Hi there guys! This is my another topic about Belarus and it'll be about its political situation: both on international arena and in the country. In this thread we will be discussing everything about Belarusian public relations, political prisoners, repressions, international speeches and so on. I know that there's some guys who interested in this, so feel free to discuss anything related to the topic with you!
#Political situation in Belarus
frank plaza
Some political statements by Lukashenka from a recent address to parliament:
- The people are the only handlers of state power and sovereignty
- The reason for the current situation in the world is the desire of international corporations to exploit people
- Humanity is being led to a new world in which there will be many hungry people, Belarus is a threat to this order
- Everyone gets as much as they can earn today
- Western Childfree ideas must be suppressed in our information space
- Foreign and domestic policy of the EU countries is subordinated to the interests of the United States
- BREXIT is the beginning of the Europe destruction. Europe can survive only with us and with Russia
- They (EU) forgot who was the first who imposed sanctions against Belarus, and now they demand loyalty from us
- The result of this confrontation is the loss of the Russian market for European goods by Europe, the deterioration of the well-being of its own citizens of the European Union.
- I want real democratization (in Belarus), as far as possible, so that people live according to the law
- My children won't be the presidents of Belarus
- My time is coming to the and, and I will not rewrite the Constitution for myself
Ex-candidate for the presidency of Belarus Andrei Dmitriev will be jailed for 1.5 year
Read about Andrey Dmitriev: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Dmitriyeu
Material about the Lukashenko's wood smuggling abroad in circumvention of sanctions: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jNbnPalcO7w
Belarusian Investigation Center Telegram channel: https://t.me/Belarus_Files
The Belarusian court sentenced opposition leader Valery Tsepkala in absentia to 17 years in a high-security colony on a number of articles, including the creation of an extremist group. During the debate, the state prosecutor asked the court to jail Velary Tsepkala for 19 years in high-security prison.
Read about Valery Tsepkala: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valery_Tsepkalo
"They took them to the forest and threatened to kill”
Belarusians were sentenced to 5 years in prison for hanging White-Red-White and Ukrainian flags on the facade of the house on the Lesya Ukrainka street in Minsk. They were charged for the creation of an extremist formation and facilitation of extremist activity.
One of the person cellmates told human rights activists that Lukashenka's security forces took him to the forest and threatened to kill him.
frank plaza
Some good links to follow and monitoring political situation in Belarus:
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https://t.me/nic_and_mike [These guys possibly have some insiders in political sphere and they regularely post interesting analytics]
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https://t.me/charter97_org [News channel about Belarus]
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https://t.me/nexta_tv [News channel about Belarus]
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https://t.me/Belarus_Files [These guys make really interesting investigations about Belarusian regime]
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https://t.me/cpartisans_dumps [Famous hacker group's channel where you can read lots of leaks about Belarusian regime]
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https://t.me/cpartisans [Another channel of this group]
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https://t.me/motolkohelp [News channel about Belarus]
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https://t.me/terrorystibelarusi [Channel with list of policemen and military who repressed people of Belarus]
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https://t.me/viasna96 [People rights in Belarus monitoring]
frank plaza
Wood supplying from Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan to Lithuania was stopped. These 2 countries were the transit points of Belarusian wood to the EU ignoring sanctions.
Strengthening customs control in Lithuania gave excellent results: in 2023 there will be no import of wood and timber from Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan.
The Belarusian Investigative Center has recently conducted an investigation in which written that some private companies use gray schemes to supply Belarusian wood to the European market through Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, but now it comes to the end.
Sources:
frank plaza
Roskomnadzor compiled a list of websites from the Russian Federation, Belarus, Ukraine, the US and the EU that are checked every day for negative texts about Putin by this organization.
The list includes online publications, TG and YouTube channels, pages in social networks. There are about 1.5 thousand sources in total. Any negative information on these pages is reported monthly to the management of the RKN.
