#Meteorology

1 messages · Page 8 of 1

atomic flint
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@normal frost

normal frost
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ok yk what

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thats good

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for once

atomic flint
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155/915 is pretty wack

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pressure

normal frost
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it is but

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at least

atomic flint
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feels like smth out of natl LOL

normal frost
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they didnt go 145

atomic flint
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yeah

normal frost
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i mean

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this storm is something if even jma didnt lowball

atomic flint
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oh wait nvm pressure is same as last time

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so prolly gonna get overrided

atomic flint
atomic flint
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15W BOLAVEN 231011 1200 18.9N 142.9E WPAC 155 904

atomic flint
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15W BOLAVEN 231012 0600 21.8N 143.5E WPAC 155 905

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@normal frost still chugging

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jma has had ci 7+ for a whole day now

IMG_20231012_154952.jpg
normal frost
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👁️

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this thing really is going hard huh

atomic flint
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yeah

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absolutely

atomic flint
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major hone???????

normal frost
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HONE

atomic flint
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also wow sean turned into a TD already LOL @normal frost

normal frost
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LMAO

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L

tribal arch
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what the

atomic flint
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WP, 15, 2023101212, , BEST, 0, 226N, 1443E, 155, 905, ST,

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@normal frost

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when the 155

normal frost
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still??

atomic flint
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yes!!!!

normal frost
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this motherfucker

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istg

atomic flint
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here ya go

normal frost
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still looking fine

atomic flint
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what are the odds jma goes CI 8 in the next fix actually

normal frost
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watch it get ewrc in the worst spot possible and raped

atomic flint
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cuz theyve had MET 7.0 for 3 fixes now

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🤨

atomic flint
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y'know

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its supposed to have ewrc'd twice by now

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LOL

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with how mperc has spiked twice already

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somehow it still hasnt done a single one

normal frost
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yea

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im actually baffled

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its still holding up

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nothing is impeding it

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at all

atomic flint
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exactlyyyyy

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this storm is dumb

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like

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i went to sleep earlier at 2 am thinking that it'd ewrc and that'd be the last c5 point for this storm

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its fucking 8pm and it still hasnt

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it hasnt even fucking weakened ffs

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aw jma doesnt want a 120 kt peak anymore @normal frost

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which wouldve tied it with goni/haiyan/etc

normal frost
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man.

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still

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gotta respect this thing

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it goes hella hard rn

atomic flint
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gotta respect the grind frfr

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thx for the ace 🔥🔥🔥

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like dude @normal frost

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its gaining

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2.4 ace per fix

normal frost
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🔥

atomic flint
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LMAO

normal frost
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LMAO

atomic flint
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every 155 kt fix is 2.4 ace 🔥🔥🔥

normal frost
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as if freddy existing wasn't enough

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more ACE to the world ig

atomic flint
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think its 21 ace rn?

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bolaven

normal frost
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wao

atomic flint
normal frost
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me looking at natl rn:

atomic flint
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natl rn is

normal frost
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LMAO

atomic flint
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my honest reaction:

normal frost
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i think there is some fraud going on behind the scenes

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every other basin mugged natl

atomic flint
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hey to be fair

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natl isnt all slop

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2 c4s and a c5

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already above average ace and named storm wise

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in a fairly strong el nino!!!!!!!

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the rest is all slop tho

normal frost
atomic flint
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also wow

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lidia looked like a beast @normal frost

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https://vxtwitter.com/iCyclone/status/1712230016157921698?t=n3pA5SUlHrxMoc4v_mOIpA&s=19

vxTwitter
From 7:12 pm—15 minutes after previous clip. #Hurricane #LIDIA’s center was pulling away, wind direction had suddenly shifted, & that special howly sound was starting up. 💖 315
Josh Morgerman (@iCyclone)

From 7:12 pm—15 minutes after previous clip. #Hurricane #LIDIA’s center was pulling away, wind direction had suddenly shifted, & that special howly sound was starting up.

