#the_ukraine_situation

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split aurora
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anonymous commiting cyber attacks against russia

icy ridge
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Would a cyberattack really constitute an Article 5?

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Onto another NATO nation?

split aurora
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Only if it was a huge scale

warm marsh
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"That's up to the NATO alliance."

split aurora
warm marsh
icy ridge
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WOO THEY ARE ACKNOWLEDGING THE PROTESTS!

nocturne osprey
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who are

icy ridge
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The Press Secretary basically the White House

nocturne osprey
#

ah

haughty yew
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That’s good

warm marsh
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US is prepared to accept Ukrainian refugees, but will place focus on European nations to accept refugees

icy ridge
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Also I would recommend to stay in EU than US for ahem....reasons

warm marsh
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Don't see any increased threat of nuclear weapon usage

split aurora
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several european nations haver opened the floodgates

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romania, belarus, moldova, poland, portugal, ireland, lithuania

opal cloak
warm marsh
split aurora
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yeah

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i highly doubt the uk will let any significant amount in

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given how we currently treat refugees

icy ridge
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Yeah.....

nocturne osprey
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uh oh

warm marsh
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We Americans aren't much better

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Russians are holding Chernobyl plant staff hostage.... Holy shit

icy ridge
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GOD SPEED UKRAINE PLEASE

solid adder
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rip

icy ridge
opal cloak
warm marsh
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But it's a bit more complicated than that

icy ridge
solid adder
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Less than I was expecting

silk iron
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it's still early days yet

solid adder
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Yes

silk iron
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also plenty of underreporting

icy ridge
warm marsh
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Here's hoping that the sanctions actually work, and we don't end up with another Crimea

silk iron
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they probably won't work in the short term, but it depends on the level of unrest amongst Russian citizens in Russia itself

icy ridge
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Ukraine really is pleading for help

silk iron
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there ain't no cavalry coming over the hill

icy ridge
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Ugh it just pains me to just watch them fall

warm marsh
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Ukraine wants short term aid (which makes sense) but everyone else wants to focus on the long term

silk iron
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there aren't many arms which can delivered to Ukraine, particularly on such short notice.

icy ridge
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o7

warm marsh
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Fucking Ted Cruz. what the hell

haughty yew
warm marsh
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He's speaking at CPAC at the moment and called on the attendees to boo Psaki

split aurora
silk iron
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...on top of that given Ukraine is surrounded with Belarus to the north and Russia to the east and their navy in the south, the arms could easily fall into the wrong hands.

split aurora
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Russians in Kyiv, the President is going nowhere

warm marsh
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We're in the midst of a global crisis and he's fucking calling her names

warm marsh
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You don't know the start. Asshole tried to "vacation" in Mexico last year as Texas's power grid was down due to bad (and cold weather).... If you know anything about Texas, they aren't used to the cold

nocturne osprey
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⚡️Zelensky: Today, I asked 27 European leaders whether Ukraine would join NATO. Everyone is afraid, they do not answer.

⚡️Zelensky: But we are not afraid of anything. Not afraid of Russia. Not afraid to talk to Russia, to talk about security guarantees for our state, about the neutral status. We are not in NATO now, but what guarantees will we have? And what countries will give them to us?

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icy ridge
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Why can't NATO just give membership now and immediately helped Ukraine??? They are literally calling "Where are they???"

zealous rapids
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His moneys down.

warm marsh
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Because, NATO doesn't want to go into direct war with Russia, their economies are dependent on Russia's fuel

split aurora
icy ridge
silk iron
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yep

split aurora
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Russia threatened nuclear strikes on anyone who intervened

nocturne osprey
silk iron
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but also no European countries want to escalate things or be drawn into a long war, there is in obligation for NATO countries to protect Ukraine since it wasn't part of NATO.

warm marsh
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As much as I want to see the cavalry charge down the hill and kick the Russians back to Moscow, I don't want to see our world nuked to hell and back

zealous rapids
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Ye

split aurora
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https://twitter.com/antoguerrera/status/1496848585882746881 Well done to everyone who helped shut down Germany's nuclear power industry to replace it with coal, oil and gas straight from Moscow

GERMAN ECONOMY MINISTER HABECK SAYS 50% OF OUR COAL COMES FROM RUSSIA

GERMAN ECONOMY MINISTER HABECK SAYS 55% OF OUR GAS FROM RUSSIA

GERMAN ECONOMY MINISTER HABECK SAYS 35% OF OUR OIL COMES FROM RUSSIA

Reuters - #Ukraine

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icy ridge
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It just hurts 🥲 yeah I don't want the world to escalate to ww3 but just seeing Ukraine falling 🥲

silk iron
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not much can be done really, best we can as Europeans can do is ensure Ukrainian refugees are well looked after

copper monolith
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heard over the shitty propaganda that my dad was listening to on his laptop (cuz Rossyja1 is blocked on cable), and they were just talking about sending convoys of "humanitarian aid" for all the Donbass people fleeing fighting, and also all the infrastructure that the rebels are destroying all by themselves, nothing about them bombing civilian towns

split aurora
copper monolith
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huh

icy ridge
copper monolith
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I mean there's a sizeable population of russians here, so we get some russian tv, or used to

split aurora
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(For those who haven't heard the story, during the 1939-1940 Soviet invasion of finland, soviet foreign minister Molotof promised to drop breadbaskets over Helsinki to feed the population.
The breadbaskets were filled with cluster bombs, to kill civilians who tried to take the bread
The finnish troops decided they needed a drink to go with the bread, and that is how the Moltof (Molotov) Cocktail was named!)

icy ridge
copper monolith
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molotov also made lithuania and other baltic states a buffer zone lol

split aurora
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Last communication of the 13 ukranians on snake island

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absolute hero's

silk iron
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o7

split aurora
#

The 13men held out against naval bombardment and invasion for several hours, fighting to the last man

copper monolith
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snake island?

icy ridge
split aurora
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Population of only about 100

copper monolith
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man

split aurora
#

Russian war crime hiding technology!

