#the_ukraine_situation

1 messages · Page 34 of 1

stark inlet
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with those brittle chinese tires on

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jokes aside, russians picked a shitty moment weather wise to invade ukraine

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assuming they were aware of the overall condition of trucks/tanks/MREs/etc

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but hey, not the first time russian army turns out to be incompetent

buoyant sundial
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Wow. That’s, like, “Germany invades Russia during winter”

stark inlet
#

that VDV parody song is stuck in my head for good

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go google it, wont link it as its prob counted as a meme or sth

copper monolith
#

before the invasion actually happened, people speculated that russia was waiting for the ground to get more solid form the cold

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doesn't seem to be helping them much

clear pebble
#

Russia is like, legendary for the cold, how could they botch this up smh

copper monolith
#

just one of the things Putin wanted to recreate from the "glory days"

buoyant sundial
#

Just like that time when Germany tried to retake the Sudetenland

zinc talon
copper monolith
#

man

zinc talon
#

not that this could harm the reactor but still, what idiot would attack a nuclear plant?

split aurora
hushed magnet
#

true

clear pebble
#

Just waiting for him to combine them all to form a megazord or something

stark inlet
#

Turn two t-90s into a t-180

hollow hollow
#

seeing the burning husks of "best tank in the world" t-90s on that website i linked above brings me great joy

copper monolith
split aurora
scarlet crown
#

God that's gotta be the most prominent thing for any kind of tech

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It always wears down, no matter how many times you use it

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Or if you use it at all

copper monolith
#

man... (the guardian)

hushed magnet
#

man

solid adder
#

woman

scarlet crown
#

they're not even hiding it at this point

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If it's truly a peacekeeping operation, why would you need to jail protesters?

zinc talon
#

also twitters going to be blocked

grizzled steeple
#

"Fake news" where have i heard that before

buoyant sundial
icy ridge
buoyant sundial
#

“I can tweet but you fuckers can’t”

scarlet crown
split aurora
icy ridge
split aurora
#

theres gonna be an entire fucking armoured unit

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worth of vehicles

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stashed in ukranian barns

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by the time this war is over

stark inlet
grizzled steeple
#

Ukraine just invades russia in retaliation /s

split aurora
#

forza 7 is just tank racing in ukraine

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drifting a T-72

stark inlet
#

Armored vehicles dlc

viral junco
#

both the BBC and the main opposition paper in russia are to stop talking about the illegal invasion

grizzled steeple
stark inlet
#

I need my rank 999 t-90

grizzled steeple
#

Apparently there's a tank biathlon but thats something for another channel

viral junco
copper monolith
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there is hopew

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meanwhile in worldwide trends

grizzled steeple
#

Get fucked coke

viral junco
#

avoid these things

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and costa coffe

#

e

hushed magnet
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tap water 💪

proven steppe
viral junco
#

similar to them staying quiet about the genocide in china

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but then again they've been known for turning a blind eye to genocide

proven steppe
#

well im still gonna drink em... they taste good....

viral junco
proven steppe
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the only thing that i drink is coca-cola, sprite and fanta

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in these brands

viral junco
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there's always store bought brands

mild heart
#

Yeah honestly they pretty much use the same ingredients anyways

viral junco
#

also others such as 7 up, club orange

hushed magnet
#

also like, you can just drink water instead because you wont kill your body in the process

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and this could be a good opportunity to cut down on unhealthy shit like that, idk

proven steppe
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i have 3 litres of pepsi next to me, so i'm good 😅

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water is still the best

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our tap water is awesome

split aurora
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yknow boycotting brands that wont leave russia is very rich

proven steppe
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granted, i dont live in america where tap water is dogwater

split aurora
#

This stuff is starting to annoy me tbh

hushed magnet
#

flint?

split aurora
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flint michigan

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tldr for like 15years they had a shit load of lead in the water

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and caused countless people severe developmental and brain issues

hushed magnet
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also yeah, what would coca cola pulling out of russia even achieve?

split aurora
#

people boycotting brands that sell in russia, while being perfectly fine with brands that profited off the nazi's, or sell in saudi arabia

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that annoys me

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and yes im aware jim you're gonna repeat the comment on whataboutism, but that isn't what im tryna say

keen sorrel
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If you want to complain about colacola or complain about people complaining about cocacola there's a perfectly functional twitter hashtag you can use. Not here

nocturne osprey
hushed magnet
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i mean its fairly relevant no?

icy ridge
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What is happening, I come back to an argument about coke?

keen sorrel
#

No really no, the news that they aren't moving is relevant. People being unhappy about it or trying to drag unrelated events into it (which is still whataboutism) is not

copper monolith
split aurora
keen sorrel
#

Sorry you're not being clever by posting a tweet when I say the word

hushed magnet
keen sorrel
#

You're still detracting from the current situation by talking about how older ones are handled.

split aurora
#

I'm saying there should be a consistent way to respond to things

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if theres a fire in 2 apartment blocks, and the government commits $1mn to rebuilding the left tower, and ignores the right tower. It's not whataboutism to ask why they are ignoring the right tower

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it's trying to be consistent

icy ridge
#

People please, we should not be arguing about the Coke Boycott when there are more important things happening in Ukraine

keen sorrel
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That only makes sense when thinking forwards. If a past event was handled differently and that was is considered worse, changing that approach is called learning.

split aurora
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I mean I'm talking about current events, ones happening as we speak

hollow hollow
nocturne osprey
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not really

icy ridge
nocturne osprey
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if Putin manages to take Ukraine, he won't stop there

split aurora
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Anyway, I ain't tryna argue here, so I'll leave this here

keen sorrel
#

Well it is entirely possible the people who are acting due to this event now have their eyes opened to other ones. Of course neither of us have any way of knowing without asking that, so I'm not going to assume they don't.

hollow hollow
#

former ussr countries is not “the whole of europe”

copper monolith
#

he ain't gonna stop in Ukraine if he gets a W

solid adder
nocturne osprey
hollow hollow
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the thing is though, even if he can claim victory in some way, this entire war has objectively been a complete and utter failure for russia

viral junco
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does putin care? no

