#Meteorology

1 messages Β· Page 11 of 1

atomic flint
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@normal frost @tribal arch finished an ewrc

normal frost
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oh no

atomic flint
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pinwheel eye tho

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Damn.

normal frost
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wejj time?

atomic flint
normal frost
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wejj...

atomic flint
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wejj.

atomic flint
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so uh @normal frost @tribal arch

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it um

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stalled.

normal frost
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WHAT

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shanshan gonna be shantishanti real quick

atomic flint
#

πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

tribal arch
# atomic flint stalled.

πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

normal frost
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WTF

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MY SON

atomic flint
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also shanshan made landfall

tribal arch
tribal arch
tribal arch
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almost like a galaxy πŸ—Ώ

atomic flint
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llc moment

normal frost
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NOOOOO

atomic flint
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Hone is now at 7.27 ACE

tribal arch
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kms

normal frost
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die

tribal arch
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wait it fotmed there??

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wtf

atomic flint
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tbf the north indian ocean is a tropical cyclone basin

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just the least active official one (like 3 named storms per year?)

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oh apparently 5-6 tropical cyclones but idk how many of those are usually named

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very potent basin tho

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has some of the highest ssts and is home to realllllly large populations

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most of the deadliest storms come from here

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as for that specific spot...well there's one other cyclone in recent times that has formed there (cyclone shaheen, 2021)

tribal arch
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oh damn πŸ’€

atomic flint
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yeah

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definitely weird to have a named storm in august tho

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but far from the weirdest storm ive seen here

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Cyclonic Storm Sagar was the strongest tropical cyclone to make landfall in Somalia and Somaliland in recorded history until Gati in 2020, and the first named cyclone of the 2018 North Indian Ocean cyclone season. Forming on May 16 east of the Guardafui Channel, Sagar intensified into a cyclonic storm on the next day, as it gradually organized. ...

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literally how πŸ’€

tribal arch
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????

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πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

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good luck dubai

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and other states in that region

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thats actually crazy it formed there

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what happened to dubai after that?

atomic flint
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thats somalia

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pretty sure UAE has never experienced a tropical cyclone

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closest one was shaheen ig

tribal arch
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wait i thought the bottom part was saudi

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πŸ—ΏπŸ—ΏπŸ—ΏπŸ—Ώ

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oh yeah i recognize it now that you said that

atomic flint
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even crazier is that it has an almost exact analogue from like 3 decades prior

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that completely got ignored by the IMD

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LOL

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also holy shit i didnt know remal from earlier this year was pretty damn impactful @normal frost

normal frost
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huh really

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i didnt think it did anything substantial

atomic flint
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quite deadly

normal frost
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what the hell

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another landslide storm huh

atomic flint
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ganges delta moment

normal frost
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it really be like that

tribal arch
normal frost
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tf

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bro really wanna be ts again

atomic flint
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hone back to TS

tribal arch
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πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

normal frost
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my goat hone

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@atomic flint interesting model from gfs

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bruh embed

atomic flint
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🀨

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wait 65/1008 wtf

atomic flint
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nvm hone is uh

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πŸ’€

tribal arch
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is he dead?

normal frost
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deadge

random flower
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inside a storm rn

normal frost
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wew

random flower
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dude the winds are cold as fuckskullgone

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it makes me wanna get sick to skip a day from work

normal frost
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wtf give cold air

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shit is too hot here even if its raining every day

atomic flint
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u can get the whole ts itself

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:3

normal frost
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no fuck you

tribal arch
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LMA9

normal frost
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wtf is hone still doing

tribal arch
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πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

normal frost
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i thought my page wasnt fucking refreshed

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its doing the slowdown-> reintensify -> speed up north -> weaken

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again

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for the 3rd time

atomic flint
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πŸ’€

tribal arch
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πŸ’€

normal frost
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its subtropical instead ig

normal frost
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TY now

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(yagi)

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seems to be wrapping

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possibly getting a strong c3 potentially a 4

tribal arch
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πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

atomic flint
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yeaaaaa

atomic flint
normal frost
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holy shit its exceeding expectations

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down DOWN yagi

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that straight up looks c3 already

atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2411 YAGI (2411)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041200UTC 19.2N 117.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM```
atomic flint
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meanwhile jtwc is uh

