#Meteorology

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normal frost
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huh

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jtwc predicts 2nd peak of 85kt in 3 days

atomic flint
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shear lessens by then

normal frost
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pls explode and get major

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i will stab someone

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
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it got cucked out of major right

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was it 90 or 95kt

atomic flint
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90 i think?

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i remember seeing 95 but i also remember seeing an override

normal frost
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o

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i remember seeing 90 on atcf but thats it

atomic flint
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man

normal frost
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pain

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ok lets place our hopes on gabrielle LOL

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ’€

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we'll see

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i think it'll peak c2 tho ngl

normal frost
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probably

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but im still hoping for c3

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bro i just noticed outsiders will think we are talking about genshin LOL

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€

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nah No Way

normal frost
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cmonnnn

atomic flint
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94s wasn't named by bom

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ยฏ_(ใƒ„)_/ยฏ

proven rain
normal frost
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WA

atomic flint
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swio gonna get its 4th named storm then

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gonna match aus with that (excluding 01U)

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spac still at 2 ๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
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poge

atomic flint
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@normal frost @normal frost @normal frost @proven rain 94S FINALLY FORMED

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06S "Dingani" 16.6S 88.9E 998 hPa 21.0 m/s (40 knots)

normal frost
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LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

atomic flint
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tfw it decided to form right after leaving aus

proven rain
atomic flint
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only took 2 fucking weeks

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new cone for gabrielle

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trio

normal frost
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quirky

atomic flint
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gabrielle looks extremely menacing lmao

normal frost
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fr

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meanwhile the other two is just

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smol af

atomic flint
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@normal frost what even

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in contrast

normal frost
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wtf

atomic flint
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@normal frost

IMG_20230209_205943.jpg
normal frost
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LOL

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MF ANTARCTIC STORM

atomic flint
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that time when my tropical storm reincarnated into a polar low

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๐Ÿ˜ฑ

normal frost
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๐Ÿ˜ณ

proven rain
normal frost
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gabrielle is now 70kt while freddy is dying at 50kt

hidden sage
atomic flint
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jtwc at least

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bom upgraded to c3 aus

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12P GABRIELLE 230209 1800 20.7S 156.1E SHEM 75 971

normal frost
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yum

proven rain
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Nice

normal frost
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hi we're the first post to reach 1000 messages

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gabrielle 80 now

proven rain
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RIP freddy

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Gabrielle is taking the spotlight now

normal frost
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freddy L

normal frost
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we've been overtaken by #1072081241257562192

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doomed

normal frost
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nvm freddy woke up

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70kt again now

atomic flint
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rofl

normal frost
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can someone check for me

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im not home

atomic flint
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check what

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gabrielle is spac now

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seems to have peaked

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90 kts

proven rain
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Oh

normal frost
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zamn

normal frost
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11S FREDDY 230210 1200 14.8S 106.5E SHEM 70 982
12P GABRIELLE 230210 1200 24.8S 162.4E SHEM 75 968
13S DINGANI 230210 1200 16.1S 82.7E SHEM 45 997
90P INVEST 230210 1200 1.0S 149.5E SHEM 20 1004

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wait

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90P INVEST 230210 1200 1.0S 149.5E SHEM 20 1004

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so ur telling me

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theres an invest north of new guinea

atomic flint
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yeah

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surreal, right?

proven rain
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But hey, now we got these interesting storms this early in the year

atomic flint
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its shem peak season, after all

proven rain
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Better than nothing

atomic flint
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@normal frost

normal frost
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holy shit

atomic flint
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the Curve

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has favorable conditions for a bit

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wonder what it'll peak at

proven rain
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70 kts peak rn

atomic flint
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its going

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freddy

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dingani

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ‘๏ธ

normal frost
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๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€

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hey remember when we said 94S would be a slop

proven rain
normal frost
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wait aint no way

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freddy 90kt now

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major?major?major?

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oh dear

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thats like

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almost 80kt

atomic flint
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@normal frost @proven rain freddy 90 kts/957mb BoM

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10-min

proven rain
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Dang

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He's back

atomic flint
# 
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 8:39 pm WST on Saturday 11 February 2023

Severe Tropical Cyclone Freddy (Category 4) was located at 8:00 pm AWST near
14.8S 102.9E, that is 570 km south southwest of Christmas Island and moving
west at 20 kilometres per hour.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Freddy will continue moving westwards across the Indian
Ocean, passing well to the south of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands. 

