#Meteorology

1 messages Β· Page 12 of 1

normal frost
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I was watching for a bit

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a town got slabbed

tribal arch
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πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

atomic flint
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AL, 13, 2024101000, , BEST, 0, 223N, 490W, 90, 972, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 15, 10, 20, 1014, 130, 10, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, LESLIE, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 030,

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the little storm that could

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wonder if this could make a run for c4

tribal arch
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mayhaps

atomic flint
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nvm it didnt make major

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😭

vapid quail
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That.livechat looks so alien to me, since live stream of natural disasters like typhoons, the live chat gets filled with catholic prayers

normal frost
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friend almost got hit

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and I stayed awake to help so there goes my sleep sched

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(his power is still out rn from milton)

atomic flint
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πŸ₯Ά

atomic flint
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πŸ›Œ

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dead tropics

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tho mayb for the better

normal frost
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yea

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tornado time

tribal arch
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πŸ—ΏπŸ—ΏπŸ—Ώ

normal frost
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tropics is dead so random tornado fact:
we have not had an ef5 tornado since 2013 because of how the damage indicators work, and we only got an ef4+ on mayfield because the "well built" structural integrity were deemed to not be adequate enough to count as one

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I will now post tornado facts semi regularly if nothing interesting is happening in the tropics

atomic flint
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damn.

vapid quail
normal frost
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random tornado fact #2: the xenia ohio f5 in 1974 was initially given a f6 by tetsuya fujita before he deemed it unreasonable and reduced the scaling to just f0-f5 as we know today

normal frost
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random tornado fact #3: Florida actually sees more tornadoes on average per year than some tornado alley states like Kansas, Nebraska, and Missouri despite not even being in either of the tornado alleys

normal frost
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random tornado fact #4: the year on record for the most violent tornadoes is 1974 with 7 f5s, 29 f4s, and 93 f3s

atomic flint
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hey so

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natl woke up

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ts nadine formed and is making landfall

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hu oscar formed...yes i said hurricane

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this was officially like 30/30 less than 24 hours ago

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@normal frost @tribal arch

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this is indeed a hurricane

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it is indeed that small.

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it indeed has a 3 mile wide eye

normal frost
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what the fuck its tiny

tribal arch
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damn another caribbean hurricane

normal frost
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marco????

tribal arch
atomic flint
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...RECON FINDS TINY OSCAR A HURRICANE...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND
SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...21.4N 70.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM E OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

atomic flint
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Yeah.

normal frost
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also lets go i dont have to do tornado facts this lil guy appeared

atomic flint
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rofl

normal frost
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whats the windfield size

normal frost
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what on gods name

atomic flint
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interesting.

normal frost
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??

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that has to be one of the tiniest majors

normal frost
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theres a funny happening rn but i wanna do one regardless

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random tornado fact #5: the majority of the tornadoes that form are actually anticyclonic, which means they spin clockwise instead of counterclockwise (in the northern hemisphere)

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(extra) most "twin tornadoes" have one spinning clockwise and one counterclockwise OR one main tornado and with satelite vortecies, but not to say strong conventional twin tornadoes couldn't happen, most recent significant twin tornadoes was the Pilger Nebraska EF4s in 2014

atomic flint
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hope nhc goes c2 at least for tcr

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cuz thats def not a mid range c1

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anyways it got shredded by cuba

tribal arch
atomic flint
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remnants of nadine formed into ts kristy

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in the epac

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alr 60 kts

normal frost
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wait wtf

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sir that does not look 60

tribal arch
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@atomic flint bro im getting fucked by the wind i visayas ☠️

normal frost
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woa

tribal arch
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🀨

normal frost
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bouta be wejj

normal frost
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woah

atomic flint
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THE FABLED 135 KT

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@normal frost @tribal arch

tribal arch
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Jesus

normal frost
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yooo

atomic flint
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yea it peaked at 135

normal frost
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ion'd but whatever

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it cooked

normal frost
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WEJJJJ

tribal arch
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bro theres a chance it'll do a u turn 😭😭😭

atomic flint
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pretty sure it rained all day here

tribal arch
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idk the English

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im too sleepy bc of my anti allergies

atomic flint
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EP, 12, 2024102418, , BEST, 0, 141N, 1210W, 140, 926, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 10, 10, 20, 1009, 180, 10, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, KRISTY, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 032,

