#Meteorology
1 messages ยท Page 13 of 1
ws?
hmm?
wind speed?
idk think c1
got a bit shredded before lf
oh yeah alfred rebounded to c4 aus earlier
bruh
WHAT
is bro headed for a brisbane landfall
welllllll
wtf bro has a vendetta against brisbane
bro went straight for it
tbh an awful lot of mozambique channel storms does a loop lately
true
wtf
bro isnt wasting any time
if this wasnt rushing into land
๐
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 140 km/h.
Maximum gusts estimated at sea: 195 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 970 hPa.
Position on March 9 at 22:00 local time Reunion: 15.0 South / 41.2 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1630 km in the WEST-NORTH-WEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 490 km in the WEST-SOUTH-WEST sector
Movement: WEST, at 19 km/h.```
โ ๏ธโ ๏ธ
that's kinda fast already
yeah
oooh
09U of the aus season got upgraded into a TC
season is now sitting at 8 tcs and 6 stcs
๐คจ
cyclone courtney!
yay?
alr aus c2
aus c4 forecasted
also off topic a TL reached 45kts 10-min winds (accd to BoM) w/o getting named due to gale rule lol
lol gale rule moment
damn c 3
thats a crazy form
aus c3 is equivalent to c1 or c2 on SSHWS/NHC scale btw
aus c4 is equivalent to a major hurricane tho
(spoiler shear ruined the attempt)
better luck next time
@normal frost so any guesses
dyt this will get Named
gale rule 
for the first time I get to use an earthquake site since thailand had an earthquake today
it's not meteorology but yk
oh wow
trolled
almost like its a 50/50 coin toss if they'll name slop or not
(provided that it actually meets criteria)
holy shit u didnt say it was a 7.7 quake
sure myanmar but still
are u guys alr?
yea we're fine
thats good to hear
this is named dianne btw
anyway cyclone courtney is now a major
wao last minute name
๐
holy ๐ฃ๏ธ๐ฃ๏ธ๐ฃ๏ธ๐ฃ๏ธ
too bad it didnt make aus c5
cuz bom stopped issuing advisories alr
mfr gonna take over for 12z
holy shit @tribal arch @normal frost
WTF
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5 S / 90.2 E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
NINETY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT```

(they downgraded it)
(bom upgraded it to aus c5)
(also dianne got upgraded to aus c2)
man aus is so weirdly active
i blame climate change
tbh its less that and more the recent aus years have been very inactive
this might be the first year in a while that aus is above average
just depends on how april plays out
rip john
๐
Invest #96P looks like a tropical cyclone at the moment and while microwave is missing the core, it's clear from infrared satellite that a strong curved band is present under the cirrus shield.
๏ธ๏ธ
๏ธ๏ธWill be interesting to see how this evolves as it battles mod. vertical wind shear.
if this forms aus becomes slightly above average
also another TL has a low chance to form in a week accd to BoM
its trying alright
30P exists
how is this shit still not named
now TS Tam
i thought it was supposed to be Dying
well it was supposed to run into better conditions
and yea it somewhat did
but damn is it taking A While
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20250415/1200Z
TCAC: DARWIN
TC: ERROL
ADVISORY NR: 2025/10
OBS PSN: 15/1200Z S1348 E12112
CB: WI 80NM OF SYSTEM CENTRE TOP FL600
MOV: W 07KT
INTST CHANGE: INTSF
C: 999HPA
MAX WIND: 35KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 15/1800 S1348 E12024
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 40KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 16/0000 S1354 E11948
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 45KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 16/0600 S1400 E11912
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 50KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 16/1200 S1406 E11900
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 55KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20250415/1900Z```
@normal frost
there
u sure thats 35kts
29S ERROL 250416 0600 14.2S 119.2E SHEM 120 940
good god why is it wejjing
TCSSIO
A. 29S (ERROL)
B. 16/1130Z
C. 14.3S
D. 118.9E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T6.5/6.5
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE IS SURROUNDED BY AND EMBEDDED IN CMG RESULTING IN A
DT OF 7.5 AFTER ADDING 1.0 FOR THE EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE MET IS 5.5 BASED ON
RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 6.0. THE FT IS BASED
ON THE 6 HOUR AVERAGE DT OF 6.7, WHICH JUSTIFIES BREAKING CONSTRAINTS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK```
@normal frost DT 7.5
...so why the fuck did they fix 6.5
LMAO
actually insane though holy fkin shit
that wejj is so compact holy fk
oof seems to have peaked
oh shit
we did get it @normal frost
29S ERROL 250416 1200 14.4S 118.9E SHEM 140 919
BoM went aus c4 ๐
the elusive aus c5...
