#DR Congo

951 messages · Page 1 of 1 (latest)

mental tide
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I've been following things in Bukavu and Goma, and recently learning more about the mining operations in the Kasai provinces. We had been talking about mercenaries in Goma (which seem to be Romanian) in this thread, and there's so much going on in DRC that it's going to need its own post: #1054884622955184228 message

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tagging @sharp wadi and @proud jungle who wanted to be notified!

sharp wadi
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I was here before you notified me Yes

fathom portal
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I'm up for digging into this also

mental tide
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however here's a puzzle for us to pick apart. what is up with https://twitter.com/goma24news ? they come off as anti-DRC. I want to dig into the history of this "news" org

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definitely pro M23

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I guess this is all Rwanda-operated but I don't have any proof yet, however commenters in the posts say so

sharp wadi
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Goma24s fb page seems abandoned and links to an abandoned domain

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Sadly no saved snapshots in archive.today

mental tide
fathom portal
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The Romanian connection appears to be a PMC run by ex-FFL member, Horatiu Potra.

mental tide
sharp wadi
fathom portal
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This is Potra's 'official Website'

http://asociatiaralf.ro/home-6/

sharp wadi
mental tide
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kivu news quit posting in March but they were talking about Wagner

sharp wadi
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I honestly need a diagram between the different groups, they're so many actors there...

mental tide
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YEP

fathom portal
mental tide
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but I think the kivu/goma24 is really interesting. disinformation efforts!

mental tide
sharp wadi
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Romanian Prigozhin 😅

fathom portal
sharp wadi
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What's with warlords and being bald?

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Also I guess that picture is on the Romanian coast in the Black Sea?

fathom portal
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You think that is the same dude?.... the business one is from a Twitter profile from 2010 with just one tweet.... can't vouch for it being legit as there is some weird follwer stuff going on.

mental tide
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when the dust up about "is it wagner?" was happening around December, I found this review

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they had talked about soldiers staying and then the hotel was closed for bookings for several months

fathom portal
mental tide
sharp wadi
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Is that from the same hotel you messaged me a couple months ago?

mental tide
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yep

mental tide
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had the tab open for six months loldog

sharp wadi
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Too relatable

mental tide
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going to paste and pin this too so I can close the tab
https://kivusecurity.org/

fathom portal
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mental tide
# sharp wadi I honestly need a diagram between the different groups, they're so many actors t...
fathom portal
sharp wadi
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This article mentions the role of a (unnamed) former French colonel, advising Potra and also coached the Congolese Minister of Defence https://congovirtuel.com/information/m23-pres-de-360-nouveaux-militaires-prives-roumains-dhoratiu-potra-en-renfort-aux-fardc/?amp=1

Actualités congolaises et internationales

Les rebelles du M23 ont investi les villages Kasura, Butale, Lwama vers la localité de Mbati à l’issue des violents combats qui les ont opposés presque toute la journée aux combattants locaux du groupe de l’Alliance des patriotes pour un Congo libre et souverain (APCLS), […]

sharp wadi
mental tide
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is this author in the server? lol

fathom portal
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From reading the articles there is talk of some sort of link between Potra & Wagner but nothing conclusive.

mental tide
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Potra's website, talking about protection of sensitive areas, including mines http://asociatiaralf.ro/protection-of-sensitive-areas/

sharp wadi
mental tide
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this all should keep us busy forever, essentially

sharp wadi
fathom portal
sharp wadi
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This is the day where it supposedly flew to Goma, but it's connecting between Lanarca and Bucharest, which are also mentioned in the article

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But I don't see the link with Goma

mental tide
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the flight radar listings have three different flights - H3881, 2, and 3

sharp wadi
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Yep, but the aircraft registration id is the same

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YR-BMR

mental tide
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cool, I'm not as familiar with ADSB

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yeah that's interesting

sharp wadi
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Also ADB-S sees the callsign as HLJ882, which is the same for the flight from Goma to Lanarca

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Yet here I only see a flight from Bucharest to Lanarca

fathom portal
mental tide
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we need a list like Kivu Security Tracker but for military contractors

sharp wadi
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That plane on the 22nd Feb apparently went to West Pakistan and returned the day after, with a stop in Tbilisi

mental tide
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these guys are busy

sharp wadi
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Yes, it's constantly flying through Italy

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Is this an artifact? It's marked as the same leg but looks like it landed and then took off Cairo. Because I doubt it went to Ethiopia to just U-turn

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Especially since that day it already arrived from I believe Italy (no data until it's flying high over Hungary

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This plane is really bugging me, so many flights, some of them quite odd (6 flights through Italy in a single day, including a back and forth from Bergamo to Lampedusa)

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But nothing that makes me think it's connected to Goma

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Also FR24 says that H3882 is an Aeroitalia code

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I'm tempted to write to the author of the article, because this is really bothering me loldog

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If you google for HLJ882 you do find a flight from Goma to Lanarca on the 22nd December tho eyes_wtf

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So it seems this plane has been rented from this charter to Aeroitalia, that's why it keeps flying in there

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But I'm still bugged by why there's this mismatch between ADS-B and every other

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For the 22nd Dec

mental tide
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Maybe crosspost in #maritime for some expert opinion

sharp wadi
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No, I have finally sorted out

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So you see here that it is departing south, and on first sight it does appear like it's just an artifact and it just goes to Lanarca

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But

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If we compare between the point I linked above, which is the last one before it gets interrupted, and now after the interruption

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We can compare the time epochs, 1671707525 and 1671748057

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First one corresponds to 11:12 GMT, the second one to 22:27 GMT 22nd Dec 2022

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So ADS-B is missing the data treating it as a single leg, but this actually supports that it flew to Goma and returned back on the very same day

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(we don't know where it flew once the data is lost, but from other sources it does tell it's Goma)

mental tide
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I have noticed on ADSB that stuff across central Africa sometimes disappears, but this seemed rather northwards for that.

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The point at which there is no data, I mean

sharp wadi
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There aren't many repeaters in Africa, crossing places like the Sahara is very much like crossing an ocean

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In any case, that means that the data regarding its arrival to Goma and then departure is not collected by ADS-B, leading to all that confusion, but now it's sorted out

fathom portal
# sharp wadi For the 22nd Dec

From looking at the playback for Dec 22... it looks like it was an AeroItalia 737-7k2 chartered by Romanian airline Hello Jet ... landing at 16:54, registration YR-BMR, call-sign HLJ881, hex # 4A09B2.

It seems the Potra's crew provide security for the workers of the Bulgarian company, Agemira who maintain the helicopters and jets for the Congolese Air Force...... the workforce consists of 40 engineers and pilots from Bulgaria, Belarus and Georgia ....which would explain the stops in Tbilisi. The Romanian PMCs and Agemire workers are all housed at the Hotel Mbiza.
Potra is under contract to a company called 'Congo Protection' owned by local businessman Bijou Eliya and MP Patrick Bologna (Avenir du Congo Party-ACO).
Bologna's name pops up here tied in with Kabila's sketchy business dealings.

proud jungle
# sharp wadi This article mentions the role of a (unnamed) former French colonel, advising Po...

About that "unnamed" former French colonel who accompanied Bemba on his Goma tour two weeks ago... These look like official visits from that visit with two white dudes: https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=643074087850764&set=pcb.643074107850762

Black shirt is also visible at :27 in this video: https://information.tv5monde.com/afrique/video/rdc-le-ministre-jean-pierre-bemba-appelle-deposer-les-armes-goma-2647991

I wonder who this guy is and if he's associated with Potra or Agemira... gonna do some digging this afternoon

TV5MONDE - Informations

Alors que les affrontements ont repris entre les groupes armés d'autodéfense locale et les rebelles du M23 dans le territoire de Masisi, les menaces pèsent sur la ville de Goma. C'est dans ce contexte que le vice-premier ministre et ministre de la défense nationale congolaise Jean-Pierre Bemba s'est rendu dans la province du Nord-Kivu.

fathom portal
proud jungle
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This is a pretty good report (French) on foreign mercenary presence from Jan 2023: https://francegenocidetutsi.org/MercenairesGomaAI6janvier2023.pdf

(Ignore the URL name, it's an article from Africa Intelligence that's behind a paywall: https://www.africaintelligence.fr/afrique-centrale/2023/01/06/les-discrets-prestataires-prives-au-service-de-l-armee-congolaise-dans-l-est,109878940-eve)

fathom portal
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Cheapest sub to Africa Intelligence is €2500 a year 😬

fathom portal
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Frenchman Stéphane Giannesini jailed for 5 years and fined $480,000 for illegal trading of gold, customs fraud and money laundering.

https://www.radiookapi.net/2023/06/28/actualite/justice/goma-un-francais-condamne-5-ans-de-prison-pour-commerce-illicite-de

Radio Okapi

Le Français Stéphane Giannesini a écopé de 5 ans de servitude pénale et une amande de 480 000 USD pour commerce illicite de substances minérales congolaises. La peine a été prononcée par le tribunal de commerce de Goma, mardi 27 juin, à l'issue d'une procédure judiciaire de flagrance. Après deux jours de procès, le président du tribunal de comme...

fathom portal
fathom portal
fathom portal
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A geneology of armed groups'..... one that may take a little while to digest.

fathom portal
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I'm going to have a dig into the Lala IDP camp attack from a couple of weeks ago.
CODECO the perpetrators, killing 46 people (20+ children) and razing a section of the camp...... main U.N. base for the area a mere 5km away.
CODECO have a track record with this sort of thing, killing 60 people in an attack on another IDP camp in Bule last year.
Nothing showing up on FIRMS for the dates but should be able to piece together evidence of damage and the mass grave site through Sentinel imagery, cloud cover willing.

mental tide
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I have read that the GBV in some parts is tied to minerals; it's used to terrify villages and get everyone to flee. So I am working through my book, which is a page turner

fathom portal
# mental tide I have read that the GBV in some parts is tied to minerals; it's used to terrify...

That book sounds good....I'll grab it today.
Hurst have a few relevant publications in their 'African Arguments" series.... on on bushmeat in the DRC and the other on mining,

https://www.hurstpublishers.com/book/conflict-minerals-inc/#!/

Have international efforts to regulate resource extraction from war zones in the DRC done more harm than good?

mental tide
fathom portal
mental tide
fathom portal
fathom portal
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Just going through one of the free copies of the Africa Intelligence report and in January they were reporting that a contingent of 200 Romanian's, under the command of Potra were training the Congolese army at a site near Saké.

fathom portal
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hollow frost
fathom portal
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An ambush by Mobondo militiamen kills 20 people at the village of Mulunu, north-east of Kinshasa.

https://www.hrw.org/fr/news/2023/06/29/lourd-bilan-meurtrier-lors-de-nouvelles-violences-communautaires-dans-louest-de-la

Human Rights Watch

Des hommes armés ont tué au moins 20 personnes lors d'une embuscade dans l'ouest de la République démocratique du Congo. Il s'agit de la dernière attaque en date d'un cycle de violences communautaires qui a forcé des milliers de personnes à fuir dans un contexte de grave crise humanitaire.

fathom portal
fathom portal
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I threw this dude into Maltego.....He seems like an interesting cat......

sharp wadi
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Found the flight in which probably Potra returned from Bucharest

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Also from Hello Jets, it departed the previous day from Bucharest

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Can't find any info of where it went, idk if anything would be visible in a paid FR24 account

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But the callsign for the plane on the way from Bucharest is HLJ811, no callsign on the return

fathom portal
sharp wadi
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So we have a layover there too

fathom portal
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Same route also flown on the 7th of February then return to Bucharest the following day.

sharp wadi
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I'm thinking that Hello Jets may be worth to look into it

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I tried to find who are the owners but it seems to be information that's locked away

fathom portal
sharp wadi
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The original plane got leased to Aeroitaly

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The one that first took them to Goma

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I can DM you their full legal name and business ID

fathom portal
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Yeah, FR24 is only showing two planes in the Hello Jets fleet and they must charter other planes as needed

sharp wadi
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But that's where it ends, I asked a Romanian friend of mine to see if he could help but he got into a wall too

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The other plane doesn't seem to be flying

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And they had a third one which is the one that flew to Goma first but it's now leased to Aeroitaly

sharp wadi
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Seems it got leased to Aeroitaly too

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HLJ842

fathom portal
sharp wadi
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The odd bit is how one day the plane gets leased to Aeroitaly and the next one it flies to Goma

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And the next day too

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It's like if it went to Goma on its day off loldog

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@fathom portal Mind checking AEZ9620 on the 15th March and/or AEZ9461 the day after? They depart from Rome (and return) but leave to Africa and the track is lost little after reaching Algeria, and Aeroitaly doesn't list those flights

fathom portal
sharp wadi
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Same plane, YR-BMQ

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All of these are on the same plane

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They also leased to WizzAir

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Actually it begins to do that route daily since that day until today

fathom portal
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Nothing on FR24 for that registration - there are no flight listed from Feb 12th - 21st March

sharp wadi
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Weird, it was flying regularly with Aeroitaly

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On those dates

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In fact, right after it returned to Rome on that flight, it went to Vitoria, in Spain (AEZ8668)

fathom portal
sharp wadi
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That's for that plane? It doesn't match at all what ADS-B shows

fathom portal
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Ahhhhh...... April 3rd

sharp wadi
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Yep, that seems to be the last trip

zenith mulch
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my new fave channel. Thanks for putting this together @mental tide, good to see DRC getting some attention.

