#HVAR nolifer megathread
1 messages · Page 3 of 1
i dont have the source for the data tho, but i remember seeing it posted some time back
well a link to an older post, by dfg(?)
i think we had to manually select nodes on baguette gun farm still, right
S-ranking has no effect on this 9% yes?
Are you losing ships in fights 
some ships sometimes cant clear in 2 minutes
Wait how is it still alive then
I mean I'm just curious
I gave up on full 1:1 and now my xfleet does boss because it's faster
im currently backhunting for it, but here's another from a rudder event
this one says about 0.15
You don't kill in 2 minutes but boss also doesn't kill you in 2 mins
#gameplay-help message for baguette but imcertain there was a link/data dump also, cant find it atm
an average 1.5 year tryhard account should have enough resource to consistently uni ddg and equiv lowcost
why do cn have so much data collection, where is ours
cause they're cn?
gigachad nerds
apparently campaign gold ship besides akaga is approx 1.5% and event is 1%
or, "data from cn" more like "data from 3-4 people"
im learning so much by backreading dfg's posts involving some combination of "cn data collection"
every gacha i played cn was always tryhard
real
Don't see how that ever occurs tbh, even Laffey II/Independence is almost dead fighting SP boss
oh
i found it
so actually the average drop/run might be closer to 0.15
elite 1.45-1.87%
boss 5.81-6.93%, 1.502-1.598 average per drop
That's super interesting because I always felt like event drop ship was way easier to drop
maybe I'm just lucky
It's easier to drop than through gacha yes
why is he making sea hornet
this is like confidence interval range shit, idk statistics
but like
hm
Numbers 
0.1308-0.1668 would be the most common range for your result to fall into, i guess
shrimple
with an average of 0.1488
wait did i take the +- too literally
are u supposed to do multiple deviations
assuming p=0.05 it means 95% of the data should align with that range
yeah kinda, that is 95% interval so pretty wide
hm
but honestly a good estimate is just the mean
Hornet II
both sound about right, anyway
ci just means that the actual drop rate according to the data is between those interval
the mean appears like it would be just under 0.15
i'd like to report that i've gone from 20k points + 3 prints to 28k points + 10 prints 
Which should mean it is just 0.15
How many prints/run total?
i did not keep track of # of runs
0.1495 according to this
well, we can add our own results into the betting pool
also, i have 4 hornets in just over 300 runs so i guess i am slightly above average luck atm
welp should've done it lol, try to subtract points maybe, assuming you did all hardmode, sp, and stuffs
this also vibes with my 0.16 hvar
what are your exact points?
doggo the private investigator
I'm still at 0.2 average
I can do calc assuming you did all the daily points task
well in my last 40~ runs of points i acquired 7 prints
which is build 3 and hardmode
think u mean 0.2 or 20%...
u mean 20%
which is incredibly lucky
Yes 0.2 average
27880
sounds like not enough sample size
it is lucky but not supremely so, isnt their sample size somewhat low
likex<100 runs
your pfp is depressing me 

Yes <100 runs
how many hvars?
thats just what my face looks like farming hvars
10 prints
seems like there's something wrong
well there's some event points that you didnt collect
you haven't build 3
smh
could I get a calc too?
I kinda regret not keeping track of my runs
i was about to ask as well 
definitely did not miss a build 3

Did you do A1/miss C1 or something?
although idk how accurate it will be as this was the first time i cleared the event and different nodes required different amount of clears for 100%, it was kinda random
maybe some a1-b3 daily?

fr
butyeah that'd mess with results
the more you farm the less that matters
also remember it cant be HELPed so if ur tracking ur own runs be careful with that
donut bulli the sheet doer 

idek if my 3x on 2nd day got lost or what happened
oh yeah lol
funny
it probably runs into some kind of error if you're doing HELPed runs multiple sortie and the day changes halfway through it
yeah 
I had this happen today
thats how you end up with negative morale
gimme like 5 minutes I'm figuring out the math
hvar channel?
my uni sandy 1:1 died to boss
so ive just been using my cross for it
is 138 runs and 16 prints average gain
i wasnt paying attention but it was uni that died
no 
quite unlucky
Did sandy have asw?
is a +6 hedgehog not enough 
It should be
+10 it why not
But if Uni is dying on boss it's because of subs
sandy asw is good
cls have lower base detection range than dds
i wouldnt skimp on asw
if sandy doesnt kill a sub in one go her chance of autoing to hit it again is lower than a dd's
oh i have the plates for it now i guess i will

this is why momo carries my hedgehog and my dds use asw plane uni and depth charge
but also i dont do boss so idk