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so long as his tsarist fantasies are fulfilled

keen sorrel
#

It's barely started

hollow hollow
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kyiv could be taken today and the war would still be a failure. their economy is in the toilet, their people are demoralized, and their military is exposed as a paper tiger

copper monolith
#

great firewall of russia incoming

keen sorrel
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A failure by our standards sure. But we also want it to fail so its easier for us to reach that conclusion. Who knows what putin's definition of success is here

limber wagon
keen sorrel
grizzled steeple
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Has the foreign weapons aid arrived in Ukraine? Surely by now they have right?

copper monolith
#

yeah they've been constantly arriving

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having it public knowledge of when exactly that stuff gets delivered into Ukraine might harm that supply line

icy ridge
grizzled steeple
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True

stark inlet
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Oh fuck

icy ridge
#

Are they just gonna block the entirety of the internet?

silk iron
#

the dark web is more of a tool than anything

copper monolith
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steam blocking russia when

dull crane
#

Russia is going back to the dark ages except with tanks

grizzled steeple
#

Associated Press and BBC should be on all layers of the internet tbh

icy ridge
dull crane
#

before

copper monolith
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putin's got a wet dream of bringing back ussr but at this point he's a tsar

icy ridge
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Yup

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I wonder what the Romanov family is thinking atm

dull crane
#

Let’s bring back the Romanovs

icy ridge
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I haven't heard form them yet

dull crane
#

Or better yet

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True democracy

icy ridge
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I mean the Russian Orthodox Church would gladly support the return of the Romanovs haha

keen sorrel
dull crane
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Huh

split aurora
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so people see it and re-share it

grizzled steeple
#

Maybe its just a reminder?

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^

keen sorrel
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Well that worked so gg

zinc talon
copper monolith
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lmao

grizzled steeple
#

Hah

icy ridge
icy ridge
zinc talon
copper monolith
# icy ridge

TIL the imperial family still existed, but I'd expect it's not recognized by the government

icy ridge
copper monolith
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idk

solid adder
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that would make roscosmos v angy

copper monolith
#

Rogozin would go on a twitter tirade--- oh wait OMEGALUL

solid adder
split aurora
#

its very obvious to authorities where the recieving dishes are

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so you tune into that... enjoy many years in prison

grand pier
#

and then people start complaining about why they didnt rebuild both 5 years ago when they are doing it now

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people are capable of change and evolving their opinions

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so they should not be reprimanded for not caring about a thing in the past

copper monolith
grand pier
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and instead be commended for caring now

copper monolith
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and it's very unlikely Russia would allow shipments of Starlink kits now

grand pier
# split aurora

and i'm also not trying to argue, just informing anyone reading this channel

split aurora
#

ehhhh

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sure

grand pier
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any discussion i have in any public forum is never to argue directly with the other party, it's to allow anyone reading along with the discussion to be able to form their own opinions based on the points presented

leaden grove
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The thing is that there are indeed other issues in the world that need our attention, but I would argue that we need to talk about them after this crisis is over

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Consciously or not, we’re playing into Putin‘s hands

silk iron
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what's all this about?

copper monolith
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fun fact, the (man)child running Putin's space program is a neo-nazi

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Russian government do be projecting

silk iron
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name plz so i can look into it myself

solid adder
#

rogozin

copper monolith
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the tweet is by a twitter user named @ArtfulTakedown

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ain't gonna post it here cuz I don't want nazi symbolism in this server

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but holy fuck this man

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I am not even that surprised

solid adder
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me neither

leaden grove
silk iron
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why are we condemning whataboutism when there's plenty of slippery slope arguments ongoing all around us?

split aurora
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me and jim were discussing something, I decided to drop the matter since it's not the point of this channel and was getting us wildly off topic, and a few others are now putting in views

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but we should probably let it rest now

copper monolith
hushed magnet
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🇺🇦 🇺🇦 🇺🇦

copper monolith
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who would've fucking thonked

leaden grove
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Idk, Putin might decide to follow Dugin‘s playbook even further

copper monolith
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also thank u the guardian for the paywall warning

leaden grove
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Judging from Mariupol alone they’re not keeping their promises

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And considering how they lie on a daily basis it’s no surprise either

copper monolith
silk iron
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basically Russians holding the Ukrainian citizens under siege to ransom, denying them aid and then acting as 'benevolent saviours' once they're starving.

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they're literally starving resistance

split aurora
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man the amount of war crimes, mistreatment of civilians and downright cruelty from both sides is heartbreaking to watch

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humans can be fucking evil sometimes

silk iron
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it gets to the point where it's just depressing

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I pray some humanitarian corridor will somehow be arranged for when Kyiv is under siege

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but i doubt it

split aurora
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tbh im hoping they dont get kyiv under siege

hushed magnet
leaden grove
split aurora
#

they keep trying to surround it and getting driven off

leaden grove
split aurora
leaden grove
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Because it’s only a matter of time until that convoy gets up running again

split aurora
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they've lost ground today

silk iron
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Kyiv will almost certainly be put under siege whether it's within a week or within 2 months after occupying the rest of the country

leaden grove
#

Yeah, but those were limited incursions

split aurora
leaden grove
#

Because the commanders keep sending tiny units to the frontline

split aurora
#

that convoys been moving a mile a day

leaden grove
#

Mainly because they’re confined to the highways

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Well

split aurora
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while getting bombared with artillery, RPGs and drones

leaden grove
#

As far as I‘m aware they‘re sending reinforcements from Pskov and the east

split aurora
#

russia has 92% of its army that was on the border

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in the invasion

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russia is running out of army to send

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and the means to supply such army

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im cautiously optimistic

mighty tusk
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okay now this is getting wayy more fucked

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progressively

hushed magnet
#

now?

