road to 200k messages

[slim bane]

Then it’ll be meh for quansah as well

[prime plinth]

Brentford with a potential of Toney and Mbeumo

[slim bane]

except Trent has the attacking threat

[prime plinth]

He's 4.5 vs other 4.5s

[cerulean cape]

https://youtu.be/gghp-RkSiRg?t=77 if i squinted my eyes there, i'd thought that's messi

[prime plinth]

Trent is 7m vs the best defence in the league with Gabriel

[slim bane]

Not like Arsenal have good fixtures either

I don’t get the rhetoric that TAA is only essential after gw4

[prime plinth]

Two home games and 1m cheaper is at least worth considering

[slim bane]

I thought by then he’d be like 7.2 maybe

Was listening to fpl wire and couldn’t believe what I was hearing

[cerulean cape]

pras logic was flawed

about wc4 too

[prime plinth]

I'm not completely off Trent. He's just not needed

[cerulean cape]

said wc4 means we can load up on pool/newcastle

but he has 1 pool and 2 new only?

[slim bane]

the other two trying their best to question him but he was dead set

yapped his way through the criticisms

[latent depot]

Gabriel/Saliba are getting 6/2/6/1/2 GW1-5. You're hoping for a headed goal or 3rd clean sheet, tho neither is impossible

[lavish parcel]

don't like wire

[cerulean cape]

they fucking love talking over each other

[prime plinth]

Wc4... Not a fan

[lavish parcel]

planet is always my go-to

and fml sometimes

[cerulean cape]

listen to both

but suj is just a yes man

so it's literally a james podcast

[prime plinth]

I'd probably just get rid gw2 or 4 for Gvardiol or Trent. I'd obviously have to see up my team a different way to allow that. Which is the main downside

[cerulean cape]

i listened to fml but that's more for entertainment than actual advice

[slim bane]

then why start with Gabriel

[prime plinth]

The positives of Trent is the downside should be minimal

[slim bane]

It’ll be gvardiol + 4 vs Gabriel

[prime plinth]

Even with some concerns on how good they can actually be for clean sheets

Especially in away fixtures

[slim bane]

normally I don’t listen to so many but

preseason pods hit different lol

[prime plinth]

A week to see where City are at ig would be the advantage

[cerulean cape]

i walk alot so need pods to kill time

[prime plinth]

And to see if Arsenal can continue the monster efforts defensively

It isn't close statistically

[latent depot]

Chelsea GW1 are a green fix

[prime plinth]

I disagree for defenders it isn't

Absolutely not

[latent depot]

Gvardiol clean sheet % is better than most teams with green fix

[lavish parcel]

going off pool after the first 5 probably

[cedar hull]

Maresca ball

[lavish parcel]

unless jota is scoring a brace every game

[prime plinth]

Chelsea scored 77 goals. Great fixture

[prime plinth]

Away as well. Without Rodri

Possibly

[slim bane]

Arsenals inflated surely

51% lmao

[cerulean cape]

what's the discussion for though

[slim bane]

[cerulean cape]

we're choosing gvard over arsenal def for first 5?

[prime plinth]

Gvardiol with Chelsea away is a "green fixture"

[slim bane]

Starting with Gabriel to pivot to Gvardiol early on

With the 4 points considered I think it’s madness

[latent depot]

I've discussed this before, City defence is the closest thing to fixture proof there is

[cerulean cape]

i'm in a weird spot for gvard, i feel like i'm owning because i'm scared rather than i actually like him lol

[slim bane]

even if gvar blanks 1, if Gabriel only cleans then it’s all equal

[prime plinth]

I'm sorry but I'm trusting my own thoughts on this one. Chelsea will be a chance to win that game if Rodri and Foden are out

[cerulean cape]

but it's never pivot

[latent depot]

Ederson decline notwithstanding

[cerulean cape]

it's one or the other

[slim bane]

Arsenal defence?

[latent depot]

They've done it 1.5 seasons, City did it for 5 consecutive

[prime plinth]

Chelsea scored 4 goals against City at the bridge. Now they could play them without Rodri. That puts me off Gvardiol. I still like gw2-4 ofc

City are just not up to speed. Don't expect it to just click gw1 with the players out or first minutes back in with one of the top attacks of last season despite Chelsea's struggles

[latent depot]

no one's saying a clean sheet is the likeliest outcome, 27.5% bookies odds is what it is, City have better GW1-5 for cleans than Arsenal tho, don't think that's disputable

[prime plinth]

Yes Maresca adds an element of variability. There's just too much going on with City atm to launch into it

[slim bane]

messages are too long

split it up lads

[lavish parcel]

I am fairly settled with my new team

2m itb

[slim bane]

[lavish parcel]

Gordon to Foden as soon as Pep says Phil is a mature player

[latent depot]

0.1 interest by IB1

Howe conference when, tell me Gordon starts and I rest

[prime plinth]

The difference between Gvardiol or Gabriel over 8 gws is probably pretty close anyway. Both are slight rotation risks at some point

[lavish parcel]

I think I'm settled too

might change barco

Also found a way to put Saliba in

And Havertz

we bringing the sauce here (gw3 I'm fucked)

Trust the process

[prime plinth]

Btw I don't even have a 6m mid

Def*

[latent depot]

Saliba is luxury Raya don't @ me

[lavish parcel]

Muric clears

[slim bane]

My mids all 7.5 and below

[prime plinth]

Saka is just a luxury Eze

[oak furnace]

Salah is just a luxury diaz

[lavish parcel]

haaland is a luxury muniz

Wood*

[prime plinth]

Haaland is just a worse Solanke anyway

[slim bane]

Bruno is a luxury amad

[prime plinth]

Rashford is essential

[oak furnace]

Gordon is a luxury Murphy

[prime plinth]

That's the conclusion

[prime plinth]

The difference is. Gordon is good

I'm just kidding. Murphy is in good form

Finished last season well

[oak furnace]

Trent is a luxury quansah

I wish Robbo was either injured or fully fit
I reckon Liverpool left back is better than Trent with the price differential

[slim bane]

That he is

[prime plinth]

Idk if I want Trent. 2 moves to get to any of the relevant mids I want instead of 1. We'll see

[lavish parcel]

but yeah

think I'm 99.9% locked

two triple ups

on teams that face each other gw3

what could POSSIBLY go wrong??

