#Meteorology

1 messages ยท Page 13 of 1

atomic flint
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Garance made landfall.

normal frost
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ws?

atomic flint
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wind speed?

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idk think c1

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got a bit shredded before lf

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oh yeah alfred rebounded to c4 aus earlier

normal frost
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poge

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well not pog speaking landfalls

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idk why its hanging on

atomic flint
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is that what i think it is @normal frost

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alfred (yes its still alive)

tribal arch
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bruh

normal frost
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WHAT

atomic flint
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is bro headed for a brisbane landfall

tribal arch
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i dont think so

atomic flint
normal frost
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wtf bro has a vendetta against brisbane

tribal arch
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bro went straight for it

normal frost
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tbh an awful lot of mozambique channel storms does a loop lately

atomic flint
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yeah

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would be 2nd one this year

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3rd if u count honde but ehhhhh

normal frost
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I mean usually it's like one every 2-3 years

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we have like what 5? the past 2 years

atomic flint
normal frost
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wtf

normal frost
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???????????

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thats one hell of an RI

atomic flint
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if this wasnt rushing into land

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๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
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Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 140 km/h.
Maximum gusts estimated at sea: 195 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 970 hPa.
Position on March 9 at 22:00 local time Reunion: 15.0 South / 41.2 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1630 km in the WEST-NORTH-WEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 490 km in the WEST-SOUTH-WEST sector
Movement: WEST, at 19 km/h.```
tribal arch
normal frost
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that's kinda fast already

atomic flint
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yeah

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it also made landfall 12 hours earlier

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so yeah time ran out

normal frost
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good thing it didn't have more time let's be real

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it was RI'ing like hell

atomic flint
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yeah

atomic flint
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oooh

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09U of the aus season got upgraded into a TC

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season is now sitting at 8 tcs and 6 stcs

normal frost
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oh?

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active season SuiMochiStare

tribal arch
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๐Ÿคจ

atomic flint
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cyclone courtney!

normal frost
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yay?

atomic flint
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alr aus c2

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aus c4 forecasted

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also off topic a TL reached 45kts 10-min winds (accd to BoM) w/o getting named due to gale rule lol

normal frost
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lol gale rule moment

tribal arch
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damn c 3

normal frost
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thats a crazy form

atomic flint
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aus c4 is equivalent to a major hurricane tho

normal frost
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oh no

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do not the wejj

atomic flint
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better luck next time

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@normal frost so any guesses

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dyt this will get Named

normal frost
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gale rule tf

atomic flint
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Schrodinger's cyclone

normal frost
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for the first time I get to use an earthquake site since thailand had an earthquake today

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it's not meteorology but yk

atomic flint
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oh wow

atomic flint
normal frost
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smh

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every time

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never change bom

atomic flint
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so long hurricane streak

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was nice knowing u

atomic flint
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(provided that it actually meets criteria)

atomic flint
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sure myanmar but still

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are u guys alr?

normal frost
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yea we're fine

atomic flint
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thats good to hear

atomic flint
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anyway cyclone courtney is now a major

normal frost
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wao last minute name

normal frost
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it really tried forming an eye

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๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
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????????

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holy wejj

tribal arch
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holy ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ

atomic flint
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too bad it didnt make aus c5

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cuz bom stopped issuing advisories alr

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mfr gonna take over for 12z

atomic flint
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holy shit @tribal arch @normal frost

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WTF

#
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5 S / 90.2 E
(EIGHTEEN    DECIMAL FIVE   DEGREES SOUTH AND
NINETY    DECIMAL TWO   DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT```
normal frost
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please cross the ocean

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it will be funny

atomic flint
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oh

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a Freddy

tribal arch
atomic flint
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(also dianne got upgraded to aus c2)

normal frost
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man aus is so weirdly active

tribal arch
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i blame climate change

atomic flint
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this might be the first year in a while that aus is above average

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just depends on how april plays out

atomic flint
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natl - beryl, helene, milton are retired

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epac - john retired

normal frost
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rip john

tribal arch
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๐Ÿ˜”

atomic flint
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Invest #96P looks like a tropical cyclone at the moment and while microwave is missing the core, it's clear from infrared satellite that a strong curved band is present under the cirrus shield.
๏ธ€๏ธ€
๏ธ€๏ธ€Will be interesting to see how this evolves as it battles mod. vertical wind shear.