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hey fuckers @normal frost @tribal arch

normal frost
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pog?

normal frost
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nice blob lol

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it's pretty well defined tbh

normal frost
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wao

normal frost
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bored af so
random tornado fact #6: the record for the fastest wind speeds on record anywhere on earth is the Bridge Creek-Moore Oklahoma F5 in 1999, doppler radar recorded speeds as high as 321mph (or 517 kmh)

atomic flint
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zamn

normal frost
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wtf

tribal arch
ancient quarry
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truly a storm of all time

tribal arch
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das baaad

ancient quarry
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smol storm but it dump a metric ton of cloud inland

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some places record like 400+mm rain in a day

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bro...

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i used to cycle to that weather station

normal frost
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woah

tribal arch
atomic flint
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yikes.

ancient quarry
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still raining...

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that is, for the record, 700mm of rain in 60 hours

normal frost
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are you ok

ancient quarry
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i mean, im not at home

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my family is doing ok as of today though

ancient quarry
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aw hell naw

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predict making landfall in taiwan
phew

normal frost
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holy fuck

atomic flint
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if it did it on nov it'd be even rarer (not seen since the 50s?) but 31 seems to be set

tribal arch
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its gonna do a 360 trust

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😭

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no not 360

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i mean go back towards nothing

atomic flint
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pretty much all agencies have tracks headed for taiwan

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so i massively doubt that

normal frost
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jesus

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that is quite a big storm

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gonna wejj...

tribal arch
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thats 2/3 the size of ph 😭

normal frost
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oh god that's huge

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praying for taiwan

normal frost
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what the wejj

atomic flint
normal frost
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thats probably a good thing lol

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dont let it fuck taiwan at full strength

atomic flint
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hello winnie

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@normal frost @tribal arch @ancient quarry

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wonder what this peaked at tho

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jtwc went 130 for peak and jma/pagasa had 100kts koba (which is like 125 or 130kts)

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ok but fr

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thats like

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a 3 degrees latitude eye if it succeeds...

normal frost
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that looks ridiculous lol

atomic flint
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rofl

normal frost
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goofy ahh storm

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whats the windfield

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rn

normal frost
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well this is just great my friend lives at the literal middle point of the prediction cone

atomic flint
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@normal frost @tribal arch

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what in jesus christ

normal frost
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wtf is that

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cursed abomination

tribal arch
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bro ate a tardigrade

normal frost
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jesus

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it got fucked by the taiwanese mountains as per usual

normal frost
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random tornado fact #7: the deadliest tornado ever recorded didn't happen in neither america nor europe, but in fact in bangladesh in 1989, due to bangladesh not having an established weather bureau in 1989 the tornado was not warned which in turn killed a total of an estimated 1300 people and injuring more than 12000 more

tribal arch
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jesus

atomic flint
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AL, 17, 2024110206, , BEST, 0, 403N, 347W, 45, 986, SS, 34, NEQ, 0, 60, 180, 90, 1002, 200, 30, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, PATTY, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 037, TRANSITIONED, alC62024 to al172024,

normal frost
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oh?

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also damn a storm's gonna reach europe

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for the first time in years

atomic flint
normal frost
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damn.

atomic flint
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azores storm tho

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dont see that often

atomic flint
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...PATTY TRANSITIONS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL IN A DAY OR SO...

SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...37.7N 20.0W
ABOUT 380 MI...615 KM E OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES

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wtf@normal frost

normal frost
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NEVER DOUBTED

normal frost
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oh boy

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another one

tribal arch
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πŸ—ΏπŸ—Ώ

atomic flint
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also we have TD 18L

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hurricane threat for cuba

atomic flint
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24W YINXING 241104 1200 14.3N 130.1E WPAC 65 987

normal frost
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o

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ngl I expected a bit faster

tribal arch
normal frost
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not another one

random flower
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i forgot to post it here because i forgot this exists

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also here is today's satellite imagery of typhoon yinxing

normal frost
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man f13

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havent heard of that in a while

random flower
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fan since 2017

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I'm fr cooked because this is the third time this happened to me

normal frost
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f13 is cooked though

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(btw hbd)

tribal arch
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πŸ—ΏπŸ—ΏπŸ—ΏπŸ—ΏπŸ—Ώ

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what u think

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will it hit?