Just a +10 purple depth was enough on my CLs when 1:1ing
i've been cycling uni/indep + sandy and random dds
sheesh
stupid out of ammo node 
blud is using normal ships
for 1:1?

i doubt lol
i tried her but shes like ultra slow on boss on 125, tho i only have +13 baguette gun
the gold one
no subs? no guam?
subs use so much oil
and i dont have guam
For just mobbing on safe probably

my only vg cross is my 1LB z52 
Do you have her aug yet?
you don't let them fight but they still hit some nodes and reduce their hp
she's retrofitted but missing her skill because bulin
that still costs oil
what
Skill wouldn't do anything before leveling anyways
only calling them support mode into actual battles cost oils
yeah
i say that bc i swear i've watched my oil go down from a sub strike before
would be nice to not have to speedrun her to 125 post event
but good to know i guess
their passive attack shouldnt cost oil from subs
what could possibly go wrong, aquila carries anyway tbh
pardon my excel skills, here's the point to runs converter
Aqui Sandy pog 
whats a good bootleg gun for sandy, harbin gun or twin128 better?
just fill in the boxed blanks
i use twin128 
or twin100 gold
I'd go harb gun
which gun is that
i need to check how close i am to 100kai actually but its not a high prio, since harbin is more consistent for katsu 
pr5 dd gun
My go to when my better DD guns are being hogged
twin130?
Aquila is fat, don't you guys have Ryuuhou or Zuihou?
i dont
my only non uni healer is shouhou
hehe close to 16% too aurora
yep
itll be cool to try sandy also since i havent seen her fight since i retroed her

49/309 hvar, also got a 5th hornet
10/25 4th harbin, 40/50 plygun yeah im leaving pr5 with 4 harbins
what's aurora's points

65970
did I calculate stuff wrong or smth lol
ngl but this looks a bit sus
did you include the 1k points from the 3day login rewards
it looked fine to me until i saw this 
i told u

i can just 3* event later if its needed but otherwise im lazy and will do it later
you done all dailies?
dont forget to use this on her for optimal dmg
#trophy-room message since here i stop 3/day
idk if that's 1 or 2
is sandy dying
a little bit
does she need hedgehog tbh
time to debug
if shes not doing boss then no
mmmm
with 3* on 0 ammo, is it too risky to keep doing?
ig the risk lessens the more i do it...
she will die
you have your daily free repair so you can exit and use it if you need to
aurora sus

that's after all mobs
idk if i wanna get her to a safer hpwith toolkit but risk aquila not having safe hp
i just get very paranoid below 50%
actually without her skills and underleveled im not sure you clear the out of ammo node fast enough to not need asw
she's using hedge
and did fine considering 3* node
that technically should be on the worse end of rng
i'll book her to 105 and call it a day
oh yeah i ll do that
it's actually so funny once you unlock her barrage
ngl i wish i got more tlr skins
screen full of stars
the main thing that bothers me about skins is how impossible it is to have a full set of matching planes 
you're brilliant and sandy is brilliant

have you ever forgot to do hard mode, or do a run for x3 or 3 starring?
i havent done hard mode today yet i think?

i also havent done any x3 runs
yet (inevitably there will be one for 3*)
single minded hvar focus yada yada
i have no idea
how
but this is legit
sandy has like 30% more hp on battle 5 than before LOL

probably just rng but it's really funny it happens after giving her a skin
I think it's just rng yea
2* on 0 ammo but 
you cant make this up tho
the timing