**๐Ÿ” 4โ€‚โค๏ธ 17โ€‚๐Ÿ‘๏ธ 336โ€‚**

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if this forms aus becomes slightly above average

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also another TL has a low chance to form in a week accd to BoM

normal frost
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its trying alright

normal frost
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oh

atomic flint
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30P exists

atomic flint
atomic flint
normal frost
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i thought it was supposed to be Dying

atomic flint
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and yea it somewhat did

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but damn is it taking A While

atomic flint
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TC ADVISORY 
DTG:                 20250415/1200Z
TCAC:                DARWIN
TC:                  ERROL
ADVISORY NR:         2025/10
OBS PSN:             15/1200Z S1348 E12112
CB:                  WI 80NM OF SYSTEM CENTRE TOP FL600
MOV:                 W 07KT
INTST CHANGE:        INTSF
C:                   999HPA
MAX WIND:            35KT
FCST PSN +6HR:       15/1800 S1348 E12024
FCST MAX WIND +6HR:  40KT
FCST PSN +12HR:      16/0000 S1354 E11948
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 45KT
FCST PSN +18HR:      16/0600 S1400 E11912
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 50KT
FCST PSN +24HR:      16/1200 S1406 E11900
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 55KT
RMK:                 NIL
NXT MSG:             20250415/1900Z```
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@normal frost

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there

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u sure thats 35kts

normal frost
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every time man

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fucking bom lol

normal frost
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what

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WHAT

atomic flint
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29S ERROL 250416 0600 14.2S 119.2E SHEM 120 940

normal frost
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good god why is it wejjing

atomic flint
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TCSSIO

A.  29S (ERROL)

B.  16/1130Z

C.  14.3S

D.  118.9E

E.  ONE/HIMAWARI-9

F.  T6.5/6.5

G.  IR/EIR

H.  REMARKS...WMG EYE IS SURROUNDED BY AND EMBEDDED IN CMG RESULTING IN A
DT OF 7.5 AFTER ADDING 1.0 FOR THE EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE MET IS 5.5 BASED ON
RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 6.0. THE FT IS BASED
ON THE 6 HOUR AVERAGE DT OF 6.7, WHICH JUSTIFIES BREAKING CONSTRAINTS.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...TURK```
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@normal frost DT 7.5

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...so why the fuck did they fix 6.5

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LMAO

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actually insane though holy fkin shit

normal frost
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that wejj is so compact holy fk

atomic flint
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oof seems to have peaked

atomic flint
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oh shit

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we did get it @normal frost

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29S ERROL 250416 1200 14.4S 118.9E SHEM 140 919

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BoM went aus c4 ๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
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the elusive aus c5...

normal frost
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nah it looks pretty okay already

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give it like 12h

normal frost
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thats a quick wrap tf

atomic flint
atomic flint
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Subtropical Storm KANTO (15-20242025) :
Information at 10 UTC :
Estimated position : 33.2S / 43.7E
Movement : South-east, 6 kt
Maximum wind speed (averaged over 10 minutes) : 40 kt
Estimated central pressure : 994 hPa

atomic flint
normal frost
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I mean probably better it flopped

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we do not need another aus monster storm

normal frost
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this is wholesome

atomic flint
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low chance accd to bmkg

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very cool

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also aus now has 12 storms cuz bom upgraded another unnamed storm

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first above average season since 2005-06

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(aka the season that had cyclone monica)

normal frost
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aus above average for once

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not that its a good thing but yk

atomic flint
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not forecast to get named

normal frost
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WE ARE BACK ONLINE

atomic flint
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aaaand its dying

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at least it hit 50kts earlier

normal frost
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ok well it is still late may

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it's whatever

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although last year it was mid may

tribal arch
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bruh discord hid this channel for me

normal frost
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nah i think it just got archived for a while since it was dead

atomic flint
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yeah that

atomic flint
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still no wpac/natl storm btw

normal frost
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let it brew

normal frost
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the name cosme goes kinda hard tho

normal frost
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epac is morally the best theater because the least amount of people gets affected

atomic flint
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the good ol aus:

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jk there's more people affected there

normal frost
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actually I feel like it depends

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maybe aus is better if epac storms hits like CA or something

normal frost
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that will be interesting

