#the_ukraine_situation

1 messages · Page 19 of 1

zealous rapids
#

that is not good

zinc talon
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shouldn't be an issue. Why moving them when you want to attack?

haughty yew
#

It’s very bad that they are being shown

rare walrus
#

Why would they be setting up ICBM’s for Ukraine which is relatively close?

cerulean canyon
#

A real question

scarlet crown
#

they're set for either kyiv or sumy

haughty yew
rare walrus
#

Hmm i see

#

True

scarlet crown
stone vigil
#

ICBM's for the country next to you seems a bit ineffective

zealous rapids
#

unless its for other countries

scarlet crown
#

could be even Poland

rare walrus
zinc talon
#

also they wouldn't just move them in public. Seems more as a threat

zealous rapids
#

that is a good point

stone vigil
#

Yeah I assume these are for threating further away countries for sending aid

rare walrus
#

Hmm true

cerulean canyon
#

That's what makes sense to me

stone vigil
#

moving ICBMS on a highway seems like a nice way to have them tracked

cerulean canyon
#

Because moving them at all is incredibly risky right

cerulean canyon
#

So why do it unless you had some sort of ulterior motive, such as.... I don't know, a scare tactic

hushed magnet
#

yeah that makes sense

rare walrus
#

Yeah makes sense

haughty yew
#

Yah, most likely a scare tactic

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At least I hope it is

rare walrus
#

Same here

zinc talon
#

"As an ICBM flies over, another nuclear state would treated this as nuke-loaded missile. A targeted country can't know what an ICBM is actually carrying!" they have a point

grizzled steeple
#

Well, if russia launches at a country just for providing aid... especially a NATO country, that would trigger the pact, wouldnt it

rare walrus
#

That would yes

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I think

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Since its a weapon of war, it would very likely be considered an act of aggression

zealous rapids
#

I know its not right, but if it prevents war does it make sense to let them have ukraine

tired scaffold
#

No

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No it does not make sense

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Because it'll just encourage him to do it more

zealous rapids
#

oh

copper monolith
#

this is putin's war, not russia's

grizzled steeple
#

Appeasement doesn't help. Look at WW2

zealous rapids
#

true

rare walrus
#

Yeah, if Putin gets Ukraine, he’ll likely push farther for more land that the Soviet Union originally had

tired scaffold
#

Such as Moldova and Georgia, which aren't in NATO

icy ridge
leaden grove
zealous rapids
# icy ridge

could you send the full link thats quite interesting

icy ridge
#

Sure hold on

zealous rapids
#

and I think its even unusual that another dictatorship doesnt want war

haughty yew
grizzled steeple
#

China is looking at their worldwide reputation

haughty yew
#

Oh true

zealous rapids
#

but, if it makes putin agree it may be for the best, suprised even china can see this would plumit them too

hushed magnet
zealous rapids
#

yes the rep matters to them, why do you think they do all that stuff this olympics cycle

hushed magnet
#

as i think dowo said earlier, china has a lot more to lose than russia

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especially in terms of their economy and industry

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wait what happened?

nocturne bobcat
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Can't go making your customers angry at you

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Otherwise no money

cerulean canyon
#

Too true unfortunately

hushed magnet
#

also it takes a special recklessness to do what russia is doing rn

nocturne bobcat
#

All the rage

icy ridge
#

I'm actually surprised that China would sway a little against Russia on this one

zealous rapids
hushed magnet
#

its kinda a testament to much russia is fucking up their global image

zealous rapids
#

cause their rep is that they are perfect

hushed magnet
nocturne bobcat
#

o

haughty yew
grizzled steeple
#

Well today is friday

cerulean canyon
#

Well it's Friday

#

Lmao

grizzled steeple
#

For some people saturday

scarlet crown
haughty yew
#

Direct sanctions on Putin and one other person

zealous rapids
#

do you think biden would ever be able to meet with putin

nocturne bobcat
scarlet crown
#

it's thought to be a fake as of now

solid adder
fervent matrix
#

Joe and Vladimir link up

nocturne bobcat
#

Diplomatic talks are off the table, and any interactions would likely be through their diplomats or over the phone

cerulean canyon
#

Absolutely

solid adder
grizzled steeple
cerulean canyon
#

It'd be too risky otherwise, I think we are way past the point of talking

haughty yew
#

That’s not good

copper monolith
#

wew he finally did it

hushed magnet
#

its at the point of punching each other in the face

haughty yew
cerulean canyon
grizzled steeple
#

What else can Biden do?

scarlet crown
#

i hope this does help stop them

hushed magnet
copper monolith
#

ngl what sanctioning those 2 will do, since they could still travel anywhere they want

scarlet crown
#

if putin doesnt care for his people, he must at least care for his money

copper monolith
#

like what assets

cerulean canyon
#

That's what I'd imagine ein

hushed magnet
zealous rapids
zinc talon
nocturne bobcat
# copper monolith like what assets

Honestly considering a lot of Russian oligarch assets are stored in banks overseas or in foreign properties, the next course of action would likely to strip them of property if at all possible

zealous rapids
#

ye

scarlet crown
zealous rapids
#

i paraphrased you lol

zinc talon
scarlet crown
#

it'd be nice to have some sites to back up info

nocturne bobcat
#

I think the London mayor had called for the seizing of Russian oligarch owned properties, but I don't know how much will come of that

scarlet crown
#

thank you 🙏

dull crane
#

huh

nocturne bobcat
#

Cough

stone vigil
cerulean canyon
#

I love it

zealous rapids
dull crane
#

Alex Ovechkin spoke about the war, interesting to see sports icons like that taking about it

zinc talon
# scarlet crown it'd be nice to have some sites to back up info

they are not 100% on point but as they say themself "Hi. new followers, as I work through news and situtations some tweets get deleted so misinformation isn’t shared as we cut through everything trying to work out what’s going on. If you see things come and go, that’s why. Also, welcome along."

leaden grove
dull crane
#

Especially sports players who are from Russia

zealous rapids
#

if ovechkin speaks id assume people like panarin would also speak

solid adder
#

my mom hasn't been following the news lol

cerulean canyon
#

It makes sense that sports icons are talking about it tbh

zealous rapids
#

there was also the russian tennis player who said "please no war after winning a match"

solid adder
#

she was pretty surprised when I told her russia was threatening war with our country lol

nocturne bobcat
#

They've got a platform and all that

dull crane
#

Well especially him since he was born and raised in Russia

cerulean canyon
#

They've got influence interestingly enough so them speaking out against it is a very good thing

scarlet crown
cerulean canyon
#

Well this just shows that not all of Russia is allied with Putin

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Which we expected

solid adder
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♻️

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lol

copper monolith
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Sumy too

viral junco
cerulean canyon
#

Jesus

zinc talon
proven steppe
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fucking hate putin, i was saying he should be dethroned back in 2012.