🌟
guess momo is out and i can get some exp while grinding, poggers
or i'll kick nana out since indep momo was more safe than indep nana
actually, uni sandy, indep momo, aquila nana makes the most sense
I still don't understand how my thing doesn't work 
it kinda does for me wdym
its possible i just messed up counting 1-1 runs when i was running without help and also daily first run bug
no I mean like the number of runs are not whole numbers for some reason
what is the daily first run bug?
for me it's maybe from the runs 3starring c1-d2
itsuha what's ur total point
can't c
no wonder lol
over 50k
when you are doing more than one run sweep with help and day changes then idk what happens
if my 3x run just gets lost or counted or idk
but after finishing the 3x help sweep i didnt have 3x bonus
strange, but yeah I'd avoid doing anything when the daily reset hits just in case
is that not normal
i wanted the oil and bulins
no, totally normal, it's just that's why the sheet doesn't work cause it doesn't account for a1 to b3 runs 
eh i'd rather just ignore a and b maps
aurora's even weirder, I spent like 15 minutes trying some combinations of quest she missed and couldn't find one easily
maybe lied 

or i just dont remember
but the point i told u at the time is accurate
but i have no idea which missions i did or not
yeah I guess true
i suppose thats reasonable when you dont need the points
didnt want to get it mixed with d3 data, dont need the points, and it lacks clearing rewards
wait maybe that's why i had 1 extra hvar bp earlier i missed

got it lmao

309 indeed
you forgot "wanted to fuck with doggo" 
good to know my run count is correct even after so long 
ngl I'm kinda irritated trying to find one working combination for 15 minutes, but mb though my faith on my math skills was too small
my bad for forgetting about sp
i m deserting the battlefield soldiers
today's rate was kinda lame 
Don't fall here there's always tomorrow 
i made my mind to do 3+1
not enough plates
also yeah doing quadrillion runs without seeing a drop is a detrimental blow 
oh wait no, I have 65k pts
I'm top4 in glex
I was zombie playing until 4am, I forgot
3+1 what?
tbh yeah with how the rate/oil is like 24k for one
tomorrow I'll try low fleet myself and see if 16k achievable
I can't go lower than 19 or 20 oil
why though? you can manipulate avi req by using halford or shirakami fubuki or just rumey
or at least with a 125 ranger 
this is so dilemma, at the end we always ask the big question, "was it worth"
I have avi req, I don't see your point
oh you can't do with ranger ddg?
I guess yeah, it depends on how good your crossfleets are too
I can do Shouhou + ddg, I don't have a lvl125 ranger lol
Just imagine that you stop grinding and then they add the hvars to limited core shop to fuck with us 

im gonna do 4+1 just you watch
can you even get S every time with Ranger ddg?
I believe 
plus next week's oil yada yada
no
about 60k for my first 2, at same rate it's guaranteed, but i can miss if bad luck strikes too hard i think
I have the feeling that hvar will be part of Research 8
but it's not a gear from wows is it
nor for a specific ship
research gear generally comes for a specific ship, like twin457 georgia gun, 406mle champy gun
are washing machines from wows or whatever?
:aurorahope:
thats cos they were the actual wows guns and shit used on those ships in wows

not ALL
stuff that is in multiple seasons shouldnt be afaik
like staag isnt
but harbin gun is harbin gun, la-9 is nakh plane im pretty sure
hindy gun
They were added in because 
tenrai is hakuplane
Yeah I don't think it's gonna be on research, best case scenario they add it on Gear Lab and it's cheap
if la-9 nakhplane what is the polikarpov
The non-auxilary equipment is wows derived
the what
the dark vit
The auxiliary equipment isn't part of wows
maybe also nakh plane
Halford seaplane that I have a billion of 
the white vit2 is probably chlakov's plane
then what about the white diver?
Nakhimov's plane
su2 and vit
oh i see...ruppy doesnt get a unique gear
harbin and chkalov
WOW manjuu
Chaklov is PR5
it's always the pink hair
what both ?
Not all ships get matching gear
Bayard also got nothing in 7
Yes that happens
for pr7 we have bayardgun, daisengun, halfordplane, napoligun, and 2 nakhplanes
Btw STAAG should be from Cheshire
Napoli's secondary
that's sardegna loll
ok so yeah not all ships
Nap has 2 guns
but all the guns and planes in research do belong to the ships
is what i meant lol
all gun/plane is the ships, not all ships have a designated gun/plane
there we go
aux is universal so doesnt belong to any, probably same for aa
No, AA has ships belonging to it
well there's a couple so maybe yea
90mm is Marco's gun
why is pr1 and pr2 so poor
AA from PR4 is Marco's isn't it?
they missed a comma
Yes what I was saying
Yup sorry, read it as I was just pressing send
so either get them now or risk limited coredata, regular coredata but still monthly timegated, or a bunch of electronics and ords 
tho also it should remain farmable in warchives
what are wows 
I forgor about that

