#Meteorology
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@normal frost
[Override]
04W TALIM 230718 0000 21.9N 108.8E WPAC 60 979
04W TALIM 230717 1800 21.4N 109.7E WPAC 70 973
04W TALIM 230717 1200 21.2N 110.9E WPAC 80 973
04W TALIM 230717 0600 20.8N 112.2E WPAC 85 971
holy shit
c2
its official
ish
well jma doesnt have typhoon but who cares about them
yoooo
@normal frost HOLY SHIT
its a fkin small world
i found a former f13 mod
IN MY LOCAL MAIMAI BRANCH
what
LMFAOOOOOO
LMAO
you cant make this up
DUDE
IT WAS THE GUY WHO DANCED WHILE BEING HIT BY TYPHOON GONI TOO
WHAT ARE THE FUCKING ODDS
shrimpers
@normal frost nhc wake up
this aint 45 kt
in other news
04E formed
not expected to do much
doksuri has formed
BRO ENTERED 26C WATERS AND DECIDED TO COOK π₯π₯π₯π₯π₯
its been in sub 26c waters its entire life rofl
π₯ π₯ π₯ π₯
AL, 05, 2023072212, , BEST, 0, 385N, 499W, 50, 998, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 0, 0, 20, 1016, 150, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, DON, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 013,
50 knots????????????
LMAO
so truege
bro out here becoming a hurricane AT 40N
BENGMEGMA BUFF π₯ π₯ π₯ π₯ π₯
INTENSIFYING THROUGH SHEER HATRED π₯π₯π₯π₯π₯
FUCK THE HATERS WE WINDING π₯ π₯ π₯ HIS RAGE FUELS THE STORM π₯ π₯ π₯
@normal frost
AL, 05, 2023072218, , BEST, 0, 395N, 501W, 60, 991, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 20, 0, 20, 1016, 150, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, DON, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 013,
i have no words.
60 knots
im going to bed good night
@normal frost what
(also its a hurricane now)
what it looked like when upgraded
Bro just speedran an EWRC for literally no reason #Don
π 15
what is bro doing
anyways
moving on
doksuri π€¨
π€€
π

rn its either us or taiwan π
gdi
or if it somehow misses both we end up with a china landfall πππ
π»
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
what
what
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Twisted is a storm chasing game by Willzuh and Siryzm.
Throughout the rolling hills and prairies of the fictional state of Keysota, scientists and thrill seekers alike set out on the...
kinda related?
game is getting an overhaul in about 2 hours 15 mins
this is the most realistic stormchasing game that I know atm
give it a try if yall interested
fuck
oh fuck
05W DOKSURI 230724 1200 16.5N 125.8E WPAC 120 935
ewrc possibility is increasing apparently
@normal frost
oof
oh dear
that looks wild already
likely skimming luzon before heading to taiwan
oh damn
tracking...
my third hour tracking the storm
likely going to batanes in any hour

stay safe yall

rip japan
also shanghai
thats a sub-950mb storm crossing the Yangtze river delta ππππππ
ππππ
it will likely turn to be a category 2 by tomorrow

rn im not
π
πππππ
back in late 2000s part our house's roof got torn off
π
finally the sun shines
π
china mfs looking at this run rn:
ok but like
triple fujiwhara.
@normal frost
yeah
im surprised its still holding itself together
gm jma
doksuri seems to have made landfall in fujian
@normal frost
looks like jtwc agrees with jma
thats...not really a good sign
shanghai π
oh boy
@normal frost holy shit
this run is golden
that storm that forms near taiwan only to recurve to shanghai LOL
yeaaa
WHAT
bro avoided mainland japan and s. korea πΏ
"sike fuck you china"
yeaaaa
wow.
oh fuck thats quick
yeah
jma also has 85kts koba-10m
welp bois
wpac on crack
kinda wild how we're 6/5/3 for wpac rn
Severe flooding in Beijing after heavy rainfall; at least 2 people confirmed dead, others missing
π 164
@normal frost oh my fucking god
oh fuck
@normal frost the fk
...DORA QUICKLY INTENSIFYING...
SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...16.1N 108.6W
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
idk man
2023 being wack
its stalling btw
apparently winds are weaker than expected?
due to dry air intrusions and the like
I mean expected
I love getting trolled by jet stream
when jtwc went mid-level c4
apparently both sar and smap found winds at high end c1 level π
truly a Mood
@normal frost here is your 80 kt dora
what this thing doing
π€¨
the funny?
that looks 60 not 80 lol
yea lmao
wait
how do we look for mw imagery again
one of the websites idk
beautiful
EP, 05, 2023080212, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1135W, 90, 977, HU, 64, NEQ, 10, 5, 5, 10, 1010, 100, 10, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, DORA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 009,
@normal frost c2
epic