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i am so fucking mad

nocturne bobcat
hollow grove
#

he should've never gotten to the top of the political power to begin with, let's be honest

cerulean canyon
nocturne bobcat
#

Speaking of Russian athletes speaking out against the violence

proven steppe
#

its really sad to see russian people be brainwashed

dull crane
hollow grove
cerulean canyon
#

Yuppp

dull crane
#

I mean, Ovechkin’s Instagram pfp is literally him with Putin

hollow grove
#

I assume he will change that now

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at least I hope so

azure plover
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he's not going to

hollow grove
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brainwashed idiot

azure plover
#

he has to save his family from getting in trouble, since they're all back in russia

hollow grove
#

I mean fair

dull crane
hollow grove
#

but still

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I'm sorry to have called him an idiot

azure plover
#

i don't hate his statement and i don't disagree with what he said in this instance, but to say that he's "not really into politics" is a blatant lie

dull crane
#

yeah

zinc talon
scarlet crown
azure plover
#

furthermore, it's ridiculous that the media takes advantage of these guys to talk about it in the first place. this shouldn't have even been an interview. leave him alone

hollow grove
#

I'm sure he is smart enough but just had a lot of propaganda follow him his entire life

dull crane
#

That’s true

azure plover
dull crane
#

you what

nocturne bobcat
#

Oh

stone vigil
#

that is one hell of an embed bamba

scarlet crown
hushed magnet
silk iron
#

lmao

hushed magnet
#

that was a fucking hell of a read

cerulean canyon
nocturne osprey
azure plover
#

i believe that he doesn't want this war, but i also believe that he still believes in putin as president

silk iron
#

someones been having a laugh on wikipedia again

azure plover
hushed magnet
cerulean canyon
#

Absolutely not I was just stunned by the they made out line lmao

dull crane
#

hm

azure plover
#

there's a lot that goes into this (and i have many more feelings about it), but the number one thing about this situation is that sports media only wants to sensationalize this for no reason

hollow grove
#

media will be media

scarlet crown
hollow grove
#

it's fake

scarlet crown
#

still pretty damn funny

hushed magnet
#

did it happen to you?

hollow grove
#

true but still

stone vigil
granite jewel
#

Has this been sent?

leaden grove
#

Possibly

granite jewel
#

I guess in a way

#

That picture was accurate earlier

scarlet crown
#

this one has subs tho

brisk parrot
zinc talon
#

there is even an english dub version now

cerulean canyon
cerulean canyon
granite jewel
#

Hopefully we'll

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Well*

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Realistically

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It probably wouldn't happen

cerulean canyon
#

Because anything Putin says, as far as I'm concerned can't be trusted. I wouldn't put it past him to say he'll back down on xyz conditions, Ukraine agrees and he continues the attack anyway

granite jewel
#

Putin would probably not come

zinc talon
#

"demilitarization and neutrality"

granite jewel
#

Hopefully he does

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But we know he'll cancel it

icy ridge
#

How Is Kyiv holding up?🙏

nocturne osprey
hushed magnet
#

wait does russia still not have sumy?

scarlet crown
#

nope

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they cant get full control

stone vigil
#

this seems incredibly embarrasing on their part

dull crane
#

Or

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Incredible on Ukraine’s part

scarlet crown
cerulean canyon
#

Agreed

hushed magnet
#

for sure

#

putin is probably pissed at how embarrassing its been going for them

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declares war to prove their dominance, and ends up struggling and turning most of the entire world against them

fierce arch
#

i think russia just underestimated how easy ukraine would be

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rn there's like

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200k deployed russian troops

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100k-200k

hushed magnet
hollow grove
#

on the news here they mentioned that Russia has only sent their "scouting" troops atm to see how difficult it would be to take over Ukraine

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but I am unsure how truthful this is

fierce arch
copper monolith
#

paying the bills for my apartment, and there's always a charity donation thing to round up the bill, so 57 cents is going to Ukraine, I feel like I just did something actually useful lmao

leaden grove
hushed magnet
#

i mean i dont doubt russia has a lot more military power they could be using

hollow grove
#

apparently belgium is sending militia to the eastern border

hollow hollow
hushed magnet
scarlet crown
fierce arch
fierce arch
#

nato is being sent just to remind russia

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that if they even step across the border

copper monolith
fierce arch
#

putin's goal in this seems quite clear - depose ukranian government and establish a pro-russian government that can easily be controlled

scarlet crown
#

Those people who are there, protecting it tonight

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they're making history

copper monolith
#

👁️

split aurora
#

The Ukrainian army also made a bank account

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for donations

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got $10mn in 24h

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stupid amount of money

leaden grove
viral junco
scarlet crown
#

as far as i've heard, they're willing to negotiate even without us surrendering

copper monolith
split aurora
#

I just meant by most online donation standards

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10million in a day is... almost unbelievable

nocturne bobcat
#

Ik there's pins with resources, but here's a comprehensive list on how people internationally can help Ukraine via charities rather than bank transfer

cerulean canyon
split aurora
#

Also anonymous leaked the entire russian ministry of defence

nocturne bobcat
#

Since not everyone can/should wire transfer atm

split aurora
split aurora
#

The info is findable online easily, but for TOS/rules reasons I won't say where/provide links

cerulean canyon
#

I think that's one of the links pinned

split aurora
#

Its names, emails, adresses, phone numbers etc of Russian defence folks

copper monolith
#

gotta have that one as the top

nocturne bobcat
#

Oh mb I didn't realize someone posted the NPR one already

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Oh wait no maybe not

copper monolith
#

I don't see one

cerulean canyon
#

Woops my bad

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I thought it was in the long list

