tbh
#road to 200k messages
quick dawn
humble dust
not if used on Burnley def and no transfers spent to use it imo
carmine arch
BB1 FH4 wc7/8 GW1-7 (covered by initial team)
GW8-12 (covered by WC7/8) GW13+ (covered by stacked FTs)
Gw16 afcon
quick dawn
the thing is you can bench richards half the time for vdv
cerulean cape
Is beto that bad?
novel harbor
the thing is you can bench richards half the time for vdv
bench richards for vdv’s 1-2 pointers 
quick dawn
hows spence vs vdv for defcon
latent depot
Nobody knows
lavish parcel
hows spence vs vdv for defcon
I've just gone both 
quick dawn
ah true
novel harbor
romero best bet tho with decent cbit numbers even under ange
latent depot
VDV/Romero will be new Pinnock/Collins
novel harbor
vdv is just a gamble atp
latent depot
Romero is a 13yc per 36 games season man 
misses 2 from suspension
novel harbor
ive just opted for no spurs defenders to save my self from the headloss
quick dawn
wait romero scored 5 goals the season before
broken patio
Even if he gets his act together a bit it's still gonna be bad
broken patio
wait romero scored 5 goals the season before
Yeah there's potential there
When you look at Collins 9 ga last season
It's just so unknown
latent depot
Spurs set piece FC
quick dawn
this rotation actually slaps
you can bench a forest def gw4 as well
alright ive lost my head
latent depot
Wow VVD farmed some serious CBITs in both Merseyside derbies
latent depot
VVD got DC points home and away vs Man City and Everton, the other 7 were kinda random
15 and 13 CBITs vs Everton 
novel harbor
ye the derby stats are insane overall
cerulean cape
Tark confirmed fit by moyes
quick dawn
amazing
cerulean cape
James Justin rb
latent depot
So O'Brien can play CB
cerulean cape
Branthwaite training supposedly
Or should be
Guess see how many mins he gets vs roma
quick dawn
i think im gonna just get tark regardless
cerulean cape
What was the issue for sanchez?
novel harbor
i think im gonna just get tark regardless
same
quick dawn
tark 2 forest 1 palace
novel harbor
What was the issue for sanchez?
none as far as im concerned
been a lock in my team since release
quick dawn
random benching or just that their defence isnt that good
i mean i think hes fine
but all my drafts are kelleher or petrol
copper hinge
I guess they may randomly buy a gk
Nope
cerulean cape
And the rb is a 20yo
latent depot
Chelsea kept 7 clean sheets in their last 12 games, but 6 of those were vs relegation tier attacks, the other vs Brentford. Their GW1-6 is too midtable/strong for them
cerulean cape
Aroujo vs Adam smith both mid
cerulean cape
Chelsea kept 7 clean sheets in their last 12 games, but 6 of those were vs releg...
Kept a cs vs CL winners mate
cedar hull
latent depot
Also will lack match fitness
copper hinge
The defensive line and shape looked really strong for Chelsea end of season
cerulean cape
Oh ye
latent depot
Why is Brentford reddish in that
prime plinth
And they said triple forest defense is mad
cerulean cape
Can I pick 4 forest
prime plinth
I'm just cooking
cerulean cape
Legit might pick emi
prime plinth
Rodon masterclass gw1
latent depot
No Tark 👀
novel harbor
Why is Brentford reddish in that
they concede 7.8 cbit on average
cerulean cape
Newcastle maybe not isak
novel harbor
they concede 7.8 cbit on average
25% defcon hit rate also
so definitely on the worse end
prime plinth
The last time Everton had a cb out. They were atrocious
cerulean cape
Lmao
prime plinth
Imagine skipping on Saka for Ollie Offside Watkins
quick dawn
I'm just cooking
this is actually a rly good team
prime plinth
Vvd owners when they have 0 clean sheets in 3
quick dawn
even though i wouldnt triple
prime plinth
Also has lacroix missing so solanke or rogers might go
latent depot
Vvd owners when they have 0 clean sheets in 3
0 DC points as well, Gakpo with more clean sheets points
prime plinth
Not a city or pool defender believer at all. Only one I'll have to consider on numbers alone is Gabriel
latent depot
Gabriel GW7-20, FH13 
quick dawn
my 5 defenders have about 16% combined ownership
prime plinth
Fixtures are ok for gvardiol but roles and minutes are not guaranteed to be great. Not likely to see a city defender reach dc much
quick dawn
gvardiol at cb is probably shite
prime plinth
Could see him subbed if at Rb as well
Could just be the one who never gets subbed and covers different roles though
Shouldn't be as relevant before europe
novel harbor
and 0 cbit and probs 1 clean sheet in first 5 
prime plinth
and 0 cbit and probs 1 clean sheet in first 5 <:CoolCat:353965036915654658>
Wym. City always keep cs vs spurs and Brighton 
Definitely beat utd in fa cup final
Tbf arsenal vs city is a guaranteed 0-0
Maybe fh that gw
novel harbor
arsenal city is city's least likely cs of the season probs lol
quick dawn
fh into triple arsenal defence
novel harbor
myb pool
prime plinth
Most likely will finish with a bb1 team but we'll see
I just don't know how you fit bb anywhere else that makes any sense
quick dawn
do we think collins scored well due to frank or was it just a fluke
prime plinth
Bb1/2
prime plinth
do we think collins scored well due to frank or was it just a fluke
It was major out performance in xa
That said, xa is so pointless based on assist numbers across the league
Though maybe more relevant for Collins just being lucky
novel harbor
my issue with early bb is that i dont like any bench boost teams and im against early wc 
quick dawn
we can probably wc into a bb if random cheap options emerge
sterile tree
15 and 13 CBITs vs Everton <:sobbusiness:972938976367366214>
everyone farms vs moyes everton, the 3 united cbs all cleared lol
novel harbor
everyone farms vs moyes everton, the 3 united cbs all cleared lol
48% hit rate against everton across the pl is crazy
sterile tree
48% hit rate against everton across the pl is crazy
it's actually heavily inflated for moyes compared to dyche
prime plinth
we can probably wc into a bb if random cheap options emerge
That is easy. The issue is you are stuck with those funds on the bench
Burning pts long term
So is bb really worth it. Is the 2nd keeper even worth it. Idk
I think I'd have to drop solanke and Rogers + neco out to fund it
novel harbor
That is easy. The issue is you are stuck with those funds on the bench
ye thats fine just pick proven assets from the season so far
quick dawn
That is easy. The issue is you are stuck with those funds on the bench
i mean min price options who start
prime plinth
ye thats fine just pick proven assets from the season so far
We will want every bit possible when saka gyokeres isak salah etc are wanted post gw 7
novel harbor
We will want every bit possible when saka gyokeres isak salah etc are wanted pos...
