#road to 200k messages

1 messages · Page 100 of 1

elder cargo
#

if you’re paying for review, anything short of top 10k is failure

prime plinth
#

How much is review

hollow ermine
#

Bar city assets what am I getting in fh6 @broken patio m?

prime plinth
#

I'm in the review chat and have no idea

hollow ermine
#

I’m thinking of subbing to ffs

acoustic edge
#

ask in analcord

zenith jolt
#

type shi

barren geyser
violet temple
#

damn might have to take my palace opinion back lacroix rotates quite well with vdb

#

vdv*

hollow ermine
#

I have sarr

#

Could see myself playing him a few times tbh

#

Sarr playing that enzo type role

#

Same with ayari

cedar hull
#

@zenith jolt thoughts?

zenith jolt
cedar hull
#

Ah fuck I'm late

hollow ermine
#

Analcord locked?

violet temple
#

alr I cooked up something finally

cedar hull
#

Where ndoye

novel harbor
violet temple
zenith jolt
violet temple
#

I need 0.5m somehow

novel harbor
#

i dont think solanke will start gw1 personally tho but guess we'll see

acoustic edge
wanton whale
cedar hull
violet temple
#

@cedar hull What's ur plan with forest vs palace gw 2 gonna be a huge fix clash no?

prime plinth
#

I have the best fpl team. Just copy and move on

novel harbor
#

review vs solio about to go crazy

broken patio
# hollow ermine Bar city assets what am I getting in fh6 <@555521887661195265> m?

Well it means you can load up on palace outside in your normal team and free hit them out in 6
Basically allows you to go heavy on any liverpool, arsenal, Newcastle, palace players in your main team and avoid them all in gw6 (Newcastle play arsenal, Liverpool play palace) (Salah still good Vs palace but you could bet against him)

Then on fh6, you get Haaland, who is the best captain pick by a mile and captain him, 2 other city. And then load up on spurs Vs wolves, forest Vs Sunderland, Bournemouth Vs Leeds

acoustic edge
cedar hull
acoustic edge
prime plinth
#

Arsenal suck till gw 7

violet temple
prime plinth
#

Only relevant fixture for arsenal is first 2

violet temple
#

seeing ppl on double palace triple forest just for them to play vs each other gw2 😭

wanton whale
#

fixture clashes are a myth anyway

prime plinth
#

Which is only viable wc4 and no salah

#

Or no palmer

broken patio
wanton whale
#

wtf why is Kek moving

#

am i tripping

violet temple
cedar hull
wanton whale
cedar hull
#

Basically one of them cleans shrug

violet temple
#

1-1 😭

prime plinth
#

Sarr scored i bet

wanton whale
cedar hull
violet temple
#

Who made this guy helper

#

oh no not u too classiic

wanton whale
violet temple
#

I'm going back to fpl chat

novel harbor
#

murillo and lacroix bullet headers we will be there

prime plinth
#

Steelix coping with Gabriel vvd and gvardiol

violet temple
wanton whale
violet temple
#

Evanilson going under the radar ngl

wanton whale
novel harbor
wanton whale
#

pool away so not many want to spend 7m too bench

violet temple
prime plinth
wanton whale
#

bou have crazy good fixtures

novel harbor
wanton whale
violet temple
#

Just saw they acc rotate quite well

novel harbor
#

ye

#

they do

violet temple
#

still gotta decide if I want tark Or na

prime plinth
violet temple
#

but we got loads of time to think about that

cedar hull
#

Review launched now, incoming content creator drafts sadge

hollow ermine
wanton whale
#

review dropped? nice time to make a team

novel harbor
#

no brainer for me lol 70% cbit hit rate last season

violet temple
cedar hull
prime plinth
#

Tark with no branthwaite over murrilo and milenkovic kekwat

cedar hull
#

Because pens mean everything for review

novel harbor
#

nah it will pretty much be variations of what we've concocted in here tbh

prime plinth
#

Review is fraud

wanton whale
#

we taking Isak at newcastle?