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Mobile crematoriums to take care of those nasty civilian casualties

silk iron
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oh no

hollow hollow
haughty yew
hollow hollow
split aurora
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o7

royal nymph
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o7

mild heart
royal nymph
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Literal chads

warm marsh
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The Russians are gonna have to fight tooth and nail if they want to fully secure Ukraine. Taking Kyiv won't mark the end of the fight

hushed magnet
scenic galleon
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May those heroes rest in peace, Godspeed

hushed magnet
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i hope im proven wrong, but i dont know how much of a chance there is against russia

split aurora
hushed magnet
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ukraine is putting up a fight at least, which is great to see
and it looks like theres a lot of protesting from inside russia too

split aurora
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Russia done goofed up!

royal nymph
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Watch the Pacific DLC drop soon

split aurora
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Ukranian air force today

royal nymph
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China violated the Taiwanese air defense zone the same day Russia invaded Ukraine

lofty heart
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China does that all the time

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It means very little

hollow hollow
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happens every week

split aurora
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There's (unverified) reports that a ukranian Mig-29 pilot has become a fighter ace today

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Being referred to online as The Ghost of Kyiv

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How likely? Dunno!

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It's.... most likely not true

mild heart
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I so hope it’s true

split aurora
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it's fucking amazing if true, and I hope it is, but It's unlikely

silk iron
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it's fantastic morale boosting

split aurora
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ukraine is still operating its air force, and getting periodic supremacy

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eg during the assault on the airport, russian troops were getting hounded by ukranian air support

mild heart
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The fact that they still have an Air Force is brilliant

split aurora
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Theres certainly been enough planes downed for this to be possible

hollow hollow
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two flanker-e's in an old mig? give that guy all the medals holy shit

mild heart
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Yeah that is not an easy job

split aurora
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He's in a mig-29 too supposedly, that plane started production in 1981

mild heart
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Never count out the migs, they may be old but they’re still good at what they do

split aurora
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aye

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Helicopters count for aerial kills too, which helps

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Since choppers can't exactly do much faced with a mig blasting at them

hollow hollow
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all the aircraft listed are jets tho, if that report is accurate that dude is tom fucking cruise

split aurora
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This is floating around

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now, at first, 65500 seems a very big number

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but thats nano siverts

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thats about 65.5 microsiverts, a chest x-ray is 100

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Chernobyl not gonna kill us yet 😌

nocturne bobcat
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Well luckily Chernobyl will almost certainly be a non-issue anyway

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I maintain, Russia isn't about to start leaking radioactive stuff or nuke land it's trying to conquer

split aurora
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The jump up is.... weird, but its far from any harmful levels

nocturne bobcat
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Yup yup

split aurora
nocturne bobcat
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Yup yup

split aurora
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just go to one of their power plants and asks for some spare uranium waste

nocturne bobcat
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Or just nuke whoever

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Precision and all that

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But yeah agreed, and it's a bit interesting seeing how many media outlets keep reporting on Chernobyl like it's gonna be the smoking gun in this war somehow

silk iron
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sensationalism

nocturne bobcat
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Yeahhhh

hushed magnet
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yeah i mean, i dont see why russia having chernobyl alone would make any difference at all

nocturne bobcat
hushed magnet
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using it as a weapon would be a dumb idea, and why would they need to use chernobyl when they could just drop a few of their own nukes

split aurora
silk iron
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media sources know it triggers the memories of those who were old enough to remember the Chernobyl disaster back in 1986.

nocturne bobcat
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But idk why they keep alluding to possibilities of it being used as a weapon or chess piece or whatever

split aurora
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from belarus into kyiv chernobyl stood in the way, and made for a significant defensive point

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hence the several hour battle there

silk iron
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and also those who fear nuclear power/ radioactive waste etc.

hushed magnet
keen sorrel
nocturne bobcat
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Spooky radioactive yellow potassium fruits

silk iron
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well that's rather different, and the banana example is used to de-mystify and quantify radiation dosages.

nocturne bobcat
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But it's radioactive!

silk iron
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put things into perspective if you will

nocturne bobcat
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OOoOOOoO

silk iron
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so were MRI scanners

nocturne bobcat
hushed magnet
nocturne bobcat
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Sorry I'm going off the rails a bit lol

silk iron
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who isnt

hushed magnet
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its easy to make people who dont really know any better to think "wow russia could lead radiation and kill everyone, thats scary"

nocturne bobcat
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True

hushed magnet
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especially with "Chernobyl" in the headline

mild heart
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The thing is even if Russia could do something with Chernobyl it would negatively impact them as well

silk iron
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Probably the only region people actually recognise in Ukraine

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maybe Crimea

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and Kiev or Kyiv as the capital

copper monolith
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After 15 hours of keeping up with this, it's time to sleep, hopefully I'll wake up and theres still a ukraine, and no extreme radiation lol

silk iron
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gn

nocturne bobcat
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Night Val, get some rest!

gloomy spear
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Good night Val

silk iron
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Ukraine will probably last at least another 4 days at min

nocturne osprey
mild heart
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Night val, have a good rest

split aurora
silk iron
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who knows though, if demoralisation sets in

split aurora
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it increased to 65500 nanosiverts

nocturne osprey
split aurora
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thats 65.5 microsiverts

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a chest x-ray is 100

silk iron
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it's a huge percentage increase, but the absolute increase is still negligible

nocturne bobcat
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Not sure if it's been mentioned here already but Putin's been meeting with Russian oligarchs apparently

silk iron
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people often get worried when the increased risk of cancer or heart disease is 100x

split aurora
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people on twitter about being el stupide about them

silk iron
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but generally speaking if the risk is 0.00001% the rise to 0.001% isn't that big a deal

nocturne bobcat
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Probs just filling them in but it's causing a shit storm rn in F1 cause one of those Russian oligarchs was Dmitry Mazepin

silk iron
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perhaps on a grand scale if it effects the entire population such a proportion increase will impact general public health...