Severe Tropical Cyclone Freddy poses no threat to the Western Australian coast,
Christmas Island or the Cocos (Keeling) Islands. 

The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 3:00 am AWST.
proven rain
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Cat4

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!!!!

normal frost
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zamn

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major now!!!!

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(cope)

atomic flint
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11S FREDDY 230211 1200 14.8S 103.0E SHEM 105 954

normal frost
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woi

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WOI

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this is first major of this year right

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or i forgor

atomic flint
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yep

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1st major

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cheneso meme'd itself out of existence

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and gabrielle peaked at 90kt

tough olive
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does any of the pinned material actually explain what yall are talking about

normal frost
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๐Ÿ˜‹๐Ÿ˜‹๐Ÿ˜‹

normal frost
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welp

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@atomic flint yknow when I did meteorology terms

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i might have to update that

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but nero took away our pin perms

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๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜ญ

atomic flint
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do you want the storm glossary?

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its....not really friendly either

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since in the force 13 server, there's an entire #glossary channel lol

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do i post all of them @normal frost

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LOL

normal frost
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uhhhhhhhh

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ill write it myself

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using simpler terms

atomic flint
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why tho

normal frost
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but later because i have a headache

atomic flint
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i think f13 sums it up well

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just remove some stuff that u think arent that important

normal frost
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ap

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the thing is

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that still doesnt explain anything lol

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like we know what it is

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other people dont

atomic flint
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actually

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i think noaa has a storm glossary

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lemme check

normal frost
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imma go nap because headache

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also pls get nero to give us pin perms again LOL

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(or rian)

atomic flint
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here @normal frost

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pretty surface level stuff

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but should be good enough

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oh wait

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found smth better

proven rain
atomic flint
normal frost
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lookin good

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ok i go fr now

atomic flint
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o/

atomic flint
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c4 freddy

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at least earlier

normal frost
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gud

atomic flint
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anyways @normal frost

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here's a banger

normal frost
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cant believe that thing didnt flop

atomic flint
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lmfao

normal frost
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wait

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freddy is 115 rn??

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๐Ÿคจ ๐Ÿคจ ๐Ÿคจ ๐Ÿคจ ๐Ÿคจ

atomic flint
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yeah

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it made it to c4

normal frost
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leTS GOOOOOO

proven rain
atomic flint
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meaning that an f13 member lost a bet

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and now has to don a monika pfp LOL

normal frost
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what happens when you work at fazbear pizzaria:

atomic flint
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quite fitting LOL

proven rain
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XD

normal frost
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LOL

proven rain
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I can't check Gabrielle's

atomic flint
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gabrielle is completely dead

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as a tropical cyclone that is

normal frost
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yea

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it got sheared to death

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but it still has insane winds tho

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that thing is already hitting nz with what

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80kt winds

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€

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nah no way its 80 lol

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its EX

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definitely way less

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@normal frost this is a track of all time

normal frost
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one of the tracks of all time

atomic flint
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@normal frost @proven rain

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oh God

normal frost
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oh dear

normal frost
atomic flint
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dingani popping off

normal frost
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@atomic flint

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welllllllllllllllllllllllllllll

atomic flint
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but yeah 65 kt seems accurate

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cape reinga currently has 985 hPa

normal frost
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i said 80kt earlier

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and well its 79kt

atomic flint
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bro thats gusts

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๐Ÿ˜ญ

normal frost
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80kt is 80kt

proven rain
atomic flint
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๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
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i wonder if this can make a run for ITC

normal frost
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๐Ÿ‘€

atomic flint
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also jtwc's pgtw fixed a 3.5 on this LOL

normal frost
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lets hope the dry air doesnt choke it to death before then

atomic flint
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thing's already overperformed

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any more is just icing on the cake

normal frost
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truee

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wait its heading south now FUCK

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at about 25S

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theres strong shear

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30-40kt

atomic flint
normal frost
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lemme slap it

atomic flint
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still a bit til then tho

normal frost
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so it goes NW instead

atomic flint
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LUL

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but then it'll be in freddy's path!!!!!!

normal frost
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oh FUCK no

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i dont want another vernon incident

atomic flint
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LOL

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what if

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double major fujiwara

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๐Ÿ˜ณ

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||wont they both just be decimated lol||

normal frost
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lol

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shear rn

atomic flint
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shear at freddy is 25 kt?

normal frost
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apparently

atomic flint
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||i mean there's the saying that shear maps are unreliable but eh||

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dingani is what

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sub 15?