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this has been fucked for a while

leaden grove
silk iron
#

Russian forces from the south will cross the Dnieper take Odessa by naval invasion and will move on Kyiv from the south - but it'll likely be a month of two till then.

mighty tusk
#

look when you go for full on censorship it's getting extremely fucked

leaden grove
#

Or what‘s more likely, run out of missiles and start using bombs right away instead

split aurora
#

they're running out of missiles

mighty tusk
#

hi charlotte

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hi adrian

split aurora
#

gonna be honest, I can't see a clear route to victory for russia

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they seem to have exhausted all their cards

mighty tusk
#

russia has an issue here charlotte though that is why they can't give up

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they can't stop now because mo matter what

hushed magnet
mighty tusk
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the end of this war is condemnation from everyone

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so they need ukraine to have more legitimacy basically now

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they have to commit politically

solid adder
split aurora
#

"never giving up" doesnt mean you'll win

silk iron
# copper monolith

reading between the lines, Blinken is saying: "Ukraine is not going to win the conventional war, but Ukrainian forces may hold out in the West of Ukraine, and with good fortune and high resolve in the capital Kyiv as well". The war will likely take on a second phase in the long term with guerrilla fighting across the country.

hushed magnet
mighty tusk
#

(not that I want Russia to succeed, this is just my interpretation)

hushed magnet
#

russia doesnt want to give up

mighty tusk
#

but this is their perspective likely higher up

hushed magnet
#

but it cant go forever

mighty tusk
#

they have no choice at this point

hushed magnet
#

especially while the economy sinks, and the war stays expensive af

split aurora
#

it'll go until either ukraines defences fall, or russia internally falls

mighty tusk
#

they went too far, can't backpedal

split aurora
#

one side will crack first

mighty tusk
#

yep

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also uh, sorry about earlier charlotte

split aurora
#

and russia seems to be detiorating far, far faster then ukraine

split aurora
leaden grove
leaden grove
mighty tusk
#

russia has had a legitimacy problem for Putin for a while

mighty tusk
#

i assume this is Putin's desperacy play

split aurora
#

these are bombers opening up full loads

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lmao

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same as the arty

leaden grove
#

It wasn’t, hence the quotes

mighty tusk
#

he could play dictator when the economy in russia was increasing

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people would let him

split aurora
mighty tusk
#

but with that not happening, his legitimacy going down

split aurora
#

dont believe their propaganda

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too many people are buying it

leaden grove
mighty tusk
#

this also means that if russia loses this war

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Putin will absolutely be overthrown

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this is a desperacy play by him

split aurora
#

yep

mighty tusk
#

if he got ukraine easily he could extend his country's growth and regain legitimacy

leaden grove
#

Once again, there were excellent street interviews yesterday which kinda showed the divide between the young and old generation

split aurora
#

putin has no option but to keep pushing and hope for a miracle

mighty tusk
#

yep

silk iron
#

it's likely Putin would be overthrown if the invasion force completely flounders

split aurora
#

his army is melting in the field

mighty tusk
#

yep

split aurora
#

he's burning paratroopers

leaden grove
copper monolith
silk iron
#

but if he sues for peace with half hearted terms he'll hold on

split aurora
#

his convoys are being completely destroyed

mighty tusk
#

i wonder how long this will go on tbh

leaden grove
#

Could be weeks, could be months, could be years

mighty tusk
#

i dont see it longer than a month honestly adrian unless putin slows down his output

hushed magnet
#

yeah putin will not accept defeat, which is why russia keeps pushing for demands at whatever cost

tired ore
#

Idk where to put this but I feel it is appropriate here

silk iron
#

the main military invasion will last about a month i'd guess, cracking down on resistance probably years

mighty tusk
#

with donations ukraine essentially has infinite resources as long as the war is still relevant to the media

copper monolith
#

@solid adder@split aurorathe duality of man

mighty tusk
#

russia is

leaden grove
mighty tusk
#

limited

hushed magnet
split aurora
#

i only sent mine as a reply lmao

leaden grove
mighty tusk
#

perhaps yeah

leaden grove
#
  • don’t forget about just bombing the entire country
silk iron
#

that would break the 'special operations narrative'

copper monolith
#

I too am against a no-fly zone if that means NATO would need to shoot down Putin's planes, but am def for mass donation of fighter jets to Ukraine

silk iron
#

so Putin won't fully mobilise if he can avoid it

leaden grove
#

Because right now their goal seems to be an occupation

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But they might switch from that to full-on destruction

split aurora
#

this isn't 1914

leaden grove
#

And just raze everything to the ground

split aurora
#

"throw a million untrained men forward" isnt a military tactic

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and im tired of people saying it is

hushed magnet
#

was it charlotte that made the point about the amount of russia's losses so far compared to afghanistan?

leaden grove
mighty tusk
#

idk why but

mighty tusk
#

esp. over here

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we are taught "oh we used to be really dumb at warfare"

silk iron
#

generally untrained conscripts only fight 'somewhat' effectively when defending their homes

split aurora
mighty tusk
#

"they'd just throw soldiers at each other"

split aurora
#

and doesnt even scratch the surface

leaden grove
mighty tusk
#

do british people know how much our textbooks make fun of their army

tired scaffold
mighty tusk
#

like our textbooks say shit kinda basically like"

split aurora
#

how long are they gonna keep thinking everything is ok

mighty tusk
leaden grove
#

Charlotte, you have to realise that there is a core base of Putin supporters that is completely detached from reality

mighty tusk
#

that's what

hushed magnet
mighty tusk
#

our children are taught

tired scaffold
split aurora
#

russias propaganda is losing so hard

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they're resorting to extreme brutality

leaden grove
silk iron
#

when people are properly indoctrinated it's hard for them to accept the truth - they live in a world of denial

leaden grove
#

who use the internet and know where to get their information

split aurora
#

win over young people
martial law and extrajudicial punishments

split aurora
#

alright imma go this is..... unproductive

hushed magnet
#

just speak to my parents ffs

copper monolith
leaden grove
#

Or to my grandparents

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I know what Russians are like

hushed magnet
#

my parents aint even russian, or close at all

split aurora
#

I think people need to take a closer check, and reconsider how much american and russian propaganda about russia theyve subconciously taken in

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thats all

leaden grove
#

My grandparents are Russian though they lived in Ukraine for most of their live, and they closely followed state propaganda until very recently, and even then they‘re still wary of other media

silk iron
#

if you look at some of the new changes to the Russian education curriculum, you'll see their plans for preventing the next generation becoming corrupted with ideas of liberal democracy.