if this forms we'd truly be above average
errol still looks decent
even under 20 kts of shear
(shear will keep increasing)
if u mean errol
if u mean 97P, yeah that looks primed to form
uh
thats a quick wrap tf
Subtropical Storm KANTO (15-20242025) :
Information at 10 UTC :
Estimated position : 33.2S / 43.7E
Movement : South-east, 6 kt
Maximum wind speed (averaged over 10 minutes) : 40 kt
Estimated central pressure : 994 hPa
kinda flopped gg
this is swio btw
Two tornadoes documented near Sterling City, Texas on April 19, 2025. Severe thunderstorms training over the area produced large hail, tornadoes and flooding... the perfect scenarios to freak out your wife.
this is wholesome
low chance accd to bmkg
very cool
also aus now has 12 storms cuz bom upgraded another unnamed storm
first above average season since 2005-06
(aka the season that had cyclone monica)
35kt/10min
not forecast to get named
WE ARE BACK ONLINE
bruh discord hid this channel for me
nah i think it just got archived for a while since it was dead
yeah that
let it brew
the name cosme goes kinda hard tho
epac is morally the best theater because the least amount of people gets affected
actually I feel like it depends
maybe aus is better if epac storms hits like CA or something
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2501 WUTIP (2501) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 16.2N 113.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 240NM SOUTHWEST 180NM NORTHEAST```
put it in the oven
I mean thats what happens when you get near hainan
that thing is giving me hella rain tho
high chance
its been raining a whole lot the past 2 days
could be ts #4 of epac
oh shit
stay safe man
we've been having Pretty Awful Weather the past week
nah is just rain but like
...then again thats to be Expected (at least no typhoon)
its a bit annoying
mhm
the season is coming 
wake the tiger
๐ฅถ
could we potentially get a hurricane
it seems like an ok position rn
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2501 WUTIP (2501) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121800UTC 17.5N 108.9E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH```
@normal frost 60 knots btw
Sixty
01W WUTIP 250613 0600 18.7N 108.3E WPAC 60 983
SIXTY
Yes It Is
the fact that it's holding 60 still is demented
also dalila
imo a weak hurricane is doable but aside from that it prob would stay TS
at least it became a typhoon for jtwc
btw this is its 2nd landfall i forgor to msg abt the first
jogged to hainan lmfao
oh yea
94e looking to be interesting
94E INVEST 250616 1800 10.4N 91.5W EPAC 30 1009
hoh
...ERICK EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY WHILE
APPROACHING THE COASTS OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 600 AM CST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...12.1N 93.8W
ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SE OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
named
uh oh
,,,,
I forgot looking at hwrf can be comedy sometimes
because the model is always so wack
true!
Yikes
recon on its way
...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS ERICK NOW A CATEGORY 2
HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO BRING DAMAGING WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...14.2N 96.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SE OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES
im awake
yeahh
major now
but seems like it got into an ewrc
EP, 05, 2025061900, , BEST, 0, 149N, 967W, 105, 953, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 15, 10, 20, 1007, 160, 10, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, ERICK, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 006,
5th
landfalling
praying for a not so bad damage path
0/40 for a new EPAC AOI
prelim 19 deaths
...mostly in Guatemala
man...
me waiting for invests to form (ik there's 2 but yk)
natl one is prob not forming for sure but epac one maybe
ya never know
if it does it will prob be SS lol
yea lmaooo
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2502 SEPAT (2502) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230000UTC 24.5N 144.7E GOOD
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 60NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 231200UTC 26.8N 142.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 240000UTC 29.2N 141.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 250000UTC 32.6N 139.5E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =```
@normal frost
wpac storm #2
slopocane
slop mmmm
The wait is finally over, and we're thrilled to unveil our 2024 weather visualisation!
This video lets you revisit the key weather events of last year on a global scale. As always, EUMETSATโs Training Manager, Mark Higgins, guides us through the incredible insights we can gain from space.
We've highlighted the most significant storms worldwi...
neat video, thanks facebook
minus the comment section

ahahaha...