💖 315

▶ Play video
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josh rode it out on a highway in the mountains LMAO

normal frost
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yea ok drive to wherever the fuck this is

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sanest chaser

atomic flint
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frfr

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he was trying to get towards a coastal town but think he didnt make it in time lmfao

normal frost
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welp

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anyways

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still pretty wild winds though

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but i think its the grass that makes this look wild lol

atomic flint
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here

atomic flint
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@normal frost its joever

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prolly one last c5 point for 18z

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also like wtf is this structure LOL

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actual crazy storm though

normal frost
atomic flint
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also like someHOW @normal frost

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sean is back to a TS

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💀

normal frost
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sean...

atomic flint
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cant wait for it to generate 0.5 ace or less

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🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

normal frost
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🔥

atomic flint
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@normal frost bolaven now

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😔

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its joever

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also sean strengthened to 40 knot s 💀

normal frost
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man

atomic flint
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@normal frost

IMG_20231014_013454.jpg
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aged well

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not meteorology but found this in f13 server lmao

normal frost
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this GUY

atomic flint
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too bad the server's gone to shit now 😔

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fuck nathan frfr

normal frost
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nathaniel epic fail

atomic flint
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so true

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also

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have u ever seen an exposed center major typhoon

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cuz jtwc still has bolaven at 100 knots

normal frost
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lol wtf

atomic flint
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it just finished btw, rip

normal frost
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F

atomic flint
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@normal frost

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this has gotta be one of the weirdest tracks ever

normal frost
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what

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ha?

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why there

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and why does it turn BACK

atomic flint
# 
WTPQ50 RJTD 180600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TS 2316 SANBA (2316) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  180600UTC 17.8N 108.6E FAIR
MOVE  NW 08KT
PRES  1002HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
30KT  150NM```
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@normal frost

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this track makes zero sense

normal frost
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what am i even looking at

atomic flint
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also norma was named

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its already 55 kts

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bro is on the Gas

atomic flint
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jtwc also has 35 kt btw

normal frost
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its going on tour

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gotta explore the entire gulf

atomic flint
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@normal frost

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also interesting

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tropical low 01U

normal frost
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oo

atomic flint
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@normal frost excuse me what the fuck

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major hurricane norma now

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skipped c2 💀

normal frost
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BRUH

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sneaky bastard

atomic flint
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in 2023

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kinda wild

normal frost
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that actually is insane

atomic flint
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this is epac's 7th major this year

normal frost
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oh WHAT

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i thought it was still like

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5

atomic flint
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nope

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7

normal frost
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what nino does to a mf

atomic flint
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setting norma aside

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all of those storms except calvin (c3) and jova (c5) peaked as a c4 lmao

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also we now have slopical storm tammy

normal frost
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i forgot half of those names even happened

atomic flint
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natl:

normal frost
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slopperino

atomic flint
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EP, 17, 2023101912, , BEST, 0, 170N, 1075W, 115, 946, HU, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 20, 20, 1009, 250, 15, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, NORMA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 028,

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category four @normal frost

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on another note

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tf is this mfer doing

normal frost
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wtf

atomic flint
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@normal frost wtf obs from an oil rig found 50-55 kt support

normal frost
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what

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how tf

atomic flint
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@normal frost how is this still not designated

normal frost
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wtf

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thats basically a TS

atomic flint
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yeah

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tammy could be on its way to hurricane status @normal frost

normal frost
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no way not a flop

atomic flint
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yeah

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for once

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also sanba made landfall

atomic flint
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05A FIVE 231020 1200 9.3N 61.0E IO 35 1001

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@normal frost

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also

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Hurricane Tammy Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202023
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 20 2023

...TAMMY EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING LIKELY OVER MUCH OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...14.1N 58.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SE OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES

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they pulled the trigger

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lfg

atomic flint
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EP, 17, 2023102018, , BEST, 0, 197N, 1095W, 105, 956, HU, 64, NEQ, 30, 25, 20, 25, 1007, 210, 10, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, NORMA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 028,

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wtf

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norma was supposed to be weakening

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why did recon find 105 kts support instead 💀

atomic flint
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its this now (also named tej)

normal frost
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what the fuck

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i spy an EYE

atomic flint
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yeah

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embedded center?

atomic flint
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@normal frost oh my god

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not only does tej have an eye now

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but fkin

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jtwc fucked up its name

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in atcf

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LOL

normal frost
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LMAO

atomic flint
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they put jet 💀

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@normal frost

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look at the top right

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LOL

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its fixed now but yea was funny

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also like

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65 knots.

normal frost
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65??

