#DR Congo
951 messages · Page 1 of 1 (latest)
I was here before you notified me 
I'm up for digging into this also
So I am currently reading this https://www.amazon.com/Cobalt-Red-Blood-Congo-Powers-ebook/dp/B09Y462D6Z and by the end of Chapter 1 I was in Google Earth etc. It's really good so far.
however here's a puzzle for us to pick apart. what is up with https://twitter.com/goma24news ? they come off as anti-DRC. I want to dig into the history of this "news" org
very anti-president https://twitter.com/goma24news/status/1672292289652113420
L'erreur est humaine, je veux bien, mais cas-même ! Le discours d'un président doit être écrit et vérifier au préalable. De l'amateurisme pure et simple !
and this seems to be a sister effort https://twitter.com/kivunews24 it's just interesting
definitely pro M23
I guess this is all Rwanda-operated but I don't have any proof yet, however commenters in the posts say so
Goma24s fb page seems abandoned and links to an abandoned domain
Sadly no saved snapshots in archive.today
And that Goma24 keeps retweeting this guy who defines himself as a proud Rwandan (and of course has Twitter Blue) https://twitter.com/FelixMugenzi
Who also writes from this medium in Kigali (919 followers but verified of course) https://twitter.com/MY250TV
kivu news 24 still has a facebook, last post a few months ago https://www.facebook.com/people/Kivu-News-24/
The Romanian connection appears to be a PMC run by ex-FFL member, Horatiu Potra.
links to a youtube https://www.youtube.com/@kivunews2462/featured
He also has #PK in his profile which I'm quite confident that stands for Paul Kagame
This is Potra's 'official Website'
Protection of personalities (VIP)
The profession of Bodyguard cannot be improvised, it learns with patience, intelligence and practical experience. The role of the Bodyguard is ... more
Protection of sensitive areas
Based on practical experience on the ground in sensitive areas (Africa, Middle East, Latin America, etc.), our agents are
This article was published a few days ago, mentions 1k soliders https://www.africaintelligence.com/central-africa/2023/06/23/horatiu-potra-boosts-his-private-military-contingent-in-goma,109997023-art
kivu news quit posting in March but they were talking about Wagner
I honestly need a diagram between the different groups, they're so many actors there...
YEP
but I think the kivu/goma24 is really interesting. disinformation efforts!
damn he looks a lil prigozhin-esque
Romanian Prigozhin 😅
In business mode
What's with warlords and being bald?
Also I guess that picture is on the Romanian coast in the Black Sea?
You think that is the same dude?.... the business one is from a Twitter profile from 2010 with just one tweet.... can't vouch for it being legit as there is some weird follwer stuff going on.
when the dust up about "is it wagner?" was happening around December, I found this review
they had talked about soldiers staying and then the hotel was closed for bookings for several months
Stress.....
I think so with the caveat that I am not a pro at anything
Is that from the same hotel you messaged me a couple months ago?
yep
I guess we can test with an AI
had the tab open for six months 
Too relatable
going to paste and pin this too so I can close the tab
https://kivusecurity.org/
The Kivu Security Tracker maps violence by state security forces and armed groups in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo to better understand trends, causes of insecurity, and serious violations of international human rights and humanitarian law.
There is a reply to that Twitter post above saying 30 Romanian soldiers were staying at a hotel near the lake.
Plenty of photos here... one of Romanian PMC guarding the runway at Goma from M23
not a diagram but https://kivusecurity.org/about/armedGroups
The Kivu Security Tracker maps violence by state security forces and armed groups in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo to better understand trends, causes of insecurity, and serious violations of international human rights and humanitarian law.
This article mentions the role of a (unnamed) former French colonel, advising Potra and also coached the Congolese Minister of Defence https://congovirtuel.com/information/m23-pres-de-360-nouveaux-militaires-prives-roumains-dhoratiu-potra-en-renfort-aux-fardc/?amp=1
Les rebelles du M23 ont investi les villages Kasura, Butale, Lwama vers la localité de Mbati à l’issue des violents combats qui les ont opposés presque toute la journée aux combattants locaux du groupe de l’Alliance des patriotes pour un Congo libre et souverain (APCLS), […]
There's so many.... so hard to track 😕
More pictures of Potra
Investigating the exploits of Horatiu Potra and rumors about his involvement with the war in DRC Congo.
is this author in the server? lol
From reading the articles there is talk of some sort of link between Potra & Wagner but nothing conclusive.
Potra's website, talking about protection of sensitive areas, including mines http://asociatiaralf.ro/protection-of-sensitive-areas/
Protection of sensitive areas (mining, industrial, etc) Based on practical experience on the ground in sensitive areas (Africa, Middle East, Latin America, etc.), our agents are available for implementing a security and evacuation plan, of mining and industrial parks, located in areas under risk.
If your business protection is not performing, d...
I'm looking at the flight data in ADS-B and it doesn't seem to match?
this all should keep us busy forever, essentially
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history
This is the day where it supposedly flew to Goma, but it's connecting between Lanarca and Bucharest, which are also mentioned in the article
But I don't see the link with Goma
the flight radar listings have three different flights - H3881, 2, and 3
Also ADB-S sees the callsign as HLJ882, which is the same for the flight from Goma to Lanarca
Yet here I only see a flight from Bucharest to Lanarca
Some background on Agemira, the Sofia based company working out of Goma airport that Potra's men have been working with.
https://www.southworld.net/dr-congo-north-and-south-kivu-security-companies-business-as-usual/
we need a list like Kivu Security Tracker but for military contractors
That plane on the 22nd Feb apparently went to West Pakistan and returned the day after, with a stop in Tbilisi
these guys are busy
Yes, it's constantly flying through Italy
Is this an artifact? It's marked as the same leg but looks like it landed and then took off Cairo. Because I doubt it went to Ethiopia to just U-turn
Especially since that day it already arrived from I believe Italy (no data until it's flying high over Hungary
This plane is really bugging me, so many flights, some of them quite odd (6 flights through Italy in a single day, including a back and forth from Bergamo to Lampedusa)
But nothing that makes me think it's connected to Goma
Also FR24 says that H3882 is an Aeroitalia code
I'm tempted to write to the author of the article, because this is really bothering me 
If you google for HLJ882 you do find a flight from Goma to Lanarca on the 22nd December tho 
So it seems this plane has been rented from this charter to Aeroitalia, that's why it keeps flying in there
But I'm still bugged by why there's this mismatch between ADS-B and every other
For the 22nd Dec
Maybe crosspost in #maritime for some expert opinion
No, I have finally sorted out
So you see here that it is departing south, and on first sight it does appear like it's just an artifact and it just goes to Lanarca
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history
But
If we compare between the point I linked above, which is the last one before it gets interrupted, and now after the interruption
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history
We can compare the time epochs, 1671707525 and 1671748057
First one corresponds to 11:12 GMT, the second one to 22:27 GMT 22nd Dec 2022
So ADS-B is missing the data treating it as a single leg, but this actually supports that it flew to Goma and returned back on the very same day
(we don't know where it flew once the data is lost, but from other sources it does tell it's Goma)
I have noticed on ADSB that stuff across central Africa sometimes disappears, but this seemed rather northwards for that.
The point at which there is no data, I mean
There aren't many repeaters in Africa, crossing places like the Sahara is very much like crossing an ocean
In any case, that means that the data regarding its arrival to Goma and then departure is not collected by ADS-B, leading to all that confusion, but now it's sorted out
From looking at the playback for Dec 22... it looks like it was an AeroItalia 737-7k2 chartered by Romanian airline Hello Jet ... landing at 16:54, registration YR-BMR, call-sign HLJ881, hex # 4A09B2.
It seems the Potra's crew provide security for the workers of the Bulgarian company, Agemira who maintain the helicopters and jets for the Congolese Air Force...... the workforce consists of 40 engineers and pilots from Bulgaria, Belarus and Georgia ....which would explain the stops in Tbilisi. The Romanian PMCs and Agemire workers are all housed at the Hotel Mbiza.
Potra is under contract to a company called 'Congo Protection' owned by local businessman Bijou Eliya and MP Patrick Bologna (Avenir du Congo Party-ACO).
Bologna's name pops up here tied in with Kabila's sketchy business dealings.
About that "unnamed" former French colonel who accompanied Bemba on his Goma tour two weeks ago... These look like official visits from that visit with two white dudes: https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=643074087850764&set=pcb.643074107850762
Black shirt is also visible at :27 in this video: https://information.tv5monde.com/afrique/video/rdc-le-ministre-jean-pierre-bemba-appelle-deposer-les-armes-goma-2647991
I wonder who this guy is and if he's associated with Potra or Agemira... gonna do some digging this afternoon
Alors que les affrontements ont repris entre les groupes armés d'autodéfense locale et les rebelles du M23 dans le territoire de Masisi, les menaces pèsent sur la ville de Goma. C'est dans ce contexte que le vice-premier ministre et ministre de la défense nationale congolaise Jean-Pierre Bemba s'est rendu dans la province du Nord-Kivu.
Agemira is owned by another Frenchie, Olivier “Colonel Mario” Bazin..... he gets a mention here
https://corruption-tracker.org/case/ivory_coast_oil_for_arms
Sounds like a classy guy 🤮
Also looks like he was involved in laundering gold from Gabon... https://www.liberation.fr/societe/2004/10/23/le-blanchiment-d-or-foireux-de-bazin-l-africain_497029/
Le prétendu «chargé de pouvoir» de la famille Bongo et un avocat ont été écroués.
This is a pretty good report (French) on foreign mercenary presence from Jan 2023: https://francegenocidetutsi.org/MercenairesGomaAI6janvier2023.pdf
(Ignore the URL name, it's an article from Africa Intelligence that's behind a paywall: https://www.africaintelligence.fr/afrique-centrale/2023/01/06/les-discrets-prestataires-prives-au-service-de-l-armee-congolaise-dans-l-est,109878940-eve)
Cheapest sub to Africa Intelligence is €2500 a year 😬
Frenchman Stéphane Giannesini jailed for 5 years and fined $480,000 for illegal trading of gold, customs fraud and money laundering.
Le Français Stéphane Giannesini a écopé de 5 ans de servitude pénale et une amande de 480 000 USD pour commerce illicite de substances minérales congolaises. La peine a été prononcée par le tribunal de commerce de Goma, mardi 27 juin, à l'issue d'une procédure judiciaire de flagrance. Après deux jours de procès, le président du tribunal de comme...
Arrest of journalists today while they were covering a land dispute involving a local minister.
https://twitter.com/StanysBujakera/status/1674162356635443200
#RDC: Arrestation des journalistes partis couvrir une déclaration visant à dénoncer un ministre impliqué dans un conflit foncier. Les avocats qui devraient faire cette déclaration ont également été arrêtés
174
This report is from 2019 but some good background info.
These dudes haven't updated their map of armed groups for 3 years but still a good resource.
A geneology of armed groups'..... one that may take a little while to digest.
I'm going to have a dig into the Lala IDP camp attack from a couple of weeks ago.
CODECO the perpetrators, killing 46 people (20+ children) and razing a section of the camp...... main U.N. base for the area a mere 5km away.
CODECO have a track record with this sort of thing, killing 60 people in an attack on another IDP camp in Bule last year.
Nothing showing up on FIRMS for the dates but should be able to piece together evidence of damage and the mass grave site through Sentinel imagery, cloud cover willing.
I have read that the GBV in some parts is tied to minerals; it's used to terrify villages and get everyone to flee. So I am working through my book, which is a page turner
That book sounds good....I'll grab it today.
Hurst have a few relevant publications in their 'African Arguments" series.... on on bushmeat in the DRC and the other on mining,
https://www.hurstpublishers.com/book/conflict-minerals-inc/#!/
I feel like you sleep with books under your pillow and absorb them that way
I've got so many on the go at the moment 
Construction of a new hangar for the Democratic Republic of Congo's new #armed drones base in Kinshasa, where they will be hosting their Chinese CH-4 drones. Satellite imagery shows build-up this year. For background info see @BociagaRobert piece
https://t.co/3PV9fk2vyw
Heh!....I was poking around in GE this morning looking for evidence of CH-4 hangars and there you go...I hadn't got to N'Dolo airport as yet....Wim delivers 🙏
Just going through one of the free copies of the Africa Intelligence report and in January they were reporting that a contingent of 200 Romanian's, under the command of Potra were training the Congolese army at a site near Saké.
RALF patch on the Bemba security detail maybe?..... hard to tell but it would make sense.
I've asked a friend of mine at Le Monde if he knows anything about the mystery French national in that video.
Construction of a new hangar for the Democratic Republic of Congo's new #armed drones base in Kinshasa, where they will be hosting their Chinese CH-4 drones. Satellite imagery shows build-up this year. For background info see @BociagaRobert piece
https://t.co/3PV9fk2vyw
And here the source video of the CH-4 drone via @c_cheyrou https://t.co/NVv69Ar6lx
An ambush by Mobondo militiamen kills 20 people at the village of Mulunu, north-east of Kinshasa.
Des hommes armés ont tué au moins 20 personnes lors d'une embuscade dans l'ouest de la République démocratique du Congo. Il s'agit de la dernière attaque en date d'un cycle de violences communautaires qui a forcé des milliers de personnes à fuir dans un contexte de grave crise humanitaire.
I found this yesterday..... looks a bit "made for purpose".
The footage of the villagers fleeing could well be the outskirts of Goma but will have to search around for other possible instances of that PMC footage to see if it has been reused.
https://www.tiktok.com/@africanword/video/7233338577919151387?lang=en
I threw this dude into Maltego.....He seems like an interesting cat......
Found the flight in which probably Potra returned from Bucharest
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history
Also from Hello Jets, it departed the previous day from Bucharest
Can't find any info of where it went, idk if anything would be visible in a paid FR24 account
But the callsign for the plane on the way from Bucharest is HLJ811, no callsign on the return
Bucharest - Hurghada - Goma
Returned to Bucharest the following day
So we have a layover there too
Same route also flown on the 7th of February then return to Bucharest the following day.
I'm thinking that Hello Jets may be worth to look into it
I tried to find who are the owners but it seems to be information that's locked away
Yeah....I think so
The original plane got leased to Aeroitaly
The one that first took them to Goma
I can DM you their full legal name and business ID
Yeah, FR24 is only showing two planes in the Hello Jets fleet and they must charter other planes as needed
But that's where it ends, I asked a Romanian friend of mine to see if he could help but he got into a wall too
The other plane doesn't seem to be flying
And they had a third one which is the one that flew to Goma first but it's now leased to Aeroitaly
After that trip it flew to France and then to Ireland and the UK (seems unrelated)
Seems it got leased to Aeroitaly too
Another trip, and this one ADS-B shows almost all the way to Goma https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=4a09b1&lat=17.753&lon=27.327&zoom=4.5&showTrace=2023-03-04
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history
HLJ842
The DRC is a real powerhouse nation in Africa...there are so many layers, actors and moving parts.
Really need to start to map some stuff out in an entity graph.
Actually, I'll start dumping stuff in Obsidian on the weekend.
The odd bit is how one day the plane gets leased to Aeroitaly and the next one it flies to Goma
And the next day too
It's like if it went to Goma on its day off 
@fathom portal Mind checking AEZ9620 on the 15th March and/or AEZ9461 the day after? They depart from Rome (and return) but leave to Africa and the track is lost little after reaching Algeria, and Aeroitaly doesn't list those flights
Have you got a registration?
