#Hunting the Tapu's
1 messages · Page 5 of 1
What you guys hunting?
gl
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Same path or reroll?
im down for either
Ouch
I messed up
I can’t hit it
Sap sipper nornal
And I only have hypnosis and dream eater
NO
Gl
But imo i don’t feel too bad because it’s not my target
I can try hosting
Might as well test to see if I can get a good fixed path
ok
Room for 1 more?
Yes
Exactly the same
Gl
Incoming red bat right before I join
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Open
1234 4321
1234 4321
Gl
Gl
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Luna really hating on the shark
Gl
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Gl
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uhhh
I guess it hit random by accident?
???
Paths largely stay the same when switching between targets
Well gl
Gl
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Open
And it is lunala
Let it be known if the killer clown returns then something terrible has happened
Gl
Gl
Gl
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Gn
Thanks @tardy gate @languid radish
yeldarb10 has given 1 Gen Rep to matt_mtn, darkvoid5362
Thanks @timid siren
matt_mtn has given 1 Gen Rep to yeldarb10
Thanks @timid siren
darkvoid5362 has given 1 Gen Rep to yeldarb10
So wanna hunt the cat or the bat Matt?
You want to host or should I?
I don't have Cat
K 1121 1211 it is and open
Kind of overdue for a cat with how many runs we've done between the 2 of us
If only you could get multiple shiny legendaries from da
Have to have done at least 80 from that set path and the random runs before that
It's possible for multiple people to get it in 1 run it's just really rare I imagine
I believe in the Haunter carry
gl
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Yeah not great starter mons
Just took the garbage to avoid a bot taking it to the cat
i'll take
gl
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Solgaleo
Yeah but fair warning it's just random paths right now
all good
im on the final battle of a tapu lele run
I should be another 5 mins
and then Ill be good to go
nvm, it just finished xD
Gl
Gl
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hopefully I get Solgaleo, it would be the last one of this trio
gl!
Gl
damn, that fight was long xD
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Open
Gl
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gl
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0\
alr
Alright
Gl
gl
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Thanks for the runs and gn
thanks for the runs @languid radish
ethan6532 has given 1 Gen Rep to darkvoid5362
have a good night
Thanks @languid radish
matt_mtn has given 1 Gen Rep to darkvoid5362
Gn
@tardy gate you gonna stay on or ur gonna go to bed as well?
Thanks @tardy gate @calm pike
darkvoid5362 has given 1 Gen Rep to matt_mtn, ethan6532
staying
bet
gl
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Probably
bet ill hyu when I get back online
hey @tardy gate you still on?
yeah
bet, you down to go back to Fini?
yes
bet lmk when the lobby is open
open
gl
Gl
nothing
open
I really hate AI
I'm sleeping after this
alr
I keep falling asleep during this run
lmao!
gl
gl
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matt_mtn has given 1 Gen Rep to ethan6532
ethan6532 has given 1 Gen Rep to matt_mtn
@plain dome can you run lunala ?
Or anyone else
I can in like 30 minutes
@tardy gate I’m ready whenever you are
Gl
Gl
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Same code
Just realized that last match you had vileplume and now you have bellossom
Gl
Gl
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Gl
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Be right back
ok
I’ll be going to eat lunch and will be back in a bit
ok
@tardy gate I’m back
Ready
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Same code
Show me pls
Btw congrats
Thanks!
Guess I’ll be running random DAs
Still want help tho with Lunala?
Give me a sec
Ok
Same code
Let’s do it
Ok, same code
Ok
Alright thanks for your time and help Matt
Of course
Thanks for helping me too this week, I've been sick with Pneumonia and you guys have been great help in distracting me and helping me
Damn hope you get better man
@tardy gate I just got shiny Mr mime
awesome
@stiff moat I’m up
I'll be on in a bit btw
Ok
Anyone on?
I am
Lunala?
Which others are you looking for btw?
After I’m done with lunala I will go for kyogre and palkia
May I start up the lobby ?
Yes
Ok
Back
you want to do necrozma runs?