lets fucking go epac
yeahhhh
bro got the black eye 
@normal frost what am i even looking at?
big spinny boy
fair enough
@normal frost what.
shit might genuinely be gunning for c5
in 26-27c waters
π
β οΈβ οΈβ οΈ
donut!!!!
this mf cosplaying darby
basically
storm, certain places will receive rain and hail
winds may reach 25 m/s
kekw
truly a storm
πΏπΏπΏπΏ
π we hit a record π
yesterday night
the entirety of lithuania did not go below 20C
this time this ever happens
climate change moment
07W SEVEN 230807 1800 24.1N 149.6E WPAC 25 988
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2307 LAN (2307) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080000UTC 24.5N 149.1E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST```
πΏ
frfr
πππππ
and now its barreling towards tokyo
or near it at least
quite the weird track tho
LOL
bro thats a direct hit β οΈ
ππππππ
tokyo slabbery
(please dont actually happen)
ππ
well at least it looks like a core
yea
i really hope it turns out to sea
because i dont want it to ruin tokyo
because im going to japan this year 
π₯π₯π₯
bro turned on the shear & dry air machine
too bad its busy affecting dora
π
LOL
yea dora is gonna run into a tutt in a few days
its sabotaging dora from pulling another john
nah it'll die after reaching wpac
it'll be greeted with 30+ kt shear π

rest in pepperonis
yea
it will join john in one of the few storms
to be in the most basins
literally lived up to its name
yeah
insane
though it was only a wave in there
fair
i mean if u wanna be pedantic
it was part of invest 95L
iirc
broke off from it
got a 10% chance in natl later but it was too late by then lmao
KEKW
das massive
same
WHO
HONE???????????????????
looks to be its last bout of strengthening tho
because uh
ππππππ
sheared
shear is a bitch
WTPQ50 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2307 LAN (2307) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 25.5N 143.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 350NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST```
@normal frost
kinda
if all 3 aois form tho
that'd be interesting
khanun finally dying
and Lan going boom
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2307 LAN (2307)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 25.9N 143.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 180NM```
@normal frost
wow this storm is going
also uh
jtwc
has 75 knots............1 min
LOL
nice c1 jtwc
π
oh.
or 100 kt 1-min
jtwc wants 95 kts peak
for reference
f13 went with 95 kts....right now
π
top ten jtwc moment
jtwc try not to underestimate challenge
β οΈβ οΈ
Cyclone Freddy was the fourth named tropical cyclone of the 2022-23 Australian Cyclone Season, and the second very intense tropical cyclone of the 2022-23 Southwest Indian Ocean Cyclone Season.
Freddy was an extremely unique and rare system breaking many tropical cyclone records. Such as the longest lasting tropical cyclone ever recorded, surpa...
@normal frost oh hey they did the thing
lets go
any tropical agency try not to underestimate their own area of responsibility challenge
DUDE
RIGHT AS YOU SAY THAT
A. TYPHOON 07W (LAN)
B. 10/1430Z
C. 26.07N
D. 143.00E
E. ONE/HMWRI9
F. T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY MG YIELDS AN
E# OF 4.5. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR B, TO YIELD A DT OF 5.5.
MET YIELDS 5.0. PT YIELDS 4.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
10/1109Z 25.95N 143.10E MMHS
10/1157Z 26.05N 143.08E MMHS
PETERSEN```
T4.5????????????????
π
it prolly is

and yet they go t4.5?????????
actually trolling
π
what the dora doing
π€¨
when the dora
its still holding its own
coming back to life?
banger af
frfr
storms like these I love
π₯π₯π₯π₯
I can cheer for the storm without looking like a psychopath
REAL

freddy flashbacks...........
yeah
and then you notice the 1400 death toll
until it did its thing,,,,
π
gdi freddy
may they rest in peace
β οΈβ οΈβ οΈ
7 hours ago btw @normal frost
dora rly did improve a fk ton
yep
@normal frost
TCSWNP
A. 07W (LAN)
B. 10/1730Z
C. 26.3N
D. 142.9E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T6.0/6.0
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY A B RING AND EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS
A DT OF 6.0 AFTER ADDING A 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE MET IS 5.5 BASED ON
A RAPID DEVELOPING TREND. THE PT AGREES WITH THE MET. THE FT IS BASED
ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...GATLING```
ok they fixed something good
now to see if their estimate is good
07W LAN 230810 1800 26.3N 142.9E WPAC 100 949
WTPQ50 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2307 LAN (2307)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 26.3N 142.9E GOOD
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST```
ποΈ
π
@normal frost
hoyl
also both c4s self destructed LMAO
Lan said dry air and upwelling is yummy
NAURR
its 30/50
π
EP, 05, 2023081118, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1786W, 95, 968, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 10, 10, 20, 1011, 80, 20, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, DORA, D,
dora is now not a major
joever...
@normal frost
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2308 DORA (2308) FORMER HR
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120000UTC 15.5N 180.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH```

HONEEEEEEEEEEEE
wdym
is this the bagel we seek
99E
if it forms too slowly, hone
hone slow down pls
yes!!!!
lan reintensifying ig?
wonder what it'll peak as
this shit might actually be named before reaching cpac ngl @normal frost
its 80/90 rn per nhc
EP, 99, 2023081312, , BEST, 0, 108N, 1356W, 25, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 70, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 013,
man...