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wutip huh

atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2501 WUTIP (2501) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  110000UTC 16.2N 113.9E FAIR
MOVE  WNW 07KT
PRES  994HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  240NM SOUTHWEST 180NM NORTHEAST```
normal frost
#

put it in the oven

normal frost
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nah what the fuck

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thats illegal it cant do that

atomic flint
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forecast was hainan landfall btw

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i Dont Think its gonna do that Anymore

normal frost
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the form looks very cursed

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its dead as fuck

normal frost
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I mean thats what happens when you get near hainan

atomic flint
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yea

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anyway 93E

normal frost
#

that thing is giving me hella rain tho

atomic flint
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high chance

normal frost
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its been raining a whole lot the past 2 days

atomic flint
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could be ts #4 of epac

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oh shit

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stay safe man

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we've been having Pretty Awful Weather the past week

normal frost
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nah is just rain but like

atomic flint
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...then again thats to be Expected (at least no typhoon)

normal frost
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its a bit annoying

atomic flint
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mhm

normal frost
atomic flint
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Indeed

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๐Ÿ’”

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the wpac is waking...

normal frost
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wake the tiger

atomic flint
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๐Ÿฅถ

normal frost
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it seems like an ok position rn

atomic flint
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ยฏ_(ใƒ„)_/ยฏ

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havent been looking at models ngl

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mayb depends on how fast it forms

atomic flint
atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  STS 2501 WUTIP (2501) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN  121800UTC 17.5N 108.9E FAIR
MOVE  W 06KT
PRES  985HPA
MXWD  050KT
GUST  070KT
30KT  240NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH```
normal frost
#

STS kekw

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ok well it doesnt even have a core anymore so fair LOL

normal frost
#

what

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no fucking way

normal frost
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is that

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an Eye

atomic flint
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Yes It Is

normal frost
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the fact that it's holding 60 still is demented

normal frost
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imo a weak hurricane is doable but aside from that it prob would stay TS

atomic flint
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btw this is its 2nd landfall i forgor to msg abt the first

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jogged to hainan lmfao

atomic flint
normal frost
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94e looking to be interesting

atomic flint
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in a bad way

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unfortunately

atomic flint
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94E INVEST 250616 1800 10.4N 91.5W EPAC 30 1009

normal frost
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hoh

normal frost
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gfs?

atomic flint
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...ERICK EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY WHILE
APPROACHING THE COASTS OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 600 AM CST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...12.1N 93.8W
ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SE OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

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named

atomic flint
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yikes.

normal frost
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uh oh

normal frost
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solid form now

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that's quite fast

atomic flint
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and

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check where its headed

normal frost
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uh oh

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pretty sure that area of mexico is giga landslide hazard too

atomic flint
#

,,,,

normal frost
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yea ok

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thats getting really scary

normal frost
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I forgot looking at hwrf can be comedy sometimes

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because the model is always so wack

atomic flint
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recon on its way

normal frost
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um

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is that a real core im seeing

atomic flint
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i mean

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it is a hurricane now...

atomic flint
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major forecasted

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recon is in the thing

atomic flint
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...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS ERICK NOW A CATEGORY 2
HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO BRING DAMAGING WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...14.2N 96.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SE OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES

tribal arch
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im awake

normal frost
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hell nah

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that thing looks wild on recon

atomic flint
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yeahh

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major now

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but seems like it got into an ewrc

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EP, 05, 2025061900, , BEST, 0, 149N, 967W, 105, 953, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 15, 10, 20, 1007, 160, 10, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, ERICK, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 006,

normal frost
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gfs was spot on then jesus christ

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4th storm? major

atomic flint
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5th

atomic flint
#

landfalling

normal frost
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praying for a not so bad damage path

atomic flint
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0/40 for a new EPAC AOI

atomic flint
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...mostly in Guatemala

normal frost
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man...

normal frost
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me waiting for invests to form (ik there's 2 but yk)

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natl one is prob not forming for sure but epac one maybe

atomic flint
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yea 70% for epac

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we also have 02W

normal frost
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if it does it will prob be SS lol

atomic flint
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yea lmaooo

#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2502 SEPAT (2502) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  230000UTC 24.5N 144.7E GOOD
MOVE  NW 08KT
PRES  1004HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  150NM NORTHEAST 60NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF  231200UTC 26.8N 142.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE  NNW 14KT
PRES  1004HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
24HF  240000UTC 29.2N 141.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE  NNW 14KT
PRES  1004HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
48HF  250000UTC 32.6N 139.5E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =```
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@normal frost

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wpac storm #2

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slopocane

normal frost
#

slop mmmm

atomic flint
#

oops!