Yeah, doing a run rn but I'll let you know
My internet is currently offline so I can’t run lunala with you
alr
lol
open
yo, what you guys hunting?
necrozma
nice
Got Lunala! @calm pike
how many runs did it take btw?
95
Yes
barely under odds xD
bet, lmk when you do solgaleo
hes the only one from the trio I havent gotten
I’m over 150
thinking about targeting the Tao trio afterwards
shiny black and white kyurem would go hard
Lunala is taking way too long for me
Like I’ve restocked pokeballs so I have like way over 150 maybe even over 200
damn, thats crazy
hope you get it soon
Thanks
Kyogre is my next one on the list
the rayquaza event is gonna make hunting Rayquaza pointless tbh
Cuz I have rayquaza and groudon
id be down to huny Kyogre
unless you want 2
fair
but I doubt I would sink the time into getting another one when I have one from SV
will the rayquaza raid be difficult?
prolly not
nothing
quad weak to ice and its a 5 star like Dialga and Palkia were
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were those shinies?
no
they did a mew distribution and confirmed the mewtwo tera raid to accompany it
then they did something similar with Darkrai and Dialga/Palkia
anyway, Imma take a shower. Lmk if anyone wants to hunt the cat or smthn afterwards
would only catching necrozma after defeating it increase my chances of it being shiny
what ball did you get lunala in matt
Luxury
What yall hunting?
necrozma
Necrozma
And Lunala
I can help with lunala in a bit
berries would be nice rn
that was close
Gl
gl
Imma do a Fini run to refresh my penalty
@tardy gate id be down to run Fini
gl
nothing
open
Logging on now
Going to check right now
I have a path we can run
@stiff moat Take Sharp
k
Ready?
Yes
Gl
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gonna go eat dinner
Bet
Running anything?
Anyone running nec
Cool im gonna join
Searching
Sorry try again
I think I just got a different group doing another hunt
Didn't look. Just entered the code and spammed A
It keeps kicking me
It keeps putting me as host for some weird reason
gl
This ain’t a bad path tbh
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saving path
Guess we'll see how it changes up with 3 instead of 2
bet
Usually bigger changes in paths when it changes from 2 to 3 or 4
Yeah
3/4 player paths don't change much between those player counts
Yeah it changed alot
Water, electric, ground?
sure
This is looking like a decent 3 player path so far
Whishcash isn't actually that good if I remember so the ground mon might not be worth
ye
Gl
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Gl
GL
Nice
NO WAY
Congrats
Let's see it!
Gg
Nice
Nice
I have to be getting close to my next shiny. Have to be getting close to 100 runs without getting any
Void, can you host?
I’m so happy right now
can ya share necromza ?
Host cat? Because I haven't been saving necro
Wait Nvm
Gl all
Thanks @timid siren u too
matt_mtn has given 1 Gen Rep to yeldarb10
Im running solo for now because I have a god path
Congrats and thanks @coarse sigil
You gave Gen Rep too recently. You can give Gen Rep again <t:1733106105:R>.
Who's Tory?
my boy
Oh bet
whats this again?
NP good luck
Necro
Necrozma
okay
Water Elect Rock
Gosh this path is fucking busted oko 2 bosses
Wrong chat Yeld lol
I can be anywhere because Im on my own
Oh nvm
Im here to just cheer on
I thought you were still running with Trigger
Naw I tried a solo run and the path ended up being too good
Absol vs lunala is a hot knife through butter
Fr
Gl
Yeah
i see someone posted their lunala earlier, let me just drop this real quick lol
Bloodmoon team-you've got Ursaluna and shiny bat. Who else can you put in there?
At lunala again
Gl
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I got one more
Lunal down Gl
Break is over tomorrow, gotta wake up early
Gl
gg thank u for the path
No dice
open
Norm ele crust?
yes
Gl
Gl
Gl
Nope
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Well gg and gn
Thanks for the runs! @languid radish
matt_mtn has given 1 Gen Rep to darkvoid5362
Gn
90 hunts total no luck
I’m over twice that
Newest addition to the non lunala gang
Keep at it! You will get it
I'm interested to join you on your hunts when you start them
Bet!