idk if 1 hvar is worth 27k oil and like 9 hours of helpful farming
it's a game AL has an ongoing collab with for years
it's where pr/dr and research originate
huh neat
what else you gonna farm
That's gonna depend on you tbh
For me it is but I've also saved almost 2 years of mail for it
the new ur converging tbs in february 
I think the minimum everyone should get is 2 for yorkii kear after that it's your call
I know I want 5
time to suffer on cog chips, big L with 2480 cogs on 2 unicorns, and some more for not farming w12, omg 27k oil can give you like 2k cog chips
who told you to make multiple unicorns
me
what is this nutter nonsense
Ok +10 hedgehog made the difference I guess
wait actually
myself and I also told the same thing
4secs to spare 
wtf
Rip no retrofit sandy
cog chip farm has always been mega cope and only done bc it's not like you have anything better to do
this is for ch12 full fleet
ch13 1-1 is much higher cog/oil but still inarguably shit
1:04 is still way too close to me
Oh wait I'm blind
yeah same lmao
bad rng uni misses a couple bombs and torps and you lose S
Should use Endem if you have her
yeah
i do not
the real cog strategy is to prioritize any comm giving cogs over oil comms
because it's many times more efficient for cogs/oil
isn't that called skill diff 
wait who is endem
That's totally RNG though, you can get only so many at once
I never understood the cog drama, I still have over 70k?
she ignores out of ammo
ah
also pointless for me because I have 150k cogs still
right but the point is you make next to 0 cogs from ch12
I think L'Audi should be good for 1:1 too
so ppl who might be going oil comms to farm ch12 for cogs would benefit from changing their comm priorities
Are you going to run Bearn? She needs a French ship
Once you start farming tech your cogs go down quickly
Oh true 
it's at best a supplement and tiny bonus for grinding ch12+ in general
I am very mad that I didn't take cogs over cubes tbh
and not something you ever realistically rely on for income
wasnt there a tempesta ship that gave +1 ammo
might get you 1-2 extra 120s per year, which isnt nothing but it's still just a bonus really
any that equips round shot aux
but they have no asw
oh it's the aux
Technically all of them can
and also you would need 7 ammo
It's the aux yeah
oh no asw might be a problem 
right

I think you'd be running fairly short on cubes then

ships that ignore ammo like emden would be much better if you want
Also tempesta has no AA and CV nodes exist
this is also cursed

uni carries aa 
gems > cubes > cogs > oil
imo
tbf tho ive been known to prioritize cogs+bigoil over cubes for nightcomm sometimes
where do gold ship comms go in your prio list 
cos it's guaranteed payout
+13 Wyvern and Flapjack 
cube is 33% chance
but also i farm urgents so i get cubes from much shorter comms, that plays a part in my decisions too
🚮
meme tier
ive done it a couple times just for fun
no ship yet...
Overnight commission only
also
at least it still comes with oil
I once got Belfast out of it so that's something I guess
its actually not a bad comm per se it has a very good coin:oil ratio LOL
I got a bunch of common ships from the various ship comms lol
I'm not going to farm fleet tech, I'm chill
if you have it overnight it's not bad if your night comms were lacking
but it's a niche situation
I don't think the pool has ever been updated from the 2019 ships
time to log off, gn HNM
gn doggo
Nightnight 
best i got from them was a lexington 
medals are a nice reward tbh
I love my medals from all the Hornii drops
I average about 500 a month which IIRC is pretty low
Probably going be higher for this event as I am finally going to use oil from mail
so the play here is to use 1:1 with crossflet to maximise run yeah ?
Yeah
Full fleet is also an option if u have good oil stockpile
But 1:1 is less headache
hmm a full would cost 257 oil per run. how many would i need assuming i might go with total 4 plane includinng shop
Full fleet needs 45k oil per hvar
150 oil fleet needs 26k oil per hvar
Cheapest fleet is 94 oil and needs 17k oil per hvar but 94 oil fleet will die to mobs sometimes so I stopped running it 
45k 
It takes sth like 170 runs per hvar 
If u use help tickets u need half the runs since it counts as double run
Be sure to use em if u have
my 150ish oil comp is uni - sd. dont know a better comp
Yeah that is a good comp
Just run 11 oil CVL with 9-10 oil vanguard
Ddg are good options
oh nah my team playing and actually got a A run
. gonna redo their equipment
only chang chun as ddg. how well is she compared to sd ?
Probably similar level
With any proper cvl they will clear easily
Your D3 should be safe threat tho
If it isnt just run unicorn with her till the map is safe
Unless you get lucky and get 25 HVAR prints with 0.2% drop rate like me
think ill try uni - ddg and see how it goes

