#Urgent!

9 messages · Page 1 of 1 (latest)

prime scaffold
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can someone please explain how to solve this

halcyon pendantBOT
vernal compass
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The first thing I would do is make a tree diagram showing the various possible sequences of events

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like this!

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Next, I'd find the probability of each potential chain of events, by multiplying the values down each path. For example, the probably that a person is infected and tests negative is .005*.15

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Next, the probability that a person has the virus if they've tested positive would be the probability that they're positive and have the virus, divided by the overall probability that they tested positive

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P(Infected | +) = P(Infected ^ +) / P(+)
And P(+) is simply P(Infected ^ +) + P(Healthy ^ +)

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Part B is similar, just using the other values

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P(Healthy | -) = P(Healthy^-)/P(-)
P(-) = P(Healthy^-) + P(Infected^-)