nocturne bobcat
#

All good sage birbhug

cerulean canyon
copper monolith
clear creek
#

Did you guys see the video of the ukranian soldier spelling out the situation to the russian ocupation force he honestly terifies me

nocturne bobcat
copper monolith
#

idk the sources so don't take anything on that website literally lol, I only found it 2 mins ago

nocturne bobcat
#

Their about us for reference

scarlet crown
#

i think that, while that was accurate some time ago, current situation is way different

clear creek
#

Ukranians have evryting to lose they wont give up while most russian teens who where forced into the army propely dont now why there even there

leaden grove
copper monolith
nocturne bobcat
#

Oh also, if anyone wants to read up on the history of the tensions between Ukraine and Russia starting in the 1990s, NPR does a pretty good job of detailing everything on how we got to this point
https://www.npr.org/2022/02/12/1080205477/history-ukraine-russia

NPR.org

Since breaking from the Soviet Union, Ukraine has wavered between the influences of Moscow and the West, surviving scandal and conflict with its democracy intact. Now it faces an existential threat.

clear creek
#

Giving up is getting send to a work camp in siberia a fate worse then dead most of the time

copper monolith
#

I mean Russian government is horrible, but I don't think SIberian work camps have existed since Stalin passed

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I say this when the past several days I've equated Putin to being the 2nd Stalin

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there are maximum security prisons with no heating tho

fierce arch
#

they've sent a relatively small number to ukraine as i said

leaden grove
#

The issue won’t be troops but logistics I think

rare walrus
#

Yeah, however soon it will be super hard to send in anything due to the ground thawing and making it all muddy

leaden grove
#

And if things get really bad for them, they‘ll go for more missiles

viral junco
#

the russian prisons are the most violent internaitonally so probably

copper monolith
fierce arch
#

where did you get that from

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china?? north korea?? afghanistan??

fierce arch
#

russia is bad but its not like nk

leaden grove
fierce arch
#

russia

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well

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is russia

rare walrus
#

Ah i see, i still think the large amounts of rain and mud will slow them as well

fierce arch
#

if they really wanted they could nuke ukraine

nocturne bobcat
#

Russia is known for having some of the harshest max-level security prisons BUT

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They are definitely not the most deadly

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Not by a long shot

fierce arch
#

like

rare walrus
fierce arch
#

there is nothing stopping russia from nuking ukraine

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except public support

cerulean canyon
haughty yew
rare walrus
#

I don’t think Russia would nuke ukraine, that would ruin the point of why Putin invaded in the first place

clear creek
#

Most peapol forget that ukrain has been at war since 2014 they have veterens who dont care about anyting anymore while the russian army is stacked out with teens forced into the war

fierce arch
#

im not talking about carpet bombing with nukes

cerulean canyon
viral junco
#

though it snowed yesterday

copper monolith
#

urd

fierce arch
#

if russia wanted they could nuke like a single small ukranian town and surrender would be guaranteed

copper monolith
#

bagel ur on the other side of europe

nocturne bobcat
#

If we're looking at Russia's history, their goal would likely be to annex Ukraine just as they did Crimea

viral junco
#

yes but i am northern

clear creek
#

Using nukes in any way will lead to moscow in flames mark my words

rare walrus
frail gulch
#

those jerk-faces destroyed Mriya

fierce arch
#

crimea was a warning to ukraine

frail gulch
#

gone but never forgotten

nocturne bobcat
#

So idk whether it would be in their interest to nuke Ukraine, but missile striking has not been and is not off the table

copper monolith
#

I'm like 600km from the nearest battlefield so the weather's slightly similar, and even looking at satellite maps it looks to be around the same

clear creek
#

Has any news been released on the ghost of kyiv

fierce arch
#

russia wants ukraine to be pro russia

nocturne bobcat
fierce arch
#

at least the government

cerulean canyon
fierce arch
#

it worked for japan

clear creek
#

Also its almost the dead aniversary of the snake island 13

copper monolith
# fierce arch russia wants ukraine to be pro russia

wonder how that's gonna work out for them when literally everyone in ukraine and outside of it knows that it's just some puppets being installed in the government, nobody other than Kremlin would complain about the puppets being removed

frail gulch
#

it's not dead!

#

lets goo

silk iron
#

nice

copper monolith
#

epic

nocturne bobcat
#

It big

rare walrus
# fierce arch it worked for japan

The difference is tho now practically everyone has nukes, so nuking ukraine would likely not go without some kind of very heavy consequences

fierce arch
#

nah

#

whos gonna nuke russia

clear creek
#

If putin uses a single nuke it will just start a domino chain that will end with moscow gouing up into nuclear fire mark my words

fierce arch
#

ukraine is not a nuclears weapon state

copper monolith
fierce arch
#

and its not in a defense treaty

#

with any nuclear states

haughty yew
fierce arch
#

and im sure no other country would want russia

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and it to be engaged in a nuclear war

rare walrus
clear creek
#

Its mid night in ukraine now

copper monolith
fierce arch
#

russia has lied about literally everything

stone vigil
clear creek
#

Nightime raids with silent guns will start soon

fierce arch
#

the point is that the us nuked japan, and despite the casualties was able to turn public support towards the us

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also

scarlet crown
fierce arch
#

nobody will defend ukraine with nukes

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nobody has any real reason to

stone vigil
fierce arch
rare walrus
#

If russia did go and nuke ukraine and didnt face any nukes from anywhere else, the populous of russia would surely be riled up, with possibly revolts id think

silk iron
#

It's extremely unlikely Russia would nuke Ukraine - there's no benefit in nuking a country you're trying to subjugate.
Not to mention the severe international diplomatic consequences - Russia would be isolated on the world stage for decades.

opal cloak
opal cloak
#

Shit whyd that reply

fierce arch
#

putin is fucking mad

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theres no predicting what he will do

opal cloak
#

But russia would i think use nukes on others if worst came to worst

fierce arch
#

no

opal cloak
#

Ukraine is territory he wants

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He wouldnt nuke it

silk iron
#

Putin is a megalomaniac, but he's not a moron.