I have a detailed spreadsheet of conflict across Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu from 2019–2022. I'm happy to share that and assist with things as they come up. I've dug into CODECO quite a bit.

zenith mulch
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(re-sharing this old post of mine from the SSA channel)

DRC pro tip: use this website (UN OCHA's database for DRC) to find a wealth of data. https://ehtools.org/alert-register For example, here's a report from 2 days ago about IDPs near Goma. https://ehtools.org/alert-view/4666

Or check this report from January which has a linked PDF at the bottom of the page (always look for those attached documents). https://ehtools.org/alert-view/4566

You can also of course search within ehtools.org to find info on various actors, etc. https://www.google.com/search?q=filetype%3Apdf+"codeco"+site%3Aehtools.org&sxsrf=APwXEdfSjWtHMGVz6iSoKKQC36b_2Ct1ZQ%3A1688092155817&ei=-z2eZL69Md31kPIP5cC96Ag&ved=0ahUKEwj-pq6q-en_AhXdOkQIHWVgD40Q4dUDCBA&uact=5&oq=filetype%3Apdf+"codeco"+site%3Aehtools.org&gs_lcp=Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAQA0oECEEYAVDLBliDEGCVEWgBcAB4AIABQ4gB-QWSAQIxM5gBAKABAcABAQ&sclient=gws-wiz-serp

(I relied on that website to make this map showing IDPs in eastern DRC from 2019-2022) https://globalpressjournal.com/africa/democratic-republic-of-congo/family-found-opportunity-ituri-kidnapped/

sharp wadi
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Found a quite extensive article in Romanian on Horatiu Potra, his background and his actions in Goma, as well as the potential link with Wagner: https://www.fanatik.ro/seful-mercenarilor-din-congo-ales-presedinte-la-app-fostul-partid-al-lui-liviu-dragnea-codrin-stefanescu-horatiu-potra-e-un-patriot-20362821

Mercenarul român Horațiu Potra, fost luptător în Legiunea Străină, a fost ales președinte al unei organizații locale a Alianței Pentru Patrie (APP), înainte să plece în Congo. - Fanatik.ro

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A quite important paragraph (translated with DeepL):

The Wagner group, which was until recently present in Mali and the Central African Republic, is a real "scarecrow" on the African continent. The confusion has increased even more as the generic name of the white mercenaries present in Goma is "Russians". Horatius Potra has denied any connection with the Wagner group.

So according to this, "Russians" is used for all white mercenaries in Goma and not just Russians. If that's true, then one has to be very careful when drawing links from testimonials talking about Russians as they could or could not be from there

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It also brings the name of the founder of Hello Jets, who's the former owner of a now extint Romanian low cost company (Blue Air). It hints of a potential link between both, but I don't know if it's really anything or just sensationalism

celest fern
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But on the other hand there must be a reason why white mercenaries are called "Russians", even if it's not correct for this one, there is a kernel of truth in there.

sharp wadi
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Indeed, but in this case the mercenaries are known to be from countries like Romania, Bulgaria, Belarus and Georgia, so they could be put under the umbrella of "Russians" in a phenomenon similar to how someone would for instance refer in their ignorance to a group of South Asians as "Indians" when can you also have Bangladeshi, Pakistani, Nepalis, etc

What I mean is that just because they mention "Russians" it is not confirmation alone of the presence of Russians and it could just be a stereotype, a generalisation

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It notes how a UN resolution to stop reporting the UN regarding the supply of weapons to DRC happened just two days before Potra's arrival

mental tide
sharp wadi
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Yup, that's precisely what I mean

fathom portal
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zenith mulch
zenith mulch
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Ok, here's that spreadsheet I promised with attack dates, coordinates, displaced, killed numbers from Jan 2019–Aug 2022. From Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RsQyX4oLzmT40N7SAW2PPQRRpdqmfYACsETCbsknH1Y/edit?usp=sharing

And here's a narrower scope of just ADF attacks (Ituri and North Kivu). https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1tQO5jAHvGGrUtPXSNH0Zmpo7DtDIOOl9Mu9dZBWIWGk/edit?usp=sharing

fathom portal
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That's great.....thanks Bennett 👍

proud jungle
proud jungle
fathom portal
fathom portal
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Checks out in Peakvisor with Mt Karisimbi in the background 👍

zenith mulch
fathom portal
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A couple more photos of the mystery French dude & RAFL security detail .... it would be good to find out who the bearded bloke in the white shirt is too

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And some recent photos via Twitter of CETA camp Airborne training this week..... can roughly make out a logo on those blue t-shirts

fathom portal
zenith mulch
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It does seem pretty true that the UN ignores the fact that FDLR works with the army pretty often. Also interesting that Kagame doesn't deny support for M23, at least in this article. https://allafrica.com/stories/202307050124.html?utm_campaign=daily-headlines&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=aans-view-link

fathom portal
fathom portal
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Human Rights Watch

Rwanda-backed M23 rebels in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have committed unlawful killings, rape, and other apparent war crimes since late 2022. Attacks with explosive weapons in populated areas of North Kivu province have killed and injured civilians, damaged infrastructure, and exacerbated an already dire humanitarian crisis. Armed grou...

hollow frost
zenith mulch
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(x-post) Sharing a little project I did for an online course I'm taking. My first Github repo, so be generous, it ain't pretty but there is some good data analysis on small-scale mining in DRC and its relationship with armed groups (and the army). https://bennett-gpj.github.io/Artisanal-mining-in-DRC/

fathom portal
zenith mulch
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uncut patrol
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The China-Global South Project is proud to announce the first-ever mapping of the Chinese cobalt supply chain in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

CGSP launched a new interactive map this week that includes a full breakdown of mining data by Chinese and other firms, an overview of the main logistics routes, and five years of export data tha...

▶ Play video
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The China-Global South Project has created an interactive map of the copper and cobalt industry in the Democratic Republic of the Congo that details industrial mining projects, artisanal mining sites, and processing entities located in the southeastern provinces of Haut-Katanga and Lualaba. Detailed information about the industrial mining/proces...

fathom portal
hollow frost
fathom portal
mental tide
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The runup to the election is going to be even rougher than usual

sharp wadi
fathom portal
mental tide
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mental tide
lime flume
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Hi all. Any recommendations of books/documentaries to better understand the political/geopolitical situation in the Great lakes (incl. DR Congo, Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi)? Thanks!

sharp wadi
lime flume
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Oh thanks - I'll check that!

fathom portal
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I just picked up The War That Doesn’t Say it’s Name by Jason K Stearns which was recommended to me too

proud jungle
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I had trouble getting through "The War that doesn't say its name," I found it very dense. "Dancing in the Glory of Monsters," also by Stearns, is a fantastic introduction to the region - it focuses on DRC but also talks about regional dynamics especially in uganda and rwanda

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and a bit easier to read than the other!

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yooo "king leopold's ghost" anyone???? That one totally kept me up at night

fathom portal
mental tide
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I'm pretty sure the cutoff for candidates for the December election was the 23rd, so there might be some news about that popping up today.

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Construction company Congo Aconde is also owned by two North Korean nationals and has been involved in projects in Kolwezi.

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Actually....it looks like Korea Paekho Trading Corporation & Congo Aconde SARL have already been linked.

fathom portal
fathom portal
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This session, led by an expert in leveraging the techniques of data journalism to produce deforestation and climate change investigations, takes attendees through the practice and pitfalls of covering the environment. Using case studies and real life examples, the session is full of tips, tricks and advice for finding, cleaning and interpreting ...

▶ Play video
fathom portal
proud jungle
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This seems like it might be related... FARDC allegedly killed a Rwandan soldier in Rutagara Village, Buvira Groupement, Nyiragongo District - between Borne 13 and 14.

https://www.politico.cd/la-rdc-a-la-une/2023/07/27/rdc-un-militaire-rwandais-qui-a-viole-le-sol-congolais-tue-par-les-fardc-a-nyiragongo.html/136112/?fbclid=IwAR02ZD7l6BZ-ddShtmMsOpWTsvio0AUkQ0MQC09wnvUsZ0YGN6Pp3A5S4uU

1ère source de l’actualité politique et économique en temps réel en RDC. Les dernières nouvelles, les enquêtes et les révélations exclusives.

fathom portal
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sharp wadi
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zenith mulch
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(I'm skeptical it will happen by end of 2024 because conditions like "peace" will have to be met before MONUSCO can exit, but anything can happen)

sharp wadi
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https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1690469231345696768

Be warned that the article includes pictures of people scarred from attacks as well as mentions of sexual aggression and these could be distressing

Deep in Congo’s forested ravines, a local affiliate of the Islamic State has grown increasingly deadly — seizing children to swell its ranks and launching ferocious attacks on villages, churches and clinics — without attracting international attention. https://t.co/T4pAMURbl6

zenith mulch
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"This gradual and phased withdrawal of MONUSCO by [end of 2024] was laid down by the UN Security Council resolution in 2020. **Guterres's announcement means there won't be debate on whether the mandate can be extended." **https://allafrica.com/stories/202308160606.html?utm_campaign=daily-headlines&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=aans-view-link

mental tide
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Following the protests, Tshisekedi also said that "after the presidential election in December 2023... there will be no reason for MONUSCO to remain in the DRC."

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Fucking citation needed Tshisekedi

hollow frost
sharp wadi
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Feel I'm missing something, Kibomango is a district in Kinshasa

mental tide
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Maybe multiple kibomangos?

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Could always ask the poster

proud jungle
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It sounds to me like the Twitter user is claiming pro-M23 networks are circulating the video and claiming it's evidence of M23 victories over FARDC

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which is where the confusion is coming from 🙂

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mental tide
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Reuters

At least six protesters and one policeman were killed in the eastern Congolese city of Goma on Wednesday when a demonstration against the U.N. peacekeeping mission and other foreign organisations turned violent, the Congolese army said.

hollow frost
hollow frost
sharp wadi
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Tbf, Brazzaville is just a couple km away from Kinshasa

mental tide
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I made this list a while ago of DRC sources. It's definitely Goma-heavy currently but it will get more news from Kinshasha over time

mental tide
plain thorn
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Found this earlier; late send sorry

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An accusation, however, not some media, but can be a start on probing.
Burundian independent outlet Radio Publique Africaine: The Burundian army is accused of committing atrocities in the neighboring country of Congo.

The presence of M23 accused the Burundian army of being involved in the killing of Congolese civilians in an attack that is said to have been carried out by the soldiers of both countries.
https://www.facebook.com/100068401881935/posts/pfbid0ULy1BvJE6pm2gsuN8oPxStsj12NnoGX1XavpPGBV4y8bF7wany4tvAPsDhRdqdmjl/

fathom portal
proud jungle
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Between conflict now 20 kms from Goma and the Congolese government pulling out all stops to get foreign allies on board, full-scale war in eastern DRC is looking more and more likely. https://actualite.cd/2023/10/26/agression-rwandaise-la-rdc-sactive-sur-le-front-diplomatique-et-previent-la-communaute

Actualite.cd

Mercredi, Jean-Pierre Bemba, Christophe Lutundula et Patrick Muyaya ont rencontré les ambassadeurs européens et américain pour présenter des preuves d'une nouvelle incursion de l'armée rwandaise sur le territoire congolais.

sharp wadi
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That would turn Goma into a huge battlefield considering Goma and Gisenyi are effectively the same city

plain thorn
mental tide
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It's going to be bad

sharp wadi
plain thorn
sharp wadi
mental tide
mental tide
plain thorn
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Well….
Elections were held yesterday, was monitoring the developments. many polling stations didn’t open.
https://actualite.cd/2023/12/20/elections-en-rdc-les-centres-de-vote-qui-nont-pas-fonctionne-seront-operationnels-ce

Actualite.cd

Le président de la Commission Électorale Nationale Indépendante (CENI) a apporté une précision de taille dans la soirée de ce mercredi, dans une interview au centre Bosolo de l’Athénée de la Gombe, à Kinshasa.

sharp wadi
mental tide
#

They are going to continue voting tomorrow in some places

#
By Declan Walsh and Guerchom Ndebo

The presidential race in the Democratic Republic of Congo is being closely watched internationally. Congo is rich in the rare minerals needed to make electric cars and solar panels.

#

I can't believe the scale. 100,000 candidates between all elections, 40 million people voting, with a ton of supplies needing to be moved by air since the roads are impassible

#
Emell Adolphus

Kinshasa, December 14, 2023—Authorities in the Democratic Republic of Congo must ensure the safety of all journalists covering the presidential, legislative, and provincial elections scheduled for December 20 and allow for the free flow of news and information, which is critical for the public to make informed decisions, said the Committee to Pr...

plain thorn
#

If the international community can only intervene in election conduct….

proud jungle
mental tide
plain thorn
mental tide
#

They want to vote so much

#

To get the equipment it's a helicopter and 3 days walk there

plain thorn
#
Actualite.cd

La Commission Électorale Nationale Indépendante (CENI) poursuit la publication des résultats partiels de l'élection présidentielle en République Démocratique du Congo.

plain thorn
sharp wadi
#

I'm honestly not too surprised he got reelected tbf

#

Even if you leave fraud aside

plain thorn
mental tide
#

Fatshi stanned himself into reelection imo

mental tide
wise yew
proud jungle
# wise yew https://thedefensepost.com/2024/02/12/rwanda-missiles-dr-congo/?expand_article=1...

