#Meteorology

1 messages ยท Page 15 of 1

tribal arch
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๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
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WP, 32, 2025110818, , BEST, 0, 137N, 1266E, 110, 949, TY, 64, NEQ, 105, 60, 55, 95, 1005, 430, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FUNG-WONG, D,

normal frost
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aieee

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that's concerning

willow tendon
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precipitation forecast

Screenshot_20251109_063108_Zoom_Earth.jpg
willow tendon
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what also terrifies me is that this reminds me of Haiyan with the way how it's still distant to my location and winds are already battering here

random flower
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chasing down typhoon fung-wong today. wish me luck

FB_IMG_1762647566170.jpg
willow tendon
random flower
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IMPORTANT!!

# 
FUNG-WONG (PH NAME: UWAN) INTENSIFIES TO A SUPER TYPHOON
atomic flint
tribal arch
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its signal #1 here but everything is getting blown out

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i cant imagine the ones with #5

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๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿ™๐Ÿ™

atomic flint
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๐Ÿฅ€

normal frost
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stay safe chat

atomic flint
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[OVERRIDE]
32W FUNG-WONG 251109 1200 16.1N 121.8E WPAC 100 945

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crazy w/p ratio ngl

willow tendon
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Power is back

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Josh Morgerman was also there chasing fung wong

normal frost
random flower
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i'm barely safe, a few debris went straight to me at midnight

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also, i might post a youtube video on my chase on fung-wong

atomic flint
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goddamn

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at least ur safe

atomic flint
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bro can we not

tribal arch
normal frost
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motherfucker

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not again

atomic flint
#

fung wong made landfall in taiwan earlier

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its basically dead

normal frost
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poof

atomic flint
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TS FINA

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aus

normal frost
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poge

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finally smth

atomic flint
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yeah

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tbf

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it's november

normal frost
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thats true

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the storm season is over

atomic flint
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for epac/natl at least

normal frost
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wake up spac

willow tendon
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almost perfect circle

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cool

atomic flint
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oh

normal frost
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thats

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interesting

atomic flint
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ok nvm

atomic flint
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nvm we're so back

normal frost
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kinda crazy its gonna intensify when its halfway inland

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idk why aus storms always do that

atomic flint
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australia? whats that

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all i see is an ocean

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holy

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btw iona reanalysis bumped it up to c4

normal frost
atomic flint
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wait

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this might get close or even hit darwin

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wtf

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for some reason i thought darwin was further west

normal frost
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major city landfall could be very yikes

atomic flint
atomic flint
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also high chance in NIO

atomic flint
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looks like its gonna barely avoid darwin

atomic flint
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major forecasted

normal frost
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aieee

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at least its turning away

willow tendon
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yummers

atomic flint
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Darwin got spared from the worst of it thats for sure

atomic flint
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aus c4 from bom

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c3 from jtwc

willow tendon
atomic flint
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likely gonna be a rainmaker

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could be something in the SCS tho

normal frost
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dont think it will be that strong before landfall

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doesnt seem that organized

atomic flint
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holy fuckballs

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"""95/960""" from jtwc

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and yes thats for 18z

normal frost
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wtf is that small ass eye

atomic flint
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nvm they overrode

atomic flint
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yea this is headed for a landfall

atomic flint
atomic flint
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bruh

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also

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jma has GW

normal frost
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rain gaming

normal frost
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mg

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mf

atomic flint
atomic flint
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wtf is that doing there

willow tendon
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took a halt

normal frost
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HUH????

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THATS LIKE 4N

atomic flint
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WTPQ50 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2527 KOTO (2527) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 11.0N 120.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM

atomic flint
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wait thats actually a legit ts

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what the shit

atomic flint
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04B FOUR 251125 1200 4.6N 99.1E IO 40 997

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imd only has 25 kts on this btw

normal frost
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????

