Sequence :
Have a land with 500k pop
Move in 2k troop from other province
End Turn
Disband 2k troop, thus we have 700k pop
Perform Local Fertility Festival 700k + 20% = 840k (visual showed this correct number)
End turn
Have 800k pop instead of 840k
Edit : if you perform the Local Fertility Festival AFTER disbanding then ending turn, it will work properly and we have 840k