normal frost
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lol

atomic flint
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banger

normal frost
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hoho

atomic flint
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tfw there's 2 banger storms rn but few ppl in f13 are tracking them

normal frost
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o

atomic flint
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wait

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im dumb

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f13

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LOL

normal frost
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i was gonna ask

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wtf do u mean natl LOL

atomic flint
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๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€

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meanwhile compared to natl

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when the Slop

normal frost
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natl sleeping

atomic flint
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lmfao

normal frost
atomic flint
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idk i just copy paste it from f13

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ngl i thought it was dapiya tho

normal frost
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a

atomic flint
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maybe here

normal frost
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๐Ÿคจ

atomic flint
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yea its there

normal frost
#

epac waking up?

atomic flint
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gcom

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wdym epac????????

normal frost
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oh wait it SCAMMED me

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i thought there was an invest

atomic flint
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WAIT WHY IS IT SHOWING OLD SHIT LOL

normal frost
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that shit is outdated af

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YEA I CLICKED ON IT

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AND IT SHOWED BONNIE IM LIKE??????????

proven rain
atomic flint
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thats so weird

normal frost
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wow i cant believe ap is trolling

atomic flint
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i was using it earlier and i got dingani

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https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?ACTIVES=23-SHEM-11S.FREDDY23-SHEM-12P.GABRIELLE23-SHEM-13S.DINGANI23-SHEM-91P.INVEST&PHOT=yes&ATCF_BASIN=sh&AGE=Latest&SIZE=Full&NAV=tc&ATCF_YR=2023&ATCF_FILE=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2023/sh132023.23021118.gif&CURRENT_ATCF_FILE=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2023/sh132023.23021118.gif&CURRENT_ATCF=sh132023.23021118.gif&ATCF_NAME=sh132023&ATCF_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2023&MO=02&BASIN=SHEM&YEAR=2023&YR=23&ARCHIVE=active&STORM_NAME=13S.DINGANI&STYLE=tables&USE_THIS_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc23/SHEM/13S.DINGANI/CloudSat&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc23/SHEM/13S.DINGANI/amsr2/89h&TYPE=amsr2&PROD=89h&SUB_PROD=2degreeticks&SUB_SUB_PROD=1km&CURRENT=20230212.081749.SH132023.amsr2.gcom-w1.89H.65kts.72p0.1p0.jpg

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proof

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also holy fuck thats a long link

normal frost
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bro my chairs started floating halfway through that link

atomic flint
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LOL

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ok found it

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https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?ACTIVES=23-SHEM-11S.FREDDY,23-SHEM-12P.GABRIELLE,23-SHEM-13S.DINGANI,23-SHEM-91P.INVEST&PHOT=yes&ATCF_BASIN=sh&AGE=Latest&SIZE=Full&NAV=tc&ATCF_YR=2023&ATCF_FILE=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2023/sh132023.23021118.gif&CURRENT_ATCF_FILE=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2023/sh132023.23021118.gif&CURRENT=20230212.102000.SH132023.ahi.himawari-9.WV.65kts.100p0.1p0.jpg&CURRENT_ATCF=sh132023.23021118.gif&ATCF_NAME=sh132023&ATCF_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/image_archives/2023&MO=02&BASIN=SHEM&YEAR=2023&YR=23&ARCHIVE=active&STORM_NAME=13S.DINGANI&STYLE=tables&USE_THIS_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc23/SHEM/13S.DINGANI/CloudSat&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc23/SHEM/13S.DINGANI/amsr2/color/2degreeticks&PROD=color&SUB_PROD=2degreeticks&TYPE=amsr2

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basically

normal frost
#

o

atomic flint
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press storm name -> click gcom-w-1 -> click color (under asmr2)

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...or you dont need to click on gcom????? im so confused rn

normal frost
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wtf is this site

atomic flint
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its a us navy site

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ยฏ_(ใƒ„)_/ยฏ

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naval research laboratory

normal frost
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oh

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we can pin again

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swag

atomic flint
#

zamn

atomic flint
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honestly im just waiting for mfr 18z so i can go sleep LOL

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thing's really trying but its time is ticking

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don't think it'll make it to major anymore

normal frost
#

AWA

normal frost
#

11S FREDDY 230212 1800 15.0S 97.9E SHEM 100 948
12P GABRIELLE 230212 1800 33.3S 175.3E SHEM 55 982
13S DINGANI 230212 1800 17.8S 74.4E SHEM 75 981

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freddy weakening now

atomic flint
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yeah

proven rain
atomic flint
#

@normal frost

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when the halfacane

normal frost
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???