[violet temple]

Spurs and newc?

[lavish parcel]

no forest and wolves

[prime plinth]

Munoz probably my only locked defender

Johnson as well ig

Mykolenko almost certainly.
Leaves 2 spots. 1 pool defender.
No idea for the other one

[latent depot]

Skipping to team reveal on 10-15min content creator videos having to watch 15sec ad and click skip on 5sec ad cos no adblock at work

[lavish parcel]

this video was made possible by nordvpn

[slim bane]

Bakars team

[lavish parcel]

not terrible

[latent depot]

Mid

[lavish parcel]

hate the armstrong pick though

and konsa

[latent depot]

All of the 5.5s are punts to some extent so I don't have a strong reaction to personal pref

[lavish parcel]

I think most of the popular 5.5 mids are better than armstrong

but 343 clears 352 atm

[latent depot]

Bakar has 0.5 itb and 🪵 is right there, or Muniz for longer term

[lavish parcel]

prefer muniz

[prime plinth]

Lame

[slim bane]

3 4.5 defs as well

with quansah

Arguably could free up 1M extra

To not go nkunku

[latent depot]

Content creator meta has been fixated on rotation to save FTs

[prime plinth]

I'll probably leave money itb tbh

Sacrifice short term for the flexibility long term

[slim bane]

We’ll see how it plays out ig

[latent depot]

Not picking triple Pool is a skill issue tho

Andy LTFPL just has Trent, so he actually has 0 Pool cos everyone relevant has Trent

[slim bane]

Time to compare teams vs mine to see where my shortfalls are

[latent depot]

If you haven't changed anything, the clue is Saliba

[prime plinth]

Tbf there's enough uncertainty to understand caution on Liverpool

Nothing is guaranteed

[latent depot]

If you look at their squad, the prices, and their fixtures and don't come to the conclusion that triple Liverpool is necessary, I don't know what to tell you

[prime plinth]

I have Salah. I just don't like to claim that something is 100% correct

[cerulean cape]

sorry for posting focal stuff

robinson 43$% lol

[lavish parcel]

pedro lol

his script must've

broken

[slim bane]

damn

I’m a casual

[latent depot]

I told you the clue was Saliba

[slim bane]

Pedro porro

[slim bane]

A lot of ccs keep saying

Arsenal defence might be underrated

haven’t seen anyone go with them much

and admit we have good opening fixtures

but no one picking them

[latent depot]

The optionality of Calafiori tho, he could be him by GW6

[slim bane]

no points for looking sexy

[latent depot]

Giroud got bps for that

[latent depot]

Oof my Def is basic. All of the top 5 except Porro, even have HB the other most owned 4.0

[slim bane]

I mean tbf there’s only that select group of defenders to pick from

[lavish parcel]

ankara messi ankara messi ankara messi golgolgolgolgol
the fantasy football show

[latent depot]

Reddit thinks the new Bournemouth CF is going to be 7.0

[slim bane]

reddit are stupid anyway

althooo they did price Solanke 7.5

Soooo

[oak furnace]

Why

[slim bane]

I think 6.5 is fair

[cerulean cape]

he's first choice upper bottom half

6.5m is my guess too

[latent depot]

Make it 6 you cowards

6.5 was the old benchmark. 6.0 seems like the new benchmark

🪵 was 6.5 several consecutive seasons at Burnley

Oh, Cunha is 6.5, ok you're right then 6.5

I presume the 0.5 is for certainty of starts

[prime plinth]

Robinson is the trap

[latent depot]

don't have to play him GW4 vs West Ham

Barco please

[prime plinth]

I don't trust them away so that's my concern

As decent as Ipswich could be. Fulham leak goals away

I get the pick though. Definitely some haul potential

[latent depot]

Kalvin Phillips is a solid pickup for Ipswich, they might win the Euros

Annoying that he's not 4.5

[cerulean cape]

Guess estu back in training rules barco out

[lavish parcel]

consider it locked

[oak furnace]

wait rly

eh only need him gw1 will work out something else for gw4 and 5 now

[slim bane]

I think I know why no ccs are shilling Murphy

low xmins lol

[violet temple]

What's it around like 60-70?

[slim bane]

but also maybe it doesn’t matter it’ll be longstaff who scores

[oak furnace]

Idk what to do about my bench now with Barco likely dead by gw4

Might just have to cop it

[fleet oracle]

I could definitely swap gab for a 4.5 and upgrade BDD, but i just have a feeling gab will score v wolves, and idk if i would be significantly improving my mid

[cerulean cape]

Why does everyone have triple Newcastle attack?

[lavish parcel]

because who tf else do you get

[fleet oracle]

I didn't and i hated murphy. ayylmao rmt thread once again has had a huge influence on my gw1 team

[cerulean cape]

Ayy is getting deleted if murphy flops

[lavish parcel]

Apparently Isak and Salah are the most capped players in focal's discord

Wonder what they are cooking

[fleet oracle]

thats believeable

[lavish parcel]

Do we have a poll for captain in this server?

[cerulean cape]

Literally in announcements

[lavish parcel]

Oh shit

I didn't get a ping

My bad

The margin is not close to what I thought

[prime plinth]

[cerulean cape]

Half was pussy out and cap haaland

[prime plinth]

Salah gw1 is never in doubt

[lavish parcel]

I don't have Salah, should I be worried?

[prime plinth]

Can't have everyone

[cerulean cape]

I mean you made the decision to have haaland so yes?

[prime plinth]

I have no Haaland. Which is accepting ceiling score potential gw2

[lavish parcel]

I have son+ havertz instead of Salah and wood

I am not confident with it ngl

[cerulean cape]

Then get salah

[slim bane]

I am not the original person who shilled for Murphy

[prime plinth]

I'll only go Son if he's the option I decide to have as a placeholder in that price bracket

[cerulean cape]

You're getting the blame

[slim bane]

ffs

but like I said

small EO on a worthy punt

will be good if he does well

if he doesn’t not the end of the world

[nova briar]

Long term Murphy isn’t a great pick

[slim bane]

others are having BBD ESR etc

[slim bane]

or rogers

[cerulean cape]

If murphy doesn't get 2 returns between gw1-3, this thread is done

[slim bane]

[prime plinth]

Murphy is too assist heavy

[nova briar]

Gremlin

[lavish parcel]

the fear with murphy is bein g stuck with him

[prime plinth]

For my liking

[slim bane]

no way

[cerulean cape]

??