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that looks a lot higher than 65

atomic flint
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05A TEJ 231021 1800 11.4N 56.7E IO 105 988

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nice pressure btw

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jtwc please this is ur 2nd mistake today

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@normal frost also if it makes u feel any better: imd just went 65 kts...now

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sixty five

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knots

normal frost
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LMAO

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imd...

atomic flint
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also

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one last

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tammy is at 75 kts now

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norma is down to 75 kts as well (recon confirmed)

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right about to make landfall in cabo san lucas

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and 90P/01F is prolly a tropical storm now

atomic flint
normal frost
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damn that was quick

atomic flint
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💀

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how is this not named yet

normal frost
atomic flint
# 
TC ADVISORY 
DTG:                 20231022/0300Z
TCAC:                NFFN
TC:                  LOLA
ADVISORY NR:         2023/1
OBS PSN:             22/0300Z S1012 E16836
CB:                  WI 120 NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL530
MOV:                 SW 05KT
INTST CHANGE:        INTSF
C:                   995HPA
MAX WIND:            35KT```
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@normal frost FINALLY

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first shem storm

normal frost
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WOO

atomic flint
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@normal frost Almost done wtf

normal frost
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oh fuck

atomic flint
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@normal frost every storm this week is on drugs bruh

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lola now

normal frost
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decent

atomic flint
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primed for ri

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also gotta love having -80c cloud tops on tropical storms 🥰

normal frost
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😌

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so true oomfie

atomic flint
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@normal frost dont you just love it when you get an RIing spac storm in fkin october

normal frost
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frfr

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this year is crazy

atomic flint
# 
TCSSP1

SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1119 UTC MON OCT 23 2023

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE LOLA (01F)

B. 23/1100Z

C. 13.2S

D. 169.5E

E. HIMAWARI-9

F. T6.0/6.0/D2.0/24 HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS...WMG EYE EMBEDDED IN BLACK WITH A WHITE SURROUNDING 
RING YIELDS A DT OF 6.5 WITH A 1.0 EYE ADJ. MET AND PAT ARE 6.0. 
FINAL T HELD AT 6.0 DUE TO CONSTRAINTS.


I. ADDL POSITIONS
   NONE.



$$
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@normal frost cphc t6.0 for lola

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dt 6.5

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looks very impressive

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ok knes and pgtw t6.0

atomic flint
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holy shit

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c4 lola @normal frost

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fms also went aus c4

atomic flint
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@normal frost why do they always improve right at landfall...

atomic flint
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dude oh my god we did not just start the season with an off season aus c5

atomic flint
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50 knot storm of all time

normal frost
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literally almost wrapped

normal frost
atomic flint
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LMAO

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and right now

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they have 70 knots.

normal frost
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LOL

atomic flint
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also like

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imd

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only has 65 knots

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they're forecasting a 70 knot peak

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which part of this is 65 knots

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was even worse earlier

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popped out an eye lmao

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@normal frost also on the opposite end of the spectrum...can we talk about how vanuatu's met department has Lola at 125 knots...10 minute?

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and

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A FUCKING PRESSURE OF 898 MB LMFAOOOOOOO

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so fuckin funny

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also it peaked

normal frost
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LMAO

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what the fuck is happening

atomic flint
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fms gave it a 115/935

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(10 min)

normal frost
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that sounds more realistic

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125kt 10min is fucked up

atomic flint
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equivalent to 130kt 1 min

atomic flint
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wait no

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140

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yea they went 140kt 1-min

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how tf 💀

normal frost
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theres no way its c5 rn LOL

atomic flint
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yea it never was

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LMAO

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prolly peaked at 125 or 130 1-min

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cuz it had T6.5

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@normal frost timeline of all time

IMG_20231024_140436.jpg
normal frost
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LMAO

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so based

atomic flint
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fr

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anyways

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may i introduce you

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to the Cone of the Season.