A missile shot at a MONUSCO observation drone and the UN getting pictorial evidence that the culprit was a SAM system operating 70km inside the DRC in M23 territory escalates things to another level. This kind of asset, if confirmed, is a state level acquisition. 1/4

mental tide
mental tide
proud jungle
#

https://www.radiookapi.net/2024/02/16/actualite/securite/sud-kivu-le-retrait-de-la-monusco-de-baraka-fizi-fixe-au-15-mars
MONUSCO is beginning its retreat from South Kivu by withrdrawing from bases in Fizi and Baraka. A bloody conflict in Minembwe between Rwandophone Banyamulenge and local community militias cost hundreds of lives and displaced tens of thousands last time it flared up from 2020-2022. With the deepening crisis around Goma and now the withdrawal of MONUSCO from the area, it's probably just a matter of time until violence returns to this region 😦

Radio Okapi

Le représentant du gouverneur du Sud-Kivu et ministre provincial des ITPR, Gaston Cissa wa Numbe, a annoncé la fermeture de la base opérationnelle de la MONUSCO à Baraka-Fizi pour le 15 mars prochain. Il a fait cette annonce mercredi 14 février au cours d’une réunion élargie du Conseil urbain de sécurité qu’il a présidée avec le chef du sous bur...

mental tide
#

It's going to be a fucked up messy mess of war crime central

plain thorn
mental tide
proud jungle
#

A good primer from France 24 on what's going on in DRC this week and why people are so furious at the EU. From a Congolese perspective, signing a mineral deal with RW is basically endorsing M23's continued occupation of eastern DRC and the pillaging of its minerals for resale from Rwanda to international markets: https://twitter.com/pap_mas/status/1760995098333008122

🔊Nous le disons sans crainte et à haute voix!
@UEenRDC Est un conglomérat des receleurs
Et soutiens indéfectible des violeurs et assassins de nos sœurs et frères à l’Est de la république
L’Occident collector est complice
@EmmanuelMacron

⚔️Nous n’allons jamais l’oublier

plain thorn
#

Turning a blind eye to Kagame’s atrocities. It was dictatorship replaced by dictatorship.

proud jungle
#

An incursion in northern DRC by an armed group from CAR (I'm not sure what evidence they have that they're Seleka as the article claims) appearing to target Mbororo/Fulani herdsmen in the area: https://eng.fatshimetrie.org/2024/02/22/armed-conflict-in-bas-uele-the-congolese-armed-forces-repel-the-attack-of-the-seleka-rebels/ (this article is a translation/summary of the original French from Radio Okapi, which is a decently reliable source: https://www.radiookapi.net/2024/02/24/actualite/securite/bas-uele-incursion-des-rebelles-centrafricains-seleka-dans-2-localites)

In the province of Bas-Uele, in the Democratic Republic of Congo, clashes broke out between the Congolese Armed Forces and the Central African armed group Seleka. The soldiers managed to repel the attack on the Mbororo herders, thus avoiding loss of life. The border region with the Central African Republic is often the scene of armed conflicts a...

mental tide
plain thorn
zenith mulch
#

Surprise, Erik Prince is trying to get in the fight in DRC. "The UN report says the plan to conclude a contract with Prince was halted [in mid-2023], although it was not clear whether the decision was temporary or permanent."
https://allafrica.com/stories/202403040097.html?utm_campaign=daily-headlines&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=aans-view-link

allAfrica.com

In 2023, DR Congo's authorities sought to hire 2,500 military contractors from Latin America to fight in North Kivu province, where a government-led coalition is pitted against the M23 rebels, a UN Group of Experts report indicates.

proud jungle
#

Following an (extremely) sketchy and (extremely) delayed "investigation," the death of Cherubin Okende, opposition politician Moise Katumbi's right hand man, was ruled a suicide. No one actually believes this is the case - he disappeared after an appointment at the court and was found shot dead hours later in a car with a running engine. Journalist Stanys Bujakera, who was accused of leaking internal government documents that laid the blame squarely at the feet of the internal security service, is still in prison: https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-opposition-spokesmans-death-ruled-suicide-2024-02-29/

proud jungle
lime jacinth
#
But the appeals court said buying cobalt in the global supply chain did not amount to "participation in a venture" under a federal law protecting children and other victims of human trafficking and forced labor.
Circuit Judge Neomi Rao said the plaintiffs had legal standing to seek damages, but did not show the five companies had anything more than a buyer-seller relationship with suppliers, or had power to stop the use of child labor.

https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-appeals-court-dismisses-child-labor-case-against-tech-companies-2024-03-05/

mental tide
#

I really like this analysis

#

"The absence of honest peace efforts and the recent radicalisation of the conflict – both militarily and discursively – have damaged the social fabric of the eastern DRC. As many told me during a recent stay in North Kivu, the political polarisation has become so acute that any attempt to take an impartial stance is seen as giving ‘support to the enemy’."

#

IMO when societies hit that point war is inevitable

proud jungle
mental tide
proud jungle
#

Congolese government reinstated the death penalty today. This comes amid the "discovery" of many "traitors" among the FARDC (some of them from Rwandophone communities). This will definitely calm tensions and fix everything /s https://www.rfi.fr/fr/en-bref/20240315-la-rdc-rétablit-l-application-de-la-peine-de-mort-annonce-le-gouvernement?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=x&utm_source=shorty

plain thorn
hollow frost
#

I am curious about the possible links to the Ugandan road project (commenced in 2021) and M23 return in 2021.

hollow frost
#

https://x.com/ntvuganda/status/1769742563487948987?s=20 ADF has ramped up cross border attacks into Ug last year. perhaps this is an attempt to do the same

UPDATE: The Office of the Deputy Defence Spokesperson, Deo Akiki, has issued a warning regarding another suspected infiltration by the ADF into the country. The previous incident left some people dead, and property destroyed. The security department urges the public to remain…

#

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/17/ugandas-army-says-it-discovers-training-facility-for-islamist-militia in 2022 an underground training facility was discovered in Luwero District (Large Muslim population as a result of Nubian settlement during the time of Idi Amin and several foreign aid funded or Islamic Charity Projects in the area and also where the 1980s bush war that brought President Museveni to power began)

Al Jazeera

ADF reportedly carried out series of bombings in Kampala and elsewhere last November, which killed at least nine people.

#

Currently there is no sign from US, UK, EU of a terror alert however Ugandan security is on High Alert

#

the GoU is fully convinced that in order to safegaurd Uganda, Oil pipeline and drilling then ADF cannot remain in Eastern DRC. There is also the risk of it being used as a training camp for radicals from accross the continent. For example in the late 2000s early to mid 2010s we heard rumors of Ugandans, Kenyans and other Africans being trained in Somalia. It is beleived this has resulted in AS, IS, Radical Terrorism opening up yet another front in East Africa. There were also rumors of meetings in Egypt by Islamic Extremists in 2021 who envisioned an entire continent of Africa under radical islamism. This has been evident in the rapid expansion of these groups activities. As the world focuses on Russia and Ukraine, we Africans are being left to fight the hydra beast of Islamic extremism alone.

#

@mental tide @proud jungle

#

UPDF going back to old methods of Augmentation Paramilitary or Vigilante Units. These are homegrown natives of the Operation Theatre that help soldiers from other parts of the country familiarise themselves with the environment (they know the terrain) as well as having the added morale boost benefit of fighting literally for their neighbourhoods and villages. This model has worked and helped UPDF flush ADF out of rwenzori sub region in the past and against Jospeh Kony and his LRA in the North (There have been human rights issues but i am only reporting what i have noted from online sources).

#
ChimpReports

Uganda People's Defence Force (UPDF) has started recruiting Local Defense Units (LDUs) personnel in the districts of Kamwenge, Kitagwenda, Bunyangabo, Kyenjojo and Kasese following recent Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) attacks in Rwenzori subregion. The move follows a directive from president Museveni to recruit Local Defence Units in the areas ...

mental tide
proud jungle
# hollow frost the GoU is fully convinced that in order to safegaurd Uganda, Oil pipeline and d...

Fascinating analysis! Thanks for sharing! I really appreciate your perspective, especially since I lean towards the opinion that the ADF's ideological threat is almost always overblown in these conversations. The primary motivating factors would appear to be ethnic (defending Nande from encroachment by other ethnic groups - though this is less true since 2016 or so) and material (there's a lot of money to be made from controlling the flows of cacao, coffee, and timber in that region). ADF continues to kill hundreds of civilians in the areas it controls, but the potential for this violence to spread outside of areas immediately adjacent to traditional Nande territory seems limited.

#

ADF should be fought and defeated because it preys on civilians, but its Islamic State affiliation has always seemed opportunistic. Trying to deradicalize a population that (I've heard) ADF often has to forcefully "re-educate" into orthodox Sunnism after individuals are kidnapped seems like a misguided approach to this conflict.

#

But I will admit to being heavily influenced by analysis from Congo Research Group and a health skepticism of American claims about the threat of ISIS. (Gotta feed the military industrial complex somehow)

hollow frost
#

ISIS/ISCAP, AS always use social issues in an area to increase their support. It could be more sinister. While you are right that it is abit overblown and Op Shujaa has had mixed results and a significant failure to protect Congolese lives from reprisal attacks. I hope there is a way to flush them out for good. Similar to how UPDF flushed out Joseph Kony and US Marines under Obama helped pursue him all the way to CAR (again there are negative connotations and claims with UPDF presence in CAR: Bozize etc)

#

I beleive if African States can target their funding sources, command and control etc. They can be crippled.

#

How do you envision a path to sustainable peace and development in DRC @proud jungle @mental tide ?

proud jungle
# hollow frost I beleive if African States can target their funding sources, command and contro...

I agree with this wholeheartedly! Removing funding sources is also something that can hopefully be done without the same human rights violations associated with repeated military interventions in the Grand Nord.

I did a research project on funding sources for ADF a few years ago and what struck me was how absolutely everyone was in on the take, from the customs officials to some local chiefs, to national politicians in Kampala and Kinshasa and business people in the Gulf. So as far as a path to sustainable peace and development goes, I think the ultimate goal is to have stable governance and institutions that prioritize the people's well-being over personal enrichment. How we get there though I have no idea 😂

#

You'll know I've figured it out when I'm at the top of the Time 100 list

proud jungle
hollow frost
#

East DRC is like Israel and Palestine conflict.

hollow frost
proud jungle
hollow frost
#

ok i understand

#

I think crippling ADF foreign links to (training, bomb-making, etc) as well as possibly infiltrating their communications with the Caliph Command

#

is a neccessary steo

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*step

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https://x.com/HassanIstiila/status/1660313712966639623?s=20 i wouldnt want ISCAP to gain access to Night Vision Goggles, drones, anti thermal imaging equipment etc like Al-shabab is getting nowadays

Somali security forces on Saturday intercepted a second container filled with military equipment including sniper precision gears, night vission goggles, helmets, gps, walkie talkies, uniform at #Mogadishu port. Govt said the military supplies was belonging to al-Shabab. #Somalia

proud jungle
proud jungle
#

A beautiful letter from Stanys Bujakera where he thanks journalism colleagues at home and internationally for campaigning for his release, and calls attention to the conditions in Makala Prison.

"Originally built for 1,500 the prison today holds 14,400 prisonners, 9,000 of whom are still awaiting a trial... Damas Ngoy Nkundu has been waiting for his trial for 21 years"

https://twitter.com/michombero/status/1770735107269103728#m

#Presse : Libre, parce que vous vous êtes mobilisés. Je vous dois tout 🙏. Face à l'oppression et aux intimidations, résistons. Voici mon message alors que je reprends le contrôle de ce compte, votre compte, canal de l'information certifiée en #RDC

Les gratitudes du confrère…

lime jacinth
#

what outlets/journalists are doing good open-source work on M23's advance towards Goma?

mental tide
#

But most stuff like Kivu Security Tracker etc is closed

proud jungle
# lime jacinth what outlets/journalists are doing good open-source work on M23's advance toward...

This guy published some decent Tweets earlier this year, but most of his interest is Islamist organizations in Africa https://twitter.com/ryanmofarrell?lang=en

This local journalist uses some rudimentary OSINT techniques for his reporting, and he's on the ground, but he's extremely partisan and can't always be trusted: https://twitter.com/michombero

This pro-Rwandan account is PROLIFIC at identifying and sharing hate crimes against Tutsis and identifying people posting anti-Tutsi hate speech in DRC, but again the content is extremely partisan: https://twitter.com/MaishaRdc

And this account contributes to identifying and attacking Rwandan disinformation networks in the DRC, but is again extremely partisan: https://twitter.com/cpgrdc

I'm sure there are others in Europe/the US that I'm not familiar with but the reality is that the DRC/Rwanda media environment is so polarized and so repressive there's little credible reporting coming from that space

Non-state actors and conflicts / mostly East Africa & the Levant / geolocations / Ohioan / Senior Analyst at the Bridgeway Foundation / @SAISHopkins alum

Journaliste indépendant, spécialiste en multimédia basé en DRC 🇨🇩, fixer, éditeur, rédacteur, investigation, Fact checker
danielmichom@gmail.com
+243994380568

Observatoire des discours de haine, d'incitation au génocide et la xénophobie dans la Région des GL/🇨🇩

https://t.co/Zq0FHPqbtW

CPG, une plateforme politique qui milite pour la restauration de la dignité de notre pays à travers l’engagement patriotique de sa jeunesse.
+243 816 660202

proud jungle
mental tide
lime jacinth
#

Amazing, thank you! I feel like I've barely seen ANY coverage of this, even though it might kick off a major regional war. I'm very new to this space and not really plugged into relevant streams and sources

mental tide
#

It's....a long learning journey loldog

celest fern
mental tide
#

But soon you'll be dropping Fatshi emoji FatshiHaters

proud jungle
proud jungle
mental tide
#

When you go to France you'll only be able to speak about elections, violence, protests, and the UN, because that's the French you learned on Twitter. You can't ask where the bathroom is, tho. You don't know that phrase.

mental tide
#

And all their proxies, militia from other places, and on and on.

proud jungle
#

-1.7060618832882575, 29.023717055065983 > general coords for Minova, I didn't geolocate that video

mental tide
#

Ya know the list of the armed groups in Eastern DRC might be useful too

lime jacinth
#

So in terms of open-source angles on M23's advance, I can think of a few. The most straightforward might be verifying some videos showing civilian harm, and combining with satellite imagery to show the changing frontline.

