#Offseason Talk
1 messages Ā· Page 5 of 1
Horst I'm begging you, PLEASE make one of these happen before the season starts
Or if Horst could pull this off, but I feel like it'd be a longshot.
?
Memphis known for having a serious analytics department š I highly doubt it
those jerks
whered u find that out
serious analytics department, ik for MLB I saw a chart
the stats nerds love Memphis bc of this. I believe itās something their GM has spoken about in the past
every team uses stats to a certain degree, but some more than others
The bucks to my knowledge never posted an internship spot for analytics this season, they did hire for some upper level positions
baseball seems to hire/look for it the most
Baseball is one of those sports where the numbers get sooo sooo granular about everything
That fantasy baseball rabbit hole is DEEP
i cant even imagine the shit they look at with scouting
With daily lineups you can get so deep into pitching matchups, home away splits, day/night, blah blah blah
I remember my league getting so pissed at me in like 2008 because I moneyballed the scoring system
I came across a project where they simulated the position of the sun vs the ball flight path
what does that even mean idk
they made it because one player dropped an easy catch since the sun was in his eyes..
That stuff also wreaks havoc on hitters if the ball goes from light to shadow
Have u heard about,
The Brewers positioning the stadium in the wrong spot.
Cause of the suns positioning and it setting in the west
And how our glass windows, allows sun and shadows between the pitchers mound and batters.
I haven't heard them mention it lately.
But it used to b talked about frequently
would be a great project to find out quantifiably how much this wrecks them, observed
but knowing baseball, someones already done it
Did Nigel Hayes get a deal?
Damn
60 seconds Ā· Clipped by epicfail424 Ā· Original video "The Denver Nuggets Had A PERFECT Off-Season! " by Rusty Buckets
ope meant to post this in #šŗš¦āgeneral. oh well.
back to reality
im ok with it
I wouldnāt mind it, especially if no picks are involved
"back to reality" 
ope
xxo has been subsumed by the fanspo matrix
there goes gravity
should i do a midwest accent version of that song
OPE DER GOES DA GRAVITY
FINE
you are no fun
Its literally from the midwest
Its because wisconsin and minnesota are south of canada and detroit is north of canada
We can do a 2032 swap
Twice a year!!! I love fanspo lol
right
I'm not sure why the Kings would do this without at least an SRP. Whoever is willing to take Kuzma is either going to get picks or unload a bad contract of their own. Before you ask, I don't think Malik Monk is a bad contract.
I really Wiggins is a very realistic player we could get with this package. In fact, we may be able to get an SRP out of this too.
He's practically the same age as Giannis as well
Kings themselves are trying to dump the Monk contract and also need a player like Kuzma. I donāt think itās too crazy. If picks need to be added Iām making Toronto send them a srp
Do the raptors need a player like Malik Monk though? I'm really not sure what they're doing, and I don't think they know either. I just feel like Malik Monk is at best a lateral move from RJ Barrett.
saves them money + they need spacing
a lot of questionable shooters on that team
there's a lot of questions on that team to begin with.
If Kings were smart.
They would trade everyone they have, and do the okc plan.
If the Kings were smart, they wouldn't be the Kings.
Send Utah or OKC our 31 first for 3 others like the suns did, take those 3 and 32 swap rights and send 1 of 4 to sac and the other 3 to the Pels
A guy can dream right
Probably our best Kuzma-centric trade package we can offer for probably the best player we could get for it.
over pay at that point
are you including every single pick we own and giving that partial ownership of the team?
they block our number
yea I think he assumes with all our picks
but I swear weve posted every iteration of a Murphy deal already
we dont need to put in my goat aj
he can still be your goat in nola
get zion's life sorted
and lead them to greatness
nooooo š
Okay Iāve given it some thought and decided: I am okay with a Kuminga sign and trade assuming weāre not giving up a whole first for it, one pick swap + Kuz and Ajax
Heās not a natural SF, but he does shoot most of his threes above the break
And one could bet that his 2024 shooting numbers are more representative than his 2025 numbers
Iām on his side more and more with his grievances with GS, it cuts into a guyās confidence when you reduce his minutes in a contract year
And Doc is good at smoothing that shit out
I highly doubt Kuminga is going anywhere at this point
Maybe the convo gets revisited at the trade deadline when heās signed to a reasonable contract
Kuminga will need a contract extension, right away.