maybe some
more casual players potentially
but i dont think i will
prime plinth
i mean min price options who start
Yeah i mean even if bb1-2. Shouldn't go to heavy
novel harbor
what do we think of porro <:pepelaff:849192378962411550>
great pick if ur targeting fixtures since maddison out ye
high ceiling
quick dawn
tbh i feel like the defensive picks are kinda random
who knows who will score well first few weeks
supple steeple
has Frank ever had good attacking fullbacks in his squad? I remember Henry bombing down and doing really well before his injury
Porro could be massive if he's given the same role
cedar hull
Neither will be as attacking as they were under ange ig
slim bane
Porro is too expensive to be justified when there’s other 5.5 defs
quick dawn
gonna tag my spurs friend and ask if romero is a good pick
cedar hull
People are only talking about porro because review loves him
slim bane
Vdv is enough 
novel harbor
tbh i feel like the defensive picks are kinda random
its actually kind of the opposite. we can be more sure than ever who will likely score well
theres much less variance in defence now
cheap defenders are now reliable floor assets
quick dawn
yeah but like the stuff im considering
richards or lacroix
williams or milenkovic
romero or vdv
cedar hull
Well that's not random
novel harbor
williams or milenkovic
milenkovic is better when forest concede, lacroix and richards pretty much equal with lacroix being better when cs
cedar hull
You pay more for more points, but they are the same value
novel harbor
and romero is just levels better than vdv
novel harbor
milenkovic is better when forest concede, lacroix and richards pretty much equal...
richards*
being better when cs
broken patio
what do we think of porro <:pepelaff:849192378962411550>
Review is flicking it's clit for him
On set pieces with maddo out
Good fix
Should be good defensively
I get it
novel harbor
its still worth taking into account how well you think teams are going to do. if you genuinely believe forest keep cs in multiple upcoming games i wouldnt recommend milenkovic at all
cedar hull
You wouldn't recommend a defender getting clean sheets?
novel harbor
You wouldn't recommend a defender getting clean sheets?
as in over neco
neco averages much higher than milenkovic does when cs
milenkovic 7.7 when cs
hollow ermine
People are only talking about porro because review loves him
I mean Porro regardless could be a good asset
novel harbor
that means milenk is a safer pick though
well it really depends on ur opinion
cedar hull
I mean Porro regardless could be a good asset
No shit, but he literally wasn't talked about until review came out
novel harbor
hes the ceiling pick that ppl want to go for
hollow ermine
But Porro is deffo a pick
hollow ermine
No shit, but he literally wasn't talked about until review came out
By cc?
jolly solstice
Since when does Rogers have 32 goals
hollow ermine
By anyone?
I had a convo about Porro here about last week before reveiw came out
cedar hull
Since when does Rogers have 32 goals
It was all comps including youth I think, data was wrong anyway cos there was no xg for some of the comps
novel harbor
did maddison's injury coincide with release of review perchance?
cedar hull
I had a convo about Porro here about last week before reveiw came out
Oh well, everyone bar one person then 
Missing the point entirely
hollow ermine
Oh well, everyone bar one person then <:zzzz:769355219577733142>
Wasn’t just me
quick dawn
i mean i mentioned him idk review but i saw it on reddit
broken patio
Oh well, everyone bar one person then <:zzzz:769355219577733142>
2 people actually if it was a conversation
cedar hull
did maddison's injury coincide with release of review perchance?
It was after, it was big on spurs defence with Romero/vvd then porro became massive once madders got injured
hollow ermine
Porro was on radar before reveiw, just less so than other 5.5’s really, wasn’t out of the blue
That Arsenal match was a good sign
cedar hull
Still missing the point
There were hundreds of picks on radar, everyone has been briefly talked about at some point
cedar hull
But you're not understanding
hollow ermine
I just explained to you?
broken patio
Bigmanbakar out here charging people £150 for 'advice' and just shilling the basic review team
broken patio
Porro was on radar before reveiw, just less so than other 5.5’s really, wasn’t o...