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12W YAGI 240904 1200 19.2N 116.9E WPAC 110 968

normal frost
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o h

atomic flint
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nice w/p πŸ’€

normal frost
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holy fuck its 110 already

atomic flint
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yea

normal frost
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i thought thatd take like 12 more hours

atomic flint
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or jma's major equivalent

normal frost
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we are def getting a c4 then

atomic flint
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well

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ill just say this

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jma forecasts

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100 kts koba

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5 kts off violent typhoon πŸ’€

normal frost
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lowballing again smh

atomic flint
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no if u convert that to

normal frost
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I get why though

atomic flint
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1 min

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its like

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130kts?

normal frost
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oh wait thats 100kt 10min

atomic flint
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yea 100kts koba

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πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

normal frost
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robbed

atomic flint
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genuinely

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could be the first c5 of the season

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...in scs?

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????

normal frost
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would be funny af tho

atomic flint
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||oh wait gaemi exists but thats unofficial LOL||

normal frost
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gaemi is ehh

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personally i think it prob did but very briefly so w/e

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not that much of a scam

normal frost
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wait

atomic flint
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literally rammasun v2

normal frost
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its doing the thing

tribal arch
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dear god

atomic flint
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12W YAGI 240904 1800 19.2N 116.3E WPAC 120 932
12W YAGI 240904 1200 19.2N 116.9E WPAC 110 943

#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TY 2411 YAGI (2411)
ANALYSIS
PSTN  041800UTC 19.2N 116.3E GOOD
MOVE  W 07KT
PRES  935HPA
MXWD  095KT
GUST  135KT
50KT  80NM
30KT  180NM```
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(115kts 1-min equivalent)

tribal arch
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wtf cookers?

normal frost
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oh boy

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its doing the thing

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apparently jtwc forecasts 135 peak

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c5?c5?c5?

atomic flint
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jma forecasts c5

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LMAO

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MOVE  W 06KT
PRES  915HPA
MXWD  105KT
GUST  150KT```
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(140kts equivalent)

normal frost
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oh right

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it updated

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last forecast was 135kt peak i didnt check

atomic flint
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motherfuck @normal frost @tribal arch

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its starting an ewrc

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that said

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RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TY 2411 YAGI (2411)
ANALYSIS
PSTN  050000UTC 19.0N 115.8E GOOD
MOVE  W SLOWLY
PRES  915HPA
MXWD  105KT
GUST  150KT
50KT  90NM
30KT  180NM```
#

12W YAGI 240905 0000 19.1N 115.8E WPAC 130 922

atomic flint
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gg i think it peaked

normal frost
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man.

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prob for the better

tribal arch
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shout out to its tailend fucking up my plane for an hour

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πŸ™‚πŸ‘

normal frost
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😭

atomic flint
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oof.

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WTPQ50 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2412 LEEPI (2412) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 33.1N 145.8E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM

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@normal frost

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GW skip lollll

normal frost
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hoh

atomic flint
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quite deserved tbf

normal frost
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the rotation looks kinda quirky

atomic flint
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thought this thing was gonna go nameless when it had TS support for a while alr

atomic flint
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also damn

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forecast to die within a day

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LOL

tribal arch
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πŸ—ΏπŸ—ΏπŸ—Ώ

normal frost
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ok at least it got the name

normal frost
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oh no

atomic flint
normal frost
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ok but yagi is quirky

normal frost
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o-oh

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it fucking finished

atomic flint
normal frost
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whaet

atomic flint
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ok idk anymore

normal frost
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oh dear god

atomic flint
#

12W YAGI 240905 1800 19.2N 113.0E WPAC 130 923

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jma maintains violent typhoon

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kinda interesting that they still forecast strengthening tho

#
A. SUPER TYPHOON 12W (YAGI)
B. 05/2050Z
C. 19.09N
D. 112.61E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T7.0/7.0/D0.5/24HRS  STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E# 
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. MET 
YIELDS 7.5. PT YIELDS 7.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

   TIMMERMAN```
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could genuinely go for it

atomic flint
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they went 130 again gg

tribal arch
normal frost
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oof

