#road to 200k messages
1 messages · Page 33 of 1
Solid
Idk if I want to start Mykolenko over Gabriel but we'll see
I would
Gvardiol Is tempting
I just don't see Fulham not scoring with the form they are in this season
And hes still more likely to score than clean 
Lol true
It feels like a 0-0 game, that timeslot
Everton been solid defensively and branthwaite is back now for them
Really gabriel to porro to bench myko?
Why would I keep gab
arsenal are still the best defense in the league
I sold him so i cant talk but arsenal one of the best defences and in gw12 u will want
They've still shown they can concede good chances and have escaped a couple games with clean sheets they shouldn't have
you want him after gw11
I want Porro for the next run of games tbf
Im doing porro to gab in 12 prolly
With his attacking threat and Tottenham's attacking numbers in general for chances
@prime plinth can i have draymond in nba fantasy
Maybe I'll check it later if I remember
Decided against Gvardiol
Only one fixture that jumps out
Bournemouth and Brighton away. Tough
If Haaland and Foden don't deliver this gw. Gw6 wc is a complete disaster
I still can't get on the RAN train. If he hauls, then fair play, but i just don't see it
Taking out Palmer and Salah to get Haaland for that. The timing for owning these guys has not been in my favour that's for sure
Bro has good fix for the next 10
please start flekken
Yeah I wanted Ran but the fixtures didn't warrant earlier. Idm him for the next 10 with the attacking threat. Wolves just concede so many chances
Could easily have a lot of -1s so even an assist is not as relevant
I thought i had 
Wish I had sels instead of Raya
Why
4.5 keepers are always better than premiums
but raya is cheap way into arsenal defence so makes sense
Yeah but he has 4 returns from 1.5xGI already, whilst also playing for the 20th best def itl, with almost 3 goals conceded per 90, 4th highest xGc itl, and average less than 1xG per 90. I just dont see why you would want him over, say a Utd LFC or arsenal Def
no better 4.5s for cleans
tbh
forest you missed the boat, only a couple good fix for a while
ig there's everton
Myko/milenkovic/ran
Across Utds next 5 gws, they play whu, CHE, LEI, ips EVE,
they are 13th, 4th, 18th, 20th and 17th for xG.
Utd are 9th for xGc.
I just can't see utd not getting 3 CS across their next 5 fix, so for me, a utd def is clear of ran, even if he's 1mil more expensive
3 clean sheets?
they’ll keep 2 at an absolute best
They have 4 already (2nd best), and they got them against FUL sou cry vil.
3 away games too, should be noted.
I see no reason why they can't keep 3 or even 4 CS across that run
going off the data
I'm still really happy to have milenkovic and I don't see a reason to ever sell him tbh
I'm considering Saka and TAA> Palmer+ someone rn, and im stuck between a utd def, and porro atm. maybe konate, but likely not.
but spurs have 2 CS in 8 games
2 RAN returns likely equal 3 utd returns tbh
Man I'm so happy to not own porro
RAN overperforming his xGI atm by more than double, i don't think its sustainable
4 Returns from 1.5 xGI
This level of output isn't sustainable of course, but we've seen what he can do in the past
His stats have still been really good, in awful fix, they'll improve in the amazing fix run he has coming up, and then he can afford a regression and still be great
I haven't watched much of wolves this season tbh, but I imagine if his fix were awful, then he likely got a few of his returns from counter attacks? which will be less common when playing 'lesser' opponents
maybe im just a generational hater, but I dont know why people want to bring in a defender from the team 20th in the table with the worst goal diff and bottom 3 defenses itl
The main thinking is that wolves aren't really 20th
They've had the worst fixture opening run since opta started recording data
So they're actually better than their league table position and stats reflect, and their fix are about to turn insane
What’s wrong with porro
He's just a nightmare to own
Trapped into playing him most weeks because he's expensive, and trapped into keeping BC he's got good fix, but he'll continue to spam 0.01xg shots from 40 yards and concede stupid goals
Sure he may get some big hauls and I'll look like an idiot, but life is much more peaceful without him 
not selling is different from buying
RAN is budget porro
Fr, same situation with wood, noone wants to buy now BC Jimi and Cunha are more flashy and more of a flavour of the week, but no wood owner is even thinking about selling
think I will in 11
well actually
not decided yet
there's a couple things I could do
Im busy have i missed any news
Taa is playing through an injury atm
son probably out
arteta doing his usual
jota out
Aight cheers

arsenal v liverpool really is el hurtico
gonna be such a bad game
maybe I should sell mo
Tbf he’s been playing through it since he returned for iB, so slot seems to be managing him a bit more with early subs. He shouldn’t be a doubt for Arsenal
bradley himself is a doubt this week anyway
did ayy do saka to son
I disagree with that one james
No
Is benching gabriel for ran really dumb?