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what am i on about again?

nocturne bobcat
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And there's a substantial amount of other high profile oligarchs and I just wanna know the meetings are about specifically tbh

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Peaked my curiosity

split aurora
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the effect is negligible in the context of the environment as a whole

nocturne bobcat
split aurora
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theres been a lot of calls to cancel the sochi grand prix

nocturne bobcat
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Yup, Vettel said he wasn't going to race in the Russian GP

split aurora
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vettel has stated he'll boycott the event if its not cancelled

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ye

nocturne bobcat
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Yeye

split aurora
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tbf i dont know to what degree the fia has control

silk iron
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i hope it gets cancelled tbh

split aurora
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as they have a habit of signing contracts to agree "we will go to your track every race for X years"

silk iron
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but im completely uninformed

nocturne bobcat
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Right yeah

split aurora
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and breaking a contract like that is hard

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without getting into legal difficulties

mild heart
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I mean they cancelled events for covid

nocturne bobcat
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I mean, Haas had to get rid of their Uralkali sponsors

silk iron
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Sochi grand prix will most likely get embargoed either way

nocturne bobcat
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But that's only confirmed to apply to the next test session so idk

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Yeahhh

split aurora
silk iron
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i dont keep up with f1, so woosh

nocturne bobcat
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It's crazy what a ripple this whole situation has had on everywhere is my point

zealous rapids
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I know like we don’t want this. But if it stops war just let them have ukraine?

split aurora
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its just mazepin alone on an empty track, still managing to get 3 safety cars

nocturne bobcat
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It was inevitable to happen to F1, but all the political drama in the motorsport scene feels so insignificant now in the grand scheme of things

split aurora
# silk iron i dont keep up with f1, so woosh

tldr: his dad is a russian billionaire oligarch and payed nikita's way into the Hass f1 team last year: he's shown to be a fucking woeful driver and well below the f1 quality standard

silk iron
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@nocturne bobcat throughout history it's always tensions in Europe which kick the hornets nest for the rest of the world

gloomy spear
split aurora
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he's nicknamed "mazespin" because he can't drive his car straight without spinning out

nocturne bobcat
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Appeasement rarely ever satiates a country that wants it all

zinc talon
silk iron
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well appeasement is great when you are dealing with a sane human being with reasonable demands

nocturne bobcat
silk iron
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Putin is, put in the simplest possible way, a 21st century Stalin

nocturne bobcat
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Shocker!

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But yeah no I agree with you

silk iron
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Hitler is a bit too strong a comparison, but yh not quite that evil...

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but very much off the evilometer

zinc talon
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Of the things that have surprised me thus far, I thought we'd see heavier use of electronic warfare and cyber tools to disrupt Ukrainian command, control, and communications. I also feared we'd see a heavier use of fires, including MLRS blanketing areas with cluster munitions.

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225

nocturne bobcat
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I say we go take over Putin's gold mansion in the ocean

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While he's distracted

hushed magnet
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yeah i feel like its easy to over draw comparisons with the past, especially WW2 and Hitler

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when in reality, Putin is not Hitler or Stalin

nocturne bobcat
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There's certainly comparisons to draw but yeah, it's not a 1 to 1

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Not even close to a 1 to 1

hushed magnet
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yeah

zinc talon
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"Compared to its intervention in Syria, the Russian military appears to be taking more efforts to avoid civilian casualties, which tells us something about its ultimate goals. Russia lacks stockpiles of PGMs though, and if they go into cities, civilian casualties will increase. Obviously, Russia hopes that Ukraine or Zelensky will surrender without employing maximum force. The question is what would Russia be willing to do if Ukrainians continue to resist and start an insurgency in cities?"

silk iron
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if you look at appeasement from the British perspective during WW2

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First Germany rearmed and made a naval agreement with the UK in 1935.

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second remilitarisation of the Rhineland in 1936

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france did nothing

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third Anschluss 1938*

hushed magnet
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its definitely important to learn from the past, but simplifying everything to "ok but it didnt work then", doesnt really help anyone

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id say Hitler is a different scenerio because his motives were fairly laid out before hand

zinc talon
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Could we pls refrain from comparing everything to WW1/2?

split aurora
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I think this holds weight

silk iron
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then the cessation of the Sudetenland from Czechoslovakia to the Germans, because ethnic Germans were living there and "suffering oppression under their gov"

split aurora
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They expected a lot more damage during the initial bombardment and hoped for morale-sapping scenes to go on social media

silk iron
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this was part of the Munich agreement IIRC

hushed magnet
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afaik Putin doesnt have any laid out motives of expanding russia into central europe or whatever

zinc talon
silk iron
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Chamberlain's speechs aged horribly "there will be peace in our time"

minor nacelle
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Appeasement was more to do with the fact that Britain wasn't ready for war I thought

split aurora
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weird

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theres something off about almost every way they've been acting

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very uncharacteristic

hushed magnet
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that was a part of it tho

nocturne bobcat
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I mean, encroaching on other territories isn't too far off what Russia does

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There's some really sad but insightful documentaries on the citizens living on the Georgia border for example

silk iron
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@minor nacelle Britain wasn't ready for war nor was France, but Germany certainly wasn't ready back in 1936, and Germany armed faster than the allies - appeasement to stall for rearmament was a failed strategy.

zinc talon
nocturne bobcat
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There was one dude who's house originally started in Georgia, but Russian military forces kept moving their border lines forward more and more every night

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And now his house is in "Russian territory"

mild heart
#

I think I remember seeing something about that

nocturne bobcat
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So you may have heard it there

mild heart
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Oh yeah definitely then lol

zealous rapids
#

How did it go from Ukraine to cars

minor nacelle
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I don't mean to sound like I'm trying to deflect blame because I'm not, but Russia encroaching on other territories as it's doing, I don't really see how it is any different to what the US has done ever since WW2

nocturne bobcat
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So while yes, the sudden violent tactics are a bit uncharacteristic for modern day Russia, the whole taking-land-from-their-neighbors-and-calling-it-their-own thing isn't new tbh

silk iron
#

you have to name specific examples

split aurora
silk iron
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the difference is justification for war

split aurora
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and rn Russia is the one in the wrong as they are the ones doing the conquering and war crimes

zealous rapids
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Where does australia sit in all of this?

silk iron
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idk

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fairly irrel from what i can tell

split aurora
hushed magnet
#

not that i think theres a right way to handle things with russia, but Hitler pretty clearly laid out that he wanted to expand into the east iirc, and had fairly clear motives behind the propaganda
appeasement didnt stop hitler because no matter what, he wanted to expand

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afaik we dont have any idea of what russias motives are beyond ukraine, if there are any at all

silk iron
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Putin has laid out clearly he seeks to recreate greater Russia as well - so not much difference when it comes to expansionists really

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but Putin seeks to establish puppet regimes instead of out right annexing countries

minor nacelle
civic harness
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My mom is saying so much ignorant Information and it’s making my blood boil

silk iron
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be patient

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try and explain things to her

nocturne bobcat
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On the note of school, despite the impending global doom I gotta go knock out psych assignments

silk iron
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gl

minor nacelle
nocturne bobcat
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Will check back in later SayoriFingerguns

civic harness
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No point she’s dead set on the Information she has

silk iron
#

the justification for the current war with Ukraine from Russia is "denazification and demilitarisation"

silk iron
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it's clearly a fabrication

civic harness
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She’s saying Russia “gave” Ukraine its territory

silk iron
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Ukraine split off from Russia as a sovereign people

civic harness
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and that the US is mostly behind it all so that western oil will more valuable and make the western world more richer 😐