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all slop!

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also 96w exists and might form if u want More Slop

ancient quarry
#

The wait is finally over, and we're thrilled to unveil our 2024 weather visualisation!

This video lets you revisit the key weather events of last year on a global scale. As always, EUMETSATโ€™s Training Manager, Mark Higgins, guides us through the incredible insights we can gain from space.

We've highlighted the most significant storms worldwi...

โ–ถ Play video
#

neat video, thanks facebook

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minus the comment section

atomic flint
#

cool vid

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tho some relatively strong storms didnt get named wonder why

normal frost
normal frost
#

actual walking off a cliff

atomic flint
#

(is it even still a tc?)

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also sepat is

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yea

normal frost
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death

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its so small tho

atomic flint
#

yea lmao

atomic flint
#

03W

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not expected to be a TS

normal frost
#

all slop!

normal frost
#

what the shrimp

atomic flint
#

unnamed ts gg

normal frost
#

epic fail

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thats kinda sad

atomic flint
#

aois on both sides of the whem

normal frost
#

interesting

atomic flint
#

EP, 06, 2025062912, , BEST, 0, 132N, 997W, 35, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 20, 0, 0, 1011, 190, 90, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, SIX, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 007,

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we should have flossie

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also 02L is

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yea...

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spot the tc challenge

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(recon confirmed its one btw)

atomic flint
#

flossie!!!!

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aaand

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AL, 02, 2025062912, , BEST, 0, 201N, 960W, 35, 1008, TS, 34, NEQ, 30, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 100, 30, 45, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, BARRY, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 005,

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barry

ancient quarry
#

damn its june

tribal arch
#

๐Ÿ—ฟ๐Ÿ—ฟ

atomic flint
#

@normal frost @tribal arch

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on today's episode of

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"will this storm become a major"

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we have a newly crowned hurricane called flossie

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place ur bets!!!!!!

normal frost
#

it is doing the Funny

atomic flint
#

indeed

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also in case u couldnt tell

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barry died

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like Yesterday

normal frost
#

yea its dead lol

normal frost
atomic flint
#

prolly is

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oh wait

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it is

normal frost
atomic flint
#

...FLOSSIE STRENGTHENS SOME MORE OFFSHORE SOUTHWEST MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...16.5N 104.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

#

still no major forecast

normal frost
#

honestly could be major

atomic flint
#

yeah

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it has time and conditions for it no?

normal frost
#

yea it does

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it will prob be erick 2

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at most id guess barely major

atomic flint
#

welp we'll see

tribal arch
#

๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’

normal frost
#

its doing da wrap

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let it cook

atomic flint
#

@normal frost @tribal arch @ancient quarry lol ok

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also we have 04W

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jma gw as well, 45kt peak expected

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sepat v2 really

tribal arch
#

๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’

normal frost
#

well that was fast

atomic flint
#

aaand yea it peaked at major

atomic flint
normal frost
#

lmfao

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i am the oracle

atomic flint
#

we now have tropical storm mun

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from 04w

normal frost
#

a lot of shrimpin lately

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we are in da season

atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2504 DANAS (2504) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  041800UTC 20.1N 117.2E FAIR
MOVE  ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES  996HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  120NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH```
tribal arch
normal frost
#

interesting

atomic flint
#

this was before 6z

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@normal frost @tribal arch @ancient quarry

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45 kts accd. to JMA btw

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STS peak btw

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jtwc estimate is alr at their forecasted peak LOL

normal frost
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what the fuck bro

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thats not ok

tribal arch
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thats huge ๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
#

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...30.9N 79.0W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 005 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