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whaT

atomic flint
#

also dingani 75 kts 10-min

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so c2 1-min

normal frost
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ho

atomic flint
#

peaked

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its dying now lmao

normal frost
#

WA

#

WA

#

WA

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

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jtwc overrode peak to 85 kts

normal frost
#

WOI

atomic flint
#

also this has to be one of the Tracks of all time

normal frost
#

certified swio track

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wait no

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wtf am i saying

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not swio LOL

atomic flint
#

i mean

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your not wrong

normal frost
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yea but

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its still SIO

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and not SWIO yet

atomic flint
#

eh

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semantics!!!!

normal frost
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true...

atomic flint
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but wow

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imagine

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the tc breakout was actually successful

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c4 in aus and double c2s in the other 2 basins

normal frost
#

mmmmm

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also like

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freddy having a THIRD peak?

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in like 3 days

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at least jtwc says so

atomic flint
#

so like

#

wanna look at the forecast track

normal frost
#

im ngl

atomic flint
normal frost
#

my guess is that it will go a bit more south

atomic flint
#

yeah might just clip it

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like emnati

normal frost
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also wow freddy is alive for a week now

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i expected it to die like 3 days ago

atomic flint
normal frost
#

pls live 2 weeks it will be funny

atomic flint
#

yea

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until you realize what it's gonna hit at the end of that period

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๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
#

dont cARE

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fuck madagascar

atomic flint
normal frost
#

NOOOOOOOOO

proven rain
normal frost
#

wait wtf

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new forecast

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freddy will peak at 130kt?

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god fuckin damn

proven rain
#

He's cooking

normal frost
#

let him cook

#

11S FREDDY 230215 0000 15.3S 87.3E SHEM 120 942
12P GABRIELLE 230214 1800 38.5S 178.5W SHEM 30 1000
13S DINGANI 230215 0000 25.3S 71.0E SHEM 50 989
91P INVEST 230215 0000 15.1S 140.4E SHEM 25 1000
99W INVEST 230215 0000 5.2N 134.7E WPAC 20 1007

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ayo wpac invest?

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๐Ÿคจ

proven rain
#

Maybe it's starting to become active now

normal frost
#

its way too early though but

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๐Ÿ‘๏ธ

normal frost
#

dingani basically EX at this point

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freddy got about 16 hours to strengthen before it gets into worse conditions

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

also imd t7

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oh yea jtwc went 130kts, mfr 115kts 10-min (just shy of vitc)

atomic flint
#

if it ever did form, probs just a weak ts

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at best

normal frost
#

hey

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its still a wpac storm in feb

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i dont care

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€

#

wutip and higos when

normal frost
#

never!!

proven rain
atomic flint
#

@normal frost @proven rain

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that wpac invest might have a good chance

#

mjo in phase 6

normal frost
#

pogeeee

atomic flint
#

even if not, la nina's basically a goner so good enough

proven rain
hollow zealot
#

"Passenger photo while plane flew near East Palestine, Ohio ... chemical fire after train derailed"

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looks safe

normal frost
#

jesus

normal frost
#

brother

#

freddy is 130kt ONCE AGAIN

atomic flint
#

@normal frost it might be 140

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jtwc t7, sab t7

normal frost
#

cat5!cat5!cat5!

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿคž

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also wonder if mfr would go t7

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bruh mfr stayed at 130 1-min

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ho

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jtwc 926 mb

proven rain
atomic flint
#

@proven rain @normal frost cockblocked

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11S FREDDY 230215 1200 15.0S 84.9E SHEM 135 932

proven rain
#

135

atomic flint
#

when the c5n't

proven rain
#

Let Freddy cook more

normal frost
#

let him cook

atomic flint
#

@normal frost @proven rain nvm

proven rain
#

145 peak

normal frost
#

WOI

#

WOI

#

WOI

#

CAT5

hollow zealot
#

aw

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we're getting hit!!!!!