Thats a big concern
If he takes a reasonable offer, then great. Go snag him
A sign and trade assumes that weāre giving him a contract as part of the trade
ah.
didnt realize it had to b a S&T
Kuminga to the Kings for DeMar DeRozan
God itās already a retirement home in Golden State and that would make it so much worse
MKE out: Kuzma/Ajax/31 unprotected/32 swap/Secondary swap on 30 1st
SAC out: Derozan/Carter/4 2nds
Warriors out: Kuminga S&T
NOLA out: Trey Murphy
MKE in: Trey Murphy
SAC in: Kuminga
Warriors in: Kuzma/Carter/2 2nds
NOLA in: Derozan/Ajax/31 unprotected/32 swap best/2 2nds/Secondary swap rights on 30 1st
Think maybe the warriors need more here to take on Kuzma but otherwise this feels fair for the other 3 teams
this would be awesome https://fixupx.com/blange00/status/1943856800790413793?s=46&t=BnoeKt0WpxsWC7idHDs6rQ
I think this is the move to make š§
ļøļø
ļøļøPick swap doesnāt hurt us cause Sacramento is always bad & the 2nd rd pick is top 55 protected
ļøļø
ļøļøWe get 3 wings, which we need badly + we get off Kuzmaās deal & save $3M
ļøļø
ļøļøMavs get a Kyrie replacement for the year in Monk + early 2nd from SAC
Depending on what Cole Anthony gets, Omax fits right into the remaining money of our room exception. And Mavs are trying to get rid of him
Daqa has had that theory for a minute now
Kings need more,
But I think this is reasonable
I'm not really keen on moving 2032 for role players, even if it's just a swap. Mostly just because I think they can do better
Same
I don't think Caleb or Naji move the needle enough for me, I'd rather wait with Kuzma till he's expiring then take this
I think Naji would be very helpful, and more attainable than most of the names we discuss. But if the pelicans go sideways you never know who will be available
they be helpful but they arent taking us to the next level, and after you trade for them the only way to gather the salary to make a splash next year is Portis Naji and Caleb..so if you wanted to make a splash they wouldnt even last that long
and the "Kings are always bad" is not a right excuse they still are giving one of our rare assets
I feel like flipping Kuzma/Ajax for Naji is fine, because then you can use Naji as salary in future trades and he has more value than Kuzma. I guess it depends on using the 2032 or not
this is the version I made a few days ago, but probably a hard pill to swallow if you want to save the 2032
Naji also makes so little money, I can see why people would want multiple players in return
Naji is expiring next year so what do you think he'd sign for, he seems like a close to MLE guy, 9-15 anywhere between
either way with this deal or not imo the teams need to make another large acquisition to compete, so its just how do you think they prop themselves up best for that
Kuzma Portis 31 32 33, Caleb Naji S&T Portis 31 32 33
Really wonder what level of player it would take to trade Bobby
I mean I almost feel you have to include him to get a real difference maker
you can basically trade for max level guys atp
Definitely fair heās just a perfect backup for Giannis, youād have to find someone else for that role
if theres some 2 for 1 trade in the future, with kak + bp,
theres only 2 guys getting paid in the 30s, that are slightly attainable.
michael porter 38$m and quickely 32$m
kak + ajax is 25$m
27 to 22.8 tobias, collins, claxton, murphy, bridges, other bridges, demar, hunter, Agordon
mpj š
I don't think we're trading BP. If anything, we'll be trading Kuzma, AJ Green, and/or one of the guys we signed to a minimum.
I still desperately want Wiggins, and I do think we could get him despite all the evidence to the contrary. Otherwise I'd settle for RJ Barrett, and I don't think it's realistic but I'd love Tre Murphy. Mikal Bridges could be an interesting get if he's available, but I don't think the Knicks would give him up after trading so many FRPs for him.