No
I have no faith in gabriel this game
Missing saka corners and he gotta beat vvd + konate for a header
if arsenal shithouse a 0-0
they totally might
He scored against pool?
yes
Making me doubt myself
saka might play
Doesnt really change anythign
ok I think I'm going to roll
figure ran's fixture isn't good enough to warrant the move this week
lest he get injured
Dibling gonna come on 
that bench is YIKES
frfr
very strong team, gl
Would be happier if we weren’t shitting our pants every week but yea

Alternatives for Saka ain’t strong
one final week of relying on konsa
gl gl boys
I went Taa+ Saka > Palmer and dalot
ended on this i think
that is a pretty aggressive team
Verbruggen semenyo mykolenko colwill all scoring points, confirmed
Yes sir
I didn't realise that today was deadline
good thing I made my moves this morning cos I was impatient
Hope many wood owners here
wood gng gng
I should've had Wood gw1 after hyping him day 1 of preseason.... But he's here now
Haaland should rest this game tbh
smooth man
im 5million
leave me alone man
🙏 😭
this game is so shit
comeback tho one gigahaul is all it takes
i forgot to join the league
poor ayy
I went to sleep thinking wood better not fuck me over
and I open my eyes to wood brace

are you nico in disguise lmaooo
morning wood? 👀

Yea but being outscored by the budget forwards
wood and sl in particular
So I’m spending the extra 1.5M TV i have over others on someone scoring less points
You also own haaland init
Yea
But yes that was always my conclusion
With solanke
Not worth 1.5m more than the 6m
Includes dcl init
got baited by the premium team
Hopefully Solanke gets at least some returns
unfortunately i have a bet builder with solanke to score so he will not be scoring this week
So pissed that I don't have wood
I actually do not know why I don't own him
Was talking all week about doing solanke to wood this week too
wood non owners 💔
wood over dcl in gw6 was like
massive swing
same with wood over muniz in gw2
this guy is inevitable
I hate that I never owned wood, but also I never considered him as an option. Just thought he’d get max 2 returns first 8 gws.
So can’t even be mad but yet here we are
Well played to Wood owners
Non wood owners like me 
What’s your rank?
yeah well played those who got him in
I got DCL over wood, skill issue
The funny thing is I bet DCL has higher xg since gw6
He does but much less pts
No clue anymore
Gw1 wood owner 
Gw6 wood owner 
He wasn't really blanking that hard just his finishing 
league updated?
dreams come true 🙏🙏🙏🙏
dreams can't be buy
low key don't want to sell wood if he's gonna be this consistent
it's looking pretty bad though
aww fpl stopped adding (!) to keeper assists, guess they're not as rare now
Joined it
top moment
He did not deserve that assist
dennis throwback
Should've been no assist
(yes, seriously!)