fierce arch
#

again

rare walrus
#

Well, i might be wrong but dont multiple people in the russian military also have to agree with putin on a nuclear strike?

opal cloak
#

He would never see it grow if he nuked it

fierce arch
#

nuking doesnt mean complete destruction

stone vigil
#

...

cerulean canyon
#

Yes it does

fierce arch
#

no??

silk iron
#

@rare walrus I would assume so... but i would need to read things.

stone vigil
#

It fucking does

fierce arch
#

again japan

cerulean canyon
#

Where are your sources, racc

fierce arch
#

wh

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japan??

opal cloak
#

It means complete destruction and unlivable conditions for the next several years

scarlet crown
fierce arch
#

not the entire country

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wtf

dark tide
#

Japan got an atomic bomb. Nuclear is different

fierce arch
#

what

opal cloak
fierce arch
#

do you

dark tide
#

Warhead loads have greatly increased since then

cerulean canyon
#

Absolutely

fierce arch
#

that doesnt mean that they NEED to use a very large warhead

keen sorrel
#

Doesn't matter how much damage a single nuke does anyway. Firing one means firing them all eventually.

rare walrus
opal cloak
#

Not as if we had two tiny ones compared to the several thousand massive ones russia has

dark tide
#

Plus look at Chernobyl. Meltdown years ago destroyed that region

fierce arch
#

as i said

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look at japan

dark tide
#

Still uninhabitable

stone vigil
#

Again Japan doesn't work racc, the nukes Russia has now are insanely more powerful, it won't be 2 bombs, it will be multiple rockets with multiple warheads each, dummy decoys and all

keen sorrel
#

You think the country being shot at won't fire back lol. The doctrine employed by some countries right now is to fire on warning even, not even waiting for something to land..

fierce arch
#

ukraine doesnt have nukes

rare walrus
#

Yeah, the nuke would wreak havoc on ukraine, let alone the environmental damage

opal cloak
dark tide
fierce arch
#

no countries are defending it

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no countries have a pact with it

rare walrus
#

Plus, a nuke on ukraine could have environmental damage on neighboring countries

opal cloak
#

There are certainly some strongly allied

fierce arch
#

but

rare walrus
#

Which could possibly bring nato in as well

scarlet crown
#

this is a stupid topic

silk iron
#

firstly, there is no reason to nuke Ukraine when conventional military strategies would succeed.

fierce arch
#

would they risk destroying their entire country

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to support another

opal cloak
#

And if russia used a nuke on ukraine that would heavily disrupt neighbors

stark harness
#

Y’all ever heard of Mutually Assured Destruction

dark tide
#

Plus jet stream would blow fallout over Russia proper

opal cloak
#

Nuking ukraine would also probably result in almost every world leader turning against putin

silk iron
#

secondly nuking a country you're invading prevents any benefits gained from conquering that nation - it becomes a nuclear wasteland.

opal cloak
#

Violently

fierce arch
#

oh my god

dark tide
#

There’s zero chance Ukraine gets nuked idk why this is a discussion

silk iron
#

thirdly nuking a country is diplomatic suicide

cerulean canyon
fierce arch
#

as i said i dont mean nuking every inch of ukrsine

dark tide
#

They’re at Kiev in 2 days

cerulean canyon
#

This talks about the damage if just one nuke

fierce arch
#

nobody

dark tide
#

France took weeks to fall in WW2

opal cloak
fierce arch
#

would defend ukraine

scarlet crown
fierce arch
#

this is not MAD its just AD

tawny dawn
keen sorrel
#

Russia choosing to nuke any country at all means they could choose to do so for any other country in the future, so why would other countries ignore that just because it isn't them.

cerulean canyon
scarlet crown
#

the damage it would cause: physical, ecological..

fierce arch
#

the thing is

mild heart
#

The thing is yeah Ukraine isn't being helped militarily but as soon as you bring a nuke to the table a whole lot changes

opal cloak
#

We dont produce or have bombs that are "convenience size", we have bombs that destroy the entire region beyond recognition

frail gulch
#

anybody here speak Ukrainian?

fierce arch
#

there is no reason why any nation would nuke russia

opal cloak
#

Racc do you just

#

Not listen

fierce arch
#

because they would certainly be destroyer

scarlet crown
opal cloak
#

At all

fierce arch
frail gulch
split aurora
# copper monolith 🙁

hmmm, thats.... curious

Russia earlier attacked and was driven back by a counter-offensive, to attack with "No resistance" seems.... unlikely

frail gulch
#

sorry

tired scaffold
#

Russia: launches one nuke
Everyone else: "Oh fuck, Putin's so unhinged that he's willing to throw nukes around, we have to do something about that"

keen sorrel
#

It's quite incredible how little sense you're making tbh

frail gulch
#

Google translate is being dumb

tawny dawn
#

noone expects all nukes to go off within a second, but firing a nuclear warhead, even a single one, ends with mutual destruction

fierce arch
#

how

cerulean canyon
#

What do you mean how

fierce arch
#

if russia were to fire a nuke at lioe

cerulean canyon
#

Please read the article I posted

fierce arch
#

the us yeah

scarlet crown
#

that's just how it goes man

tawny dawn
#

i would also reccomend reading about the false alarms during the cold wars, and how nukes were almost fired

scarlet crown
#

one nuke can change a lot by itself

cerulean canyon
#

Also again, nuking a land they want to control is counter productive. There's be nothing left

mild heart
#

Any nuclear bomb used on any country will lead to MAD

fierce arch
split aurora
fierce arch
#

this is not the us

cerulean canyon
#

And the fallout would be felt BEYOND Ukraine

stone vigil
#

Racc you're ignoring the fact that modern warheads A: are fired in large amounts on a single rocket like 14 warheads per ICBM B: Modern warheads do create insanely huge blasts whichs fallout would reach beyond Ukraine, and would threaten both Russia and the European neighbors

split aurora
#

during the cuban missile crisis a soviet submarine came extremely closely to firing nukes (2/3 senior staff gave approval, the captain refused) because they were cut off from comms and wrongly thought the USA was attacking

cerulean canyon
#

It saddens me that you think Russia could bomb Ukraine and nothing would happen to Russia for doing that

tawny dawn
#

that does not matter racc, what matters is that nukes get fired. the country is in a sense irrelevant. there is always going to be someone else that retaliates, thus mutual destruction

keen sorrel
# fierce arch this is not the us

It's a bit baffling you think other countries wouldn't consider russia an imminent nuclear threat because they fired a nuke at a different country. They would have just demonstrated they are willing to use nukes against people they don't like for reasons that only make sense to them. At that point why would anyone with an already strained relationship with them consider themselves safe.

