillies or orioles, every single time, before I even consider taking a cherry bomb regardless of the matchup

And I don’t even know if Javier is good enough to be considered a cherry bomb.

Honestly he isn’t, he doesn’t even have the upside of a cherry bomb.

[vocal spindle]

An ace beats a slightly above average offense way more than a cherry bomb beats any offense.

Way safer play.

Skubal has also played 2 top 5 offenses and went over against both.

[finite dock]

Javier has played the Rangers and Yanks and cleared

[vocal spindle]

Javier could hit, or he could not, but I’m trusting Skubal way before I trust Javier, the implied probability is way higher and the variance is way lower.

[vocal spindle]

And he also went under against the Detroit tigers.

Skubal hasn’t went under against a bottom 5 offense.

[vocal spindle]

It’s a numbers thing regardless, aside from my opinion, Skubal has a numerically higher implied probability to hit which isn’t arguable.

[finite dock]

Yeah, the implied probability of hitting isn’t arguable, the payout is.

I’m saying is it worth taking Skubal for a .75x multiplier when you can get Javier for almost .9?

LETS GOOOO I DIDNT KNOW I GOT MLB NETWORK

Windy night, favorable for Walker @vocal spindle

[vocal spindle]

If Javier is almost .9 then Skubal is almost 0.8

So that doesn’t help you

I’d still rather take Skubal over Javier regardless

0.1 difference for a way safer pick

[vocal spindle]

Walker ain’t doing too hot rn

Double play clutched up

[finite dock]

Really needed that

Couldn’t let him get 40

[finite dock]

I’ll take Skubal on a slip

The pitchclock makes baseball watchable I love it

[vocal spindle]

@lean dust cooper has 2 strikeouts in the first inning

Sharp read

[pliant gust]

Almost there

[lean dust]

Let’s go man! Thank you

[finite dock]

Bro Walker is getting too close with some of these

[pliant gust]

Tampa strikeout the 8th most

[finite dock]

Could have easily been 3 homers

This umpire is sharp

I haven’t seen a bad call

[lean dust]

Boston Tampa no scores first inning 👍

Two more games to go

[sturdy kayak]

Cash bos/tb under runs in the first

[finite dock]

How do you analyze NRFI

[vocal spindle]

Pitcher history on not giving up runs in the first, pitcher vs hitting team matchups, and batting lineups history with first inning runs

Dude cooper is getting real freaky on the mound rn😭

[finite dock]

BRO WALKER IS GETTING WAY TOO CLOSE

HE SHOULD HAVE GIVEN UP LIKE 6 HRS NOW

getting hella lucky

[lean dust]

Walker strikeouts making me nervous

[vocal spindle]

Taijuan gotta chill out on the mound

He needs to finish this inning under 70 pitches for Andrew’s PO to have a real shot

[sturdy kayak]

bang

[finite dock]

He’s gone bro

[vocal spindle]

Injury delay for taijuan

[sturdy kayak]

what yall think about this

[vocal spindle]

Taijuan got hit by the ball

Injured

[finite dock]

He’s done

Hope Draftkings reboots

[vocal spindle]

Yup

This is the part where yall go to #732956529950720131 and ask for pitcher rescues

[finite dock]

Omw

Draftkings just voids the play

Do you like this @vocal spindle

[drifting kernel]

is walker gonna get rebooted

[lean dust]

And pirates scored

[primal mountain]

Tajuan out....maybe Martinez can finally get 2 HRR

lol

[sturdy kayak]

steele screwed up my whole slip

[vocal spindle]

No

[finite dock]

Nah

Even tho PO should

Like he can’t hit it if he don’t play

[drifting kernel]

bro what that’s so dumb

i had him for over Ks

[vocal spindle]

I feel like if you’re gonna allow nfl players to get rescued, you gotta allow pitchers to get rescued, nfl players get injured way more than pitchers

[lean dust]

Injury’s lately so unlucky

Sucks no insurance for me either on Walker cards

[finite dock]

@vocal spindle ????

[vocal spindle]

I already gave my opinion on this

We had like a 15 minute discussion on it lol

[vocal spindle]

We might gotta start playing insurance on everything regardless how good a pick is, ejections and injuries been killing us

[lean dust]

I agree man, getting hit by a ball so unlucky

[finite dock]

The pair together tho

How u like it

Need answers @vocal spindle

[lean dust]

Cooper no strikeouts since the first 👎

[lavish island]

Is this chalked

?