Lmao
Rogers with Rogers lol
But I think its likely I may start both of them regardless
today we cook
flekken cs
mbuemo brace
haaland hattrick
dcl goal
and im on the moon
no chance i'm starting wood in gw12, 14 or 15
united away in 15?
we know one of these isn't happening
but ofc rogers SOU
fine to start but should be 8th best attcker
need 3 million by today
smooth, if you ignore 2nd bottom
wow they even rotate in 22
3m
smooth i’m 100 pts ahead of u mf
DCL haul??
only been 8.1 weeks bro
I'm 75 points ahead of him in that case
8 weeks and im 5million
inshallah haaland tc
cba
gonna quit gw10 at this rate
don’t
fym dont
Your set and forget team will do better
DCL v Wood has been a brutal swing for those who picked DCL on Wildcard in GW6.
DCL has 5 points in 3 games since then, from a xG of 1.86.
Wood has 30 points in 4 games, from a xG of 1.34.
Extremely rough outcome 😢
sound like him
fuck urself
Bakar type tweet
bakar wrote this

they forgot dcl has the xShit factor
@lone glade btw i want you to do well
flekken, haaland, mbeumo haul pls
along with gvardiol, foden, welbeck
i have 7 players in 3pm
allow dcl
no
what is your actual team
just look in lemur
Thats me lol oof
Feel like quitting lol
Same can be said for Sels vs Raya
The point swing is 21 (4 games) vs 4 (3 games)
Went to join the league and noticed smooth is last in this too
only npcs choose sels so it's fine
pickford was the wc6 pick tho
especially raya gw6 drama
Funds were tight tbf for pickford
Wc6 was the npc wc
also that
Right or wrong it felt like a lot of people just saw IB and fixture swing and decided to wc in advance regardless of how well their team looked
I went Raya and picked Sels
When Raya was fine I changed it back to him 
I still thought sels might lose his spot 
I dropped him on WC6 instead 
The correct WC6 pick was Cold Palmer
what rank now
Like before GW, or live rank
now
63k, did;
Son -> Foden
Havertz -> Jackson
haaland hatty and ur cooked
Yh I am
But I also got 950k rank boost with no haaland
wtf
haaland hat trick is -950k rank loss, we chill
more like 350k probs if i wasn't memeing
ngl i didn't consider tc for a second
why are people tc'ing vs soton
yh same
but not ipswich?
Smooth TCing is just slapping tape on a huge hole
what's the difference apart from he's probably due for less minutes lol
southampton is worse than ipswich
stats wise it's like 0.02 better
They are not gonna play defensively are they?
He’s just like 170% EO
not saying he won't a hat trick cos he will
When his fixtures get worse🥶
but 3 wood benchings in a row
cunha in for dcl
and rogers plays in the bad fixtures anyway
cunha g
i'm buying cunha for welbeck
need wolves in 11
or haaland if i get salah/son
Honest worker
Nah what welbeck after 12 is so cold
I really see potential in Jackson against Newcastle and United
Coz they’re fucking wank
I doubled up on Jackson and Palmer
already matched last season;s total
Their fixs are crazyyy
tbh a good chance i take -8
Praying jp is back by 12
Yeah solid
-8 init
But then u will want saka again after 12
Probably atleast
nah i don't like their fixtures
as much as others
some fake greens in there
also don't know how long ode is out for
it is
GW13 ish I reckon
What I meant is if ur gonna get saka anyways gw 12 no point getting in son now and then again selling
But if ur not getting him it's a different story
nah
son for villa/ipswich/fulham at home
city away arguably ok for him too
4 gws is a long term
long time*
it's alright
Do we think Foden starts today?