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at least hainan is saved

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somewhat

ancient quarry
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long time havent seen a storm this strong directly before vietnamese landfall

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sheesh

normal frost
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yea yagi is in quite a weird spot

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last really strong storm near vietnam was rai I think?

atomic flint
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YO HOLY SHIT

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@normal frost @tribal arch

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12W YAGI 240906 0600 19.7N 111.3E WPAC 125 927
12W YAGI 240906 0000 19.2N 112.2E WPAC 130 922
12W YAGI 240905 1800 19.2N 113.0E WPAC 135 923
12W YAGI 240905 1200 19.3N 114.1E WPAC 125 933
12W YAGI 240905 0600 19.2N 115.1E WPAC 125 928
12W YAGI 240905 0000 19.0N 115.8E WPAC 140 916

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@ancient quarry

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4th jtwc c5 in the south china sea

ancient quarry
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916?

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wtf

atomic flint
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yeah 916mb or hPa

ancient quarry
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holy shit thats rare

atomic flint
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140kts aka 160mph/260kph

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very

normal frost
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WHAT

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oh my god it did it

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I never doubted

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but this means big trouble for hainan though

atomic flint
#

last storm of this magnitude was...rai 2022 (kinda debatable), rammasun 2014 (stupid asf storm)

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tbf thats an override

normal frost
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rai was def c5

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rammasun is

atomic flint
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rammasun is def c5

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absolutely

normal frost
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rammasun was really stupid

atomic flint
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rai was likely c5 pre-PH...but scs c5 is def debatable

normal frost
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id like to think it was c5

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well at least briefly

atomic flint
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Β―_(ツ)_/Β―

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that was such a weird year tho

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all wpac majors then were super typhoons

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πŸ’€

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fkin scary

tribal arch
ancient quarry
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bro wiki editor is so fast

atomic flint
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rofl

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yea from what ive heard the wiki editors for TCs are rly dedicated

ancient quarry
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southern part

floral pecan
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i'm in the north

normal frost
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stay safe

urban glen
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skull

atomic flint
atomic flint
floral pecan
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but tks

ancient quarry
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@floral pecan still gonna be buttload of rain though

floral pecan
floral pecan
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fun

ancient quarry
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kek

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probably 8-10 in beaufort scale

floral pecan
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i dont think that thing can destroy my apartment

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safe πŸ‘

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only somebody in haiphong in alert

normal frost
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it wont be wind thats worrying

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but the rain

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stay safe out there

tribal arch
jolly urchin
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Started my day with a tree uprooted and fallen down near my house
I live in the most affected area when the typhoon lands here in Viet Nam

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πŸ™

atomic flint
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stay safe πŸ™

jolly urchin
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πŸ™πŸ™

atomic flint
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head to high ground if u can asap

atomic flint
#

12W YAGI 240907 0600 21.0N 106.9E WPAC 110 942

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strongest VN landfall

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jma 90kts 10-min koba

atomic flint
normal frost
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wild

urban glen
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windl

rare pawn
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prayge for the northern ppl

atomic flint
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very late but

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12W YAGI 240907 1200 21.0N 105.9E WPAC 75 970

normal frost
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death

atomic flint
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jfc

normal frost
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wtf

normal frost
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wewe

normal frost
atomic flint
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jesus christ.

normal frost
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o h

atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2413 BEBINCA (2413) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  101200UTC 12.3N 145.4E FAIR
MOVE  WNW 09KT
PRES  998HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  120NM```
atomic flint
#

14W BEBINCA 240911 0000 13.7N 142.1E WPAC 30 999

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bro wtf this was 40 kts before override LOL

atomic flint
normal frost
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uh oh

atomic flint
#

also @normal frost

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yagi death toll just

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...keeps on climbing

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140 missing now

normal frost
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that area was not ready for a storm of that magnitude like at all

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shit is fucked

atomic flint
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in vietnam alone

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nah it was the rain

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northern provinces of vietnam just got a shit ton of rain

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Haiphong (closest city to the lf site) ""only"" had 2 deaths

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oh jesus it affected thailand too

atomic flint
#

oh...

normal frost
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oh...

atomic flint
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nvm the wiki claim has no source

normal frost
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lol

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wiki yapping

normal frost
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ur getting fucked?