He was barely on the radar
cedar hull
Actual scam artist
broken patio
Didn't see him in anyone's teams here
novel harbor
Bigmanbakar out here charging people £150 for 'advice' and just shilling the bas...
classic shill
broken patio
Actual scam artist
He's affiliated with ffh too and they have their own AI
wanton whale
do you guys actually use twitter?
broken patio
And he's using review
hollow ermine
Didn't see him in anyone's teams here
Saw him in a few down in rmt and with tat of all people
novel harbor
do you guys actually use twitter?
ya
hollow ermine
Of course not many
novel harbor
but only for infographics (fpl wise)
hollow ermine
But he was a pick for casuals
novel harbor
the opinions i see on there 😭
ye theres alot of silly people on there
quick dawn
i logged out for a few weeks
cedar hull
the opinions i see on there 😭
I mean look at #fpl_chat
wanton whale
ye theres alot of silly people on there
just saw some guy say anderson is an fpl 'game breaker' as he will get 4 points minimum every game 😭
wanton whale
I mean look at <#202794531488268289>
tbf idk which is worse
novel harbor
both ends of the anderson discourse annoy me alot
broken patio
I stroke my meat to CBIT as much as anyone else in this thread,
But I can't wait for the fallout after people with CBIT mids like Anderson sit and watch as other picks score a brace in the same week
It's going to be glorious
novel harbor
I stroke my meat to CBIT as much as anyone else in this thread,
But I can't wai...
thats why real mfs are stacking up on midfield
broken patio
thats why real mfs are stacking up on midfield
451 no mid cheaper than 7m gang
hollow ermine
I stroke my meat to CBIT as much as anyone else in this thread,
But I can't wai...
Atp I’ve just decided to pick my 5th midfielder on vibes alone
Sarr and Ayari will score points at some point
wanton whale
Most anderson owners will take him out after a few weeks of dissapointment anyway
novel harbor
Most anderson owners will take him out after a few weeks of dissapointment anywa...
thats kind of the point lol
quick dawn
beef whats ur defence rn
novel harbor
most of us are getting rid of him after gw3?
hollow ermine
Sarr and Ayari will score points at some point
Just hope that I play them that week
broken patio
O_o
wanton whale
most of us are getting rid of him after gw3?
we are?
hollow ermine
Solio has adingra as one of the best 5.5’s
hollow ermine
Solio has adingra as one of the best 5.5’s
Not falling for that
Has arias up there as well
quick dawn
sorry to burst your bubble but idt ekitike will be an option
novel harbor
Solio has adingra as one of the best 5.5’s
not rly
zenith jolt
No shit, but he literally wasn't talked about until review came out
Same as last year
novel harbor
its not even top 5
quick dawn
unless theres confirmation isak isnt joining
you can sell sanchez easily though and get watkins
hollow ermine
its not even top 5
Who above him?
Caicedo, Andersen who else
broken patio
I'm surprised more people aren't rushing to Ekitike now Nunez is going
broken patio
I guess there's still the possibility of isak
hollow ermine
Unless I’m just reading it wrong
zenith jolt
Porro in my current team
novel harbor
Who above him?
Caicedo, Andersen who else
- anderson
- arias
- caicedo
- tonali
- reijnders
hollow ermine
Porro in my current team <:blobsweat:851533529489342584>
Average reveiw user
broken patio
Wahful owns review confirmed
hollow ermine
1. anderson
2. arias
3. caicedo
4. tonali
5. reijnders
Arias
quick dawn
i mean ekitike might start 2 gws or whatever but if isak joins you are in a bad position
wanton whale
was gonna be malen
may as well start with him at that rate
broken patio
i mean ekitike might start 2 gws or whatever but if isak joins you are in a bad ...
Yeahhh
zenith jolt
Hey i had porro gw1 last year despite all the hate and he bagged
novel harbor
may as well start with him at that rate
nah
hollow ermine
1. anderson
2. arias
3. caicedo
4. tonali
5. reijnders
All these are terrible omfg
novel harbor
anderson is getting defcon first 3 gw's
hollow ermine
Imagine waiting for tackles every week on 5th midfielder
Jade
Check best 5.0
On solio
hollow ermine
Cause I cba
quick dawn
id rather get anderson than another 5.5 mid
novel harbor
Check best 5.0
will just be baleba
wanton whale
anderson is getting defcon first 3 gw's
1 malen goal and he matches that
quick dawn
bruh we are signing guessand
zenith jolt
Malen gonna go crazy with his 20 mins 🔥
novel harbor
Check best 5.0
ye baleba, ramzani, stach, wharton, cullen
quick dawn
probably not even 20
cedar hull
Malen train lasted about 2 days
wanton whale
great super sub 😈
zenith jolt
probably not even 20
Yeah meant over a 12 gw horizon
wanton whale
im happy with playing 4 back myself
broken patio
All the AI models are wrong
Ayari is the best 5.0 mid
zenith jolt
Gigachads go Reijnders over Anderson
broken patio
All the AI models are wrong
Ayari is the best 5.0 mid
I genuinely believe this too I'm not just shilling
novel harbor
I genuinely believe this too I'm not just shilling
i think hes up there too actually, does he start
cedar hull
First to talk about reijnders
novel harbor
only issue is no cbit right?