Matheus Nunes performance was so good that he might earned himself in a starting position
Chris Wood on his form (2nd top non-penalty goal scorer since Nuno appointment) & his "knock" at the end of the match:
Wood injury
One bruisy night
Dude can actually speak tho not as brexit means brexit as I expected
Nothing serious he should be fine he said
I was too early to wissa
he scored for yoou
me too
same
i waivered in draft but someone took him
- i have welbz and wood anyway
Me 
Rutter returning in last 4 games, do you guys think he will get returns from Pool and City game 
No
Pool and City next, I think Brighton can just score in any games
I need DCL to redeem
I'm benching even if I keep
fair
will you sell him if he blanks again later? I am considering other options lol
Idek if i want salah
i really would keep
Might just get saka over salah
his next 2 are dogshit but
Pretty sure I do
Yes even tho he has SOU next
True but its 1xa per game
Wissa's fixture looks good idk if you can afford him
Wolves forward might be ok if you don't mind
Wood is so good just injury doubt for now
Woods gonna be fine tbh
I think its too late to get Wood for non wood owners I feel
3 out of next 4 are good
Rotates insanely with rogers
going for Cunha over Strand Larsen because he is on pens and better xG right?
Havent looked into it yet
ah okay, so not too late I guess?
I got Semenyo might be ok to play him after City game
This is the time to decide what premiums you want for the foreseeable
ah okay thanks 
maybe Salah/Palmer/Saka probably
If I can't afford Saka maybe Havertz is a shout
yeah true
Haaland/palmer/saka for me rn but it could all change
maybe Forest as well, they are looking good so far this season
Lmao u think haaland cant score v forest?
haaland can score against anyone
anything can happen but yeah, he can defo score
think it's more a captaincy thing, if you don't cap him is it worth it?
Its at the etihad
My main problem with haaland is getting him back
The only game i wont captain haaland in is 13
All the others are plausible
I think if Classic doesn't have Salah/Palmer then Haaland cap might be okay
Ill captain palmer in 12
I have palmer haaland foden rn, foden will become saka
11 is haaland
Yeah 11 is haaland
13 saka
10 is salah imo
Yeah salah does have some clear captaincy fix
But idk
2.6 more than salah
Its like 4.5 def salah or trent saka
I like son cap gw11
Yeah thats the best
U reckon? I think I might go salah
That’s why I got him last wk, and also the fix are good till 12
i think id go haaland but it's somewhat close
yeah it's close for sure
Yeah but seems like a lot riding on one fixture to me personally
I think probably Haaland, feel like Brighton will cause some issue for Pool
Perhaps
Point is i dont think salah is essential for cap, 12 isnt even clear, in which case I prefer saka
isn't 12 for Palmer?
think an arsenal triple up without saka is viable
Palmer vs lei, salah vs sou
50% eo for mbuemo is wild
What is it at 5m
like 30
That's higher than I would've thought
riding on 1 fix when he had whu, cry, avl, ips?
I am definitely not capping haaland next week
I currently have this
I love ran
I got so lucky with him
Never playing him.over gabriel
I played him over Gabriel because I have Raya I guess, to spread the risk
but Gabriel can score 
might be OG?
a mental konsa ran swing
Brighton collpased 
Lucked it out
That cunha goal fuck
Ran scored. Ahh well
welp now I won’t be able to afford him
hopefully they pull some bullshit and make Gvardiol 3 bonus by the time the GW ends 
why?
I’m definitely not selling wood for cunha
same welbeck to cunha with 0.1m spare or sell haaland in -8 move
deepends if son is fit
lots to think of
Wissa is a consideration too I guess
even the robot could go 
4 good games left
mbuemoo
boomo is a season hold
Really want to sell haaland
me toooo
Mbuemo was in my 1st pre season draft
If you're gonna drop haaland do you drop now or wait until around 12/13?
would you prefer Wood over him if you were to pick one
I kept mo so capping in 10 and 11
I would pick wood over him
and 12 too
ah true thanks! I am really thinking of replacing DCL (if he does nothing later)
I really want to do it
Now
Bournemouth/Brighton are decent teams
Pool away obv
Only scary one is spurs but salah has soton
when do you get Haaland back though?