Source: https://www.by.cpartisans.org/post/negativ-pro-putina
frank plaza
Leak from the Pentagon: Turkey helped Belarus and Russia to avoid international sanctions and discussed arms trade with Wagner PMC: https://telegra.ph/Utechka-iz-Pentagona-Turciya-pomogala-Belarusi-i-Rossii-obhodit-mezhdunarodnye-sankcii-i-obsuzhdala-torgovlyu-oruzhiem-s-CHVK-Va-04-14
Employees of the KGB, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the Prosecutor General's Office of Belarus used the services of a gang of pedophiles, which was created by the security forces themselves: https://belsat.eu/ru/news/12-04-2023-alyans-rassledovatelej-belarusi-sotrudniki-kgb-mvd-i-genprokuratury-polzovalis-uslugami-bandy-pedofilov-kotoruyu-sozdali-sami-siloviki
frank plaza
A Minsk OMON (riot police) 'delegation' led by Commander Dzmitry Balaba visited the Russian Special Forces University in Chechnya, according to propaganda media: https://juqt1r-c97-org.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/juqt1r.c97.org/en/news/2023/4/20/544985/
Belarusian hackers run a wide disinformation campaign in Poland. Using emails and SMSs, fake messages were sent to many Poland citizens and to the Lithuanian-Polish-Ukrainian Brigade Great hetman Konstanty Ostrogski. The Ministry of National Defense denies this information: https://www.salon24.pl/newsroom/1297019,bialoruscy-hakerzy-podszywali-sie-pod-mon-sms-y-o-powolaniu-do-wojska
frank plaza
Bread-baking forms with strange labels are sold in the Minsk central store. The text on labels: Zaporozhye region, Russia, although another one is pasted under it is written in Ukrainian language. There's written "Ukraine" in the "Producer" column. You can also read the date of manufacture there - 2021, which means that the buyer is being deceived by pointing to the freshly printed March 2023.
Zerkalo.io journalist called (https://news.zerkalo.io/life/37432.html?c) this store as ordinary customer. The information center offered to talk to the tableware department, they confirmed that such forms were indeed sold.
Dialogue between journalist (J) and an employee (E) of the information center:
E: Are you confused by the manufacturer, country or what?
J: Well, it confuses me that the Zaporozhye region is Ukraine, but it is written that it is Russia.
E: Well, these are literally the last deliveries. It means that the country has already changed. It is connected with this war, you understand, it was Ukraine and in result it became Russia, for example, or something else. All of these forms have already been sold.
J: Are these old supplies or new ones coming to you?
E: Probably, it came at the end of March. Now I’ll look at pots maybe... Russia, Zaporozhye region. Stove pot. The last delivery was on April 18 so we draw conclusions (laughs). So, it is already Russia. I look, all the pots - everywhere the stickers are re-glued: there was Ukraine, the supplier pasted on top that it is already Russia.
J: I am surprised. Belarus did not recognize these territories as Russia, but we already have such stickers.
E: So, they have already recognized it, since they write that. You know, you asked me an interesting question, maybe we'll find out from the suppliers why it is Russia already (laughs).
Journalists also called the importer in Belarus. These goods of the "Silumin" factory are brought to the country by Kario LLC - the company's head office is located in Minsk. The employee who answered to the call did not introduce herself, but said that the label is correct.
J: Tell me, when did the Zaporozhye region become Russia?
E: You know, we bought this product in Russia, that is, they brought it to us. We have supporting documents that this is a product from Russia. It was made there. What is the specific question that confused you?
J: Zaporozhye is Ukraine, the occupied territory now.
E: Wait, where is it written? Is it written in our law? We have a document that this is Russia, moreover, a document that was provided to us by the Silumin company with which we have been working for several years. That is, the company provides such documents, and you tell me that this is an occupied territory?
J: You don't know what's going on?
E: Where did you even read that this is an occupied territory?
J: Zaporozhye is Ukraine. Look, I don't know, in the map, in the atlas,geography book, whatever, Ukrainian constitution for example.
E: Do you know that our conversation is being recorded now? Well, for you to understand. We have already been called about this, we turned to specialists, and we were told that this information was from extremist websites.
An employee of Karyo explained that Silumin re-sticks the labels on the goods and added that the company still buys products from the company, then it goes to different retail outlets:
E: We are now receiving deliveries from there, and they are promoting themselves as the territory of the Russian Federation.
J: Very interesting. And you don't have any questions about that?
E: Listen, we are an importers. We were told to do it - we do it. We have official docs for this. What other questions might you have?
J: I don’t know, it’s moral, probably, that our Belarusian companies do this. I would not want - if, for example, someone took away a part of some region from us and work continued at these enterprises there
E: Wait, girl, what are we supporting? This is how they promote themselves. We only glue the sticker. They send us goods with a sticker, with documents - we cannot do otherwise. Suppose they write in a document that this is Russia, and we will send a sticker that this is Ukraine, then these will be questions for us. It's not exactly what we wanted.