split aurora
#

anyway this discussion seems extremely stupid so imma dip

fierce arch
#

look

#

no country

#

wants to have MAD

fierce arch
#

including every other state with nukes

cerulean canyon
fierce arch
#

ukraine has nukes. russia does. nuking russia is guaranteed MAD. nuking ukraine

#

oh my fuck i give up

tawny dawn
#

if nukes are fired, everything is off the table. thats why the cold war never got hot

silk iron
#

right i'll just summarise why Russia won't use nuclear warheads on Ukraine

  • firstly, there is no reason to nuke Ukraine when conventional military strategies would succeed (and by the looks of it will succeed... eventually)
  • secondly nuking a country you're invading prevents any benefits gained from conquering that nation - it becomes a nuclear wasteland and you can't establish a puppet government
  • thirdly nuking a country is diplomatic suicide, and Russia would be renegaded on the international stage for decades
  • fourthly nuclear fallout can be blown across borders into Europe, further raising tensions and giving a justification for war to other nations indirectly hit by the radioactive fallout, which would then have cause to directly intervene in the Russo-Ukrainian war
scarlet crown
viral junco
#

5th is MAD

opal cloak
#

Also nuking ukraine would spread fallout to russia too

fierce arch
#

it depends where the nuke is

cerulean canyon
opal cloak
#

Nuking something in ukraine could literally affect moscow

cerulean canyon
silk iron
#

but MADness only applies when both nations have a nuclear arsenal

cerulean canyon
#

No it doesn't

fierce arch
#

this isnt chernobyl russia has small nukes

cerulean canyon
#

Wind!!

cerulean canyon
#

Omg

fierce arch
#

they can literally wait for the wind to blow the opposite direction

tired scaffold
#

Ah yes

silk iron
#

wind is unpredictable

opal cloak
#

Racc are you dumb

tired scaffold
#

The predictable nature of weather

cerulean canyon
#

Ah yes because weather is predictable

#

You can't count on the weather for anything

stark harness
#

Putin & the gang are fucking insane but I’d imagine even they understand that nukes in this situation would be like pouring oil into a fire

keen sorrel
#

You seem to be really overthinking a situation that russia doesn't have a reason to ever be in

opal cloak
#

Yes the wind universally blows the same way everywhere and its also predictable and all nuclear fallout is gotten rid of in a matter of hours

tired scaffold
#

Weaponry that relies on weather to not cause friendly casualties was decided to be a bad idea in WWI

scarlet crown
#

I say we should cover this topic up, this discussion is pointless

stark harness
#

^

cerulean canyon
#

I agree

fierce arch
nocturne bobcat
#

This is a lot of hypotheticals

grand pier
#

@fierce arch nuclear fallout reaching a NATO country would trigger article 5 since it can be constructed as an attack on the country

silk iron
#

Understanding the rationale behind the usage of a nuclear option is difficult, and as @nocturne bobcat puts it purely hypothetical

fierce arch
#

only if the country wants to trigger article 5

azure plover
#

real people are in an intense amount of danger at the moment and it's not worth the mindless speculation. best to move on

fierce arch
#

which

#

since nukes

grand pier
#

@fierce arch trust me every single eastern NATO country is waiting for the slightest excuse

fierce arch
#

no they arent

#

they know

frail gulch
#

so

#

Transnystria amirite

silk iron
#

you mean that splinter state in moldova which still thinks it's communist and part of Russia?

frail gulch
#

yes

silk iron
#

and may have given military access to Russian troops?

frail gulch
#

I know someone who was a stone throw away from it

silk iron
#

i haven't followed up on that

opal cloak
#

Wonder who russia plans on going after next

frail gulch
#

the rest of Georgia, central Asia, idk

cerulean canyon
fierce arch
#

no

silk iron
#

Russia will be trying to stabilise it's economy, and supress the Ukrainian insurgents, in the event they do succeed.

frail gulch
#

North Kazakhstan

opal cloak
#

I think putin definitely has more plans

fierce arch
#

honestly

#

he doesnt

cerulean canyon
#

This is all assuming he's successful in his takeover of Ukraine

fierce arch
#

sage

cerulean canyon
#

Racc, where are your links

#

No seriously

stone vigil
#

Putin wants the old Soviet block back and he wants NATO pushed away from Moscow

opal cloak
#

If he fails with ukriane i wonder if he'll pick another former bloc contry to go after

#

Yeah

fierce arch
#

ohbmy god

#

sage

#

everything in this is speculation

scarlet crown
#

yeah this discussion really drifted offtopic, im going to bed

silk iron
#

@opal cloak if he completely fails with Ukraine and is fully repelled it'll be the end of his 'presidency'

azure plover
#

please stop doing that

cerulean canyon
#

So was my statement???

rare walrus
cerulean canyon
#

I literally said "assuming"

opal cloak
#

Some speculation can still be more likely to be correct than some others

scarlet crown
#

peace to everyone, prayers for kyiv 🙏

cerulean canyon
rare walrus
opal cloak
#

I can speculate that tomorrow america is going to send the entirety of its military to ukraine

zealous rapids
#

I thought we were talked about Ukraine

azure plover
#

there's already so much misinformation that can be going around. it's already hard enough to discern facts from speculation. please don't add to it and create even more tension and chaos here

opal cloak
#

Obviously disproveable

azure plover
#

take care, ein. stay safe

silk iron
#

Does anyone have any links on how the Ukrainian refugees are doing?