atomic flint
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Β―_(ツ)_/Β―

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very slow moving

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wtf

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hurricane rafael

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11th hurricane in natl this year

tribal arch
normal frost
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what the fuck

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wejjing

atomic flint
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...RAFAEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...EXPECTED TO BE NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY AT LANDFALL
IN WESTERN CUBA...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...21.0N 81.6W
ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM ESE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES

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c2 rafael

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now waiting on yinxing

atomic flint
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JMA 85kts koba/955mb

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very strong typhoon/major equivalent

atomic flint
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...RAFAEL BECOMES A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
COAST OF WESTERN CUBA...
...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING TO PORTIONS OF WESTERN
CUBA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...22.0N 82.3W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

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@normal frost @tribal arch

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major wtf

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2 majors active at the same time globally

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havent seen that in a while

normal frost
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holy fuck that was fast

atomic flint
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oooh

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12z got overriden for yinxing

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24W YINXING 241106 1200 18.1N 124.0E WPAC 110 951

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prolly c4 for 18z

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if that aint c4 idk what is

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lmao

normal frost
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uh oh

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yet another luzon storm...

atomic flint
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thing is moving like a fkin snail

atomic flint
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another one for batanes

tribal arch
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bro 😭😭😭😭

normal frost
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wtf

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HOW

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it really just giga wejj'd

atomic flint
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i remember looking like 6 hours before that and thinking it alr peaked cuz appearance started degrading

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then when i look back i see This Shit

random flower
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winds are a bit strong here peeps

atomic flint
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stay safe

normal frost
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stay safe

random flower
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just a bit of some fortunate news

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it didn't do much damage

normal frost
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glad you're okay

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πŸ™

atomic flint
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πŸ™

atomic flint
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so uh

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92w (pagasa: nika)

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93w (now 25w)

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94w

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also yinxing (former marce) back to major

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@normal frost @tribal arch

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yeah...

normal frost
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oh boy

atomic flint
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also 92w is absolutely

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not an invest jtwc

normal frost
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thats certainly a screenshot of all time

atomic flint
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nor is it a TD jma

normal frost
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thats a whole ass TS bro

atomic flint
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yeah....

tribal arch
random flower
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i can't live a great life with typhoons that batter my place every weeknooo

atomic flint
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πŸ˜”

normal frost
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HAH

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good joke

tribal arch
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another one on that path

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jesus christ

atomic flint
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November.

normal frost
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love global warming!!!

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literally moved the storm season an entire month

random flower
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as expected

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@normal frost @atomic flint @tribal arch

normal frost
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oh fuck

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stay safe πŸ™

tribal arch
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oh kurwa

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stay safe

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πŸ™πŸ™πŸ™πŸ™

atomic flint
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πŸ™

random flower
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i am in shambles right now

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but i'll try to survive and withstand the winds

random flower
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dude this ain't even necessary, i'm not even close to the coast

random flower
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@atomic flint @normal frost @tribal arch oh well

random flower
atomic flint
#

πŸ₯ΆπŸ₯ΆπŸ₯Ά

normal frost
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eerie

atomic flint
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just made landfall

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stay safe πŸ™

normal frost
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stay safe brother

tribal arch
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πŸ™

random flower
normal frost
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christ

atomic flint
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if there's any silver lining

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at least it didn't blow up like noru/karding

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but

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yea,,,,,

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wtf this basin isn't dead yet

tribal arch
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☠️☠️☠️☠️☠️☠️

normal frost
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fuck

atomic flint
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bruh

normal frost
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me when the jma

random flower
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cooked

atomic flint
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round 3...

tribal arch
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πŸ’€

random flower
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tropical storm man-yi

atomic flint
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yeah that one is brewing too

random flower
#

2009?

normal frost
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????

random flower
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oh shit nvm

atomic flint
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27W USAGI 241113 1200 16.2N 125.3E WPAC 105 960

random flower
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oh boy we got rain

tribal arch
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3rd times the charm

normal frost
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not again

atomic flint
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also to the nortwest is tropical storm toraji basically dead alr

random flower
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fucking hell

random flower
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lucky enough to have minimal impact here

atomic flint
#

...

atomic flint
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24Β°C...

atomic flint
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stay safe guys

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its the big one.