J: Why didn't you stop working with them? You know that the war is going on there now, that this territory is occupied by another state.
E: Maybe you will pay me a salary so that we stop working altogether? Then let's stay at home. You must understand that if they do not sell, their families, the children will be hungry. In general, what are you talking about? Or are you just thinking about moral principles, but you don’t understand what children need to eat? You have some moral principles, but people need to eat, raise children, and clothe. At the moment, can we help with something with our conversation? Or is it just to call to talk?
News on the "Silumin" aluminum cookware manufacturer's website has not been updated since 2016, but the address is still Ukrainian, same as the phone numbers. All of them are unavailable or don't answer, and the numbers of Russian operators that operate in the temporarily occupied territories don't answer. Therefore, journalists could not contact the company directly. As soon as they receive a comment, they will immediately publish it.
At the same time, Belarus did not officially recognize these territories as Russia. Two days before the announcement of the "referendum" results, Belarusian Foreign Minister said "we don't know exactly what will happen in the future. We will observe the situation and make a decision in accordance with our national interests, and not the interests of some other country”. That was the position of Makei, who was the BY FM until his death in 2022.
frank plaza
In May, 2023 Roskomnadzor will launch bots in social media which will infiltrate groups of Russians, Belarusians and Ukrainians. Using them Russian special services intend to collect info from closed groups, chats and create influence groups which will translate required thoughts and theses.
Bots accounts supposed to look like a real person's profile. They will be able to:
- write something in their profile;
- subscribe on channels and other profiles;
- write comments and like posts;
- write DMs.
You can read more info about that in Cyber Partisans material: https://www.by.cpartisans.org/post/ferma-botov-rassledovanie
frank plaza
Hi everyone!
As you can see, that topic isn't very active if we compare it with my another topic about Belarus. That's the matter of priority - there's a lot of job to do and research about military aspect of Belarus and its relationships with Russia. But when I've created military topic I thought about some things that I want to realize, but they were pretty related to political aspect, not military.
So guys, I'm glad to announce some materials about Belarus and especially about its political aspect.
First of all I want to post my text interview with Belarusian Cyber Partizans. I took this interview in early 2022 because of my personal interest about this group, but now I have a great opportunity to post it for Bellingcat community.
Then I'm preparing two materials, first one will be about modern Belarusian political history (post-USSR period), where I'll tell you about short history of Belarusian independence, times of Pahonya and white-red-white flag, Lukashenko's way to power and story of his dictatorship till our days. And of course his path wouldn't have been successful without loyalty of special services, and it will be my second material: I'll tell you about all Belarusian special services, their tasks, missions, repressions against Belarusian people and so on.
Stay tuned guys! I'll also post other political news about Belarus before posting things that I announced.
frank plaza
The deputy chief of "Paspalitae Rushenne" staff Roman Khalilov calls on real patriots to join the Paspalitae Rushenne and prepare to liberate Belarus from the Lukashenko regime. For all real Belarusian patriots, real training is proposed for armed fight against the regime.
"We live in a decisive time for our country and our people, and in such a situation we need to see who is worth. We don't make meaningless performances and statements and do not propose to replace the real fight with attempts to agree with tormentors and fascists who seized our country "
"You can think that over time the situation for Belarusians worsens. But in fact we have more and more opportunities to overthrow the regime, and also find out who in the Belarusian people and political society is a patriot and who is not. Today we alreade have an opportunity to start the formation of our national liberation battalion. We offer to talk with regime using weapon, not flowers and letters."