[slim bane]

so many places to jump off

[cerulean cape]

Literally move to any 5.5m

[prime plinth]

If I want a punt I want goal threat

[lavish parcel]

Hopefully Arteta plays Havertz as a second striker with Jesus

Leverkusen game was so much better than Lyon

[slim bane]

That’s ESR or BBD then

[slim bane]

He won’t

[prime plinth]

I have no cheap mids

[lavish parcel]

Ffs

[slim bane]

maybe last 15 mins of a game to close it out

[prime plinth]

Esr is too much of a minutes risk

[lavish parcel]

fortunately murphy is probably too low owned to get a price fall

[prime plinth]

Don't trust Fulham because of a couple preseason games

[oak furnace]

Price rise after a haul in gw1

[slim bane]

.3M in GW1

.3M in GW2

sell for .3M profit before spurs

let’s fookin go

[lavish parcel]

Bro is planning for retirement alr

[slim bane]

won’t be surprised if he’s benched

when the lineups come out I DO NOT want to see it

[lavish parcel]

Barnes need to be benched

[prime plinth]

Barnes will haul regardless

He's such a goal off bench merchant

[cerulean cape]

I did realise just now salah+havertz = Murphy + haaland

[slim bane]

I have 3 of them

[prime plinth]

No City till gw7

On Greaves over Johnson

Not that it really matters

[cerulean cape]

Greaves benched at the weekend, but he'll come in after conceding 10 vs pool/city

[oak furnace]

I'm still looking at porro Solanke to Watkins 4.0 defender

But with barco likely missing gw4/5 it muds the plan a little

[prime plinth]

Doubt they spent good money to bench him

[cerulean cape]

Agreed but him being benched at the weekend was fact

[prime plinth]

Has set piece threat. Imagine a goal on the bench while Trent blanks

[fleet oracle]

Who is greaves?

[oak furnace]

Keanu greaves

[prime plinth]

Ipswich cb signing. Had a good season for Hull City

[oak furnace]

Greaves is 4.0

[prime plinth]

6'3 I think

[oak furnace]

Porro Solanke to Watkins greaves/johnson feels nice

[prime plinth]

Ipswich were really good in the championship for set piece plays statistically

[oak furnace]

Just tank defence scores

Honestly Trent Robinson triple 4.0

[slim bane]

[latent depot]

just waiting for Howe presser then waiting for Friday cos my squad is locked then waiting for my players to actually play Saturday

[prime plinth]

Could be something to watch with Leif Davis on set pieces

[slim bane]

[cerulean cape]

Greaves is new Harry mags

[prime plinth]

We'll see if I fomo back into Trent

[latent depot]

There's always F1 free practice tomorrow

Fomo is not the reason. Trent is just a great asset

[oak furnace]

Gw3 porro Solanke to greaves Watkins leaving the team looking like this
Who says no (saka could be son)

[latent depot]

My stance on Isak is that if you don't have him, then we have irreconcilable differences in our understanding of the game. It wasn't many seasons ago that I said the same for Trent. He's not as good an asset as he was back then, but he's still great

[cerulean cape]

Porro/solanke outscore gw1-2

[oak furnace]

Read what I said

I'm saying this is what the team looks like in gw3

[cerulean cape]

Yea but how does gw4 team look like

Who would you want gw4

[oak furnace]

Murphy to minteh

[cerulean cape]

Think from there

[prime plinth]

Main concern with Trent is just the Liverpool back 4 and midfield question marks. Only 75 mins in preseason. One assist from a ridiculous goal is nice confirmation bias but we'll see. 3 key passes is nice

[cedar hull]

4 seasons of trent > preseason

[prime plinth]

New manager and Trent's mediocre value last season with 3 goals and 5 assists included. Bps changes. There's reasons to have some doubts. Fixtures make it hard to not take a chance on him for what he's capable of

[cerulean cape]

Man utd fans are funny

https://x.com/BenDinnery/status/1824074426175930846?t=m9Ij-Pok5TMG9DGptu0c_w&s=19

Ben Dinnery (@BenDinnery) on X

#COYS #LCFC #FPL #GW1

Dominic Solanke 'should' be OK to face Leicester after picking up a toe injury while at Bournemouth.

'Thankfully, it's what we expected. He's a top pro and a good guy; he's settled into the dressing room really well. Football-wise, you can see he has all

Twitter · Aug 15, 2024, 1:23 PM

[prime plinth]

Toe injury is crazy

[cerulean cape]

Conor mcgregor here

[prime plinth]

Should instead of yes... Dcl it is

[cedar hull]

Yes thats why he got a price drop, theres reasons to have doubts, but the pros clearly outweigh the cons

[cerulean cape]

Barco 22% owned now, thibk that's an avoid now

[cedar hull]

Ffs

Might firm it still

[fleet oracle]

22% is rough

hopefully in a lot of set and forget teams

[cerulean cape]

Estu training already sucks

Will be fit from gw4 for sure

[fleet oracle]

really? rip

[oak furnace]

What if he gets injured again by then

I just feel like barco is the pick

At worst he loses 0.1 mill and misses gw4

At best he rises 0.2 and plays gw4

[cedar hull]

Thats a lot of

[cerulean cape]

3.7m here we go

[oak furnace]

I only need him gw1 and then by gw4 I'm sure so much will have changed

[cerulean cape]

Fair ye

I'm not playing him gw1 so I can swap

[oak furnace]

Yeh I built my team around him playing gw1

I have Robinson after that

I can still change Robinson to hall but I prefer barco gw1 into Robinson gw2-5

Then gw3 I'm likely gonna get greaves or Johnson and field them

Gw 4 is barco thb or greaves

And gw5 is the same

[cerulean cape]

Do it then

[oak furnace]

Then that gets me to gw6 when I wildcard

[cerulean cape]

Barco for 1 gw and lose 0.2m 😉

[oak furnace]

If barco starts dropping I'll just cop it

Other option would be to just field Robinson the whole time or risk that nedeljkovic plays gw1

[cerulean cape]

Get gabriel for barco

Ez

[slim bane]

so many teams with porro

[latent depot]

Well if they can't keep a clean sheet vs Leicester...