I remember a really detailed visualization many months ago of how the Ukrainian frontline and trench fortifications had changed recently, that could be interesting here too

#

I briefly looked at NASA's fire data (FIRMS) but didn't see anything that looked relevant

mental tide
#

I don't know if the area around Sake is as touch and go as Goma is nearby, but we often experience cloud cover

#

@fathom portal and @coarse turret look at satellites more than I do though. I'm the social media crawler

proud jungle
lime jacinth
#

I don't think so, IIRC someone on Twitter overlaid the outlines of trenches on top of satellite imagery and showed the detailed and minute changes. It was pretty cool but I'm having trouble finding it.

That level of granularity might not be possible here, but I would imagine the weapons systems M23 and FARDC is using leave some trace in satellite imagery

proud jungle
#

Here's a map of M23 control from 1 March but IDK how granular or reliable it is

mental tide
# lime jacinth I don't think so, IIRC someone on Twitter overlaid the outlines of trenches on t...

One thing I want to mention so that you and bcat know is that we have some street level imagery in Goma, namely on the N2, from August of 2023.
There was a massacre of civilians there and multiple people were live streaming/broadcasting. We retained that footage for future use in geolocations
I expect Goma to be a city at war in the near future and that footage could be invaluable since there's no street view.

proud jungle
mental tide
coarse turret
#

what's going on?, i saw i got summoned by @mental tide possumscream

mental tide
#

Also is Goma still cut off from the north? I am out of the loop since vacation. I have caught up with RL, work, and bcat modding, but not Congo lol

coarse turret
mental tide
proud jungle
mental tide
#

Yikes on bikes dude

proud jungle
#

This is just my opinion, but I don't think they'll actually take Goma. In 2012, it was their 6-day occupation of Goma that triggered international backlash that led to M23 basically vanishing from existence for almost a decade. The lesson they may have taken away from this is that they can get away with pretty much anything as long as they technically stay out of Goma... they're fine randomly dropping bombs on the airport, raiding the occasional IDP camp, and beseiging the city as long as they don't set foot in it

#

Which means we could possibly see more activity in the western and northern parts of their territory, or expansion south into S Kivu (which they may be testing rn if reported explosion in Minova actually did come from them)

mental tide
#

I keep thinking about, if you block all routes from the north and west like they're currently doing, do you really need to take Goma or can you just bomb the airport and wait? idk.

coarse turret
coarse turret
coarse turret
hollow frost
#

https://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/tea/news/east-africa/rwanda-first-to-ratify-joint-eac-defence-pact-1331268 UG, Rwanda and Kenya have a mutual defense pact. Given the fact that Uganda and Rwanda have squashed their differences at least for now and given that General Muhoozi is now the UPDF CDF it could be possibly related to the Congo situation

The East African

Agreed to by Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda, it aims to lay the foundation for EAC states to fight trans-national crime.

#

https://x.com/nbstv/status/1771524037870576038?s=20 Ugandan Speaker of Parliament on Post Museveni Succession.

Rt. Hon. @AnitahAmong: I want to thank you (@KagutaMuseveni) so much for promoting our young brother (@mkainerugaba) to become the CDF. For us, we believe in the name of the Father and Son and Spirit.

We are still here with you the Father, when you tell us to move, we shall…

hollow frost
# mental tide Or the volcano

Disclaimer: I am not on any side, i am just giving an analysis of the conflict from the perspective of Uganda and Rwanda. The Politics in the Great Lakes is like that between Israel and Palestine. An arab saying goes "When I am weak, how can i negotiate? When i am strong, how can i negotiate?" Long gruelling hundred KM marches in harsh terrain, insurgency, "winning hearts and minds" (PR war) and ideological clarity (whether right or wrong in the opinion of the reader) are very much in the DNA of the RPA-RPF(Rwanda) and NRA-NRM(Uganda). They are in essence revolutionary organisations, set on military and ideological foundations. Some researchers say(though debatable) they are not States with an Army, they are Armies with a state. And to an extent this allows them operate at a greater level of speed and efficiency than the civilian states that oppose them. At their very core is the understanding that to safegaurd their ideological "revolution" and the reasons for which they came to power is the military. Even civilian decision making in Cabinet, civil and Public service is similar to Military Command & Control Structures. As soldiers and as Generals (President Museveni and President Kagame) have fought in various theatres for the last 50 years+ what they know best is war, Even when fighting larger, more equipped forces. Like the US army, with the Blue Book, they firmly believe in ensuring that soldiers and civilian leaders and civilians understand their ideological grounds for fighting as well as try to proffessionalise their forces. The only thing that quote unquote "helped" the DRC last time was the UN pressure. After the withdrawal of M23 to lick their wounds in Cantonments in Ug and Rwanda, there was a feeling that the peace process was deliberately ignored. I believe given President Thsikedi's statements and perceived alliance with "unfriendly elements" this time M23 will march and if possible make serious efforts to remove President Tshikedi

#

I beleive the leaders in Uganda and Rwanda feel that during the Rwandese Genocide, the international community did not intervene at all and only intervened after the slaughter to prevent RPF forces from pursuing those they felt were perpetrators. This was an unfinished fight that has lingered for decades. To understand this we must look at the SPeeches of President Kagame and President Museveni on the matter and take them literally not figuratively because when they speak becuase regardless of them presiding over modern states they belong to the ideological generation of African leaders and politics.

proud jungle
sharp wadi
proud jungle
#

Slavery-like conditions at Zijin's Carrilu cement plant in Kolwezi https://twitter.com/KiengeKki/status/1778428234201170363

🔴🇨🇩 Travailleurs esclaves chez #ZIJIN🇨🇳 ?
Grogne à la #CARRILU, la cimenterie du groupe ZIJIN de Kolwezi, sur les conditions de travail digne d'un goulag stalinien.
Partagez massivement pour dénoncer les conditions d'esclavage dans lesquelles travaillent les Congolais.

sharp wadi
sharp wadi
mental tide
keen pawn
mental tide
#

Gift link

mental tide
#

Hey everyone, I am trying to collect as many social media posts about the failed coup as possible

#

Please note that there are violent videos and if you come across them, DM me with them directly, or if they're not against the rules of this Discord, spoiler them appropriately

#

This was the person livestreaming https://www.facebook.com/christian.malanga - please note that some of the livestreams show what appear to be corpses

#

this is his website which...is instructive

hollow frost
#

One of the gentlemen in black outfit is also shown here:

Like father, like son.
https://vxtwitter.com/Moise17434006/status/1792167202457567630

Dear Congolese, I don't know if what happened last night in Kinshasa is cinema or not.

But if you are fed up with Tshisekedi, the illegal president and election stealer, just join the professionals at #AFC .

Hollywood films are fiction and reality is something else.

It is not enough to smoke hemp like the Wazalendo do to succeed in a military operation.

Stop putting your lives and those of others in danger!
https://vxtwitter.com/SugiraMireille/status/1792156167793238476

Chers congolais, je ne sais pas si ce qui c'est passé cette nuit à Kinshasa est du cinema ou pas.

Mais si vous avez en avez marre de Tshisekedi, le président illégal et voleur des éléctions, rejoignez simplement les professionnels de l'#AFC.

Les films Hollywood sont une https://t.co/In7iUopDoi

💖 142 🔁 26

mental tide
#

It appears that Christian Malanga is dead

hollow frost
#

#RDC: J’espère que tous les politiciens corrompus ont appris une leçon. Vous pouvez piller autant que vous le pouvez, mais rappelez-vous que quelqu'un viendra vous arrêter. ⁦⁦@VitalKamerhe1⁩

💖 1

#RDC: Je me demandais à quoi pensait l'homme blanc @USEmbKinshasa

💖 1

hollow frost
mental tide
#

yes, the son is Marcel

#

headed to his TikTok

hollow frost
#

I have a link maybe too graphic to really share here. where do you want it?

#

it's not gory but it does depict the deceased.

mental tide
#

you can DM me

#

there are American passport photos of bloodied nose American

hollow frost
#

no idea who that guy is

#

he's speaking French though

mental tide
#

that's ok, we have French speakers 🙂

mental tide
#

pretty interesting claims to follow up on https://x.com/DinoMahtani/status/1792149779285467433

1/ Alleged coup in D.R. #Congo. Authorities say they neutralised it fast. Diplomatic sources tell me it is linked to a 41 year old man called Christian Malanga. His name first came up in an alleged assassination attempt targeting former president Joseph Kabila. 🧵

#

ok, I think I am caught up and/or stuff is being circulated so widely that it won't be hard to find

hollow frost
hollow frost
mental tide
#

Benjamin Zalman-Polun, reportedly an American cannabis entrepreneur, was among about 20 men captured by Congo’s military today in Kinshasa after a failed rebellion led by Christian Malanga, head of a small …

💖 519 🔁 329

▶ Play video
hollow frost
mental tide
#

yeah i think it's the other guy with the bandanna over his face in the video

hollow frost
#

also, passport name is all over the place.

#

his full name is Benjamin Reuben Zalman-Polun?

mental tide
#

so I have done some work in facebook and I can DM you about it, but the name on the passport matches a Facebook account that has had interaction with the Malangas (the elder was the facebook livestreamer/New Zaire "president"

hollow frost
#

here's a random Scribd doc with precisely that name (it blurs once the page fully renders):

https://www.scribd.com/document/590563613/Mz-Government-Gazette-Series-III-Dated-2022-07-20-No-139

#

passport number differs.

#

as does the date range.

mental tide
# hollow frost the "white" gentleman pictured keeps getting lumped in with this other one: idk...

On Facebook, the rebels posted video of their assault before they were captured. The video shows two white men among them. Screenshot below. One man (on the left) resembles the photo in the US passport of Benjamin Zalman-Polun. Second man unidentified so far.

#

and I think black pants/masked face is bloody nose

#

I think ball cap and vest is passport

hollow frost
#

masked man makes more sense here as the other.

mental tide
#

ball cap is wearing different colored pants from bloody nose

hollow frost
#

he is?

celest fern
#

He looks wet. Charcoal might show darker when wet.

hollow frost
#

true.

#

shoulders and general build are similar. those shoulders are rather distinctive, but not conclusive.

#

the way his waist tapers is also similar, but the stances aren't comparable in those photos.

#

has the skinny guy V-shape.

mental tide
#

so we have a bunch of unidentified Congolese (assumed), one deceased American/Congolese (Christian Malanga), one captured American/Congolese (his son, Marcel Malanga), one captured American (Ben Polun), and the rest are unidentified atm

hollow frost
#

slightly larger photo of same.
prob of limited use.

mental tide
#

ah here we are

hollow frost
#
mental tide
#

fucking wild, they had like 20 dudes

#

i assume they were testng their product before this bright idea

mental tide
mental tide
#

an account of what happened by Vital Kamerhe's wife - apparently a drone was used

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|| https://x.com/HamidaKamerhe/status/1792228486880374965 || spoilered because the preview has imagery of a man tied to the fence by his dreads

Mon mari m’a réveillée en sursaut à 4h du matin pour m’annoncer que notre maison était encerclée par plusieurs militaires et que ça faisait un long moment qu’il entendait des tirs à l’arme lourde venant de l’extérieur. J’ai réalisé qu’un échange de tirs furieux avait éclaté avec

#

taking an hour for reinforcements to arrive in Kinshasa is wild

sharp wadi
#

Comes to show how weak the DRC's government and its army is. We're not just talking about arriving in Kinshasa but a presidential palace of all things

mental tide
mental tide
hollow frost
mental tide
hollow frost
#

@mental tide
Have any higher qual imagery shown up for this badge?

#

Curious also why they wore blatant US flag patches during this coup op. There's a protocol for doing this, but reasons for that are unclear under these circumstances.

mental tide
hollow frost
#

Only the best of OSINT fam

mental tide
#

I'll keep an eye out for higher resolution as I scroll

mental tide
# hollow frost Only the best of OSINT fam

Speaking of, I think one of the bigger Congolese news outlets is misidentifying
https://vxtwitter.com/politicocd/status/1792301878606192832?s=19

En image, l'arrestation de Benjamin Zalman-Polun, l'un des américains qui ont participé à l’attaque, et du fils de Christian Malanga.

💖 61 🔁 19

▶ Play video
hollow frost
#

Yes I just now saw that too.

#

They sure are.

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Also, this is not profesh display of patchery.

#

Many of these gents appear particularly unsuited for the mission imo.

mental tide
#

If the US is couping we aren't sending our best

glad sinew
#

Hello! Noticed a signal jammer on the table. Not experienced with picking out models but I think its a Shenzhen Greetwin handheld signal jammer? https://greetwin.en.made-in-china.com/product/XnSrKFuAZsVm/China-Handheld-Signal-Jammer-24-Channel-GSM-LTE-WiFi-GPS-Lojack-etc-24bands-Powerful-Signal-Jammer.html

hollow frost
#

This fella, this shot.

He looks out of place.

No flag patch.
His pouches are empty.
Appears to be unarmed.

And looks like he wandered out of the night club restroom after the last-call floodlights came on.

glad sinew
#

lmao I noticed in another video a bunch of the soldiers didn't have weapons on them. Kind of concerning for a small group attempting a coup. I feel like at this point in the video they realize they are losing momentum?

mental tide
#

They really struggled to burn a DRC flag in one of the videos

hollow frost
#

@mental tide
My money on this one being the guy inhumanely detained. Fwiw.

hollow frost
mental tide
#

Agreed

hollow frost
#

They're all huddled in this room seemingly unthreatened and unbothered. Not typical of a high-stakes coup attempt.

mental tide
#

They don't quite know what to do with an empty palace

fallow arch
#

New Zaire has, certain forms of support from us, but it's very limited and would not be this. We don't even support stuff like that anymore.