Same plane, YR-BMQ
All of these are on the same plane
Also, another trip to Goma: https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=4a09b1&lat=30.717&lon=22.306&zoom=4.1&showTrace=2023-04-03
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history
They also leased to WizzAir
https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=4a09b1&lat=23.541&lon=36.079&zoom=3.7&showTrace=2023-05-07×tamp=1683477559 Went back to Hurghada from Germany and back, although as a leased flight from Marabu airlines which flies there regularly
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history
Actually it begins to do that route daily since that day until today
Nothing on FR24 for that registration - there are no flight listed from Feb 12th - 21st March
Weird, it was flying regularly with Aeroitaly
On those dates
In fact, right after it returned to Rome on that flight, it went to Vitoria, in Spain (AEZ8668)
That's for that plane? It doesn't match at all what ADS-B shows
Different AeroItalia plane but chartered to Hello Jet
This is the gap in flights for the registration and hex you were looking for.
Ahhhhh...... April 3rd
Yep, that seems to be the last trip
my new fave channel. Thanks for putting this together @mental tide, good to see DRC getting some attention.
I have a detailed spreadsheet of conflict across Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu from 2019–2022. I'm happy to share that and assist with things as they come up. I've dug into CODECO quite a bit.
No kidding! Have you seen this?
#1123414680212340910 message
(re-sharing this old post of mine from the SSA channel)
DRC pro tip: use this website (UN OCHA's database for DRC) to find a wealth of data. https://ehtools.org/alert-register For example, here's a report from 2 days ago about IDPs near Goma. https://ehtools.org/alert-view/4666
Or check this report from January which has a linked PDF at the bottom of the page (always look for those attached documents). https://ehtools.org/alert-view/4566
You can also of course search within ehtools.org to find info on various actors, etc. https://www.google.com/search?q=filetype%3Apdf+"codeco"+site%3Aehtools.org&sxsrf=APwXEdfSjWtHMGVz6iSoKKQC36b_2Ct1ZQ%3A1688092155817&ei=-z2eZL69Md31kPIP5cC96Ag&ved=0ahUKEwj-pq6q-en_AhXdOkQIHWVgD40Q4dUDCBA&uact=5&oq=filetype%3Apdf+"codeco"+site%3Aehtools.org&gs_lcp=Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAQA0oECEEYAVDLBliDEGCVEWgBcAB4AIABQ4gB-QWSAQIxM5gBAKABAcABAQ&sclient=gws-wiz-serp
(I relied on that website to make this map showing IDPs in eastern DRC from 2019-2022) https://globalpressjournal.com/africa/democratic-republic-of-congo/family-found-opportunity-ituri-kidnapped/
Found a quite extensive article in Romanian on Horatiu Potra, his background and his actions in Goma, as well as the potential link with Wagner: https://www.fanatik.ro/seful-mercenarilor-din-congo-ales-presedinte-la-app-fostul-partid-al-lui-liviu-dragnea-codrin-stefanescu-horatiu-potra-e-un-patriot-20362821
Mercenarul român Horațiu Potra, fost luptător în Legiunea Străină, a fost ales președinte al unei organizații locale a Alianței Pentru Patrie (APP), înainte să plece în Congo. - Fanatik.ro
A quite important paragraph (translated with DeepL):
The Wagner group, which was until recently present in Mali and the Central African Republic, is a real "scarecrow" on the African continent. The confusion has increased even more as the generic name of the white mercenaries present in Goma is "Russians". Horatius Potra has denied any connection with the Wagner group.
So according to this, "Russians" is used for all white mercenaries in Goma and not just Russians. If that's true, then one has to be very careful when drawing links from testimonials talking about Russians as they could or could not be from there
It also brings the name of the founder of Hello Jets, who's the former owner of a now extint Romanian low cost company (Blue Air). It hints of a potential link between both, but I don't know if it's really anything or just sensationalism
But on the other hand there must be a reason why white mercenaries are called "Russians", even if it's not correct for this one, there is a kernel of truth in there.
Indeed, but in this case the mercenaries are known to be from countries like Romania, Bulgaria, Belarus and Georgia, so they could be put under the umbrella of "Russians" in a phenomenon similar to how someone would for instance refer in their ignorance to a group of South Asians as "Indians" when can you also have Bangladeshi, Pakistani, Nepalis, etc
What I mean is that just because they mention "Russians" it is not confirmation alone of the presence of Russians and it could just be a stereotype, a generalisation
An article in English covering similar points: https://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/tea/news/east-africa/russian-question-in-congo-conflict-4093620
It notes how a UN resolution to stop reporting the UN regarding the supply of weapons to DRC happened just two days before Potra's arrival
Yeah I was wondering if it was overly broad terminology pulling groups together. You see that a lot where I live. There's a big Somali community and people call them "the Africans" etc. Not to derail into that, but just adding my anecdotes that I think it's a common thing to do
Yup, that's precisely what I mean
Reference: A bunch of DRC maps
Reference: DRC Administrative boundaries datasets
The datasets are curated from the The Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX). The Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX) is an open platform for sharing data, launched in July 2014. The goal of HDX is to make humanitarian data easy to find and use for analysis. Our growing collection of datasets has been accessed by users in over 200 countries and territori...
Ditto.....
Appreciate the maps! When I'm trying to find small villages mentioned in reports, I go to OSM first, then these super detailed provincial reference maps, then this IPIS map.
https://www.ipisresearch.be/mapping/webmapping/drcongo/v6/#-3/28/5/4/1/
Attaching the two reference maps I've relied on most (for North Kivu and Ituri provinces). Super detailed, great for Command + F searches of small villages.
Ok, here's that spreadsheet I promised with attack dates, coordinates, displaced, killed numbers from Jan 2019–Aug 2022. From Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RsQyX4oLzmT40N7SAW2PPQRRpdqmfYACsETCbsknH1Y/edit?usp=sharing
And here's a narrower scope of just ADF attacks (Ituri and North Kivu). https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1tQO5jAHvGGrUtPXSNH0Zmpo7DtDIOOl9Mu9dZBWIWGk/edit?usp=sharing
That's great.....thanks Bennett 👍
This is so helpful, thank you so much for sharing!!! I can't imagine how long it took you to look up all of those villages 🫣
The guy recording says the fleeing villagers are in Kibati (-1.5941983107630027, 29.26584259959047)
The radio tower visible in the video might be this one: -1.5891103686490937, 29.267627804164018
Doesn't help much with the other part of the video though
Nice one!
I had a brief look the other day and didn't get time to dig into it.
The peaks are pretty distinctive though so I figured it was on that road heading out of Goma.
That radio tower looks promising!
Checks out in Peakvisor with Mt Karisimbi in the background 👍
Of course! Yeah... that took a lifetime lol
A couple more photos of the mystery French dude & RAFL security detail .... it would be good to find out who the bearded bloke in the white shirt is too
And some recent photos via Twitter of CETA camp Airborne training this week..... can roughly make out a logo on those blue t-shirts
It does seem pretty true that the UN ignores the fact that FDLR works with the army pretty often. Also interesting that Kagame doesn't deny support for M23, at least in this article. https://allafrica.com/stories/202307050124.html?utm_campaign=daily-headlines&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=aans-view-link
Yeah it is pretty much accepted that it is happening ....I wonder if this will change in the future.
It's not really something that can be ignored.
Rwanda-backed M23 rebels in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo have committed unlawful killings, rape, and other apparent war crimes since late 2022. Attacks with explosive weapons in populated areas of North Kivu province have killed and injured civilians, damaged infrastructure, and exacerbated an already dire humanitarian crisis. Armed grou...
(x-post) Sharing a little project I did for an online course I'm taking. My first Github repo, so be generous, it ain't pretty but there is some good data analysis on small-scale mining in DRC and its relationship with armed groups (and the army). https://bennett-gpj.github.io/Artisanal-mining-in-DRC/
That's cool man.... what is the course you're doing?
the Lede Program at Columbia J School -- pretty hardcore crash course in coding, data vis, web building, etc. for journalists.
A few years old now, but a pretty wild story
The China-Global South Project is proud to announce the first-ever mapping of the Chinese cobalt supply chain in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
CGSP launched a new interactive map this week that includes a full breakdown of mining data by Chinese and other firms, an overview of the main logistics routes, and five years of export data tha...
The China-Global South Project has created an interactive map of the copper and cobalt industry in the Democratic Republic of the Congo that details industrial mining projects, artisanal mining sites, and processing entities located in the southeastern provinces of Haut-Katanga and Lualaba. Detailed information about the industrial mining/proces...
Cool, thanks for that.... there is obviously a lot of emphasis on the '3T's" but exploitation through all resources is a huge problem in the DRC.
There are bunch of papers here too:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0301420719309833
#TheHague-#DRC : The International Criminal Court on Friday confirmed a more than $30 million reparations package for thousands of victims of Democratic Republic of the Congo warlord Bosco Ntaganda, including former child soldiers. @CourPenaleInt https://t.co/3sN1NZBaIb
The runup to the election is going to be even rougher than usual
Translated with Google Lens. Try it yourself!
https://g.co/lenstranslate
https://www.voanews.com/a/icc-confirms-30-million-reparations-in-dr-congo-warlord-case-/7181570.html
Hi all. Any recommendations of books/documentaries to better understand the political/geopolitical situation in the Great lakes (incl. DR Congo, Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi)? Thanks!
I have yet to read them, but TH shared a few books in the #books channel a few days ago #books message
Oh thanks - I'll check that!
I just picked up The War That Doesn’t Say it’s Name by Jason K Stearns which was recommended to me too
I had trouble getting through "The War that doesn't say its name," I found it very dense. "Dancing in the Glory of Monsters," also by Stearns, is a fantastic introduction to the region - it focuses on DRC but also talks about regional dynamics especially in uganda and rwanda
and a bit easier to read than the other!
yooo "king leopold's ghost" anyone???? That one totally kept me up at night
Ahhh cool.... thanks for the other Stearns recommendation 👍
Just bought that yesterday
I'm pretty sure the cutoff for candidates for the December election was the 23rd, so there might be some news about that popping up today.
France’s second-largest oil company suspected of making suspicious transfers when Joseph Kabila was DRC's president (Paris, July 20, 2023) – Relying on data from Congo Hold-Up, Mediapart and Investigate Europe published articles showing that Perenco transferred nearly $1.3 million to companies linked to former President Joseph Kabila’s inner cir...
Construction company Congo Aconde is also owned by two North Korean nationals and has been involved in projects in Kolwezi.
Actually....it looks like Korea Paekho Trading Corporation & Congo Aconde SARL have already been linked.
From the recent CIJ Conference
This session, led by an expert in leveraging the techniques of data journalism to produce deforestation and climate change investigations, takes attendees through the practice and pitfalls of covering the environment. Using case studies and real life examples, the session is full of tips, tricks and advice for finding, cleaning and interpreting ...
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congos-army-rwandan-forces-crossed-congolese-border-2023-07-27/
This seems like it might be related... FARDC allegedly killed a Rwandan soldier in Rutagara Village, Buvira Groupement, Nyiragongo District - between Borne 13 and 14.
Yeah I think that is probably the case
Probably relevant for this context: Kagame had a meeting with security forces, presumably last night: https://twitter.com/BlazianP/status/1684768526186291201
Of interest to the region
#UPDATE The UN said on Friday that its rights office in Uganda would close this weekend after the government refused to renew an agreement that has allowed it to operate there for nearly two decades ➡️ https://t.co/MpgGwDzz0M
additional context: MONUSCO and the govt have agreed that it will pull out of DRC before the end of 2024
https://allafrica.com/stories/202308100278.html?utm_campaign=daily-headlines&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=aans-view-link
the MONUSCO drawdown timeline can be found here around pg. 26
https://monusco.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/s-2021-807_-_sg_report_on_monusco_in_english.pdf
(I'm skeptical it will happen by end of 2024 because conditions like "peace" will have to be met before MONUSCO can exit, but anything can happen)
https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1690469231345696768
Be warned that the article includes pictures of people scarred from attacks as well as mentions of sexual aggression and these could be distressing
Deep in Congo’s forested ravines, a local affiliate of the Islamic State has grown increasingly deadly — seizing children to swell its ranks and launching ferocious attacks on villages, churches and clinics — without attracting international attention. https://t.co/T4pAMURbl6
"This gradual and phased withdrawal of MONUSCO by [end of 2024] was laid down by the UN Security Council resolution in 2020. **Guterres's announcement means there won't be debate on whether the mandate can be extended." **https://allafrica.com/stories/202308160606.html?utm_campaign=daily-headlines&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=aans-view-link
Following the protests, Tshisekedi also said that "after the presidential election in December 2023... there will be no reason for MONUSCO to remain in the DRC."
Fucking citation needed Tshisekedi
#DRCMilitary :👇👇👇An incident that happened yesterday in kibomango but M23 propagandists lie that they destroyed 2 congolese army tanks lol .
Feel I'm missing something, Kibomango is a district in Kinshasa
According to this post (and a bunch of others circulating on Facebook) FARDC tanks were accidentally destroyed during a training exercise at a camp in Kibomango, Kinshasa. Four of five soldiers in the tank lost their lives:
S'agit-il d'une erreur de manipulation des engins militaires par les élèves-soldats(recrues) ou simplement d'un sabotage, on ne comprend rien.
Ce drame...
It sounds to me like the Twitter user is claiming pro-M23 networks are circulating the video and claiming it's evidence of M23 victories over FARDC
which is where the confusion is coming from 🙂
More context - the incident would have happened on 8/24 and involves recruits to the GR (Republican Guard?) https://www.facebook.com/nilelile9/posts/pfbid037HXtHdwmcgmSL44nPB8wCokcvccU4y2shRAiRNpmSY47PgnFMvQhuZCsXze6KcVbl?__cft__[0]=AZVAPpwGpvUJg785gXDzLg8obDL8Xrka9el72SDOrR5q4gu2fXqdYHhcKMDAbdKqkXSmf883n7r8s8_zsOl0Q-Izs3wkvy9mEzZaNQbD3Sqt79F1B1Msyo6pqZmkBN8ANMlVMVH1LuUV8vo3Oj2aHhHC4l6URbr8REgnDzuPQ9EJKLm73pcazlZbxaRz2rfCvUo&__tn__=%2CO%2CP-R
What a tragedy
The Congo coup chatter I can see here seems to have started with pro-Russia accounts, then spread to/by Osint accounts, and then picked up by anti-Russia accounts. So.
Definitely interesting, but this is the other Congo 😅
Tbf, Brazzaville is just a couple km away from Kinshasa
I made this list a while ago of DRC sources. It's definitely Goma-heavy currently but it will get more news from Kinshasha over time
Fact check : attention, cette vidéo n'a pas été filmée à #Kilolirwe comme l'affirme l'auteur de la publication. Elle est ancienne et n'a aucun lien avec la légende. Il s'agit d'une vidéo de l'entrée des rebelles du #M23 dans la cité de #Kitshanga en territoire de #Masisi au…
129
Found this earlier; late send sorry
An accusation, however, not some media, but can be a start on probing.
Burundian independent outlet Radio Publique Africaine: The Burundian army is accused of committing atrocities in the neighboring country of Congo.
The presence of M23 accused the Burundian army of being involved in the killing of Congolese civilians in an attack that is said to have been carried out by the soldiers of both countries.
https://www.facebook.com/100068401881935/posts/pfbid0ULy1BvJE6pm2gsuN8oPxStsj12NnoGX1XavpPGBV4y8bF7wany4tvAPsDhRdqdmjl/
Between conflict now 20 kms from Goma and the Congolese government pulling out all stops to get foreign allies on board, full-scale war in eastern DRC is looking more and more likely. https://actualite.cd/2023/10/26/agression-rwandaise-la-rdc-sactive-sur-le-front-diplomatique-et-previent-la-communaute
That would turn Goma into a huge battlefield considering Goma and Gisenyi are effectively the same city
It's going to be bad
FT interviewing Tshisekedi ahead of the upcoming election
How to get 120 armed groups to agree to a ceasefire?
https://apnews.com/article/congo-rwanda-ceasefire-us-m23-a20210a92573906e217c655668824923
Well….