#

i think that's somewhere which won't have any disinfo

stark harness
#

Hmm

rare walrus
#

i hear that ireland and poland dropped the need for a visa for ukranians to get into their countries, but other than that i havent heard anything

cerulean canyon
#

Last I heard it was just Poland

zealous rapids
#

Why did Ireland do it. Aren’t they a bit far

rare walrus
silk iron
#

Ireland likes to help people (potato famine and all), and they benefit from migration economically, and diplomatic clout for assisting refugees.

zealous rapids
#

Oh

keen sorrel
#

Can't help being far away I guess

zealous rapids
#

Ye

keen sorrel
#

Although they did get roped into the discourse ™️ earlier

zealous rapids
#

Cause u need to forbeough lots to get there

grizzled steeple
#

What did i miss?

zealous rapids
nocturne bobcat
stone vigil
#

The more countries the better. Poland will be overwhelmed if all refugees just stay there so spreading them out relieves some of the burden on systems of Poland

frail gulch
silk iron
#

I think there are those more informed than myself on the Irish political stance towards Ukrainian refugees - i'm assuming from my prior knowledge

azure plover
#

with that being said about refugees: i'd like to pass on this link where you can donate to hatzalah ukraine, which is a crisis organization that has been working on saving ukrainian jews in the cherkasy region to find refuge outside of ukraine https://thechesedfund.com/avior-victims-of-terror-inc/hatzalah?aff=Help

silk iron
#

The migrant crisis will be like 2014-2015 all over again - the EU will have to work together to space out the hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian refugees across all member states fairly.

leaden grove
nocturne bobcat
#

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/central-european-countries-prepare-receive-ukrainian-refugees-2022-02-24/
Here's some more info about who's actively offering aid to Ukrainian refugees

Reuters

Thousands of Ukrainians fleeing war with Russia started arriving in neighbouring central European countries on Thursday and the region braced for many more, setting up reception points and sending troops towards the borders to provide assistance.

cerulean canyon
#

Bbc has thicc urls

nocturne bobcat
#

Plus who's sending aid to Ukraine

nocturne bobcat
#

Amazingly the article wasn't paywalled

cerulean canyon
#

Jesus

frail gulch
nocturne bobcat
#

That's a biggin

stark harness
cerulean canyon
#

Chomky

stark harness
#

100% bless, paywalling info during this crisis would be fucking messed up

nocturne bobcat
#

Yup yup agreed Sylvie

rare walrus
azure plover
#

does reuters paywall?

nocturne bobcat
#

Generally yeah

cerulean canyon
#

I appreciate the new York times and the Washington Post making their articles available instead of being like "pay one dollar to read more"

azure plover
#

didn't know that, ty

stark harness
#

Bloomberg credible?

silk iron
#

@frail gulch well i remember last year Belarus tried that with Poland, using Kurdish migrants they took in - what there needs to be is a coordinated effort from the EU to ensure the mass migration is as streamlined and stable as possible. Fortunately I believe most Europeans are in solidarity with the Ukrainian people and will at least tolerate the migrants so you won't end up with right wing reactionary movements like last decade.

nocturne bobcat
#

Np, Reuters generally paywalls articles but they make ones available if they're pertinent to important ongoing events

#

usually

frail gulch
silk iron
#

ah right

azure plover
#

this isn't total scripture, but this is a media bias chart that may help when trying to stick to unbiased/objective trustworthy sources

frail gulch
#

because Turkey """""""""cares""""""""" about Syrian migrants

silk iron
#

Turkey did take in the most migrants of all countries from Syria tho do remember - even if they aren't properly tolerated.

frail gulch
#

Turkey is using the Syrians as bargaining chips against the EU, and have been for the past 7 years

leaden grove
#

^^^^

zealous rapids
#

Is kyiv under control yet?

frail gulch
#

Why else would they threaten to open the border to Bulgaria and Greece?

leaden grove
#

Under control of who?

zealous rapids
#

russia

frail gulch
leaden grove
#

lmaoo

leaden grove
viral junco
leaden grove
#

Check again in the morning, at the earliest

cerulean canyon
#

That was one hell of a spelling error lmao

#

I swear I saw a b

leaden grove
#

That was an autocorrect error smh

cerulean canyon
#

Omg

#

Damn autocorrect

stone vigil
#

Kyiv will probably hold out as long as they physically can

#

They people defending Kyiv have a lot more reasons to fight than the Russians laying siege

silk iron
#

urban warfare can become extremely bloody and bogged down

#

I really hope most of the civilians, who aren't fighting to defend their country, get out

copper monolith
viral junco
#

no news on him

copper monolith
#

wtf he looks like a man now, where's the chubby pig boi from 2016

clear creek
#

Have we all forgotten about the russian opesition leader still being in jail

#

Hope they raid his prison soon free him so he can lead a anit putin rebelion

silk iron
#

Alexei Navalny?

clear creek
#

The one and onley

silk iron
#

i think that's wishful thinking tbh

clear creek
#

We somtimes need to wich for tings to cling onto

grand pier
#

pretty sure he's near impossible to break out, isnt he in one of the siberian work camps the government denies exists?

leaden grove
#

This was reported by the army, if it‘s true this is huge

split aurora
#

IL-76 carries 120-230troops

#

a huge tragic loss of life, but also a gigantic military win for ukraine

#

if that is true

hushed magnet
#

sadly tho this is war, there is a huge inevitable loss of life no matter what

split aurora
#

uk acting to prevent all ukranian refugees entering

#

fucking bastards

hushed magnet
#

least xenophobic uk law

zinc talon
leaden grove
#

Yep

split aurora
#

such is the nature of the horror of war

azure plover
nocturne osprey
zinc talon
#

Pls check before posting stuff

clear creek
#

Ok just for one second may those men rest in peace most of them propely didend now what they where getting into

hushed magnet
#

i mean no matter what its a tragic loss

#

no one deserves to die for this shit

nocturne bobcat
#

Just a super gentle friendly remembly that Twitter isn't a reliable source - if there's sources credited within the Tweet then that's different of course. Just be sure to know where the info is coming from. birbok

clear creek
#

But also fuck putin for starting this

nocturne osprey
#

Grateful to all members of the UN Security Council 🇦🇱 🇧🇷 🇫🇷 🇬🇦 🇬🇭 🇮🇪 🇰🇪 🇲🇽 🇳🇴 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 who voted to stop 🇷🇺 treacherous attack on 🇺🇦 & 🇺🇳 Charter. The veto of 🇷🇺 is a bloodstain on its plaque in the Security Council, the map of Europe & 🌎. Anti-war coalition must act immediately!