I really just hate Mikalās game
Soooo many tough twos
If he could cut down on that a bit, Iād love him
lmao we don't need to send out AJG to get wig
also doesn't Wiggins have a TERRIBLE contract
like 35m/year
somehow we have to match salaries with that
kuz and two guys on a minimum even i don't think will cut it
you'd probably have to do kuz/BP for wigs just for salary purposes
nevermind I'm a dumbass
he's 26m/year
idk who I was thinking about š
I was so confident too mb
I really don't wanna give up AJ green
I would kind of understand trey Murphy
but that's it
if another team asks for ajg in some other trade unless Jon horst pulls the most wild shit out of his ass I hope he just pulls the plug on em
which somehow he keeps doing so who knows
we have a good roster already though
Still no moves damn are we not at least signing a legit sf
good thing both of them are on the bench.
do we need one?
especially with there not being any big sf threats in the east
its never bad to have good wings
its the rarest position group
and there are good wings across the entire league, you play western conf teams a lot during the reg szn
Isn't kuz mainly a pf
big wing same thing
I liked how van said it
pass
1 youre evil
2 the lakers say no
and horst isn't making this move lmfao
and ajax isnt THAT BAD the problem is he started 43
Yeah, we probably have to throw a frp in to get it done
idealy we would flip rui or maxi into something else
bruh
not worth it.
maybe if you put in ajax instead of ajg
the lakers would want a guy like ajax more anyways
they have ar15 and luka and probably a bunch of other shooters I'm forgetting
they need a hustle guy
aj green hustles.
No way Iām trading AJG for a guy who might be as good as him in a year or three
not worth it
its definitely a gamble trade, but I could see knecht being a playable starting 3 and having rui behind giannis instead of kuz makes me happy.
Bad trade for us and they love knecht I think
I do NOT think they love Knecht
The only reason he's on the team rn is the Mark deal fell through
And now they r signing Smart
If we r trading Kuz I want a bigger piece then Rui
JJ doesnāt really care for Knecht, my Lakers counterparts have told me
Iām sure heāll be trade fodder again soon
the same applies to AJ tbh
and I can only see him getting traded packaged with kuz
did you see Knechtās summer league stats
The lakers are trading him asap
The Lakers are working on a āconsolidation tradeā that would likely involve Dalton Knecht and Maxi Kleber, per @AnthonyIrwinLA
ļøļø
ļøļøThe Lakers can not sign Marcus Smart to the BAE even after waiving Shake Milton⦠another move is coming
I don't trust summer league stats, and I can honestly say I didn't watch a single minute of lakers summer league
i only watched the lakers summer league cus they went against mavs and flagg
i thought dalton was good
like didnt he have some good games in the regular season
hes an older player but idk why the lakers dont want him or smth
older as in coming into the league
He shot like ASS in summer league 28% from the field and 23% from three.
Sam Vecenie saying the price for Trey Murphy is āastronomicalā and that āthe Pelicans know what they haveā with him 
Brett Siegel came up with this framework. Now imagine itās Kuzma/Ajax instead of Rozier/Highsmith š¤
Canāt imagine any team will touch Terry
Do we hate Kuzma enough to trade him for Simons
Obvs positionally it doesn't make sense
Doesn't make sense for the Celtics either.
kuz is going to average 16/5/3/1.5 in 25 mpg and BE GREAT for us this year
I think they save money but not sure if it's enough
Yeah, it's not exactly a small contract.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kfeDwDwfvBQ look at this humble king. how could he not be great this year
š
Saying my prayers https://fixupx.com/the_bball_index/status/1953245957623370023?s=46&t=BnoeKt0WpxsWC7idHDs6rQ
LEBRON pretty much is just a wide encompassing "player rating" it stand for
Luck Adjusted
Estimate using a
Box Prior
Regularized
On-Off
Do with that as you will
I just think heās at his ceiling and if theyāre gonna trade one of those firsts, it should be for someone better or younger with more upside
oh yea I dont think im comfortable trading one of the firsts for him unless it comes with more in a larger deal...doesnt mean I dont generally want him
I want 1/4 of the league
Yeah heād be a nice fit at the 3 next to Giannis if they had some big time offensive firepower in the backcourt
Iām sure Dallas wants to keep him and would only move him in the right deal
yep
we have to convince Nico that Ajax can be an elite PG/connector during the Cooper Flagg era
Naji is already coming off the bench, Iām sure Dallas will listen to offers, we can also help them dodge the tax but idk if they care
but obviously not a salary dump situation or anything
save us Nico šš¾
Ajaxās value around the league might be zero
Couldnāt trade Harris until December 15
fanspo says October 8 but idk why
we need Nico to work his magic again and do a bs trade
Generally, any free agent who signs in the off-season is ineligible to be traded until December 15. There are exceptions, but thatās typically only if they rejoin the team they had just played for.