#

ill find a news source 1 sec

leaden grove
#

Yeah

hushed magnet
#

my parents are just QAnon lmao

mighty tusk
#

and im generally immune to my country's dumb shit

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ofc it's threatening but

leaden grove
#

Also yesterday they screened a video in all schools which "explained" the war

mighty tusk
#

i didnt think it'd be like this

haughty yew
#

Tomorrow, if it turns out to be true

mighty tusk
#

oh god

leaden grove
split aurora
mighty tusk
#

again

hushed magnet
#

free gifts

leaden grove
#

And talking about Russian propaganda

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This isn’t an isolated case

paper cedar
# stark inlet ayyup

I will literally just go to Ukraine to steal a TOR-M2 with a tractor so that I can become a millionaire

#

literally free money

copper monolith
#

I'm starting to worry we might not hear anything from Russia soon

stark inlet
#

theres a vid of a sky news journalist team getting ambushed by russians

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christ

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one of them got hit, their cameraman got hit twice

paper cedar
leaden grove
#

It‘s a new iron curtain

copper monolith
mighty tusk
#

ok

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im sorry but

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i cant believe that fucking twitter is where war is posted now lol

zinc talon
dull crane
#

I mean what else did you expect

leaden grove
#

Cf 2011 Arab spring

copper monolith
mighty tusk
#

the photo has a tweet

copper monolith
#

and ye Arab spring was helped by social media

dull crane
#

2014 invasion of Crimea

#

wait

#

nvm

copper monolith
#

o u mean with Zelenskyy?

zinc talon
mighty tusk
#

i know it's not the first

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.>

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it's just still jarring

dull crane
#

no Zelenskyy came in 2019

mighty tusk
#

the same place where i see pokemon gen wars there is an actual war being broadcasted play by play

copper monolith
#

not u celeestee

mighty tusk
#

historians are gonna have a field day

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lol

dull crane
#

Oh

leaden grove
mighty tusk
#

"when did x guy say that?

oh, twitter link"

cerulean canyon
#

I mean
It makes sense
Social media is used for a lottttt of stuff these days and it's the primary way people get information back and forth

#

I'd be more like "Jesus what is society coming to" if I saw this on Instagram

leaden grove
#

There is also stuff on Instagram

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And tiktok

icy ridge
cerulean canyon
#

Welp

leaden grove
#

I heard that one guy faked being in Ukraine which is an awful thing to do

fierce arch
#

CSTO

icy ridge
#

I feel like Pres has forgotten that closing skies would mean World War III

leaden grove
#

Belarus has openly refused to participate in Russia‘s invasion

cerulean canyon
#

I need someone to explain to me why closing the sky means world war 3

copper monolith
#

I still would highly disagree with a no-fly zone, IF that involves NATO shooting down Russian planes, which would start getting us involved with the demented tsar, and an actual WW3

cerulean canyon
#

People keep saying that

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And I don't see the correlation

fierce arch
#

well

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the entire point of a no fly zone

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is that you shoot down any plane that enters

leaden grove
#

Hear me out

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I‘m for a no-fly zone in western Ukraine

dull crane
#

Sleep: President Putin
Woke: Tsar Putin

cerulean canyon
leaden grove
#

Not necessarily

zinc talon
leaden grove
#

And in all seriousness, I don’t think this is about Ukraine alone

cerulean canyon
#

Agreed

split aurora
copper monolith
#

maybe it's easy for more western nations to say yes for a no-fly zone, but here in Lithuania, we have Russia's exclave to the left and Belarus to the right, and can get invaded from both sides, not to mention how both of those countries can invade the Suwalki gap

viral junco
#

NATO, if they dont get involved, have an obligation to the ukranian peoples to provide weapons to shoot down russian planes

leaden grove
#

^^^

cerulean canyon
#

^

split aurora
#

thats what they should do

cerulean canyon
#

I agree with this

fierce arch
#

what obligation

split aurora
#

Support nato in everyway that isnt an invasion

leaden grove
#

A moral obligation

copper monolith
#

yeah, send all the weapons and aircrafts to Ukraine

dull crane
#

No Fly Zone would just escalate this I’m afraid

split aurora
fierce arch
#

no?

split aurora
#

in return for ukraine handing over its nuclear weapons

#

in the 1990s

cerulean canyon
#

Link?

split aurora
#

2secs

cerulean canyon
#

Not that I dont believe you I just need to read it for myself ya know

#

Thank!

dull crane
#

I just hope that the Baltics have troops at their borders just in case

leaden grove
#

There’s nothing about protection here

fierce arch
#

send the treaty link

fierce arch
#

to this

cerulean canyon
#

Or

#

Like in a loose sense of the word

fierce arch
#

tbf

split aurora
fierce arch
#

nato is sending assistance

leaden grove
cerulean canyon
#

I need a link

split aurora
fierce arch
#

dend the link

#

adrian

split aurora
cerulean canyon
#

Ty, Charlotte

split aurora
#

Prior to 1991, Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union and had Soviet nuclear weapons in its territory.
On December 1, 1991, Ukraine, the second most powerful republic in the Soviet Union (USSR), voted overwhelmingly for independence, which ended any realistic chance of the Soviet Union staying together even on a limited scale. More than 90% of the...

#

full text in here

leaden grove
split aurora
#

under "budapest memorandum"

fierce arch
#

this says nothing

split aurora
#

The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and The United States of America reaffirm their commitment to seek immediate United Nations Security Council action to provide assistance to Ukraine, as a non-nuclear-weapon state party to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, if Ukraine should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used.

#

if Ukraine should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used.