frank plaza
During the year of the Russian invasion in Ukraine, Russian subsidiaries of Belarusian factories showed a record profit - almost 5 billion Russian rubles
The Belarusian Investigative Center gathered the main beneficiaries at the end of 2022:
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BelAZ Trading House, owned by Lukashenka's son, earned the most — 2.6 billion rubles ($38 million)
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Russian representative offices of the Minsk Tractor Plant own four companies - TD MTZ, TD MTZ Stavropol, TD MTZ North-West and TPK MTZ-Tatarstan. Their total profit is 1.7 billion rubles ($25 million)
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Moscow-registered BMZ Trading House showed 500 million rubles ($7.5 million) of profit on revenue of 34.5 billion rubles ($507 million)
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MAZ-RUS, the Russian representative office of the Minsk Automobile Plant, reported about 68 million rubles ($1 million) of profit
Lukashenko flew to Moscow. He will attend the Victory Parade in Moscow for the second time in history
The plane of Alexander Lukashenko with register number EW-001PA took off from Minsk towards Moscow. In the Russian capital, Lukashenka is expected to attend the Victory Parade and meet with Putin. The Belarusian Investigative Center has compiled everything that is known about the visit
This is the second such visit ever. Before that, Lukashenka was at the victory parade only once - on June 24, 2020
Lukashenka has previously turned down invitations from Kremlin to come to the military parade. For example, in 2019 he said that he “cannot miss” the ceremonial events in Minsk. “If I had not appeared there, I would have had a lot of questions, what would Belarusians say?” - Lukashenka said then
This visit to Moscow will be Lukashenko's 14th meeting with Putin since the war began.
Lukashenka is among five foreign leaders who will arrive in Moscow on May 9.
Sources:
https://t.me/motolkohelp/29791
https://www.belta.by/president/view/lukashenko-prisutstvuet-na-parade-pobedy-na-krasnoj-ploschadi-v-moskve-395942-2020/
https://ria.ru/20190509/1553384305.html
https://telegra.ph/Aleksandr-Lukashenko-vyletel-v-Moskvu-On-posetit-parad-Pobedy-v-Moskve-vtoroj-raz-za-vsyu-istoriyu-05-08
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frank plaza
In the year of the war, tourists flow to Belarus from non-CIS countries fell to a historical minimum
In 2022, only 6,187 tourists from non-CIS countries visited Belarus, according to Belstat data. This is a record low amount in the entire history of observations
The last minimum (17.5 thousand people) was recorded in 2021. But since 2017, the indicators were at their peak. In 2017, more than 80 thousand tourists came to Belarus, in 2018 - 152 thousand, and in 2019 - a record 182 thousand people.
State media and propaganda ignored the new data. But the words of the representative of the Ministry of Sports and Tourism said that in 2022 Belarus was visited by 1.4 million foreign tourists. At the same time, Belstat data indicates that in reality Belarus was visited by 10 times fewer people - only 143,000 tourists.
Since the beginning of the year we again saw the increase in the number of administrative cases under “extremist” articles in Belarus. Telegram channels associated with the security forces have published dozens of videos apologizes of the detainees. Here you will see the strangest reasons for an apology:
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On January 31, the telegram channel GUBOP, connected with the security forces, published a video with an apology from a man who, among other things, was charged with sending letters to political prisoners. Channel's authors did not specify why sending correspondence to prisoners is illegal. At the same time, the detainee was called "another activist of extrimist chats."
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On the same day, video with organizer of the intellectual and entertaining games "Football Wars" appeared on the channel. The detainee "said" that he gave cups and medals with "Pahonya" print to people who won his games.
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In early April, the telegram channel “Closer to the Stars. Gomel" published a video with the detention of a man whose car had a sticker with Viktor Tsoi portrait and the words "Our hearts want changes". As a result, according to the channel, the man was sent to a temporary detention center for 15 days for "distributing extremist materials".
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Six days later, new video appeared in the channel “GU Base Book”. According to the channel, the security forces detained a tattoo artist who was making "extremist tattoos", for example with the phrase "Russian warship, go to ***." The detainee on camera recommended his clients to get rid of these tattoos, but without his help, since now he "will be in places where his skills can be useful for him."
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At the end of April, a video with a detained Belarusian guitar artists appeared on the GUBOP telegram channel. As the man himself told on camera, he wrote the song “Stop the cockroach” and sent it to several “destructive” telegram channels. He "repented" of what he had done.
Sources:
https://t.me/gubop_centr_e/197
https://t.me/gomelZV/220
https://t.me/guBAZA/655
https://t.me/gubop_centr_e/153
frank plaza
Today at 19:00 Lukashenka arrived at the "Republican Clinical Medical Center" of the Department of President of the Republic of Belarus, which is located on the banks of the Drozdy reservoir.
The same information is confirmed by the Euroradio with reference to its readers. It is known that at the time of his arrival, the entrances to the hospital were blocked and security forces were standing along the roads.
However, after 2 hours, Lukashenka's motorcade left the Republican Clinical Medical Center, stopping at the Ostroshitsky town on the way. After this, roads and entrances were opened.