broken patio
Should be first choice yeah, hurzeler loves him
Rn he's like 1 game on one off but we expect that to get better
novel harbor
Gigachads go Reijnders over Anderson
is reijnders a g/a pick? becuz im not liking his cbitr numbers
novel harbor
anderson stronger floor
also has a nice ceiling given that hes on corners
hollow ermine
ye baleba, ramzani, stach, wharton, cullen
Ew
latent depot
Anderson owners in for a shock when he doesn't get DC points GW4-6
wanton whale
and when hes subbed off before defcon with a yellow card
quick dawn
i think 442 is best but 451 is ok if you have a proper bench defender
cerulean cape
we can chip in for bakar? what's the actual service you get
zenith jolt
Would rather have a 5.5 Def
Think of alternatives
Can get a good 4.0 def but have to pay 5.5 for a semi decent midfielder
quick dawn
just play munoz or tark or milenk every week and get king or potts as bench option
or yeah
novel harbor
munoz 
quick dawn
well i have chris richards now
slim bane
First to talk about reijnders <:PepeBusiness:853967422989008917>
How much
quick dawn
and the card monster romero
keen wren
@zenith jolt
quick dawn
reindeers would be good if he had secure starts
slim bane
<@300315264497483776>
Ffs
keen wren
bb2 2nd aug- 6 aug 🕊️
keen wren
could be fake injury to sign for burnley 😭
broken patio
what do we think about jose sa
I dabbled with thinking about him, but even in a rotation I can't do it
Wolves defensive numbers are so bad
And their window has been awful
broken patio
Most wolves fans are pretty pessimistic rn
trail forum
Wolves defensive numbers are so bad
so are their attacking numbers
they may be cooked
broken patio
Also, sa himself is quite average, it's not like he's even gonna make a lot of saves like kelleher or petrovic
The only thing he has going for him is playing all 3 premoted teams before gw12
cedar hull
Don't see any reason to look outside of kelleher/petro at 4.5
broken patio
Areola I don't hate
hollow ermine
Areola I don't hate
I hate when West Ham are discussing personal terms with 2 new gk’s
quick dawn
ill probably just end up on kelleher
hollow ermine
Areola been suspect to losing his place vs fabianski
quick dawn
darlow and petro is an option
hollow ermine
Talkless of actual keepers
cedar hull
Also now leaning towards leaving WC and BB late, just not enough info rn
hollow ermine
When I get back from holiday I’ll take a proper look on Solio (I’ll spend 5 minutes and give up)
broken patio
What's solio?
cedar hull
New review type thing
broken patio
Ugh
hollow ermine
What's solio?
New analytics site
Never used reveiw so I wouldn’t know
But it just does xP but in absolute vs Relative
hollow ermine
Ayari would be huge assuming his fix weren’t absolutely dog shit
Can’t even rotate the guy with vdv
Gonna check ticker
Ticker has West Ham Burnley and Sunderland top 3
Yeah RIP
Close eye buy
cedar hull
bb1 fh4 wc8
*WC2 to get Salah
carmine arch
if i really needed salah that bad lets say haaland got injured i would just take a -4
cedar hull
I just don't think haaland is worth it over Salah at all
broken patio
451 gaaaaaang
cedar hull
Of all the people that have gone haaland over Salah, none of them have had a convincing argument to go that way imo
hollow ermine
Has guiu been updated
hollow ermine
Of all the people that have gone haaland over Salah, none of them have had a con...
“I feel like it”
wanton whale
Of all the people that have gone haaland over Salah, none of them have had a con...
You can cover Salah with Wirtz and Gakpo isn't that obvious?
broken patio
Has guiu been updated
Is his move even official yet?
hollow ermine
Club statement nah
carmine arch
Of all the people that have gone haaland over Salah, none of them have had a con...
my argument is that i think haaland gets more points then salah lol
cedar hull
Someone told me that Salah isn't getting 200 points this season
carmine arch
oh he is
cedar hull
His worst season is 211 with 28 starts
cedar hull
Would be pretty good to get 200 points by gw8 tbf
carmine arch
in 8 weeks
violet temple
Would be pretty good to get 200 points by gw8 tbf
only a solid 25 points per gw doable
acoustic edge
bb1 fh4 wc8
xhaka haaland feels so much worse than salah guiu if guiu even gets 2 mins
carmine arch
maybe
novel harbor
For those on 451 what’s your cheapest mid?
most likely rogers
lavish parcel
For those on 451 what’s your cheapest mid?
Malen 
novel harbor
451 my arse
lavish parcel
451 in gw3
cedar hull
BB1 and has esteve over rodon
cedar hull
Clean sheets ?
novel harbor
do everton score against leeds 
lavish parcel
I don't think Leeds is able to keep a cs vs Everton
novel harbor
if ndiaye leaves idk
carmine arch
why would ndiaye leave
lavish parcel
Steve plays sun GW2
cedar hull
Leeds were a better defence statistically than Burnley 
novel harbor
why would ndiaye leave
i heard hes linked to inter
carmine arch
so rodon over esteve for bb1?
novel harbor
^
lavish parcel
😭
carmine arch
ight
lavish parcel
I am likely to field Steve gw1 and 2 since spurs play city and I have 2 spurs def
novel harbor
my bb1 fh4 would be murillo + porro + rodon + tarkowski i think
if i was ever going to
lavish parcel
I have Keane in my mind instead of either vdv or Spence
novel harbor
my bb1 fh4 would be murillo + porro + rodon + tarkowski i think
oh wait no thats 3 5.5's
lavish parcel
But all 3 are good
lavish parcel
Konsa Kekw
carmine arch
defender with a better fixture run till 8?