mfer has a core now wtf
wtf
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM GREG...
...NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 139.8W
ABOUT 1170 MI...1885 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
SOCIETY
society.
EP, 07, 2023081412, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1181W, 115, 955, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 15, 10, 20, 1008, 140, 10, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, FERNANDA, D,
@normal frost
yow fernanda c4
yo?
that is fast
epac godmodule
How it's possible,?
what the
I'd assume it's measured in the middle of a runway
@normal frost the amount of things wrong with this track is staggering
but yeah
we have hilary
and its a hurricane now
very hilaryous
bitch
its AUGUST
WHERE IS IT GOING
dolly getting a visit from hilary
πππ
im sure dolly will enjoy the rain

we can ask dolly herself for confirmation
@quiet mesa 

@normal frost yeaa actually we been getting random thunder storms this week
The weather has been very bipolar
^^^actually pinged because of this
Yeees haha

The hurricane is about to become opressed

Because its gonna touch cali
And its its gonna get fined for just being a hurricane
yea you've been praying for rain kek
Yeees
wtff
oof
lmfao
it sloppin
06L is expected to die soon
emily got cooked
(i didnt even notice that little shit formed LMAO)
WHAT IS BRO COOKING
LET GERT COOK
how did this little shit get named πππ
anyways have this
also like
this is emily
thats certainly a plot of all time.
surprise
@normal frost designated!!!!!
they decided to not sleep anymore
also jma gw
08w^^
wew
bro really went nah i dont wanna hit the philippines
WTPQ50 RJTD 240600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2309 SAOLA (2309) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240600UTC 20.2N 124.5E FAIR
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM```
@normal frost
also gw for 08w
lol L
bro thinks its an oval
it be like that
Dude we were just recording ourside me and my sister and suddenly it starts porring hard and we get a tornado warning
Michigan is crazy i am shocked
So loud
Another oneπ
Ok we good
@normal frost
yikes
yea this track is getting p goofy
even models dont know the fuck its doing
wtf is happening
9 typhoons in a row btw π
uni + hosting an event on another server +cosplay shenanigans
π
jtwc overrided 12z to 95 kts wtf
mfers really following SAR and throwing everything else out
jtwc pls
@normal frost franklin starting to cook?
saola is cooking hard
(please go away from the philippines)
breaking news: slop discovers how to not slopify
fair
@normal frost somehow both jma and jtwc got a DT of 2.5 from this
not sure how to feel about that, but okay
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2309 SAOLA (2309)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261800UTC 17.2N 122.9E GOOD
MOVE S SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST```
5 kt off VTY
stay safe guys
TCSWNP
A. 08W (DAMREY)
B. 27/0530Z
C. 33.6N
D. 146.0E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. EXTRATROPICAL
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE BEGUN ITS EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNLESS THE SYSTEM REGAINS
PURELY TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...COVERDALE```
@normal frost ????????????
what the Fuck is this fix supposed to mean
extratropical my ass
smap passed btw
meanwhile jma still thinks this is 45 kts
motherfuckers literally have CI 2.5 rn like ??????????
yea theyre trolling
i kid you not
they fixed
another 2.5
for 12z
i am at a loss for words rn
aint no way
but hey, on the bright side:
08W DAMREY 230827 1200 35.7N 144.4E WPAC 65 977
also irwin got named in epac
not expected to do much
franklin is now a c2
115 kts peak forecast if im not mistaken?
what
truly a Track.
one of the tracks of all time
@normal frost like
now that i think about it
this track + forecast
looks an awful lot like the downtown mrt line in singapore LOL
but shorter
π
idalia named
in natl
expected to hit florida as a hurricane
@normal frost ok gfs is omega drunk
what the Fuck did i just watch
what the FUCK is happening
2 japan landfalls, 1 china landfall and a really dumb fujiwhara effect
and the fact that saola is the one that survives that fujiwhara
π
truly a Run.
@normal frost
please tell me this thing isnt trying to become another fucking winnie
its too fucking cursed at this point
lolwut
@normal frost THIS IS A RED ALERT
THIS IS A RED ALERT
CPAC DISTURBANCE
HONE CHANCE IS REAL
on another note
franklin finally going for it
WTF
@normal frost jtwc (and jma) i dont think this is 45 knots
also like
look at this bozo
yeah
@normal frost franklin is the first major of 2023 natl
its official
also uh
yikes.
oh no
issuing final warning for this
oh they did something
they are trolling so hard right now
WOW
something bad
ccc = central cloud cover
or basically storms with no eye
ha?
CCC is characterized by a large mass of cirrus spreading over the storm coming from one or a few intense convective cells with overshooting tops and reduced spiral banding, its a sign that intensification of a TC has stalled due to wind shear, when looking for CCCs you have:
- a reduction in spiral banding
- sharp edge of the convection in shear direction
- overshooting tops
copy paste
LOL