I get off work at around 5:00 pm EST and I have a final exam to do this evening but I might be on later
got it
Ready
k
You hosting?
gl
Gl
nothing
alright
For now
how hard is it to solo necrozma
It's easy if you have multiple dark types
open
Howdy all
hey
yo
11 more attempts with lunala before I run out of ore
hope you get it soon
nothing
Gl!!!
if anyone else wants to hunt necrozma @ me
Gl!
I just got another one, this time dugtrio
you will get it eventually
Anyone around?
Gl with that
Im about to run out of ore. 97 in no luck
And npcs are finding new ways to ruin a good path
Not Solgaleo or the Tapus?
I have solgaleo
Maybe the tapus
shiny grimmsnarl
Gl!
No message means rip
awesome
No shiny luck in a while
NO WAY congrats Matt on the shiny entei
Nice latias and entei, Matt
Another one, really like this one though
How many in are you?
Runs over 200 shinies found maybe like 8
In the last like 3 days I got a full shiny team
This is some weird divine torture
I don’t know how, I don’t know why but this lunala won’t shine
lol
Yall doing runs?
You up for lunala runs?
anyone want to do necrozma
Yes @timid siren
Let me finish off this run
And we can run together
how much ore do you lose by leaving a run?
Max is 9 I believe
Depends on how many runs you have reseted
Just ended the run
No luck
0 for the first 2. Then 3 on the 3rd, increasing by one up to 10 max
k
Ok
Online
Joining
Water ghost ghost
Good path
Pulling discord up on my deck so I can use my phone counter for ditto resets
But we won’t pick any just wait the AI to pick them so we have more super effective attacks
Gl
Gl
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Glx100 (im just keeping discord up but I won’t be chatting because im SRing in ultra moon)
You’ll know if I get a shiny
And we are over 204 after I bought the pokeballs
Just let me know when it’s open
It’s open
fl
gl
gl
Gl
My internet is really unstable rn
I will do a few solo runs until it gets back to normal
@tardy gate
Nice
We are on a 12/1 loss in the girls handball on our school’s competition
And the blue team won
15 to 1
They are blue like your ditto
Ayeeee finally!
i have koko path now if you’re still interested @tardy gate
I found Bulu yesterday so I’m full but if you want to run Koko sometime, I’d love to
Thanks!
Btw I got a 94 on my final!
can i get koko path later
Anyone doing Solgaleo, Nerco, or tapus?
I'm going at the cat
Managed to get back to 600 ore mostly just rando running it and still no red cat
Lots of losses but it just won't shine
Ready to run it?
In a run but we're in the fight right before cat so shouldn't be long
Lmk
Lost run you ready?
Yes
K 1121 1211 and lobby is open
Not looking too bad
And the bots don't even trade off the good mons seems like an actually solid path
Think I should save this path or should we wait for better?
Gl
Somewhere over 600
0
No luck
I guess save it
Open
How many runs of cat have you done? I have to be nearing my 100th run at this point
64
Im at 105 for lunala now
Gen 7 really being stingy
Over 260
Cursed by the first attempt necrozma
Cursed by lunala just not wanting to show up
That has 7% chance of occurrence
Rip
rip
Open
You’re almost at the point that the odds of going on such a streak are lower than getting a shiny itself on any individual run
Damn
Maybe it would be better to go the other way and pick up the Pangoro and Absol?
Man this would actually be a decent Lunala path too
I mean an individual shiny is 1/100 but by having 4 mons it splits into 1/25 there for I’m thrice over odds if we consider that and with a 6% chance difference of getting a single shiny roll
Not true exactly
Ok well it is approximately 4%
but it scales slightly differently at higher values
Since you aren’t linearly adding +3 to you odds by catching all mons, rather you roll for shiny odds 3 more time. So .99^x
Which is around 3.94%
So it isn’t a 1/25 chance to see a shiny in a den ?