prime plinth
#

Fpl can't be determined by previous data. Only relevant thing for gw 1 is fixtures and reliable minutes

frank mulch
prime plinth
#

And cbit

novel harbor
#

with probs the odd random midfielder

prime plinth
#

That can be more obvious

novel harbor
#

but 4ATB

#

i think they will be 4atb with rotating midfielder

prime plinth
#

4atb is valid cause the 6.5m and under mids and strikers are kekw

hollow ermine
#

Almost 4

#

Going to do weekly Saturday goon

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Ping when carvalho announces himself

wanton whale
#

4 atb is meta

earnest torrent
#

Which is better JSL Marmoush or Solanke Semenyo?

zenith jolt
#

review wont be what you expect it to be fyi

prime plinth
#

4atb will be meta but idm my kudus gw1 draft

#

Bit more upside ig

cedar hull
#

Review doesn't know about the glory that is cbits

earnest torrent
#

Hmm

prime plinth
cedar hull
#

352 with Bruno and tielemans or smth

violet temple
prime plinth
#

I'm hating ofc but review is no fun

violet temple
#

or vvd

wanton whale
#

bruno will 100 percent be there

novel harbor
prime plinth
hollow ermine
#

What is reveiw

novel harbor
#

cbit is meta theres no doubt about it

#

the maths is there

prime plinth
#

Bruno

#

Eze

zenith jolt
wanton whale
novel harbor
#

its just whether they've gone with 4.5's they think will do well cbit wise

violet temple
novel harbor
#

or they've gone with the proven

hollow ermine
#

What is review

novel harbor
#

cbit's

zenith jolt
#

itll have esteve andersen

#

ive seen dalot

prime plinth
#

I have sarr but I'm just trolling

violet temple
#

Also 98.3k messages would be a real shame if a mod deleted this thread

novel harbor
#

ye i also think it'll have andersen

zenith jolt
#

and probs a spurs def

violet temple
#

esteve is solid tbf I have him too

prime plinth
#

First 3 aren't good enough for me to go sarr

novel harbor
#

i have esteve too

violet temple
#

I have a review kinda team ig

zenith jolt
#

ndiaye and tielemans both locks in midfield

novel harbor
hollow ermine
#

Is reveiw that AI Thing?

violet temple
novel harbor
#

really?

zenith jolt
#

bruno aswell

hollow ermine
#

What’s reveiw

#

Answer me

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Or I end this thread

violet temple
#

glad to know review users arent gonna be in the good ranks

novel harbor
violet temple
#

I'll end u

novel harbor
#

i'd have bruno if he wasnt overpriced

slim bane
#

Calculates moves based on EV

fathom bison
hollow ermine
#

Does it say it

fathom bison
#

Pay for it probs

slim bane
#

You run a certain depth

cedar hull
#

Review literally doesn't consider attackers that don't have pens it's unreal

slim bane
#

set certain parameters or use their default

violet temple
#

cool

zenith jolt
#

it has watkins and tielemans for 100% pen coverage

#

smart

violet temple
zenith jolt
#

idk

novel harbor
#

right lemme go pay for it and see for myself

earnest torrent
#

Thoughts on this havent thought much about this team since launch lol

wanton whale
violet temple
#

Oh the review teams alr out?

zenith jolt
earnest torrent
#

Worked on it today

zenith jolt
#

and you also won't know how to use it

novel harbor
violet temple
novel harbor
slim bane
#

Default solve

hollow ermine
zenith jolt
#

🤷

wanton whale
slim bane
#

Kindaa

violet temple
violet temple
wanton whale
violet temple
#

I don't hate the draft for some reason

violet temple
silent jasper
novel harbor
#

i will

fathom bison
wanton whale
zenith jolt
violet temple
violet temple
earnest torrent
slim bane
#