スイ一トパン leaderboard
Japan does not play around
Fellow HVAR grinder 
how many bps have you dropped?
||top tier shipfu taste btw||
51 so far, I'm running 150 oil fleets (mostly)
How come 
I’m 22 prints after 150 sorties
rng
He said 150 oil fleets not 150 sorties 
i en'd
I'm a robot: retire/enchant, swap gear and start run.
Rince and repeat 10h later
I don't want to look at my drop 
we are all in the same boat
I took a "rest" to do hard, SP and the survey, but that's it
ok 70 print 520 run, im just gonna farm 10 daily and leave 1 extra day as flexibility 
looks like sleepy didn't sleep 
i used about 210 helps
how much points are you? 
51 @ 90 is some abysmal luck, my condolences 
40 in 78k
im 108k
Have I been getting exceptionally lucky without realizing? I'm 75k with 52 drops
i mean do the number of drops divided by the total number of runs and see whre are u from 14%

D1 D3 19 > 0
D1 SP 0
D2 D3 190 > 31
D2 SP 0
D3 D3 100 > 6
D3 SP 1
D4 D3 25 > 2
D4 SP ?
this is my chart
D3 was at 6% that is why i got cucked
I don't actually know my exact number of runs, I can eyeball it by approximate number of helps used but that's it 
160-70ish helps
if u did every other point gain thing like me then thatd be 32k point gap which is like 180 runs, so 520-180, around 340
52/340 is pretty damn good
0.152
I gamble good?! brb buying lottery rn
But thanks for running my numbers
should be a bit lower because I forgot to do SP and hard yesterday but it's super good still

rabi 
just be sure you out of oil the last day of the event
so there be no regrets
and then, event after this new meta equipement from d3 drops

it's enough if i get 3
, i don't have that much oil
the hvar count imo is determined by how many +13 planes and plates that u have
No one can predict the future
U NEED 0 HVARs
We farm it cuz we want to
Ykii antilight fleet used 5 HVARs
Dont beat yourself over it
Farm as many as u can without burning out
No need to stress about it
It WILL he added to perma source
U havent had it so far and u are fine
100 prints in 40k oil? damn bro
that is super lucky
I was thinking of stopping at 4 for the Rumey, Nya, Soyuz fleet (just because I like these ships and have them oathed), I'm glad that it's actually even better than Kearsage's
sounds about right yeah
I'm close to 75 bps (including the free 25)
my avg cost is lower but it still cost me ~70k oil for 70 prints
why did u book a ship that u are using 