I remind that Lukashenka has not appeared on public and in the information space since May 9, when he was at the parade in Moscow
tidal oar
Today at 19:00 Lukashenka arrived at the "Republican Clinical Medical Center" of...
Was about to share and ask you about this since there's a lot of rumours going on regarding his health
frank plaza
It's 100% that he is ill, but his state is far away from death I think
frank plaza
Here's the thing people have noticed at the parade: his arm was bandaged
It is possible that it is a catheter under this bandage and he needs a drop-by-drop drugs infusion, so he didn't stay for the events after the parade
tidal oar
He was walking at Red Square with Putin and others at the end of the parade
It may just be some arm injury, like a sprained wrist
frank plaza
But in Belarus he didn't make a speech, it was done by the Minister of Defense
It is the first time since 1991 actually
tidal oar
Guess he doesn't want to be seen like that?
frank plaza
He was walking at Red Square with Putin and others at the end of the parade
There're some details. The leaders met with Putin for lunch after the parade, but Lukashenka was not there, at that time his plane was already flying to Belarus
tidal oar
I'm just going to lean more towards minor injuries than anything major tbh
frank plaza
On Friday, Lukashenka's meeting with the Ministry of Health was canceled
tidal oar
Bit ironic
frank plaza
And that video, he was walking at Red Square, but he didn't go to the Red Square on foot with others, he was given a ride to the Red Square, the distance from the place on video and the Square is ~300 meters
So there's might be some serious problems with health, but doctors in president's clinic will heal him anyway so there's no chances he'll die soon
tidal oar
Yeah, he doesn't look like dying to me
frank plaza
Some people think that he has consequences after COVID infection because his treatments methods are... ugly I would say
Vodka, tractor and hockey as he said
Drink vodka, ride a tractor in field and play hockey then
And after all visit a sauna
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tidal oar
There's some rumours, including coming from activists, mentioning he's hospitalised
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nocturne bolt
https://twitter.com/HannaLiubakova/status/1657780514617544707
reading it like that i am almost worried he ate something wrong in Russia on his last visit
subtle carbon
tidal oar
Kyiv Post = bad source I'm afraid
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wouldnt expect any other publication to be the first with the death rumour in the headline
tidal oar
wouldnt expect any other publication to be the first with the death rumour in th...
They constrained themselves by not saying he died from a ATACSM strike 
subtle carbon
yeah sorry should have added context for the post. More just adding to the discussion to preserve the link. Definitely would not take them as a first source for anything that hints at chaos on the RU side of this conflict
who would be the "ready replacement" so to speak? any opposition leaders with the support?
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(only) in exile: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sviatlana_Tsikhanouskaya
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frank plaza
Quite an interesting discussion, I'll read it while I'll be free from my routines
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lime badge
https://twitter.com/HannaLiubakova/status/1658111292928917505
Talk about ”putting on a brave face”. He looks like Logan Roy in the charity gala
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another photo of him, doesnt look very lively. but he moves and speaks in the video.
https://t.me/euroradio/41753 (video)
https://t.me/euroradio/41752
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another photo of him, doesnt look very lively. but he moves and speaks in the vi...
https://vxtwitter.com/maxseddon/status/1658149354799022080
https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1658149965342949377
frank plaza
Possibly medic choice other catheterisation place because they can't leave catheter in one place too long
AFAIK medics can leave it in one vein for 3 days maximum
nocturne bolt
looks to have lost a bit of weight or is that me?
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tidal oar
He's ill yet somehow looking better? The wonders of losing weight
frank plaza
Personally for me he's face looks not the same of his original face
So probably yes, weight loss
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https://www.ft.com/content/fda167a9-a8c7-4f99-ae2c-2c570f18ccac?shareType=nongift
https://archive.ph/JXQy6
frank plaza
I would better say that he re-emerges when we'll see him in his common behavior when he's screaming at ministers, generals and parliament 😄
That will be a moment when I'll say "he is 100% healthy"
frank plaza
https://vxtwitter.com/maxseddon/status/1658149354799022080
https://twitter.com/m...
