Hi everyone, relatively simple question. But I'm having a discussion about probability and wanted to check my work.
A group I play cards with is having a discussion on the fairness of the random shuffling and dealing on the online platform.
Specifically, on the probability of any of the players having both of the highest cards in any suit (Ace and the 10).
It's a deck of 32 cards, all are dealt, so each of the 4 players gets 32 cards.
My work:
Starting with just one suit, hearts. The ace is dealt for certain, so that probability is irrelevant.
Whoever has/gets the ace, has only 7 more cards to getout of the remaining 31. That means 1/31 * 7 = a chance of 0.2258 , 22.58% that whoever gets the ace of hearts also gets the 10 of hearts.
(I'm quite confident about this at least).
Continuing that: that means a 77.42% chance of the Ace and 10 of hearts being seperated.
Using the same calculation for the remaining 4 suits : that's 1 * 0.7442 ^ 4 = 0.3067
So a total of 30.67 % chance of it not happening for any of the suits. Or, it should happen for at least one suit in roughly 70% of hands.