lavish parcel
Might as well put Diouf
slim bane
451 451 451 let’s goooo
lavish parcel
Not for gw1 I think
slim bane
Yea but you’re building a team to last a while right
lavish parcel
BB1 😭
quick dawn
i wasnt even convinced on malen before guessand
slim bane
Yea
Double palace double forest def on most days
I can foresee myself rq gw2 when the forest palace match ends 1-1 with own goals from both teams
lavish parcel
Brother has pre destined wc6
WC7*
hollow ermine
Double palace double forest def on most days
Once they concede 2 goals it’s Ggs
quick dawn
Rogers gakpo writz salah palmer
all the goats have this midfield
carmine arch
ndaiye palmer rogers kudus xhaka>
slim bane
balls deep
Ndaiye maybe leaving
Crazy not backing the best attack in the league asw
slim bane
Hell nah
elder cargo
ndaiye palmer rogers kudus xhaka>
satire?
slim bane
Solanke doing heavy lifting if that’s true
ars fix are ass
Do I want to stay up at 1am to watch the game
When I need to wake up at 8am tmr for work
carmine arch
yessir
slim bane
i need to sell wood
what gave it away?
carmine arch
im going aggro
silent jasper
I am abit wary of Wood, probably he used up all his luck
cerulean cape
If no wood then I'm going triple def
slim bane
No elanga no goals
quick dawn
solanke is the pick if hes ever fit
cerulean cape
Meh, elanga was dropped a lot of fames
slim bane
I actually didn’t think of that
cerulean cape
Games
slim bane
Triple forest one palace might make sense
silent jasper
No elanga no goals
I thought MGW was good too lol
slim bane
triple forest is too much variance for me
Double forest double palace is the same shit
silent jasper
2 forest def already feels risky to me
yeah agree
cerulean cape
Forest play 4 out of this seasons bottom 6 in first 6 games
Brentford, west ham, Burnley and sunderland
silent jasper
Double forest double palace is the same shit <:kekw:666253550870855683>
its like having double Ars def after GW6 last season 
Raya and his dodgy goals concede 
cerulean cape
And I'm using fh on the game vs arsenal
slim bane
Unless they’re the ones going down
waxen river
Fh4 might be the strat
carmine arch
Solanke being fit would fix a lot of issues for me
carmine arch
its like having double Ars def after GW6 last season <:notstonks:849194328554995...
I had double arsenal defence all season lol
slim bane
Bought into the wc7 fh13 coolaid
quick dawn
double palace is a bit sketchy on wc7
silent jasper
I had double arsenal defence all season lol
I regret going for Raya over Sels, really disasterclass man
But you are an Arsenal fan so might not be too painful for ya imo 
carmine arch
Fh4 might be the strat
Join the club
slim bane
double palace is a bit sketchy on wc7
I have vdv coming in for one of them
In all the sketchy weeks
quick dawn
wdyt of romero
slim bane
Idk I just know Frank has elevated their team
cerulean cape
wdyt of romero
Great option
quick dawn
romero could potentially get cbit and attacking returns
cerulean cape
I'm on romero if I choose gakpo over bowen i think
quick dawn
him and richards rotation
cerulean cape
Play every game but gw2 then wc
quick dawn
what price is grealish 
slim bane
Thoughts on Bowen?
cerulean cape
Thoughts on Bowen?
Him or gakpo
waxen river
I’m torn between these 2 at the minute. Shall I hop on the 451 train?
silent jasper
I’m torn between these 2 at the minute. Shall I hop on the 451 train?
basically Munoz vs JSL?
I prefer Munoz
Not sure if I like Andersen because I prefer the likes of VDV for 4.5 def
quick dawn
whos reacting to my message from 4 years ago
hollow ermine
Arias agenda lives on cause of solio
cedar hull
it means you watch the game rather than rely on stats and models
quick dawn
lmao
hollow ermine
“Grassy”
cedar hull
Dubravka time
hollow ermine
Dubravka goon
slim bane
here we goon
cedar hull
here we goon
I fw this
slim bane
Or any 5.5 in general
Think ppl going for anderson
hollow ermine
Think ppl going for anderson
Apart from him nothing yeah
cedar hull
Dorgu 
humble bane
I refused to have a uni7ed player for weeks but... his g/a :(
broken patio
here we goon
Love it
slim bane
novel harbor
the 4-5-1's are homogenising 
broken patio
@slim bane our teams are literally the same except I have Sanchez and 4.0 Def and you have kelleher and vdv
And also Murillo Vs tark
novel harbor
being a 3-5-2 player in a world of 4-5-1's 
slim bane
Going for the wc7 convinced by mcgrrr
broken patio
Mcgrr convinced me yesterday of wc7 fh13
But then this morning I convinced myself back
quick dawn
i think ill wc7
broken patio
I could still change again
quick dawn
munoz will be annoying to not own if he hauls
novel harbor
munoz will be annoying to not own if he hauls
not rly
but ill be here for the knee jerk 
humble bane
as soon as he hauls i'll do forest CB -> munoz
quick dawn
munoz probably has 1 expected goal before wc7
quick dawn
well summing xg even though you cant rly do that
broken patio
Palace Def confuse me
Feels like we want at least 1
Lacroix looks like too much value not to have, but, owning lacroix and not Munoz would be sad, so I think that's why I've been drawn to fh6 and to have both
quick dawn
do 1- (1-0.16)^6 or whatever the xg is
broken patio
But maybe I just bin lacroix and pick Munoz only and hope for the best
quick dawn
i mean the thing is their clean sheets are very not secure
broken patio
Spot the review pick
novel harbor
Spot the review pick
porro, esteve, neco 
quick dawn
im jealous of porro and munoz tbh
novel harbor
do 1- (1-0.16)^6 or whatever the xg is
ahh
broken patio
i mean the thing is their clean sheets are very not secure
If you're not on fh6, and are on wc7, then palace Def don't actually look that great yeah
broken patio
But Munoz is an attacker so
novel harbor
do 1- (1-0.16)^6 or whatever the xg is
except instead of cbit, goals
quick dawn
tbh i havent used poisson in my studies
broken patio
I can see the temptation in my backline to drop porro to vdv, Munoz to lacroix, and then upgrade estéve to milenkovic, so that I can rotate them all nicely. Then it's literally McGrrrs team
hollow ermine
tbh i havent used poisson in my studies
Fish?