Elections were held yesterday, was monitoring the developments. many polling stations didn’t open.
https://actualite.cd/2023/12/20/elections-en-rdc-les-centres-de-vote-qui-nont-pas-fonctionne-seront-operationnels-ce
Oh, there's a lot going on, plenty of violence reported too, including arson, property destruction and physical violence, and I've seen rumours of two people killed in Bunia, where police fired warning shots
And yet these are perhaps the best organised elections the DRC had, because all the other ones were even worse.
They are going to continue voting tomorrow in some places
Inside a Chaotic Billion-Dollar Election in a Pivotal African Nation https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/20/world/africa/congo-election-president-vote.html?unlocked_article_code=1.HU0.VFJX.6UYvZ-_lUISd&smid=nytcore-android-share
I can't believe the scale. 100,000 candidates between all elections, 40 million people voting, with a ton of supplies needing to be moved by air since the roads are impassible
Kinshasa, December 14, 2023—Authorities in the Democratic Republic of Congo must ensure the safety of all journalists covering the presidential, legislative, and provincial elections scheduled for December 20 and allow for the free flow of news and information, which is critical for the public to make informed decisions, said the Committee to Pr...
If the international community can only intervene in election conduct….
At some point I wanted to put all of the candidates into an excel chart with their social media profiles
dodged a bullet there
We were so young and hopeful then
CENI: diaspora results show Tshisekedi landslide
https://actualite.cd/2023/12/22/resultats-de-la-diaspora-felix-tshisekedi-largement-dominateur-selon-la-ceni
They want to vote so much
To get the equipment it's a helicopter and 3 days walk there
Partial results of elections: Tshisekedi landslide still
https://facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02VbJeeNzwCvHm8fvV5iptCfWXjD5gwxJNQVMzew91iBdXdobZcBCEZk181wnnJtAAl&id=100064537187875 (actualite.cd)
The incumbent also leads in 3 out of 4 constituencies in Kinshasa
https://actualite.cd/2023/12/26/rdc-felix-tshisekedi-en-tete-dans-les-resultats-partiels-de-trois-des-quatre
Partial results, in 177 electoral districts, 27 December 2023: Tshisekedi maintains lead
https://facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0nfxAQUNwZG3GD7fLBiEGHPc3isCtB7xQFAF8ZDQXJeaBofm2mL4fMihqjk8hFQeQl&id=100064537187875 (actualite.cd)
CENI greets us Happy New Year 🙄
https://actualite.cd/2023/12/31/rdc-felix-tshisekedi-reelu-president
The Congolese election commission said it had cancelled votes cast for 82 out of 101,000 candidates in legislative and local polls held in December for their involvement in alleged fraud and other issues that disrupted the general election.
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-election-commission-cancels-82-candidates-over-fraud-december-polls-2024-01-06/
Goma is cut off from its farms as people pack in
https://thedefensepost.com/2024/02/12/rwanda-missiles-dr-congo/?expand_article=1 any way of verifying these reports?
https://twitter.com/MuwangaPaddy/status/1757330813811655015/photo/1 Here's a thread on it
Daniel Michombero seems to be in the area too
https://vxtwitter.com/michombero/status/1757681424021225614?s=19
An NGO is evacuating its people from Goma - posting this mostly for the reports of what civilians are saying
https://reliefweb.int/report/democratic-republic-congo/dr-congo-johanniter-evacuates-its-staff
https://www.radiookapi.net/2024/02/16/actualite/securite/sud-kivu-le-retrait-de-la-monusco-de-baraka-fizi-fixe-au-15-mars
MONUSCO is beginning its retreat from South Kivu by withrdrawing from bases in Fizi and Baraka. A bloody conflict in Minembwe between Rwandophone Banyamulenge and local community militias cost hundreds of lives and displaced tens of thousands last time it flared up from 2020-2022. With the deepening crisis around Goma and now the withdrawal of MONUSCO from the area, it's probably just a matter of time until violence returns to this region 😦
Le représentant du gouverneur du Sud-Kivu et ministre provincial des ITPR, Gaston Cissa wa Numbe, a annoncé la fermeture de la base opérationnelle de la MONUSCO à Baraka-Fizi pour le 15 mars prochain. Il a fait cette annonce mercredi 14 février au cours d’une réunion élargie du Conseil urbain de sécurité qu’il a présidée avec le chef du sous bur...
It's going to be a fucked up messy mess of war crime central
Rwanda is sounding like it wants to have its own Donetsk People's Republic lately
A good primer from France 24 on what's going on in DRC this week and why people are so furious at the EU. From a Congolese perspective, signing a mineral deal with RW is basically endorsing M23's continued occupation of eastern DRC and the pillaging of its minerals for resale from Rwanda to international markets: https://twitter.com/pap_mas/status/1760995098333008122
Turning a blind eye to Kagame’s atrocities. It was dictatorship replaced by dictatorship.
An incursion in northern DRC by an armed group from CAR (I'm not sure what evidence they have that they're Seleka as the article claims) appearing to target Mbororo/Fulani herdsmen in the area: https://eng.fatshimetrie.org/2024/02/22/armed-conflict-in-bas-uele-the-congolese-armed-forces-repel-the-attack-of-the-seleka-rebels/ (this article is a translation/summary of the original French from Radio Okapi, which is a decently reliable source: https://www.radiookapi.net/2024/02/24/actualite/securite/bas-uele-incursion-des-rebelles-centrafricains-seleka-dans-2-localites)
In the province of Bas-Uele, in the Democratic Republic of Congo, clashes broke out between the Congolese Armed Forces and the Central African armed group Seleka. The soldiers managed to repel the attack on the Mbororo herders, thus avoiding loss of life. The border region with the Central African Republic is often the scene of armed conflicts a...
Now there's armed groups from additional outside countries? 
To post in #environment-wildlife
https://www.voanews.com/a/7510943.html
Surprise, Erik Prince is trying to get in the fight in DRC. "The UN report says the plan to conclude a contract with Prince was halted [in mid-2023], although it was not clear whether the decision was temporary or permanent."
https://allafrica.com/stories/202403040097.html?utm_campaign=daily-headlines&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_content=aans-view-link
Following an (extremely) sketchy and (extremely) delayed "investigation," the death of Cherubin Okende, opposition politician Moise Katumbi's right hand man, was ruled a suicide. No one actually believes this is the case - he disappeared after an appointment at the court and was found shot dead hours later in a car with a running engine. Journalist Stanys Bujakera, who was accused of leaking internal government documents that laid the blame squarely at the feet of the internal security service, is still in prison: https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-opposition-spokesmans-death-ruled-suicide-2024-02-29/
"President Tshisekedi inaugurates a tree in Qatar" [political humor]
https://twitter.com/PatrickLokala_/status/1765372959517032587#m
But the appeals court said buying cobalt in the global supply chain did not amount to "participation in a venture" under a federal law protecting children and other victims of human trafficking and forced labor.
Circuit Judge Neomi Rao said the plaintiffs had legal standing to seek damages, but did not show the five companies had anything more than a buyer-seller relationship with suppliers, or had power to stop the use of child labor.
I really like this analysis
The author says it best:
https://twitter.com/ethuin/status/1768288397859189046?s=19
Once you’ll depart from a partisan perspective you may be able to understand — without any obligation to endorse or agree to a different side which isn’t yours.
"The absence of honest peace efforts and the recent radicalisation of the conflict – both militarily and discursively – have damaged the social fabric of the eastern DRC. As many told me during a recent stay in North Kivu, the political polarisation has become so acute that any attempt to take an impartial stance is seen as giving ‘support to the enemy’."
IMO when societies hit that point war is inevitable
Thanks for sharing this fantastic analysis! He's getting put through a meatgrinder for it on social media which I feel like kind of proves his point lol
I've just seen pro Rwanda accounts chewing on him but I haven't checked since yesterday
Congolese government reinstated the death penalty today. This comes amid the "discovery" of many "traitors" among the FARDC (some of them from Rwandophone communities). This will definitely calm tensions and fix everything /s https://www.rfi.fr/fr/en-bref/20240315-la-rdc-rétablit-l-application-de-la-peine-de-mort-annonce-le-gouvernement?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=x&utm_source=shorty
I am curious about the possible links to the Ugandan road project (commenced in 2021) and M23 return in 2021.
https://x.com/ntvuganda/status/1769742563487948987?s=20 ADF has ramped up cross border attacks into Ug last year. perhaps this is an attempt to do the same
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/17/ugandas-army-says-it-discovers-training-facility-for-islamist-militia in 2022 an underground training facility was discovered in Luwero District (Large Muslim population as a result of Nubian settlement during the time of Idi Amin and several foreign aid funded or Islamic Charity Projects in the area and also where the 1980s bush war that brought President Museveni to power began)
Currently there is no sign from US, UK, EU of a terror alert however Ugandan security is on High Alert
the GoU is fully convinced that in order to safegaurd Uganda, Oil pipeline and drilling then ADF cannot remain in Eastern DRC. There is also the risk of it being used as a training camp for radicals from accross the continent. For example in the late 2000s early to mid 2010s we heard rumors of Ugandans, Kenyans and other Africans being trained in Somalia. It is beleived this has resulted in AS, IS, Radical Terrorism opening up yet another front in East Africa. There were also rumors of meetings in Egypt by Islamic Extremists in 2021 who envisioned an entire continent of Africa under radical islamism. This has been evident in the rapid expansion of these groups activities. As the world focuses on Russia and Ukraine, we Africans are being left to fight the hydra beast of Islamic extremism alone.
@mental tide @proud jungle
UPDF going back to old methods of Augmentation Paramilitary or Vigilante Units. These are homegrown natives of the Operation Theatre that help soldiers from other parts of the country familiarise themselves with the environment (they know the terrain) as well as having the added morale boost benefit of fighting literally for their neighbourhoods and villages. This model has worked and helped UPDF flush ADF out of rwenzori sub region in the past and against Jospeh Kony and his LRA in the North (There have been human rights issues but i am only reporting what i have noted from online sources).
Uganda People's Defence Force (UPDF) has started recruiting Local Defense Units (LDUs) personnel in the districts of Kamwenge, Kitagwenda, Bunyangabo, Kyenjojo and Kasese following recent Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) attacks in Rwenzori subregion. The move follows a directive from president Museveni to recruit Local Defence Units in the areas ...
French trained UPDF mountain division will play a key role as well https://www.monitor.co.ug/uganda/news/national/updf-french-soldiers-conduct-rwenzori-joint-military-exercise-1828432
Thanks for tagging me, this is really interesting
Fascinating analysis! Thanks for sharing! I really appreciate your perspective, especially since I lean towards the opinion that the ADF's ideological threat is almost always overblown in these conversations. The primary motivating factors would appear to be ethnic (defending Nande from encroachment by other ethnic groups - though this is less true since 2016 or so) and material (there's a lot of money to be made from controlling the flows of cacao, coffee, and timber in that region). ADF continues to kill hundreds of civilians in the areas it controls, but the potential for this violence to spread outside of areas immediately adjacent to traditional Nande territory seems limited.
ADF should be fought and defeated because it preys on civilians, but its Islamic State affiliation has always seemed opportunistic. Trying to deradicalize a population that (I've heard) ADF often has to forcefully "re-educate" into orthodox Sunnism after individuals are kidnapped seems like a misguided approach to this conflict.
But I will admit to being heavily influenced by analysis from Congo Research Group and a health skepticism of American claims about the threat of ISIS. (Gotta feed the military industrial complex somehow)
ISIS/ISCAP, AS always use social issues in an area to increase their support. It could be more sinister. While you are right that it is abit overblown and Op Shujaa has had mixed results and a significant failure to protect Congolese lives from reprisal attacks. I hope there is a way to flush them out for good. Similar to how UPDF flushed out Joseph Kony and US Marines under Obama helped pursue him all the way to CAR (again there are negative connotations and claims with UPDF presence in CAR: Bozize etc)
I beleive if African States can target their funding sources, command and control etc. They can be crippled.
How do you envision a path to sustainable peace and development in DRC @proud jungle @mental tide ?
I agree with this wholeheartedly! Removing funding sources is also something that can hopefully be done without the same human rights violations associated with repeated military interventions in the Grand Nord.
I did a research project on funding sources for ADF a few years ago and what struck me was how absolutely everyone was in on the take, from the customs officials to some local chiefs, to national politicians in Kampala and Kinshasa and business people in the Gulf. So as far as a path to sustainable peace and development goes, I think the ultimate goal is to have stable governance and institutions that prioritize the people's well-being over personal enrichment. How we get there though I have no idea 😂
You'll know I've figured it out when I'm at the top of the Time 100 list
PSYCHE the prosecution is appealing the decision so he's staying in jail for the time being
https://twitter.com/afrikarabia/status/1770185214163058691#m
This poor, poor, poor, poor man jfc
#RDC Stanis #Bujakera reste en prison ! Ce mauvais feuilleton devient indécent !
East DRC is like Israel and Palestine conflict.
might you be able to share it?
I wish 😭 it was for a client
ok i understand
I think crippling ADF foreign links to (training, bomb-making, etc) as well as possibly infiltrating their communications with the Caliph Command
is a neccessary steo
*step
https://x.com/HassanIstiila/status/1660313712966639623?s=20 i wouldnt want ISCAP to gain access to Night Vision Goggles, drones, anti thermal imaging equipment etc like Al-shabab is getting nowadays
double psyche he's on his way home ❤️ https://twitter.com/MuzindusiA/status/1770206843198898360#m
A beautiful letter from Stanys Bujakera where he thanks journalism colleagues at home and internationally for campaigning for his release, and calls attention to the conditions in Makala Prison.
"Originally built for 1,500 the prison today holds 14,400 prisonners, 9,000 of whom are still awaiting a trial... Damas Ngoy Nkundu has been waiting for his trial for 21 years"
what outlets/journalists are doing good open-source work on M23's advance towards Goma?
Open source? I don't think anyone. I have a Twitter list of DRC journalists that I follow
But most stuff like Kivu Security Tracker etc is closed
This guy published some decent Tweets earlier this year, but most of his interest is Islamist organizations in Africa https://twitter.com/ryanmofarrell?lang=en
This local journalist uses some rudimentary OSINT techniques for his reporting, and he's on the ground, but he's extremely partisan and can't always be trusted: https://twitter.com/michombero
This pro-Rwandan account is PROLIFIC at identifying and sharing hate crimes against Tutsis and identifying people posting anti-Tutsi hate speech in DRC, but again the content is extremely partisan: https://twitter.com/MaishaRdc
And this account contributes to identifying and attacking Rwandan disinformation networks in the DRC, but is again extremely partisan: https://twitter.com/cpgrdc
I'm sure there are others in Europe/the US that I'm not familiar with but the reality is that the DRC/Rwanda media environment is so polarized and so repressive there's little credible reporting coming from that space
Non-state actors and conflicts / mostly East Africa & the Levant / geolocations / Ohioan / Senior Analyst at the Bridgeway Foundation / @SAISHopkins alum
Journaliste indépendant, spécialiste en multimédia basé en DRC 🇨🇩, fixer, éditeur, rédacteur, investigation, Fact checker
danielmichom@gmail.com
+243994380568
Observatoire des discours de haine, d'incitation au génocide et la xénophobie dans la Région des GL/🇨🇩
CPG, une plateforme politique qui milite pour la restauration de la dignité de notre pays à travers l’engagement patriotique de sa jeunesse.