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🀨

tribal arch
#

πŸ’€

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im so tired

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it was fun tho

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i feel so manly

normal frost
#

that certainly does not look 45kt

tribal arch
#

πŸ’€πŸ’€

normal frost
#

im also getting yagi'd now

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well the remnants

atomic flint
#

deep depression BOB 05

normal frost
#

oh

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wait

atomic flint
#

so like

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we have pulasan

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which afaik is meranti's replacement name

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it uh

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Looks Like This

#

@normal frost nice TS

normal frost
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LOL

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theres literally nothing there

atomic flint
#

exactly!!!

normal frost
#

wew

atomic flint
#

bebinca made landfall just a bit ago

tribal arch
#

me when data so bad i cant even see images

atomic flint
#

honestly intensity wise this was one of the better scenarios

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it also ended up being a smaller storm

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still tho, a typhoon landfall at shanghai?

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damn.

normal frost
#

shanghai taking the landfall is still pretty bad

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

wp152024 PULASAN 20240917 1200 21.2 134.7 W MD 60 996

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@normal frost 60kts monsoon depression.

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this is 60 kts.

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and for some reason ascat supports that AND SAR found higher winds support

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Society.

normal frost
#

lol

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nice td

tribal arch
#

bruh

tribal arch
#

πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€ πŸ’€

#

that could have been peak

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πŸ˜” πŸ˜” πŸ˜” πŸ˜” πŸ˜” πŸ˜” πŸ˜” πŸ˜”

normal frost
#

slop...

atomic flint
#

😭😭😭😭😭

#

goodbye typhoon streak...

normal frost
#

it's so over

normal frost
#

woah

#

is it already td?

tribal arch
#

black sea td inc πŸ—£οΈπŸ—£οΈπŸ—£οΈπŸ—£οΈ

normal frost
#

um

normal frost
#

wait the fuck?

normal frost
#

BRUH

#

bro is getting dismissed hes like i aint getting ignored

atomic flint
#

nhc is expecting a 90 kt peak tho

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but somehow

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this is

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60 kts

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according to them

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πŸ₯Ά

atomic flint
#

yea.

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ok there's recon scheduled for tomorrow

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but /shrug if it even makes it before landfall

tribal arch
#

πŸ—ΏπŸ—Ώ

#

thats unfortunate

atomic flint
#

@tribal arch @normal frost

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yeah no recon

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also this is basically budget otis bruh.

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c3 now btw

tribal arch
#

😭 😭 😭 😭 😭

atomic flint
#

...MAJOR HURRICANE JOHN VERY NEAR THE COAST...
...DAMAGING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE
AND FLASH FLOODING ARE ONGOING...

SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...16.3N 98.8W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM W OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM WNW OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

atomic flint
#

...MAJOR HURRICANE JOHN MAKES LANDFALL IN MEXICO...

Satellite data indicates that Hurricane John has made landfall
along the southern coast of Mexico just to the south-southwest of
Marquelia, Mexico in the state of Guerrero at around 915 PM CST
(0315 UTC). The maximum sustained winds at landfall are estimated
to be 120 mph (195 km/h), and the minimum central pressure is
estimated at 959 mb (28.32 inches). This makes John a category 3
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

SUMMARY OF 920 PM CST...0320 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...16.6N 98.9W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NW OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM WNW OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

normal frost
#

yikes.

normal frost
#

wha

#

what

atomic flint
#
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2416 CIMARON (2416) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  250300UTC 28.3N 134.2E FAIR
MOVE  WNW SLOWLY
PRES  1002HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  180NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST```
#

lol

#

named when its dying

normal frost
#

as usual

#

late ass mfs

atomic flint
#

at least it got named ig

tribal arch
#

πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

#

bro

normal frost
#

aint no way

tribal arch
#

thats

normal frost
#

wtf bro is gonna live

atomic flint
#

anyways

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wanna address the elephant in the room?

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(helene)

normal frost
#

shit is looking bad

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prime RI position

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you think it'll reach at least cat4?