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this is one hell of a storm

atomic flint
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ok it got named right before landfall apparently

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what a crazy storm

normal frost
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once in a decade storm man

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the fact that it even reached TS at all

atomic flint
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yeah

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2nd? known storm in the strait of malacca

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vamei is the only other one in recorded history afaik

normal frost
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yeah

atomic flint
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yikes

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recipe for disaster honestly

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surprise storm that makes landfall in a completely unprepared place

normal frost
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jesus christ

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yea thats really bad

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honestly I don't remember anything hitting there since vamei

atomic flint
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yea nothing

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theres that one depression in 2021 but iirc that was a mayalsia storm

normal frost
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pretty sure it went extratropical before hitting sumatra

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oh yeah unrelated

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southern thailand is experiencing record breaking rainfall rn

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like most rainfall in centuries

atomic flint
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dude this is bruh moment

atomic flint
normal frost
atomic flint
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i have completely forgotten that

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there is indeed a wpac storm rn

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@normal frost

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this is Koto now

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and apparently jma went 70 kts

normal frost
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aieeee

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another vn storm it seems

ancient quarry
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vro istg if it hits southern central vn again

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they just got some of the worst flooding in history literally a week ago

Screenshot_20251121-225335_Chrome.png
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rain extremely hard and more importantly, at such a large scale, river throughput exceed even worst case prediction by 50%

atomic flint
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yikes

atomic flint
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WTIN31 DEMS 270942
QUADRANT WIND DISTRIBUTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH DITWAH OVER BAY OF BENGAL ON
0600 UTC OF 27-11-2025 FOR WHICH FORECAST IS PREPARED:
PRESENT DATE AND TIME: 270600
PRESENT POSITION: 6.9๏ฟฝN/81.9๏ฟฝE
POSITION ACCURATE TO 20 KM
PRESENT MOVEMENT (DDD/FF) PAST SIX HOURS: 320/08KT
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 35 KT, GUSTS 45 KT

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back to back NIO TS

atomic flint
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@normal frost dude

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whatevers left of senyar is over KL

normal frost
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uh oh

atomic flint
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did u have

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KL TC in ur bingo card for this year

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because i sure didnt

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also yes this is in WPAC rn

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JMA has it as TD

normal frost
atomic flint
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indeed!

normal frost
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fucked up month rn

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vietnam/thailand/malaysia with record rainfalls

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and now malaysia eating senyar

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vietnam about to eat koto

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gg man

atomic flint
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and

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ph has a big signal next week

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๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
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zzzzzz

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its fucking late NOVEMBER what is going on man

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ˜”

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wait actually isnt it neutral

normal frost
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isnt it still like

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cold neutral

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idk

atomic flint
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think so?

atomic flint
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uh

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jma issued

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a gw

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for senyar

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but they dont have it as senyar....

normal frost
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also interestingly gfs sees senyar merging into koto later on

atomic flint
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yeah

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if senyar becomes a TS again it'll only be for a very short time lol

ancient quarry
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truly a typhoon season of all time

Screenshot_20251128-170907_Windy.png
normal frost
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๐Ÿ˜”

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it never ends

atomic flint
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yeah...

normal frost
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yeah

normal frost
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lol gfs are we being real

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ’€

willow tendon
normal frost
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yea ok so nina next year

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eeeeee

atomic flint
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koto died

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amazing

normal frost
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very good

atomic flint
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jesus christ senyar has

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...

normal frost
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yeah

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1100 fatalities and counting

atomic flint
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2nd costliest NIO storm as well

atomic flint
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06P

atomic flint
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how is this not named

normal frost
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ok but like

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that thing is SO east tho

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ˜”

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theyre tracking it but don't think it'll be nameable

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TDist to them i think

atomic flint
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theres an ss in spac apparently

normal frost
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huh

atomic flint
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yeah it went unnoticed though