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Jesus

warm marsh
silk iron
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demilitarisation is a euphemism for wiping out all military personal who oppose us

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exactly

hushed magnet
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my parents are strongly QAnon, i cant wait to hear what they will think about it

silk iron
#

these justifications are so bs, even many Russians who are swayed by Russian propaganda can tell

civic harness
zinc talon
civic harness
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Stupid

silk iron
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Irredentism is yknow

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it's a branch of Jingoism

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and it's hard to crack through that kind of nationalistic pride with logical reasoning

warm marsh
silk iron
#

anyway the "denazification " claim is also absolute bs

minor nacelle
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I've not been alive for like a long time at all compared to most people but I feel like we're in an age of truth not mattering to people, just whatever backs up their bias

warm marsh
silk iron
#

as has been mentioned many times President Zelensky himself is of Jewish descent

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haven't heard of many Jewish Nazis in my time lets put it that way

warm marsh
#

Putin's just trying to justify it to his own people (those who blindly follow him). Ukraine knows it's bullshit, the US knows it's bullshit, the whole world knows it's bullshit

silk iron
#

Putin might as well just have invaded with the pretext of "might makes right, everyone can go fuck themselves"

silk iron
#

many Russians don't believe it either

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hence the protests

warm marsh
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Trump's been pretty clear on his stance about Putin and the war already. Fox News cut him off earlier today for crying out loud

silk iron
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the justification is so pitiful even those victims to the indoctrination by Russian media are having a hard time saying positive things about the war

minor nacelle
#

There's probably a larger number of Russians opposed to it but, after what happened to Alexei Navalny previously, I imagine a lot are scared to come out in full force

silk iron
#

i think there's a link further up

zinc talon
silk iron
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there were 1000s of protesters in st. Petersburg

civic harness
#

a lot of protesters have been arrested in Russia

silk iron
#

that's also true

zealous rapids
#

Tbh in a way I feel like trump could’ve handled it better because. I feel like if he was with Putin and talking with him he could’ve just like talked him down or war

vocal wren
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There has been a Ukraine pilot who has allegedly won 6 airfights, but I am having a hard time finding any sources on this claim, does anyone have any info about it?

silk iron
#

many Russian parents will see their young men coming back with horrific injuries - and no amount of propaganda can twist that narrative

civic harness
#

according to the French president The Putin in 2019 is different from the Putin today. He’s more colder and isolated

lofty wind
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aren't the conditions for the russian soldiers shit anyways

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morale's gotta be low at least somewhat

civic harness
#

I keep seeing TikTok’s of Russian soldiers

zealous rapids
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Huh

silk iron
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from what i've heard many Russian commanders are corrupt and some use soldiers to build their houses or do work on their property

vocal wren
zealous rapids
#

Do you guys think the armies would ever revolt against him.

vocal wren
silk iron
#

@zealous rapids natm

civic harness
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That’s hard to say. Armies are meant to be obedient

zinc talon
civic harness
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They can’t do anything without structure

vocal wren
#

Exactly what im trying to do

minor nacelle
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I suspect it'll depend on the level of nationalism within the army

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And/or patriotism

silk iron
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if Russia loses this war the chances of a coup would be fairly high

civic harness
silk iron
#

but i don't think Russia is going to lose, at the very least large chunks of Ukraine east of the Dnieper will be occupied in the comnig days

zinc talon
civic harness
#

Ah ok

zealous rapids
#

I think trump is playing with Putin. In a way I think eh know how Putin acts. And he may think that this prasied and acknowledging him will stop him@

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Cause like think about it since his presidency he’s really only beeen criticiZed

civic harness
#

Ok thanks

vocal wren
civic harness
#

Also I don’t want to be that person but I don’t think ww3 will be happening unless Russia invades Ukraine and then proceed to travel outside of it into nato territory

vocal wren
#

Thats what it seems like Wallnut

civic harness
#

unfortunately worst case scenario Ukraine falls

silk iron
#

sure Putin and Trump are both egotists, but thinking massaging Putins ego is going to make him stop his expansionist ambitions is absurd

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trump is just grabbing media attention again

civic harness
#

Im really really glad that Trump isn’t the president dealing with this

vocal wren
#

Anyways, what some old man that used to be in charge of this country thinks or says is irrelevant to the actual situation at hand

zealous rapids
silk iron
#

exactly

zinc talon
silk iron
#

smart

vocal wren
#

Yeah, it sounds like no one else is going to get involved unless NATO land gets touched

ruby forge
civic harness
#

If they successfully invade Ukraine they’re still gonna border nato states :/

tired scaffold
zinc talon
#

this is from 2016, but still gives an estimation about the area

ruby forge
#

After the Afghanistan withdrawal I really hope he isn’t the guy we have that goes to war

vocal wren
#

@zealous rapidsDude, this really isnt the place to praise him

zealous rapids
#

I’m not praising him

vocal wren
#

Like this channel or this server

zealous rapids
#

Nvm

#

At least that wasn’t the intention of my message

#

I can see how it could’ve been but didn’t think too much of it

civic harness
#

I’ve always romanticised war scenarios and apocalypses. It’s a favourite genre of mine but In reality I understand at how devastating that can be

silk iron
#

well wars are morbidly fascinating

lofty heart
#

fun stories to write, but a very terrifying and depressing reality

silk iron
#

become a lot less fascinating when you see the consequences in person

zinc talon
#

another airstrike is beeing expected in Kyiv in the coming minutes..

zealous rapids
civic harness
#

I like the idea of living in a homestead and farming my own food. But if I truly need to do that for my own survival. That’s scary

lofty heart
#

so that might be why

#

plus we dont really do politics here

#

this is a very special case where the discussion of the war has been allowed

zealous rapids
#

Ok

silk iron
#

This Russo-Ukrainian war has fucked the worlds economy for a few weeks at least - and my god i don't want to know how difficult it'll be providing for the millions of Ukrainian refugees

zinc talon
#

this community is very open and progressive, so it rly doesnt fit the tone (imo)

civic harness
#

And don’t forget the millions of Russian people who will suffer bc of the sanctions

silk iron
#

indeed

zealous rapids
#

Aren’t Russians protesting because of it

civic harness
#

I hope for Russia’s sake they have enough farmland and water to supply every Russian themselves

silk iron
#

hopefully they'll become angry with Putin as they struggle to get by and see through the propaganda.