idk if Naji is the right piece.
but if we move that FRP id b ok with doing so, for the right guy and right package.
would b nice to get a bunch of SRPs also in return.
like, 4 or 5, every other year. or something like that
The Pelicans asking price in a trade for Trey Murphy, per @BrettSiegelNBA
ļøļø
ļøļøā Multiple first-round picks
ļøļøā Proven young talent
ļøļø
ļøļøHe is unlikely to be traded
AJ Rollins Kuz and both firsts
Too much for me.
Cant give both FRP.
Ajg is almost untouchable to me
mid season trade š¤«
Rockets get: Jrue
Mavs get: Tari Eason
Blazers get: FVV, Phoenixās 2027 frp
Bucks get: Naji
Nets get: Kuzma, Okogie, picks
fvv has an implied ntc he'd have to waive
I imagine theyāll do a full court press to get him to agree lol but I could see that getting messy
e
Keep Ajax for this specific purpose
I respect the commitment but IDK why Mavs would do that lol
use this
Thank you
Dort young and mathurin interest me the most
dort would be nice for our defense
If we wanted young we should have gotten him at the deadline though
first issue.
we only have the MLE/14$m to give
IF, KPJ takes his Players Option, then we'l have all of that to give someone
OD, has a Qualifying Offer.
IDK, if we can rescind that and offer him a regular contract.
otherwise thats at 9$m+
KPJ.
RR. AJG. GTJ. GH
OD. KUZ. TP. MVPETE
G. BP. TA
MT. SIMS
2026 FRP
team is already full.
You really think ous gets 9 or is he required to be offered that much
Q $9,132,438
this is what his Qualifying Offer is showing
was the 11th pick in 2022.
so, "I THINK" its on that picks selection scale of $ increase.
Surely after his first contract you can give him whatever you want
I am way less in on him if we need to pay him 9
wev seen teams, cancel the QO for players and then give them a 2 or 3 year deal, at less $ per year
but OD would have to agree to that, and NOT want to test the FA market
double butt,
idk if we have bird rights or allowed to sign him on a regular contract, without the MLE
@hexed compass do u know this scenario ?
Bucks will have his bird rights, Iām pretty sure
so, they can decline his QO, and then sign him cause of Bird Rights ?
Iām not super sure on RFA stuff tbh, but I donāt think they would even need to decline to QO to do that regardless
if they are trying to give him more years,
i think,
they have to decline the QO,
then sign him as a FA with Bird Rights.
which would give him 2 more years.
lose 2 or 3 $M in 1 season, to gain 2 more seasons at 7'ish $M each
Iāll try to look into it, but my understanding of the qualifying offer is simply to retain their RFA status
And you can give whatever deal you want
I know I'm the one who made this post, but personally I think we should seriously consider pursuing Zach LaVine, Andrew Wiggins, and Benedict Mathurin. Of course we should try and bring Khris back as long as the price is right, but that's not really a win-now move but more of a culture move.
The main argument for keeping the pick this year I think is that it will be cost controlled for the entirety of the dame stretch.
Pick ten projected about 21m
Unless our pick somehow lands in the top 5, I think we should trade whoever we select for either Trey Murphy or Lauri Markkanen if at all possible.
The idea of a guy making 5m/y interests me more than their 25 or 40m
but if Giannis stays, which is most likely is at this point, we should probably makes "win-now" moves. I would say trading for an established player who can contribute more now is better for that situation than an unproven player that might take 2-3 years to get to that point if at all.
None of this could be said for certain, but in my head Trey Murphy and Lauri Markkanen are players that perfectly compliment Giannis and would make us actual contenders along with Taylor Jenkins as our coach. I know that's a lot to expect out of a bunch of uncertainties, but this is the first time I've been optimistic about the future of the Bucks for a few months now.