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for official + jtwc

atomic flint
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07S SEVEN 251212 0000 8.1S 98.0E SHEM 35 1005

normal frost
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hoeh

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something exists

atomic flint
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yeah

atomic flint
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named

normal frost
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will it stop bakung and start cookung

atomic flint
atomic flint
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kinda forgot this storm existed didnt realize it popped an eye LOL

atomic flint
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08P EIGHT 251214 1800 13.4S 169.4E SHEM 40 997

atomic flint
normal frost
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i go into hibernation until a major basin wakes up again

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its gonna be nina next year too ๐Ÿ˜”

atomic flint
#

03U

atomic flint
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but hey off season is fun too

normal frost
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only when something funny happens

atomic flint
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true

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shem tracks moment

atomic flint
atomic flint
normal frost
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hoeh

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its wrappin

atomic flint
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bro

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dry air moment

normal frost
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lol wtf it actually DIED

atomic flint
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named, grant

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surely doesn't get dry aird

normal frost
atomic flint
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so yeah it didnt Die

normal frost
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huh

atomic flint
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it only got dry aird to oblivion

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otherwise conditions are pretty good

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

biparjoy flashbacks

atomic flint
#

still alive

normal frost
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how

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it's actaually leaving dry air soon

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so might restrengthen

atomic flint
#

yeah

atomic flint
#

grant moved into swio

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mfr has sts

normal frost
atomic flint
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huge news for the unemployed

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@normal frost

normal frost
#

ZAMN

willow tendon
normal frost
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funny!!!

atomic flint
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yep

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@normal frost

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@willow tendon

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also hayley got named a while ago and uh

normal frost
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swag

atomic flint
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hayley reached major (BoM)

atomic flint
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hayley died a while ago

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grant is struggling

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anyway theres an AOI in aus

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probably gonna be the first storm of the year

normal frost
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nina season time

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๐Ÿ’”

atomic flint
#

the first storm of 2026 has formed

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say hello to tropical cyclone iggy

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though...if you go by jtwc they had this as a TS on 18z

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so you could also say it was the last storm of the year

normal frost
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close enough

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happy new years

atomic flint
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indeed

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happy new year

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bom forecast

atomic flint
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grant on its last legs

normal frost
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it was a good run

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this mf almost crossed the ocean

atomic flint
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true

atomic flint
#

on today's episode of "what the fuck man"

normal frost
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shh

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let it do the thing

atomic flint
atomic flint
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iggy is non-tc now for bom

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unforch

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dont think they have it as a tc for more than half a day

normal frost
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not the season unfortunately

atomic flint
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aus is starting extremely strong

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3 majors + 2 named TS (of which one became a near c5 in swio)

tribal arch
normal frost
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LMAO

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any truers

tribal arch
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๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ˜ญ ๐Ÿ˜ญ ๐Ÿ˜ญ

#

ayo?

normal frost
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interesting

atomic flint
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nvm bring that timeline up ig

atomic flint
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kinda just there

atomic flint
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oh jenna formed

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bom has aus c2 and forecasts c3

normal frost
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thats certainly a shrimp

atomic flint
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wow ok

atomic flint
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lol

atomic flint
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jenna seems to have peaked

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c2/mid aus c3

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https://fixupx.com/frontierfcst/status/2008532025016279532

Forecast Frontier (@frontierfcst)

#Jenna has likely peaked today at 12z as a Category 2 cyclone, with sustained winds of 90 kt (105 mph/170 km/h) supported by T 5.0 at 6z and 12z. Although the storm exhibits strong poleward outflow, recent satellite imagery indicates that increasing wind shear is restricting its outflow to the north. Vortical hot towers are struggling to wrap, and the eye has become less well-defined. Increasing mid-level dry air will contribute to Jenna rapidly weakening and decoupling throughout the next 24 hours.

**๐Ÿ” 2โ€‚โค๏ธ 2โ€‚๐Ÿ‘๏ธ 164โ€‚**

โ–ถ Play video
FixupX ยท
#

good run

atomic flint
#

ho

normal frost
atomic flint
#

overperformed

#

BOB 01 designated

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imd wants DD

atomic flint
#

huh they dont forecast TC?

normal frost
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thats interesting

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its def gonna TC lol

atomic flint
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well...