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@normal frost

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We live in a Society.

normal frost
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LOOOOOOOOL

atomic flint
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dude

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you know its not looking good

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when they cant find the center ON THE SECOND ADVISORY

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LMAOOOOOOOO

atomic flint
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@normal frost dont tell me...not this storm too?

normal frost
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oh no..

atomic flint
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also

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jtwc went 80 knots on hamoon

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Why

atomic flint
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yea thats a thing

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was forecast to be slop

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but uh

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Doesn't Seem Like It Wants To

atomic flint
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@normal frost joever

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thankfully

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still gonna be a bad situation but at least it weakened before landfall

normal frost
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yep

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couldve been worse

atomic flint
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@normal frost hey man look at this perfectly nice and healthy tropical storm

normal frost
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yep TS yep

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clueless

atomic flint
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60 kts btw

atomic flint
normal frost
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i guess storms this year are just built different

atomic flint
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on the bright side at least recon is headed into the storm

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yeah

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also hamoon made landfall now i think

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prolly peaked as a major

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unofficially

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i mean it had dt6.0

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why is everyone and their mom (except slopical natl storms) RIing this year wtf

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oh

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...OTIS BECOMES A HURRICANE...
...FURTHER STRENGTHENING LIKELY UNTIL LANDFALL...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...14.9N 99.3W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

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they went hurricane

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say goodbye to the ts - c4+ streak

atomic flint
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so uh @normal frost

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otis blew up

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110 kts/962 mb

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oh are you fucking serious now tammy decided to start blowing up as well LMAO

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tammy now

atomic flint
#

UHHHH @normal frost

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OTIS C5

normal frost
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WHAT

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that mad son of a bitch did it

atomic flint
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@normal frost ACTUAL BRUH

# 
WTPZ63 KNHC 250459
TCUEP3
 
Hurricane Otis Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182023
1200 AM CDT Wed Oct 25 2023
 
...EYEWALL OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE OTIS 
MOVING ASHORE NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO... 
...12 AM POSITION UPDATE...

Satellite imagery indicates that the eyewall of potentially 
catastrophic Hurricane Otis is moving ashore the southern coast of 
Mexico near Acapulco.  Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 
165 mph (270 km/h) with higher gusts.  Otis is a category 5 
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Otis is 
forecast to remain a category 5 hurricane through landfall within 
the next few hours. 

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CDT...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5 99.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...923 MB...27.26 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown/Kelly
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@normal frost

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https://vxtwitter.com/pppapin/status/1717041155890667676?s=46&t=XUONfMRjU4Sb_aUxtLUwdA

vxTwitter - GIF
Watching last few frames of Category 5 #Hurricane #Otis as it approaches landfall. Unfortunately IR satellite structure continues improving. Winds estimated to be 165 mph. An unprecedented dangerous scenario as … 💖 72
Philippe Papin (@pppapin)

Watching last few frames of Category 5 #Hurricane #Otis as it approaches landfall.

Unfortunately IR satellite structure continues improving. Winds estimated to be 165 mph. An unprecedented dangerous scenario as …

💖 72

▶ Play video
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headed straight towards a city of 800k

normal frost
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...yikes

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I pray for their safety

atomic flint
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yeahhh

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🙏

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literally unfortunate scenario @normal frost

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yknow this was forecast to peak at like 40 or 45 knots

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...that certainly didnt verify

normal frost
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proof meteorology is still in its' infancy even now, and we still know little to nothing about it

atomic flint
#

yeah

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models didnt handle this well

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not even in the slightest

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

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💀

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

...CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE OTIS MAKES LANDFALL NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO...

Satellite imagery indicates that Otis has made landfall near
Acapulco, Mexico around 125 AM CDT (0625 UTC). The maximum
sustained winds are estimated to be 165 mph (270 km/h), and the
minimum central pressure is estimated at 923 mb (27.26 inches). Otis
is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale.