#

Alas why we should be especially careful with identity claims

#

If they got folks or business associates unaffiliated with this over there, they absolutely could face greater negative situations than the local folks involved.

#

DRC security services are absolutely monitoring the net space also their native capabilities will absolutely not cover things like this to form, they're not a country like Lebanon whos had their services heavily supported in development by higher tier services.

fallow arch
# hollow frost Curious also why they wore blatant US flag patches during this coup op. There's ...

Also patches kind of track either way. We enter a weird area on the private sector affiliate spectrum here kind of distinct from the SilverCorp-esque memes and outright volunteer types we see reported. These guys likely weren't just flat New Zaire supporters but likely did so at least in rough relation to business interest, not necessarily doing it for the proverbial cause here. Given that context they probably were not thinking about running low viz for it, just got stuff for a kit.

mental tide
mental tide
# fallow arch It's not

And of course it's not lol. They're using old footage of Malanga allegedly hanging out with the IDF

fallow arch
# mental tide We're gonna need a source on that

We have plenty of government in exiles here but they have to act in very specific ways to prevent crossing into illegalities themselves. We extend them support by recognizing their existence and offering pathways for them to interact with our government, without letting it impact their naturalization or residency. Malange through the UCP has spent significant amounts of time here in the US campainging among Congolese diaspora, which is not something you can just show up and do in the US. There's a very good chance the talk about what's going on there was also picked up, wouldn't be surprised if we hear they got a "dont do that" message in a few months.

#

Hence "but its very limited and would not be this". We don't even support coups like that anymore, that's a thing of cold war era conceputalizations. Instead those same objectives are achieved through breeding overt and legitimate connections with things like governments in exile and offering them safe spaces to develop their own organic futures for their peoples (ala Belarus, Chechen Republic of Ichkeria)

mental tide
#

So you see a pattern here but don't have evidence that the US government was specifically supporting New Zaire

fallow arch
#

We are offering them indirect support by allowing them a safe space to organize and coordinate here in the US

#

Very distinct from things like providing supplies or explicitly allowing things like this

#

I can nerd out on how that works in terms of government influence but lot of folks probably dont recognize that distinction

mental tide
#

Versus him being a naturalized American who is exercising his First Amendment rights? And I can recognize that distinction

fallow arch
#

So we would at least have to explicitly approve him (directly) to do such

#

That is a political decision

#

It's why we dont recognize groups like those in South Ossetia and Abkhazia (which did seek our support before Russia assisted them)

mental tide
#

"foreigner" - a naturalized citizen is still a "foreigner"?

fallow arch
#

I consider him both personally, they don't cancel one another out.

#

I'm actually not sure how INS and all would file that but I'm pretty sure naturalized citizens have to do a lot of the same stuff actual foreigners do who are on in on long term visas and the sort

#

The FA stuff would still apply anyways in the UCP context because of what it is, even if you were some random American supporting them running a social media page targeting audiences here, you'd have to do so (you dont have to be foreign to have to apply as a foreign agent, it has to do with whatever you're doing)

fallow arch
#

Detained or deported no, they could face legal action from DOJ though which is a headache

#

That can impact things with official filings in regards to their status, doesn't mean anything will happen in that regard.

#

Didn't say he did, was using it to clarify realistic bounds to what "support" happens. There's very little chance we supported it in any direct manner as we see claimed, and yes you could get in trouble here for planning such on our soil, if they wanted to charge you they would regardless of your risk averseness.

glad sinew
#

You make good points, maybe a good comparable but different incident would be Operation Gideon in Venezuela, 2020.

fallow arch
mental tide
sharp wadi
#

Yup, that link worked blobshrug Thanks!

vital plover
hollow frost
fallow arch
#

This is also a good example of why you play carefully with the private sector here. Pay is really good but unless you're on an actual tight ship you'll probably sink with everyone else and the money would be for nada. Good on him for thinking it through and not taking it.

#

Based off the extra data we'd have now, I'd be semi-confident tagging early that Christian probably thought his window was closing in to be able to achieve his goals and wanted to do it now. That'd explain Marcels increased attempts at recruiting and growing disappointment from lack of positive responses, and then further why they'd act... as they did

#

And if anyone else wants further information pointing towards there likely being absolutely 0 government involvement, the fact they were going around lying about the trip is a pretty good sum up. If you get actual offers like that, it might be ambigiously worded but what's happening tends to be pretty damn clear still. This is not it

vale mountain
plain thorn
#

"Since the resurgence of the M23 crisis, Uganda has not prevented the presence of M23 and Rwanda Defence Forces (RDF) troops on its territory or passage through it," the U.N. Security Council's Group of Experts said in the report, which was sent to the U.N. Security Council Sanctions Committee at the end of April and then to members of the Security Council in June.
The U.N. group also said it had obtained evidence confirming active support for M23 by officials from the military and military intelligence, with M23 leaders, including the sanctioned Sultani Makenga, travelling to Uganda for meetings.

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/uganda-provided-support-m23-rebels-congo-un-report-says-2024-07-08/

sharp wadi
#

Yup, Ugandan support for M23 has been known for a while

abstract forum
#

He was previously subject to UN reporting in coms with Meddie NKALUBO and South Africa IS cells

abstract forum
#

Swalleh and two other facilitators were just sanctioned

https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2477

South Africa appearing more significant in Islamic States African networks.

U.S. Department of the Treasury

WASHINGTON — Today, the United States is taking action against a network of three individuals associated with the expanded activities of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) on the African continent. These individuals serve as key financiers and trusted operatives, enabling the activities of ISIS and its leaders across Central, Eastern, an...

mental tide
abstract forum
#

Good to see more artilces like this emerging. This line tho, "Several months later, Uganda sent thousands of troops to Congo after a terrorist attack in downtown Kampala; both the Ugandan and Congolese governments blamed it on a **militia **based in northeastern Congo."

abstract forum
#

According to the latest UN report on Islamic state,

“In the months of May
and June alone, ADF killed over 260 civilians, with Member States reporting 500 deaths in North Kivu since January.

  1. Member States report that ADF commander Abwakasi (listed as Ahmad
    Mahmood Hassan, CDi.040) led recent attacks that killed over 200 civilians.
    Abwakasi was observed taking photographs of each attack and then transferring them to another device with Internet connection. At the same time, Member States noted an increase in propaganda highlighting ADF attacks, following months of near
    silence. Regarding the leadership of ADF, it is reported that Seka Baluku (alias Musa Baluku, CDi.036) is gravely ill and seeking hospitalization.”
#

Allegedly Abwakasi leading prayers in a village south of Biakato from Caleb Weiss’s Twitter

mental tide
abstract forum
#

He’s regularly featured in ISCAP photo reports with his face blurred leading prayer

mental tide
abstract forum
#

Caleb is great

mental tide
#

I'm always looking for good sources to add to my DRC Twitter list!

abstract forum
#

the guys associated with Bridgeway Foundation are good starting points. They follow a lot of journalists in north kivu

mental tide
#

It seems everyone I know follows Caleb so I should also do that!

abstract forum
#

According to the latest UN committee report on Congo he’s possibly assisted a senior adf member escape prison

proud jungle
#

Pretty sure he's one of the people profiled in this report

#

Nvm I must have read about him somewhere else, I think I know where but it might take a minute to track down the source.

Leaving the earlier link up bc it's a great if dated resource on adf

#

https://www.congoresearchgroup.org/en/2017/09/20/the-beni-killings-our-findings/

Here we go! Another fantastic crg research project, I suggest reading the full report for context and because some of the people mentioned are still major players in drc politics

CRG

The Congo Research Group (CRG) conducted two years of research into the massacres around Beni, interviewing 245 sources, including many perpetrators and eyewitnesses. The report is 93 pages long (read it&hellip Share this

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There's another source I had in mind that I think details his financial involvement with the group, I'll look for it tomorrow

abstract forum
abstract forum
#

Here’s the allegation in the latest UN reporting

“Sources close to ADF and ADF detainees reported that Amigo, who was also close to Hamuli, played an important role in both attempts to liberate Hamuli and used his connections at the highest levels of the FARDC to do so, possibly including sanctioned individual Muhindo Ak Ili Mundos (CDi.032), as reported by Hamuli to a source (see also S/2015/797, para 93-97, S/2016/466, para 198-204 about Mundos and ADF). This illustrates that over the years, ADF has established close links with several FARDC elements and DRC authorities, including prominent figures, most of whom had served in Beni territory.”

#

Pg57

mental tide
cerulean sonnet
#

i think the associated press just bumped that number up to 3 now

sly steppe
#

Looking at Apple and Tesla DRC 3T + Gold sources, if anyone has any guidance, send it my way

sharp wadi
#

Afaik this is extremely hard to track, especially with open sources, but I would love to be wronged and shown a way too, I'm very interested as well

rare nimbus
#
proud jungle
fathom portal
fathom portal
#

Nothing showing up on FIRMS for this....will have a search for images today

sharp wadi
#

FIRMS is, in my experience, not great for the DRC given the high cloud coverage

fathom portal
celest fern
mental tide
summer shadow
#

For bigger fires maybe useful

#

Although i guess in most cases still hard unless you have access to higher resolution stuff

#

Both cause this way you might be able to try to see through clouds, but also cause you might detect them if the clouds clear for a little bit after the fire already ended

mental tide
#

Anyone else besides the usual suspects diving into the Amnesty report about the Goma massacre last year?

mental tide
#

This is really turning into a kerfluffle

#

"Hours earlier, Congo’s Justice Minister Constant Mutamba said on the social media platform X that anyone who reports on “the activities of the Rwandan army and its M23 auxiliaries, will now suffer the full force of the law (DEATH PENALTY).”

Muyaya, the government spokesperson, downplayed the threat, saying it was only an “interpretation” and that the minister’s statement was meant for anyone “who can be used ... to pass on messages from the enemy.”

#

Opposition spokesman Hervé Diakiese denounced Thursday’s ban and posted on X that freedom of expression means the ability “not only to say things that are pleasant to hear but also things that may displease. And the right to say so, even if they cause harm.”

“Being patriotic doesn’t mean being government propagandists,” Diakiese said.

Congo’s media regulatory body on Tuesday warned three French news organization — Radio France Internationale, France24 and TV5 Monde — over their coverage of the M23 rebels’ advances in eastern Congo."

rare nimbus
#
proud jungle
# rare nimbus https://t.me/POPULARXFRONT/1601

Lol AJ trying to get back on the DRC's good side. One of the complaints leveled against AJ and some Western media outlets is that they were only covering M23 advances and not FARDC ones. So I guess AJ got the assignment 😂

mental tide
ancient vale
#

La vidéo qui relance la controverse : qui a tué le Gouverneur militaire du Nord-Kivu, le Général Major Peter CHIRIMWAMI NKUBA?

Jeudi dernier, lorsque l'étau se resserrait sur Sake, cette vidéo a été largement partagée par les internautes. Le Gouverneur militaire venait d'arriver sur la ligne de front, accompagné d'un journaliste qui le filmait,...

▶ Play video
#

The video that reignites the controversy: who killed the Military Governor of North Kivu, Major General Peter CHIRIMWAMI NKUBA?

Last Thursday, when the noose was tightening on Sake, this video was widely shared by Internet users. The military Governor had just arrived on the front line, accompanied by a journalist who filmed him, tossing out a few words in Swahili to the inhabitants of Goma, whom he asked not to panic, asserting that the Governor was determined to regain control of Sake.

At the 19th second of the video, something unexpected happens: the Governor is stopped by some FARDC and Wazalendo elements. A discussion ensues, apparently heated... a situation that raises questions, because according to military ethics, lower-ranking soldiers cannot afford to address a two-star General in this way.

What were they saying to each other? What were they reproaching the Governor for? And what was the outcome of this exchange? Unfortunately, no one will know. No serious investigation will be carried out, and everything will be swept under the carpet.

Translated with DeepL

solid girder
next magnet
#

Does anyone know if there's a decent map of the current situation around Goma?

#

I doubt there is, but I thought I'd ask

mental tide
#

The axis to the north is very touch and go along the N2 highway. M23 has historically been operating in Virunga National Park there

#

It looks very grim

#

Masisi and Katele in the northwest of the map have also fallen I think

next magnet
#

Yeah, they are also quite far north

#

Best guess is that they want to take Goma before the UNSC session on monday

#

After that probably a push to Bukavu

#

Idk what the end goal is though. If more foreign troops get deployed Rwanda will have trouble holding on

mental tide
#

Today the Congo River Alliance put out a statement instructing FARDC to lay down their arms within the next 48 hours, and the 48 hour deadline would give them until Monday. I'll get that tweet for you shortly

#

do you happen to use my Congo list on DRC?

mental tide
ancient vale
sharp wadi
# ancient vale https://x.com/NewTimesRwanda/status/1883467793242505447 Closed airspace

M23 has no authority on the Goma airport, and as for now there are no unusual activity at the airport (it's not a very busy one and cancellations are common, so it will take time to confirm, but as of now the flight to Addis Ababa which can be used to measure the situation is expected to depart in a few hours per FR24)

Now, if M23 just got enough air defence capabilities to threaten airliners in Goma, that's something of interest. But unless we see signs of closing at the airport, I think this is propaganda

#

Also I just realised the source you shared is pro-Rwanda. Rwanda backs M23 and had a consistent disinfo and propaganda effort against the DRC

ancient vale
#

i also saw claims that M23 shot down a plane, but no proof whatsoever, only a video of a downed helicopter from a few months ago

sharp wadi
#

Can you share the video of the downed helicopter? That would be huge news if confirmed

#

(I'm highly sceptical but that warrants verification)

ancient vale
#

no i'm just saying there is no proof that video was posted way before and not in goma airport, it just comfirms people online lie

#

but i can dm you the tiktok link if you want

sharp wadi
#

Yes please!