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it's 100% gonna be at least major no doubt about it

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I mean cat4 is plausible already

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but imo cat5 is pushing it lol

atomic flint
#

yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

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its c2 rn so honestly c4 isnt that far off

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considering it has the time and conditions

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c5 is a stretch

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but

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Β―_(ツ)_/Β―

#

either way

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Not Good.

#

ok shit just got absolutely serious @normal frost

normal frost
#

what the fuck waffle house closed

atomic flint
#

πŸ’€

atomic flint
#

welp now we're at c4 @normal frost

normal frost
#

that fast??

#

jesus christ

tribal arch
#

bro is sanic

atomic flint
#

WTPQ51 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2417 JEBI (2417) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270600UTC 18.0N 145.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST

atomic flint
normal frost
#

what was the peak

#

mid c4?

tribal arch
#

mayhaps

atomic flint
#

939mb tho

tribal arch
#

jesus

normal frost
#

jesus

normal frost
#

wtf

#

why does these dumb high latitude storms always happen around this time

tribal arch
#

as a donut thats a pretty big nut

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whwt

normal frost
#

HOW

atomic flint
#

🀨

#

something interesting @normal frost @tribal arch

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number of times that specific slot has been retired

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only sarbul has been retired 3 times

#

rananim, fanapi, and rai

atomic flint
#

oh no

normal frost
#

uh oh

normal frost
normal frost
#

zamn

atomic flint
#
#

@normal frost @tribal arch holy shit.

normal frost
#

holy fuck

atomic flint
#

yeah this name is

#

100% never coming back

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current damage estimates are at $20 bil low end

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also Vietnam damage estimate for typhoon yagi is now at $3.3bil

tribal arch
#

thats alot of water mate

atomic flint
#

yeah.

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just

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horrible all around

normal frost
#

henderson almost died again like in el reno

#

this shit gives me flashbacks

atomic flint
#

πŸ₯Ά

atomic flint
#

20W KRATHON 240929 0600 19.1N 123.6E WPAC 80 983

normal frost
#

damn

#

its gaining form quick

tribal arch
normal frost
#

what the fuck

#

thats one hell of a shrimp

atomic flint
#

yeah

atomic flint
#

big as hell eye

tribal arch
#

yeah thats as big as NCR/metro manila

atomic flint
#

20W KRATHON 240930 0600 20.5N 121.2E WPAC 120 935

normal frost
#

holy fuck already 120

#

thats wild

#

its prob peaking tho

tribal arch
#

120kts???

#

πŸ—Ώ

normal frost
#

looks like it

#

it has quite a bit of time left

#

easily typhoon lol

normal frost
#

oh jesus

#

that is quite explosive

atomic flint
#

also jtwc went 125 kts on krathon

#

they think its peaked

atomic flint
#

20W KRATHON 240930 1800 20.6N 120.0E WPAC 130 927

#

super typhoon.

#

jma also now at 100 kts koba (5kts off violent ty)

#

but they dont expect further strengthening

atomic flint
#

also

#

19W JEBI 240930 1800 30.8N 141.2E WPAC 55 986

#

jma sts

normal frost
#

jesus christ

#

what a wejj on that

tribal arch
atomic flint
#

JMA PULLED C5

#

@tribal arch @normal frost

#
Issued at 2024/10/01 01:05 UTC
Analysis at 10/01 00 UTC
Grade    TY
Scale    Large
Intensity    Violent
Center position    N20Β°35β€² (20.6Β°)
E119Β°35β€² (119.6Β°)
Direction and speed of movement    WNW Slow
Central pressure    915 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center    55 m/s (105 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    75 m/s (150 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area    150 km (80 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area    500 km (270 NM)```
#

2nd violent typhoon of the year

#

prolly peaking rn tho

normal frost
#

woah

#

surprising

atomic flint
#

Β―_(ツ)_/Β―

normal frost
#

im surprised jma pulled c5 way before jtwc lol

normal frost
#

its really trying

#

i mean props to it doing that at that latitude

atomic flint
#

yeah

tribal arch
#

you godda do what u godda do

atomic flint
#

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 1001 HPA
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 110 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

#

@tribal arch @normal frost

#

another early season storm lmao

#

surely this one gets named this time

normal frost
#

damn

#

its just october tho

atomic flint
#

@tribal arch @normal frost ok yeah this is getting named

#

also we have hurricane kirk

#

110 kts peak expected

atomic flint
#
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0 S / 75.4 E
(TEN    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SEVENTY FIVE    DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT```
tribal arch
#