lofty heart
zealous rapids
#

Fair

zealous rapids
silk iron
#

put simply happy|chonky trump's opinion is fairly irrel, he is well known to spout bs randomly

zealous rapids
#

What’s irrel

silk iron
#

irrelevant

#

not important

zealous rapids
#

Ok

civic harness
silk iron
#

for example if i started talking about how bad my investments are doing for 3 whole paragraphs

#

that's irrelevant atm

zealous rapids
#

Ok

silk iron
#

"no one would give a crap" in the bluntest way

vocal wren
#

You know what else is irrel? This tangent

zealous rapids
#

What’s a tangent

silk iron
#

that was kind of the joke

vocal wren
#

Yeah, I was trying to joke along

lofty heart
#

just google what a tangent is and move on

silk iron
#

a tangent in conversation is where you tail off into a niche or irrelevant part of a conversation

#

for example if i were to talk about how great google is as a company

zealous rapids
#

😥

#

Oh*

vocal wren
#

Anyway, What do you guys think of anonymous attacking Russia through cyber means?

zinc talon
silk iron
#

bruh thats not a tangent dude

silk iron
#

thats just bringing up irrel crap

zinc talon
silk iron
#

look m8

#

you gotta make the jokes land and consistent

#

anyway anonymous attacking Russia is great and all

#

but doesn't add up to much tbh

civic harness
#

There’s a conspiracy that russia is behind all the sudden alt right movements gaining traction in the western world

zinc talon
silk iron
#

i gatekeep the quality of comedy

lofty heart
#

wait

#

I misunderstood

#

I thought we were talking about russia cyber attacking everyone else

#

not the other way around

silk iron
#

i mean Russia props up alt left and alt right groups just to destabilise nations

split aurora
#

Anonymous drift from chaotic good to chaotic evil, definitely on the good side now

silk iron
#

yh anonymous are anarchic-progressive

#

they don't like police state countries which invade other nations

zinc talon
#

don't know how much good this will do tbh.

#

unless they manage to disrupt communication or intel

silk iron
#

little but... it's nice to have them do something productive nowadays

#

it's hard to measure their impact - grey hat hacking from grass roots organisations is nowhere near as damaging as it was in the 2005-2012 period

#

but that's my take

#

dont quote me on it

split aurora
#

thats not an insignificant amount of damage

silk iron
#

probably don't want to mess directly with the Russian military

#

also i'd presume a lot harder to do,

ruby forge
zinc talon
snow pecan
#

Stopping trains is something that’s possible? That’s wild

split aurora
snow pecan
#

Dang

split aurora
#

in 2017 north korea shut down the entire NHS

snow pecan
#

I gotta catch up

split aurora
#

for a day

#

lmao

snow pecan
#

Very “the future is now old man” moment for me

#

Oh I guess cause trains run on electronic systems

#

I was thinking like, a rail train

#

I guess that makes sense

split aurora
#

how much it helped, nobody can know

#

but im not gonna write it off as none

tired scaffold
split aurora
#

and i dont imagine anonymous intends to stop here

snow pecan
split aurora
#

RTs been brought down once again

snow pecan
#

But obviously I can see how a modern train could be hacked so to speak

tired scaffold
snow pecan
#

Idk man I’m clearly not a train expert

silk iron
#

i think anonymous will keep focussing on harassing Russian media disinformation campaigns

tired scaffold
#

But yeah, if you can remotely access the controls at power stations and substations you can turn off the power, but that's not the easy way to disable train services

#

The easy way is to fuck up the signals

snow pecan
#

Ah I see

#

That’s makes a lot of sense, thanks

zinc talon
#

so far airstrike warning seems to've be inaccurate

tired scaffold
#

If you can access railway control boxes and stations, you can set points wrong, you can set signals to red that should be green, etc

#

(Or green that should be red, if you really want to fuck shit up)

woven merlin
# ruby forge https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna17558
Reuters

The White House said on Thursday a media report suggesting that President Joe Biden was presented with options to carry out cyberattacks to disrupt Russia's ability to sustain its military operations in Ukraine, was "wildly off base."

fierce arch
#

does more harm than good

#

also i believe many of the websites just blocked ips not from russia

#

so they didnt get ddosed

fierce arch
#

the russian government can just say "your situations are caused by the west" and channel their hatred towards the us and the eu and etc

#

you can see this in north korea

#

perhaps not the best example, but nonetheless

vocal wren
#

Thing is, there are massive protests in Moscow right now

fierce arch
#

unless they become armed

#

protests dont do much

silk iron
#

as is the fate of most police states

#

but do remember public consciousness shown in protests can come back to bite in years later particularly if they are violently suppressed

#

unfortunately as the tyrants facade is unveiled, the tyrant will move from manipulating his people to draconian measures keeping them in line.

fierce arch
#

the protests becoming armed are also kind out of the question

#

so like

silk iron
#

what good can be achieved, asides from the wishful thinking and the standing together...

#

not much tbh

#

but if Russia encounters resistance in Ukraine

#

or the police cant be paid as much

#

things can change rather quickly

#

...but this is all hypothetical atm

#

and im tired

fierce arch
#

its kind of obvious that ukraine cant win a war against russia directly

#

which is why the idea is to cripple russia's economy so much that the war destabilizes it

silk iron
#

and Putin knows this full well, which is why Russia is focusing on seizing Kyiv to attempt to finish the war ASAP - so the sanctions don't have knock on effects - cutting troops pay, not being able to replenish ammunition/weapons etc.

