#"Constellation I" astronomy mission always giving 1 constellation

1 messages · Page 1 of 1 (latest)

unique latch
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Around 1-2 months ago I noticed that it has been quite a long time since I had gotten more than 1 constellation from the "1-3 constellation mission"
I decided to note down the constellation amounts I got and NOT A SINGLE TIME did I get more than 1 constellation
I'm on the latest version of the game, is this a bug that no one else noticed or is my game bugged?

sage plover
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i wanted to look into this and it seems the constellation amount you get is heavily favoured towards getting 1, like absurdly so

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i dont think i can say exact numbers but if you wanted a 50% chance to not get 1, youd have to roll more than 40 times

sage plover
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what?

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i just used a binomial dist to calculate the >50% chance

copper quarry
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Nope, got 3 fragments before

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A few times

quaint minnow
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me too, I got 3 fragments once

sage plover
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yall understand how statistics works right

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yes you will get 3 or 2 fragments sometimes, its just heavily weighted against that

copper quarry
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I know, I'm just confirming it

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Isn't it obvious

sage plover
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i never said its impossible to get that

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its actually possible to get like infinitely many

copper quarry
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I'm confirming that the very first message is false

sage plover
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whateva

pliant kite
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Much better to just do red dwarf missions than the constellation mission imo, if you check the game often-ish that is. Def if you have the ||Auriga constellation||.

final thorn
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I pretty much lean towards red dwarf and white dwarf missions to get more constellations since in over 3 years from using the constellation mission I've only got 2 constellation thrice, and 3 constellation once.

Maybe it's because red dwarf or white dwarf are way faster to complete (I can do 3-6 rolls of the same dwarf mission before constellation mission is ready, 12 if I unlock the 6-hour red-dwarf constallation), or because there are more dwarf missions (so I can be doing 4 at the same time).

I personally wouldn't mind a Constellation II mission with better chances and faster, unlockable later on the Beyond