#Simple Statistics Question

95 messages · Page 1 of 1 (latest)

raven cape
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I believe I have part a, I watched a video for the first part though I used the equation I saw in a video I got an answer 5 times bigger than the actual answer. I need help with B

fervent trellis
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so i think

main umbra
fervent trellis
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its 1/0.0668 * 1/ 1- 0,0668 * 4

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i am not sure tho

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and b is

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nvm

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idk

raven cape
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so I'm not really too sure

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I haven't done this topic in months

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so I completely forgot it

main umbra
raven cape
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what about b

main umbra
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We do the following:
P(more than on 1 day) = 1 - P(on 0 or 1 day) = 1 - P(on 0 days) - P(on 1 day)
And here you use the formulas with combinations, since the positions of the days don't matter, only the amount.

raven cape
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this is confusing

main umbra
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Well, it's just the application of two formulas:

  1. P(A) = 1 - P(¬A)
  2. P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B), as long as A and B are disjoint.
raven cape
main umbra
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The day numbers don't matter in (b), only the amount of days does.

raven cape
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so $1-(1-0.0668)-(0.0507)$?

quaint peakBOT
raven cape
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= 0.0161?

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theres forums with the answers on but I have to PAY to see the answers

main umbra
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No.
P(on 0 days) = (1 - p)^5
P(on 1 day) = 5p(1 - p)^4
So:
P(more than on 1 day) = 1 - (1 - p)^5 - 5p(1 - p)^4 = 1 - (1 + 4p)(1 - p)^4
Now just substitute p = 0.0668.

raven cape
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so 0.0390

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I honestly do not remember doing this

main umbra
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You just need some practice.

raven cape
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I've been slacking off revision for a week

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I have exams in 3 now

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I need to start

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for this question can I use X~B(20, 0.45)?

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and I'm also lost again

main umbra
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First, use Bin(20, 0.45) to find the probability that a store has 12 or more wins. Take that as p.
Then, use Bin(8, p) to find the probabilities that at least 2 stores are "winners".

raven cape
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ohhh

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wait would it be Binomial PD or CD?

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PD i'm guessing

main umbra
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CDF.

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Binomial is discrete, so its PDF isn't too useful. PMF is, but here we are looking at cumulatove probabilities.

raven cape
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ok I got an extremely small answer

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x10^-7 small

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What I did was (X = 12 N = 20 P = 0.45) on binomial CD gave me 0.9419 then I did it again with (X = 2 N = 8 P = 0.9419) which gave me 9.66x10^-7

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nevermind

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This is the method we learnt

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hence why I didn't recognise it

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ok I understand this

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but problem

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I forgot how to do variables.

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I have a

main umbra
raven cape
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erm

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its what Physics and Maths Tutor is Telling people so I'm not sure

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oh

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yeah no they missed the one off

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they did it in the working

main umbra
main umbra
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Yes. Now you just need to calculate it.

raven cape
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ok thanks

main umbra
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You're welcome!

raven cape
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ok now I have that I'm not sure what I would put in X~B(N, p)

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well exactly what I need to work out

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they are all bigger than 21/4

main umbra
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No. Only 6 is.

raven cape
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oh

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OH

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I was severely overcomplicating it

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so X~B(6,1/7)

main umbra
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No. The distribution here isn't binomial.

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It's just the distribution desribed by the given table.

raven cape
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so 3/21

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or 1/7

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as 6 is the only value over 5.25

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well 18/21

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wait

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since its smaller values less than 5.25 it would be 1 - 18/21 (3, 4 and 5) = 3/21

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my brain is frying a bit

main umbra
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Not sure what you mean.
P(Y ≥ 22) = P(4X + 1 ≥ 22) = P(X ≥ 21/4) = P(X = 6) = k/21 (with whatever k you found).

raven cape
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3/21

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since k = 3

main umbra
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Yes.

raven cape
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ok

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thank god its almost over

main umbra
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I recommend taking a break if you're tired. Have some more practice later.

raven cape
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ok finally D

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Chance of Landing on 5 = 7/21

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N = 40, X > 10 P = 7/21

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p(X > 10) = 1 - p(X <= 10) right

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wait

main umbra
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Yes.

raven cape
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is it not p(X > 10) = p(X >= 11)

main umbra
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Same thing for this distribution, doesn't matter.

raven cape
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how would I calculate this

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Binomial CD?