+243 816 660202
I think ACLED still has conflict data for eastern DRC. HMU if you want it
Damn I thought they were getting UN stuff which I considered closed
Amazing, thank you! I feel like I've barely seen ANY coverage of this, even though it might kick off a major regional war. I'm very new to this space and not really plugged into relevant streams and sources
Yeah this was the only recent OSINT-ey thing I saw
https://acleddata.com/2024/03/04/acled-brief-rwanda-backed-m23-rebels-advance-toward-goma-in-eastern-dr-congo/
It's....a long learning journey 
Manon and Sarah got you covered!
But soon you'll be dropping Fatshi emoji 
And you'll find it completely normal to see memes of random Taliban guys with Congolese slogans posted by Fatshi stans https://twitter.com/AbouPatriote/status/1770713211429409090#m
It is completely perplexing to me that this is getting zero coverage. Possibly has to do with Western media's pro-Rwanda bias? IDK....
When you go to France you'll only be able to speak about elections, violence, protests, and the UN, because that's the French you learned on Twitter. You can't ask where the bathroom is, tho. You don't know that phrase.
But for real this is going to be awful, bloody, destabilizing, and I think we are headed towards at least DRC and Rwanda at war.
And all their proxies, militia from other places, and on and on.
Also this map doesn't take into account the recent spread of the conflict into South Kivu (Minova: https://twitter.com/KivuPulse/status/1770552622228906406)
-1.7060618832882575, 29.023717055065983 > general coords for Minova, I didn't geolocate that video
Ya know the list of the armed groups in Eastern DRC might be useful too
So in terms of open-source angles on M23's advance, I can think of a few. The most straightforward might be verifying some videos showing civilian harm, and combining with satellite imagery to show the changing frontline.
I remember a really detailed visualization many months ago of how the Ukrainian frontline and trench fortifications had changed recently, that could be interesting here too
I briefly looked at NASA's fire data (FIRMS) but didn't see anything that looked relevant
I don't know if the area around Sake is as touch and go as Goma is nearby, but we often experience cloud cover
@fathom portal and @coarse turret look at satellites more than I do though. I'm the social media crawler
Are you referring to the ISW map of UKR frontlines?
I don't think so, IIRC someone on Twitter overlaid the outlines of trenches on top of satellite imagery and showed the detailed and minute changes. It was pretty cool but I'm having trouble finding it.
That level of granularity might not be possible here, but I would imagine the weapons systems M23 and FARDC is using leave some trace in satellite imagery
Here's a map of M23 control from 1 March but IDK how granular or reliable it is
One thing I want to mention so that you and bcat know is that we have some street level imagery in Goma, namely on the N2, from August of 2023.
There was a massacre of civilians there and multiple people were live streaming/broadcasting. We retained that footage for future use in geolocations
I expect Goma to be a city at war in the near future and that footage could be invaluable since there's no street view.
Here is another map from November 2022 to give you an idea of how rapidly the situation has deteriorated https://twitter.com/everruler14029/status/1593274706370695170/photo/1
We do also have an Atlos instance started. I forgot about that because I'm deep in editorial work
what's going on?, i saw i got summoned by @mental tide 
How's the satellite imagery over Sake? Is it as cloudy as Goma?
Also is Goma still cut off from the north? I am out of the loop since vacation. I have caught up with RL, work, and bcat modding, but not Congo lol
i am pretty much like you at the moment, for the satellite imagery i can check also on planet but i doubt that i will find something not cloudy
No worries, I was just curious in a general way
I believe so, though there may agreements to secure the passage of humanitarian aid. Last week, M23 also captured Rwindi (-0.7825841811193361, 29.292930353550968) and Vitshumbi (-0.6969505685744867, 29.38297733741901), so while everyone is worrying about Goma (for good reason) they're also consolidating/expanding in thr northern reaches of their territory
Yikes on bikes dude
This is just my opinion, but I don't think they'll actually take Goma. In 2012, it was their 6-day occupation of Goma that triggered international backlash that led to M23 basically vanishing from existence for almost a decade. The lesson they may have taken away from this is that they can get away with pretty much anything as long as they technically stay out of Goma... they're fine randomly dropping bombs on the airport, raiding the occasional IDP camp, and beseiging the city as long as they don't set foot in it
Which means we could possibly see more activity in the western and northern parts of their territory, or expansion south into S Kivu (which they may be testing rn if reported explosion in Minova actually did come from them)
I keep thinking about, if you block all routes from the north and west like they're currently doing, do you really need to take Goma or can you just bomb the airport and wait? idk.
you probably just can bomb the airport and wait. Or wait for the lake to explode
Or the volcano
i am kinda more scared about the lake
hope they not gonna miss the airport and hit the lake
https://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/tea/news/east-africa/rwanda-first-to-ratify-joint-eac-defence-pact-1331268 UG, Rwanda and Kenya have a mutual defense pact. Given the fact that Uganda and Rwanda have squashed their differences at least for now and given that General Muhoozi is now the UPDF CDF it could be possibly related to the Congo situation
https://x.com/nbstv/status/1771524037870576038?s=20 Ugandan Speaker of Parliament on Post Museveni Succession.
'I'm sure we would understand each other,' General Muhoozi says of M23 rebel leader Makenga https://t.co/qGxPVwjQMk
Disclaimer: I am not on any side, i am just giving an analysis of the conflict from the perspective of Uganda and Rwanda. The Politics in the Great Lakes is like that between Israel and Palestine. An arab saying goes "When I am weak, how can i negotiate? When i am strong, how can i negotiate?" Long gruelling hundred KM marches in harsh terrain, insurgency, "winning hearts and minds" (PR war) and ideological clarity (whether right or wrong in the opinion of the reader) are very much in the DNA of the RPA-RPF(Rwanda) and NRA-NRM(Uganda). They are in essence revolutionary organisations, set on military and ideological foundations. Some researchers say(though debatable) they are not States with an Army, they are Armies with a state. And to an extent this allows them operate at a greater level of speed and efficiency than the civilian states that oppose them. At their very core is the understanding that to safegaurd their ideological "revolution" and the reasons for which they came to power is the military. Even civilian decision making in Cabinet, civil and Public service is similar to Military Command & Control Structures. As soldiers and as Generals (President Museveni and President Kagame) have fought in various theatres for the last 50 years+ what they know best is war, Even when fighting larger, more equipped forces. Like the US army, with the Blue Book, they firmly believe in ensuring that soldiers and civilian leaders and civilians understand their ideological grounds for fighting as well as try to proffessionalise their forces. The only thing that quote unquote "helped" the DRC last time was the UN pressure. After the withdrawal of M23 to lick their wounds in Cantonments in Ug and Rwanda, there was a feeling that the peace process was deliberately ignored. I believe given President Thsikedi's statements and perceived alliance with "unfriendly elements" this time M23 will march and if possible make serious efforts to remove President Tshikedi
I beleive the leaders in Uganda and Rwanda feel that during the Rwandese Genocide, the international community did not intervene at all and only intervened after the slaughter to prevent RPF forces from pursuing those they felt were perpetrators. This was an unfinished fight that has lingered for decades. To understand this we must look at the SPeeches of President Kagame and President Museveni on the matter and take them literally not figuratively because when they speak becuase regardless of them presiding over modern states they belong to the ideological generation of African leaders and politics.
https://www.voaafrica.com/a/indian-un-troops-abandon-positions-in-eastern-drc/7560967.html
MONUSCO troops abandoned their positions, which have since been taken by M23. Not a great look...
Slavery-like conditions at Zijin's Carrilu cement plant in Kolwezi https://twitter.com/KiengeKki/status/1778428234201170363
In depth article on the M23 and its backing by Rwanda
Archive link: https://archive.ph/jZ3NP
https://www.ft.com/content/9d0dea0a-d613-438c-9921-a47dedc015cf
Archive link: https://archive.ph/o4Vzc
Lawyers representing DRC allege Apple’s products contain illegally exported minerals, despite tech company’s claims of environmental and social responsibility
Seeking Access to Congo’s Metals, White House Aims to Ease Sanctions https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/16/us/politics/congo-cobalt-us-sanctions.html?unlocked_article_code=1.sU0.2nHg.BjiaxbTuI31_
Gift link
Allegedly a failed coup at the DRC https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/democratic-republic-congo-army-says-it-stopped-attempted-coup-2024-05-19/
Hey everyone, I am trying to collect as many social media posts about the failed coup as possible
Here's a Twitter list I'm working from https://x.com/i/lists/1698874917067051077
Please note that there are violent videos and if you come across them, DM me with them directly, or if they're not against the rules of this Discord, spoiler them appropriately
This was the person livestreaming https://www.facebook.com/christian.malanga - please note that some of the livestreams show what appear to be corpses
this is his website which...is instructive
Possibly the video shown (now taken down) on FB.
Content Warning: ||appears to have at least one incapacitated person||.
https://vxtwitter.com/Moise17434006/status/1792161994407129589
@MartinFayulu était à l'origine du coup d'État contre Félix à #Kinshasa .
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One of the gentlemen in black outfit is also shown here:
Like father, like son.
https://vxtwitter.com/Moise17434006/status/1792167202457567630
Dear Congolese, I don't know if what happened last night in Kinshasa is cinema or not.
But if you are fed up with Tshisekedi, the illegal president and election stealer, just join the professionals at #AFC .
Hollywood films are fiction and reality is something else.
It is not enough to smoke hemp like the Wazalendo do to succeed in a military operation.
Stop putting your lives and those of others in danger!
https://vxtwitter.com/SugiraMireille/status/1792156167793238476
Chers congolais, je ne sais pas si ce qui c'est passé cette nuit à Kinshasa est du cinema ou pas.
Mais si vous avez en avez marre de Tshisekedi, le président illégal et voleur des éléctions, rejoignez simplement les professionnels de l'#AFC.
Les films Hollywood sont une https://t.co/In7iUopDoi
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It appears that Christian Malanga is dead
Video of captured American and African in black outfits.
Content Warning: bloodied nose.
https://vxtwitter.com/Moise17434006/status/1792155670420025554
Another picture of father and son(?) along with unknown other:
https://vxtwitter.com/Moise17434006/status/1792180531741802715
https://vxtwitter.com/Moise17434006/status/1792168954049241248
is Christian Malanga the elder? (I've seen photo evidence.)
I have a link maybe too graphic to really share here. where do you want it?
it's not gory but it does depict the deceased.
there's a video here I can't be much help with:
https://vxtwitter.com/Moise17434006/status/1792157013880815653
#RDC: La tentative de coup d'État contre #Félix_Tshisekedi a échoué.
#RDC_Coup https://t.co/OLJkCWQDci
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no idea who that guy is
he's speaking French though
that's ok, we have French speakers 🙂
pretty interesting claims to follow up on https://x.com/DinoMahtani/status/1792149779285467433
here is reputable news naming Christian Malanga https://www.bbc.com/pidgin/articles/cgxx2zppyp0o
ok, I think I am caught up and/or stuff is being circulated so widely that it won't be hard to find
here's another detainee. unsure if this was linked anywhere else.
Content Warning: non-graphic, inhumane suspect detention.
The #RDC accuses the #Rwanda of the coup d'état against #Félix . I think the coup is very easy in #RDC , these people just weren't prepared and didn't use #UBWENGE . I think if Rwanda was part of this plan with #UBWENGE today we would be talking about a different story
i've been going through everyone's socials and I can't say i see any outright allegiance to Rwanda; instead this is "New Zaire" and seems to have been a thing for at least ~15 years. but I'm going to stop digging into the people and look more into "New Zaire" and see how that could be affiliated with Rwanda
a thread summarizing some facts:
https://vxtwitter.com/geoffreyyork/status/1792126572201206079
Benjamin Zalman-Polun, reportedly an American cannabis entrepreneur, was among about 20 men captured by Congo’s military today in Kinshasa after a failed rebellion led by Christian Malanga, head of a small …
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the "white" gentleman pictured keeps getting lumped in with this other one:
idk if the implications are to suggest it's the same person.
i'm fairly strong at facial recognition and have a hard time seeing how this is the same guy.
yeah i think it's the other guy with the bandanna over his face in the video
also, passport name is all over the place.
his full name is Benjamin Reuben Zalman-Polun?
so I have done some work in facebook and I can DM you about it, but the name on the passport matches a Facebook account that has had interaction with the Malangas (the elder was the facebook livestreamer/New Zaire "president"
here's a random Scribd doc with precisely that name (it blurs once the page fully renders):
https://www.scribd.com/document/590563613/Mz-Government-Gazette-Series-III-Dated-2022-07-20-No-139
- O documento apresenta vários despachos e anúncios legais, incluindo a autorização para mudança de nome de uma criança e o reconhecimento de uma associação de irrigantes.
- É também publicada a constituição de uma empresa denominada AGINVEST, Limitada, que tem como objetivo a produção e comercialização de produtos agrícolas e prestação de se...
passport number differs.
as does the date range.
there were multiple white men
https://x.com/geoffreyyork/status/1792136635913539669
and I think black pants/masked face is bloody nose
I think ball cap and vest is passport
this face matches passport. no doubt about that.
masked man makes more sense here as the other.
ball cap is wearing different colored pants from bloody nose
he is?
He looks wet. Charcoal might show darker when wet.
true.
shoulders and general build are similar. those shoulders are rather distinctive, but not conclusive.
the way his waist tapers is also similar, but the stances aren't comparable in those photos.
has the skinny guy V-shape.
so we have a bunch of unidentified Congolese (assumed), one deceased American/Congolese (Christian Malanga), one captured American/Congolese (his son, Marcel Malanga), one captured American (Ben Polun), and the rest are unidentified atm
slightly larger photo of same.
prob of limited use.
ah here we are
yea that's from the Scribd link I found.
https://www.scribd.com/document/590563613/Mz-Government-Gazette-Series-III-Dated-2022-07-20-No-139
- O documento apresenta vários despachos e anúncios legais, incluindo a autorização para mudança de nome de uma criança e o reconhecimento de uma associação de irrigantes.
- É também publicada a constituição de uma empresa denominada AGINVEST, Limitada, que tem como objetivo a produção e comercialização de produtos agrícolas e prestação de se...
fucking wild, they had like 20 dudes
i assume they were testng their product before this bright idea
google translate of this
an account of what happened by Vital Kamerhe's wife - apparently a drone was used
|| https://x.com/HamidaKamerhe/status/1792228486880374965 || spoilered because the preview has imagery of a man tied to the fence by his dreads
taking an hour for reinforcements to arrive in Kinshasa is wild
Comes to show how weak the DRC's government and its army is. We're not just talking about arriving in Kinshasa but a presidential palace of all things
He has updated his assessment
https://twitter.com/ryanmofarrell/status/1792373144235225506?s=19
Deleted the Tweet about Cole Ducey. He’s involved with Malanga’s gold mining venture in Mozambique but the white guy arrested in Kinshasa at the edge of the river alongside Marcel Malanga is someone else. https://t.co/xJRqVodNHW
The attached video does contain a man getting hit in the face with a rifle while being detained
Just so I'm clear, he's rescinding the man's identity?
Man in the ballcap and also bloody nose still presumed to be same person?
That seems to be what he's saying yes. He doesn't believe bloody nose is the investor.
@mental tide
Have any higher qual imagery shown up for this badge?
Curious also why they wore blatant US flag patches during this coup op. There's a protocol for doing this, but reasons for that are unclear under these circumstances.
It's already being called a joint US-Israeli operation on Twitter 
Only the best of OSINT fam
I'll keep an eye out for higher resolution as I scroll
Speaking of, I think one of the bigger Congolese news outlets is misidentifying
https://vxtwitter.com/politicocd/status/1792301878606192832?s=19
En image, l'arrestation de Benjamin Zalman-Polun, l'un des américains qui ont participé à l’attaque, et du fils de Christian Malanga.
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Yes I just now saw that too.
They sure are.
Also, this is not profesh display of patchery.
Many of these gents appear particularly unsuited for the mission imo.