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JTWC is at 140kts

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JMA has violent typhoon

tribal arch
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its actually insanely strong

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stay safe comrades

normal frost
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what the fuck

normal frost
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holy the swirl

tribal arch
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πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

atomic flint
normal frost
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fucked up

random flower
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power went out

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but the wind ain't worse than last monday (usagi)

atomic flint
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really?

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damn

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or mayb u guys are further from the center

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still, stay safe πŸ™

normal frost
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stay safe lads

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πŸ™

atomic flint
#
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.4 S / 70.0 E
(SIXTEEN    DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SEVENTY    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/105 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS
WITHIN A 35 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM IN THE
NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 45 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.```
#

105 kts 10-min

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impressive for an early season major

normal frost
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they just hate luzon this year i guess???

tribal arch
normal frost
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oh dear

hidden sage
tribal arch
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o7

normal frost
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ate too much fish

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it exploded

hidden sage
tribal arch
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🀏

normal frost
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lets goooo

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entertainment

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well until it hits something

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it is looking really good though which is concerning

tribal arch
#

meteorology mfs when theres a storm: 😩 | πŸ’€

atomic flint
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(is that a good thing or a bad thing)

normal frost
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probably not lol

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ive been more zoomed in on tornadoes as of recent though

atomic flint
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fair

normal frost
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jesus fuck

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it is wejjing tf out

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that is kinda cursed though it looked basically c4 but it's not even major

atomic flint
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04S CHIDO 241211 1800 10.4S 56.7E SHEM 120 945

atomic flint
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lolllll

normal frost
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LMAO

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indeed wejjing

atomic flint
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alr ewrcing tho

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oh well

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still cool

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3/2/2 ratio in swio rn

atomic flint
#

What

normal frost
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ok what

atomic flint
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04S CHIDO 241212 0600 10.6S 54.5E SHEM 135 929

normal frost
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??????

normal frost
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exploded as in

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it died

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or

normal frost
#

o h

atomic flint
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didnt make it

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πŸ˜”

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seems to have peaked

normal frost
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ion'd

atomic flint
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still churning btw

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weakened a good deal tho

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mfr does expect restrengthening tho

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before landfall

normal frost
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yikes

normal frost
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not again

normal frost
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gods no

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if it gets c5 thatd be a record

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i dont think theres ever a c5 RI in mozambique channel lol

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or not that im aware of

atomic flint
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direct hit at Mayotte

normal frost
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smol eye

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spooky

atomic flint
normal frost
#

jesus christ

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praying for them

normal frost
#

in december??

atomic flint
#

mhm

normal frost
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kek

normal frost
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tbf

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a vietnam storm there at this time is kinda lol

atomic flint
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yeah not the first not the last

normal frost
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invest

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ah yes

atomic flint
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still isnt named by FMS btw

normal frost
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thats a dumb track

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bro wants to inflict maximum damage

atomic flint
#

yeaaaaa

normal frost
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oh boy

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is this gonna be dollar store freddy

normal frost
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not again bom

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why do you keep doing this

atomic flint
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bom moment

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hopefully they reanalyze it

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but still robbed of a name

atomic flint
#

dikeledi landfalling in madagascar

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peaked like mid end c1 i guess

normal frost
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thank god it didnt explode at least

normal frost
#

what the fuck

atomic flint
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yea it wouldve blown up if it didnt touch land

normal frost
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woa

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its doing the thing

tribal arch
#

πŸ—£οΈ

atomic flint
#
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20250116/0000Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: DIKELEDI
ADVISORY NR: 2025/29
OBS PSN: 16/0000Z S2715 E04319
CB: WI 150NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL540
MOV: SSE 20KT
INTST CHANGE: INTSF
C: 948HPA
MAX WIND: 90KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 16/0600Z S2843 E04453
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 100KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 16/1200Z S3007 E04651
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 95KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 16/1800Z S3121 E04909
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 85KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 17/0000Z S3221 E05142
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 75KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20250116/0600Z=
#

another ITC

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07S DIKELEDI 250116 0000 27.5S 43.3E SHEM 100 951

normal frost
#

jesus christ

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structure seems fine rn although

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its prob gonna poof in like 12hr lol

atomic flint
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yea its kinda yknow

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approaching 30S

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and at ~27c waters

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quite notable tho

#
CURRENTLY AT A LATITUDE OF 28.8S, DIKELEDI BECOMES THE MOST SOUTHERLY
INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN OUR DATABASE, ECLIPSING ANGREEK'S RECORD
FROM LAST SEASON.
tribal arch
atomic flint
#

mfr for 12z has dikeledi as a major south of 30S

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likely its last major point tbh