Likes

6139

Retweets

1201

hushed magnet
#

sadly the reality is that death is inevitable in war 😔

nocturne osprey
hollow hollow
#

there's unconfirmed reports that ukrainian air defenses have shot down a russian il-76 full of paratroopers, that's huge if true

split aurora
#

BBC report of some noteable instances of fake news

haughty yew
#

From CNN

#

I hope this one is fake

split aurora
#

the images are available on twitter
extremely gorey, I advise you don't google it. And don't repost it here if you do

#

Ukraine are compiling that as part of evidence of war crimes

zinc talon
#

They also attacked a hospital with cluster ammunition

lofty wind
#

jfc

haughty yew
#

wtf Putin

icy ridge
#

So do we have a chance of kicking out ru from security Council?

warm marsh
icy ridge
#

:(

warm marsh
#

Originally, Nationalist China (now the Republic of China, located in Taiwan) was a permanent member of the UN Security Council, but in the 1970s, following Communist China's victory in the Chinese Civil War in the 50s, they (the CCP) argued that Nationalist China/Taiwan shouldn't hold the seat, and managed to win

warm marsh
woven merlin
#

any resolution is for symbolic purposes to show russian isolation from the rest of the world

nocturne osprey
azure plover
#

jesus

zealous rapids
#

Holy

haughty yew
#

Well shit

grizzled steeple
#

I didnt know missiles were that long

nocturne osprey
zealous rapids
#

They are like whole truck bed long

grizzled steeple
#

Like "heres a car for scale"

haughty yew
zealous rapids
#

I was not gonna show here but I’ll dm if you want

#

Oh

#

Some range to 30M

#

I guess not

#

You should add a spoiler

#

Not sure if people wanna see that

nocturne osprey
#

yea

solid adder
#

why

zealous rapids
#

I was gonna dm rather than show it here

copper monolith
#

long

zealous rapids
#

Cause don’t wanna scare people

#

No

solid adder
#

big

zealous rapids
#

Bruh

#

Do a spoiler

nocturne osprey
#

idfk why the spoiler didn't work

zealous rapids
#

It’s two ||

#

Around the text

nocturne osprey
#

🤨

grizzled steeple
#

Nope

zealous rapids
#

Bruh

solid adder
#

🗿

zealous rapids
#

Hold up

nocturne osprey
#

I am enabling the spoiler maybe they just don't work in threads?

solid adder
#

lemme try

#

there

#

ez

nocturne osprey
#

thanks

zealous rapids
#

Bruh how

#

Is it cause I’m on phone

azure plover
#

you can do it on a phone now

nocturne osprey
#

probably

icy ridge
#

One hour ago it's now up to the rest of the General Assembly

nocturne osprey
azure plover
#

tap the picture and select "add spoiler" or something

solid adder
#

6 pixels

#

ftw

grizzled steeple
icy ridge
#

Yeah.....General Assembly is gonna vote on it now since UNSC is paralyzed

zealous rapids
#

Huh

grizzled steeple
#

Well considering its focus is on a member of the SC, i think that would be a given (regardless who it is)

zealous rapids
#

Probably

zinc talon
icy ridge
hollow hollow
#

what was that resolution even trying to do, besides criticize russia? if that’s all it is, who cares if it passes

#

i thought the un was meant to be stronger than the league of nations, turns out they’re basically the same

icy ridge
zinc talon
nocturne osprey
#

wow

copper monolith
#

I sure hope when I wake up and there's still a Kyiv left

scarlet crown
#

as much as i wanted to rest, the coffee rush does not allow me

azure plover
#

you holding up ok?

scarlet crown
#

Yeah

#

Just feels surreal man

scarlet crown
#

Be worried about upcoming exams

#

to have this all suddenly fall onto us

zinc talon
scarlet crown
#

Still in Odessa, it's surprisingly quiet

#

There were countless rumours and predictions that we'd take the attack first due to our location

hushed magnet
#

stay safe out there the best you can

zinc talon
scarlet crown
#

but, fortunately or not, there hadn't been any dangerous movement

#

of course, we still follow the guidelines and expect future directives

azure plover
#

i know of someone from odessa as well and she sounds as if she's been terrified. i hope that both of you and your families remain safe

scarlet crown
#

but the situation is very mild compared to other cities

#

Kharkiv, Chernigov, Kyiv

#

Mariupol, Melitopol

azure plover
#

unimaginable regardless

#

so sorry that you have to go through this

scarlet crown
#

what can i say

#

Whatever happens - happens

#

I know that my people are set for victory and will do everything in their strength to achieve it

#

No one wants Ukraine to fall. Not again

hushed magnet
#

yeah i really hope it goes well for you guys

scarlet crown
#

What's up with Kyiv: most official news sources say that occupants are trying to destroy CHP-6, while also committing landing operations in Vasylkiv

warm marsh
silk iron
#

how's Ukraine doing?

warm marsh
#

Here's also hoping that the Russian people manage to do something successfully against Putin. Maybe this war will be a wake up call, but given Putin's history of cracking down on protests, it's gonna take a lot of guts for the Russian people to stand up to him

silk iron
#

I heard Russia was isolated at the UNSC, China abstaining

warm marsh
#

I may be wrong, but from what I've heard, the Russians have been slowed down somewhat, and that President Zelensky is "discussing possible ceasefire talks with Russia" (according to the Independent).

nocturne osprey
warm marsh
#

I don't how well they did today, but I do know that the "Ghost of Kyiv" has been fucking up the Russian Air Force

solid adder
#

Wasn’t ghost of kyiv fake

#

Or am I wrong

#

I thought I read a post about it being fake

azure plover
#

explosions in kyiv right now

solid adder
#

ono

scarlet crown
#

There's a lot of controversy regarding ghost of kyiv

loud olive
#

the whole thing is dire

loud olive
#

so I can only wish you the best

scarlet crown
warm marsh
scarlet crown
#

i mean it works

warm marsh
#

Ukrainians need every bit of morale they could get

loud olive
#

they sure do, they need support and most of all they need to not feel alone

solid adder
#

Well I meannnn

#

They kinda are

loud olive
#

well the whole of Europe is backing them up, but they can't go all guns blazing

#

I mean France has offered military support, I think Bojo is a little too caught up in Vegan saussage rolls to make a statement yet