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also i just realized they were initially forecasting a direct hit to a city of 200k lmao

atomic flint
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now theyre forecasting

normal frost
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and there it is

atomic flint
#

@normal frost wtf is that gales windfield

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LOL

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reminds me of this

1280px-Eta_Carinae.jpg
normal frost
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LMAO WHAT

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thats not real

atomic flint
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truly a society

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then again

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it looks like this rn

atomic flint
#

btw we have a NIO DD

atomic flint
normal frost
#

nio system are we back

atomic flint
#

wasnt named either

atomic flint
#

so dudzai got named earlier (swio)

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and its alr an STS

normal frost
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death

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ap ur my only update on these

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ive been uni gamed i cant even check

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿฅ€

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honestly idk ive been checking on it less often due to other stuff as well

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tho it still depends on whats happening ofc

atomic flint
#

well then

atomic flint
#

holy fuck @normal frost

atomic flint
# 

Maximum sustained winds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 205 km/h.
Maximum gusts at sea: 285 km/h.
Estimated central pressure: 937 hPa.
Position on January 12 at 4:00 PM local time: 16.8ยฐ South / 77.9ยฐ East.```
#

jtwc has c4

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btw wpac invest

normal frost
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what the fuck

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why did bro wejj

normal frost
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its going to die

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

oof

normal frost
#

๐Ÿ˜ญ

#

disintegrated

atomic flint
#

jma gale warning as well

normal frost
#

hoh

atomic flint
#

nvm dudzai is so back

atomic flint
#

gunning for 2nd major peak?

normal frost
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ye

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whitedoable

atomic flint
#

WTPQ50 RJTD 150600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2601 NOKAEN (2601) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150600UTC 09.9N 128.9E FAIR
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH

#

first January named ts in a while

normal frost
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wao an actual jan storm

atomic flint
#

dudzai

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

wtf?

normal frost
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WHAT

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sir

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that is not allowed

atomic flint
#

c4 second peak it seems like

atomic flint
#

literally how

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25kt shear btw

normal frost
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ig every other condition is so good that it just pretends the shear doesnt exist

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thats my goat

atomic flint
#

average jet interaction things

atomic flint
#

rip

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o h

normal frost
#

man

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ph just cant catch a break

atomic flint
#

going for one more peak?

normal frost
#

again???

atomic flint
normal frost
#

dudzai doing their 3847th reintensification

atomic flint
#

kekw

atomic flint
#

thats a Track

atomic flint
#

oh yeah

#

nokaen is still alive

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@normal frost

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just in case you forgot abt it

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its the thing on top

normal frost
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lol wtf

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yeah i forgot about it

atomic flint
#

potential shortie

#

dudzai

normal frost
#

bro does not wanna die

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i respect the hustle

atomic flint
#

ikr

#

probably on its actual actual final legs though

atomic flint
#

nokaen finally died

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dudzai is dying for the final time

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anyway we have ewetse

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honestly theres a lot of potential storms rn in shem so lemme just send a summary from someone else

normal frost
#

spac wake up

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need some funny storms

normal frost
#

theres quite literally nothing there

atomic flint
#

lmaooooooooo

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it went poof man

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also

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130/939

normal frost
#

ZAMN

#

finally dora full report

atomic flint
#

yepppp

atomic flint
#

o7

normal frost
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man.

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so long dudzai

atomic flint
#

that was indeed a storm

atomic flint
#

oh yeah just in case it wasnt known

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eweste already died

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also another SPAC TS is dying without being named!

atomic flint
#

not a single named one /shrug

atomic flint
#

17S SEVENTEEN 260123 0000 13.5S 119.8E SHEM 35 995

normal frost
#

when the agencies are sleeping

atomic flint
#

and another one at medium chance

atomic flint
#

Luana

atomic flint
#

luana reached c2 aus

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landfall

normal frost
#

o damn

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that was fast

atomic flint
#

yeah

atomic flint
#

dont be fooled this isnt an ocean

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thats western australia ๐Ÿ’€

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whatevers left of luana

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also this was hilarious

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further proof that australia doesnt exist

normal frost
#

why does this keeps happening on australia

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what the fuck

atomic flint
#

2 systems

atomic flint
normal frost
#

fantasyland

atomic flint
#

also theres an spac storm

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still not named btw

atomic flint
#

can we name this already????