🀨

normal frost
#

what the fuck

normal frost
#

never doubted

atomic flint
normal frost
#

hmm

#

115?

tribal arch
tribal arch
atomic flint
#

AL, 12, 2024100300, , BEST, 0, 193N, 442W, 105, 955, HU, 64, NEQ, 30, 20, 15, 25, 1009, 260, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, KIRK, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 029,

#

@tribal arch @normal frost

normal frost
#

wtf

#

okay

atomic flint
#

110 kts now

normal frost
#

well damn

atomic flint
#

also krathon made landfall earlier

normal frost
#

yeaaaa

#

I have a TW friend

atomic flint
#

@normal frost @tribal arch

#

well then

#

...KIRK IS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...LARGE SWELLS COULD REACH THE U.S. EAST COAST BY SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...21.5N 47.5W
ABOUT 1040 MI...1670 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1670 MI...2685 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES

atomic flint
#

nvm it peaked

normal frost
#

wew

#

wtf

tribal arch
#

smh

atomic flint
normal frost
#

lmfao

#

there of all places

atomic flint
#

and what models r doing with it

#

its...not fun

tribal arch
#

πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

normal frost
#

tf

normal frost
#

uh oh

atomic flint
#

AL, 14, 2024100618, , BEST, 0, 225N, 941W, 70, 987, HU, 64, NEQ, 0, 20, 15, 0, 1010, 150, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, MILTON, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 028,

tribal arch
#

i accidentally put ping on the reply

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

joever

#

also can i just note

#

there are currently 3 active hurricanes

#

and this is the last advisory that'll have that

#

scary

normal frost
#

fucking kirk lol

#

milton gonna be so nasty

atomic flint
#

Oh.

atomic flint
#

The Air Force aircraft very recently reported a peak flight-level wind of 120 kt, and dropsonde data show that the pressure has fallen to around 945 mb, which is down about 9 mb from a previous dropsonde report from the NOAA aircraft about an hour ago.

#

@normal frost @tribal arch

normal frost
#

wtf

atomic flint
normal frost
#

oh no

#

thats kinda fucked

atomic flint
#

yeah

tribal arch
#

that is ducked

atomic flint
#

@tribal arch @normal frost

#

what

#

the

#

fuck

#

130 kts.

#

ALREADY.

#

Data from both Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Milton has 
strengthened to a category 4 hurricane.  The maximum sustained 
winds are estimated to be 150 mph (240 km/h).  Milton is a category 
4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Data 
from the aircraft also indicate that the minimum pressure has 
fallen to 940 mb (27.76 inches).

These changes will be reflected in the normal 10 AM CDT (1500 UTC) 
advisory. 


SUMMARY OF 805 AM CDT...1305 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 92.0W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM W OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 735 MI...11185 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES```
normal frost
#

??

#

I've been talking to a friend

#

he lives in florida soooooooooo

#

yikes....

normal frost
#

oh no he's not gonna

#

he's in east coast

#

but floods are still gonna be yikes

atomic flint
#

yeaaaa

#

prolly best to stockpile?

normal frost
#

he already did that

atomic flint
#

maybe get a generator if they dont have one

#

@normal frost

#

what the fuck

#

933.8mb

#

xtrap

#

recon

#

.

#

this is going c5 its genuinely only a matter of when

normal frost
#

uh oh

atomic flint
#

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.5N 90.4W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 45SE 45SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.

#

@normal frost

#
...FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 91.7W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 720 MI...1160 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...933 MB...27.55 INCHES```
tribal arch
normal frost
#

helene

#

but like only rain since he was on the edge

#

maybe ian

atomic flint
#

@normal frost @tribal arch

#

last recon pass for the next 2-3 hours i think

#

158KT FL

#

924.2MB

#

WHAT.

normal frost
#

HUH

#

how reliable is this

#

@atomic flint

atomic flint
normal frost
#

oh what the fuck

atomic flint
#

140kt and it ties wilma's intensification record btw

#

let that sink in.