#

Germany supports them

molten tartan
#

any news?

warm marsh
#

Isn't Germany all caught up in that energy-supply controversy (then again, isn't all of Western Europe)?

mild heart
#

Probably sanctions tbh

silk iron
#

Scholtz is resisting putting sanctions on SWIFT, and the Russian energy sector, however he has delayed the certification of Nord Stream 2

split aurora
loud olive
split aurora
#

france has a lot of domestic nuclear power

loud olive
#

it's a mass takeover of the Capital at this point

split aurora
#

uk gets a lot from british north sea drilling / imported from norway

loud olive
zealous rapids
#

I hate talking about this stuff at dinner

#

Soem people feel strongly about their ideas and don’t let others talk

loud olive
#

and almost all of the EU are backing Ukraine, by cutting off things like bank and oil to Russia

mild heart
# loud olive yeah The US UK and Canada have Sanctioned russia

Boris Johnson announced extra defensive weapons are being sent to Ukraine as he said further sanctions are in reserve for what could be a "protracted struggle".

A number of Conservative and Labour MPs have urged Mr Johnson to toughen the penalties already announced, which affect five banks and three individual oligarchs.

"Let the House be in n...

▶ Play video
loud olive
scarlet crown
silk iron
#

The UK seems to be really bloody confused atm, apparently there's £2 mil funnelled into the Tory party over the past 3 years from Oligarchs.

tame harness
#

I don't think the sanctions will be enough

silk iron
#

But at the same time Bojo sees the Russo-Ukrainian war as an opportunity to show leadership and make a break from partygate.

loud olive
scarlet crown
loud olive
scarlet crown
#

It's truly the most deciding battle at the moment

loud olive
#

I think so too

zealous rapids
loud olive
#

I mean... some people don't have a choice

dull crane
#

Isn’t there mandatory conscription in Ukraine rn? I think the girl I know said that there was

#

for able bodied men

silk iron
#

yh

#

between 18-60

zealous rapids
#

What’s conscription

dull crane
#

you have to fight

zealous rapids
#

Ah

dull crane
#

They do

silk iron
#

where you are forced to serve in the armed forces reserves

split aurora
zealous rapids
#

Oh like a draft

silk iron
#

yep

split aurora
#

Ukraine has launched General Mobilisation

#

All men 18-60 must fight
All citzens 18+ not mandated to can join the fight at request (so women and retired men)

dull crane
#

I think the girl I know said her cousin might have to fight 😬

split aurora
#

ukraine is giving guns to anyone who will take them

#

20k+ given out to people in kyiv

scarlet crown
zealous rapids
#

Ein are you 18+

scarlet crown
#

no sadly

zealous rapids
#

Oh

scarlet crown
#

If i was, I'd spend my time out there

#

My main weapon for now is media and internet

silk iron
#

well a noble idea

split aurora
#

Reminder guys, the most effective thing you can do to help ukraine is to donate to Charities on the ground, links are in Pinned messages rtgameHeart

zealous rapids
scarlet crown
#

Or come in as a volunteer, i heard that works too

dull crane
#

The yellow in the flag represents wheat, I thought it’d be something more meaningful

silk iron
#

welp you don't donate

dull crane
#

Although yellow also means joy

silk iron
#

only Ukrainian nationals in foreign countries can volunteer

split aurora
zealous rapids
#

Ok

scarlet crown
dull crane
#

Ye

silk iron
#

A lot of people have huge financial worries looming over them right now - so donations will be limited sadly.

split aurora
silk iron
#

these worries have been made even worse with the oil prices spiking - thx Putin

solid adder
#

bitchass Putin

silk iron
#

Ukraine is the bread basket of Europe

dull crane
#

Ще не вмерла України і слава, і воля

#

Like the national anthem says

tired scaffold
#

A lot of history is built on wheat

dull crane
#

Ukraine has not yet perished

split aurora
#

ukraine makes a gigantic amount of the worlds flour, one thing people have overlooked

icy ridge
#

What's the status of Ukraine.....

#

Or Kyiv

silk iron
#

err the status is sketchy very up in the air

split aurora
icy ridge
#

Or Kyiv

dull crane
split aurora
#

a night of hell awaits

scarlet crown
split aurora
#

ah

silk iron
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the siege of kyiv will likely be bloody over night

dull crane
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A lot of misinformation is being spread as expected

silk iron
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apparently there are talks being arranged tomorrow between Zelensky and Putin

dull crane
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Sheesh it’s early in Ukraine rn

zealous rapids
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It’s probably gonna be more guérilla warfare than organized

icy ridge
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🙏🙏🙏 is it intensifying right now since it's night over there?

dull crane
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Guess you can’t sleep? Guess I wouldn’t be able to either

silk iron
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perhaps a compromise will be reached and lives will be spared, and sanctions will be removed

dull crane
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It’s 3am

icy ridge
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Oh god then how is siege going

silk iron
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don't know tbh

scarlet crown
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It's that simple

split aurora
dull crane
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Yeah

split aurora
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presumeably as the effectiveness of civilian guerillas is massively reduced after dark

scarlet crown
icy ridge
split aurora
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~3h till ukraine sunrise

split aurora
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based kazakhstan

#

never thought id say that but here we are

#

fucking uk

scarlet crown
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Yep

#

The whole duality of EU

icy ridge
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How about Scotland and Wales? Pretty sure they would accept right

split aurora
icy ridge
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England tho is basically the UK

split aurora
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this is westminster law

icy ridge
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Yeah 🥲🥲

split aurora
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not a devolved matter

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I do fear this will see the start of a new iron curtain

icy ridge
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Oh this is definitely a Cold War II

split aurora
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Massive troop walls, closed borders, and airspace closed, even when peacetime returns

icy ridge
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And the Iron Curtain being the Nato Border

split aurora
icy ridge
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That is definitely not going to go well