#

Ukraine is a victim to a threat of agression using nuclear weapons

fierce arch
#

nato is providing assistance

#

assistance ≠ protection

split aurora
#

yes, they are obliged to provide assistance in protecting ukraine

copper monolith
#

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1499875170386853897?s=20&t=RzF5XNWCJwqgmFczPx55mw
almost lost my shit, as my grandpa is from Pokrovs'ke, and the names are similar, and they're not that far apart

⚡️ Armed Forces: Russia fires cluster munition in Pokrovsk, no casualties.

The use of cluster bombs targeting civilians may constitute a war crime, according to Amnesty International. The Kremlin has denied the use of cluster munitions.

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leaden grove
#

It says "UN security council assistance"

fierce arch
leaden grove
#

Which is not gonna work

fierce arch
#

also yeah

#

i believe the treaty refers to like

split aurora
#

hm

fierce arch
#

if some other nation

split aurora
#

yeah I think I misunderstood the terms of it

#

apologies

leaden grove
#

All the treaty says is that they should involve the UN and other organisations

#

Which is what happened

copper monolith
#

more news agencies

leaden grove
#

So far it hasn’t resulted in anything but that UN resolution. Which is non-binding

fierce arch
#

al jazeera babyyy

grizzled steeple
#

I know it's war, but Zelenskyy seems real stressed.

cerulean canyon
fierce arch
#

ALSO

split aurora
#

mhmm

copper monolith
fierce arch
leaden grove
#

They‘ve said that for days

cerulean canyon
#

I think it's only a matter of time before NATO gets involved tbh

fierce arch
#

i am gonna be dead honest

grizzled steeple
#

Man can't take any breaks.

fierce arch
#

nato will not get involved

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in any way

split aurora
#

good

cerulean canyon
#

I disagree???

leaden grove
#

I think we have a moral obligation to supply Ukraine with planes and step in if that doesn’t help

cerulean canyon
#

^

split aurora
#

We must not destroy the entire globe trying to save Ukraine

fierce arch
#

to nato, the sovereignty of ukraine is pretty much meaningless when paired against the threat of war with russia

cerulean canyon
#

Like why

fierce arch
#

oh you have no idea

split aurora
grizzled steeple
#

Im guessing the argument will be nuclear

fierce arch
#

not nuclear

cerulean canyon
#

I am not asking about a no fly zone

split aurora
#

it classes as an act of war

fierce arch
#

but partiallu

split aurora
#

on russia

split aurora
cerulean canyon
#

I am asking you about in general, why it would guarantee the destruction

split aurora
leaden grove
#

Especially since Putin is not the only one who has to agree to launch nukes

fierce arch
#

NATO getting into a conflict with CSTO is not worth ukraine

#

im gonna be honest

grizzled steeple
leaden grove
#

Putin is a madman and he has to be stopped

zinc talon
mighty tusk
cerulean canyon
#

This is disgusting to me because people from Ukraine and Russia are all over the world

split aurora
#

How close do you folks want to get to the end of the world, I don't wanna chance it to one or two crazy peoples judgement

mighty tusk
#

i'd think it'd be facebook or something

cerulean canyon
#

Literally all over the world

mighty tusk
#

even though ive only used twitter

#

o uh

zinc talon
#

it is not only about a nuclear war

mighty tusk
#

sorry i didnt look down

fierce arch
mighty tusk
#

NATO getting involved is not good

fierce arch
#

it would do so much more harm than good

cerulean canyon
#

It's disgusting to be like
Yeah no we won't protect your country because we don't have a formal treaty

Fuck your family who lives here

hushed magnet
fierce arch
#

if they protected ukraine

split aurora
fierce arch
#

a war would almost certainly break out between nato and russia

leaden grove
cerulean canyon
fierce arch
#

what dont you guys understand

#

about

mighty tusk
#

its not about not wanting to help them

hushed magnet
mighty tusk
#

its doing it as a group and what it represents

#

what NATO represents

fierce arch
#

nato is trying to help russia but if nato deploys a single soldier

mighty tusk
#

what would happen after

split aurora
#

The amount of people fucking willing to risk the entirety of humanity on a bold risky decision

split aurora
#

they treat nuclear warfare like a game

fierce arch
#

ukraine

leaden grove
#

It’s not game

fierce arch
#

sorry

grizzled steeple
#

Look, there's no use trying to predict the future. All we're doing is causing unnecessary stress to ourselves

fierce arch
#

nato gets involved > russia forces fight nato > nato and russia go to war > both sides suffer heavy losses of lives

mighty tusk
#

racc just for future:

#

plz do -> because i read that as

split aurora
#

nato getting directly involved in ukraine would be one of the most inhumane, and most civilian death causing acts in the entirety of human history

mighty tusk
#

"I prefer this" > "to this" lol

cerulean canyon
#

I just think we can help in ways that won't lead to nuclear war???

split aurora
#

yes

#

we can

fierce arch
#

well yes

split aurora
#

and should

fierce arch
#

and nato is doing that

split aurora
#

but anyway that involves nato troops or planes in ukraine must be avoided at any and all costs

cerulean canyon
#

Like

fierce arch
fierce arch
hushed magnet
split aurora
hushed magnet
#

no one here is saying "dont help ukraine"

split aurora
#

and turning every city on the planet to this

mighty tusk
#

look

cerulean canyon
mighty tusk
#

even if you dont want it to be that way

#

wanting NATO in is warmongering

cerulean canyon
#

Charlotte.

mighty tusk
#

and that's what we should be fighting

#

fuck war

split aurora
#

We must help ukraine as much as possible, without direct military intervention

hushed magnet
zinc talon
hushed magnet
#

^ good idea tbh

split aurora
#

I am not exaggerating, its my firm belief a war with russia would turn nuclear

cerulean canyon
fierce arch
split aurora
#

and the only way to win a nuclear war is not to play

grizzled steeple
#

There's very little chance Putin wants to destroy the world he wants to conquer for one country.

leaden grove
#

^^

cerulean canyon
#

Agreed

mighty tusk
#

Not the world, but disagreed he'd not want to use nukes

#

yall

#

if he loses this war

#

he is out of the presidency.