Quite funny that the bookies only have them at 35%

[oak furnace]

If spurs don't keep a clean sheet in one of the first 2

Spurs were actually fine defensively at the start of last year

[latent depot]

I don't think I'm going to own Spurs defence all season

[oak furnace]

Ange just waits until the second season to cook

[fleet oracle]

how was his second season at celtic?

[violet temple]

New team thoughts?

[latent depot]

Gvardiol/6.0 Arsenal and 4.5/5.0 third seems to be the play from GW6, Spurs don't have a run of fix where I'd want Porro, and the other defenders are mid

[oak furnace]

4 clean sheets in the first 9

[latent depot]

Burnley and Sheffield United

[cerulean cape]

They played the bottom 7 + man utd arsenal

[slim bane]

yep thats my plan

[oak furnace]

They play Leicester and Everton first 2

If they can't get 1 from that idk what Ange is doing at the club

[latent depot]

I think Porro is fine for GW1-2, I even like the punt, but whenever I look at this I remember why I haven't really considered it

[oak furnace]

Spurs had insane defensive injuries last year

[latent depot]

So did Brentford

[cerulean cape]

Vicario sucked at corners

[oak furnace]

Idk I'm just high on ange

[cerulean cape]

And ange changed cms every game

[oak furnace]

I love Ange as a coach

[latent depot]

That might be the main reason that Ayy has double Arsenal CBs. If true, then I don't mind it (PS have you done Saliba to Gvardiol yet)

[latent depot]

Everyone likes Ange

[cerulean cape]

Hes gonna shag you at this rate

[slim bane]

lol i went over to another discord which uses review and EV etc.

[lavish parcel]

oh god

is that a yter's server or something

[latent depot]

Solid burn from lorcs about your defenders

[slim bane]

fpl analytics

kaki's inside

this is somewhat close to their "template" team, but obv not minteh cap

[latent depot]

Why did Kaki leave, I wasn't here

[slim bane]

fought with shag and got pissy

as of 24h ago (should've changed by then)

[latent depot]

What's there to fight about. Shag has bad takes, but so does half the chat

[slim bane]

but essentially i see they use fplreview

[lavish parcel]

lmao

[slim bane]

and solvers

and they just follow the solvers

lmaoo

so basically everyone is somewhat copying each other

[lavish parcel]

this is like almost an entire fucking XI

[latent depot]

Eze must be 100% owned there

[cerulean cape]

Kaki deleted everything before he left, leagues etc..

[slim bane]

looks like it lol

[lavish parcel]

wait it's 10 players

lmao

[latent depot]

Well that's just salty af

[lavish parcel]

so room for one more 5.5 def

[latent depot]

Ask duckduckgo

[lavish parcel]

switched to ddg last year

no regrets

[slim bane]

lol

[slim bane]

i dont think 5.5 def

[lavish parcel]

did I math wrong

[slim bane]

they are firm believers of a strong bench

[lavish parcel]

oh I see

[slim bane]

because apparently transfers have value to them now

[latent depot]

Average FPL discord user

[lavish parcel]

that's not too surprising

[cerulean cape]

The idea is not use fts at all

So bench means no fts used

[lavish parcel]

is there a hard-coded value or is it just like

what is it, expected point difference over the next few weeks

perhaps with some discounting factor

[cerulean cape]

The changes makes fpl more boring, my next fpl move after tomorrow is mid September now

[latent depot]

Reasonable assertion that they've prob echo chambered into religion

[cerulean cape]

Considering I have a mathematical and statistical background, why am I not team analytics

[cedar hull]

Cos you dont use the same solver that everyone else uses

[latent depot]

Well if you've done it at uni level you'll see that FPL quick maffs is really pretty shoddy

[slim bane]

he later admitted its still WIP but this is a rough draft

(e.g. there should not be a double step in GW3)

[latent depot]

What's France got to do with anything

[lavish parcel]

same tbh

I've literally coded a solver

and with the things I've studied I could probably make something big

[latent depot]

That said, VAPM is "good enough" and "fit for purpose"

[lavish parcel]

the space is pretty saturated though

sertalp and the like

and like, I don't really care about the fpl community that much

[latent depot]

Return on effort isn't there

People want certainties

They need to unlock GW2 Fantasy Challenge

That's all I have to do Friday night after deadline, except hope for 1-1 with 2 own goals

[cerulean cape]

ye degree in mathematics wuth about 50% in stats modules

[slim bane]

i failed my stats mod the first time so

[cerulean cape]

wrote about football statistical models for my dissertation

[cerulean cape]

my stats modules were all like 25% higher than the real maths onmes

https://x.com/LetsTalk_FPL/status/1824027251924742530

Andy (@LetsTalk_FPL) on X

The top owned players in each position in the Twitter template:

Henderson - 49%
Barco - 78%
Eze - 64%
Isak - 97%

Will release the top 10 later today.

Thanks to @sertalpbilal for collecting the data - give him a follow 💪

Twitter · Aug 15, 2024, 10:16 AM

[latent depot]

Eze

[slim bane]

echo chamber innit

[lavish parcel]

interesting

was this before or after xG was mainstream?

[latent depot]

Echo chamber with AI confirmation bias

[cerulean cape]

2013

before

[lavish parcel]

me too

happens to all of us

took me a while to get good at probability

it's quite wacky

the first time

[slim bane]

mine was the likelihood function and stuff

hated it lol esp the calculus stuff

[latent depot]

I've forgotten pretty much everything I learned at uni on maths/stats. I did economics and work for one of the largest global investment banks, take comfort or despair if you like at that thought

[lone glade]

[split grove]

Which bank?

[latent depot]

Not doxing myself does it matter?

[lavish parcel]

Might have him as set and forget def from 6-19 gws

If there isn't any injuries

But I can see Son or Solanke get all the bps

[slim bane]

mfw fplcord united looks like its been invaded by analytics

[lone glade]

analcord

[earnest torrent]

its not too late to pull the cord to reset you know

[thin jasper]

fplcord utd is actually mudded why are we playing 4-5-3

do they know we can only start 11 players

[lone glade]

the people are trolling

[latent depot]

Hivemind starting Barco GW2?