#

Even if it's from months ago, it's good to document it, if it indeed happened in the DRC

next magnet
#

so they have the capability at the very least

sharp wadi
next magnet
#

UN is the source btw

proud jungle
#

Was gonna say it was in a recent GOE report!

next magnet
sharp wadi
mental tide
#

AFC's statements this week have been interesting in that they're acting like a municipal authority. "Restore power to Goma because our brothers shouldn't have to live in darkness" , "we have closed the airport" etc. you can get their statements from Lawrence Kanyuka on Twitter who I linked above

ancient vale
#

Bintou Keita at the UN meeting just said the Goma airport is now closed and they are trapped

#
UN Web TV

UN Web TV is available 24 hours a day with selected LIVE programming of United Nations meetings and events as well as with pre-recorded video features and documentaries on various global issues.

#

flighradar still display scheduled departure

next magnet
#

Aux côtés des @FARDC_Info et de la @SAMIDRC, les casques bleus de la #MONUSCO maintiennent leurs positions afin de repousser le #M23 et protéger les civils. L’artillerie et les unités de réaction rapides sont mobilisées pour répondre aux menaces. #ProtectionDesCivils #NordKivu

proud jungle
rare nimbus
#
formal maple
#

Hi everyone, I'm a journalist based in NYC and currently focusing on OSINT reporting in the DRC for a conflict reporting course at Columbia Journalism School with Azmat Khan. I am wondering what I could best focus on given the current situation and would like to hear your thoughts. One of my ideas was to investigate clear evidence that Rwanda is supporting M23, as it still seems that it's officially being denied despite there being evidence. Do you have an idea where I could find that evidence?

proud jungle
formal maple
#

Thanks a lot, even though the last report didn't really say where evidence is from, it just said “obtained further evidence – authentic photographs, drone footage, video recordings, testimony, and intelligence – confirming systematic border incursions by RDF.” So I'm trying to find this drone footage, video recordings, photographs etc

mental tide
#

Contrasting the statements of M23 (we want to avenge the genocidal Congolese government) vs their actions (taking mining towns) is always instructive too 🙃

mental tide
proud jungle
dapper crown
#

Look in the GOE report annexes! The interesting stuff is always in there 😉

floral stream
# mental tide Potra's website, talking about protection of sensitive areas, including mines ht...
RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty

A Romanian former mercenary and bodyguard of far-right pro-Russian presidential candidate Calin Georgescu has been released by a Romanian court after he and a group of armed associates were detained by police while heading toward Bucharest on December 8.

celest fern
weary forge
mental tide
pine bramble
mental tide
#

Also I removed the screenshot of popular front because the truck bed is full of bodies and we have rules about using spoilers for that - see #rules

rare nimbus
#
faint urchin
#

Doing some reading on DRC/Rwanda and it's interesting/fascinating/scary stuff and thought worth a share:

This is an incredibly good fact sheet showing off the range of mineral wealth in the DRC: https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099101723140622516/pdf/P17516105e95da0de0a34c0dd670e6f75cf.pdf

As we can see from the above sheet there is a huge concentration of mineral wealth in the immediate region around Goma.

Here Kagame admits DRC minerals go through Rwanda:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gql91CphSXk

Here is a trade agreement signed between EU/Rwanda last year for mineral wealth: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_24_822

Goma is also the key in the trade of the minerals out of DRC through Rwanda to Dar-es Salaam to world markets: https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/metals/012725-rwandan-backed-rebels-seize-goma-in-mineral-rich-eastern-congo

Here it shows DRC has somewhat chosen a Chinese company as it's lithium partner at least for it's biggest mine:
https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/natural-resource-governance/lithium-rush-africa/

And just for other interested parts of reading here is a good BBC article and NYT article on the current conflict:
BBC: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckgyzl1mlkvo
NYT: https://archive.is/OG8Nx

rare nimbus
#
mental tide
#
Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) International

Cette semaine, les combats entre le M23, l’armée congolaise et leurs alliés respectifs ont atteint le centre-ville de Goma. Les équipes MSF ont réorienté une partie de leurs activités afin de répondre à des urgences telles que la prise en charge des blessés de guerre. Virginie Napolitano, coordinatrice d’urgence MSF à Goma, témoigne de la situat...

mental tide
fathom portal
#

Just a heads up that there is some particularly gruesome footage circulating of the massacre of villagers (beheadings, villagers hacked to death with machetes).....a rough location is somewhere around 35km NW of Butembo.
Best avoid it

mental tide
#

Manon talked on the podcast about how Jason Stearns is a good resource. He has a new piece out

mental tide
#

Very little news from Goma is coming out due to the internet being blocked

rare nimbus
jolly void
ancient vale
frank dew
proud jungle
# ancient vale Warning: Article has picture of mass grave ||https://www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/2025...

https://bsky.app/profile/ethuin.bsky.social/post/3lheuotixlc2e
According to a top DRC researcher: I am told this number may not be wrong but also that the current state of oversight does neither allow to confirm or infirm this count.

Just deleted my previous tweet citing an RFI-reported OCHA number of 3000 killed in #Goma last week. I am told this number may not be wrong but also that the current state of oversight does neither allow to confirm or infirm this count.

mental tide
fathom portal
mental tide
#

Very good open source work

mental tide
celest fern
#

In this week's Book Club book (The Palestine Laboratory) the author mentions a lot of countries Israel has sold weapons and surveillance software to. DRC is not in there, but Rwanda is. It is claimed thst Israel sold weapons to Rwanda before and even during the genocide and that they have been using Pegasus since 2017, for instance.

Now I'm wondering of course: how much of that filered through to the current conflict? Any signs, weapons sightings etc?

fathom portal
weary forge
fathom portal
#

All reports indicate that M23 took Kalehe yesterday and the current front is between Kasheke and Kabamba as they push south.
Speaking to Christoph Vogel last night he seems to think that Congolese forces have already moved equipment out of Kavumu airport to concentrate on Bukavu with possible reinforcements from Burundian troops.
It would be interesting to find out where the relocated their CH-4's.....maybe Lubumbashi?
As far as I can work out, this is a rough area of M23 control as it stands today.

proud jungle
proud jungle
# fathom portal Thanks Manon!

I must have hallucinated the post. But my guess is that if they were relocated maybe they went to Kalemie (-5.873300347165239, 29.24848920508935) ? It's much closer than Lubumbashi, has a functioning airport with functoinal hangars, and there was a MONUSCO presence there until 2022, so clearly it has/had the capacity to handle military aircraft.

Another possible option might be Kindu (-2.9262914003125626, 25.91491400039984), which is also a functioning airport but the hangars don't look nearly as well-maintained, at least as of 1/2022 Google Earth imagery. Minister of Transportation and former MinDef (who also happens to be a convicted war criminal) Jean-Pierre Bemba was there a few days ago to "rally morale."

If they did relocate the CH-4s to Lubumbashi, that seems like it would be a major capitulation

fathom portal
celest fern
#

Did we have confirmation about Bukavu before? https://vxtwitter.com/thomasvlinge/status/1890455360789520437

mental tide
#

Christ they just took Kavumu airport a matter of hours ago. However this should be checked as Thomas has gotten called out for sharing wrong locations before

celest fern
#

The location looks legit to me. Timing I daren't say.

mental tide
#

Yeah they were in Kavumu in daylight and I just don't know if they had enough daylight left to get to Bukavu

#

But they may have just crossed from Rwanda vs coming down the highway

mental tide
#

Or it's FARDC, Wazalendo, or Burundian forces and people are scared

mental tide
#

Uganda looking like it's going to help itself to a province too

#

I am specifically looking for incidents around Panzi Hospital in Bukavu

mental tide
#

a recap: M23/Rwanda seized the North Kivu capital of Goma several weeks ago, just seized the South Kivu capital of Bukavu (in progress), and Uganda is going to take the province of Ituri to the north. In Kinshasa, there's going to be demonstrations about Catholic churches tomorrow. fine

fathom portal
#

As per the above....if Christophe doesn't know what's going on, I'm pretty sure I have no hope loldog
Lot's of confusion as to what is going on in Bukavu.
One possibility is the main M23 force is just south of Kavumu airport after securing that yesterday.
There has been talk of FARDC abandoning positions in Bukavu and perhaps an advance M23 element pushing into the city to take advantage of the FARDC chaos before heading back north to rejoin the main M23 force around Murhesa.
In the absence of FARDC, the local population went on a looting free-for-all, kids procured abandoned weapons and started walking the streets shooting into the air and finally FARDC strapped their stuff together enough to return to the city and resume their positions and start patrols.
This is roughly where I think we are at but we really need more information and will wait on that......and this is a stab in the dark at best
M23 in red, M23 advance party in green who have now rejoined the main force or thereabouts.

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Yesterday, there was at least four round trips from Kigali to Bakavu by two Rwandan Air Force Mi-17V-5's - RAF1705 and RAF0105
Hard to work out if they landed or the exact route as they were flitting in and out.

mental tide
rare nimbus
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forest chasm
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US Office of Foreign Assets Control new DR Congo designations to specially designated nationals list (sanctions)

Source: https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20250220
Press Release: https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0022

  • James Kabarebe (Kabarebe) is a former RDF general and the current Minister of State for Regional Integration in the Rwandan Ministry of Foreign Affairs...Kabarebe is a Rwandan government liaison to M23 and orchestrates RDF support for the armed group. In addition, Kabarebe manages much of Rwanda and M23’s generation of revenue from the DRC’s mineral resources.

  • Lawrence Kanyuka Kingston (Kanyuka) is M23’s civilian spokesperson and a public relations officer for the Congo River Alliance, a U.S.-sanctioned coalition of rebel groups that seeks to overthrow the DRC government.

  • Kingston Fresh LTD (Kingston Fresh) is a food services company in the UK that is directed and owned by Kanyuka

  • Kingston Holding is a mining consultancy based in Paris, France, that is managed and owned by Kanyuka.

U.S. Department of the Treasury

WASHINGTON — Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) imposed sanctions on James Kabarebe (Kabarebe), Rwanda’s Minister of State for Regional Integration. Kabarebe is central to Rwanda’s support for the March 23 Movement (M23), a U.S.- and United Nations (UN)-designated armed group that has rapidly exp...

silk tartan
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interesting to note who is saying this and why now

faint urchin
silk tartan
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i am only sharing what may potentially be driving some policy makers. OP is a big person in GLR

silk tartan
shadow python
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"A group of critically injured South African peacekeepers who were hurt in fighting in eastern Congo a month ago have been evacuated by the United Nations, the South African armed forces said Tuesday." https://www.africanews.com/2025/02/25/critically-injured-south-african-soldiers-evacuated-from-congo-amid-rebel-offensive/

Africanews

The M23 rebels are supported by around 4,000 troops from Rwanda, according to U.N. experts, and now occupy Goma and Bukavu, the two biggest cities in eastern Congo. Their rapid offensive has killed around 7,000 people, Congo says.

fathom portal
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It is with great sadness that we are sharing the news of the passing of our colleague, Jerry Muhindo Kavali, in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). He died today from the gunshot wound he suffered while at the Doctors Without Borders/Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) base in Masisi town, North Kivu, during clashes between the [...]Read More... ...

shadow python
mental tide
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Today in Bukavu, the capital of South Kivu province which is currently under M23 occupation, there were at least two explosions at a rally called by M23 leadership. There's scenes of some injured people in the following video:
|| https://x.com/SamuelBaker_B/status/1895209661827330518?t=iE65NevU1_E1dzic8S7QXg&s=19 ||

Blasts at an #RDF/#M23 rally in #Bukavu, whether a targeted attack or a staged provocation, underscores how fragile the situation remains - and how quickly localized violence can escalate into broader regional confrontations.

1/3

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I've collected images and videos but I've seen references to the civilian population being ordered by M23 to appear at the rally. If you've seen anything like fliers distributed to back this claim up, I'm interested

royal coral
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Congolese government and M23 are accusing eachother of being the source of the explosions... Difficult to establish however.

royal coral
# mental tide Today in Bukavu, the capital of South Kivu province which is currently under M23...

As for proof of the "invitation" to the M23 meeting, this graphic was shared on social media. I am trying to find photos of physical fliers although a lot was done through radio and in person convocations.

https://x.com/kalonjibernardi/status/1894723048147980523

📌Ne manquez pas notre meeting
de consolidation. Un moment clé pour renforcer notre engagement et avancer ensemble.

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Let me know if you are looking for any other information. I can check with my contacts in Bukavu. @mental tide

mental tide
mental tide
onyx mirage
forest chasm
mental tide
forest chasm
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🚨🇨🇩 #RDC : Le bateau #MV_AMANI, du chef rebelle AFC #Joseph_Kabila, serait saisi par la force navale #Tanzanienne à Kigoma le 28/02, sur ordre de Félix Tshisekedi. Il est accusé de ravitailler le M23/AFC en armes, munitions et vivres, alimentant la déstabilisation dans l'Est.

L bateau MV AMANI, lié à JKK soupçonné de ravitailler ls terroristes d M23/AFC, a été saisi à Kigoma en Tanzanie par la force navale burundaise sur ordre du Pr.Tshisekedi. Transporte ds munitions depuis le Kenya et ds provisions depuis la Tanzanie vers d zones stratégiques en RDC

🛑 IL N'Y A PLUS AUCUN DOUTE SUR LE PARRAINAGE DE JOSEPH KABILA AUX REBELLES M23-AFC.