#

we have chantal

normal frost
#

chantal is such a not us name tho lol

atomic flint
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ikr lmao

normal frost
#

that thing is so scuffed tho lol

normal frost
#

what the hell

atomic flint
#

wpac moment

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yea it peaked

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seems to be headed straight for southern taiwan

tribal arch
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bruh boomerang ๐Ÿ—ฟ๐Ÿ—ฟ

atomic flint
#

made landfall earlier

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tainan city, taiwan

atomic flint
#

06w

normal frost
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pog

atomic flint
#

still not named

normal frost
#

well it is now

atomic flint
#

damn it went poof

normal frost
#

yea

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got blown to shreds lmao

atomic flint
#

08w

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slop ahhh

normal frost
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oops all slop

atomic flint
#

aoi in swio

atomic flint
#

01S ONE 250716 1800 9.8S 89.8E SHEM 35 1003

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mfr forecasts mts

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pretty damn cool to have one in july

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also this shit exists

normal frost
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first ph storm huh

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I guess its that time of year already

atomic flint
#

yeaaaa

random flower
#

red rainfall warning for me y'all

random flower
#

5:00 am gmt+8

random flower
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holy shit

worthy kernel
#

Any updates for Tropical Storm Wipha?

random flower
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my place is currently in tcws #1

worthy kernel
normal frost
#

its doing the Thing

atomic flint
#

hko has gone and declared wipha to be a typhoon

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presumably either due to recon or obs

atomic flint
#

HKO has 140km/h

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also

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@normal frost @ancient quarry

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they raised it.

normal frost
#

hoh

atomic flint
#

the last signal 10 was...saola right?

atomic flint
#

considering they have obs (and prolly recon too) they're definitely the most believable estimate

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better than believing the clowns at jtwc (60kts 1m) and jma (55kts 10m)

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๐Ÿ’€

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actually i stand corrected jtwc has minimal c1

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still low though

normal frost
#

mininal c1 is still a very lowball lmao

atomic flint
#

also idt this is avoiding landfall

normal frost
#

yea

#

its wild for where it is rn

vapid quail
#

please heaven beings get rid of this storm and let me watch fantastic 4 tomorrow

normal frost
#

98w seems interesting

#

gfs has some interesting models

normal frost
#

uh oh

atomic flint
#

somehow

#

jma is very behind ngl

#

at least they have GW

normal frost
#

LMAO

#

35kt is actually so ๐Ÿ’€

#

jma wtf are you doing

atomic flint
#

i kid u not

#

jma kept the same estimate

normal frost
#

no way man

vapid quail
#

holy fuck it actually formed into a fucking storm

#

and became a typhoon just days later

#

a day infact

atomic flint
#

yea pagasa and jtwc have typhoon

#

jma has sts

normal frost
#

demented track btw

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

we have krosa...for some reason?

normal frost
#

it will prob weaken when it rams back into luzon anyway

tribal arch
#

yea

atomic flint
#

pangasinan landfall

#

Tropical Cyclone Update

At 10:40 PM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon EMONG made landfall in the vicinity of Agno, Pangasinan.

All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA

normal frost
#

thanks jma

atomic flint
#

a day late but at least they (barely) didnt miss it

normal frost
#

barely

#

sir you are a meteorological agency you are not supposed to be late with these things

tribal arch
#

typical

atomic flint
#

90C INVEST 250726 0000 10.6N 140.9W CPAC 25 1008

#

50/60

normal frost
#

hoh

atomic flint
#

jma went TY on krosa

normal frost
#

fish storm my beloved

atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2508 CO-MAY (2508) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  271200UTC 26.1N 129.6E GOOD
MOVE  ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES  992HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH```
#

its...back...?

normal frost
#

is it tho

#

i dont think it will strengthen much anymore

random flower
#

wai

#

vas

atomic flint
#

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PASS WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...11.0N 146.6W
ABOUT 1030 MI...1660 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

#

01C

normal frost
#

tfw wejj coming and im more interested in the cpac storm OMEGALUL

atomic flint
#

here u go man

#

60kts peak forecast

normal frost
#

hell yeah

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

what the fuck @normal frost

#

we have

#

02C

#

AND hurricane iona

#

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...12.0N 143.6W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1840 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

normal frost
#

WOO

atomic flint
# normal frost WOO

CP, 02, 2025072818, , BEST, 0, 120N, 1442W, 35, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 30, 0, 0, 30, 1011, 90, 20, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, KELI, M,

#

back to back cpac storms

#

LOL

normal frost
#

cpac my beloved

normal frost
#

wait its cooking

#

is that a mfing eye

atomic flint
#

yeah i mean u saw those vhts wrap

normal frost
#

it was q u i c k too

#

for a cpac storm this goes hard

atomic flint
#

indeed

atomic flint
#

...IONA STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE FAR SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...10.8N 153.2W
ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES

#

c4 forecasted

#

actually Huge.

normal frost
#

what the fuck

#

funny the forecast 2 days ago wasnt even a minimal hurricane

#

look at it now

atomic flint
#

110kt for last advisory

#

tho eye gon

normal frost
#

its running out of time

#

unfortunately

tribal arch
#

โš ๏ธ Tsunami Warning: Japanโ€™s East Coast
๏ธ€๏ธ€
๏ธ€๏ธ€A powerful magnitude 8.7 earthquake struck off the Russian coast, north of Hokkaido, this morning. Tsunami waves are now moving south across the Pacific and may impact Japanโ€™s eastern coastline.
๏ธ€๏ธ€
๏ธ€๏ธ€If youโ€™re in the affected regions, stay away from the sea. Follow official evacuation advice for your safety.

**๐Ÿ’ฌ 35โ€‚๐Ÿ” 409โ€‚โค๏ธ 2.5Kโ€‚๐Ÿ‘๏ธ 282.3Kโ€‚**

#

WHAT!?

#

8.7?????

#

WHAT

atomic flint
#

yea this is crazy

atomic flint
#

6th strongest earthquake.

normal frost
#

wtf

normal frost
#

hone...

tribal arch
#

No..

#

im welpyes btw

normal frost
#

a lil messy but it got there

atomic flint
#

bailu formed

#

yea its sloppy

normal frost
#

bruh its gonna die in a day

tribal arch
#

surely

atomic flint
#

dexter formed (natl)

atomic flint
#

yea its basically dead

#

henriette (epac) has also formed

atomic flint
#

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...14.8N 120.6W
ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

#

...DEXTER CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...36.1N 66.2W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM NNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

normal frost
#

possibly weak hurricane doable

#

it is a bit far out tho

atomic flint
#

hurricane is on the cone now tho

#

but in a place u def dont expect it

#

ivo (epac) formed

#

dexter died

#

02S formed

normal frost
normal frost
#

wtf

tribal arch
#

๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2511 PODUL (2511) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  071800UTC 18.8N 146.3E FAIR
MOVE  W 08KT
PRES  1002HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  90NM```
#

this was last night

#

forgor to send

normal frost
#

its ok

atomic flint
normal frost
#

cant have shit in wpac

atomic flint
#

...HENRIETTE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A HURRICANE...
...FURTHER STRENGTHENING EXPECTED...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...25.7N 152.5W
ABOUT 445 MI...720 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

#

holy SHIT

#

@normal frost

#

look at those coords bro

#

one hell of a funny track

normal frost
#

wait its a hurricane now

#

wtf LOL

normal frost
#

had a good run o7

#

oh wait i thought that was henriette im stupid

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿ˜‡

atomic flint
#

oh erin was named

#

natl

atomic flint
#

good thing it ran out of time

#

still managed to do some substantial strengthening though

#

16W PODUL 250813 0000 22.1N 122.0E WPAC 90 966

#

peak earlier

normal frost
atomic flint
normal frost
#

might be quite a strong major seems like

#

last 2 gfs models suggest a c5 even

#

which is pretty wild

atomic flint
#

ikr

atomic flint
#

oh its c4 alr

normal frost
#

jesus

#

I thought it would take another 12h but okay man

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

i didnt realize but it did reach c5 yesterday

#

this is funny

normal frost
#

wait lmfao I didn't realize there was not a single hurricane before this one

#

based year

atomic flint
#

kekw

normal frost
#

gg

#

cook

normal frost
#

weakening now SuiPensivePeace

atomic flint
#

rip

normal frost
#

lmfao its gonna die in like 12 hours

atomic flint
#

yea it basically did

atomic flint
#

think jtwc had it as TS for an entire day more

normal frost
#

and they didnt name it

#

because funny!

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿฅถ

normal frost
#

perhaps

#

not much time before it slams the coast tho

atomic flint
#

we'll see

#

itd be better if it Didnt do the unfunny

normal frost
#

its def trying for an eye alright

normal frost
#

oh fuck

atomic flint
#

fernand got named (natl)

normal frost
#

dude

#

thats not ok

atomic flint
#

got downsloped at least

#

but still gonna be a flooding problem

ancient quarry
#

๐Ÿ™

normal frost
#

stay safe vn ppl

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿ™

#

juliette named

normal frost
#

hmm ~40hr huh

#

would that be enough for a hurricane even

atomic flint
#

maybe

atomic flint
#

there is currently a cpac aoi

normal frost
#

cpac godmoding!?!?!?

atomic flint
#

maybe...