Real-time tropical cyclone products developed by NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/RAMMB and CIRA scientists
(is it even still a tc?)
also sepat is
yea
yea lmao
all slop!
what the shrimp
unnamed ts gg
aois on both sides of the whem
interesting
EP, 06, 2025062912, , BEST, 0, 132N, 997W, 35, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 20, 0, 0, 1011, 190, 90, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, SIX, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 007,
we should have flossie
also 02L is
yea...
spot the tc challenge
(recon confirmed its one btw)
flossie!!!!
aaand
AL, 02, 2025062912, , BEST, 0, 201N, 960W, 35, 1008, TS, 34, NEQ, 30, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 100, 30, 45, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, BARRY, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 005,
barry
i believe both erick and it have set earliest E and F named ts records respectively
but yeah @normal frost @tribal arch @ancient quarry we now have 2 named storms active
mega slop
a bit more worrying
gg
๐ฟ๐ฟ
@normal frost @tribal arch
on today's episode of
"will this storm become a major"
we have a newly crowned hurricane called flossie
place ur bets!!!!!!
it is doing the Funny
yea its dead lol
isnt this thing like 70kt already

...FLOSSIE STRENGTHENS SOME MORE OFFSHORE SOUTHWEST MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...16.5N 104.7W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES
still no major forecast
honestly could be major
welp we'll see
@normal frost @tribal arch @ancient quarry lol ok
also we have 04W
jma gw as well, 45kt peak expected
sepat v2 really
aaand its a major
๐๐๐
well that was fast
aaand yea it peaked at major
u were right
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2504 DANAS (2504) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041800UTC 20.1N 117.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH```

interesting
this was before 6z
@normal frost @tribal arch @ancient quarry
45 kts accd. to JMA btw
STS peak btw
jtwc estimate is alr at their forecasted peak LOL
thats huge ๐
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...30.9N 79.0W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 005 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
we have chantal
chantal is such a not us name tho lol
ikr lmao
that thing is so scuffed tho lol
what the hell
bruh boomerang ๐ฟ๐ฟ
06w
pog
still not named
damn it went poof
aoi in swio
01S ONE 250716 1800 9.8S 89.8E SHEM 35 1003
mfr forecasts mts
pretty damn cool to have one in july
also this shit exists
yeaaaa
red rainfall warning for me y'all
5:00 am gmt+8
holy shit
Any updates for Tropical Storm Wipha?
it's heading straight to the islands of batanes
my place is currently in tcws #1
TS WIPHA (96W)
stay safe yall
๐
thats not a forming core...right?
its doing the Thing
hko has gone and declared wipha to be a typhoon
presumably either due to recon or obs
HKO has 140km/h
also
@normal frost @ancient quarry
they raised it.
hoh
the last signal 10 was...saola right?
this is 10min btw
considering they have obs (and prolly recon too) they're definitely the most believable estimate
better than believing the clowns at jtwc (60kts 1m) and jma (55kts 10m)
๐
actually i stand corrected jtwc has minimal c1
still low though
mininal c1 is still a very lowball lmao
yeah
also idt this is avoiding landfall
uh oh
not named yet btw
somehow
jma is very behind ngl
at least they have GW
yea so like
this just got named
whaddya think bro @normal frost is this a 35kt TS (acc to jma) ๐
yea move on chat just a low end ts
๐
holy fuck it actually formed into a fucking storm
and became a typhoon just days later
a day infact
demented track btw
it will prob weaken when it rams back into luzon anyway
yea
pangasinan landfall
Tropical Cyclone Update
At 10:40 PM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon EMONG made landfall in the vicinity of Agno, Pangasinan.
All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA
thanks jma
nvm they have it as one now
a day late but at least they (barely) didnt miss it
barely
sir you are a meteorological agency you are not supposed to be late with these things
typical
Exactly!
conservative mfers
hoh
jma went TY on krosa
fish storm my beloved
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2508 CO-MAY (2508) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271200UTC 26.1N 129.6E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH```
its...back...?
check models for a surprise
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PASS WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...11.0N 146.6W
ABOUT 1030 MI...1660 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
01C
oh?
tfw wejj coming and im more interested in the cpac storm 
it ate dry air gg
...IONA BECOMES THE FIRST NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON IN THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...10.9N 148.3W
ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
here u go man
60kts peak forecast
hell yeah
its alr 45kts
what the fuck @normal frost
we have
02C
AND hurricane iona
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...12.0N 143.6W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1840 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WOO
CP, 02, 2025072818, , BEST, 0, 120N, 1442W, 35, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 30, 0, 0, 30, 1011, 90, 20, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, KELI, M,
back to back cpac storms
LOL
cpac my beloved
yeah i mean u saw those vhts wrap
indeed
...IONA STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE FAR SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...10.8N 153.2W
ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
c4 forecasted
actually Huge.
what the fuck
funny the forecast 2 days ago wasnt even a minimal hurricane
look at it now
โ ๏ธ Tsunami Warning: Japanโs East Coast
๏ธ๏ธ
๏ธ๏ธA powerful magnitude 8.7 earthquake struck off the Russian coast, north of Hokkaido, this morning. Tsunami waves are now moving south across the Pacific and may impact Japanโs eastern coastline.