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considering how it looks now

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o7

atomic flint
#

time for the next storm

#
TC ADVISORY 
DTG:                 20250119/1200Z
TCAC:                DARWIN
TC:                  SEAN
ADVISORY NR:         2025/3
OBS PSN:             19/1200Z S2006 E11418
CB:                  WI 120NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL600
MOV:                 WSW 09KT
INTST CHANGE:        INTSF
C:                   976HPA
MAX WIND:            55KT
FCST PSN +6HR:       19/1800 S2030 E11324
FCST MAX WIND +6HR:  60KT
FCST PSN +12HR:      20/0000 S2112 E11224
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 70KT
FCST PSN +18HR:      20/0600 S2154 E11130
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 75KT
FCST PSN +24HR:      20/1200 S2242 E11030
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 80KT
RMK:                 NIL
NXT MSG:             20250119/1900Z```
normal frost
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no way aus storm

normal frost
#

nah

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i doubt it will

normal frost
#

damn ok

normal frost
#

was a good run

normal frost
#

what the fuck

normal frost
#

why is it alive

atomic flint
#

15U got named vince

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11S still exists and might get named soon (swio)

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05F (15P) exists

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92P (17U) exists

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taliah is eating shit

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@normal frost @tribal arch yea thats it

normal frost
#

im so brainrot i thought u said taishi

atomic flint
#

bro...

tribal arch
#

the rot fr

atomic flint
normal frost
#

neat

tribal arch
#

🀨

atomic flint
#

well then vince just exploded

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@normal frost @tribal arch

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bom went from 50 kts to 75 kts (both 10 min)

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in 6 hours

normal frost
#

jesus

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nice shrimpin

atomic flint
#

taliah finally reached c3 aus earlier

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faida also died

normal frost
#

faida is ehh

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it shouldve died earlier even

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conditions were mega scuffed

normal frost
#

god that looks good

atomic flint
#

looks like vince finally reached major

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mfr pulled the ITC trigger

atomic flint
#

13S VINCE 250206 1200 19.5S 81.7E SHEM 115 944

normal frost
#

jesus

tribal arch
#

holy

atomic flint
#

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (VINCE)

B. 06/1430Z

C. 19.54S

D. 81.31E

E. TWO/MET9

F. T7.0/7.0/D1.0/24HRS  STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 05A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS 
AN E# OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. 
MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   06/0937Z  19.42S  81.97E  GPMI
   06/1009Z  19.45S  81.77E  SSMS


   RAE```
#

is this actually headed for c5 wtf

normal frost
#

holy fuck

#

its doing the Thing

tribal arch
#

shlong maneuver

normal frost
#

thats a pretty eye actually

#

vince my goat

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its about to c5 even

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my guess is 145 peak

tribal arch
#

its gonna fall short of c5

#

clueless

normal frost
#

nah

#

the past couple of forecasts/models have it stay at c5 for at least 12 hours

#

so it wont be a brief one

atomic flint
normal frost
#

you cant say that

#

dont jinx it

atomic flint
#
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.9 S / 77.0 E
(NINETEEN    DECIMAL NINE   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SEVENTY SEVEN    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 12 KT```
#

Guess What.

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first VITC of the season (chido got robbed)

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@normal frost @tribal arch

normal frost
#

and there it is

#

next goalpost

normal frost
#

its so over...

atomic flint
#

yea they went vitc for a total of

#

One

#

advisory

normal frost
#

i blame george

normal frost
#

yer a bastard

normal frost
#

it was a good run

atomic flint
#

40 kts 10-min TL

normal frost
#

c3 aus huh

#

now thats something

atomic flint
#

if that plays out then

#

Jesus

normal frost
#

jet interaction...

#

thats a yikes

atomic flint
#

tho rn its south of the cone apparently

#

so who knows could also just landfall

#

LOL

atomic flint
#

also 16P existed

normal frost
#

yea it was very brief

#

it just got sneezed on by streams

atomic flint
normal frost
#

oh no

normal frost
#

i cant open the thing rn

#

can u send storm surge graph

#

if theres any

atomic flint
normal frost
#

is fine then

normal frost
#

so fast too

atomic flint
#

yeah...