No, it’s 1/100 per mon rolled by x number of times (x ranging from 0-4 for the number caught in a den)
So if you catch all 4 it’s .99^4 which is ~3.94%
3.94% is are the odds of receiving at least one shiny in a DA run assuming you caught all 4
So what are the odds of my charmelion + the shiny which I can’t remember which one it is ?
That makes it more complicated since you gotta bust out advanced statistics with permutations & combinations
Ok
But in summary, if you assume regeneration towards the mean over a large sample size
Gl
Gl
Then just use the 3.94% rate and gauge your luck off off the total shinies / total da runs
More of a “back of the napkin” calculation but works
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So take total shines / total runs
Really starting to hate the cat
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And assuming a large sample size, it should regress to a 3.94% rate
Higher means luckier, lower means unlucky
Open
Pangoro?
I’m just confused what a total runs per shiny captured has to deal with the double shinies in the same run event
Let's try Pang, Forsslass, and Absol
Bet
All damage no bulk
0.01% to get two shines from a single DA
3.94% are the odds at LEAST 1 out of 4 are shinies
Oh ok
My bad there. I thought you were talking about multiple shinies over multiple runs
So I got a 0.01% event before I got the 1% lunala
Is that the odds for any 2 shinies or 1 specific shiny? Like the odds 2 people get the legend shiny at the same time
I guess that I’m way too lucky for myself
Maybe the same odds but thought they'd be different
Calculating “getting at least x number” assuming 4 roles gets more complex when you go for anything larger than one
0.0196% chance of getting 2 assuming 4 chances per da
Gl
Gl
Formula and how to use it
Nope
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Open
Are you guys doing necrozma ?
Cat
Anyway, Time to stomp Giovanni. Actually sort of funny when you look at the levels of each of my past pokemon. XY’s xp curve is crazy
Solgaleo?
Yep
So you are hunting my sun version
Nice
I’m as you might have already figured out, hunting lunala
I may join in for lunala
But I gotta slap around Rainbow rocket first
Also I just need a DA break because of burnout
Ok
Wait didn't we have Pangoro going into the cat fight last run?
Something changed for some reason
If it happens again the Pang pick up was probably the wonky run so I'll start taking it
Gl
Gl
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Cat really hates us
Not so sure about this path anymore. Probably best to look for a better path
Gl
Open
Gl
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Looking okay-Haunter, Obstagoon, a ground type with a A-Marowak to start
Not as good of a path as it initially looked. Not saving
Gl
Gl
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Obviously, since cats have 9 lives, you don't hit odds until you run Solgaleo 900 times
PLs no
I mean, I think I've hit 100 runs at this point, so...
I'll say it again, I hate this cat
Gl
gl
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Open
Gl
gl
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Open
you guys hunting something?
Ive been solo running a tapu bulu path, but the AI is making some less-than-ideal decisions and screwing me over
what is that?
Nice
If I recall correctly you basically get latias/latios (whichever you didn’t already get in ORAS’s story).
Guys I have phased around 16 times on DAs already
And still no lunala
Or any other shiny legendary for that matter
@finite bear I feel you. I havent gotten a singly DA shiny in a few days xD
whatchu running now?
Still lunala
Just got some amazing news
So remember what I said about flunking phisics ?
I passed by a half point on the recovery exam
Last year of highschool here I come
Congrats!
Thanks guys
@tardy gate you hunting anything?
ngl, the AI in this game is pissing me off
im doing a fairy DA and this AI picked a chansey over a Klingklang
I’m hunting later today, stuck at work rn
oof
life happens xD
Thanks!
matt_mtn has given 1 Gen Rep to 1plus12_90538
lol yep
Available for lunala later
ill be available, but id rather hunt something else if possible xD
Anyone hunting Necrozma?
I am
Anyone else down to hunt tonight?
I'll do some solo runs
Just @ me
@tardy gate I'm down to do it
Alright, let me finish up and I'll join you
@tardy gate
Oh i was wonding if anyone had a path