#

its medium now let it cook

normal frost
#

please cook mr. cpac

atomic flint
#

back to low gg

#

93w tfca

normal frost
#

man.

atomic flint
#

another central vietnam storm ๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
#

vietnam eating shit this year it seems

#

weirdly many vietnam storms this year

atomic flint
#

ikr

#

meanwhile ph sea is

#

uhm

#

๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2514 NONGFA (2514) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  300000UTC 17.9N 107.9E FAIR
MOVE  WNW 15KT
PRES  996HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  150NM```
normal frost
#

sleeper

atomic flint
#

(it died alr)

normal frost
#

its in an unfortunate spot

atomic flint
#

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM KIKO...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...14.4N 123.1W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

normal frost
#

hmm

normal frost
#

woah what a shrimp

atomic flint
#

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...17.2N 105.4W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

#

quite late posting this

normal frost
#

its ok its not late if you didnt miss it being named

atomic flint
#

true!!!

#

well it got named so now im late for that

#

also kiko is now a hurricane

#

looks to be doing the thing

atomic flint
#

nvm it fucking ate dry air

normal frost
#

damn

atomic flint
#

...LORENA STRENGTHENING...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM MST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...19.8N 109.2W
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

#

also kiko c2

normal frost
#

its about entering cpac too

normal frost
#

oh

#

i thought it was gonna eat ass from baja california air i guess i was wrong

atomic flint
#

gg

#

i believe this is getting recon soon

normal frost
#

pog

atomic flint
#

new slop inc in wpac

#

๐Ÿฅฑ

atomic flint
normal frost
#

now that's my goat kiko

atomic flint
#

...KIKO BECOMES A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...13.9N 131.6W
ABOUT 1600 MI...2580 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

normal frost
#

pog

#

perhaps we'll have another major in cpac soon

atomic flint
#

peipah named

#

...its making landfall soon

#

kiko's first peak - 125kts

#

lorena also seems to have peaked at 75kts

atomic flint
#

@normal frost dude

#

gotta love epac fish majors

#

tho cone puts this uncomfortably close to hawaii as a TS so it may not be fish for longer

normal frost
#

oh no

atomic flint
#

actually nvm latest cone is a bit farther out

normal frost
#

fish storms are epic

#

just hope it doesnt affect anything

atomic flint
#

"Upper-level conditions are forecast to gradually improve within the next 12 hours, with decreasing northeasterly wind shear and improving poleward outflow into a break in the upper-level ridge to the north. This will allow the system to become vertically aligned and commence a short period of rapid intensification (RI) from 65โ€“120 km/h (35โ€“65 knots) between 36 and 42 hours. During this RI period, 22W will move northwestward making landfall over the southern coast of China in around 45 hours."

#

yikes

#

also we have an swio invest

normal frost
#

man south china is getting fucked this year

atomic flint
#

ikr

normal frost
#

on other news kiko in cpac and might graze hawaii a little

atomic flint
#

still barely a major

normal frost
#

still is

#

I think hawaii will be fine

#

just TS winds hitting hawaii

atomic flint
#

tapah landfall

#

jma and jtwc went typhoon for their 0z estimates

normal frost
#

it did become a minimal typhoon

#

more worried about the rain considering this region already ate so much rain before

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

esp since it made landfall quite close to pearl river delta

atomic flint
#

03S THREE 250909 0600 9.1S 69.3E SHEM 35 1006

#

now to see if it gets named

atomic flint
#

PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 3 1006 HPA

POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.8 S / 68.6 E
(NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 11 KT

#

not forecast to get named tho

#

also kiko kind of just Died (might be RL soon if no convection)

#

held for an impressive while but gg

#

made it to 30 ACE tho at least

normal frost
#

hoeh

normal frost
#

it lived for much longer than i expected it to

atomic flint
#
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0 S / 64.2 E
(TEN    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY FOUR    DECIMAL TWO   DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 6 KT```
#

this was earlier morning at 0z btw

#

may i remind you that its still off season btw