If the US is couping we aren't sending our best
Hello! Noticed a signal jammer on the table. Not experienced with picking out models but I think its a Shenzhen Greetwin handheld signal jammer? https://greetwin.en.made-in-china.com/product/XnSrKFuAZsVm/China-Handheld-Signal-Jammer-24-Channel-GSM-LTE-WiFi-GPS-Lojack-etc-24bands-Powerful-Signal-Jammer.html
lgtm
This fella, this shot.
He looks out of place.
No flag patch.
His pouches are empty.
Appears to be unarmed.
And looks like he wandered out of the night club restroom after the last-call floodlights came on.
lmao I noticed in another video a bunch of the soldiers didn't have weapons on them. Kind of concerning for a small group attempting a coup. I feel like at this point in the video they realize they are losing momentum?
They really struggled to burn a DRC flag in one of the videos
@mental tide
My money on this one being the guy inhumanely detained. Fwiw.
idk but the lack of proper arms for the occasion raises a lot of questions.
Agreed
They're all huddled in this room seemingly unthreatened and unbothered. Not typical of a high-stakes coup attempt.
They don't quite know what to do with an empty palace
It's not
New Zaire has, certain forms of support from us, but it's very limited and would not be this. We don't even support stuff like that anymore.
Alas why we should be especially careful with identity claims
If they got folks or business associates unaffiliated with this over there, they absolutely could face greater negative situations than the local folks involved.
DRC security services are absolutely monitoring the net space also their native capabilities will absolutely not cover things like this to form, they're not a country like Lebanon whos had their services heavily supported in development by higher tier services.
Also patches kind of track either way. We enter a weird area on the private sector affiliate spectrum here kind of distinct from the SilverCorp-esque memes and outright volunteer types we see reported. These guys likely weren't just flat New Zaire supporters but likely did so at least in rough relation to business interest, not necessarily doing it for the proverbial cause here. Given that context they probably were not thinking about running low viz for it, just got stuff for a kit.
We're gonna need a source on that
And of course it's not lol. They're using old footage of Malanga allegedly hanging out with the IDF
We have plenty of government in exiles here but they have to act in very specific ways to prevent crossing into illegalities themselves. We extend them support by recognizing their existence and offering pathways for them to interact with our government, without letting it impact their naturalization or residency. Malange through the UCP has spent significant amounts of time here in the US campainging among Congolese diaspora, which is not something you can just show up and do in the US. There's a very good chance the talk about what's going on there was also picked up, wouldn't be surprised if we hear they got a "dont do that" message in a few months.
Hence "but its very limited and would not be this". We don't even support coups like that anymore, that's a thing of cold war era conceputalizations. Instead those same objectives are achieved through breeding overt and legitimate connections with things like governments in exile and offering them safe spaces to develop their own organic futures for their peoples (ala Belarus, Chechen Republic of Ichkeria)
So you see a pattern here but don't have evidence that the US government was specifically supporting New Zaire
We are offering them indirect support by allowing them a safe space to organize and coordinate here in the US
Very distinct from things like providing supplies or explicitly allowing things like this
I can nerd out on how that works in terms of government influence but lot of folks probably dont recognize that distinction
Versus him being a naturalized American who is exercising his First Amendment rights? And I can recognize that distinction
Yeah, so for example, since he's a foreigner, all that campaigning he does through/for UCP (an actual foreign government establishment, technically), technically requires approval as a Foreign Agent
So we would at least have to explicitly approve him (directly) to do such
That is a political decision
It's why we dont recognize groups like those in South Ossetia and Abkhazia (which did seek our support before Russia assisted them)
"foreigner" - a naturalized citizen is still a "foreigner"?
I mean he's from a foreign nation, and beyond that was only here in exile and wanted to go home just, didnt have that as a simple option
I consider him both personally, they don't cancel one another out.
I'm actually not sure how INS and all would file that but I'm pretty sure naturalized citizens have to do a lot of the same stuff actual foreigners do who are on in on long term visas and the sort
The FA stuff would still apply anyways in the UCP context because of what it is, even if you were some random American supporting them running a social media page targeting audiences here, you'd have to do so (you dont have to be foreign to have to apply as a foreign agent, it has to do with whatever you're doing)
Detained or deported no, they could face legal action from DOJ though which is a headache
That can impact things with official filings in regards to their status, doesn't mean anything will happen in that regard.
Didn't say he did, was using it to clarify realistic bounds to what "support" happens. There's very little chance we supported it in any direct manner as we see claimed, and yes you could get in trouble here for planning such on our soil, if they wanted to charge you they would regardless of your risk averseness.
You make good points, maybe a good comparable but different incident would be Operation Gideon in Venezuela, 2020.
Yeah some stark differences still but the somewhat closest similar example we have
Page seems down 😦
It worked for me, I wonder if it's country blocked? Maybe try via their Twitter post
https://vxtwitter.com/ABC/status/1792790703178748343?s=19
A U.S. national has been mistakenly accused of involvement in last weekend's attempted coup in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
https://trib.al/qyqJyrj
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Yup, that link worked
Thanks!
This is also a good example of why you play carefully with the private sector here. Pay is really good but unless you're on an actual tight ship you'll probably sink with everyone else and the money would be for nada. Good on him for thinking it through and not taking it.
Based off the extra data we'd have now, I'd be semi-confident tagging early that Christian probably thought his window was closing in to be able to achieve his goals and wanted to do it now. That'd explain Marcels increased attempts at recruiting and growing disappointment from lack of positive responses, and then further why they'd act... as they did
And if anyone else wants further information pointing towards there likely being absolutely 0 government involvement, the fact they were going around lying about the trip is a pretty good sum up. If you get actual offers like that, it might be ambigiously worded but what's happening tends to be pretty damn clear still. This is not it
In North Kivu, eastern DR Congo, Red Cross volunteers search for bodies after militants allied with the so-called Islamic State group killed at least 41 people in Masala, Mahihi, and Keme villages last week.
"Since the resurgence of the M23 crisis, Uganda has not prevented the presence of M23 and Rwanda Defence Forces (RDF) troops on its territory or passage through it," the U.N. Security Council's Group of Experts said in the report, which was sent to the U.N. Security Council Sanctions Committee at the end of April and then to members of the Security Council in June.
The U.N. group also said it had obtained evidence confirming active support for M23 by officials from the military and military intelligence, with M23 leaders, including the sanctioned Sultani Makenga, travelling to Uganda for meetings.
Yup, Ugandan support for M23 has been known for a while
Interesting info about IS-DRC/ADF financier Swalleh Abubakr and links to Suleiman Nsubuga. https://www.observer.ug/index.php/news/headlines/81817-adf-rebel-suspect-extradited-from-zambia-remanded-to-luzira-for-terrorism
He was previously subject to UN reporting in coms with Meddie NKALUBO and South Africa IS cells
Swalleh and two other facilitators were just sanctioned
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2477
South Africa appearing more significant in Islamic States African networks.
WASHINGTON — Today, the United States is taking action against a network of three individuals associated with the expanded activities of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) on the African continent. These individuals serve as key financiers and trusted operatives, enabling the activities of ISIS and its leaders across Central, Eastern, an...
Good to see more artilces like this emerging. This line tho, "Several months later, Uganda sent thousands of troops to Congo after a terrorist attack in downtown Kampala; both the Ugandan and Congolese governments blamed it on a **militia **based in northeastern Congo."
According to the latest UN report on Islamic state,
“In the months of May
and June alone, ADF killed over 260 civilians, with Member States reporting 500 deaths in North Kivu since January.
- Member States report that ADF commander Abwakasi (listed as Ahmad
Mahmood Hassan, CDi.040) led recent attacks that killed over 200 civilians.
Abwakasi was observed taking photographs of each attack and then transferring them to another device with Internet connection. At the same time, Member States noted an increase in propaganda highlighting ADF attacks, following months of near
silence. Regarding the leadership of ADF, it is reported that Seka Baluku (alias Musa Baluku, CDi.036) is gravely ill and seeking hospitalization.”
Allegedly Abwakasi leading prayers in a village south of Biakato from Caleb Weiss’s Twitter
Do you have the link to this tweet?
He’s regularly featured in ISCAP photo reports with his face blurred leading prayer
Thanks so much, I want to check out this account 
Caleb is great
I'm always looking for good sources to add to my DRC Twitter list!
the guys associated with Bridgeway Foundation are good starting points. They follow a lot of journalists in north kivu
It seems everyone I know follows Caleb so I should also do that!
@mental tide Have you heard of Muhindo Charles Akili Mundos.
https://www.opensanctions.org/entities/NK-ZBiKyY8nacvDCoFwDUX2d5/
According to the latest UN committee report on Congo he’s possibly assisted a senior adf member escape prison
Pretty sure he's one of the people profiled in this report
Nvm I must have read about him somewhere else, I think I know where but it might take a minute to track down the source.
Leaving the earlier link up bc it's a great if dated resource on adf
https://www.congoresearchgroup.org/en/2017/09/20/the-beni-killings-our-findings/
Here we go! Another fantastic crg research project, I suggest reading the full report for context and because some of the people mentioned are still major players in drc politics
There's another source I had in mind that I think details his financial involvement with the group, I'll look for it tomorrow
Yeah I’ve read through. Solid article.
Thanks I’ve haven’t read this yet so I’ll dig in
Here’s the allegation in the latest UN reporting
“Sources close to ADF and ADF detainees reported that Amigo, who was also close to Hamuli, played an important role in both attempts to liberate Hamuli and used his connections at the highest levels of the FARDC to do so, possibly including sanctioned individual Muhindo Ak Ili Mundos (CDi.032), as reported by Hamuli to a source (see also S/2015/797, para 93-97, S/2016/466, para 198-204 about Mundos and ADF). This illustrates that over the years, ADF has established close links with several FARDC elements and DRC authorities, including prominent figures, most of whom had served in Beni territory.”
Pg57
Two US citizens on trial for their role in a coup attempt in Democratic Republic of Congo led by a Congolese politician were sentenced to death by a military court https://t.co/YkCHzY56bQ
i think the associated press just bumped that number up to 3 now
Looking at Apple and Tesla DRC 3T + Gold sources, if anyone has any guidance, send it my way
Afaik this is extremely hard to track, especially with open sources, but I would love to be wronged and shown a way too, I'm very interested as well
I'll keep you updated :)
🇨🇩 #Congo: A #UnitedStates congressional watchdog has reported that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) disclosure policy on conflict minerals has not reduced violence in the Congo since 2012. The rule, which requires companies to report their use of tantalum, tin, tungsten and gold has created little to no change, with armed groups st...
A network of 10 YouTube accounts has been involved in at least two coordinated campaigns to spread these misleading narratives
Nothing showing up on FIRMS for this....will have a search for images today
FIRMS is, in my experience, not great for the DRC given the high cloud coverage
Yeah it is potluck that's for sure
Crosspost with #latest-research message
https://www.bellingcat.com/news/2024/12/10/retracing-the-congolese-march-where-dido-kakisingi-was-killed/
Here's our supplemental article with more background, some Facebook page findings, and translations of selected videos
Does sentinel imagery work? (Either vegetation height analysis through DSMs or moisture content analysis)
For bigger fires maybe useful
Although i guess in most cases still hard unless you have access to higher resolution stuff
Both cause this way you might be able to try to see through clouds, but also cause you might detect them if the clouds clear for a little bit after the fire already ended
Anyone else besides the usual suspects diving into the Amnesty report about the Goma massacre last year?
This is really turning into a kerfluffle
"Hours earlier, Congo’s Justice Minister Constant Mutamba said on the social media platform X that anyone who reports on “the activities of the Rwandan army and its M23 auxiliaries, will now suffer the full force of the law (DEATH PENALTY).”
Muyaya, the government spokesperson, downplayed the threat, saying it was only an “interpretation” and that the minister’s statement was meant for anyone “who can be used ... to pass on messages from the enemy.”
Opposition spokesman Hervé Diakiese denounced Thursday’s ban and posted on X that freedom of expression means the ability “not only to say things that are pleasant to hear but also things that may displease. And the right to say so, even if they cause harm.”
“Being patriotic doesn’t mean being government propagandists,” Diakiese said.
Congo’s media regulatory body on Tuesday warned three French news organization — Radio France Internationale, France24 and TV5 Monde — over their coverage of the M23 rebels’ advances in eastern Congo."
🇨🇩 #Congo: The Congolese military has recaptured a number of towns from insurgents in the eastern Congo, including key areas of North Kivu province. Despite these advances, fighting with armed groups has recently escalated, with insurgents capturing Masisi territories in the region.
(via Al Jazeera)
Lol AJ trying to get back on the DRC's good side. One of the complaints leveled against AJ and some Western media outlets is that they were only covering M23 advances and not FARDC ones. So I guess AJ got the assignment 😂
La vidéo qui relance la controverse : qui a tué le Gouverneur militaire du Nord-Kivu, le Général Major Peter CHIRIMWAMI NKUBA?
Jeudi dernier, lorsque l'étau se resserrait sur Sake, cette vidéo a été largement partagée par les internautes. Le Gouverneur militaire venait d'arriver sur la ligne de front, accompagné d'un journaliste qui le filmait,...
The video that reignites the controversy: who killed the Military Governor of North Kivu, Major General Peter CHIRIMWAMI NKUBA?
Last Thursday, when the noose was tightening on Sake, this video was widely shared by Internet users. The military Governor had just arrived on the front line, accompanied by a journalist who filmed him, tossing out a few words in Swahili to the inhabitants of Goma, whom he asked not to panic, asserting that the Governor was determined to regain control of Sake.
At the 19th second of the video, something unexpected happens: the Governor is stopped by some FARDC and Wazalendo elements. A discussion ensues, apparently heated... a situation that raises questions, because according to military ethics, lower-ranking soldiers cannot afford to address a two-star General in this way.
What were they saying to each other? What were they reproaching the Governor for? And what was the outcome of this exchange? Unfortunately, no one will know. No serious investigation will be carried out, and everything will be swept under the carpet.
Translated with DeepL
Does anyone know if there's a decent map of the current situation around Goma?
I doubt there is, but I thought I'd ask
I liked this one a lot
The axis to the north is very touch and go along the N2 highway. M23 has historically been operating in Virunga National Park there
It looks very grim
Masisi and Katele in the northwest of the map have also fallen I think
Yeah, they are also quite far north
Best guess is that they want to take Goma before the UNSC session on monday
After that probably a push to Bukavu
Idk what the end goal is though. If more foreign troops get deployed Rwanda will have trouble holding on
Today the Congo River Alliance put out a statement instructing FARDC to lay down their arms within the next 48 hours, and the 48 hour deadline would give them until Monday. I'll get that tweet for you shortly
do you happen to use my Congo list on DRC?
I've been having the worst problems with twitter but hopefully this loads https://x.com/LawrenceKanyuka/status/1883170137723043925/photo/1
https://x.com/NewTimesRwanda/status/1883467793242505447
Closed airspace
M23 has no authority on the Goma airport, and as for now there are no unusual activity at the airport (it's not a very busy one and cancellations are common, so it will take time to confirm, but as of now the flight to Addis Ababa which can be used to measure the situation is expected to depart in a few hours per FR24)
Now, if M23 just got enough air defence capabilities to threaten airliners in Goma, that's something of interest. But unless we see signs of closing at the airport, I think this is propaganda
Also I just realised the source you shared is pro-Rwanda. Rwanda backs M23 and had a consistent disinfo and propaganda effort against the DRC
you are right i was litterally reading about how this is propaganda and that monusco planes are still waiting to depart
i also saw claims that M23 shot down a plane, but no proof whatsoever, only a video of a downed helicopter from a few months ago
Can you share the video of the downed helicopter? That would be huge news if confirmed
(I'm highly sceptical but that warrants verification)
no i'm just saying there is no proof that video was posted way before and not in goma airport, it just comfirms people online lie
but i can dm you the tiktok link if you want
Yes please!