I think classiic make a really good point, he can score against anyone so that's a risk
Save 3fts for gw13 to buy back if need to
by gw12 with no hits
tbh i'm not onboard for salah
jackson could be watkins
True but without being the most popular cap, it's not as scary
yeah agree
I won’t cap him from 10-13
I really like salah and son tbh
and already have mo
More than anything
it’s very obvious for me
Salah and Palmer probably?
Yes
Havertz might be ok if you can't afford Saka I feel
fpl app is so broken lol
it says I have no fts
all I know is haaland doesn’t have many easy cap games
is Rutter an option after 12? or just welbeck/pedro
Even mbeumo
Not for me
palace away 15 eh
everton home 18 is the next obvious one
i think you can rotate them
OK welbz gained 1 bonus back
15 looks tough
That's chill
Too far ahead
61 points tho good gw
But have 2 less players than avg
Although one is palmer
Porro gabriel palmer
hey i finally got into the sub 1m region
Silently hoping for palmer to make it for having 2 less players
I really like the no haaland team I made
Show
Might retire boys
^
Why
it still has like 2m itb
would probably be less with rises
I'd wait till 12/13 personally but it's worth selling now to salah also
I really like jackson
think the fact that I already have mo makes it a more obvious haaland sell
but I'll be onemium for 2 weeks 
Less?
might be worth waiting
You sell haaland for palmer, salah + saka/son surely
So u would sell solanke soon?
I need the wolves guys this week
Keep if you own
Yeah many people want to get rid
probably priced out
Wouldn't buy tho
My plan was solanke to strand larsen/cunha in gw12 maybe
I'm sick of the foden stuff especially I don't even know if he starts
More reason for me to sell
Couldn't even get 1 goal to farm 0.1m
Too late
Why?
Missing palace and soton at home
Yeah but i don’t think i’d sell solanke before 12
Missing 2 out of top 5 best fixtures in the calendar
Also true
Get welbeck/pedro then
Gw12
ips(h) is also a top fix
Do brighton have good fix coming up
They're decent
Selling solanke before villa and ipswich at home is bizzare tbh
Not amazing as I rate compared to others
I like welbeck
Already matched his goal tally for last few seasons
we up
unless havertz goes and I plan a long saka switch
hmmmmmm
Anyone had haaland tc?
man i wanna sell vardy but now hes got ipswich i cant sell him now
oh god a friend was gloating that he didn't have haaland
i wanna sell dcl
this run for us is gonna be brutal
even if he hauls
its ok smooth is below him
Understand Bukayo Saka completed, some, but NOT ALL, Arsenal training sessions this week, as they prepare to face Liverpool tomorrow afternoon. TBC tomorrow his role, if any, in the game.
haaland to cunha it is then
oh well
this was with dcl
tc's are for dgw's
rogers got some rough fixtures i gotta get an eighth attacker it seems
Man discovers variance.
tbh its crazy he didnt score a second goal
Although true, this is why you back dgwz
ye
Also made zero sense to back him.now over ipswich
variance cancels out over long periods of time
Everyone fully fit then, no minutes risk
I wouldn't sell mcneil before soton surely...
Tc was a definitely hivemind decision imo
but when it's him and haaland vs cunha and palmer
I avoided podcasts this week so didn't even consider
thoughts?