broken patio
Poisson distribution oh lord please don't bring back memories from studying statistics
novel harbor
do 1- (1-0.16)^6 or whatever the xg is
i think this is a fair projection tho ngl
broken patio
I gladly pushed those memories aside
quick dawn
i love statistics
novel harbor
probs right about 1 xG every 6-7 gw's
hollow ermine
Fpl btw
quick dawn
econometrics
hollow ermine
What is poisson man
quick dawn
look it up
hollow ermine
Distribution?
broken patio
Chi squared
hollow ermine
Never did further maths
novel harbor
What is poisson man
basically saying "if something happens X times per period on average, heres the probability distribution for any specific period"
quick dawn
lemme find what i studied
novel harbor
binomial is "if you have N tries with P% chance each time, heres how many successes you'll probably get"
you'd probs use binomial for like clean sheets myb
hollow ermine
basically saying "if something happens X times per period on average, heres the ...
If Salah scores 1 per 90
Here’s how much he’ll score per 90x38
38
quick dawn
this is the statistics i studied last
novel harbor
If Salah scores 1 per 90
Here’s how much he’ll score per 90x38
no it doesnt multiply like that
quick dawn
yeah thats an important one
novel harbor
If Salah scores 1 per 90
Here’s how much he’ll score per 90x38
if salah averages 1 goal p/90 then over 38 games poisson would predict that most likely he scores exactly 38 goals (the average) but also 68% chance he scores between 32-44 goals, 5% chance he scores 50+ goals, 5% chance he scores under 26 goals
placid flame
this is the statistics i studied last
stats not real math
novel harbor
this is the statistics i studied last
quick dawn
fortunately they made that one an online exam
cedar hull
except instead of cbit, goals
Wdym, I used Poisson distribution for both my xCS and xDC
novel harbor
Wdym, I used Poisson distribution for both my xCS and xDC <:sobbusiness:97293897...
ye the xCS id say is fine but defensive contributions aren’t independent so im assuming that’s what the tweet is getting at. but if its working then its working
has anyone tried beta for dc
cedar hull
Well I modelled it cumulatively
It matched up relatively well to last season's DC per start
quick dawn
why not use normal for something like expected goals over the season
quick dawn
should i send you mine
novel harbor
yo what was everyone’s personal statements for uni
don’t have mine saved. it’s been a while 
acoustic edge
lwk i just need to find a way to start it
quick dawn
i only got into york and southampton but tbh its all dependent on your predicteds more than anything
cedar hull
I think mines on a pc that just went into a skip
quick dawn
they predicted me aab then i got a*aa
novel harbor
congrats
cedar hull
They predicted you to be a sheep but you got scared instead
lone glade
yo what was everyone’s personal statements for uni
mf
quick dawn
i think mine didnt matter much tbh cuz most unis just offer based on predicteds except for like the top 5
actually i guess i wrote a new one for master applications
but thats a bit different
cedar hull
I know guys that went both York and Southampton and either way you'll be fine mate 👍
quick dawn
yeah i got good offers for masters
cedar hull
One question though, it you're smart enough to get those grades, why are you haaland over Salah?
cedar hull
quick dawn
do u wanna see my masters ps or is that not relevant
quick dawn
yeah seems decent
latent depot
Same fixture was 3-0
But they might not have Isak I guess
I'm FH Isak wherever he is
broken patio
Uhhhhhh so indykaila reporting Baleba to man utd rumours
Ayari would be nailed 100% if he went just saying
quick dawn
they cant make do with ugarte, casemiro and mainoo competing for 1 spot
latent depot
I think FH4 is just more upside for my squad
I'm still WC7
Villa away at Everton, I have double Villa attack, double Everton defence, triple Forest defence
cerulean cape
I think FH4 is just more upside for my squad
join me
broken patio
I think FH4 is just more upside for my squad
Makes sense for triple forest Def
cerulean cape
Villa away at Everton, I have double Villa attack, double Everton defence, tripl...
you're still pickford tark?
latent depot
I'm back on Pickford cos Branthwaite seems closer than anticipated
Also I really disliked Kelleher
Dubravka covers GW5 and GW8 really well so I don't have to commit to WC7
There's not a lot wrong to triple Forest to Gabriel/Munoz/Lacroix GW7, downgrade Gakpo for the 0.5
Gakpo could even be Semenyo from GW2, just moving the transfer forward. FH4 solves that issue
Basically if Isak deal is done between GW1 and 2, it's a swap to Semenyo
quick dawn
we hoping for like 2 forest clean sheets?
latent depot
GW1-3 is farming CBITs, hopefully at least 1 clean sheet. GW5-6 won't have many CBITs so that's more targeting cleans and attacking returns
cerulean cape
if isak deal is an issue, then gakpo just meh
broken patio
Triple forest Def is a lot, after they became one of the worst defensive sides in the league at the end of last season
quick dawn
i think gakpo still starts with isak
broken patio
We expect them to improve and rightly so, but, still
latent depot
I do think Gakpo is a transfer out sooner or later. Rotation inevitable with UCL, also fix GW7-11 aren't great
broken patio
I do think Gakpo is a transfer out sooner or later. Rotation inevitable with UCL...