Le bateau AMANI de l'ancien Joseph Kabila venait d'être bloqué à kigoma ce 28 Fév. 2025, une ville de la Tanzanie, soupçonné d'embarquer des armes et hommes pour envahir la ville kalemie.

mental tide
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On February 21, a lobbyist representing the Congolese Senator Pierre Kanda Kalambayi sent letters to U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other American officials inviting U.S. investment in Congo's vast mineral resources in exchange for helping to reinforce "regional stability".

mental tide
shadow python
summer shadow
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Random, but does anyone have coords of the main refugee (resettlement) camps that were affected by events this/last year?

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Experimenting with some GIS stuff for uni (have to look at refugee settlement expansion in Uganda) and thought this’d be an interesting topic to practice around (also cause knowing Congo the landscape will be difficult, which is a useful challenge)

proud jungle
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Yes!! And it includes the status of the camps in January - many of them were in the process of being emptied, and many of them have probably continued to be emptied in the last month or two

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The coords are approximate

summer shadow
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Thanks!!

proud jungle
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Np! You should share your project when it's done if you don't mind, super curious as to what you come up with!!

summer shadow
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Won’t be anything too impressive either way but maybe some nice maps with standard methods

rare nimbus
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Best to send it privately.

proud jungle
fathom portal
# summer shadow Won’t be anything too impressive either way but maybe some nice maps with standa...

The Bulengo IDP camp near Lac Vert at the edge of Goma was probably the most dramatic and pronounced, but as manonymous has mentioned, there are many that have been abandoned since the Goma Offensive.
I'm sure the coordinates will be in the file but it's -1.622922, 29.123411 if needed.
I'm in touch with a Goma-based photojournalist who documented the dismantling of the camp if you need any photographs to back up your GIS work for uni.....sing out if you'd like me to put you in touch with him.

summer shadow
mental tide
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M23 pulled out of the scheduled negotiations with DRC tomorrow, citing these sanctions

mental tide
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Congo officials tag Elon, etc, on Twitter about it

austere yoke
mental tide
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Since China is doing the "resource rights for infrastructure" thing, and historically resources have simply been used to make government officials wealthy while not investing that wealth in the state, I'm not surprised that getting something for those resources instead of the historical nothing is appealing

summer shadow
# mental tide Since China is doing the "resource rights for infrastructure" thing, and histori...

Not congo but I've noticed growing pushback to it in Zambia though (or more accurately, less positive views, I think it's still relatively positive overall). They developed a huge stake in the copper belt and especially between 2016-2022 I saw a massive increase in Chinese presence in Livingstone (Zambia's main city in the south and on the crossroads for the ports in Namibia). Got extreme enough that at one point during Zambia's independence day festivals, people were doing a Chinese dance in one of those dragon costumes. But last time I went the local presence in Livingstone was almost entirely gone (Chinese hotels that hosted the businessmen all shut down).

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I think it's a mix of several factors (covid + general restructuring of the belt and road initiative), but also definitely feels like the local and political enthusiasm for deals with China massively decreased. Like, yes they invest heavily in infrastructure which is nice, but in the end they're not giving a great deal either (plus certain cultural differences I presume, but I have no experience with that).

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Can imagine this pattern will to certain extents repeat in other african countries (depending on the level of democratic influence in politics and broader national economics)

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So yeah, if the US goes further down this path with their foreign policy, I can imagine these countries might be very happy to try and switch back from China to the US

blissful stream
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[ignore this I just want to get notifications]

celest fern
blissful stream
rare nimbus
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Aggrey Nyondwa critiques the Western media's sporadic and superficial coverage of the ongoing conflict in the DRC, emphasising the need for more sustained, ethical reporting that acknowledges the roles of international actors in perpetuating the crisis.

shadow python
shadow python
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For François* (pseudonym), a human rights observer in the east of the Democratic Republic of Congo, the year 2025 begins under the worst auspices, between the announcement of the suspension of American international aid for 3 months, since January 20, and the resumption of fighting in South Kivu, culminating in the capture of Bukavu by the M23 r...

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(From Feb)

mental tide
shadow python
mental tide
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Massad Boulos, Tiffany Trump’s father-in-law, said Thursday that he and the president of the Democratic Republic of Congo had “agreed a on a path forward” for a minerals deal, during his first trip after being named named senior adviser for Africa. The deal itself is far from final, but Boulos said the U.S. wanted “a lasting peace that affirms the territorial integrity and sovereignty of the D.R.C.”

Congo’s president, Felix Tshisekedi, offered the U.S. and Europe a stake in his country’s extensive mineral wealth in an interview in February. Congo is rich in minerals like gold, cobalt and others found in phones and computers, but many are already being mined by Chinese companies or are in territory controlled by M23, a militia backed by Rwanda. The militia has torn through vast stretches of eastern Congo since the beginning of the year, and Tshisekedi wants U.S. support against M23 and Rwanda in return for his country’s minerals.

shadow python
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Does anyone have updates on the situation in Kinshasa w.r.t. the floods?

sharp wadi
# shadow python Does anyone have updates on the situation in Kinshasa w.r.t. the floods?
Radio Okapi

Au moins 33 décès ont été recensés à la suite des inondations et érosions provoquées par les pluies diluviennes survenues dans la nuit du 4 au 5 avril 2025 à Kinshasa. Ce bilan, communiqué par le ministère de l’Intérieur dans un communiqué publié tard dans la nuit du dimanche 6 avril, reste provisoire. Selon le ministère de l’...

shadow python
mental tide
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Tshisekedi has been seen as the pro-US politician and is really working the pivot to the US from China at the moment

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Additionally, the former president Joseph Kabila has apparently moved back to Goma, which is still under M23 occupation
https://x.com/VoiceOfCongo/status/1909688960667824528?t=4ps3-1rJyK-YFKxMQw15Ug&s=19

.@OlivierKamitatu sur le retour annoncé de Joseph Kabila:

“Le retour imminent de Joseph Kabila à #Goma, ville emblématique de notre souveraineté nationale, porte un message clair : la résolution de la crise congolaise ne saurait reposer uniquement sur des interventions

shadow python
wise yew
shadow python
# wise yew What is Qatar's angle here? Why is a so called middle power brokering this settl...

I am not sure. I think Qatar might be considered more impartial than many other places? DW.com suggest they were chosen because they have a good history when it comes to peace talks https://www.dw.com/en/will-qatar-mediation-role-pacify-eastern-congo/a-71984284

dw.com

Qatar's mediation efforts have brought Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo to the table, leveraging strong economic ties to facilitate crucial peace negotiations.

wise yew
mental tide
wise yew
mental tide
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Okay we just don't do speculation here. We work with open source information and evidence

mental tide
shadow python
mental tide
sharp wadi
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Speaking of Kabila, the DRC has opened legal investigations against him and suspended his party due to his connections with M23 https://www.radiookapi.net/2025/04/20/actualite/securite/constant-mutamba-ordonne-louverture-de-poursuites-judiciaires-contre

Radio Okapi

Le ministre de la Justice de la République démocratique du Congo, Constant Mutamba, a ordonné samedi 19 avril 2025, l’ouverture de poursuites judiciaires contre Joseph Kabila, ancien président du pays, ainsi que contre ses complices, soupçonnés de soutenir le groupe rebelle AFC/M23, appuyé par l’armée rwandaise. Dans un communiqué o...

shadow python
shadow python
sharp wadi
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Potential good news for conducting open source research in the DRC: Starlink is available in the country according to You-Know-Who, after the Congolese government lifted a ban on Starlink back on Friday. Hopefully we soon see more congolese having access to the Internet.

https://www.reuters.com/science/starlink-is-now-available-congo-musk-says-2025-05-04/

Reuters

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk said on Sunday in an X post that the company's satellite system Starlink is now available in Congo.

mental tide
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@vestal kernel here's our Congo post 🙂

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Abstract The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is a country that has never truly experienced peace or democracy. As a result, achieving peace through negotiations has proven to be an extremely difficult process. This paper assesses the Inter-Congolese Dialogue (ICD) process, especially concerning women’s contributions to peace-building in...

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Which I found reading this

mental tide
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This is not unexpected but it's still really hard for me to see. Michombero is a great local journalist in Eastern DRC, and M23 leadership in occupied Congo is starting rumors about him
https://x.com/michombero/status/1922726983622066421?t=S3QBmKBfKhIyKQwPLh5Pvw&s=19

Méfiez-vous de cette information affirmant que l'un de mes frères a été arrêté par les rebelles du M23 avec une arme.

Contrairement à ce que confirme @RealManziWilly, vice gouverneur #M23 au Nord-Kivu, je n'ai aucun frère dans les groupes armés et je n'ai aucun intérêt à relayer

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@proud jungle gave Michombero a shout out on our Bellingchat episode

mental tide
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Outlet Tazama RDC has decided to stop reporting on the security situation in the Kivu provinces. Additionally, a journalist from Goma was detained by M23, but Michombero says he's seen a video of the journalist alive. https://x.com/michombero/status/1929471959596744795

#RDC 🇨🇩 : Enlevé dimanche 25 mai, le confrère Jérémie Wakahasha est détenu par les rebelles du M23 à Goma

Enlevé le dimanche 25 mai, le journaliste Jérémie Wakahasha est actuellement détenu par les rebelles du M23 à Goma. Une vidéo que j'ai visualisé le montre vivant.

Dans ce

mental tide
mental tide
white tiger
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Kabila’s Return to the DRC: Africa File Special Edition

Author: Yale Ford
Key Takeaway: Former Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) President Joseph Kabila has reentered Congolese politics to capitalize on the eastern DRC crisis and regain power by positioning himself as the leader of a broad opposition bloc that includes Rwandan-backed M23 rebels. The Kabila-M23 partnership is opportunistic and transactional, which is one of many reasons that Kabila is unlikely to use M23 to topple Tshisekedi militarily. Kabila’s reemergence risks convoluting the domestic peace process, which is necessary for long-term peace and stable economic investment in the DRC.

mental tide
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Thanks for sharing. I've been curious about this

mental tide
arctic bloom
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opinions on peace deal anyone ?

mental tide
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It doesn't involve M23

proud jungle
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Yeah I was just checking up on how the Rwandan keyboard warriors are reacting and they're all very pleased that President Tshisekedi "agreed to disarm the FDLR" but the M23-aligned accounts are as belligerent as always. Here they are a few minutes ago accusing the Congolese of breaking the ceasefire: https://x.com/M23_TWIRWANEHO/status/1939773168090325030

Agreed with @mental tide on the issue of M23 not being involved - the peace deal just asks Kinshasa to "hold talks" with M23, which the Congolese president has staked his government on not doing. Rwanda and M23 have this cute shell game going where Kinshasa will only negotiate with Rwanda, and any agreement between the two countries is violated by M23 because of course Rwanda can't speak for the Completely Independent Movement that is M23 /s

The "peace deal" also doesn't settle any of the issues related to the territory that M23 has seized, the extraction/distribution of resources from that territory, and the very real fears of ethnic conflicts from the parties involved.

Not to get too deep into US politics, but I would consider this a classic Trump deal: looks great on Twitter but isn't worth the pixels it's written on.

COMMUNIQUÉ OFFICIEL DE L’ALLIANCE FLEUVE CONGO (AFC/M23) DU 30 JUIN 2025

À peine 72 heures après avoir paraphé un accord de paix à Washington, le régime sanguinaire de Kinshasa vient une fois de plus de commettre un acte d'une barbarie inqualifiable en bombardant, ce lundi 30

arctic bloom
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looks like US Army will deploy. been building FOBs in Kenya this year

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i am typing with onscreen keyboard so my words are limited

arctic bloom
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yes but there talks of more bases in kenyan policy circles. africom summit was in nairobi a few weeks ago

proud jungle
arctic bloom
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Could be separate but us military doctrine relies on staging grounds not too far away from conflict zones . i dont think US will have large base in drc. most likely mercenaries like erik prince will be used

proud jungle
arctic bloom
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honestly not much a mercenary battalion can do when you consider their allies weaknesses and opponents capacity

proud jungle
arctic bloom
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but SA forces fought really well

arctic bloom
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If not for Uganda deployment m23 was going north in a hurry

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=thSyyKiTOnk rwandan army learnt from Russia Ukraine war and other conflicts they had 10+ years to prepare and so did drc

🇷🇼🇨🇩 Since 2022, the Rwandan-backed M23 rebels have renewed their offensive in the Democratic Republic of Congo. In January 2025, the M23 rebels were reinforced by numerous Rwandan Army detachments. Together, they launched a new campaign which overwhelmed the FARDC, also known as the Congolese Army. That's how Goma, the capital of No...