Boomer moment

violet temple
earnest torrent
quick dawn
violet temple
wanton whale
obtuse shoal
wanton whale
#

wait he was well good

violet temple
cedar hull
#

Review is all about rotations and pen takers to play optimally it's so boring man

silent jasper
violet temple
#

0.5 short

wanton whale
zenith jolt
#

one thing review does cook on is rotations

prime plinth
#

Ok last draft I'll sneak in

zenith jolt
#

so the romero/dalot shit does make sense to me

wanton whale
wanton whale
earnest torrent
#

Why are people tripling up on Forest

prime plinth
earnest torrent
#

Is there something i missed

violet temple
earnest torrent
#

Lmao

violet temple
#

Many ppl have 2 I'm rocking only one

prime plinth
violet temple
#

Some cbit beasts too apparently

earnest torrent
violet temple
silent jasper
#

@earnest torrent lowkey Gakpo might be good because he should be starting LW (unless there is some Pool youngster starting over him) or formation change etc
But Wirtz is an option too though, very difficult to pick sadge

earnest torrent
#

I wont be touching much on their players

hollow ermine
#

So review is just that ai review that gives you a better rating the closer you are to their idea of meta?

earnest torrent
slim bane
#

get both

cedar hull
slim bane
#

ez

wanton whale
#

Gakpo will be so good

hollow ermine
prime plinth
hollow ermine
#

Who are forest sub cb’s

silent jasper
# slim bane get both

rather get one Arsenal attacker because they still look good and I don't wanna bank all on Liv attacker lol

hollow ermine
#

Second half of the season forest defence was ew

cedar hull
cedar hull
#

To optimise fixtures etc like get a job

wanton whale
violet temple
slim bane
silent jasper
prime plinth
cedar hull
prime plinth
#

Wait no way

earnest torrent
prime plinth
#

Isak here we go?

#

This is the end for the league

earnest torrent
#

Huh?

cedar hull
#

What?

prime plinth
#

Or is google giving me fake news

#

Damn

zenith jolt
#

funny man

earnest torrent
#

Where is bro looking at

cedar hull
#

Tf you chatting

#

Mute him bruh

earnest torrent
#

Does bro live in the future

silent jasper
prime plinth
#

Google gave me a noti saying isak signed

#

My fault

earnest torrent
#

Mute google

wanton whale
#

lad Isak just went back to newcastle

earnest torrent
wanton whale
#

pool arent getting him

violet temple
silent jasper
wanton whale
violet temple
prime plinth
#

Google not supposed to lie like that

violet temple
earnest torrent
hollow ermine
violet temple
#

tyghe u got one minute

silent jasper
# violet temple u dont want him at pool?

Newcastle's stance is very firm on keeping him unless there is a replacement
The way they are rejecting Pool's bid is something else tbh
Not that I do not want him, but I think Pool have this negotiate trick which is take it or leave it which I quite like it tbf

violet temple
#

Mostly

fathom bison
orchid plank
hollow ermine
#

Asked a question tbf

violet temple
#

Become a lawyer

fathom bison
#

@prime plinth you're welcome

cedar hull
#

If they get wissa and sesko isaks gone imo

silent jasper
violet temple
barren geyser
#

if isak doesnt join liverpool then hes gone from my team

wanton whale
cedar hull
fathom bison
wanton whale
#

isak at castle is arguably better anyways

hollow ermine
#

Anyway

barren geyser
hollow ermine
#

I have guiu

#

Hope he moves

violet temple
barren geyser
#

yes i know malen isnt ideal

hollow ermine
#

Does he know

orchid plank
hollow ermine
wanton whale
hollow ermine
#

Villa don’t have players

wanton whale
#

7.5 fwd and get rogers

hollow ermine
fathom bison
#

Malen cooking in preseason don't know much else

acoustic edge
#

yo this is the review meta:

wanton whale
acoustic edge
#

ur welcome

zenith jolt
barren geyser
silent jasper
#

hope Broja is like 5.0 or something, would be a good 8th attacker if we need him in case Guiu doesn't start or something

zenith jolt
#

haaland has less ev gw1-12 than palmer but you didnt hear that from me

acoustic edge
barren geyser
wanton whale
cedar hull
prime plinth
#

I can't show proof I swiped the message..why tf would I lie

barren geyser
violet temple
silent jasper
prime plinth
#

I did a question mark. No statement made

barren geyser
#

1 nil birmingham

#

vs forest

cedar hull
wanton whale
prime plinth
violet temple
prime plinth
violet temple
#

and*

wanton whale
prime plinth
#

That is a question mark not a statement. That is not bannable

violet temple
violet temple
wanton whale
#

steelix always playing with us 😔

silent jasper
violet temple
prime plinth
wanton whale
violet temple
#

That cap

#

whoever did that I will find u

silent jasper
prime plinth
#

10 goal season incoming?