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basically i live close ish to the coast

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so we might have 25 m/s winds

proven rain
#

Stay safe

normal frost
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stay safe hun

atomic flint
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stay safe

normal frost
#

common madagascar L

normal frost
#

this video got me so interested in jet streams LOL

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€

#

freddy

normal frost
#

impressive eye

atomic flint
#

@normal frost gfs can you PLEASE not

normal frost
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LOL

proven rain
atomic flint
#

https://twitter.com/135knots/status/1626610700347998209

Riley (@135knots)

Iโ€™m sorry but itโ€™s unacceptable. Completely unacceptable. Thereโ€™s no satellite resolution issues, thereโ€™s not a fluctuation of eye temp, thereโ€™s not only a few pixels, thereโ€™s not a small eye. Thereโ€™s not. This is straight up either unskilled analysis or rigging. No way around it

Twitter ยท
normal frost
#

TRUE

hidden sage
#

11S FREDDY 230217 1200 15.8S 74.0E SHEM 120 944

atomic flint
#

he knows how to atcf

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fingers crossed that gets overrided, no way in hell this shit is only 120 kts lol

normal frost
#

woi

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WOI

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KEPS

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also yea

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this looks stronger than 120

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maybe 130

atomic flint
#

oof

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dry air got into freddy

normal frost
#

WA

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ok but can we appreciate this shot

Screenshot_3.png
#

that eye is so clear

proven rain
#

Dang

atomic flint
#

yeah

atomic flint
#

holy shit thats scary

proven rain
#

He's really soloing the whole spotlight now

atomic flint
#

yeah

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jtwc went 135 btw

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mfr 120 10-min (~156 mph 1-min)

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so about the same

atomic flint
proven rain
wild plume
atomic flint
#

what a menace

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now if only it wasnt on a crash course to Madagascar

wild plume
#

@atomic flint i agree with ur username

normal frost
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oh dear god

atomic flint
#

yes!!!!

atomic flint
#

but weakening expected in 6 hrs

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although....

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11S FREDDY 230219 0600 17.0S 65.7E SHEM 140 924

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fantala's ace record is down

normal frost
#

๐Ÿ‘€

#

freddy truly cracked

atomic flint
#

cone

wild plume
#

This feels like a narration of a race lol

atomic flint
wild plume
atomic flint
#

and another one with 31 million right after

wild plume
#

Rip people

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W for the hurricane

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Jk

atomic flint
#

very unfunny

atomic flint
wild plume
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Im so sorry for making that joke but also widecat

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Fr tho im sorry alright lmao

atomic flint
#

btw @normal frost @proven rain

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next on the list is fengshen (tho unofficially that thing has 76 ace LOL)

normal frost
#

doomed

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we'll see

wild plume
#

Rip

atomic flint
#

im surprised irma has 64 ace tho

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was it the highest ace natl storm?

normal frost
#

nah

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ivan 2004 had higher

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i think its barely over 70 ace

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oh what

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apparently theres a hurricane in 1899 with even higher ace

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@atomic flint

Screenshot_20.png
atomic flint
#

KEKW

#

but damn

normal frost
#

yea

#

i find it so funny that theres a cat3 in top 5

atomic flint
#

ikr

proven rain
atomic flint
normal frost
#

jesus fuck

#

also @atomic flint i just saw the pin

#

are you doing updates like f13

#

or different

atomic flint
normal frost
#

๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
#

i guess lets just pin meteo france cones?

normal frost
#

sure

atomic flint
#

or official rsmcs

#

except wpac we go jtwc there LUL

normal frost
#

11S FREDDY 230219 0600 17.0S 65.7E SHEM 140 924
92S INVEST 230219 0600 11.8S 114.7E SHEM 15 1010
93S INVEST 230219 0600 10.1S 90.2E SHEM 20 1007
99W INVEST 230219 0600 12.9N 123.2E WPAC 20 1004

#

still going strong

#

๐Ÿ’ช

atomic flint
#

ye

normal frost
#

freddy + 3 shitty invests

atomic flint
#

lets see if it maintains in 12z

normal frost
#

ye

#

(because very obviously fuck madagascar :D)

atomic flint
#

there are currently 35 wmg pixels

#

๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
#

imma be real i have no idea what that means

atomic flint
#

warm medium gray

normal frost
#

a

atomic flint
#

dvorak thing

normal frost
#

i havent learned dvorak,,,

atomic flint
#

if u have it you can get dt7.0

#

me neither

atomic flint
normal frost
#

lol

#

freddy really went

#

nah im not dying

atomic flint
#

apparently dingani played a part in this

normal frost
#

ig it did throw some dryness out of the way for freddy?

atomic flint
#

idk what this means LOL

normal frost
#

ap,,,

atomic flint
#

bro

#

im not taking bs met

#

๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
#

tldr; dingani's upper level outflow pushed air to the subtropical ridge (H) making whatever air in the path of freddy have lower pressure overall (I was also partially right that it pulls some dryness away)