๏ธ๏ธ
๏ธ๏ธIf youโre in the affected regions, stay away from the sea. Follow official evacuation advice for your safety.
WHAT!?
8.7?????
WHAT
yea this is crazy
6th strongest earthquake.
wtf
kekw
huh.
thats a lot closer to tokyo than i thought
also gil formed
a lil messy but it got there
bruh its gonna die in a day
surely
dexter formed (natl)
breaking news
yea its basically dead
henriette (epac) has also formed
...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...14.8N 120.6W
ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
...DEXTER CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...36.1N 66.2W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM NNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
welp
hurricane is on the cone now tho
but in a place u def dont expect it
ivo (epac) formed
dexter died
02S formed
epic
wtf
๐
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2511 PODUL (2511) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071800UTC 18.8N 146.3E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM```
this was last night
forgor to send
its ok
wait that is compact af
well it got sheared so gg
...HENRIETTE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A HURRICANE...
...FURTHER STRENGTHENING EXPECTED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...25.7N 152.5W
ABOUT 445 MI...720 KM NNE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES
holy SHIT
@normal frost
look at those coords bro
one hell of a funny track
๐
good thing it ran out of time
still managed to do some substantial strengthening though
16W PODUL 250813 0000 22.1N 122.0E WPAC 90 966
peak earlier
natl alive ๐ฅ
strengthening
might be quite a strong major seems like
last 2 gfs models suggest a c5 even
which is pretty wild
ikr
oh its c4 alr
bro pressures dropping p fast
wait lmfao I didn't realize there was not a single hurricane before this one
based year
kekw
weakening now 
rip
lmfao its gonna die in like 12 hours
yea it basically did
tbf it was TS for longer
think jtwc had it as TS for an entire day more
๐ฅถ
its def trying for an eye alright
oh fuck
fernand got named (natl)
๐
stay safe vn ppl
maybe
there is currently a cpac aoi
cpac godmoding!?!?!?
please cook mr. cpac
man.
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2514 NONGFA (2514) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300000UTC 17.9N 107.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM```
sleeper
(it died alr)
its in an unfortunate spot
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM KIKO...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...14.4N 123.1W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
hmm
woah what a shrimp
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...17.2N 105.4W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
quite late posting this
its ok its not late if you didnt miss it being named
true!!!
well it got named so now im late for that
also kiko is now a hurricane
looks to be doing the thing
nvm it fucking ate dry air
damn
...LORENA STRENGTHENING...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM MST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...19.8N 109.2W
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
also kiko c2
its about entering cpac too
pog
also it did, minimal c1 support
now that's my goat kiko
...KIKO BECOMES A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...13.9N 131.6W
ABOUT 1600 MI...2580 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
peipah named
...its making landfall soon
kiko's first peak - 125kts
lorena also seems to have peaked at 75kts
@normal frost dude
gotta love epac fish majors
tho cone puts this uncomfortably close to hawaii as a TS so it may not be fish for longer
oh no
actually nvm latest cone is a bit farther out
"Upper-level conditions are forecast to gradually improve within the next 12 hours, with decreasing northeasterly wind shear and improving poleward outflow into a break in the upper-level ridge to the north. This will allow the system to become vertically aligned and commence a short period of rapid intensification (RI) from 65โ120 km/h (35โ65 knots) between 36 and 42 hours. During this RI period, 22W will move northwestward making landfall over the southern coast of China in around 45 hours."
yikes
also we have an swio invest
tapah
man south china is getting fucked this year
ikr
on other news kiko in cpac and might graze hawaii a little
still barely a major
it did become a minimal typhoon
more worried about the rain considering this region already ate so much rain before
PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 3 1006 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.8 S / 68.6 E
(NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 11 KT
not forecast to get named tho
also kiko kind of just Died (might be RL soon if no convection)
held for an impressive while but gg
made it to 30 ACE tho at least
hoeh
yea gg
it lived for much longer than i expected it to