#

Who stopping him

#

Forest in Europa. Have to check when that starts up ig. Could be problematic for Neco types

slim bane
#

did yall see the blocked shots v blocked passes thing

#

can someone eli5

prime plinth
#

Time to buy review and concede I'm a bad manager

#

Xvapm top

cedar hull
#

xVapm is to be taken with a pinch of salt because its assuming 90mins played every game, which is generally what youre paying 0.5-1m more for

prime plinth
#

Maybe Munoz is just too good to pass on

latent depot
#

xFanFiction

prime plinth
cedar hull
prime plinth
#

Either way the numbers are helpful guide. Many factors will change as the season goes on

hollow ermine
#

Joined focalcord in hope of finding analcord

Left after a minute

cedar hull
#

yes this is hardly be all and end all, there are many factors that it doesnt/cannot include and should only be a rough guideline

cedar hull
#

doesnt account for mins per game, bonus, over/underperformance etc

prime plinth
#

It is a helpful tool to digest information and numbers in a simple way

cedar hull
#

and no pens too, since its all non pen data

#

and it assumes poisson distribution for both xCS and xDC

#

but besides all those caveats, caveman go zoop

prime plinth
#

Indicates saka is in trouble if he loses pens

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He'd need to be an over performer to try deal with palmer and salah built in goals

novel harbor
#

ew the review team is disgusting

cedar hull
pale tiger
#

adingra goal

#

xhaka assist

#

nvm offside

latent depot
#

Xhaka the main reason that I want to play 4 mids

#

but forwards suck, so have to play 5

quick dawn
latent depot
#

you're misreading Bruno as Salah

chilly ibex
latent depot
#

it's a red shirt on the right, I know you assumed it to be Salah

lavish parcel
#

Wanna have rogers but i feel content with my team

quick dawn
#

i dont have salah rn

latent depot
chilly ibex
#

i can't choose between isak watkins solanke

novel harbor
quick dawn
#

wirtz can cover salah for 6 mil less pepela

orchid plank
quick dawn
chilly ibex
#

then

cedar hull
#

haaland is so dead

chilly ibex
#

wolves are in trouble

quick dawn
#

wolves spuds and brighton

pale tiger
#

🤖

slim bane
#

mightttt wc4 and fh6

#

only just looked at a few fix

novel harbor
#

review team isnt too bad but it does look like instead of going for last seasons big cbit hitters they're trying to predict their own

slim bane
#

whichhhh is what ur supposed to do

#

u want this szns points

#

not last szn

quick dawn
novel harbor
# slim bane whichhhh is what ur supposed to do

i dont even think they'll be right (if thats really what they're trying to do). the players they've chosen just dont show any sign of drastically changing their position enough to overtake the top players from last season. like bar bruno and andersen the other defenders last season were like 5-7 cbit p/90 last season. it'd be quite cool to see what makes them so sure

#

imo they probs just dont value cbit

quick dawn
#

well most people on reddit dont

#

they are just going for random 4.5s like konsa

novel harbor
#

thats reddit tho

#

like from what im looking at on review's site, they're still absolutely going off of traditional eV models

#

maybe ill check back in closer to gw1 date

#

if the sophisticated models arent properly pricing DC points yet tho then the market definitely isnt either. i wish spreadex had a defender category for fpl points would be interesting to see what the odds were

quick dawn
#

These past few days, I've been seeing loads and loads of sensationalism and biased perspectives on this subreddit and social media, trying to scare people into following the norm. Woke nonsense.

zenith jolt
broken patio
#

Munoz is also just fun

cedar hull
broken patio
#

Most attacking defender in the game, with decent fix, at a good price, and playing for a decent defence that farms defcon points too

cedar hull
#

Just double checking FPL get their expected data from opta right?

quick dawn
hollow ermine
#

How do yall calculate them ev’s

acoustic edge
broken patio
cedar hull
#

Fbrefs xA and optas xA are very different hmm

quick dawn
#

i mean they might just not keep any cs at the start

hollow ermine
#

This is a game about footballers scoring points btw

#

What is this

acoustic edge
#

will wissa be on pens if he starts gw1

violet temple
fleet oracle
#

Idk if this has made its way into the chat yet, but it is interesting.