[slim bane]

sold him now

for quansah

we are wilding

[latent depot]

Triple Pool tho, low key better than content creators. Merseyside rotation actually works

[slim bane]

wtf are these teams from analcord

[latent depot]

Gabriel/Dunk rotation

[cedar hull]

Whats the point of them managing the team if all theyre doing is following the solver

[cerulean cape]

There isn't (in our eyes)

[slim bane]

they get joy if they (the computer) solves it ig

[cerulean cape]

Do they all have own models

Their own

That makes more sense

[slim bane]

they can tweak the xMins on fplreview

ban players from showing up

different depth in terms of GWs

etc.

some also code solvers ig but i think majority just use review

[lavish parcel]

that's no fun

[cerulean cape]

Cba

Poker uses solvers now but that makes sense since you make money from it and help for the future

This is dead

[latent depot]

How much is the Patreon sub? I paid for Review for one season, as much to support the creator as anything else. Didn't use it enough to justify the purchase, and that was when it was £20 (I think) for the year. Made slightly more sense than the free model, but no revelations

[slim bane]

idk

I just crashed the server to see what’s it about

[latent depot]

Well minimum subscriptions are typically like £3+VAT per month, right? 10 months is £36

[slim bane]

idk I don’t subscribe to stuff usually lol

only just got Spotify premium two months back for work

rawdogging life

[latent depot]

Selling it as £3+VAT/month is a good way to hide the true cost. Will definitely attract a crowd that can't do maffs

[cerulean cape]

Huge difference in a lump sum of £36 and paying £3 per month

Mentally that is

[latent depot]

Everyone doing a subscription model nowadays, Microsoft wonder how many subs Bakar has

Just having 1 will cover his broadband

[slim bane]

Bakar is in analcord too

[latent depot]

Makes sense. A server of people willing to already pay a subscription for FPL information is a self-selecting group of marks

[cerulean cape]

I used to get people to sub to me when I streamed on twitch in 2014

[latent depot]

Did you feel the pressure of viewer expectation?

[cerulean cape]

None

I did speedruns so enough pressure there itself

[latent depot]

Which game?

[cerulean cape]

Sm64

Then branched out to pokemon

[latent depot]

Brutal, too much competition in both

[cerulean cape]

I was early

Was 3rd in gold/silver LB

[latent depot]

The subculture is interesting to me, I've watched some of them on YT at 1.5x

[cerulean cape]

They're fun to do and watch

Novelty ran off now

[cedar pine]

Left debating sticking with Diaz+Jota now or getting Wood in to upgrade defence back to White+Munoz with Robinson as the 4th

[serene wharf]

s

[cerulean cape]

own 12 of these

if you get wood, it's my team

basically

[cedar pine]

lmao

cant avoid the echo chamber

i was thinking i was being a bit spicy here fitting 3x7.5m + saka

[cerulean cape]

lumley is paulsen in real team

best 4.0m gk

never dropping baby

saliba might be gabs

[cedar pine]

ye okay so if i were to swap i'd be on a slightly better bench and White + Munoz over Saliba + Gvardiol

rest identical

[cerulean cape]

same concept

[oak furnace]

Wait can he actually never drop?

[cerulean cape]

nope

he's not in the game anymore

[oak furnace]

OMG he actually got removed

I don't have him rip

[cerulean cape]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ugl2sWfArx4

[latent depot]

first 2 are fine, 3rd dude should commit to a WC GW and optimise, 4th is Everton fan with no Liverpool so it's just vibes

don't love WC4 tho cos you still want Liverpool assets after, get rid of Arsenal, but still need to FT them back in GW6

[cerulean cape]

think 3rd team is doing that

wait ignore me

pigott#s team most similar to ours

[zenith jolt]

what premium are we on in here lads

[latent depot]

yes, it's fine for his plan and I looked at WC4 briefly, but my first instinct was WC6 and I think it's clear

but my bias may be showing, I've looked at WC6 a lot more than WC4

the fix swings are just so clear

[zenith jolt]

https://tenor.com/view/wall-talking-talking-to-self-alone-lonely-gif-5869985

[cerulean cape]

only cos you don't care about watkins gw4

and eze to smaller extent

[latent depot]

you just reminded me he existed. haven't thought about Watkins at all for a few days

in the context of my plans, I mean

fair play to FPL Mate, his bench is only 5.0/4.0/4.0, too many CCs with both attack and defensive rotations

[cerulean cape]

he's less on the stats

but he's also bit of a twat

it evens out

you should do a rmt stint later mcgrrr

just did my bit

[latent depot]

na, I don't like imposing my biases on other people

I present the information, but I want people to make their own decisions

not going to spoon feed anyone

[oak furnace]

I'm hoping Watkins doesn't turn out to be an option

But he probably will

[latent depot]

even if he does, how bad can it be? we seem to have the most assets with 200 point potential than ever

[cedar pine]

"You can either choose option A or option B"

"which is best option??"

[cerulean cape]

a pod actually gave me good info earlier

[cedar pine]

[cerulean cape]

champs league changes mean that they need to win 5/6 games to gurantee progression

as oppose to 4

so first team will play CL for longer

[latent depot]

GW4, UCL1, GW5, GW6, UCL2, GW7, GW8, UCL3, GW9

re: your Watkins on WC4

[cerulean cape]

fine

he played a lot last year in cups

didn't do any harm

[latent depot]

a lot of mileage in those legs tho

[cerulean cape]

not worried at all

[oak furnace]

So between gw3 and 5 all he has is 1 UCL game

On wc6 I'm likely dropping Watkins

[cedar pine]

yea if theres 1 player i wouldnt be worried about its watkins

[oak furnace]

Which sucks because gw6 is Ipswich lol

[cedar pine]

at worst he gets subbed at 70 in a game

[oak furnace]

I only just realised villa gw6 fixture

[cerulean cape]

gw3 bad week to use ft before IB

gw4 i'm on it

[oak furnace]

When are you wildcarding tho

[cerulean cape]

4 or 6

6 likely

[oak furnace]

I'm planning everything around that gw6 wildcard and hoping my thoughts go right

[cedar pine]

think 4 is real bad

transfer window just closed

[oak furnace]

4 is good cos it's first international break

[cedar pine]

havent seen anyone signed late in the window play

[oak furnace]

But I also think international break is overrated

Usually you get less price changes than usual

[cerulean cape]

it's not

its more so about injuries

than price changes lol

[oak furnace]

True

[cerulean cape]

wc4 lets you get some players early

that's about it

[oak furnace]

Who do you get early?