Iām hopping 31, 32 swap and 33 with Kuz and Bob are enough for what ever we need
So after looking at what it would take to get Lauri Markkanen, I don't think we should. We'd have to give up both Kuzma and Turner to get him. Technically we could also do Kuzma, Bobby, and either Rollins or AJG, but I wouldn't want to do any of those.
Rollins is untouchable
he might be better than Lauri some day
So I suppose our main target this offseason should be Trey Murphy, and I think we could actually do it. I was thinking something like this:
I agree.
Rollins to me has potential to be at least 50% of what prime Steph was. Maybe that's overestimating him, but let me dream.
I wouldn't feel good about having to include another FRP, but I think I would if it came down to it. Trey Murphy would be a perfect fit alongside Giannis.
I would happily trade Rollins for a top 4 pick this draft. Thatās about it
I wouldn't do it happily, but yeah, I'd probably still do it.
my understanding is,
once he is a FA,
hes a FA to the entire league.
and that we CANT offer an extension.
i hope thats wrong.
but, we cant get into a bidding war over RR
we have his bird rights so its whatever if heās really untouchable bucks will pay to keep him
u sure?
we have bird rights
we can't extend him but we have bird
we just might have to overpay a bit
we just can't extend him early
#KeepKuz just for the extra cap space to extend Rollins
this is an issue, IF, RR excels.
he's essentially an RFA
it's fine
I believe from what Jim said we can match any offer
Ok so I went over to the Pelicans discord and asked them their opinions on that package for Trey Murphy, and it sounds like Trey Murphy is someone they consider untouchable at this point in their rebuild. That being said, they wouldn't be surprised if ownership made a move like this, and then we talked about how disappointing ownership can be.
They were super chill and respectful the whole time.
I think the Bucks and the Cavs would say no to this if either team went to the other with this, but I still think it'd be worth considering.
If we're including Ryan Rollins, then I wouldn't include any picks.
Also, the only other ways to make salary work would be to trade away Kuzma and Myles, but then we'd have to get someone from them too (except Tyrese Proctor because he doesn't make enough). I think you could also do Kuzma, Bobby, and AJG, but then we'd definitely have to include picks we don't have, and I'm sure other teams would be able to beat that.
I definitely don't think the Cavs r doing that lol
I don't really like that for either side
I think Houston is a way more likely team to trade for Mitchell than anybody else in the league
well luka got traded to the lakers so u never know š¤·āāļø
@steady swift and others, assuming we keep king Kuz this year, do you think we would be able to get him back on a 3/18ish deal, 4/40? what do you think the range would be?
trading for a āstarā would be franchise killing, you need depth. Itās either you put all your chips on the Rollins taking another leap table or trade Giannis away.
I feel like players usually prioritize more years in this scenario
But also I donāt even want to re-sign him yet bc the expiring contract is still valuable at the deadline
When's the deadline for contract extensions? Is it after the trade deadline?
Agreed, more of a hypothetical if we keep him throughout the year and he becomes a Ufa this summer. I donāt see him getting the full mle any where but maybe just being a playable wing gets him paid. I would love to get him back for under 10/y for as many years as he wants
I'd be okay with giving Kuz $10mil/yr for as many years as he wants to be here.
When you put it that way, yeah that makes sense. The thing is anytime I hear a star may become available I go right to the trade machine.
Is this giving up too much for Trey Murphy? If the Pelicans would even say yes to this, I think we should. If I'm not mistaken, these are the only picks we're allowed to trade right now due to the Stepien rule. We'd have to trade whoever we pick in this upcoming draft on draft night though since we can't trade the pick outright.
From what I understand from what I'm seeing on Fanspo, our 2027 pick goes to either NOP or ATL, our 2028 pick goes to either POR or CHI (this one I'm really not sure about), we don't have a 2029 pick, and our 2030 pick goes to POR as a swap. Is this a correct evaluation?
We get our 33 pick this summer. We will have 26,31,33 and 32 swap available to trade
Would you give up all of those picks for Trey Murphy? I'm leaning yes, but it's a very steep cost that would royally screw us over if it doesn't pay off.
Or do we wait to re-sign Ousmane and hope that he turns into a Trey Murphy-esque player?
because I also think that that could actually happen.
I am personally out on Murphy for any more than a future first and a swap
2028 is a swap. So the Bucks will have a pick in that draft, but not tradeable (unless they wanna do another swap on it)