#

FPL Wigan fan (or whatever his name is) made it

#

Fpl_tomhadley I guess

hollow ermine
broken patio
#

It's how often defenders hit 4+ points last season

#

(including defcon points)

hollow ermine
slim bane
#

no

#

defcon only gives 2 points right

hollow ermine
#

Yes

#

2+2

#

4

slim bane
latent depot
hollow ermine
#

I’m dumb

#

So I don’t understand this

violet temple
broken patio
#

I'm on neco

#

Had to find .5 somewhere in my defence, Murillo to Neco doesn't seem like a huuuuuge downgrade for that .5

#

Plus, only owning forest Def for the opening fix so

cedar hull
#

Ayari assist @broken patio

hollow ermine
#

Sh

#

Shh

broken patio
#

It's what he does

latent depot
#

GW1-4 opponents, Murrillo got DCs 6/8 games, Milenkovic 4/8, Neco 3/5

#

if we bench vs Arsenal, it's Murrillo 5/6, Milenkovic 4/6, Neco 2/4

broken patio
latent depot
#

if we use last year's regelated teams as a proxy for GW5-6, it's Murrilo 1/5, Milenkovic 1/6, Neco 1/5

#

errr Forest (Wood) have scored 1 goal in 4 preseason games

#

Forest lost 1-0 today to Birmingham, so that's 1 goal in 5 preseason games

novel harbor
#

forest keep losing/conceding

slim bane
latent depot
slim bane
#

they've been in a lot of 0-0 draws

latent depot
#

Forest at full strength
Forest are at full strength and include new signing Dan Ndoye in their starting line-up.

Nuno Espirito Santo has named four centre-backs in his XI which should see Forest test Blues' resolve on set pieces.

(4-2-3-1): Sels; Cunha, Milenkovic, Morato, Murillo; Andersion, Sangare; Hudson-Odoi, Gibbs-White, Ndoye; Jesus

#

full strength, lost 1-0 to Birmingham City

novel harbor
oak jasper
#

Damn I need to bring in brentford defence

latent depot
#

who's Cunha

novel harbor
oak jasper
novel harbor
#

the brazillian cb

latent depot
#

who's Morato

novel harbor
#

lmao

cedar hull
#

mcgrr ball knowledge sadge

novel harbor
#

signed last season

oak jasper
novel harbor
#

played quite alot

latent depot
#

so Forest started with 4 CBs

#

Neco was on the bench

#

full strength minus FBs

slim bane
#

so neco not even nailed?

latent depot
#

Wood came on at HT

#

this is a dumb af article and really annoying to parse

violet temple
#

He dint come on also so yeah

latent depot
#

oh, Wood missed a 1on1 that arose from a defensive error zzzz

#

I presume Nuno's idea of getting a look at all of his CBs was to play all 4??

violet temple
#

Probably

latent depot
#

so forest's preseason is 0-0, 0-0, 0-0, 0-1, 1-3 vs Fulham

#

this is very... whelming

#

"Igor Jesus will push Chris Wood for a starting spot
Having featured alongside Chris Wood in Portugal, Igor Jesus was given the nod to start as a lone striker against Birmingham and showed exactly what he can offer as an alternative.

Jesus has impressed in training and he looked to have taken that into the game on Saturday, producing an all-action half of football where his ability to drop in and link up with his teammates stood out in particular."

latent depot
# slim bane so neco not even nailed?

sounds like Nuno was testing his backup CBs to see if they can be backup FBs with European games in mind. apparently they provided no attacking threat

novel harbor
#

neco is nailed

trail forum
#

@slim bane about your comment on if forwards get dc

latent depot
#

In other words, Bowen should be a mid

trail forum
latent depot
#

I feel like I can live with him being a forward if he would have been priced at 8.5 as a mid

supple steeple
cedar hull
#

marmoush should be a mid tbf

#

but yeah bowen should be one too

trail forum
#

I really want marmoush to be an option

novel harbor
cedar hull
#

i like him a lot but no info on city pre gw1 really

trail forum
#

Also if solanke is on pens will be just be instantly in every team?