[finite dock]

Is this your first time betting pitching outs?

[vocal spindle]

Cooper got torched

How he got 100 pitches

In the 3rd inning

[pliant gust]

He got so many 0-2 counts and then nothing but balls and fouls

[gleaming hamlet]

I had him over 3.5 SO, finished with only 3. RIP

[lapis bobcat]

Bruh Omar is sum shi

[vocal spindle]

Cooper chalked you anyway

[lapis bobcat]

It’s a flex homie

[vocal spindle]

Ohhh

Makes sense

[lapis bobcat]

Yuh

Omar shitty ass

[lavish island]

He not playing no more?

[minor kelp]

i needa win tn cuz im not depositin ong

[vocal spindle]

Got pulled a while ago

Had 100 pitches in the 3rd inning

[vocal spindle]

Swear

[lavish island]

Bruh so he not coming back ?

[vocal spindle]

I got one pick for $90 and if it doesn’t hit I’ll see yall in a week

[vocal spindle]

Players aren’t allowed to reenter a game under any circumstance

As soon as they get pulled they are no longer on the active roster

[lavish island]

Bruh this bitch

[vocal spindle]

They wouldn’t bring him back anyways he was getting bullied

[lavish island]

Couldn’t get 4 strikes

Always by one this thing is so rigged

[lean dust]

One off 👎

Any chance little goes one more inning

[vocal spindle]

Unfortunately not a chance

[lean dust]

Shoot, how’s ur three leg looking

[vocal spindle]

What three leg

[lean dust]

The 90$ card, my fault

[lean dust]

Needed this to hit

[soft ether]

littel at 91 Pitch count, dont think he throws another inning

[lean dust]

My fault ur 90 card? Shouldn’t of assumed three leg lol, I always do 3 leg 15$ for 90$ so it was in my mind lmao

[vocal spindle]

I don’t think he throws another pitch

[vocal spindle]

It’s just 3 promo 2 mans all paired with glasnow lol

[lean dust]

Let’s go that’s smacking

[soft ether]

thats good cause i have his under walks

[steady void]

need phillies bad rn

[azure nebula]

Wait my b wrong chat lols

[acoustic zephyr]

Thoughts?

[primal mountain]

If this game didn't go into extra innings...I wouldn't have gotten this...

[acoustic zephyr]

Damm

[rigid egret]

am i gonna lose if i put walker higher and he’s hurt?

[pine cypress]

Javi was so free

[upbeat nimbus]

Hopefully tomorrow is better

Past few days been getting sold

[vocal spindle]

Yes

[rigid egret]

gay

all of my shit hit except him

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow just gave up a home run

[steady void]

my god schwarber is so terrible

[vocal spindle]

First batter

[upbeat nimbus]

What you think @vocal spindle

[minor kelp]

mannn

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow is back

[vocal spindle]

I like it

Remember it is the Astros tho

[last storm]

mf scared me for a min

got glasnow for 8 Ks

he’s locked now

yo what the hell

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow just gave up another bro

Ain’t no way

[rose raptor]

They r ass

[last storm]

i need to be quiet

just jinxed the hel out bro

[minor kelp]

yo nah this crazt

[last storm]

crazy is i was lookin at elly earlier thinkin he wouldn’t get a hit

now he got a hit and a run

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow’s under 1.5 earned runs had a 60% probability

Went over in first inning

[last storm]

2Ks

[vocal spindle]

He’s fine, at least he got 2 Ks

[last storm]

6 more to go

[vocal spindle]

22 pitches isn’t bad

[last storm]

he’s gonna play at least 6 innings

[vocal spindle]

Hoping for 7

[minor kelp]

bru i took his fp

[vocal spindle]

Pitcher got pulled at 0.2 innings lol

[vocal spindle]

Same

[pliant gust]

He was only suppose to face the top of the lineup for lefty matchup

[oak orchid]

Gonna kms.

I had the combo on a 5 man and it was the last one.