100%, but with wc7 in mind he's a fine pick for gw1
latent depot
Yeah, which is why I've had him since day 2 
quick dawn
yeah ive had gakpo in every draft for ages
i think he can score more points than wirtz even
gyokeres starting now
anyone considering?
cedar hull
Gakpo doesn't have direct competition as of now, wouldn't be surprised if he starts a lot but early sub with chiesa/rio
quick dawn
rio probably is the backup but idk if he will get loads of minutes
wait havertz isnt in the arsenal squad
latent depot
xNiggle?
lavish parcel
Gyokeres starts, my fomo is gonna be off the charts
quick dawn
could go there over watkins
cedar hull
Still need arsenal to fix their attacking issues
The players aren't the problem
Other than martinelli
supple steeple
yo what was everyone’s personal statements for uni
what does this mean
lavish parcel
I might just stay with Bowen and Watkins for guaranteed mins and they'll likely be involved a lot in goals whether by scoring or assisting
supple steeple
you have to write something to increase your chances of getting accepted?
lavish parcel
Gambling on 2 spurs def vs Burnley, Bizot vs Newcastle and Fullkrug vs Sunderland for my BB
I'll take anything over 10 points ngl
quick dawn
you have to write something to increase your chances of getting accepted?
yes basically
supple steeple
interesting
wanton whale
FUCK
supple steeple
so basically a job application
wanton whale
Gakpo dream could be over
trail forum
surely they dont read everyones
supple steeple
Gakpo dream could be over
what happened
broken patio
Damn BBC reporting man utd formal approach to Brighton for Baleba
wanton whale
what happened
liverpool looking to sign barcola
trail forum
Damn BBC reporting man utd formal approach to Brighton for Baleba
hollyyy
let them cook
supple steeple
wow
trail forum
mbuemo, cunha, sesko and baleba would almost be comparable to pools window
supple steeple
nuka-cola to pool would be silly good
quick dawn
how do utd have infinite money
wanton whale
mbuemo, cunha, sesko and baleba would almost be comparable to pools window
not if pool sign a lw
quick dawn
and we cant spend a penny
trail forum
newcastle want mcginn?
😭 newcuckastle
quick dawn
league is rigged
supple steeple
newcastle want mcginn?
wanted by Everton too
cedar hull
how do utd have infinite money
Highest commercial income
supple steeple
early in the window
trail forum
how do utd have infinite money
you underestimate the power of sacking a cook on 15 quid an hour
hollow ermine
Villa were cleared of prem psr issues a while back
cedar hull
liverpool looking to sign barcola
Ekitike time
trail forum
maybe if villa didnt choke the UCL spot they'd be able to buy
hollow ermine
They’re on probation from uefa though
quick dawn
maybe if villa didnt choke the UCL spot they'd be able to buy
we scored and the ref disallowed it for no reason
cedar hull
maybe if villa didnt choke the UCL spot they'd be able to buy
They have like a 97% wage to turnover lol
trail forum
we scored and the ref disallowed it for no reason
that was karma for staying up due to refs (goalline) error a few years back
an eye for an eye
hollow ermine
They have like a 97% wage to turnover lol
Funny given only a few players should actually be on that much
trail forum
announce liverpool buy guehi, isak then steal eze and they call off the league alltogether
cedar hull
League won by Christmas
quick dawn
Funny given only a few players should actually be on that much
gerrard fucked the wage structure
trail forum
League won by Christmas
they get -20 points for psr and still win
wasnt cout on the books till only a few weeks ago
hollow ermine
gerrard fucked the wage structure
That is true
UCL have a 70% wage to turnover rule
quick dawn
digne is apparently taking a wage reduction
i mean i hate all these rules in general
they protect the sky 6 teams who always have high revenue
hollow ermine
Chelsea got fined as well and we have to sell 70mil worth on PSR to be able to register new players
So
Yeah we’re in trouble as well
Can’t really blame them
quick dawn
you have infinite players though
carmine arch
I think 70 wage to turnover is a good rule personally
Clubs can get damaged a lot
But it does seem that it makes the big 6 have an advantage
latent depot
Villa lineup when
quick dawn
these lineups dont mean anything
basically
hes just playing whoever he feels like
cedar hull
Why tf is dubravka already 15% owned
wanton whale
Why tf is dubravka already 15% owned
He’ll be a lot more by deadline
Looks to be the only likely starting 4.0
Gabriel is back 🙏
wanton whale
Ffs needed a Gyok goal to set the trap
cedar hull
Yeah would have been nice tbf
Artetas continuing to prove he doesn't know how to sort an attack out
wanton whale
Yeah this will take some time
cedar hull
Yeah this will take some time
Do you think he could be sacked this year if they don't win anything?
wanton whale
Do you think he could be sacked this year if they don't win anything?