Even if it's from months ago, it's good to document it, if it indeed happened in the DRC
we have seen AD systems of unknown origin cough Rwandan cough, being operated inside the DRC
so they have the capability at the very least
Please provide me the sources to document them as that completely slipped under my radar, thanks
UN is the source btw
Was gonna say it was in a recent GOE report!
I think this one from July https://reliefweb.int/report/democratic-republic-congo/final-report-group-experts-democratic-republic-congo-s2024432-enarruzh
thanks, was looking for it, but couldn't find it
It does look that Goma airport has been closed by the Congolese government https://bsky.app/profile/ethuin.bsky.social/post/3lgnanxcbrs2s
Fighting resumed this morning around Goma (shelling in Rusayo and combats between Monigi and Kibati). Goma airport has been closed by government authorities for the time being. Latest AFC (M23) communiqué declares “closure of airspace” over Goma.
AFC's statements this week have been interesting in that they're acting like a municipal authority. "Restore power to Goma because our brothers shouldn't have to live in darkness" , "we have closed the airport" etc. you can get their statements from Lawrence Kanyuka on Twitter who I linked above
Bintou Keita at the UN meeting just said the Goma airport is now closed and they are trapped
flighradar still display scheduled departure
https://x.com/Ljudps_RDC/status/1883536823454245276
Video, please ignore the caption
https://x.com/MONUSCO/status/1883530220294295593
4 photos of UN positions
Afrikarabia (Christophe Rigaud) is a pretty good source, looks like he has a map of M23 contrl from a few days ago https://x.com/afrikarabia/status/1882048829132054787
🇨🇩 #Congo: The #Rwanda-backed insurgent group M23 has now claimed control over the key eastern city of Goma. Over a million people live in the city, with hundreds of thousands fleeing the offensive. Some reports have claimed that Rwandan forces have accompanied M23 during the offensive, with diplomatic ties between the Congo and Rwanda now sever...
Hi everyone, I'm a journalist based in NYC and currently focusing on OSINT reporting in the DRC for a conflict reporting course at Columbia Journalism School with Azmat Khan. I am wondering what I could best focus on given the current situation and would like to hear your thoughts. One of my ideas was to investigate clear evidence that Rwanda is supporting M23, as it still seems that it's officially being denied despite there being evidence. Do you have an idea where I could find that evidence?
The last few UN Group of Expert reports cover this issue extensively. It's not necessarily open source but you might be able to find an angle for your investigation
Thanks a lot, even though the last report didn't really say where evidence is from, it just said “obtained further evidence – authentic photographs, drone footage, video recordings, testimony, and intelligence – confirming systematic border incursions by RDF.” So I'm trying to find this drone footage, video recordings, photographs etc
Contrasting the statements of M23 (we want to avenge the genocidal Congolese government) vs their actions (taking mining towns) is always instructive too 🙃
I think this image from the GOE report, no? #1123414680212340910 message It's the one from last July
Look in the GOE report annexes! The interesting stuff is always in there 😉
Mentioning because there are a lot of geolocations in the article, GeoConfirmed has a DRC map https://geoconfirmed.org/drc
Significant movement of M23/RDF troops reported towards Nyabibwe, the last real FARDC-Wazalendo-FDBU "defensive lock" before Bukavu's national airport (Kavumu), just 34km further south (and 60km from Bukavu city).
Congo and the region are in bigger trouble!
#Act4Congo NOW!
Was this article posted as context from earlier in the conflict? It's from February of last year
Also I removed the screenshot of popular front because the truck bed is full of bodies and we have rules about using spoilers for that - see #rules
🇨🇩 #Congo - 🇷🇼 #Rwanda: As many as 288 mercenaries from #Romania have crossed the border into Rwanda after the Congolese city of Goma fell to the insurgent group M23. According to the Rwandan government, the mercenaries surrendered to M23 in the Congo, and are now being transported to the Rwandan capital of Kigali. The mercenaries were reportedl...
Doing some reading on DRC/Rwanda and it's interesting/fascinating/scary stuff and thought worth a share:
This is an incredibly good fact sheet showing off the range of mineral wealth in the DRC: https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099101723140622516/pdf/P17516105e95da0de0a34c0dd670e6f75cf.pdf
As we can see from the above sheet there is a huge concentration of mineral wealth in the immediate region around Goma.
Here Kagame admits DRC minerals go through Rwanda:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gql91CphSXk
Here is a trade agreement signed between EU/Rwanda last year for mineral wealth: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_24_822
Goma is also the key in the trade of the minerals out of DRC through Rwanda to Dar-es Salaam to world markets: https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/metals/012725-rwandan-backed-rebels-seize-goma-in-mineral-rich-eastern-congo
Here it shows DRC has somewhat chosen a Chinese company as it's lithium partner at least for it's biggest mine:
https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/natural-resource-governance/lithium-rush-africa/
And just for other interested parts of reading here is a good BBC article and NYT article on the current conflict:
BBC: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckgyzl1mlkvo
NYT: https://archive.is/OG8Nx
Cette semaine, les combats entre le M23, l’armée congolaise et leurs alliés respectifs ont atteint le centre-ville de Goma. Les équipes MSF ont réorienté une partie de leurs activités afin de répondre à des urgences telles que la prise en charge des blessés de guerre. Virginie Napolitano, coordinatrice d’urgence MSF à Goma, témoigne de la situat...
Detailed update about what's been going on in several districts of Goma
Just a heads up that there is some particularly gruesome footage circulating of the massacre of villagers (beheadings, villagers hacked to death with machetes).....a rough location is somewhere around 35km NW of Butembo.
Best avoid it
Manon talked on the podcast about how Jason Stearns is a good resource. He has a new piece out
Large parts of Goma are now under the control of the M23 and their RDF allies. This is likely to be seen, looking back twenty years from now, as a major inflection point in the history of the Congolese conflict. It is the fifth time the city has fallen to a Rwandan-backed rebellion in the past three decades. The first two times, in 1996 and 1998...
Life After a Rebel Takeover https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/01/world/africa/life-after-a-rebel-takeover.html?unlocked_article_code=1.tk4.1l5n.jKB5VmSi85qL
Very little news from Goma is coming out due to the internet being blocked
https://x.com/USEmbKinshasa/status/1886384254969397674
The Embassy advises U.S. citizens in the DRC to depart immediately via commercial means.
The UN is evacuating dependents from Kinshasa
Warning: Article has picture of mass grave
||https://www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/20250204-est-de-la-rdc-près-de-3000-morts-dans-l-offensive-sur-goma-d-après-l-onu||
Eastern DRC: nearly 3,000 dead in the offensive on Goma, according to the UN
Nearly 3,000 dead in Goma following last week's clashes: this is the latest dramatic and still provisional death toll given by the United Nations on Tuesday February 4. Humanitarian organizations fear epidemics.
News from The Guardian by Joost Batmeijer, Saskia Houttuin and Mark Townsend on the situation in Gomo https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/feb/05/democratic-republic-congo-goma-women-raped-burned-death-prison-m23-rebels-rwanda
https://bsky.app/profile/ethuin.bsky.social/post/3lheuotixlc2e
According to a top DRC researcher: I am told this number may not be wrong but also that the current state of oversight does neither allow to confirm or infirm this count.
Just deleted my previous tweet citing an RFI-reported OCHA number of 3000 killed in #Goma last week. I am told this number may not be wrong but also that the current state of oversight does neither allow to confirm or infirm this count.
thanks for the heads up
Seems like this has been a Russia-style "ceasefire"
https://apnews.com/article/congo-goma-m23-bukavu-rwanda-871a8bcd404f6579cb83f04f04338a7b
1st Meeting, 37th Special Session of the Human Rights Council on the situation in DRC is streaming live now
No one has written much until now about Rwandan casualties in the M23 military operation in DRC. But the Rwandan army is taking heavy losses, and Rwandan families are grieving their lost sons. Our investigation for the Guardian: www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
Very good open source work
so many good DRC articles coming out https://www.theafricareport.com/375904/drc-rwanda-rubaya-coltan-mine-at-the-heart-of-m23-financing/
In this week's Book Club book (The Palestine Laboratory) the author mentions a lot of countries Israel has sold weapons and surveillance software to. DRC is not in there, but Rwanda is. It is claimed thst Israel sold weapons to Rwanda before and even during the genocide and that they have been using Pegasus since 2017, for instance.
Now I'm wondering of course: how much of that filered through to the current conflict? Any signs, weapons sightings etc?
There's a few photos of FARDC Unit 112 with Emtan MZ-4P's
All reports indicate that M23 took Kalehe yesterday and the current front is between Kasheke and Kabamba as they push south.
Speaking to Christoph Vogel last night he seems to think that Congolese forces have already moved equipment out of Kavumu airport to concentrate on Bukavu with possible reinforcements from Burundian troops.
It would be interesting to find out where the relocated their CH-4's.....maybe Lubumbashi?
As far as I can work out, this is a rough area of M23 control as it stands today.
I think I saw something about them being moved a few days ago, I'll do some digging and get back to you!
Thanks Manon!
I must have hallucinated the post. But my guess is that if they were relocated maybe they went to Kalemie (-5.873300347165239, 29.24848920508935) ? It's much closer than Lubumbashi, has a functioning airport with functoinal hangars, and there was a MONUSCO presence there until 2022, so clearly it has/had the capacity to handle military aircraft.
Another possible option might be Kindu (-2.9262914003125626, 25.91491400039984), which is also a functioning airport but the hangars don't look nearly as well-maintained, at least as of 1/2022 Google Earth imagery. Minister of Transportation and former MinDef (who also happens to be a convicted war criminal) Jean-Pierre Bemba was there a few days ago to "rally morale."
If they did relocate the CH-4s to Lubumbashi, that seems like it would be a major capitulation
I think Christoph mentioned they might have gone to Kalemie 👍
Did we have confirmation about Bukavu before? https://vxtwitter.com/thomasvlinge/status/1890455360789520437
#DRCongo 🇨🇩 BREAKING: the city of #Bukavu, capital of #SouthKivu province, has fallen.
Rwandan and #M23 forces were seen entering the city's Place de l'Independance some time ago. https://t.co/bmtKv0jrbI
Christ they just took Kavumu airport a matter of hours ago. However this should be checked as Thomas has gotten called out for sharing wrong locations before
The location looks legit to me. Timing I daren't say.
Yeah they were in Kavumu in daylight and I just don't know if they had enough daylight left to get to Bukavu
But they may have just crossed from Rwanda vs coming down the highway
Or it's FARDC, Wazalendo, or Burundian forces and people are scared
-2.5000119, 28.8516155
Uganda looking like it's going to help itself to a province too
Uganda's military chief, Gen. @mkainerugaba, threatened to attack Bunia in eastern #DRCongo unless “all forces” surrendered within 24 hours. Claiming Bahima people were under attack, he said he had President @KagutaMuseveni’s backing.
Kainerugaba, seen as Museveni’s heir, has a
I am specifically looking for incidents around Panzi Hospital in Bukavu
a recap: M23/Rwanda seized the North Kivu capital of Goma several weeks ago, just seized the South Kivu capital of Bukavu (in progress), and Uganda is going to take the province of Ituri to the north. In Kinshasa, there's going to be demonstrations about Catholic churches tomorrow. 
As per the above....if Christophe doesn't know what's going on, I'm pretty sure I have no hope 
Lot's of confusion as to what is going on in Bukavu.
One possibility is the main M23 force is just south of Kavumu airport after securing that yesterday.
There has been talk of FARDC abandoning positions in Bukavu and perhaps an advance M23 element pushing into the city to take advantage of the FARDC chaos before heading back north to rejoin the main M23 force around Murhesa.
In the absence of FARDC, the local population went on a looting free-for-all, kids procured abandoned weapons and started walking the streets shooting into the air and finally FARDC strapped their stuff together enough to return to the city and resume their positions and start patrols.
This is roughly where I think we are at but we really need more information and will wait on that......and this is a stab in the dark at best
M23 in red, M23 advance party in green who have now rejoined the main force or thereabouts.
Yesterday, there was at least four round trips from Kigali to Bakavu by two Rwandan Air Force Mi-17V-5's - RAF1705 and RAF0105
Hard to work out if they landed or the exact route as they were flitting in and out.
good explainer on the current state of things (current being "as of this weekend") https://theconversation.com/m23-rebels-are-marching-across-eastern-drc-the-interests-driving-players-in-the-conflict-249738
🇨🇩 #Congo: #Burundi has reportedly began withdrawing troops from the eastern Congo as M23 continues to make advances against the Congolese military (FARDC). Burundian troops have historically assisted FARDC in the war against M23, with at least 10,000 Congolese refugees recently fleeing into Burundi. A Burundian military spokesman has denied all...
US Office of Foreign Assets Control new DR Congo designations to specially designated nationals list (sanctions)
Source: https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20250220
Press Release: https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0022
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James Kabarebe (Kabarebe) is a former RDF general and the current Minister of State for Regional Integration in the Rwandan Ministry of Foreign Affairs...Kabarebe is a Rwandan government liaison to M23 and orchestrates RDF support for the armed group. In addition, Kabarebe manages much of Rwanda and M23’s generation of revenue from the DRC’s mineral resources.
-
Lawrence Kanyuka Kingston (Kanyuka) is M23’s civilian spokesperson and a public relations officer for the Congo River Alliance, a U.S.-sanctioned coalition of rebel groups that seeks to overthrow the DRC government.
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Kingston Fresh LTD (Kingston Fresh) is a food services company in the UK that is directed and owned by Kanyuka
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Kingston Holding is a mining consultancy based in Paris, France, that is managed and owned by Kanyuka.
WASHINGTON — Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) imposed sanctions on James Kabarebe (Kabarebe), Rwanda’s Minister of State for Regional Integration. Kabarebe is central to Rwanda’s support for the March 23 Movement (M23), a U.S.- and United Nations (UN)-designated armed group that has rapidly exp...
Africa is a very unlucky continent. Its most effective and progressive country (Rwanda) and its leader @PaulKagame is able shake Africa and the world & inspire millions with very little of everything. Now imagine it had the land size of Nigeria or South Africa, their population,
interesting to note who is saying this and why now
I know this discord is not for opinion or comment and I apologise, but what a mindbogglingly stupid statement. Totally out of whack with reality.
i am only sharing what may potentially be driving some policy makers. OP is a big person in GLR
it is essential for people to understand this. These long "revolutionary marches" are deep in the DNA of both the Rwandese and Ugandan Militaries. I don't believe in the tribalist expansion ideology that many pro-Rwanda or pro-Uganda people are pushing but this is a reality on the ground.
"A group of critically injured South African peacekeepers who were hurt in fighting in eastern Congo a month ago have been evacuated by the United Nations, the South African armed forces said Tuesday." https://www.africanews.com/2025/02/25/critically-injured-south-african-soldiers-evacuated-from-congo-amid-rebel-offensive/
It is with great sadness that we are sharing the news of the passing of our colleague, Jerry Muhindo Kavali, in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). He died today from the gunshot wound he suffered while at the Doctors Without Borders/Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) base in Masisi town, North Kivu, during clashes between the [...]Read More... ...
A different perspective. On women traders who trade across the border and the impact the war is having on their businesses and community : https://continent.substack.com/p/selling-tomatoes-in-a-war-zone
Today in Bukavu, the capital of South Kivu province which is currently under M23 occupation, there were at least two explosions at a rally called by M23 leadership. There's scenes of some injured people in the following video:
|| https://x.com/SamuelBaker_B/status/1895209661827330518?t=iE65NevU1_E1dzic8S7QXg&s=19 ||
I've collected images and videos but I've seen references to the civilian population being ordered by M23 to appear at the rally. If you've seen anything like fliers distributed to back this claim up, I'm interested
Congolese government and M23 are accusing eachother of being the source of the explosions... Difficult to establish however.