As for me but this visit looks like "Aleksander Grygorievich, please, just stand near cameras, we'll make some photos and deliver you back to the clinic"
frank plaza
Quite an interesting interview: https://www.lrt.lt/pl/wiadomosci/1261/1988879/walesa-bedac-prezydentem-tajnie-dazylem-do-czlonkostwa-ukrainy-oraz-bialorusi-w-nato-i-ue
Off the our topic about Lukashenko's health, but nevertheless
frank plaza
"Lukashenko is sick." Such a Google request has reached maximum popularity in Belarus in five years
Belarusians began to Google this question because of the disappearance of Alexander Lukashenko and reports of problems with his health. Belarusian Investigation Center noted that the popularity of the request "Lukashenko is sick" reached a maximum in five years.
Prior to this, Belarusians were actively interested in Lukashenko’s health before the elections in 2020 and in November 2019 - they discussed that Lukashenko was seriously ill and treated in the UAE. Another peak fell on August 2022.
Also Belarusian Investigation Center found a similar surge in interest in the statistics of Yandex Wordstat. The phrase “Lukashenko is sick” appearance frequency in the Russian search engine in Belarus growth more than 10 times than the previous weeks. An interest in the search engine has increased in the topic of Lukashenko’s death. During the week, the phrase “Lukashenko died” was searched almost 1300 times, which is ten times higher than the previous periods of this year.
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frank plaza
It's his very popular place for visits
Just to relax usually but we remember that he's ill
Maybe doctors visit or something
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ty
frank plaza
Lukashenko appeared on public, he was talking with parliament members and said "I'm not going to die": https://t.me/pul_1/8977
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frank plaza
nocturne bolt
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https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/27/belarus-dissident-arrested-collaborator-raman-pratasevich
‘I’m insanely thankful to the president’: how a Belarus dissident became an apologist for the regime
frank plaza
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frank plaza
Looks like Luka is visiting Putin again. His plane was noticed near Smolensk flying towards Moscow, plane's location is unavailable now. This visit wasn't announced officially
frank plaza
Update on the Lukashenko's flight. According to the flight track we can notice that it flights probably towards China, not in Moscow how I supposed earlier. Still no announces were made
MotolkoHelp says that Viktor Lukashenko (one of the Alexander Lukashenko's son) is on bort
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frank plaza
So Luka will meet with Putin again on June 9
His plane was on the way to Sochi and as usual his visit wasn't even announced by his press-service
frank plaza
BY MoD for the 4th time in three months trying to purchase Russian software to protect against "information leaks"
The Ministry of Defense of Belarus allocated 650 thousand rubles for software and hardware complex for detecting and preventing information leaks. Such a tender on the public procurement website was found by the Belarusian Investigation Center.
The documentation states that there are plans to purchase various software products of the Russian company InfoWatch or analogues. Programs help control and prevent information leaks, monitor employees, investigate incidents and predict risks. According to the documents, at least 400 people will use the programs. Three past tenders were canceled or recognized as failed.
Sources:
https://goszakupki.by/auction/view/1259708
https://investigatebel.org/ru/news/minoborony-tender-utechka-informacii
frank plaza
fair citrus
Hello,
@frank plaza as twatter is basically useless now, do you know of any reliable resources about human rights in Belarus on Mastodon and bsky пожалуйста?
Twatter is becoming too risky for safeguarding both Natalia and my own cybersafety
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https://twitter.com/AlexKokcharov/status/1676476044797173762
https://twitter.com/AlexKokcharov/status/1676476506820816896
Twitter
Twitter
tidal oar
frank plaza
This guy was against Luka since the BY independence from the SU
https://t.me/nexta_tv/24141
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fair citrus
I want to help but I have to change NGO. My boss was blaming me all the time for her problems with Viasna. Better changing NGO.
I applied to Viasna, waiting for answer.
frank plaza
Belarusian People Assembly now have power to:
- approve military doctrine
- start emergency and military situation in whole country
- send BY troops abroad
Who doesn't know what is BPA: BPA is actually same to parlaiment. This structure was created by Luka in order to show that "every citizen of our country could take place in politics and people's decisions are more important than president's ambitions"
But nevertheless, only "true patriots" (you know what that means) could become BPA members
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frank plaza
Yeah some people suppose that political conflict between PL and BY is the background for this visit
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how do the chinese fit into that?
frank plaza
Poland is scared because of wagners and military training near its border and they wanted to close it totally, which isn't very good for Minsk because China transit to Poland goes through Belarus
And China would be forced to find other ways which is also not very good and that all because of Minsk things and movements
So possibly they want to speak about this, not 100% but it may be such a topic
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thanks, didnt know china is transiting goods(?) through belarus to poland.