SUMMARY OF 125 AM CDT...0625 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION...16.8 99.9W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...923 MB...27.26 INCHES

#

first category 5 landfall in epac history.

normal frost
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holy FUCK MEEEEEE

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2023 is actually so fucked

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dude this year is just not real

atomic flint
#

the city it made landfall on

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has never received a hurricane force landfall in 70 years

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and has never, EVER, received a major hurricane

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geography is awful too

normal frost
#

oh no

atomic flint
# normal frost oh no
  1. poorly forecasted, only exploded a day before landfall
  2. awful geography
  3. night landfall
  4. inexperienced residents
  5. coastal city, so storm surge = yikes
  6. no way out

yeah.

normal frost
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this will likely be as bad if not worse than freddy

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yikes...

atomic flint
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in terms of death toll, cuz mexico is more developed than malawi

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damages though...for sure yeah

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likely gonna be the costliest epac storm

normal frost
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ig fair

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but

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im saying this considering

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buildings will def collapse

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and that city aint built for storms

atomic flint
#

yeah

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@normal frost

normal frost
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holy fuck

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that looks straight out of fallout

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actually terrifying

atomic flint
#

yeah...

atomic flint
#

https://vxtwitter.com/WxNB_/status/1717268663663751597?t=qao08fK9wp186nOBfEWALw&s=19

vxTwitter
Acapulco, Mexico might have just become the first city of over a million inhabitants in the world to experience the eyewall of a Category 5 storm. Otis made history on so many levels. A storm we won't forget anyt… 💖 183
Nahel Belgherze (@WxNB_)

Acapulco, Mexico might have just become the first city of over a million inhabitants in the world to experience the eyewall of a Category 5 storm. Otis made history on so many levels. A storm we won't forget anyt…

💖 183

▶ Play video
normal frost
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holy fuck

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it actually looks nuked

atomic flint
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@normal frost dude...

normal frost
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yikes...

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

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tammy doesnt want to die

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💀💀💀💀💀

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nhc gave ex-tammy 70/70 chance a few hours ago

normal frost
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tammy pls

atomic flint
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🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

normal frost
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wtf lol

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based

normal frost
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@atomic flint I finna found the use of character AIs

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I was chatting and then it asked about meteorology and i ended up nerding out on it

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fuck😭😭😭😭

atomic flint
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LOL

atomic flint
#

@normal frost ....?

normal frost
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???????

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huh???

atomic flint
#

we live in a society where wpac is completely dead

normal frost
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yea on the supposed 2nd peak

atomic flint
normal frost
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wtf why do you just have an emote of clodsire LOL

atomic flint
atomic flint
normal frost
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💀

atomic flint
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anyway

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@normal frost

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most normal track

normal frost
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sanest epac track

atomic flint
#

nothing

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only thing we have

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and its

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💀

normal frost
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bro thats not even a system

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its just clouds

atomic flint
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😔

atomic flint
#

@normal frost another one????

normal frost
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get real

atomic flint
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@normal frost what a nice Invest

normal frost
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lol

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literal fart

atomic flint
atomic flint
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@normal frost hey uh

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spac is not joking around

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(just got named - Mal)

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also 96w died cuz of this storm

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spac storms literally eating up wpac invests 💀

normal frost
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oh wow

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le shrimp returns

atomic flint
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but jtwc has 65 kts

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fms has 55 10-min

normal frost
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😔

atomic flint
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nah it recovered somewhat

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classic spac storms having cmg/cdg lmfao

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but damn

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a major and a c1 this early into the season...

normal frost
#

nino things...

atomic flint
#

spac do be thinking its wpac

atomic flint
#

@normal frost LMFAO

normal frost
#

LMAO

#

HAHAHAH

atomic flint
#

@normal frost huge

#

minimal c3 aus now

#

forecasts weakening after a very brief 70 kts 10-min peak

normal frost
#

wtf

#

crazy

atomic flint
#

@normal frost popped out an eye for a brief moment earlier

#

also was around the time jtwc went 75 kts

#

eye has disappeared since

normal frost
#

eye jumpscare

#

it looks to be sheared to hell tho

tribal arch
atomic flint
#

but it used to be sheared yea

#

shear did get better hence why it popped out an eye

#

but then ssts got worse

normal frost
#

its about to be lmao

atomic flint
#

💀

atomic flint
#

also

#

when the 2

normal frost
#

when the 2

normal frost
#

https://youtu.be/Hdpr7m45sT8?si=GNdKOKN7dn5kr6_u

YouTube
weatherbox
Drought to Deluge: Investigating California's Extreme Winter of 202...