so 5 is possible

This was helped mind but apparently yes
1 from each siren node and 2 from boss i think
which is more efficient for hvar prints, the 3 elites at the start or doing the entire map?
apparently doing the boss is worth it because it has better rates
so it adds up in the end
It needs 3 extra mobs tho 
But yeah the logistics of doing elites only is 
U also dont get clearing rewards
boss is equal to ~6 elites so it's always worth it
:god:
today is not so good - 51/344
im at 64
i think you either update daily or update every run
gambling
What's your print per run?
Over 110 k is like 500ish runs?
depends how many easy maps u have done
this is with only daily missions and 3x D3
this mf
im almost out of oil
like 30k left
the futures grim
i might need to settle for 4
stop with the next one
u need 26k with low oil
only have enough for 1 more
I wouldnt go for 2 more
damn lil enty is full speed ahead
Assuming 530 runs, 64/530 ~ 0.12 print/run drop rate
no point in farming even 24 prints if u cant go for 25 full prints
Aka your are quite unlucky
only #2 
you underestimate my ability faer
My drop rate finally dipped below 0.2 prints per run lol, at 20/103 right now
I just mean less than 25 is useless
so be sure u have enough for the next one
Is it possible to calc the points i get from d3? Only touched that stage and took the extra pts from missions
inb4 15 bps in one 3x
It's just 180 points per run
So 1 C1 to D3 + 2 D3 + daily points
sure
gimme your data I will input for u 
did u do all SP and all missions everyday?
so far?
3 3x with help
not a single print
I'm sitting on 75 prints in 120 helps
You might barely reach 3
First time in this event?
Anyway I think you got the 0.2 rate lol
me?
75/240 prob means 50 farmed only
Reach 3 HVARs from drops yeah
50/240 is still ridiculously good
Should still be 4 in total
almost 0.21
i need 10 more bps
i dont think its that bad
10 are from progression. have not claimed shop yet. so 65/240
What's your point total
just over 50k, I believe

I appreciate your financial support
im at a 0.10 i think
wow, my alt account is so unlucky today, not only it overcapped, it also not getting any prints after 20k points
unlegit rank1
yep, also as a matter of fact i got 0 bp in 104 elites farm in sp stage so boss drops are definetly better than elites and doing the whole map is woth it
i have officially run out of mail oil
19 prints / 37960 points
okay this one is officially good to go
perfectgaming is not perfectgaming if they do not have at least 5 hvars on their account
because that is perfectgaming
he can't farm anymore or his perfect score gets ruined
anyways i should be reporting to faerlein
208 sorties. 24 prints
I got none in the last 44 sorties
today is a bad hvar day
cmon keep updating
41 prints w/ 47220 points
on jpbro
56/383
alpha reached 75 
How much oil left?
cute number for you guys 
Top 15 on Avrora for only 36 prints
i have a hunch that JP has better rates than EN at this rate
both my accounts have roughly 45k pts but one has more HVAR prints than the other
Any good indy build for low cost mobbing, those suicide boats kill her in the boss stage once in a blue moon
Laffey II
does a DDG not work?
You can put hedgehog on her + the bunnies intercept by ramming
20k
the 4 hvar dream is drifting away as my luck goes bad
How much oil left vs prints?
Nah your luck was just good, there someone here with a ~0.25 ratio
33k 0.22 is normal, i had 37k 0.24 last time
someone had 0.27
smh
anyway im low end 0.14 now
nvm up to mid end 0.15
4 drop nice
62/401
i mean why not
still good 17% 
118k points
Ive gotten 14 eagle tech boxes out of my last 30 runs
Not a single print
Am i cooked?
~0.17 print per run
i was around .14 until the last 25

0.17 is 22% more drops than 0.14
i have only 17k mail left or so
The luck came back
plus next week oil things
im cooked
64/413 isnt even bad it's just average but i need a bit of luck to get to 100

at this rate ill need to be able to hit ~650 runs
so me
650~ runs
4 hvars
about 40k oils
do i have 40k oils left
i might, actually, but idk
itll be down to the wire i expect 
i barely have enough for a 5th
i dont care about next event
i am
a casual player

not wrong
gotta get rumey avp plymouth sandy to 125 
i'll do oil maths after this run 
gotta have a good shot at 4 to be worth going past 3 cos otherwise it's wasted

How many ships so far
oils
current: 6827
mail: 17200
canteen hours left: 9216
weekly pack: 4000
weekly task: 2900
daily tasks: 1276 (after HM cost)
total = 41419
prints = ~33 at 0.15
oh im very safe actually
cos this is ignoring all comms
still close if i dip to 0.14 or especially 0.13 though
Btw did you buy event oil yet
yea
idk
but those i need for this months CM 
this is so sad
Yeah nvm I forgot to equip hedgehog to her back lol, I switched it out to test 14-4 and just forgot to switch it back

did u craft the one from shop+milepoints?
didnt craft any yet 100 farmed + 25 shop