Villa players

[cerulean cape]

villa

foden

eze

jumps off newcastle earlier

[oak furnace]

Newcastle have wolves in gw4

[cerulean cape]

jump off arsenal

away less interested

[oak furnace]

True

The main thing gw4 wildcard allows you to do is start Arsenal players

[cerulean cape]

let's be honest, if newcastle shit the bed we will use wc4 lol

[latent depot]

WC6 is focused on getting rid of the 3rd best team + 4th best attack in the league, to bring in 6x top 2 teams, that's the fundamental appeal to me

[oak furnace]

Because you wildcard them out in gw4

Do city not play Newcastle gw6?

[latent depot]

yeah, but City are City

[oak furnace]

Right so just cop that match?

[latent depot]

it's not vs Arsenal and it's not at Anfield, so it's fine

[oak furnace]

They probably still score anyway

Ok so I've been overrating that game

[latent depot]

also the bigger selling point is of course 3x Arsenal for their GW6

[oak furnace]

Yeh I agree

Are we keeping any pool assets?

I get like if jota is still playing striker he's a keeper

[latent depot]

I'm not, unless Quansah is still starting

[oak furnace]

Will be nice if konate gets used for ucl

Wait did we even qualify for ucl

We did

[cerulean cape]

i went into rmt and got mad

someone take over

[oak furnace]

I can't go into rmt I look at teams and try to make them my team

I have to avoid until after gw1

[frank mulch]

Which 3

Double def?

[latent depot]

6.0 def, Calafiori might be him, Saka prob, LW if he emerges, Havertz if not, not ruling out double def

[oak furnace]

Imo it's calafiori (if nailed by then) Gabriel (if still good expected mins) and havertz (if he's in form)

I think saka can be avoided because Foden should be there

[cerulean cape]

hope fpl doesn't show you the fpl challenge every fucking time you try to save the team

[oak furnace]

Enjoy

I can't believe mac is more owned than szobo

[prime plinth]

Salah only 35%. We like that

[prime plinth]

Mbeumo

[cerulean cape]

just realised that taa+saka = quansah + salah 🤔

[latent depot]

current thinking is Saka/Havertz/6.0 Def + Haaland/Foden/Gvardiol + Mbeumo/4.5 Def + Everton GKs + Harwood-Bellis (cover GW8 for Brentford) is 11 picks, 4 TBC (prob 6.0 For + Semenyo + 5.5 Mid + 4.0 Def)

[oak furnace]

yeh maybe that works better for an idea this far out

spurs run is might be overrated

[cerulean cape]

cba making wc6 team lol

[latent depot]

3 tricky away fix, yeah, stronger West Ham

[oak furnace]

depends on how spurs look in the first 5

[cerulean cape]

just get spurs with fts

gw8

[latent depot]

this is the 4.5 Brentford + Harwood-Bellis GW8 (and maybe GW10) rotation btw

[cerulean cape]

should have 3 fts in gw8

soton will be also be bottom by gw5

(they won't)

but bad enough to vom everytime you want to play their defender

[oak furnace]

you only need em gw8

[latent depot]

just 1 fix tho vs the worst team in the league, what could go wrong

actually, Johnson gives you this

apparently Rico Henry is injured again, this was heavily dependent on Brentford being healthy and returning to 22/23 defensive form

[lavish parcel]

Any news on KDB?

He should start gw1 right?

Along with Bilva?

[oak furnace]

look at southampton and brighton rotation from gw6 also

more for attackers

where did you get that image from

[latent depot]

FFScout, it's the only feature worth the subscription. has fdr split by overall/attack/defence

I have a direct debit set up that I didn't realise until last summer, too lazy to cancel. you pay whatever you paid when you first subscribed, so wouldn't be able to get it again for the £15 that I pay if I were to cancel

looks ok for a 5.5 rotation I guess? would punt on Semenyo GW6-7 tho

but I doubt that I'd want a Soton attacker

[oak furnace]

im thinking BBD if he looks good or armstrong

[latent depot]

honestly, forget Brentford defence, their attack is better for their fix

[oak furnace]

JP/BBD or minteh/Armstrong

[latent depot]

just double up on Wissa or Carvalho

[oak furnace]

that would be a triple up with mbeumo too

[latent depot]

I meant double up of Mbeumo with either Wissa or Carvalho

[oak furnace]

tbh i think you can use carvalho as just a first bench player

[latent depot]

that too, so triple up it is

Brentford attack was decent

just a huge gap after the top 7

[oak furnace]

looks nice

[latent depot]

that has 0.5 to spare for a 4.5/4.5 defensive rotation

[oak furnace]

yeh idk who at this stage

just put in the 4.0s to show theres 1 mill left over

[latent depot]

well like I said, if Quansah is still starting...

[oak furnace]

we might get lucky with city and theres another defender over gvardiol

[latent depot]

Rico Lewis

save Walker for UCL

[oak furnace]

i think its just mykolenko if everton defence look strong

[latent depot]

if either Barco or that 4.0 Wolves fella is starting, you have this for a 4.5/4.5/4.0 rotation for 1 spot

[oak furnace]

this run for everton is nice

NikoXMcGrr GW6 wildcard draft

[slim bane]

I think mostly Salah

except for me

[latent depot]

yeah merseyside 4.5 rotation is actually perfect home rotation

[slim bane]

But then I just saw jazzys team

Haaland as well

[slim bane]

I like that too

I just go in to say

Decent team

good structure

if they ask x or y

I say

Up to you

ur call

[oak furnace]

whats crazy is with this team i will likely only have 2 of the players in gw5 (haaland and harwood bellis)

[slim bane]

No spurs?

[oak furnace]

thats why gw6 is such a good time to wildcard

[latent depot]

the Quansah/Mykolenko/Barco dream rotation until FH34 WC35 BB36

[slim bane]

Not far off my draft

[oak furnace]

united brighton palace away

[slim bane]

Spurs are better than Brentford tho

[oak furnace]

spurs also cost more

[latent depot]

money all gone on City/Arsenal, unless double City defence over Foden (reasonable if 5.5 CB to avoid UCL rotation)

[oak furnace]

but yeh we can easily go son over saka and second arsenal defender over gvardiol

[slim bane]

Gabriel Saliba 4.0 v Cala Gvar Quansah

Saka Semenyo v Son 4.5

Solanke v Wissa

Those are the differences

[oak furnace]

is your 5.0 that is missing gonna be carvalho

[slim bane]

Yea

[cerulean cape]

What about haaland?