In Fall of 2022, California was experiencing its worst drought in history. While the forecasts in October called for the exceptional drought to continue into the winter, the exact opposite occurred. Unusually powerful storms repeatedly slammed into California’s pacific coast resulting in one of the wettest winters in state history, and one of th...

▶ Play video
#

weatherbox delivers again

#

this vid also briefly explains MJO so if you don't know what that is

#

here you go

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

cyclone midhili

#

also PTC 22L

normal frost
#

wow no way nio storm this time of year

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

look at this weird track i found

#

cyclone mukda

#

sept 2006

atomic flint
#

anyways

#

NIO may be brewing something...again

normal frost
#

ship?

#

or just your usual landslide/flood

atomic flint
#

i mean it did hit the ganges delta

#

wait is it the ganges

#

either way

normal frost
#

oh

#

yea fair enough

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

okay

#

this is just hilariously stupid

normal frost
#

WHAT

atomic flint
#

@normal frost oh wtf

#

its a gunga slop yeah

#

but you gotta remember the time of the year

normal frost
#

wtf

atomic flint
#

also 99w

#

medium chance

#

models want this to become a crossover storm into nio, but it seems to have other plans?

atomic flint
#

honestly i wont be surprised if this already is a TS

#

probably would go off if it wasn't running into shear very soon lol

atomic flint
#

@normal frost how does this still not have a name

normal frost
#

bro what

#

thats pretty organized alr

atomic flint
#

@normal frost it made it finally lol

#

looks pretty healthy actually?

#

https://fxtwitter.com/pppapin/status/1727719318501134362?t=XkDTrcH7KeEDv8sxEE8yBw&s=19

FixTweet / FixupX
7 🔁 50 ❤️ 6,984 👁️
Philippe Papin (@pppapin)

Naturally 2023 would have a TC that forms on Thanksgiving. 🦃🌀 #TD20E

This is the latest TC to occur in the NHC’s area of responsibility since 2019 (Sebastian) and latest formation since 2015 (Sandra).

↘️ Quoting NHC Eastern Pacific (@NHC_Pacific)

8AM PDT Nov 23: Tropical Depression Twenty-E forms in the East Pacific Basin. System is forecas...

#

from back when it was designated as a TD

#

pretty damn rare for a storm to form this late

atomic flint
#

@normal frost Death

normal frost
#

literally just wind

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

havent been tracking stuff recently

#

looks like NIO cooked

atomic flint
#

but nonetheless quite interesting

normal frost
atomic flint
#

also uh

normal frost
#

yeaaaa

#

what the f uck

atomic flint
#

hour 132 btw

normal frost
#

oh

#

classic gfs funny

atomic flint
#

nah

#

it has other model support

normal frost
#

huh

atomic flint
#

its honestly been on the models for a long time now

#

92P btw

#

03F/93P

#

tho more likely it gets named in aus than spac

normal frost
#

@atomic flint wtf happened to f13

#

i was cleaning my discord servers and was like "wtf is world of weather"

atomic flint
#

the public server did, at least

#

damn

#

🤨

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

major forecast right off the bat

#

Tropical Cyclone Jasper

#

looks impressive already

normal frost
#

wao

#

yea lookin good alr

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

wonder if its go time soon?

#

BoM has c3 aus

normal frost
#

that looks solid alr

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

had a banding eye earlier

atomic flint
#

@normal frost its really trying

rose magnet
#

Why only in Russia

ZcXR9nlJsHg.jpg
normal frost
#

only in russia

#

siberia magic man

tribal arch
#

Warmest winter in Siberia:

atomic flint
#

💀

#

@normal frost

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

oooh

#

03P JASPER 231207 1800 13.8S 156.7E SHEM 105 951

normal frost
#

oh sick

#

major

atomic flint
#

yup

#

BoM slightly higher

#

should convert to 115 kts 1-min

#

would be funny if it hits 110 kts 10-min

#

would make both aus and spac having started with a c5 aus scale lmao

#

meanwhile swio just slumbering 💀

atomic flint
#

@normal frost holy cow

normal frost
#

god damn

#

over night

#

thats fucked up

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

105 kts 10-min

#

just 5 kts shy off c5 aus

atomic flint
#

@normal frost jasper now:

#

💀

normal frost
#

big man

normal frost
#

rip jasper...