As for proof of the "invitation" to the M23 meeting, this graphic was shared on social media. I am trying to find photos of physical fliers although a lot was done through radio and in person convocations.
Let me know if you are looking for any other information. I can check with my contacts in Bukavu. @mental tide
Thank you for that post! I'm not sure if we have enough to do an article yet (waiting for my colleagues to have a look) so I don't want your contacts to go to any trouble - although I'd love for them to join the discord!
Why Congo’s Vast Army Is Struggling to Fight a Far Smaller Militia https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/world/africa/congo-army-weak-rwanda-m23.html?unlocked_article_code=1.004.hv3o.d0XDxODz2azN
"Medical staff along the Uganda–DRC border have been terminated. Soldiers are everywhere. The laboratory built to deal with zoonotic diseases with US funding is empty."
The Tanzania Ports Authority (TPA) on Saturday (1 March 2025) dismissed social media rumours alleging weapons were being shipped from Kigoma Port on Lake Tanganyika to Kalemie in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC).
Africa Ports article : https://africaports.co.za/#9578
TPA Statement (Swahili): https://ports.go.tz/index.php/en/news2/taarifa-kwa-umma-ufafanuzi-juu-ya-taarifa-zisizo-sahihi-za-mzigo-inayopita-bandari-ya-kigoma
Ooh thanks we have some weapons watchers @coarse turret @fathom portal
Welcome @mental tide , another article: https://thechanzo.com/2025/03/03/tanzania-debunks-claims-of-weapons-shipment-to-kalemie-drc/
Examples of claims the vessel was transporting arms (disputed by the Tanzanian Port Authority)
https://x.com/DRCNewsToday/status/1896317329191117229
https://x.com/LeprinceKapi/status/1895722842152693854
https://x.com/MukabaGermain/status/1895592180309528788
On February 21, a lobbyist representing the Congolese Senator Pierre Kanda Kalambayi sent letters to U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other American officials inviting U.S. investment in Congo's vast mineral resources in exchange for helping to reinforce "regional stability".
BBC article on massacre of young people in the Kasika neighbourhood in Goma https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgj5gl25756o
Random, but does anyone have coords of the main refugee (resettlement) camps that were affected by events this/last year?
Experimenting with some GIS stuff for uni (have to look at refugee settlement expansion in Uganda) and thought this’d be an interesting topic to practice around (also cause knowing Congo the landscape will be difficult, which is a useful challenge)
Yes!! And it includes the status of the camps in January - many of them were in the process of being emptied, and many of them have probably continued to be emptied in the last month or two
The coords are approximate
Yeah good enough, can track it down based on that
Thanks!!
Np! You should share your project when it's done if you don't mind, super curious as to what you come up with!!
Not sure if the Congo things will be worked out well enough or if it’ll just be a bunch of experiments that i don’t work out beyond the experiment stage. But worst case i’ll share my Uganda project in #chit-chat and ping you
Won’t be anything too impressive either way but maybe some nice maps with standard methods
Thank you!!
Be careful, mods don't like it when you upload files.
Best to send it privately.
Thanks for the tip!! I can DM anyone else who wants the files
The Bulengo IDP camp near Lac Vert at the edge of Goma was probably the most dramatic and pronounced, but as manonymous has mentioned, there are many that have been abandoned since the Goma Offensive.
I'm sure the coordinates will be in the file but it's -1.622922, 29.123411 if needed.
I'm in touch with a Goma-based photojournalist who documented the dismantling of the camp if you need any photographs to back up your GIS work for uni.....sing out if you'd like me to put you in touch with him.
Thanks!🫶 The actual uni assignment itself needs to be on Uganda specifically so this is more for personal practice and probably won’t need additional otg imagery. Thanks for the offer tho!🫡
M23 pulled out of the scheduled negotiations with DRC tomorrow, citing these sanctions
it's been interesting watching Fatshi waving minerals around while Trump talks to Zelensky about it
Congo officials tag Elon, etc, on Twitter about it
I’ve noticed Africans in other countries proposing similar ideas frequently in recent years. Like it’s often mentioned in relation to Wagner, and not just by politicians.
Very explicit offers of resource rights for security assistance, preferably without any pesky strings attached to election deadlines or democracy.
Since China is doing the "resource rights for infrastructure" thing, and historically resources have simply been used to make government officials wealthy while not investing that wealth in the state, I'm not surprised that getting something for those resources instead of the historical nothing is appealing
Not congo but I've noticed growing pushback to it in Zambia though (or more accurately, less positive views, I think it's still relatively positive overall). They developed a huge stake in the copper belt and especially between 2016-2022 I saw a massive increase in Chinese presence in Livingstone (Zambia's main city in the south and on the crossroads for the ports in Namibia). Got extreme enough that at one point during Zambia's independence day festivals, people were doing a Chinese dance in one of those dragon costumes. But last time I went the local presence in Livingstone was almost entirely gone (Chinese hotels that hosted the businessmen all shut down).
I think it's a mix of several factors (covid + general restructuring of the belt and road initiative), but also definitely feels like the local and political enthusiasm for deals with China massively decreased. Like, yes they invest heavily in infrastructure which is nice, but in the end they're not giving a great deal either (plus certain cultural differences I presume, but I have no experience with that).
Can imagine this pattern will to certain extents repeat in other african countries (depending on the level of democratic influence in politics and broader national economics)
So yeah, if the US goes further down this path with their foreign policy, I can imagine these countries might be very happy to try and switch back from China to the US
[ignore this I just want to get notifications]
There's a setting for that:
holy shit thank you
For François* (pseudonym), a human rights observer in the east of the Democratic Republic of Congo, the year 2025 begins under the worst auspices, between the announcement of the suspension of American international aid for 3 months, since January 20, and the resumption of fighting in South Kivu, culminating in the capture of Bukavu by the M23 r...
(From Feb)
DRC president commutes death sentences for 3 Americans convicted in coup attempt
https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/02/africa/americans-death-sentence-commuted-drc-intl
Talks news from Africa NEws https://www.africanews.com/2025/04/04/us-holds-talks-with-kinshasa-on-developing-the-dr-congos-mineral-resources/
Massad Boulos, Tiffany Trump’s father-in-law, said Thursday that he and the president of the Democratic Republic of Congo had “agreed a on a path forward” for a minerals deal, during his first trip after being named named senior adviser for Africa. The deal itself is far from final, but Boulos said the U.S. wanted “a lasting peace that affirms the territorial integrity and sovereignty of the D.R.C.”
Congo’s president, Felix Tshisekedi, offered the U.S. and Europe a stake in his country’s extensive mineral wealth in an interview in February. Congo is rich in minerals like gold, cobalt and others found in phones and computers, but many are already being mined by Chinese companies or are in territory controlled by M23, a militia backed by Rwanda. The militia has torn through vast stretches of eastern Congo since the beginning of the year, and Tshisekedi wants U.S. support against M23 and Rwanda in return for his country’s minerals.
Does anyone have updates on the situation in Kinshasa w.r.t. the floods?
33 dead per government sources yesterday https://www.radiookapi.net/2025/04/07/actualite/societe/inondations-kinshasa-le-gouvernement-annonce-un-bilan-provisoire-de-33
Au moins 33 décès ont été recensés à la suite des inondations et érosions provoquées par les pluies diluviennes survenues dans la nuit du 4 au 5 avril 2025 à Kinshasa. Ce bilan, communiqué par le ministère de l’Intérieur dans un communiqué publié tard dans la nuit du dimanche 6 avril, reste provisoire. Selon le ministère de l’...
nods Thanks! I was aware of the official statements. I was wondering whether anyone has links outside of the regular channels' perhaps someone on social media posting updates.
Tshisekedi has been seen as the pro-US politician and is really working the pivot to the US from China at the moment
Additionally, the former president Joseph Kabila has apparently moved back to Goma, which is still under M23 occupation
https://x.com/VoiceOfCongo/status/1909688960667824528?t=4ps3-1rJyK-YFKxMQw15Ug&s=19
What is Qatar's angle here? Why is a so called middle power brokering this settlement? Do they have a huge stake in the mineral value chain?
I am not sure. I think Qatar might be considered more impartial than many other places? DW.com suggest they were chosen because they have a good history when it comes to peace talks https://www.dw.com/en/will-qatar-mediation-role-pacify-eastern-congo/a-71984284
Who chose Qatar? There is definitely the possibility of a new frontier of the US China cold war in DRC given China's stake in Congo's mineral wealth and the US wanting a piece. What are the odds that the US encouraged Kigali/M23 to move on Kinshasa to force Fashi to run to the US for help as they knew China will not lift a finger
Do you have any evidence that the US did this?
None at all. Speculation on my part. But they have a long history of meddling in DRC to secure supply chains for minerals going back to the Mobutu era, he is widely regarded as a CIA asset
Okay we just don't do speculation here. We work with open source information and evidence
Understood.
Rwanda has agreed to give safe passage to Southern African Development Community forces. This was confirmed by the Rwandan Minister for Foreign Affairs Olivier Nduhungirehe who confirmed this was at the request of SADC who requested to use the eastern African territory as they exit the Congo.
This guy is notorious (Erik Prince) and whenever one of his companies becomes too toxic he rinses and repeats with a new one. Interesting that he's been talking with Kabila who has returned to Goma
Speaking of Kabila, the DRC has opened legal investigations against him and suspended his party due to his connections with M23 https://www.radiookapi.net/2025/04/20/actualite/securite/constant-mutamba-ordonne-louverture-de-poursuites-judiciaires-contre
Le ministre de la Justice de la République démocratique du Congo, Constant Mutamba, a ordonné samedi 19 avril 2025, l’ouverture de poursuites judiciaires contre Joseph Kabila, ancien président du pays, ainsi que contre ses complices, soupçonnés de soutenir le groupe rebelle AFC/M23, appuyé par l’armée rwandaise. Dans un communiqué o...
huge if true https://www.africanews.com/2025/04/24/m23-and-congolese-government-agree-to-halt-fighting-work-towards-peace/
Potential good news for conducting open source research in the DRC: Starlink is available in the country according to You-Know-Who, after the Congolese government lifted a ban on Starlink back on Friday. Hopefully we soon see more congolese having access to the Internet.
https://www.reuters.com/science/starlink-is-now-available-congo-musk-says-2025-05-04/
@vestal kernel here's our Congo post 🙂
Since I'm here I'll share what I'm reading https://www.accord.org.za/ajcr-issues/women-and-peace-building-in-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo/
Abstract The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is a country that has never truly experienced peace or democracy. As a result, achieving peace through negotiations has proven to be an extremely difficult process. This paper assesses the Inter-Congolese Dialogue (ICD) process, especially concerning women’s contributions to peace-building in...
Which I found reading this
This is not unexpected but it's still really hard for me to see. Michombero is a great local journalist in Eastern DRC, and M23 leadership in occupied Congo is starting rumors about him
https://x.com/michombero/status/1922726983622066421?t=S3QBmKBfKhIyKQwPLh5Pvw&s=19
@proud jungle gave Michombero a shout out on our Bellingchat episode
Outlet Tazama RDC has decided to stop reporting on the security situation in the Kivu provinces. Additionally, a journalist from Goma was detained by M23, but Michombero says he's seen a video of the journalist alive. https://x.com/michombero/status/1929471959596744795
NBC tied together a lot of leads some of us were following and did a great job
https://www.nbcnews.com/video/hidden-invasion-inside-rwanda-s-covert-war-in-eastern-congo-241043525685
Kabila’s Return to the DRC: Africa File Special Edition
Author: Yale Ford
Key Takeaway: Former Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) President Joseph Kabila has reentered Congolese politics to capitalize on the eastern DRC crisis and regain power by positioning himself as the leader of a broad opposition bloc that includes Rwandan-backed M23 rebels. The Kabila-M23 partnership is opportunistic and transactional, which is one of many reasons that Kabila is unlikely to use M23 to topple Tshisekedi militarily. Kabila’s reemergence risks convoluting the domestic peace process, which is necessary for long-term peace and stable economic investment in the DRC.
Thanks for sharing. I've been curious about this
opinions on peace deal anyone ?
It doesn't involve M23
Yeah I was just checking up on how the Rwandan keyboard warriors are reacting and they're all very pleased that President Tshisekedi "agreed to disarm the FDLR" but the M23-aligned accounts are as belligerent as always. Here they are a few minutes ago accusing the Congolese of breaking the ceasefire: https://x.com/M23_TWIRWANEHO/status/1939773168090325030
Agreed with @mental tide on the issue of M23 not being involved - the peace deal just asks Kinshasa to "hold talks" with M23, which the Congolese president has staked his government on not doing. Rwanda and M23 have this cute shell game going where Kinshasa will only negotiate with Rwanda, and any agreement between the two countries is violated by M23 because of course Rwanda can't speak for the Completely Independent Movement that is M23 /s
The "peace deal" also doesn't settle any of the issues related to the territory that M23 has seized, the extraction/distribution of resources from that territory, and the very real fears of ethnic conflicts from the parties involved.
Not to get too deep into US politics, but I would consider this a classic Trump deal: looks great on Twitter but isn't worth the pixels it's written on.
looks like US Army will deploy. been building FOBs in Kenya this year
i am typing with onscreen keyboard so my words are limited
Is this what you're referring to?
https://www.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/4137524/us-kenya-partnership-fortified-through-joint-engineering-efforts-at-camp-simba/
yes but there talks of more bases in kenyan policy circles. africom summit was in nairobi a few weeks ago
I didn't see this as part of the deal. Seems dubious given the current political climate in the US but stranger things have happened, I guess?
Could be separate but us military doctrine relies on staging grounds not too far away from conflict zones . i dont think US will have large base in drc. most likely mercenaries like erik prince will be used
Could definitely see that happening, it wouldn't be the first time that DRC used mercenaries and I doubt they'll be any more effective than the last bunch that got hog tied and run out of town. But that's quite different than a US military deployment to eastern DRC, which sounds far fetched to me
honestly not much a mercenary battalion can do when you consider their allies weaknesses and opponents capacity
And the fundamental ineptitude of the Congolese armed forces!
Edit: Which I guess is what you were referring to with the "allies weaknesses" sorry
but SA forces fought really well
i tried to not put it bluntly but it was FARDC failure
If not for Uganda deployment m23 was going north in a hurry
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=thSyyKiTOnk rwandan army learnt from Russia Ukraine war and other conflicts they had 10+ years to prepare and so did drc
🇷🇼🇨🇩 Since 2022, the Rwandan-backed M23 rebels have renewed their offensive in the Democratic Republic of Congo. In January 2025, the M23 rebels were reinforced by numerous Rwandan Army detachments. Together, they launched a new campaign which overwhelmed the FARDC, also known as the Congolese Army. That's how Goma, the capital of No...
What do you think H.ETrump deal will mean for China OBOR in EAC ? @mental tide @proud jungle
Just FYI, HistoryLegends is a channel infamous for being clickbait and riddled with falsehoods.
It's not a good source by any measure.
i know their style but i was only sharing the content as they summarized the invasion in detail. not perfect and kinda weird but have to live with it
In that case it would have been nice if you had added that to your post.