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what the fuck man

normal frost
#

love it when agencies dont name literal TS

atomic flint
#

still not named

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fms doesnt want to i guess

atomic flint
#

peaked 55kts apparently

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but probably has c1 support i wont be surprised

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unnamed btw!

atomic flint
#

so that died

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anyway

# 
PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FYTIA) 996 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.6 S / 42.4 E
(FIFTEEN    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES SOUTH AND
FORTY TWO    DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 3 KT
atomic flint
#

55 kts now

#

10min

normal frost
#

damn

#

another madagascar storm

atomic flint
#

...

#

@normal frost

normal frost
#

???????????

atomic flint
#

itc is on the table

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accd to mfr

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also another spac tc formed

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that very likely Wont Get Named

#

:D

atomic flint
#

what the fuck???

atomic flint
#

it got dry aird gg

normal frost
#

aw man

atomic flint
#

landfall earlier

normal frost
#

wild for being channel storm

atomic flint
#

yeah

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

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just in case u forgot that australia doesnt exist

normal frost
#

spinny funne

atomic flint
atomic flint
atomic flint
#

GW in wpac

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for 94W

atomic flint
#

now 02W

normal frost
#

havent seen south ph storm in a hot minute

atomic flint
#

WTPQ50 RJTD 041200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2602 PENHA (2602) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041200UTC 09.1N 131.9E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH

atomic flint
#

kinda wild

#

last time was 2019 apparently

normal frost
#

live climate change reaction

atomic flint
#

18U-21U

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anyway penha landfall

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priscilla tcr also released upping it to c3

normal frost
#

pog

normal frost
atomic flint
#

ikr

atomic flint
#

@normal frost nah man this is a much better aus track

#

laurence 2009

normal frost
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road trip

atomic flint
#

indeed

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coastal hugger

normal frost
#

why does aus always do this lmfao

atomic flint
#

because australia is a figment of your imagination

normal frost
#

me rn

atomic flint
#

LMAO

atomic flint
#

way ahead of schedule

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(apparently)

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(still havent seen it on bom website)

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but this was 3 hours ago

atomic flint
normal frost
#

poge

atomic flint
#

ts mitchell

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cuz i forgor to specify name

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this thing has technically been around since jan 22 btw

atomic flint
normal frost
#

wtf its huge

atomic flint
#

bom has aus c3

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70kts 10 min

normal frost
#

now that thing is FAT

atomic flint
#

thicc boi

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also penha is dead

#

apparently damage was really bad

normal frost
#

jesus

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

this one finally got named

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earlier forecasts had an ITC

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meanwhile mitchell is struggling a bit as it approaches landfall

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seems to have peaked earlier

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anyway newly named gezani

normal frost
normal frost
atomic flint
#

oh wow

atomic flint
#

welp it over performed i think

normal frost
#

ono

atomic flint
#

mfr is back to forecasting ITC

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so yikes

atomic flint
#

well then

normal frost
#

erm

atomic flint
#

https://fixupx.com/frontierfcst/status/2021255771405557767

Forecast Frontier (@frontierfcst)

Gezani has undergone rapid intensification throughout the past 24 hours. The storm has likely peaked as a powerful Category 4 major cyclone, with winds around 120-125 kt (140-145 mph). 15z is also unofficially DT 6.5. Gezani is about to make landfall, and residents in Toamasina Province should remain in shelter due to dangerous winds, storm surge, flooding, and landslides. Stay safe, everyone!