#

well in other words

#

the dry subtropical ridge that was sending dry winds via trade winds got disrupted by dingani

#

so freddy gets a free pass

atomic flint
#

oh damn

normal frost
#

oh wow freddy actually got no shear in its way at all

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

rh will keep going up too

normal frost
#

also @atomic flint is dapiya down for you

#

or is my internet just bad

atomic flint
#

dapiya is up

normal frost
#

fuk

#

@atomic flint maybe this is why freddy is forecasted to weaken

#

look whats infront of it

atomic flint
#

whats that

#

mid-level shear?

normal frost
#

yea

atomic flint
#

yikes

normal frost
#

well

#

cant complain

#

we already got a good start to 2023

#

first major is cat5 lol

atomic flint
#

yeah

normal frost
#

thanks freddy

atomic flint
#

actually

#

now that i think about it

#

we've gotten 3 c2s and a c5 so far

#

wtf lol

normal frost
#

lol

#

wild

atomic flint
#

oh and a natl system ๐Ÿ’€

#

and a nio td

normal frost
#

yea but nhc is blind

atomic flint
#

mood

#

nah they treated it as a marine feature, apparently

normal frost
#

a

atomic flint
#

sucks

#

but it is what it is

normal frost
#

ok now the only thing freddy has to do to make it a super funny storm

#

is that it stalls in the channel

atomic flint
#

can you NoT

normal frost
#

wha t

#

,,

atomic flint
#

when the cheneso

normal frost
#

but it will be funny !!!

atomic flint
#

oh wait

IMG_20230219_182729.jpg
#

nvm i forgor hale, irene, and hannelore existed

#

the first 2 are too forgettable ๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
#

who tf

#

i fr dont remember then at all

proven rain
#

XD

#

What does the white one represent?

normal frost
#

mediterranean storm

proven rain
#

Oh

atomic flint
normal frost
#

hhhhhh

#

well

atomic flint
#

when the south pacific slop

normal frost
#

at least irene tried

#

ยฏ_(ใƒ„)_/ยฏ

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

tfw both spac and swio's strongest storms rn are stolen from aus

#

๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
#

kekw

#

yknow looking now

#

climate change is super obvious when I look at ACE stats for each year

#

I will screenshot some random 10 years before 1950 and another random years after 1950 and chances are it will have much more ACE on average

#

example

#

1930's vs 1960's

atomic flint
#

u sure

#

you gotta take into account that pre satellite era seasons are kinda yikes

#

a lot of missed tcs and all that

#

probs better to compare smth like 1970s and 2010s

normal frost
#

right

#

let me do that then

#

@atomic flint pick a decade

atomic flint
normal frost
#

aight

atomic flint
#

since 1970s had wpac recon

normal frost
#

yikes.

atomic flint
#

o h

#

how about wpac

#

would be Funny

normal frost
#

let me see

atomic flint
#

wait why is 1973 inactive when wpac was also gunga inactive then

normal frost
#

lol

atomic flint
#

anyways 1971 had 35 wpac tropical storms

#

lol.

#

wait 24 typhoons?????

#

why does 1972 also have the same amount of typhoons with only 31 storms???????????

normal frost
#

ha?

#

i cant find ACE for wpac

#

can u help me find lol

atomic flint
#

cant find it either ๐Ÿ’€

#

1971

atomic flint
normal frost
#

o

atomic flint
#

nvm

#

it was 4th highest since 1970

#

1997 clears

normal frost
#

wao

#

wanna make a guess on what year had the most retired names

#

lets start with wpac

atomic flint
#

i was uh

#

looking them up

#

๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
#

bruhhhhhhh

#

scammed

atomic flint
#

like literally right before you said it

#

'19 and '20 had 5 each

#

lemme check if there's more

#

'06 had 5 as well

normal frost
#

๐Ÿ˜ 

atomic flint
#

oh

#

1960 had 8.........?

#

1950

#

i mean

#

Names decommissioned

For unknown reasons, the names Helene, Jane, Kezia, Lucretia, Missatha, Ossia, Petie, Salome and Delilah were replaced with Helen, June, Kathy, Lorna, Marie, Olga, Pamela, Sally and Dot.