Apologies , noted
@mental tide here was my analysis from last year
You're the Rwanda Broadcasting Agency account on Twitter?
no the comment i replied above. Sharing the link is a corelation of the assessment
was just trying to offer context
this comment
thanks! I follow you now
Almost made it to the end without a Heart of Darkness reference 
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/how-did-marcel-malanga-tyler-thompson-join-a-coup-in-congo.html
BBC reporting on the current status of the Rubaya mine, which Bellingcat bought imagery of a few months ago
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cyvj986l615o
here if anyone wants to relook at the old imagery: https://www.bellingcat.com/resources/2024/10/11/from-mauritius-to-sudan-you-told-us-where-to-look-here-are-the-results/
Satellite imagery is increasingly used by open source researchers to analyse conflict,natural disasters, mining activities and even construction work. With the help of Planet Labs PBC and Umbra Space, Bellingcat can take a snapshot of anywhere in the world by “tasking” their satellites to take an image at up to 25-centimetre resolution. Bell...
Note that he's being tried in absentia
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj4e4z892j5o.amp
Didn't see anything, there was a report of hundreds of Hutu farmers killed in the DRC by M23 about two weeks ago. Rwanda and M23 dispute this claim. https://www.africanews.com/2025/07/31/un-accuses-m23-rebels-in-dr-congo-of-killing-scores-of-civilians/
These massacres are reportedly from July 11
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8x5y2zvzk0o
https://x.com/hrw/status/1963609000806588584 super interesting piece of work
there isn't a Rwanda or a Mozambique thread, and there's a possibility this relates to testimonies of Rwandan army troop losses in the DRC
This claim's already been spreading through both Congolese and Rwandan media, with Rwanda releasing a statement about the topic - https://www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/20250906-est-de-la-rdc-hausse-des-tombes-de-soldats-à-kigali-selon-hrw-une-enquête-malhonnête-pour-le-rwanda https://eastleighvoice.co.ke/rwanda/206749/rwanda-calls-human-rights-watchs-count-of-new-graves-at-military-cemetery-disrespectful
Human Rights watch affirme que des soldats rwandais combattent bien ces derniers mois dans l’Est de la République démocratique du Congo (RDC). L’ONG a mené son enquête au cimetière militaire de Kanombe,…
Since late 2020, Haut-Uélé province, in the Democratic Republic of Congo, has experienced a surge in illegal, semi-industrial gold mining. Chinese nationals and their Congolese partners have led this gold rush, with the protection of Congolese army and police officers.
Dutch language article on this bitcoin mine in east Congo/DRC. Translation of three main takeaways at top of article:
- The Virunga Foundation, a British NGO that protects a National Park in Eastern Congo, will manage a new nature reserve. The "green corridor Kivu-Kinshasa" covers almost a quarter of the former Belgian colony and more than thirty million people live there. The NGO is led by a Belgian prince, Emmanuel de Merode.
- The EU supported the Virunga Foundation with more than 150 million euros, especially for development projects in the vicinity of the park. They are often considered success, but FTM discovered that millions are wasted.
- For example, the EU focused on tourism, while the park hardly attracts holidaymakers because it is in a war zone. And Brussels paid millions in the construction of a hydroelectric power plant without a network. Now a bitcoin company is active, which thanks to the EU support uses cheap green electricity to "dig" cryptocurrency.
https://www.ftm.nl/artikelen/naar-bitcoins-delven-in-het-regenwoud-van-congo-met-subsidie-van-de-eu
https://archive.ph/hcX8m
De EU gaf miljoenen uit aan grotendeels mislukte projecten in een natuurpark in Oost-Congo, onder leiding van een Belgische prins. Een safari-lodge bijvoorbeeld – in een oorlogsgebied – en een waterkrachtcentrale die bij gebrek aan afnemers wordt gebruikt voor bitcoincomputers. Dit ‘succesverhaal’ wordt nu uitgerold over een gebied zo gr...
super interesting, thanks for sharing this
They have an english language version now apaprently: https://www.ftm.eu/articles/bitcoin-mining-in-congo-rainforest-thanks-to-eu
"Both sides are now dispatching hundreds of men to multiple frontline towns in Congo's eastern provinces bordering Rwanda and Burundi, where violence continues unabated while the talks rumble on, according to the Congolese government and rebel officials." https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-army-rebels-dig-war-trump-says-is-over-2025-09-18/
"Congo’s largely unregulated artisanal mining sector accounts for a significant share of cobalt output, complicating traceability and compliance for global buyers."
"The ADF started off in neighboring Uganda in the mid-1990s as an Islamist militia, before moving into the border region with the Democratic Republic of Congo. The militia established ties with ISIS in 2018 and was designated by the U.S. State Department as a foreign terrorist organization in 2021."
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/congo-isis-militia-machete-attack-funeral-dozens-killed/
Another English language article by FTM on Congo:
https://www.ftm.eu/articles/eurasian-miner-ignored-bribery-concerns-in-shady-congo-deal
The legal team of one of the world’s largest producers of copper, the Eurasian Resources Group, warned about money flowing to an alleged front man to the former president of Congo, leaked documents show. But instead of acting, the company seems to have looked the other way.
Former president sentenced for treason. CW: death penalty ||https://www.africanews.com/2025/09/30/drc-former-president-joseph-kabila-sentenced-to-death-for-treason/||
Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda will not sign an economic framework this week as expected, four sources familiar with the matter told Reuters on Friday, in another stumbling block for the Trump administration's efforts to implement a peace deal and spur Western investment in the region.
There are (so far) 3 articles in this series
Interesting article that talks about Paul Kagame's use of spyware #infosec message
Did you see they are issuing passports/visas now?
https://continent.substack.com/p/m23-rebels-are-issuing-their-own
"The United Nations also appears resigned to the new status quo. “Our humanitarian colleagues and our peacekeeping colleagues deal with the M23 as de facto authorities,” Stéphane Dujarric, spokesperson of the UN secretary-general, told The Continent in New York this week. He said UN workers in other parts of the world under disputed administrations do the same. "
Looks like Uganda accepts the passports while Burundi refuses them
https://aispruce.com/2025/05/08/burundi-border-authority-blocks-entry-to-citizens-with-afc-m23-passport-stamps/
The Burundi immigration office has reportedly barred entry to several Burundian nationals returning from eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), citing passport stamps issued by the armed coalition AFC/M23. The incident occurred at the Kobero border post in Muyinga Province, raising concerns about discrimination and regional security ten...
https://chimpreports.com/m23-rebels-reject-kinshasa-issued-travel-documents-in-occupied-territories/
GOMA – The M23 rebel movement has declared that, starting November 1, it will no longer recognize travel documents issued by the Congolese government for entry into areas under its control, including the cities of Goma, Bukavu, and swathes of North and South Kivu provinces. In a statement signed by Bertrand Bisimwa, the group’s deputy …
Just FYI, the new humanitarian are maintaining quite an in depth IJ series on the M23 developments in Kivu. They also highlight some ootherwise (imo) underhighlighted perspectives such as that of artists from the region.
Since late 2021, violence has surged in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo as the March 23 Movement (M23) has mounted one of the country’s most destabilising insurgencies in years. Descended from a long line of Rwandan-backed armed groups, the M23 has seized some of the region’s largest cities, forcing millions from their homes and rek...
Jeune Afrique is writing up a summary of today's meeting in Washington. Note that M23 is not a party to this accord (Rwanda denies association). https://www.jeuneafrique.com/1746612/politique/rdc-rwanda-felix-tshisekedi-et-paul-kagame-signent-laccord-de-paix-sous-legide-de-donald-trump/
Stanys has been doing many posts about it as well https://x.com/StanysBujakera/status/1996690986823774429?t=dd55gJzP7m6KnKADOUPUPw&s=19
Reuters special report on the M23 and their attempts at building a parallel administration:
https://www.reuters.com/investigations/m23-rebels-entrench-their-rule-east-congo-even-trump-claims-peace-2025-12-08/
The new UN Group of Experts report on the eastern DRC also seems to have been distributed among the UNSC delegations. It will likely be released soon. Jeune Afrique, RFI and AFP all wrote about it:
https://www.jeuneafrique.com/1747233/politique/des-experts-de-lonu-accusent-larmee-rwandaise-de-graves-exactions-dans-lest-de-la-rdc/
https://www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/20251208-est-de-la-rdc-un-rapport-de-l-onu-relance-les-accusations-croisées-entre-kinshasa-et-kigali
https://www.citizen.digital/article/un-experts-accuse-rwandan-army-of-summary-executions-in-dr-congo-n374134
Dans un rapport, qui doit être publié prochainement, des experts de l’ONU affirment que le M23 et l’armée rwandaise ont commis des exécutions sommaires et provoqué des déplacements massifs de la population dans l’est de la RDC.
Le groupe d’experts sur la RDC a livré son dernier rapport sur la crise dans l’est du pays, alors que, officiellement, chaque partie s’est engagée à un cessez-le-feu, que ce soit à Washington ou à Doha.…
M23 continues to close in on Uvira
https://x.com/i/status/1998129703925018864
Uvira seems to now be mostly under M23 control after the FARDC and Wazalendo withdrew from the city:
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/rwanda-backed-m23-rebels-enter-east-congo-town-uvira-sources-say-2025-12-10/
https://www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/20251210-est-rdc-situation-uvira-reste-confuse-afc-m23-burundi
Rwanda-backed M23 rebels have entered the eastern Congo town of Uvira, an important base for the Congolese army near the border with Burundi, four sources including two residents told Reuters on Wednesday.
Stanis has a pic of Willy Ngoma in front of the mayor's office
Still geolocating but the road in front matches
I was incorrect on this and I'll explain why
A longer video came out. We see in the first frame of this video, trees on the right side
https://x.com/StanysBujakera/status/1998897902853169243?s=20
therefore it cannot be that location on Google maps, as there's no space between buildings for trees
in this video at timestamp 1:43, protestors in front of the town hall/mayor's house are shown as part of a crowd pan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZSeZaSdisMg
DRC: Hundreds of protesters gather in Uvira to demand General Gasita's removal
Hundreds of protesters took to the streets of Uvira on Monday, in response to a call from civil society.
Subscribe on our Youtube channe...
the protestors are in front of the building that Ngoma is in front of today. on the left of the frame, this very distinctive building. on the right, the pillars of the house Ngoma is standing on.
I was able to find this building which doesn't seem to be part of the university anymore - it recently moved, but maybe it's dorms
https://maps.app.goo.gl/KX3hvXrK3awZeixx6
so I believe the mayoral residence is here
in today's video you can see the pattern of that Economat in the reflection behind Ngoma
there has been a lot of "Willy Ngoma was photoshopped" going around on Twitter today so I wanted to get this one right
Rwanda's actions in eastern DRC are a clear violation of the Washington Accords signed by President Trump, and the United States will take action to ensure promises made to the President are kept.
La France exige le retrait des forces rwandaises du territoire congolais https://t.co/kBw3xeDvB6
Some finished geolocations from the push to Uvira #show-your-work message
M23 says it's leaving Uvira due to the US request:
https://x.com/Katsuva_R/status/2000714363271864496?s=20
Note however that it has conditions about "not allowing it to become a base" sooooooo
Can someone explain to me like I am 5 years old why you may believe M23 is bad. Slightly ignorant on DRC just trying to understand better. I am not a Rwanda shill but I am East African. I monitor conflicts across the continent.
My questions are simple.
- Why is M23 bad?
- Who is responsible for the humanitarian crisis?
- What is Rwanda-M23 doing different that Western Powers have not done or are currently doing?
I hope this is not ragebait because it is not intended as ragebait just genuinely asking what is going on?
Have been lurking for a long time with throwaways
Hello! You are asking for opinion, which we generally do not allow here. This server deals in verifiable open source evidence, feel free to look around to see what, and how, people are posting about other subjects/regions, too..
But if you ask me personally, I think any side that causes suffering to innocent people should be held to account. That includes, but is certainly not limited to, AFC/M23.
Thanks
Damn, he left the server
Hi there! I've deleted your message under #rules 7. In the future, to call someone's attention to that post, what you can do to stay aligned with server rules is to link to the post with a warning, such as, "An investigation into M23 shows they're involved in gender based violence. The article is here #gender-based-violence-misogyny message "
https://www.dw.com/en/in-zambia-great-lakes-defense-chiefs-talk-drc-insecurity/a-75471930
Defense ministers and military chiefs from ICGLR member states Angola, Burundi, the Central African Republic, Republic of the Congo, the DRC, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, South Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda and Zambia were invited. The DRC is the current chair of the ICGLR.
Since 2022, western Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has been plagued by a major security and humanitarian crisis, with more than 5,000 dead, and 280,000 still displaced. While international attention has focused on the violent conflicts in eastern DRC, an intercommunity conflict at the on the outskirts of Kinshasa is sinking into a spiral of ...
#RDC: Le lieutenant-colonel Willy Ngoma, figure emblématique et porte-parole militaire de l’AFC/M23, a été tué dans la nuit du 23 au 24 février 2026 lors d’une frappe de drone attribuée aux Forces armées de la RDC (FARDC), vient de me confirmer un haut cadre de la direction de
Willy Ngoma killed in a drone strike
US OFAC imposes sanctions on on the Rwanda Defence Force (RDF) and four senior officials.
The RDF is actively supporting, training, and fighting alongside the March 23 Movement (M23), a U.S.- and United Nations (UN)-sanctioned armed group responsible for human rights abuses and a mass displacement crisis in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). The RDF has supported M23 as it seized territory in eastern DRC, including provincial capitals Goma and Bukavu, along with strategic mining sites in eastern DRC. M23’s offensives would not have been possible without the active support and complicity of the RDF and key senior officials.
Source: "Treasury Sanctions Rwanda Officials, Condemns Blatant Violations of Washington Peace Accords," US Treasury, March 2, 2026 (link)
Entity Sanctioned:
- Rwanda Defence Force
Individuals Sanctioned:
- Vincent Nyakarundi
- Ruki Karusisi
- Mubarakh Muganga
- Stanislas Gashugi
Additional info: https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20260302
Sanctions Support Peace in the Democratic Republic of the CongoWASHINGTON—Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) imposed sanctions on the Rwanda Defence Force (RDF)—the military of Rwanda—and four of its senior officials. The RDF is actively supporting, training, and fighting alongside the ...
Also in Africa https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/us-lifts-sanctions-top-malian-officials-ties-improve-2026-02-27/
I guess the Rwandan money was less persuasive than the Malian money
https://rsf.org/en/rsf-investigation-drc-two-journalists-held-hostage-and-tortured-shipping-containers-m23 with open source techniques
In the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), the armed group M23, which controls parts of eastern DRC, has used shipping containers — devoid of light and ventilation — to detain numerous people, including civilians and at least two journalists. Drawing on first-hand accounts, satellite photos and images found in the depths of social media,...
The FARDC have announced an operation with the goal to disarm the FDLR, the remnants of the Rwandan army that commited the genocide back in 1994.
Kabila, who extracted tens of millions of funds out of the hands of the Congolese people during his presidency, tells NYT that he's "pretty much a farmer" https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/30/world/africa/he-led-congo-for-18-years-now-hes-a-hunted-man.html?unlocked_article_code=1.XFA.VVcK.DigZYKqlsnM2&smid=nytcore-android-share
The DRC is going to set up a paramilitary police to watch over the mines with US and UAE funding
historically, paramilitaries in sub-saharan africa...
thank you for sharing this
https://www.rfi.fr/en/africa/20260420-un-welcomes-progress-on-talks-between-dr-congo-m23-armed-group Apr. 20th
Check out the statement itself. Who knows how much it'll be worth https://www.peaceau.org/en/article/joint-statement-on-progress-between-the-representatives-of-government-of-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-and-of-the-alliance-fleuve-congo-march-23-movement-afc-m23-on-the-protocol-on-humanitarian-access-and-judicial-protection-the-operationalizatio
“The U.S. government is not currently funding any units to patrol or guard mines in the Congo,” it said in a statement.
Note the "currently"
it's interesting how the US has taken a pro-DRC stance in the region - Rwanda has really fumbled