Honestly, there’s a decent chance depending on league position and how well we do in UCL
But most of us are running out of patience
cedar hull
I think he's a good coach, but he's persisting with the same mistakes man
wanton whale
Yeah it’s not a good look
We have to start winning trophies
We’ve had a decent window it’s up to getting the team cohesion quickly enough
Can’t be performing like this when the season starts
cedar hull
Icl I think you're in for a horror season by your standards
Something like 5th/6th no trophies
wanton whale
Honestly hope not but at this rate..
valid river
BB1 FH4 wc7/8 GW1-7 (covered by initial team)
GW8-12 (covered by WC7/8) GW13+ (...
This is very similar to what I had a week ago
Aston Villa play soon 🔥
Malen mins check
valid river
Malen is benched
quick dawn
i mean as i said its meaningless
lavish parcel
Wait really?
valid river
i mean as i said its meaningless
Do we think Malen is a good pick for gw1?
quick dawn
no
lavish parcel
Sorry I didn't check any earlier msgs, I just looked at the ars game and villa lineup and ran here
valid river
Very cool
lavish parcel
I can see McGinn, Ramsey, Bailey in gw1 team and Malen or Rogers benched
valid river
Caicedo is back in (I don't trust Wilson)
lavish parcel
Likely Malen since rogers got good game time
valid river
Rogers won't be benched
lavish parcel
Yeah my bad
Rogers is starting every week for them
Just had a look at fbref
He started 99% of the games
Maybe 97%
Can't do math
zealous forum
Why tf is dubravka already 15% owned
He is a current 4.0 that got points last year, so the masses just picked him as was the highest scoring 4.0
Which he will actually be
valid river
Is the transfer done?
lavish parcel
I still remember those 2 Leicester gk who cost 4.0 when Schmeichel left and it went horribly wrong for me
cedar hull
They lost on pens too bruh
valid river
Lmao
Is Malen subbed on yet
Also is Darlow still due to start GW1?
I would like him for my BB
pale tiger
Watkins 1 goal 1 assist
lavish parcel
Jesus Christ
zealous forum
Watkins 1 goal 1 assist
Will be staying in my GW1 side lol
valid river
Yeah I'm thinking of Tielemans
lavish parcel
Bro said Tielemans
zealous forum
Tielemans is ok
surreal ocean
Yeah I'm thinking of Tielemans
REVIEW
pale tiger
how much is he
lavish parcel
6m
surreal ocean
put your hands in the air wood enjoyer
lavish parcel
Is fullkrug a review pick?
surreal ocean
put down the ai !
lavish parcel
valid river
No Im literally commenting on content creators teams about how much I hate Review
valid river
put down the ai !
I ranted in FPL chat about it about 12 hours ago
surreal ocean
im using solio at the mo
surreal ocean
which makes me no better
surreal ocean
ai of the mind
lavish parcel
Bcoz I went fullkrug over Jimenez/Muniz/JSL
lavish parcel
Idk who else is 6.5 or lower
surreal ocean
but tielemans is a good pick
solio doesnt even like it why are you trying it
valid river
Bro I hate review. people have vvd in their team and then suddenly take them out for Pedro Porro
surreal ocean
no i mean 451 sorry
novel harbor
oh
surreal ocean
wrong reply
acoustic edge
4-5-1 template
acoustic edge
inc
novel harbor
again wdym
valid river
4-4-2 is where it's at
surreal ocean
B+ what the hell
novel harbor
ye becuz the 451's can be improved kinda
acoustic edge
novel harbor
like the typical template thats doing rounds in here that is
valid river
George what is your fav 5.5 (not Anderson)
zenith jolt
milenkovic no value over neco
novel harbor
ok so they basically have 1 viable sub?
cedar hull
Wish Trafford was number one 
lone thorn
yh i'd really like Traff instead of Sanchez😮💨
novel harbor
novel harbor
erm the goat sanchez kept cs against ucl champions 🙄
valid river
So will vicario
surreal ocean
George what is your fav 5.5 (not Anderson)
if not anderson then none for me
valid river
:(
novel harbor
0.5itb do i upgrade esteve to 4.5 or go for porro over romero for high ceiling
cedar hull
Review user spotted 
hollow ermine
Yeah this will take some time
More time?
novel harbor
dont think review has hopped on 4-5-1 yet actually
hollow ermine
Anyway I have route to gyok if needed
novel harbor
surprisingly
cedar hull
Andersen to neco might be better tbh, I know andersen is good tho
hollow ermine
0.5itb do i upgrade esteve to 4.5 or go for porro over romero for high ceiling
I don’t get marmoush
Is this cbit gooner’s way of having fun?
novel harbor
Is this cbit gooner’s way of having fun?
ye
cedar hull
Slightly leaning marmoush over wirtz if mins are there tbh
novel harbor
^
hollow ermine
If
cedar hull
Waiting for city game before I make that decision though
novel harbor
could be a nice edge over certain managers
novel harbor
tho i still dont know how i feel about 451
hollow ermine
novel harbor
it kind of hurts to play
cedar hull
Bruno to ekitike 442
novel harbor
ive been convinced by bruno. i saw a little thread of someone going over his g/a and defcon points every game last season
and now im hooked
novel harbor
o
orchid plank
Morgan Rogers is forced to go off. He tried gingerly running but quickly realised it was futile to carry on. Physio seemed to be testing out his left ankle
no contact one aswell
valid river
Rogers to who?
marsh palm
novel harbor
Rogers to who?
eze
thin jasper
> Morgan Rogers is forced to go off. He tried gingerly running but quickly reali...
Malen time