And missed

Great even did the combo 1.5 runs 🤦🏻

Lower

[rose raptor]

Lock it in

[vocal spindle]

Yeah next time instead of betting on Glasnow ima just write underdog a check

Bro is getting outpitched by the reds bullpen

[lean dust]

Joker promo chalked mine with pitching outs 😂

Got fantasy points on other

With rahm promo

[vocal spindle]

I have ant Clark and rahm promo with fantasy

If he don’t turn up I might take a break for a week

Bc I got finals next week so idk how much I can work

[jolly shell]

Tyler really wanna do this tonight bro. Wow. Gotta throw like 10 k’s now

[vocal spindle]

Dodgers batting lineup is so bad too

Benched everyone today

5-9 is free outs

[jolly shell]

wtf why would u do that with your ace

Bro Sportsbook called

Javier killed today just for this to happen

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow goes up 0-2 on like every batter and then chokes

Good pitchers might be banned ngl

[jolly shell]

That’s crazy and pick all the trash pitchers 🤣😂

Is wheeler gone deal tmrw or what

[rose raptor]

Do not lock it in☠️

[vocal spindle]

Glasnow 3k inning but gave up a run

[jolly shell]

Has 6 damn ks but keep letting them score

[vocal spindle]

He really not gonna get a quality start or a win

Won’t even pitch 6 atp

[jolly shell]

6 innings and 10ks no more runs

Damn

[vocal spindle]

How you lose to the reds on a bullpen day

[jolly shell]

💀

[vocal spindle]

If they can get the win then we can be chill with 8 Ks

[jolly shell]

Wheeler Cortes fried cole Tarik tmrw

[dire crown]

They won’t pull him until the 6 or with 2 out in the 5tg

5th

[vocal spindle]

Bro came in for 3 pitches and then hit the showers

[obtuse grove]

How possible is that Glasgow can get 8 pitcher ks? ( I don’t know baseball )

[lean dust]

Skenes tmrw

[dire crown]

Very possible

One of the best pitchers in the game

[obtuse grove]

Ok ty 👍

[vocal spindle]

Only person on the dodgers with a hit is the dude with a .079 batting average

[dire crown]

So sad they playing like shit

[lean dust]

McKenzie nester

[lean dust]

😂😂

[jolly shell]

And I need it for PRIZEPICKS 🤭

[vocal spindle]

Mookie and Ohtani both can’t get a hit bruh

HES BACKKKKKK

5 PITCH INNING

https://tenor.com/view/wedding-season-owen-wilson-wedding-crashers-gif-583228367592658911

[jolly shell]

Quick inning

7 innings would be nice

Cin has went thru 4 pitchers and yal can’t get runs lol

[atomic otter]

the one day I bet on them

https://tenor.com/view/cat-shaking-head-gif-21797829

[vocal spindle]

Ima need Glasnow to start cheating 😭😭

Dodgers never give Glasnow any run help, last game he pitched 7 innings 10 strikeouts and they lost

[atomic otter]

If i don’t get back to 90$ tonight im balance this will be my last day for a while

Gonna cash the little profit id have left and call it good fun for the last month 😂

[sturdy kayak]

tommrow i need to go off

i got enough for 3 plays

[vocal spindle]

Yeah elly owns Glasnow

He just got his 4th stolen base

[pliant gust]

Elly think he Willie Mays Hayes

[vocal spindle]

He got more stolen bases than the dodgers have total bases as a team

[spark vault]

woah woah woah! Elly is him! lol elly prob better than whoever that is

[last storm]

just sweated out a .75 multiplier

thank you glasnow

[vocal spindle]

What does this even mean

[dire crown]

That’s it for glasnow

Should’ve been 8

[vocal spindle]

Dude what even happened

How did he get a strikeout but not an out?

[primal mountain]

The catcher must've dropped the ball when Steer swung at it

that made Steer eligible to run to first

but I don't think that counts as a hit

[obtuse grove]

Is it done? He’s staying at 7 pitcher ks?

Oh nvm 💀

[primal mountain]

https://sabr.org/journal/article/the-dropped-third-strike-the-life-and-times-of-a-rule/

[atomic otter]

ive got 2 parleys left neither hit, its a cashout

[vocal spindle]

That’s so dumb bro

I’ve never seen that before

How is that an earned run tho?

Dude got in because the catcher dropped the strike