im prolly gonna end up at like 150k for 5 copies total
my hvar print gain v0.11
285 runs ??? oil 35 hvar
4x SP 213 oil per, 1 hvar
sadge
working overnight 
Officially less than 10 prints away from my target
I see light at the end of the tunnel 
Got my 3rd copy 28.1k points later 
1 run no help 
so that's probably 1 from each elite and 1 from boss
or 2 from elites and 2 from boss
daaamn
Approximately 1 in 10000 chance
yea kinda insane, i only had enough morale for 1 run before swapping so i was watching as well
gm saltmine
I'm starting now, 4th day, let's get the 4th hvar
I might stop after that, most likely, I only have 60k in reserve
good luck 🙏
@pastel badger what's your status now, done with the hvar farming?
2 from SP 
I want out of this drive mister manjuu
you either go 4 multis with helps and no drops or you get 4 prints in just 2 normal runs
101 out of 125
18k oil left in storage
Ima just use passive oil + weekly supply pack and weekly missions
Did a few more runs, 23/112 prints/run
Rookie numbers
I only saw my first Hornet around 70k lol
I am nearing 100k points and I still don't have enough to MLB her.
I have enough to mlb 2
I don't want more Hornet IIs, give me more HVARs
aurora is going for 5
?
4 + 1 yes
yeah u shouldn't +13 any 

i still disagree with it cos its not like youll get a million la9s super fast
i think +13ing a couple is fine if you're active in opsi
if u plan to +13 one then u might consider not farming 4 hvars
i already have 1 +13 and 3 total in general

me getting 5 hvar is more about being allergic to gearswapping than anything
wont need to swap bfgs from medium
idk honestly but to me moar gear is never bad, just means moar options 
what's a bf? pls give bf
more waifus geared up
🤝 i have ~4 rows of rudder and catapult for a reason
no really, what is a bf
pr5 rocket fighter
oh its 4? sry 
ive gotten a surprising number of catapults from d3 gold boxes at this point so this event is just
in general
think 4 or 5 even 
WORLD RECORD???
most likely is
We've found the next stage of Stockholm Syndrome boys
or are you sweet talking the event so it drops more prints for you
it's either 1 in ~4.5 million or 1 in ~140k depending on where it all dropped from
something like that
so actually not world record no but still a very rare occurrence
everybody's getting lucky today huh
I spent all my luck yesterday
the last 5 prints I need are taking forever to drop 
getting 5 in 1 run tho 
should be around 1 in 9 million
if i do this right
just probability of elite 1 * p elite 2 * p elite 3 * p boss 2x?
right
and then 1 divided by that
I got more prints in that run than in the last 20k oil 
just do lottery at that point instead
it probably isnt exactly like that but idk how to do it
think it's just probability of getting 2 5-bp runs in a row right
so just all multiply idk
You know the odds are totally in your favor when the probability has letters on it 
yes

tbh im sure someones gotten 5 in non-help before, 1 in 9 million isnt that big considering the playerbase and even a smaller fraction of it doing dozens or hundreds of runs
maybe it will be one of you 
if rates are 1.5% (elite), 6% (boss) 50% (double drop from boss) then it should be 0.015^6×0.06^2×0.5^2
for 10
211 sorties - 26 prints
I have the oil but I’m not sure enough days to get another 24. It took me 2 days and a morning to get 6 prints.
Shall I All-in? Or keep the oil in the mail just in case.
you have almost exactly half the eventtime left (+30 mins)
you most likely can if you have the spare time
is 8 bps possible for one run with help
not 3x
it shouldnt be
...i hate that you're right
But if the pace keeps on. I’m not gonna make it.
I have 1 skyraider and 3 hvars. Do I need another one?
not really
tho ill say 26/211 is quite below average result, your luck might turn around if willing to chance it
ive heard these words many times 🧓

i do believe that all luck eventually evens out
but it might not be where you expect/hope it to be
for example didnt you get a billion hornets
that's where your hvar droprate went
just got a 14th 
I got zero Hornets from D3 
she really REALLY likes you
i have 6 atm
can i get 21 bps with 67 helps 
134 runs for 21 BPs is within expected outcome I think
Bad luck can fuck you over though
0.1567