#

which could cripple morale and supply in the mid-term.

zealous rapids
#

uhh spelling

silk iron
#

not impossible

#

but unlikely, Russians troops view the west as the enemy

#

meanwhile in Afghanistan for example

#

security forces were generally aligned with the Taliban or at least neutral towards them

#

but i'm speculating here as usual

fierce arch
#

troops defecting or deserting is not common

#

like look at both world wars

#

and for it to happen in such a large wave

zealous rapids
#

true, but in an age purely based of money, and the idea of money stuff being more wideknown I dont leave it out of the mix

dull crane
haughty yew
#

“US senators express bipartisan support for emergency aid package” headline from CNN

fierce arch
#

but a good chunk do

#

i think its like 50%

#

but among the younger generations wlel

split aurora
#

First urban siege

#

city of 85k people

fierce arch
#

yeah like

split aurora
#

kiev, siege and border marked on map here

fierce arch
#

i doubt these sanctions will go away anytime soon

royal nymph
#

Can someone confirm something for me

#

Idk if it’s real or not

silk iron
#

im better at disputing than confirming but sure

royal nymph
#

I’ll drop it here

icy ridge
#

Phone just came back online what has happened in the past few hours

split aurora
icy ridge
#

Kyiv??

split aurora
#

no

#

85k town on the way

#

kiev, border and siege are marked here

icy ridge
#

Omg how are they holding up?

split aurora
split aurora
#

but its just a show of force

#

NATO combined massively outstrips russias entire army

haughty yew
fierce arch
#

russia has no plans to attack nato

#

yeah like

split aurora
#

a coalition air force would be bombing moscow within 12hours

fierce arch
#

also nuclear weapons

#

make this a very tricky situation

zealous rapids
#

ye

royal nymph
split aurora
#

fast

zealous rapids
#

whats CSTO

split aurora
#

russian alliance

fierce arch
#

yeah

zealous rapids
#

ah

fierce arch
#

some russian allied states

split aurora
#

Russia, belarus, kazahstan, etc

fierce arch
#

and like

royal nymph
#

Better known as the Goof Troop

fierce arch
#

while those nations are powerful

split aurora
#

Russia's tech is all decades old soviet tech

fierce arch
#

i think the gdp of america's military alone

#

is higher than CSTO excluding russia

stark harness
#

World straight up looking like WW3 but it 99% won’t happen

split aurora
zealous rapids
#

probably i mean the budget may be higher, the budget is like 700 bill

split aurora
#

US military budget is higher then 2nd and 3rd highest globally combined

fierce arch
icy ridge
#

CSTO is basically USSR excluding Ukraine (and the other Eu/NATO countries) right?

fierce arch
#

the budget of america's military

#

versus the gdp of those countries

zealous rapids
#

what about Africa, south america and austrial do they fall anywhere

split aurora
#

oh

#

@fierce archthe US's military budget is worth 50% of Russia' entire GDP

#

lmao

#

wew

fierce arch
#

yeah

split aurora
#

Russias economy is shit

fierce arch
#

aka

split aurora
#

its smaller then italy

fierce arch
#

russia would not have a fun time

silk iron
#

do remember tho that America would take time to mobilise if they intervened in this hypothetical scenario

fierce arch
#

yes

#

but nonetheless

zealous rapids
#

this is quite inetresting

fierce arch
#

the us can mobilize fast

zealous rapids
#

what do you mean by mobilize

#

llike move there

silk iron
#

thanks to military bases positioned all across the world and a streamlined NATO alliance

fierce arch
#

america's is 2.2%

#

if america wants, they could double their military spending

split aurora
#

:/

fierce arch
#

if the war got out of hand

split aurora
#

Konotop is surrounded by heavy russian armour

#

siege likely to be bloody and fast

#

then an assualt to kyiv

#

250km ish distance

silk iron
#

time to mobilise, put simply, "is time take to put troops sitting around doing nothing onto the front lines to fight "

zealous rapids
#

I wonder if a couple of my friends in the millitary may go over?

silk iron
#

probably

#

depends american troops are stationed all around the world

#

but more will be deployed in eastern european NATO countries in the comnig days

fierce arch
#

at the end of the day though russia won't be attacking nato

#

they are scared shitless of it

zealous rapids
#

most likely

silk iron
#

exactly

zealous rapids
#

Honestly at that point putin would dig his own grave

fierce arch
#

putin's goal in this was quite clear - he wanted to topple the democratic ukraine government so it doesnt spread

#

or wants

zealous rapids
#

hell probs take belarus because he wants to reform old soviet union

fierce arch
#

he doesnt

#

thats the thing

#

he could care less

opal cloak
silk iron
#

to do that he needs to take Kyiv dispose of Zelensky's government and install a puppet

#

Belarus is a puppet btw

zealous rapids
#

oh

opal cloak
#

Theyre posting a ton of false information

split aurora
#

iin this instance

fierce arch
#

belarus is basically just a province of russia

rare walrus
#

Ill be honest, with all thats been happening, it seems like what russias doing currently is a rushed sort of plan b, it seems that putin originally wanted ukraine to surrender but since ukraine didnt, they’re trying to go in quickly before either they collapse in on themselves with the low russian morale and protests or before nato joins in the war. What do yall think?

opal cloak
#

I wouldnt follow that account for credible news

fierce arch
#

no

#

russia knew ukraine wouldnt surrender

#

this was plan a

opal cloak
#

Im only trusting news from major news outlets with like recent video footage

split aurora
#

reliable source

silk iron
#

@fierce arch not quite, but you can tell they're a puppet giving Russian troops access to invade Ukraine via Chernobyl

opal cloak
#

And elected officials

split aurora
fierce arch
#

belarus is a dictatorship so like

#

russia loves that

rare walrus
#

Yeah arnt belarus and russia allies or something similar?

fierce arch
#

as mato said

silk iron
#

Lukashenko is as ruthless as Putin

fierce arch
#

belarus is basically a puppet of russia

rare walrus
#

Ah i see

fierce arch
#

it is incredibly

#

incredibly reliant on it

split aurora
#

belarus is a client state

rare walrus
#

Ah i see

split aurora
#

its nominally independent, but lukashenko must follow whatever putin says

silk iron
#

remember the commandeering of that Belarusian flight for that free speech advocate and dissident

#

yh that dude is in prison now, and his wife is leading the party he once represented

fierce arch
#

while lukashenko does try to sometimes squeeze putin out of a better deal he knows that at the end of the day

#

if putin wanted to

#

he could snap his fingers and belarus would be renamed to the russian province of belarus

silk iron
#

Puppet regimes have control over domestic policy but not over foreign policy or their ideology - their elections are often controlled to an extent

#

for example south Vietnam was effectively a puppet of the US...

opal cloak
silk iron
#

left wing candidates were not allowed

opal cloak
#

Im not trusting "Worldnews195"

fierce arch
split aurora
#

chairman of the regional state whatever

opal cloak
#

It looks staged as fuck

silk iron
#

Vietnam was more a colony to France than a puppet

#

but yes point taken

rare walrus
#

How much of an effect do yall think the low morale of the russian army will have on the war?