#

no we dont mention otis

normal frost
#

that is such a pinhole

#

jesus christ

#

this is really crazy considering how close to the yucatan it is too

atomic flint
#

aaaand

#

tied.

#

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate 
that Milton has strengthened to a category 5 hurricane.  The 
maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 160 mph (250 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Data from the aircraft also indicate that the 
minimum pressure has fallen to 925 mb (27.31 inches).


SUMMARY OF 1055 AM CDT...1555 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 91.6W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 735 MI...1175 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.31 INCHES```
atomic flint
#

more intense than beryl now

normal frost
#

this storm is mega fucked up tf

atomic flint
#

esp after helene

#

wait oh my god

#

this name replaced michael 2018

#

πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

normal frost
#

wtf

atomic flint
normal frost
#

uh oh

atomic flint
#

there's only been 2 october gulf c5s

#

michael and...milton

#

πŸ’€

tribal arch
atomic flint
#

@normal frost @tribal arch

#

914.4 MB EXTRAP

#

also recon left

#

tbh surprised it did another pass

normal frost
#

inb4 <900mb but no recon

atomic flint
#

genuinely could

#

not sure what time next recon is

#

7 hours worst case?

#

oh

#

next recon is 21z

#

4 hours from now

normal frost
#

WTF

atomic flint
#
...RESIDENTS IN FLORIDA ARE URGED TO FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL 
OFFICIALS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 91.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 700 MI...1130 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH...280 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...911 MB...26.90 INCHES```
#

@normal frost @tribal arch

#

well then.

normal frost
#

oh.

tribal arch
#

πŸ—Ώ

atomic flint
#

155kt now...

#

@normal frost @tribal arch

#

160kt in cone...

#

AF recon is approaching the storm

normal frost
#

wtf

#

pressure rn?

atomic flint
#

905

#

think this thing has been maintaining DT7.5 ever since i last left it lol

normal frost
#

bro

#

its gonna get ion'd

#

since yucatan might weaken it a lil

normal frost
#

oh fuck

#

it actually happened

#

holy fuck

atomic flint
#

peaked at 155kts/897mb @tribal arch @normal frost

#

now ewrcing

normal frost
#

gg

#

ewrc at the worst time possible

tribal arch
#

bruh

ancient quarry
#

NA when they see sub-900mBar AWARE

tribal arch
#

LMAO

atomic flint
#

tbf the last one was wilma from 2005

normal frost
#

AWARE

atomic flint
#

lol

tribal arch
#

i see blank

#

i use old discord

#

πŸ˜”

atomic flint
#

πŸ˜”

normal frost
#

circl

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

normal frost
#

LMAO

#

what is this cope ass sounding advisory

#

jskdfhgdskvdskhvs

atomic flint
#

30th advisory

#

yea it only died then

normal frost
#

LOL

atomic flint
#

man reading their forecasts for epsilon and zeta is entertaining asf

#

u should go thru them

normal frost
#

i can figure

#

its 2005 after all

#

shit was crazy

atomic flint
#

@normal frost @tribal arch

#

oh...

#

this is quite literally just goni all over again

normal frost
#

its still maintaining somehow

atomic flint
#

140/908

#

dropsonde found 908

atomic flint
#

starting an ewrc

#

recon found 2 eyewalls

atomic flint
#

THIS ACTUALLY GOT NAMED WTF @normal frost

#

πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€πŸ’€

normal frost
#

LOL

tribal arch
atomic flint
#

leslie try to pop out an eye attempt #9164838849259

#

@normal frost @tribal arch

#

also yes this storm still exists

normal frost
#

milton taking all the spotlight

tribal arch
#

smh

normal frost
#

its really trying

normal frost
#
#

not tropical storms but

#

@atomic flint happening

#

literally right now

#

as we speak

vapid quail
#

like an approaching cthulhu

normal frost
#

stupid part is

#

it's in florida

#

which is NOT known for tornadoes

vapid quail
#

wait it's forming a tornado?

#

omg it is

normal frost
#

yes

#

that's a wedge tornado

#

on the ground

#

as we speak

#

mainly covering milton but

#

he briefly showed the tornado

#

all 3 supercells currently visible dropped at least 1 tornado

tribal arch
ancient quarry