#

this is his DESPERACY play

fierce arch
#

not exactly

cerulean canyon
#

He's going to be out anyway I feel like

hushed magnet
mighty tusk
#

yes exactly that's why he did this to begin with

#

he needs growth for legitimacy

hushed magnet
#

ok but its not like putin has a button all to himself he can press whenever he wants, iirc it requires all the military commanders to agree no?

cerulean canyon
#

Russian people have turned against him, and are asking him to stop
I think that STOPPING this would increase his likelihood of presidency but

copper monolith
mighty tusk
#

there is no telling he will not nuke something out of spite or just venerally bomv

hushed magnet
#

like, nuclear war or not is kinda irrelevant imo

cerulean canyon
#

Agreed

copper monolith
#

fuck all western media will be leaving at this point

hushed magnet
#

escalating the war to a war between NATO and russia would be catastrophic nukes or not

#

and it should be avoided

leaden grove
copper monolith
#

Reuters: Ukraine still has a "significant majority" of its military aircraft available nine days after Russian forces started their full-scale invasion of the country, according to an unnamed U.S. defense official.

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The official also said that Ukrainian aircraft had suffered some loses, including being destroyed by Russian forces, but did not give details.

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510

fierce arch
#

russia invaded ukraine because ukraine was going to the west and escaping the fascist grips of putin

grizzled steeple
#

We need to stop with the hypotheticals. Get back to the present.

split aurora
fierce arch
fierce arch
#

hypothetical nato war or ukraine war

zinc talon
cerulean canyon
#

I just want all of this to get sorted, and I know that's naive but.
Here we are seeing Ukrainian AND Russian businesses being destroyed and people being harassed and beat up

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It's disgusting

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(here being Arizona)

hushed magnet
#

i mean, everyone wants to get it sorted

cerulean canyon
#

Yee of course

hushed magnet
#

no one disagrees with that, and if they do then get the fuck outta here

fierce arch
#

nobody wants this to go on

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but like

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there reaches a point where you can only intervene so much

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before you risk retaliation by russia

split aurora
stark inlet
cerulean canyon
solid adder
#

lOL

stark inlet
#

also this

leaden grove
# cerulean canyon Yes it is

The police here also said that they’re going to take extra steps to protect Ukrainian and Russian communities

fierce arch
#

someone changed the wikipedia page on human rights to denounce putin

cerulean canyon
zinc talon
copper monolith
# stark inlet https://twitter.com/DefenceGeek/status/1499491489814089729?s=20&t=do6xVT304MJ1kA...

actually, had just finally read this 🧵 about the paratroopers, and yeah, their reputation is highly inflated (was posted before in this thread) https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1499377671855292423

How is the war in Ukraine going? Today they confirmed the death of Russian General Major Suhovetsky. He's unsurprisingly a paratrooper. So let's discuss the role of paratroopers in Russian military doctrine. That'll shed a light on the course of this war and why Russia lost it🧵 https://t.co/aIWsikgFnO

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stark inlet
#

yup

cerulean canyon
#

And again of course this is a whole propaganda thing where people are assuming that one side or the other is evil because of where they are from.

And that upsets me so much, one of my friends was telling me his Russian classmate is taking online classes because she doesn't feel safe in a classroom here anymore.

I'm like. Jesus Christ

stark inlet
#

its hilarious

#

theyll prob send in another general the same way

stark inlet
#

dunno if posted eariler

copper monolith
copper monolith
hushed magnet
cerulean canyon
grizzled steeple
#

Hey who predicted spring mud slowing down Russian armor? Cause you're right

leaden grove
#

:/

hushed magnet
#

i mean look at whats happened since the start of the covid pandemic

cerulean canyon
#

(I only brought up 9/11 for the comparison of the treatment of people, that's all)

hushed magnet
#

i mean yeah, and its fucking shit

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maybe its just bad wording on my part

leaden grove
#

People just love easy targets

cerulean canyon
#

Yup

hushed magnet
#

but i mean, i feel like with how prejudiced society is, its was always gonna kinda just a really shitty byproduct of this war

cerulean canyon
#

Well and people don't do research either right

#

People see propaganda, a shitty news article and it's like

leaden grove
#

It’s just headlines most people care about now

cerulean canyon
#

They base their actions off of that without making informed decisions

cerulean canyon
split aurora
leaden grove
#

I‘m generally not too fond of 24/7 news stations, but especially the American-style ones

silk iron
#

what was this about Russophobia?

split aurora
#

ye

silk iron
#

and apparently Ukrainian-phobia?

cerulean canyon
#

Absolutely!
And while I know that it is physically impossible to remove bias all together, you see newspaper articles that have different headlines depending on the neighbourhood they are in.
It's so upsetting

cerulean canyon
silk iron
#

are people struggling to tell the difference between Ukrainians and Russians?

cerulean canyon
#

I was talking about businesses and people here being targeted and harassed

leaden grove
#

You know most people can’t tell Slavic languages apart

silk iron
#

so i presume no one is intentionally targeting Ukrainians

split aurora
#

eastern europeans already faced a lot of hate in western europe before this started

#

its only got a lot worse

cerulean canyon
cerulean canyon
leaden grove
#

I‘ve heard of people getting harassed for speaking Polish because some dumbass thought they were speaking Russian (which still wouldn’t make it okay)

hushed magnet
cerulean canyon
#

Considering we had a local CLEARLY Ukrainian business, vandalized

mighty tusk
#

what is it

split aurora
#

Theres also a significant amount of pro-russian support in the west

cerulean canyon
#

People know.