split aurora
#

my man you're being extremely fucking pedantic here 💀

opal cloak
#

Shaky camera and the entire scene looks super faked

fierce arch
#

ok super offtopic i was in this nerd store they had a south vietnam flag but not a north vietnam flag

tired scaffold
#

Vietnam was a colony of France before the Vietnam War
South Vietnam was a US puppet dictatorship

fierce arch
#

no

#

south vietnam was supported by france

silk iron
#

@rare walrus a huge amount, but even more so for the Ukrainians

#

morale is often intangible tho

opal cloak
#

People staging shit doesnt help anyone

fierce arch
#

morale doesnt matter if you can capture the capital in 4 days

rare walrus
split aurora
#

ukraine is surpassing all expectations for holding and resisting

fierce arch
#

russian forces are strolling through ukraine like a walk in a very chaotic park

split aurora
#

theres something working here

fierce arch
#

well

#

ok

#

yes

split aurora
#

Look at the airport in kyiv

rare walrus
fierce arch
#

ukraine is doing a good job at resisting but this is literally day 1

split aurora
#

an entire airborne unit was wiped out

#

and several aircraft were wiped out

#

because they underestimated the strength of ukraines air force

silk iron
#

that was an endeavour doomed to fail paratroopers often are high risk high reward

fierce arch
#

russia is very cocky yes

#

but

#

again

#

this is russia

zealous rapids
#

ive got to head off discord for the night

rare walrus
#

I think most of the troops in the capital rn are either paratroopers or the original special ops, since they weren’t able to bring in more troops through air due to ukraine taking back the airport

rare walrus
silk iron
#

some ran into the forests

split aurora
#

"a few ran into the forest"

#

but not any tangible force

fierce arch
#

i like to be optimistic but

rare walrus
fierce arch
#

as the infantry comes to the capital

split aurora
silk iron
#

yh things aren't looking too great lets be honest

fierce arch
#

ukraine really stands no chance

silk iron
#

if Kyiv doesn;t surrender

split aurora
#

Thing is

silk iron
#

there'll be huge civilian casualities

split aurora
#

look at russia internally

#

its collapsing after 1day

fierce arch
#

again

silk iron
#

yeah Russia is rather unstable - but that's never prevented russia invading other countries before while they're internally collapsing

fierce arch
#

who knwos if ukraine can hold out more than 3 days

split aurora
#

huge economic downturn, central bank having to take massive actions, riot police and soldiers called into over 50citied

fierce arch
#

russia has an ace in the hole

split aurora
fierce arch
#

china

split aurora
#

remember what afghan did to the Soviets?

silk iron
#

meh

fierce arch
#

afghanistan was backed by the us

silk iron
#

China is just kind of sitting on the sidelines eating popcorn buying Russian gas

fierce arch
#

and by backed

#

i mean they threw tanks at the muhajideen

#

like it was proxy as shit

split aurora
#

I'm not gonna rule the Ukrainian army out

#

I may be being overly optimistic and hopeful

silk iron
#

The infantry force is comparable

split aurora
#

but I certainly don't think the situation. is anywhere near lost

silk iron
#

Russia has absolute naval superiority

#

Russia has armour superiority

rare walrus
split aurora
#

I just hope that Kyiv doesn't get into a bloody stalingrad style siege

silk iron
#

and probably has the advantage in air

#

i hope that too

#

hopefully most Ukrainians get out before a siege of Kyiv starts

split aurora
#

and used that to inflict significant hurt to the Russians

grizzled steeple
#

The "nothing left to conquer" Stalingrad battle?

split aurora
#

retreated from the skies*

silk iron
#

well Ukraine reclaimed the airport

#

with assistance from the air force

split aurora
#

Im still feeling a degree of hopeful here

silk iron
#

but it looked kind of like a distraction gambit to me

#

It's really hard to say

rare walrus
split aurora
#

there was a significant heavy reinforcement arriving

#

imo they were planning to land and drive on kyiv

split aurora
#

and pulled back

silk iron
#

if that happened the war would likely be over by tomorrow, but fortunately it didn't

rare walrus
#

Yeah, it was really good that ukraine took back the major airport

split aurora
#

in other news, the city of konotop has likely fallen now

fierce arch
#

best case scenario

split aurora
#

the city that was placed under siege

fierce arch
#

money funnels into ukraine

#
  • reinforcements and equipment
silk iron
#

but the Russian infantry and armour have still pushed towards Kyiv on both sides of the Dnieper today

split aurora
#

+putin has a heart attack

fierce arch
#

putin assassination when

silk iron
#

rather not

rare walrus
fierce arch
#

can this even make it to spring?

silk iron
#

possibly

split aurora
#

The weather in Ukraine is still below 0c average

silk iron
#

but it looks Ukraine will lose most of it's territory by next week

rare walrus
#

I dunno, here in the us we’re already getting tons of rain (and i know that the us and ukraine are different geographically, but still)

silk iron
#

however if they survive till spring

#

Ukraine will become wet and muddy

#

making it difficult for both sides armour to advance

split aurora
#

@rare walrus the ground hasn't thawed yet

rare walrus
split aurora
#

its still iced up from winter

silk iron
#

perhaps giving Ukraine some breathing room

rare walrus
#

Well, if the ground thaws in time, thatll slow the heavy stuff down by a longshot like the tanks and heavy infantry

fierce arch
#

i think that whats inevitable is that kyiv falls, but ultimately a ukranian insurgency could potentially help push russia out

split aurora
#

ohh boy

rare walrus
#

Yeah, even if kyiv is taken, i dont think that will signify the end of the conflict, i think ukraine will still keep fighting tons

split aurora
#

missiles starting again?

split aurora
silk iron
#

@fierce arch btw - an assassination attempt, from outside Russia, on unstable megalomaniacs like putin can only make things worse and feed his paranoia even more.

