Complete Dice Odds

[floral vine]

Hello, just curious if there is a tool that allows you to see a complete breakdown of any dice roll (odds the roll succeeds, how often X troops are left over, etc.)

For example, if I'm rolling a 13v10, I would want to know:
a) % chance it succeeds
b) % chance I have 0, 1, 2, 3, etc. troops left over

I know in theory one could be made just by simulating dice rolls a bunch of times over (say, sample size of 100,000), and collecting the results, but I'm just curious if such a tool already exists, and if anyone could direct me to said tool if it does. Thanks!

[rapid karma]

@floral vine there are several math nerds here, from what i've seen. I'm sure they would help you out. I'd be intetested too

[past summit]

The odds of a 13v10 is between 0% and 100% if using balanced blitz, and between 1% and 99% in true random. The % chance of having 0, 1, 2... to 12 troops left is between 0% and 100% for balanced blitz, and 1 to 99% for true random.

Thank you for joining my Ted Talk.

In all seriousness, this would be very cool to have 🙂

[prime scarab]

It does exist. But the all important question is do you have a Matlab license? (That’s the program that it’s on)

[quaint hazel]

Wait, really? Where can I find the code for it?

I don't get why it can't be ported over to another more easily accessible code base, but I guess engineers do as they please.

Also, you can open .mat Files in Python, which is free to use

[dim osprey]

Of course it can, but then someone has to port my spaghetti or better, just rewrite it, but I'm too lazy 😐

https://octave-online.net/project~T6KQW68WUKZsNYoD6U593p

[quaint hazel]

And this is still up to date with the new dice odds?

[dim osprey]

Should be, no reason to think it's not

[prime scarab]

Theres new dice odds?

[quaint hazel]

Now that BB no longer estimates once it hits 70

[prime scarab]

They got rid of that? Have the rolls improved?

[quaint hazel]

That's debatable

[prime scarab]

So we are still getting impossible rolls?

[quaint hazel]

Some people say that they've lost more 2s on 1s since the update, and people have started seeing losing 7 troops on 4s when rolling 9v4s

But I haven't been rolling stacks above 70s, so I can't comment on that

[prime scarab]

Interesting. Thx