frank plaza
yeah, they transit basically all the stuff through BY
Minsk makes good money on it, until there's no situations that makes some difficulties
In general borderline situation is not good, Lithuania is goind to close 2 border posts of 6: https://www.bns.lt/topic/1911/news/69313131/
Don't know about Poland decisions, but if military situation in Belarus won't be regulated to be more safe for neighboring countries we would possibly see total EU/BY borderline block
desert scaffold
propably not what lukashenko had envisioned when "inviting" wagner
frank plaza
👀 Lukashenko about relations with the West: "Sure, now we're living because of the East, Russia, China. But we shouldn't forget about the high-tech West. They're close, EU is our neighbor and we shouldn't worsen relations with them, we are prepared for contact but only according to out national interests": https://t.me/belta_telegramm/212630
frank plaza
Shumkas - Losha border post between Lithuania and Belarus is closed: https://t.me/motolkohelp/30221
Another one post which will be closed is Tveryachus-Vidzi
frank plaza
Travel status on the website was also changed to 4 (do not travel)
It's not a sign of potential threat of military actions in country how some people in pro-russian channels think, the only reason is the risk of total border close
frank plaza
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There's won't be discussion about equalization of Russian and Belarusian citizens' rights in Lithuania, this project wasn't found in the agenda of Autumn session of the Lithuanian Sejm, but Gitanas Nauseda calls for revision of restriction for Belarusians: https://www.lrt.lt/ru/novosti/17/2068006/prezident-prizyvaet-peresmotret-pravila-polucheniia-vremennogo-vida-na-zhitel-stvo-grazhdanami-belarusi
He wants to change term of residence permit from 1 to 3 years in order to make this job for migration departments, consulates and so on more simple
frank plaza
Today is the People Union Day in Belarus and this day is usually filled with political statements from Lukashenko. Today we heard these:
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Time itself, the time of the global division of the world returned this date to our calendar of public holidays. The more we see how modern states are collapsing, how peoples are losing their homeland, home, traditions - the more closely we look at the history of our native land. The Earth, which thousands of years ago met our ancient ancestors with a harsh climate, taught us to stick together in order to survive and become the master of our home. And we understand that, in fact, there are no new challenges. There are no unexpected twists and turns in history. There are forgotten old lessons and threats. And there is protection – centuries of experience that has taught us to be together in both happy and difficult times.
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We, Belarusians, do not need to be told how important it is to live in peace and harmony, to be a single nation. Life has taught us. And our compatriots born under Polish occupation can tell a lot. Those who know about the danger of losing their homeland and breaking away from their families. They know what it means to live in their native land, but to be an outcast in the eyes of privileged fellow citizens for many decades.
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Is it possible to forget how cannons were fired at Belarusian villages, how Belarusian children were beaten in other people's schools, Belarusians, Russians, Ukrainians were mocked in the Polish concentration camp in Bereza-Kartuzskaya? But for the sake of friendship with the Polish people, we stepped over this pain. On the other side of Bug [river] this step was taken as weakness. But the lesson has been learned. Time has shown that our noble desire to live in peace with our neighbors was not appreciated by our neighbors. I'm not talking about the Polish people. I'm talking about the elites - politicians who have been thirsting for revenge all these years.
- Today, as on the eve of the Great Patriotic War, vultures circle over us. They circle around the Belarusian, Russian and Ukrainian lands. They are ready to make an alliance with the devil, if only to take more space on the political map of the world... "Hell can yes can."
Lukashenko's message to neighbouring countries: "You should now! We do not draw any plans to interfere in your life. We wish you only goodness, happiness and peace! Belarusians do not need someone else's. At the same time, remember, I appeal to the peoples of neighboring states - in the event of aggression against Belarus, we will not draw red, yellow, black or blue lines! It is the state border! And you know that we have something to answer. Let's live together, like neighbors!"