#

well its still alive but like

#

its a giant blob of cloud now

atomic flint
#

like

#

way better

atomic flint
#

@normal frost oh jelawat formed

#

surprisingly

#

...yeah

normal frost
#

wao

atomic flint
#

@normal frost uhm

normal frost
#

woah what

atomic flint
#

@normal frost most normal gfs run

#

(why are there 2 storms in the NIO its literally late dec/early jan)

atomic flint
#

@normal frost wtf

#

i wonder

#

will this get named before or after new year's

#

still has 12z and 18z

normal frost
#

woa

#

surely...

atomic flint
#

mfr has noticed

#

but no name yet

#

from earlier this morning @normal frost

atomic flint
#

@normal frost last named storm of the year!

#

(well it doesnt rly count for 2023 if u go by atcf but shhh)

# 
Location at 09UTC : 20.4S / 38.5E
Max average winds (10min) : 35 kt
Central pressure : 997 hPa
Movement : East-south-east, 5 k```
normal frost
#

gg

atomic flint
#

@normal frost wait this storm isnt joking around

atomic flint
#

?????????????

#

this was supposed to be slop

#

actually gunning for C1

normal frost
#

that aside

#

japan.

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

@normal frost aaaaand sheared

normal frost
#

shocker

#

its january so

atomic flint
#

looked very impressive earlier tho

#

prolly peaked somewhere around 6z and 9z

atomic flint
#

tho its shem

#

so

atomic flint
#

welp

#

its dying

normal frost
#

well

#

its january ap

#

im not surprised LOL

atomic flint
#

for a short while

#

after landfall in madagascar

#

but Yeah

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

normal frost
#

oh fuck a real storm

atomic flint
#

yeah

hidden sage
tribal arch
#

bro is in the middle of it

hidden sage
#

AWA

normal frost
#

oh fuck

#

stay safe mega

atomic flint
#

@normal frost looks like a half core?

normal frost
#

oh shit its actually shrimping

#

oh no

tribal arch
#

stay safe

#

🙏

atomic flint
#

@normal frost oh no

#

hey dude @hidden sage u should make some food preparations asap

#

la reunion direct landfall forecasted

#

that said storm is pretty small so i think mauritius would get gale force winds at most if this track verifies

normal frost
#

yikers

atomic flint
#

@normal frost lmfao

normal frost
#

o h

atomic flint
# normal frost o h

on the bright side if it continues chugging on dry air then it wont be as strong as forecasted

#

its still a c2 though

hidden sage
#

They have a wholesale grocery store

atomic flint
#

oh nice

hidden sage
#

It was crowded af during the last 2 days 💀

#

Wtf la reunion direct landfall

#

Wait

#

It’s c2 already?

normal frost
#

no

#

he means predicted i think

#

its still not even c1

atomic flint
#

it is

atomic flint
#

jtwc estimate

#

mfr also has TC but idk their estimate

#

CYCLONE TROPICAL numéro 2

(BELAL)

Vents maximaux (moyennés sur 10 minutes) estimés sur mer: 120 km/h.

Rafales maximales estimées sur mer: 165 km/h.

Pression estimée au centre: 975 hPa.

Position le 14 janvier à 16 heures locales: 19.7 Sud / 53.6 Est.

Distance des côtes réunionnaises: 225 km au secteur: NORD-OUEST

Distance de Mayotte: 1180 km au secteur: SUD-EST

Déplacement: SUD, à 13 km/h.