#

might actually be major at lf

#

or worse...

#

really the only thing that will put the breaks on this is time

normal frost
#

man

#

spinny wind clouds are funny but not like this

normal frost
#

it's slowing down so it def will have a bit of time to inhale water

atomic flint
#

oh before i forget

#

taliah is in swio and was upgraded to tropical cyclone

normal frost
#

cook

normal frost
#

what the fuck

tribal arch
#

beuh

atomic flint
normal frost
#

oh brother...

#

what is THAT

normal frost
#

???????????

#

nah thats not real

atomic flint
#

unfortunately is

#

its trying to clear.

#

so like

#

wonder what ill wake up to

#

at 0z

atomic flint
#

17S ZELIA 250213 0000 19.1S 118.2E SHEM 85 964

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LMAOOOOOOOOOO

#

@normal frost

#

fuck off that's not 85 knots

atomic flint
#

17S ZELIA 250213 0000 19.1S 118.2E SHEM 120 940

#

better

#

honestly thats prolly alr c5 tho

#

holy shit 155kts in cone

#

@normal frost @tribal arch

normal frost
#

wtf did i WAKE up to

#

that is so demented

normal frost
#

nah like THAT high of a windspeed in aus is demented

atomic flint
#

its ewrcing

#

and also getting sheared somewhat tho eh

normal frost
#

really...

#

I'm sorry but I am NOT calling it gulf of america

tribal arch
atomic flint
#

πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

#

oh wtf

#

11E 2024 got upgraded to a TS lmao

normal frost
atomic flint
#

taliah is STILL alive

atomic flint
#

is dying tho

normal frost
normal frost
#

what the fuck

#

form doesnt look that good but like from satellite it still looks good lol

normal frost
#

oh?

#

fiji storm

#

thats interesting

atomic flint
#

tbh spac prolly shouldve had more storms

#

in fact there's an unnamed one rn thats dying

normal frost
#

that was fast

atomic flint
#

told ya

#

2 areas of high chance in the SWIO

#

as well as potentially another spac storm

#

also unnamed spac ts still alive lol

#

yeah this is a tc outbreak goddamn

atomic flint
#

all 3 named storms r developing nicely

normal frost
#

that looks kinda funny

normal frost
#

woa

atomic flint
#

first spac wejj since lola inbound???

normal frost
#

its kinda moving fast though

normal frost
#

pretty nice conditions for it for a while

atomic flint
#

true,,,

#

πŸ™

normal frost
#

prayge

#

if it slow downs then its a guaranteed wejj

#

yummy water

tribal arch
#

so true

atomic flint
#

@normal frost @tribal arch oh btw dont forget about these guys

#

and also 96P

#

also bianca is now an aus c3

tribal arch
normal frost
#

95s looks to become one of those funny tracks

#

if the streams alllow it then it can prob just do a full loop into mozambique

normal frost
#

which is interesting to say the least

#

although barely a major but still a major's a major lol

atomic flint
#

time is up tho

#

just about to cross the 26c isotherm

atomic flint
#

we now have TS Seru from spac

normal frost
#

holy activity

tribal arch
#

COOKIN

tribal arch
normal frost
#

christ

#

thats a direct

normal frost
#

winds seem a bit strong lole

atomic flint
#

uh

#

@normal frost @tribal arch

#

that is

#

uncomfortably close to brisbane

#

wait i am dumb

#

LMAO

normal frost
#

what

atomic flint
#

i took the wrong cone

#

πŸ’€

#

actual track forecast rn

tribal arch
normal frost
#

wtf do you mean brisbane thats madagascar

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

alfred now c4 aus

#

garance now ITC

normal frost
#

jesus christ

#

that looks insane on radar

atomic flint
#

yea this is

#

not a good situation

#

reminder that la reunion is home to almost 1m people

#

alfred rn is Uh

normal frost
#

suffer

normal frost
normal frost
#

holy fuck

atomic flint
#

yea thats quite fast

#

beeg eye

#

can i just say @normal frost

#

we've had 9 majors for swio and aus combined

#

for 2024-25 season

#

thats...actually insane?

#

yea spac hasnt made one yet

#

well spac doesnt even have an official hurricane because for some reason rae peaked at 60kts according to fms???? even though it was likely c2 at peak (and jtwc does have c2)???????

normal frost
#

southern hemisphere in general has been cooking lol