So that's classical statements from Luka but they're not so agressive like it was in years of president elections, especially agressive these statements were in 2020
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"Silenes" BY/LV border point will be closed today: https://www-lsm-lv.translate.goog/raksts/zinas/latvija/19.09.2023-nelegalas-migracijas-spiediena-del-latvija-sledz-silenes-robezpunktu-uz-robezas-ar-baltkrieviju.a524502/?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=ru&_x_tr_hl=be&_x_tr_pto=wapp
frank plaza
Ex-member of SOBR (BY Spetsnaz) is under universal jurisdiction criminal process in Switzerland for killing Lukashenko's political opponents. Yuri Garavski admitted that he was a killer of Lukashenko's political opponents in early 2000. He is accused of killing Yuri Zakharenko (ex-minister of internal affairs), Viktor Gonchar (ex-vice prime minister) and Anatoly Kravski (businessman)
Source: https://t.me/nexta_tv/24337
elfin spindle
Ex-member of SOBR (BY Spetsnaz) is under universal jurisdiction criminal process...
Live text feed from inside the courtroom for today's trial, for those wanting more details
https://www.20min.ch/story/lukaschenko-scherge-gericht-liess-leute-verschwinden-juri-garawski-stgallen-457514472467
elfin spindle
Ex-member of SOBR (BY Spetsnaz) is under universal jurisdiction criminal process...
Some additional reading for those curious about legal requirements for "enforced disappearance" that may come up in this particular case https://opiniojuris.org/2023/09/19/all-eyes-on-switzerland-enforced-disappearances-in-belarus-and-the-application-of-the-principle-of-non-retroactivity/
frank plaza
Good one with this material
elfin spindle
Live text feed from inside the courtroom for today's trial, for those wanting mo...
Live text updates for Day 2 of Garavski's trial in Switzerland continues https://www.20min.ch/story/gericht-lukaschenko-stgallen-leute-verschwinden-juri-garawski-457514472467
frank plaza
frank plaza
Yesterday new massive illegal migrants attack was on BY/PL border from Belarusian side, Polish MoD published the video: https://t.me/nexta_tv/24349
There were lots of them, I haven't seen such an amount since 2021 I think
So probably this could become a trigger for total border close
desert scaffold
Yesterday new massive illegal migrants attack was on BY/PL border from Belarusia...
video was debunked as being old: https://nos.nl/collectie/13882/video/2404838-stroom-migranten-bij-grens-polen-en-wit-rusland
Twitter
frank plaza
So that's why I thought that I saw something very simillar in 2021 😂
Thanks for that
desert scaffold
so no recent visual evidence for all the polish claims of migrant groups attacking the border?
frank plaza
Probably no, there were messages about only small groups trying to cross the border in some places but no confirmation
frank plaza
Lukashenko congratulated HAMAS with the victory using reposted RT news on BY news platform. It said that "Palestine victory on occupied territories is also victory of Minsk and Moscow" and also Israel was compared to the Third Reich and other repressive regimes. After things in Israel went wrong for HAMAS the post was deleted, but still we are able to read it.
Sources:
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:MeZiULj8uvcJ:https://mlyn.by/08102023/vosstanie-hrabryh-o-sobytiyah-v-palestine/&cd=8&hl=ru&ct=clnk&gl=pl
https://t.me/kyky_org/36802
Also Luka plans to meet with Iranian vice-president Mohhamed Mohber: https://t.me/motolkohelp/30278
frank plaza
People of Israel noticed Belarusians support and Lukashenko's disrespect to Israel problem. It was discussed on Israel TV and it was noticed that Belarusian all over the world support Israel and that "there's almost no difference between Minsk, Gaza and Ramallah"
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PJXAWtnVLlM&ab_channel=9канал|Channel9
New books for new subject called "Genocide of Belarusian people during The Great Patriotic War" were published and there's no word about true war crimes of the Nazi Germany, but there's huge amount of material about White-Red-White banner and national Belarusian attributes. This subject is necessary to study for everyone during all studying period in school. Also book's authors mentioned 2020 protests and they were described as "destructive actions held and organized by extremists and nazis with nazi symbols".
frank plaza
Actually he was in Minsk in February 2023 last time: https://t.me/motolkohelp/29299
frank plaza
https://vxtwitter.com/Hajun_BY/status/1717456822359978047
Official version of his visit is participation in international "Eurasia security: reality and perspectives in dynamic world" conference. As usual the most interesting things will be on closed meetings
tidal oar
Considering Orbán met with Putin in Beijing, seeing further ties between Hungary and BY appears to cement a trend
frank plaza
For sure
Maybe Nick and Mike monitoring group will tell us something interesting about this
frank plaza
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