[slim bane]

I left it blank cos I was trying to search for any 5.0

Was on amad lol

then he moved

[slim bane]

nothing, I just thought people here shifted back to Salah

except me

[oak furnace]

where did amad go?

[slim bane]

but u on haaaland too

[slim bane]

I meant Carvalho lol

[oak furnace]

oh lol

[slim bane]

moved to Brent

[cerulean cape]

Salah+havertz vs Haaland+Murphy 🤔

I will stick on haaland lol

Gw2 points difference could legit be 30

Salah 2 vs haaland 17

[oak furnace]

its basically just semenyo and wissa vs carvalho and solanke

[cerulean cape]

So 4 and 34

[slim bane]

In terms of EO it makes sense ig

Not all who own Salah will captain GW1

EO wise it’s less damaging than in gw2

where everyone who owns Haaland will be capping him

[oak furnace]

ive just got both

i view salah as an eo pod

surprisingly ive been locked on my draft since bobb got injured

imagine liverpool was home to ipswich

would make everyones decision so different

[slim bane]

Yea but they aren’t

[oak furnace]

sadly not

give me this salah

[lavish parcel]

It's too late for Kadioglu to be added to FPL right?

[oak furnace]

diogo jota goal as well

[slim bane]

Did Diaz play

[oak furnace]

diaz wasnt at the club

mane blank

[slim bane]

[oak furnace]

salah has so many gw1 hauls

[zenith jolt]

solanke salah porro konsa vs haaland 5.5mid 4.5 rotation

[slim bane]

It’s just the 5M between Salah and Diaz/Jota goes a long way

and it used to be the 6M gap between Watkins and Haaland

but Watkins hasn’t had preseason

Haaland down to Watkins and Diaz up to Salah ain’t completely out of the possibility come gw3-4 but then the whole team would be mudded

[oak furnace]

for me its salah murphy vs son diaz (0.5)

which would be used on a defender

[slim bane]

would be decidedly far from this

[oak furnace]

yeh for u theres no point getting salah cos ur not wc6

[cerulean cape]

Planetfpl had the worst fucking viewers question today

[lavish parcel]

I heard yeah

[cerulean cape]

"I'm on a wc18 plan and need to know if it's worth having son or saka or book in a transfer gw6 to go son to saka?"

[zenith jolt]

Talk to me about murphy guys

[lavish parcel]

half of it wsa probing james' strategy

[zenith jolt]

I havent looked into him

[cerulean cape]

"I prefer saka from gw6"

[zenith jolt]

Does he start gw1,2?

[slim bane]

Yea

Probably

[lavish parcel]

murphy starts 1 and 2 but after that ...

good luck

[cerulean cape]

The rule changes is making people use 0 fts lol

[lavish parcel]

I like both Saka and Son from gw6

[zenith jolt]

move to mcginn/rogers ez

[cerulean cape]

Gw1-3 fine

New signing will be foreign and needs time anyway

Unless there's a rw in england

Madueke

[zenith jolt]

whats the situation with barnes

[cerulean cape]

Madueke gw3 poss

[zenith jolt]

does he not play rw

at all

[cerulean cape]

No

[lavish parcel]

newcastle are already good with homegrown players

[zenith jolt]

cool

[cerulean cape]

I mean he's just a ready rw

[frank mulch]

Who’s our favourite 4.0 def

[lavish parcel]

in theory barco but not really

[cerulean cape]

Harwood belis

[oak furnace]

barco if u can stomach a potential price drop

[zenith jolt]

barco walking 3.8 puts me off

[frank mulch]

I’ve binned him

[cerulean cape]

Gonna risk the 0.1m on barco

[zenith jolt]

ben johnson for me

[lavish parcel]

ipsich johnson

yeah

[cerulean cape]

Fixtures are ass

[frank mulch]

Not faes?

[oak furnace]

i just like the barco robinson thb rotation

[lavish parcel]

likely won't be using my 4.0s anyway

[frank mulch]

Gw5/7/8/9/10 are nice on paper

[zenith jolt]

hopefully i can get through two gws without using my 4.0

[fleet oracle]

Who are the fix swings for and against gw6? for arsenal city spurs? and against ppol and newc?

[cerulean cape]

Wc6 so irrel for me

[lavish parcel]

for west ham and brentford

[frank mulch]

Get him on wc6 😉

Just joking it’s a lei def

[zenith jolt]

yeah

[cerulean cape]

Okoli

[zenith jolt]

and fulham ded if that matters

[oak furnace]

matters for esr

im hoping esr or murphy can generate me some cash so i have a little bit of leighweigh

[fleet oracle]

Are utd fix good after gw6?

[oak furnace]

theyre never good

[fleet oracle]

rip

[lavish parcel]

spurs never have a good or bad run

the hard fix are just evenly spaced

which I imagine will put some people off their assets because it'll be difficult to see consistent good fix

or you just hold them for a really long time

[latent depot]

CBA search for comments by me mentioning Murphy

[lavish parcel]

as I may well do with porro

[oak furnace]

gw3/4 are close spaced which is nice

gw5 vs brentford is sad to miss but ah well

[latent depot]

Spurs will just routinely concede to midtable

[oak furnace]

yeh which is why we want their attackers

[latent depot]

Main chat is discussing Murphy again, someone change the subject to gatekeep

[cerulean cape]

I did my bit

[lavish parcel]

[cerulean cape]

Bruno is in a lot of drafts

Especially analytics

[lavish parcel]

yeah

[oak furnace]

bruno is underpriced for what he can do

[lavish parcel]

you could argue that the first 4 fix are good

[oak furnace]

first 2 seasons bruno

i miss that shit

[latent depot]

Of course he is, bro is top tier xGI merchant

[lavish parcel]

he was special

[oak furnace]

i had my best 2 finishes when bruno was good

[slim bane]

if Rashford was good

[latent depot]

To be fair, Bruno ended the season strongly

8.5 just seems an unnecessary price point

Just another case where FPL have to differentiate the players somehow, and they can only do it with linear pricing (but why no 8.0?) where I'm not convinced the 8.5s are necessarily better than the 7.5s, nevermind being worth 1.0 more

[oak furnace]

this run from bruno was nuts

gw25 and 37 were the only 1/2 pointers

[cedar hull]

https://x.com/AlonsoMateta/status/1824209872910491942?s=19

Alonso Mateta (@AlonsoMateta) on X

Nottingham Forest have contacted Arsenal over the terms of a possible deal for Eddie Nketiah.