47 from 5 not bad
2
Palmer is just it
to be fair, james was telling people to not do it if they weren't 100% sure
Man utd could lose 4 goals
Ofc
idk what other pods you do
anyone considering palmer cap v united over haaland v bou
i've taken a 2 week punt on palmer, haul ability chance is the big reason
James got Clayton and suj for Ipswich tc but didn't do it himself either
Salah vs Brighton
Fuck I'm taking -8 I guess
Everyone has salah now? lol
Good gw to do it at least
i can do palmer to salah this week but seems very very sideways
Some people bought dcl for wissa after his injury
im begging for myko cs
yeahh glad I went wood
but that was mainly down to mcneil, no way was I doubling everton attack
Yes
actually ill just bring in wissa
triple brentford is tragic
no liverpool attack but you cant own everyone
feel bad for the flek/vald people
lowkey thankful wolves scored
but if you were wc4 or 6 then you probably knew that brentford fix were good enough to want 3
i wouldve tweaked out if i benched verbruggen cs two weeks in a row
It’s ballsy
i just got no liverpool attackers for their upcoming 3 games but i think i just gotta bite the bullet
depends if son is alive by next week tho
Ok so that’s DCL gone
ok now I kinda have to
yeah this haaland to palmer swoop is falling into place
I gotta do it
How’d you find that stat
Optimized squads for Fantasy Premier League -- everyday!
what do the numbers represent?
X axis is gws, y axis is difference to sample average
green line = expected points above the prime sample (top 1000 managers based on fpl finishes)
blue line = actual points
yes
Yes haha
all skill
predicts u to be 13 pts behind top 1k managers, you are 43pts ahead
so wait that means my current team is dogshit according to the models
i assume you had/have palmer
ye i had palmer for his 25
so that'd be a lot of it
so i assume you wildcarded in arsenal defenders and did not wildcard in palmer in gw6
yea
rough
Like how you used wc to try and fix things but it only made it worse
'good' is questionable
joking
but that is really rough
i cant wait for people to sell Haaland
so I can enjoy his haul more
Had a 400k red arrow last week you will climb back
I need son news
Son is prolly out no?
next week
Yh he’s fucking wank, just get rid of him at this point
yes but with palmer
Many are getting salah over haaland
but getting palmer out before pool
Jsl cunha Or raul id say
raul jimenez clear
cunha isn’t 2 week punt hes long term
cunha SOU juice
cunha is sooooo far clear of nunez lol
nah nunez is a good pick for wc12
there are at least 5 fwds I'd sooner have
Wood clear tbh
not many forwards id take over nunez BHA AVL atm
most important games coming up
warra jinx
Benching porro next gw
For who?
2 points feels like a haul
Ran, gvardiol, gabriel
why
meant why now lol
no one is dropping or rising
Because he is a fraud
as a palmer non owner I feel like I got away with it
could've had a hatty
but he's coming in next week at this rate
Sakaaaaa
red arrow 
Some people sold for son/foden
its meant to be easy to get greens down here
saka to palmer will probably be good in the long run
Solanke foden to saka cunha looks set for me then
o selling solanke
someone rmt am i mudded
1ft
can take a hit if needed
like 1.3
lmao
i celebrated saka > son
variance strikes again
for the 80th time this seasonb
u own gab
Leaning cunha for me
cunha is the best
u need ars cs gab goal
benched him mate
but because i think it's cunha, go raul
wood is keep if you have, avoid if you don't
I think variance broke wahful
the good fix are running out
Yeah agree just thought I'd group him in there
raul clear
cant wait for fpl optimised season review to come out
Going saka over salah then fs
annnnd there goes the clean
fine with me
I would have gab porro Lewis ran
and thb
which keeper to get
just keep mate
no way you're selling a keeper
keep flekken???
i want to retire
I alr did Pickford to Flek earlier this season

Then 1.4M ITB
nvm 3 ars
I alr have trip ars
like a chad
Thinking ali

When he’s back
Palmer to Saka
johnson to rice
i got a red at 5m
happens
roll or sell dcl
The triple spurs stinking it up
bench semenyo
but I’m selling Solanke this week
So he might score next week
Dk how you ended up with dcl
every other budget fwd scored
lmaooo
smooth i have no idea how you're getting out of that clusterfuck without a wc
Ings 2 ass wood haul cunha scored Wissa scored
sigh
Imay have no defense next week lol
how does it genuinely keep getting worse?
like how?
i've actually never seen anything like it
if gab is out for a long period I'm utter toast
nooooo Gabriel