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Or some people do.

silk iron
#

this is the US we're talking about

split aurora
#

mostly tankies

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and fascists

hushed magnet
#

and republicans

split aurora
hushed magnet
#

lmao the two most unlikely friends

#

true

split aurora
leaden grove
#

I’d once again like to bring this up

silk iron
#

I don't see much overt support for Russia in the UK

split aurora
#

i dont get why people are treating kasparov as a geopolitical genius

#

good at chess and good at geopolitics are different

#

the man is of course entitled to his opinion but people are treating him like he's someone he isn't

#

I have enormous respect for the man, but chess is not geopolitics

silk iron
#

In theory if you're good at chess you're good at predicting the future strategies and plans of your opponent

leaden grove
#

He‘s not a genius, but he‘s making a very good point in my opinion

split aurora
#

thats one hell of a stretch

silk iron
#

i don't see how it translates to the current situation in the Russo-Ukrainian war

#

there is no real predictions which can be made

hushed magnet
split aurora
leaden grove
cerulean canyon
#

There's a reason why people say that war is like a game of chess though because as mato said, chess involves a lot of strategy, knowing when to make sacrifices and when not too, so on and so forth.

cerulean canyon
#

Like genuinely curious

split aurora
#

its like saying "being an electrician is like being a politician, its all about knowing links and making connections"

cerulean canyon
#

?????.

hushed magnet
zinc talon
cerulean canyon
#

I feel like you missed the point of my message

split aurora
#

Being good at strategy in ONE SPECIFIC GAME doesn't make you good at strategy for EVERYTHING

cerulean canyon
split aurora
#

Lewis Hamilton is a genius at strategy, in formula one, is he a geopolitical genius?

hushed magnet
#

knowing how to move chess pieces =/= understanding global politics lmao

split aurora
#

No, he's just good at racing cars

leaden grove
cerulean canyon
#

Sigh. I think my point was misunderstood, but that's alright

#

I was just saying why I think the metaphor is used

split aurora
#

ah

cerulean canyon
#

You don't have to agree with me, that's fine.

split aurora
#

I understand why its used yeah

cerulean canyon
#

Yeah.

split aurora
#

sorry i thought you were agreeing with it

mighty tusk
#

ok so

silk iron
#

the metaphorical idea is you're capable of breaking war and politics down into a cold rational logical game, like chess. In which you don't care about the lives of your pieces, you only care about the life of your king and checkmating the opposition king.

mighty tusk
#

ukrainian citizens stealimg russian military shit is

#

my new favorite genre of video

zinc talon
mighty tusk
#

send more

cerulean canyon
mighty tusk
#

please

split aurora
#

in other news

hushed magnet
cerulean canyon
#

Yee no worries, Charlotte

split aurora
leaden grove
split aurora
#

thinking in cold hard logic means that civilian targets are justified

#

if it allows a greater win

silk iron
#

it's a very Machiavellian outlook.

split aurora
#

reminds me of Malthus' theories on the poor

cerulean canyon
split aurora
#

but ye i get the idea

silk iron
#

and well what we're witnessing is Putin's forces shelling cities like Kharkiv indiscriminately to break civilian resistance.

cerulean canyon
#

Unfortunately though it does seem that Putin is treating his soilders and such as pawns and pieces in a game.

cerulean canyon
#

Yup

split aurora
#

putins approach now seems to have turned to levelling entire cities

silk iron
#

So clearly Putin is at best indifferent towards the plight of the people he's invading even in respect to achieving his goals.

split aurora
#

with the most deadly weapon of them all, artillery

#

12hours of artillery fire will turn a town into history

cerulean canyon
split aurora
#

lmao

leaden grove
#

Also I‘d like to mention one point about international law here, which shows its limits, and that is that partisan warfare is in a very weird zone legally

#

Namely because they don’t enjoy the same rights are soldiers

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Which means that they can be punished for their actions

#

It’s very weird

cerulean canyon
#

That is quite weird

leaden grove
#

The thing is that international law doesn’t provide for armed resistance

#

If you follow international law to the letter, you have soldiers who fight and civilians who do nothing violent at all

silk iron
#

insurgents and spies are treated in the same vein as terrorists and aren't afforded such protections

leaden grove
#

yep, but so are partisans

#

They’re all considered "irregular forces" and hence don’t enjoy any legal protection beyond regular human rights

#

Aka all the POW rules don‘t apply

split aurora
#

tbf not like russias following the soldiers rights anyway :v

leaden grove
#

Yep, but that’s why they won’t be able to be charged for most things they do with civilian armed resistance

split aurora
#

i mean

#

being "charged" means nothing

#

unless theres a revolution in russia

leaden grove
#

True

silk iron
#

it means those people committing the atrocities will never be allowed into the West.

split aurora
#

yeah

#

thats about it

silk iron
#

but remember many war criminals in the Balkans war were eventually tried as well

split aurora
#

as it will in russia

silk iron
#

you never know when Russia's regime will collapse

leaden grove
#

All of this required changes in government

silk iron
#

afterall Putin is 69yrs old

leaden grove
#

Because Putin won’t budge that easily

split aurora
#

god i do really hope theres a citizens uprising in russia

silk iron
#

so if there isn't a peaceful transition in 20 yrs time when Putin is 89yrs old - and that's uncommon with dictatorships

leaden grove
#

The coming weeks will show us

silk iron
#

these people might show up when we're in our 40s in the Hague

leaden grove
#

Putin won’t resign peacefully

silk iron
#

but who knows... this is pure speculation

leaden grove
#

And also note that Putin has given himself and others full amnesty in Russia

#

Which a future government would have to reverse first

silk iron
#

it gets rather messy from a constitutional standpoint revoking amnesties and pardons.

leaden grove
#

Yeah

silk iron
#

Either way back to the point - insurgents are liable to suffer many more human rights violations than regulars.