Nottingham Forest are prepared to pay £25m to sign Eddie Nketiah this summer.

Twitter · Aug 15, 2024, 10:21 PM

🪵

[slim bane]

siu

[lavish parcel]

Haaland ownership really went 15%+ after the Chelsea game

Mf is owned by 49.5%

Rip to whoever doesn't own him

Forced to wc or few hits to get him in

@slim bane finally have a double up on Arsenal defence

Raya and Saliba

[slim bane]

take raya and Gabriel bruh

or up to you

[lavish parcel]

But Saliba is more nailed no?

[fleet oracle]

I really want gabriel for his 15 pointer gw1

[slim bane]

there’s timber

[lavish parcel]

Who's the best defender to own in terms of guaranteed to play gw1-11?

Saliba no?

Or White?

[zenith jolt]

I have joined Murphy gang

[slim bane]

probably it’s Saliba

[lavish parcel]

Trying to get my defence nailed so I don't have to look at it until gw12 wc

So I can use all my FTs towards attackers depending on form and fix

[slim bane]

Fair

probably want to get rid of TAA personally

I lock the Arsenal players , GKs, fodders and Haaland

[frank mulch]

Check liverant

[lavish parcel]

You don't have Salah?

[slim bane]

No

[lavish parcel]

Rip

[slim bane]

[lavish parcel]

Just hope he doesn't score all the goals for Liverpool in opening fix

[slim bane]

Hope he get one assist max

[lavish parcel]

Gonna be more than just that

You need Davis to play like Prime Maldini to stop Salah on the right

[slim bane]

he may not get the final touch

[lavish parcel]

the jota goal trent ass will hit

We all know it's gonna be Elliot assist and Salah goal

Then Penalty for Liverpool

[prime plinth]

Definitely have some concerns despite the amount of relatively decent home games

[prime plinth]

It is ok. Main concern is if they get any injuries they are absolutely screwed

[kind egret]

[kind egret]

have you guys got 4.0 GK suggesions

dont want to be diluted in case of a rout

[prime plinth]

There's never been a time I don't want Salah for this type of run of games. That's where I'm at

[lavish parcel]

mac steals the ball

he steps back...

OMG

[prime plinth]

No Haaland based on preseason Is obviously a risk. I just know that preseason has never been a good indicator and Salah still had 3 g/a in 4 with early subs

Might go Jota as well but I don't trust him to actually keep that spot long term

Another reason I'm avoiding Fulham is based on losing so many first team options. I get the picks though. Gw2-3 is against two promoted teams

[lavish parcel]

This is where I am stuck at

Son is my place holder for Foden

almost to 50%

[prime plinth]

Honestly idk if Foden has enough value 2-6 to use that transfer up. I get the ceiling potential though

[lavish parcel]

keep chatting

Foden will be on the bench vs Chelsea

Likely to come on if city are losing and if not, he will be well rested

Don't see a reason why he won't start vs Ipswich

[prime plinth]

Is he worth the transfer if they get Eze

Where does that leave his role

[lavish parcel]

Ain't no way Eze play GW2 if city get him

[prime plinth]

Ik

[slim bane]

left surely

[prime plinth]

It is still only one fixture

[lavish parcel]

Enough for a 15 pointer

Don't see pep bench Foden for Eze

Let's be real

[prime plinth]

I mean maybe but if you need that to happen for it to be a successful transfer. Is it actually worth it

[lavish parcel]

Why not

Son plays Everton and Foden plays Ispwich

[prime plinth]

Wc dependant

[lavish parcel]

I have no plans for wc

[prime plinth]

You don't want Son vs Everton at home? Once again, is that really a transfer worthy move

[lavish parcel]

To me it is

I am not taking a hit

Direct move

[prime plinth]

I consider every transfer a -4 to some degree

[lavish parcel]

Lmfao tf

[prime plinth]

You always need them

There's always going to be things that come up

That's why not going with Watkins from the jump isn't straightforward

[lavish parcel]

I don't know whats the logic

[prime plinth]

What happens to that transfer if Jota loses his place

Are you happy to keep Son or is that the only reason you have him?

[lavish parcel]

I want son vs lei

Then he can be my Foden

I don't see myself having son from gw2-4

[prime plinth]

That's all well and good but just be mindful of other things not working out

[lavish parcel]

Yeah well aware

Won't make that move until all the games are finished

Duh

[oak furnace]

I'd rather Saka gw1 into Foden than son tbh

[prime plinth]

What happens if Foden plays 60 gw2. Do you still want him over Son vs Everton at home

[oak furnace]

Saka vs wolves at home is an insane fixture

[lavish parcel]

I can't have 4 arsenal

[oak furnace]

Rip

Get off double Arsenal defence

[lavish parcel]

Raya and Saliba are my locked assets till my wc

[prime plinth]

I'm still undecided on keeper

Raya just has such a higher guarantee of clean sheets to other gks based on the numbers

Every other pick involves more variance and luck

[lavish parcel]

It's gonna be 2 or 6 for him

[prime plinth]

Ik seasons that Glasner hasn't kept many clean sheets for personal reasons or otherwise

[lavish parcel]

The difference was massive since he joined palace

In defence

[prime plinth]

And most keepers is 2 or 3

With the occasional 6 1/3 compared to 1/2

Close to 1/4 in most cases

[prime plinth]

It hasn't changed much actually

[oak furnace]

How many cs do we expect for Arsenal

[prime plinth]

They were already top 5 for xgc

The dropoff from the Raya to anyone apart from City is ridiculous

[lavish parcel]

They barely conceded at home games

[prime plinth]

Numbers would suggest Raya is the only reliable option for clean sheets

[lavish parcel]

I am not comparing palace vs Raya lol

[prime plinth]

It is only 1m difference

[lavish parcel]

I am comparing palace under Roy and the palace under Glasner

The difference is massive in defence

[prime plinth]

Raya points per match were only .2 less to Trent last season with 3 goals 5 assists mixed in

8 cs in 25 starts

Raya had 16 cs in 32 starts

[lavish parcel]

Idk where you are going with this but okay

[oak furnace]

There's a chance I get Raya in my gw6 wildcard