#

oh 1949 had 9

normal frost
#

ha?

atomic flint
#

yeah lol

#

idk why

normal frost
#

confusing ass namechanges

atomic flint
#

if you go with jtwc list and are ok with ancient shit, yea 1949 had 9

#

if you go with post 2000, then 5

normal frost
#

o

atomic flint
#

if you go with 1970 - 2000

#

surprisingly the most was 2

#

because a typhoon causing 225k deaths wasnt eligible for retirement

#

๐Ÿ˜‡

normal frost
#

what

#

bhola?

atomic flint
#

nina 1975

normal frost
#

ha?

atomic flint
#

ye

normal frost
#

right thats why i never heard of it

#

its indirect

#

mf

atomic flint
#

banqiao dam failure

normal frost
#

i mean yea 20k direct is insane

#

but

#

still the 200k

atomic flint
#

no one really knows how many died

#

ยฏ_(ใƒ„)_/ยฏ

normal frost
#

well yea

#

its 1975

atomic flint
#

but for what its worth

#

In 1980s, several representatives of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference including Qiao Peixin (ไน”ๅŸนๆ–ฐ), Sun Yueqi (ๅญ™่ถŠๅดŽ), Lin Hua (ๆž—ๅŽ), Qian Jiaju (ๅƒๅฎถ้ฉน), Wang Xingrang (็Ž‹ๅ…ด่ฎฉ), Lei Tianjue (้›ทๅคฉ่ง‰), Xu Chi (ๅพ้ฉฐ) and Lu Qinkan (้™†้’ฆไพƒ) revealed that the death toll of the 1975 Banqiao Dam failure was 230,000.

normal frost
#

storm committed a genocide bruhh

proven rain
#

Bhola v2

atomic flint
#

mood

#

oh damn nina was 155 mph

#

thought it was like c3 or smth ngl

normal frost
#

jesus what

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

155 mph, weakened to a c3 upon landfall in taiwan

#

a grand total of 29 of nina's deaths were from taiwan

normal frost
#

so actual death count was 29

#

then the dam exploded

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

i mean if 64 inches of rain falls down into a poorly made dam

#

shit happens

#

33 inches of those fell in 6 hours btw

normal frost
#

what the fuck

#

wait so like

#

it poured half its' rainfall in 6 hours

#

okay

atomic flint
#

y ea

normal frost
#

yknow

#

I actually can't distinguish most lao storm names from thai names

#

๐Ÿ’€

atomic flint
#

๐Ÿ’€

normal frost
#

gfs has freddy making a 100kt landfall

#

then 2nd landfall into mozambique at 75kt

atomic flint
#

11S FREDDY 230219 1200 17.4S 64.1E SHEM 140 918

#

?

#

why 918

#

it was 140/924 before

normal frost
#

918??

#

huh???

#

CHILL freddy

atomic flint
#

when the jtwc

#

thats despite pgtw going 6.5 btw

normal frost
#

its fineeee

#

lower pressure = funnier

#

its fineeee

atomic flint
#

wait

#

knes also went 6.5

#

why the FUCK is it still c5?????

normal frost
#

"yes"

atomic flint
#

anyway

#

mfr still vitc

#

they want it to stay vitc for 18 more hours

normal frost
#

huh

#

lets be real its prob weakening already

atomic flint
atomic flint
#

eh

#

maintaining

#

or even strengthening?

normal frost
#

yikes

normal frost
proven rain
#

Rate it now

AD901554-AFFA-4997-8C16-A8961C674047-1.jpg
atomic flint
#

i grab it off f13 but its dapiya -> ir ott

proven rain
#

!!!!!

atomic flint
#

wejj

#

high end wejj

#

55 ace now

normal frost
#

wejj

atomic flint
#

christ.

atomic flint
#

expected

#

tho ngl 135-140 is probably better anyway

normal frost
#

that looks sexy hoyl

atomic flint
#

wait holy cow

#

89 wmgs

normal frost
#

whAT

#

did it j ust double

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

the fred

normal frost
#

the wejj,,,,

atomic flint
#

if 12z is not Cat 5 I am gonna kill Petersen

#

average f13 discord member

normal frost
#

KEKW

#

freddy will be the icon of 2023

atomic flint
#

in ace at least

#

@normal frost holy shit dude

#

freddy just completely collapsed

#

๐Ÿ˜ญ

normal frost
#

WTF

atomic flint
normal frost
#

true,,,

atomic flint
#

lmfao we're still the thread with the highest messages

normal frost
#

also

#

tfw someone mentioned in #1072081241257562192 that #1072081241257562192 passed this thread in messages earlier today

#

and this thread took it back again

atomic flint
#

LOL

#

freddy is just too powerful

atomic flint
#

lmao f13 only now pulled the trigged @normal frost

#

for c5

normal frost
#

lol

#

so late

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

#

zamn

atomic flint
#

storm goes hard

atomic flint
# 

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FREDDY)

