#Probability distribution of winning ticket

17 messages · Page 1 of 1 (latest)

hushed garden
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Started by trying to find pmf that winning ticket number = x by summing each possible number of tickets sold and multiplying each by uniform distribution, but idk where to go now

novel tundraBOT
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hushed garden
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thanks in advance to anyone who can help!

feral ether
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for part (a) you have to use the formula

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,,E[X] = E[E[X|N]]

ornate anchorBOT
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vin100

feral ether
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so u shld b finding $P(X = x \mid N = n)$ first

ornate anchorBOT
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vin100

feral ether
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,,X \sim \mathrm{Unif}({1, \dots, N})

ornate anchorBOT
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vin100

feral ether
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so $P(X = x \mid N = n) = \frac1n$

ornate anchorBOT
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vin100

feral ether
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for all $x \in {1, \dots, n}$

ornate anchorBOT
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vin100

feral ether
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,,E[X \mid N = n] = \sum_{x = 1}^n x \cdot \frac1n = \frac{n+1}{2}

ornate anchorBOT
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vin100