▶ Play video
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What do you think H.ETrump deal will mean for China OBOR in EAC ? @mental tide @proud jungle

sharp wadi
arctic bloom
celest fern
mental tide
arctic bloom
mental tide
arctic bloom
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no the comment i replied above. Sharing the link is a corelation of the assessment

arctic bloom
mental tide
mental tide
proud jungle
desert sky
# proud jungle BBC reporting on the current status of the Rubaya mine, which Bellingcat bought ...
bellingcat

Satellite imagery is increasingly used by open source researchers to analyse conflict,natural disasters, mining activities and even construction work. With the help of Planet Labs PBC and Umbra Space, Bellingcat can take a snapshot of anywhere in the world by “tasking” their satellites to take an image at up to 25-centimetre resolution. Bell...

white tiger
mental tide
shadow python
white tiger
velvet nymph
white tiger
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https://x.com/hrw/status/1963609000806588584 super interesting piece of work

NEW: HRW geospatial analysis shows a large increase of graves in Kanombe Military Cemetery in Kigali, Rwanda since the M23 armed group and Rwanda Defence Force offensive on Goma and Bukavu in eastern DR Congo in Jan 2025. 1/11🧵⤵️

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there isn't a Rwanda or a Mozambique thread, and there's a possibility this relates to testimonies of Rwandan army troop losses in the DRC

#
RFI

Human Rights watch affirme que des soldats rwandais combattent bien ces derniers mois dans l’Est de la République démocratique du Congo (RDC). L’ONG a mené son enquête au cimetière militaire de Kanombe,…

The Eastleigh Voice News

According to the HRW, 1,171 new graves were recorded between 2022 and 2025, the increase coinciding with the M23 armed group's offensive on Goma and Bukavu citi...

mental tide
uncut patrol
shadow python
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Dutch language article on this bitcoin mine in east Congo/DRC. Translation of three main takeaways at top of article:

  • The Virunga Foundation, a British NGO that protects a National Park in Eastern Congo, will manage a new nature reserve. The "green corridor Kivu-Kinshasa" covers almost a quarter of the former Belgian colony and more than thirty million people live there. The NGO is led by a Belgian prince, Emmanuel de Merode.
  • The EU supported the Virunga Foundation with more than 150 million euros, especially for development projects in the vicinity of the park. They are often considered success, but FTM discovered that millions are wasted.
  • For example, the EU focused on tourism, while the park hardly attracts holidaymakers because it is in a war zone. And Brussels paid millions in the construction of a hydroelectric power plant without a network. Now a bitcoin company is active, which thanks to the EU support uses cheap green electricity to "dig" cryptocurrency.

https://www.ftm.nl/artikelen/naar-bitcoins-delven-in-het-regenwoud-van-congo-met-subsidie-van-de-eu
https://archive.ph/hcX8m

Follow the Money - Platform voor onderzoeksjournalistiek

De EU gaf miljoenen uit aan grotendeels mislukte projecten in een natuurpark in Oost-Congo, onder leiding van een Belgische prins. Een safari-lodge bijvoorbeeld – in een oorlogsgebied – en een waterkrachtcentrale die bij gebrek aan afnemers wordt gebruikt voor bitcoincomputers. Dit ‘succesverhaal’ wordt nu uitgerold over een gebied zo gr...

white tiger
#

super interesting, thanks for sharing this

shadow python
shadow python
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"Both sides are now dispatching hundreds of men to multiple frontline towns in Congo's eastern provinces bordering Rwanda and Burundi, where violence continues unabated while the talks rumble on, according to the Congolese government and rebel officials." https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-army-rebels-dig-war-trump-says-is-over-2025-09-18/

Reuters

Congo's army and Rwandan-backed rebels are reinforcing military positions and blaming each other for flouting peace accords in an escalation that experts say risks reigniting the simmering conflict, which U.S. President Donald Trump claims to have ended.

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"The ADF started off in neighboring Uganda in the mid-1990s as an Islamist militia, before moving into the border region with the Democratic Republic of Congo. The militia established ties with ISIS in 2018 and was designated by the U.S. State Department as a foreign terrorist organization in 2021."

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/congo-isis-militia-machete-attack-funeral-dozens-killed/

An ISIS-linked terrorist group among the many factions fighting in Eastern Congo has reportedly massacred dozens of people attending a funeral.

shadow python
#
Follow the Money - Platform for investigative journalism

The legal team of one of the world’s largest producers of copper, the Eurasian Resources Group, warned about money flowing to an alleged front man to the former president of Congo, leaked documents show. But instead of acting, the company seems to have looked the other way.

shadow python
white tiger
mental tide
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There are (so far) 3 articles in this series

white tiger
mental tide
#

Interesting article that talks about Paul Kagame's use of spyware #infosec message

mental tide
shadow python
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"The United Nations also appears resigned to the new status quo. “Our humanitarian colleagues and our peacekeeping colleagues deal with the M23 as de facto authorities,” Stéphane Dujarric, spokesperson of the UN secretary-general, told The Continent in New York this week. He said UN workers in other parts of the world under disputed administrations do the same. "

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Aispruce News

The Burundi immigration office has reportedly barred entry to several Burundian nationals returning from eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), citing passport stamps issued by the armed coalition AFC/M23. The incident occurred at the Kobero border post in Muyinga Province, raising concerns about discrimination and regional security ten...

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GOMA – The M23 rebel movement has declared that, starting November 1, it will no longer recognize travel documents issued by the Congolese government for entry into areas under its control, including the cities of Goma, Bukavu, and swathes of North and South Kivu provinces. In a statement signed by Bertrand Bisimwa, the group’s deputy …

shadow python
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Just FYI, the new humanitarian are maintaining quite an in depth IJ series on the M23 developments in Kivu. They also highlight some ootherwise (imo) underhighlighted perspectives such as that of artists from the region.

https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/tags/m23-rebellion

mental tide
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Jeune Afrique is writing up a summary of today's meeting in Washington. Note that M23 is not a party to this accord (Rwanda denies association). https://www.jeuneafrique.com/1746612/politique/rdc-rwanda-felix-tshisekedi-et-paul-kagame-signent-laccord-de-paix-sous-legide-de-donald-trump/

JeuneAfrique.com

Donald Trump ainsi que les présidents du Rwanda et de la RDC ont signé jeudi à Washington un accord de paix, alors que sur le terrain d’intenses combats se poursuivent.

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#RDC #Rwanda: Signé ce 4 décembre 2025 à Washington, le « Cadre d’intégration économique régionale » (REIF) entre la RDC et le Rwanda ouvre des chantiers de coopération sans précédent : 👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻

📌 Énergie (priorité donnée à Ruzizi III et à l’exploitation coordonnée du méthane du

jolly helm
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Reuters special report on the M23 and their attempts at building a parallel administration:
https://www.reuters.com/investigations/m23-rebels-entrench-their-rule-east-congo-even-trump-claims-peace-2025-12-08/

Reuters

President Donald Trump says he has ended the long war in eastern Congo. But despite signing peace deals, Congo’s M23 rebels have tightened their grip on power by enlisting more soldiers, building a parallel administration and seizing mines rich in critical minerals.

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JeuneAfrique.com

Dans un rapport, qui doit être publié prochainement, des experts de l’ONU affirment que le M23 et l’armée rwandaise ont commis des exécutions sommaires et provoqué des déplacements massifs de la population dans l’est de la RDC.

RFI

Le groupe d’experts sur la RDC a livré son dernier rapport sur la crise dans l’est du pays, alors que, officiellement, chaque partie s’est engagée à un cessez-le-feu, que ce soit à Washington ou à Doha.…

Citizen Digital

The report -- an evaluation written up every six months by experts mandated by the UN Security Council -- is to be made public soon.

mental tide
#

M23 continues to close in on Uvira
https://x.com/i/status/1998129703925018864

#Urgent #RDC #Sud_Kivu Les rebelles de l'#AFC_M23 ont pris le contrôle de la cité de #Sange après avoir déloger l'armée congolaise appuyée par les #Wazalendo et l'armée burundaise ce lundi, a appris @KivuMorningPost des sources locales. #Sange est situé à 30 km d'#Uvira.

jolly helm
#
Reuters

Rwanda-backed M23 rebels have entered the eastern Congo town of Uvira, an important base for the Congolese army near the border with Burundi, four sources including two residents told Reuters on Wednesday.

RFI

En République démocratique du Congo, l’escalade militaire qui a suivi la signature des accords de paix de Washington a encore provoqué des mouvements de population. Plusieurs dizaines de milliers de…

mental tide
#

Stanis has a pic of Willy Ngoma in front of the mayor's office

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Still geolocating but the road in front matches

mental tide
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A longer video came out. We see in the first frame of this video, trees on the right side
https://x.com/StanysBujakera/status/1998897902853169243?s=20

Sud-Kivu : Dans un communiqué officiel publié ce 10 décembre 2025, le gouvernement provincial accuse « les forces spéciales rwandaises » d’avoir pris le contrôle d’Uvira dans la matinée, faisant 413 morts civils – dont de nombreuses femmes, enfants et jeunes – par balles,

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therefore it cannot be that location on Google maps, as there's no space between buildings for trees

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in this video at timestamp 1:43, protestors in front of the town hall/mayor's house are shown as part of a crowd pan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZSeZaSdisMg

DRC: Hundreds of protesters gather in Uvira to demand General Gasita's removal

Hundreds of protesters took to the streets of Uvira on Monday, in response to a call from civil society.

READ MORE : http://www.africanews.com/2025/09/08/drc-hundreds-of-protesters-gather-in-uvira-to-demand-general-gasitas-removal

Subscribe on our Youtube channe...

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the protestors are in front of the building that Ngoma is in front of today. on the left of the frame, this very distinctive building. on the right, the pillars of the house Ngoma is standing on.

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so I believe the mayoral residence is here

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in today's video you can see the pattern of that Economat in the reflection behind Ngoma

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there has been a lot of "Willy Ngoma was photoshopped" going around on Twitter today so I wanted to get this one right

mental tide
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Some finished geolocations from the push to Uvira #show-your-work message

mental tide
frank rose
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Can someone explain to me like I am 5 years old why you may believe M23 is bad. Slightly ignorant on DRC just trying to understand better. I am not a Rwanda shill but I am East African. I monitor conflicts across the continent.

My questions are simple.

  1. Why is M23 bad?
  2. Who is responsible for the humanitarian crisis?
  3. What is Rwanda-M23 doing different that Western Powers have not done or are currently doing?

I hope this is not ragebait because it is not intended as ragebait just genuinely asking what is going on?

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Have been lurking for a long time with throwaways

celest fern
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Hello! You are asking for opinion, which we generally do not allow here. This server deals in verifiable open source evidence, feel free to look around to see what, and how, people are posting about other subjects/regions, too..

But if you ask me personally, I think any side that causes suffering to innocent people should be held to account. That includes, but is certainly not limited to, AFC/M23.

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Thanks

white tiger
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Damn, he left the server

mental tide
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Hi there! I've deleted your message under #rules 7. In the future, to call someone's attention to that post, what you can do to stay aligned with server rules is to link to the post with a warning, such as, "An investigation into M23 shows they're involved in gender based violence. The article is here #gender-based-violence-misogyny message "

white tiger
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https://www.dw.com/en/in-zambia-great-lakes-defense-chiefs-talk-drc-insecurity/a-75471930

Defense ministers and military chiefs from ICGLR member states Angola, Burundi, the Central African Republic, Republic of the Congo, the DRC, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, South Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda and Zambia were invited. The DRC is the current chair of the ICGLR.

dw.com

Over the weekend, regional defense ministers met in Livingstone to address the worsening security situation in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo. However, an end to the fighting is not in sight.

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Since 2022, western Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has been plagued by a major security and humanitarian crisis, with more than 5,000 dead, and 280,000 still displaced. While international attention has focused on the violent conflicts in eastern DRC, an intercommunity conflict at the on the outskirts of Kinshasa is sinking into a spiral of ...

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# mental tide https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-offers-tantalum-deposit-under-m23-con...

#RDC: Le lieutenant-colonel Willy Ngoma, figure emblématique et porte-parole militaire de l’AFC/M23, a été tué dans la nuit du 23 au 24 février 2026 lors d’une frappe de drone attribuée aux Forces armées de la RDC (FARDC), vient de me confirmer un haut cadre de la direction de

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Willy Ngoma killed in a drone strike

forest chasm
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US OFAC imposes sanctions on on the Rwanda Defence Force (RDF) and four senior officials.

The RDF is actively supporting, training, and fighting alongside the March 23 Movement (M23), a U.S.- and United Nations (UN)-sanctioned armed group responsible for human rights abuses and a mass displacement crisis in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). The RDF has supported M23 as it seized territory in eastern DRC, including provincial capitals Goma and Bukavu, along with strategic mining sites in eastern DRC. M23’s offensives would not have been possible without the active support and complicity of the RDF and key senior officials.
Source: "Treasury Sanctions Rwanda Officials, Condemns Blatant Violations of Washington Peace Accords," US Treasury, March 2, 2026 (link)

Entity Sanctioned:

  • Rwanda Defence Force

Individuals Sanctioned:

  • Vincent Nyakarundi
  • Ruki Karusisi
  • Mubarakh Muganga
  • Stanislas Gashugi

Additional info: https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20260302

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Sanctions Support Peace in the Democratic Republic of the CongoWASHINGTON—Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) imposed sanctions on the Rwanda Defence Force (RDF)—the military of Rwanda—and four of its senior officials.  The RDF is actively supporting, training, and fighting alongside the ...

proud jungle
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sharp wadi
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The FARDC have announced an operation with the goal to disarm the FDLR, the remnants of the Rwandan army that commited the genocide back in 1994.

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-army-launches-disarmament-push-against-rwanda-genocide-linked-militia-2026-03-30/

Reuters

Congo’s army has announced the start of a disarmament push against a militia linked to Rwanda’s 1994 genocide, in what would be a key step towards implementing ​a U.S.-brokered peace deal with neighbouring Rwanda.

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Kabila, who extracted tens of millions of funds out of the hands of the Congolese people during his presidency, tells NYT that he's "pretty much a farmer" https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/30/world/africa/he-led-congo-for-18-years-now-hes-a-hunted-man.html?unlocked_article_code=1.XFA.VVcK.DigZYKqlsnM2&smid=nytcore-android-share

By Ruth Maclean

Joseph Kabila, the former president, faces the death penalty after the government convicted him of treason last year. He says the charges are bogus.

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sharp wadi
white tiger
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historically, paramilitaries in sub-saharan africa...

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thank you for sharing this

mental tide
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“The U.S. government is not currently funding any units to patrol or guard mines in the Congo,” it said in a statement.

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Note the "currently"

white tiger
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it's interesting how the US has taken a pro-DRC stance in the region - Rwanda has really fumbled

white tiger
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