B. 19/1730Z

C. 17.56S

D. 62.45E

E. ONE/MET9

F. T7.0/7.0/D1.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E# 
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. MET 
AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   19/1200Z  17.33S  63.97E  SSMS
   19/1327Z  17.43S  63.62E  GPMI


   HUYNH```
atomic flint
# 
TCSSIO

A.  11S (FREDDY)

B.  19/1730Z

C.  17.6S

D.  62.5E

E.  ONE/MET-9

F.  T6.5/6.5

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR

H.  REMARKS...LARGE STADIUM-EFFECT WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W AND EMBEDDED
IN B RESULTS IN AN E# OF 5.5 WITH EADJ +1.0 FOR A DT OF 6.5. OUTSTANDING
SATELLITE PRESETATION ANNULAR STRUCTURE CONTINUES. POLEWARD AND EQUATORIAL
UPR-LVL OUTFLOW CHANNELS BECMG MORE DEFINED. EYE TEMP +20 C. MET=6.5
AND PT=7.0. FT BASED ON DT.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...KONON```
#

a

atomic flint
#

11S FREDDY 230219 1800 17.7S 62.4E SHEM 140 926

normal frost
#

wao

#

it indeed goes hard

#

it regained cat5 huh

#

still got that 7.0 ๐Ÿ’ช

proven rain
#

That eye kinda gives me chills

normal frost
#

fr its insane how stable that eye is

#

brother that thing is a fuckin circle

#

maximum wejj

proven rain
#

Dang maxi wejj

normal frost
#

๐Ÿ’ช

hidden sage
#

Kil freddy awa

atomic flint
#

when the WEJJ

#

seems to have weakened tho

#

mfr 115 kts 10-min

#

no longer vitc

atomic flint
#

ma-on is a massive surprise

normal frost
#

ha?

#

ma-on???

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

big ?

#

@normal frost

#

best typhoon fr

#

๐Ÿฅฐ

normal frost
atomic flint
#

ewrc time apparently?

proven rain
#

Ayo perfect crescent in the center

normal frost
#

AWA

#

of all times to ewrc

atomic flint
#

better to do it now than yknow

#

right before landfall

#

haha...

normal frost
atomic flint
#

@normal frost do you wanna

#

s a m b a ?

proven rain
#

939

atomic flint
#

btw some models now want freddy to recurve right after hitting Mozambique

normal frost
#

oh no

normal frost
#

wtf why is freddy still 130kt what is happening

#

nvm atcf outdated

#

hoe

#

its 105kt rn

#

it'll make landfall in maybe 3 hours

atomic flint
#

mmmm

#

20 kts movement

normal frost
#

mmmm

#

why is dapiya always broken for me

#

man wtf

atomic flint
#

dapiya doesnt like thailand KEKW

#

wait are these signals actually legit

normal frost
#

oh dear

#

samba funnies time?

normal frost
#

yea

#

landfall in like an hour

#

its there now

#

major landfall prob

#

since its still 105kt

#

it will prob be 100kt on landfall

atomic flint
#

yeah

#

12z should come out before tho

#

66.2 ace rn btw

atomic flint
#

67 ace now

#

11S FREDDY 230221 1200 20.7S 49.6E SHEM 100 964

atomic flint
#

hasnt made landfall yet damn

#

wonder if it'll make it to 18z before doing so?

normal frost
#

better not smh

atomic flint
#

landfall now

#

or rather like an hour ago

normal frost
#

yea

#

please refer to the pinned message

#

(fuck madagascar)

normal frost
#

how much did they predict for 2nd landfall tho

normal frost
#

pain

#

jtwc forecasts 60kt landfall

#

not even c1

#

also 93s will form any moment now

normal frost
atomic flint
#

we have 14S

#

from 93S

normal frost
#

aware

#

gfs looking at 65kt peak on 14S/93S

atomic flint
#

@normal frost

# 
PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 8 (ENALA) 998 HPA

POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.6 S / 74.3 E
(FOURTEEN    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SEVENTY FOUR    DECIMAL THREE   DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 12 KT
normal frost
#

ayyy

atomic flint
#

is that a developing core??????

proven rain
normal frost
#

already???

#

god damn

normal frost
#

14S is now the strongest storm globally atm

#

at 40kt tied to freddy post-landfall

#

3 millibars lower than freddy

normal frost