โ–ถ Play video
FixupX ยท
#

yikes

normal frost
#

damn they did a 6.5

#

thats certainly something for SWIO

atomic flint
#

landfall

atomic flint
#

it made direct landfall on the 2nd biggest city in madagascar

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toasmania

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did so right at peak too

#

thats...bad

atomic flint
#

Oh Come On

#

round 2,,,,,,

normal frost
#

oh come on

#

why is it doing another RI

#

what is happening man

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿฅฒ

atomic flint
#

i don't like this

normal frost
#

???????

#

how

#

its been only 8 hours

atomic flint
#

yeah.

#

its not wasting any time at all

atomic flint
#

dry air?

normal frost
#

seems like it

#

i checked and theres like 0 shear

atomic flint
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...?

normal frost
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?

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why is it so close

atomic flint
normal frost
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this storm wants to be freddy so bad

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bye

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also thats way too close for comfort

normal frost
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not today gezani

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and anotha one

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hmm

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major time

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22S TWENTYTWO 260220 0000 14.5S 76.0E SHEM 35 1001

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PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HORACIO) 996 HPA

normal frost
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named poge

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it is kinda prime india season rn

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๐Ÿฅ€

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on todays episode of Australia not being real

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dude WHAT

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not real

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the continent that is

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and we're back

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back on schedule

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oh wow

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let it cook

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the shrimp is being baked

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WAIT WHAT THE FUCK

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[OVERRIDE]
22S HORACIO 260223 1800 20.7S 65.1E SHEM 140 920

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HUH

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rip

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what did they mean by this @normal frost

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what does that even mean

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i dont think galeforce winds pleases the eyes

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oh wait i just woke up

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i dont think hurricanes eat cereal

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in fact dry cereal may dry it up

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LMAO

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nothing happening rn outside of horacio dying

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yea

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quiet atm

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nvm guess we'll have our first spac named storm?

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FMS went high chance for this

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@normal frost lol wtf

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still unnamed but like did you expect anything from fms

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165/892

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peak wind speeds now tie hurricane allen

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hoeh

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miracles exist.

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keep it going

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hope nothing happens

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wtf

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ok so will any of them form

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nz metservice declared urmil as EX

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sleepge

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lmfao

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thats funny looking

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ikr

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quadruple trouble

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3 moderate chances and 1 low for bom

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nvm

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merge wen

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none of these got named btw

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absolute slopfest

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short lived slop forecasted

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woo hoo more slop

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WTPQ50 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2603 NURI (2603) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 11.7N 138.1E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT

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yay

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only took an ocean full of slop

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wpac retirements

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WIPHA, CO-MAY, MATMO, MITAG, RAGASA, BUALOI, KALMAEGI, and FUNG-WONG

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fair

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i dont remember co-may but the rest yea

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so long bualoi

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hit the ph on the west side

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๐Ÿ”ฅ

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96P (aus) and 97P (spac)

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potential medicane?

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27P TWENTYSEVE 260317 0000 12.3S 156.6E SHEM 40 1000

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woa

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medicanes cool

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named alr btw

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narelle

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major forecast alr

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named samuel

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hey so

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btw BOM is forecasting AUS C5

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https://fixupx.com/i/status/2034250865364566199

Sausiuswx (@Sausius_wx)

Earlier today, the storm known variously as Samuel, Jolina or Quibilah made landfall along the Lybian coast near New Brega (ุงู„ุจุฑูŠู‚ุฉ ุงู„ุฌุฏูŠุฏุฉ) as a 'medicane', a type of subtropical storm. 1 minute sustained winds were likely on the order of about 85 km/h (52 mph)

**๐Ÿ’ฌ 2โ€‚๐Ÿ” 7โ€‚โค๏ธ 20โ€‚๐Ÿ‘๏ธ 1.0Kโ€‚**

FixupX ยท
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also damn awaken left ๐Ÿ˜”

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and we have major

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yeah this thing is going

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BOM HAS CALLED AUS C5

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had WMG earlier

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sinlaku.