#

so if you think the atrocities are bad so far

#

im afraid to say you aint seen nothing yet.

leaden grove
#

^^

silk iron
#

i myself am going to withdraw from keeping track of it

split aurora
#

Sadly I think if there is to be a change in russian government in the near future.... it will be kremlin/oligarchs deposing putin to place a new dictator on the throne

silk iron
#

for my own sanity

leaden grove
#

Yeah, it‘s important to take care of yourself too

split aurora
#

who won't do any of these bold invasions and will just sit back, let company's get rich, and ignore shit

silk iron
#

corruption and greed is a much lesser evil to warmongering and sadism

scarlet crown
silk iron
#

it's a shame Yeltsin let Putin take the reins

leaden grove
#

And yet kleptocracy is a major threat to the world no matter where it comes from

silk iron
#

i should read up on the power transition come to think of it

leaden grove
#

Like

silk iron
#

yes with Chechnya

#

was it?

leaden grove
#

No no, not just that

#

He bombed parliament

silk iron
#

that was 2000

leaden grove
#

2000 was already Putin‘s reign

#

The parliament bombing was in 1993

silk iron
#

see this is why i need to read up on it

zinc talon
#

german wiki article about putin having the best placement of pictures (saw it on twitter and had to check)

stark inlet
#

former polish minister of foreign affairs

leaden grove
scarlet crown
leaden grove
#

Among other things, Yeltsin enacted a set of economic reforms that caused great damage to the economy at large

#

And eventually parliament stopped supporting him and tried to impeach Yeltsin

silk iron
#

well with sanctions to mastercard/visa, microchips that threat has some teeth to it.

leaden grove
#

And Yeltsin then dried to dissolve parliament, but they refused and barricaded themselves in the the parliament building after he threatened to use forces

#

And the entire thing ended with Yeltsin ordering the army to attack the parliament building

silk iron
#

yh i remember now

leaden grove
#

IIRC more than 120 people died

silk iron
#

wasn't swan lake being played on the Russian news instead of the events unfolding?

leaden grove
stark inlet
scarlet crown
silk iron
#

that was the USSR coup

leaden grove
#

Yep

#

With Gorbachev

#

And ofc Yelstin "saved the day"

silk iron
#

honestly hard to keep up with the number of coups with the Soviet and post-soviet bloc

leaden grove
#

I can only really tell you about Russia, Estonia and Latvia

silk iron
#

you don't learn about this stuff in the UK, only the early and mid cold war years.

leaden grove
#

I’d also like to add that Yeltsin more or less helped create the oligarchs we know today

nocturne osprey
clear pebble
#

Same here, American school pretty much stopped after Vietnam war

leaden grove
silk iron
#

when i did A level history it was Weimar republic, and pre-war nazi Germany, Churchill, US 50s-80s black rights, feminism and native movements.

#

and post WW2 east Germany and west Germany

#

Konrad Adenauer got a lot of time dedicated to him in particular

leaden grove
#

Treaty of Versailles, Weimar Republic, interwar period, the eastern front of WW2, west and east Germany for my history course

leaden grove
#

We mainly focused on denazification, the founding of the FGR and GDR and also the political system of the GDR as well as the Cold War

silk iron
#

very influential guy, he basically laid the foundation of how powerful Chancellors would be in Germany into the future.

leaden grove
#

I know him

#

We talked a lot about the constitution in like 9th grade

#

Which is arguably very well-written

#

Save for the conflicts that arise between the federal government and the Länder

silk iron
#

beats being having an unwritten constitution

leaden grove
#

Yeah

silk iron
#

that is having random documents lying around like the magna carta, bill of rights...

leaden grove
#

uhuh

silk iron
#

what were the others again

#

ah crap you see

leaden grove
#

I think there’s a ton of documents + court rulings

silk iron
#

they might as well all be grouped together with a flimsy paper clip

leaden grove
#

Yep

silk iron
#

i guess it's nice not having people question if something is constitutional or not in every comment thread like they do in America but hey-ho.

#

About the best reason there is lmao

leaden grove
#

Tbh the American constitution is very weird imo

silk iron
#

they made a good chunk of it up on the fly.

leaden grove
#

Especially the voting system

silk iron
#

a lot of it is archaic

#

particularly the voting system

leaden grove
#

It encourages a two-party system and there’s no real way to change it

silk iron
#

anyway we're well off topic here

leaden grove
#

Shhh

silk iron
#

shh i aint tellin no one

cerulean canyon
#

A constitution needs to be updated as society grows

silk iron
#

this tangent will just be between the two of us

cerulean canyon
#

This constitution is 200 plus years old

silk iron
#

sage is oblivious you see

cerulean canyon
#

Fix it

leaden grove
cerulean canyon
leaden grove
cerulean canyon
cerulean canyon
silk iron
#

well better an old constitution without partisanary than a new constitution with...

leaden grove
#

The thing is that most Americans seem to support switching to a popular vote system

#

But the parties are against it

silk iron
#

it's kind of like relying on asterisking points everywhere tho.

leaden grove
#

Because it would make them lose their seats

silk iron
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the nature of the first past the post system

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the two main parties are united in at least one thing at all times

cerulean canyon
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The electoral college needs to be thrown out

leaden grove
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Yeah, but even the way members of congress are elected is really weird

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You‘ll never get beyond two or three parties with that

cerulean canyon
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Yuppppppp

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Honestly I'd be satisfied with having a third party but I doubt that'll happen screm

leaden grove
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Because right now you could split the republican and democratic parties into at least two separate ones each

cerulean canyon
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EXACTLY

leaden grove
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People in them just have such different viewpoints

cerulean canyon
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Well and so when you sign up to vote, there are more then two parties you can choose from

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Democrat
Republican
Libertarian
Independent

leaden grove
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Yeah, but do they ever win seats beyond county councils?

cerulean canyon
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Absolutely not unfortunately

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Well

leaden grove
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As far as I’m aware not even most city councils have more than two parties in them because they just use the same system

cerulean canyon
#

Hm
No there are some independent Congress people I think, maybe?? But it's extremely rare

leaden grove
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Yeah

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Oh, and another thing

cerulean canyon
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Some voting procotols are different though depending on the state you live in

leaden grove
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The fact that individual senators can stall entire bills?

cerulean canyon
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Arizona for instance, we have closed primary elections
Meaning that you have to be registered for the specific party that you are voting for, otherwise the vote doesn't count

So if you are voting Democrat, your card has to show that, same with Republican