fierce arch
#

oh trust me

split aurora
#

the government has been handing out thousands and thousands of automatic weapons to every man in the city

rare walrus
#

Oh jeez, i really hope everyone still there is gonna be okay

fierce arch
#

if russia can surround ukraine

split aurora
#

its gonna be a bloody massacre on both sides

silk iron
#

who knows

split aurora
#

so they'll have a significant level of competent with guns yes

#

having done a year in the military

ionic horizon
#

Can’t Putin just like not

silk iron
#

nope

fierce arch
#

i agree

ionic horizon
#

That would make everyone’s life easier

haughty yew
fierce arch
#

im just saying

split aurora
fierce arch
#

send all of the florida men to ukraine

silk iron
#

this reeks of desperation tbh

#

it might work

fierce arch
#

literally they'll liberate the entire country and then

#

capture moscow

split aurora
#

do the hoi4 strat, send a single man and a truck to drive into moscow

opal cloak
split aurora
#

then declare it captured and win the war

silk iron
#

conscripts never fight to the same strength as full time soldiers

#

but they are defending their homes so...

fierce arch
#

yeah

silk iron
#

morale probably won't crack

fierce arch
#

they have a higher morale

split aurora
#

most Russians don't want to fight ukraine

opal cloak
#

Yeah

split aurora
#

they have low morale and want to fight

#

whereas ukraine is fighting for everything

opal cloak
#

Most russians have family in ukraine or friends with family in ukraine

#

Especially near that border

split aurora
#

they are fighting for the survival of their families, their nation, and their entire culture and identity

fierce arch
#

actually better idea

#

send new jersey to ukraine

silk iron
#

There's a possibility that when the causalities start coming in, it dawns on the Russians what the price of war is.

fierce arch
#

russia still hasnt healed from ww1

silk iron
#

and protests doubles down

fierce arch
#

that left a SCAR

opal cloak
#

I hope the sanctions stay in place after this war ends, assuming it does in the near future

silk iron
#

do you mean ww1 and ww2, honestly i don't know what scarred Russia more

fierce arch
#

ww1

#

ww2 was bad on russia

#

but ww1

split aurora
#

Unverified reports kyiv is being smacked by missiles again

fierce arch
#

was a massacre

grizzled steeple
fierce arch
#

biden isnt just gonna be like

#

"ukraine is occupied? ok russia you're free to go"

silk iron
#

you can't hide the soldiers who don't come back after going off to war

opal cloak
#

I meant if russia loses

fierce arch
#

ok

silk iron
#

IF russia loses

fierce arch
#

in all seriousness

#

russia losing

shrewd cave
opal cloak
#

If russia retreats then im not sure if the sanctions will be withdrawn

fierce arch
#

is so astronomically unlikely

silk iron
#

they wouldn't

#

at least not until a new set of western government with goldfish bowl memories are elected

fierce arch
#

crimea

#

did everyone just forget crimea

#

like

silk iron
#

and sanctions are withdrawn to reduce the price of fuel in the short term to help the economy

#

most people didn't

fierce arch
#

europe is kinda not doing well cause of russia gas

grizzled steeple
#

I mean the rate of which information spreads is crucial. If many people receive news of heavy casualties, there are more people who would organize to protest rather than just one or two people getting word at different times. At least thats my theory

fierce arch
#

but if they can secure a better gas flow

silk iron
#

now south Ossetia and Abkhazia sure we all forgot

fierce arch
#

ok

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frozen conflict zones

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are so irrelevant

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when was the last time you thought about tranistria

silk iron
#

i've had it on the back burner the past month

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but before that

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i stumbled upon transnistria in like 2016

split aurora
#

Going to sleep now, waking up in just over 4h

hopefully the war crimes are minimal before I wake up

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night all

fierce arch
#

or liek

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artsakha

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nobody cares about them

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they literally just chill

silk iron
#

nope

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but Ukraine borders the EU/NATO

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and we loop back around again

fierce arch
#

if biden's mother of all sanctions passes

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russia's economy will look like the end of a rollercoaster

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undefined line type shit

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wait

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ukraine memes arent allowed here

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i just remembered

ruby forge
#

sorry

stark harness
#

We should start pinning things like credible and trusted sources (i.e. twitter accounts, websites) that have live coverage/frequent updates about this situation

fierce arch
#

@vocal wren

vocal wren
#

Im ok with that

stark harness
#

Would also make it easier for people to get info quickly

vocal wren
#

If you guys have some proven sources Ill pin them

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Yeah

fierce arch
stark harness
#

Ayy thanks Tk!!

fierce arch
#

can you pin tat

icy ridge
#

What's the current update

vocal wren
#

Well, that site is also down ATM

fierce arch
#

i would highly suggest al jazeera if you want a news source for ukraine

fierce arch
#

btw russia has ramped up its propaganda department and is churning out a lot of disinformation, please make sure to doublecheck any sources, especially those on social media

RT times is state affiliated news, it should not be trusted

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@vocal wren can you pin that too

icy ridge
#

From the BBC

fierce arch
#

i gotta say the cyber militia aka anonymous is not doing that bad of a job the RT times page was barely loading

icy ridge
lilac sparrow
icy ridge
#

Oh yeah I saw that

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The balls on the woman

lilac sparrow
#

Ikr

fierce arch
icy ridge
#

NY Post is not the most reliable source sometimes

fierce arch
#

2022

lilac sparrow
#

Lol

icy ridge
#

But lol the audacity that they would try to mate during war

lilac sparrow
#

Yea probably false news, I was told I won’t be able to bring my phone if I deploy, huge security risk

icy ridge
#

Burner phone ok?

fierce arch
#

yeah like

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take that with a HUGE dose of salt

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but if its true its funny as shit

cerulean canyon
#

None of this is funny

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Just saying

lilac sparrow
#

Well it could be true

fierce arch
#

tbf though its also like a commentary on war with the modern age

cerulean canyon
#

Donationn platform to help Ukrainian children with parents lost to the war

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Pinnanble I'd say

icy ridge
#

Oh it's a donation

cerulean canyon
#

Yee

icy ridge
#

Yes please pin

tired scaffold
fierce arch
#

is this a certified

cerulean canyon
#

Appears to be

fierce arch
#

i just wanna make sure because there's always people who try to take advantage of situations like this

icy ridge
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From ctv

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It's legit

cerulean canyon
#

Wrong message

fierce arch
#

i could just have a messsge with all the charities

cerulean canyon
fierce arch
#

or tk or you or someone

cerulean canyon
#

It needs to be pinned imo

vocal wren
cerulean canyon
#

Easy to reference

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Thank you!

fierce arch
#

well i know a pinned message

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with all the charities

icy ridge
#

Yeah list all the Legit Donations sites in one page

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Er one text

cerulean canyon
#

Agreed

fierce arch
#

i can update it i have too much free time

cerulean canyon
#

So far this is the only one I've found

hollow hollow
icy ridge