#

found it

normal frost
#

oh wtf

#

thats fucked

atomic flint
#

120 kph 10-min should be uhhh

#

75 kts 1-min

normal frost
#

so not c2

#

thats prob for the better

hidden sage
atomic flint
#

@normal frost busty modelcane

#

shear and dry air rly did a number on it lmfao

#

for the better at least

normal frost
#

damn it got clobbered LOL

atomic flint
#

yeah LOL

normal frost
#

thats a good thing

#

mega saved

atomic flint
#

why in gods name is this not named

normal frost
#

inb4 25kt 1min

atomic flint
#

nah

#

there's also this

#

which is pretty damn insane if valid

hidden sage
normal frost
#

oh damn

#

thats a proper strong TD

#

TS even

atomic flint
#

definitely TS atp

#

too bad its headed to high shear

normal frost
#

skill issue

#

shouldnt have been there

tribal arch
#

❓

normal frost
#

what

#

i mean the storm

#

its gonna get nuked by shear

atomic flint
#

spawn issue

#

@normal frost hmm

#

thats uh

#

...certainly quite the cone?

#

couldnt they have just named it alr lmao

#

06S INVEST 240115 0600 9.5S 93.7E SHEM 35 1001

#

we have 06S

#

jtwc wants a 65 kts peak

normal frost
#

lol what the fuck

#

one of the cones of all time

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

when 3/4ths of the screen is just the cone

normal frost
#

actually nah why am i surprised its southeast indian

atomic flint
#

actually

#

yeah

normal frost
atomic flint
#

oh yeah can u testplay a map for me rq

#

leia isnt responding to me!!!!

normal frost
#

ap...

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

now this is an interesting scenario

#

bom declared tc for 04U

#

but they didn't name it

#

because its in indonesian AoR 💀

#

bmkg has high chance for it though

#

so it could be named soon

#

u dont see a situation like this often tho

atomic flint
#

got named anggrek @normal frost

#

yea idk how to read this 💀

#

also this is sus

normal frost
#

wth

atomic flint
#

@hidden sage are yall safe?

#

heard mauritius got flooding from the storm

hidden sage
hidden sage
#

Because shit drain system

normal frost
#

glad ur safe

hidden sage
#

Government moment

normal frost
#

oh jesus fuck

#

doomed drainage system

#

its not even a strong storm

hidden sage
#

There is a hurricane like every year

#

But the drainage is still shit

#

💀

normal frost
#

💀

atomic flint
#

yeahhhhhhh

#

💀

atomic flint
tribal arch
atomic flint
#

it was a c2

#

though that said that wasnt the landfall location either

#

so thats pretty Yikes

atomic flint
#

wait what @normal frost

normal frost
#

woah

#

that structure looks crazy

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

forecasting substantial strengthening after Anggrek leaves AUS basin damn

#

fair enough tho

#

considering it should finally be leaving rough conditions

normal frost
#

oooo

atomic flint
#

@normal frost oh shit!!!!

normal frost
#

oh fuck

#

what the fuck man

atomic flint
#

major equivalent now on cone

# 

Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 65 km/h.
Maximum gusts estimated at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated pressure at center: 993 hPa.
Position on January 24 at 4 p.m. local Meeting: 19.7 South / 57.6 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 235 km in the NORTHEAST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1530 km to the EST-SU sector```
#

also have this

#

and this

#

3 systems active rn

#

anggrek

#

candice

#

kirrily

#

@normal frost

normal frost
#

damn 3 in jan

#

get real

atomic flint
#

@normal frost hey what the fuck

#

kirrily is now aus c3????

normal frost
#

whAT

hollow zealot
#

i keep misreading the name as kirby

atomic flint
#

@normal frost made landfall earlier

#

candeez nuts

#

also anggrek with a longer major forecast weeee

atomic flint
#

@normal frost DONUT

#

🍩

normal frost
#

that looks fucked up

atomic flint
#

🙏

atomic flint
#

@normal frost INSHALLAH

#

jtwc went 105 kts

normal frost
#

woah holy shit

#

go off sis

atomic flint
#

it imploded its actually joever

normal frost
#

man.

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

we're barack???

tribal arch
#

OMBAMA?

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

CHURNING.

#

its so fkin small tho

#

goddamn

normal frost
#

wtf

#

smol

atomic flint
#

c4?

normal frost
#

maybe?

#

it still looks a bit scuffed so idk

atomic flint
#

06S ANGGREK 240128 1800 21.6S 73.3E SHEM 115 948

#

c4

atomic flint
#

bruh they overrode it

normal frost
#

bruh

atomic flint
#

no shot this isnt a c4 lol

#

@normal frost