#

I know gw1 alight doubt

#

But still

novel harbor
#

i think im getting bruno over wirtz

trail forum
#

However

cedar hull
#

solanke is on pens tho we know that

trail forum
latent depot
#

It's soblanke's finishing and fitness that's the concern

supple steeple
#

just a mid striker isnt he

novel harbor
cedar hull
#

mateta same stats but good finisher vs bad, but bad fix vs good shrug

novel harbor
#

ngl

#

i think bruno's the 3rd best midfielder in the game

latent depot
#

Fomo arguments are weird. Do you expect the popular assets to do nothing? Most of them are popular for sensible reasons, but surely you picked different players for equally sensible reasons

supple steeple
#

I think Palace fixtures are fine tbh

#

Chelsea, Forest and Villa arent exactly rock solid

latent depot
novel harbor
cedar hull
#

villa no signings, chelsea no preseason, forest shit attack copium

#

double defence time

novel harbor
lavish parcel
#

Hoping Emery starts all 3 of Malen, Rogers and Watkins to see how well they do together

novel harbor
#

i can see arsenal somehow keeping a cs or something and everyone on twitter getting mad at cbitmaxxers

lavish parcel
#

All its been is like 15-20 mins from 46-66 after they subbed on

#

Brentford aren't also that bad without TF

#

Definitely starting off with Kelleher

#

Collins + Kelleher might be a little too much tho but we'll see

quick dawn
#

gotta use the akiake information criterium

latent depot
#

Uh oh, Liverpool now focusing on Rodrygo blobsweat Gakpo Gang how we feeling

quick dawn
#

well not good if he joins

lavish parcel
#

If he does, I'll move from Gakpo to VVD

#

But triple pool at all costs

latent depot
#

Makes sense, plays RW when Salah goes to afcon and is his long term successor

supple steeple
#

set piece coach as manager, talisman gone, wissa might be gone

quick dawn
#

whats the expected points for salah and haaland first 3 gw

lavish parcel
latent depot
supple steeple
#

that too yeah

#

why do I keep forgetting lol

lavish parcel
#

He'll find a replacement

supple steeple
#

Brentford gonna struggle this year for sure

latent depot
#

I think Wissa stays now

#

Cos Isak stays

lavish parcel
#

They've got some good mids tho

#

I do see Carvalho, Jensen and Janelt scoring some good goals

quick dawn
#

schade

lavish parcel
#

And him yeah I forgot

hollow ermine
#

Yeah..

quick dawn
#

i learnt that this yewr

zenith jolt
#

im locked for gw1

latent depot
#

I've been overlooking Watkins. thought he couldn't possibly be worthwhile at 4.9ppm, but he's actually decent after adjusting for subs

novel harbor
novel harbor
#

myb top 2

latent depot
#

has Malen played every preseason game?

novel harbor
#

no but hes got a great chance of getting good mins imo

latent depot
#

oh United might pursue Watkins after losing out on Sesko dislikeblob

lavish parcel
#

I am so into triple villa if Malen is actually used as a starter

#

And he should be

novel harbor
#

he'll stay at aston villa i reckon

lavish parcel
#

Watkins has been used up top

#

Malen on right or the second striker

#

Rogers on left probably

#

There is a risk of rotation since Jacob Ramsey also likes to be on left

#

All things considered, Watkins should have the pens

lavish parcel
#

Rogers and Malen benched btw

#

😭

#

Good ebenin at it again

obtuse shoal
orchid plank
#

Mcginn and Konsa are aswell, it’s just rest since they’ve played most of it already

novel harbor
#

was thinking more about this and only way i can think of is looking at historical BPS per game for similar player profiles, then trying to estimate what % of games they finish top 3 in their match. but that requires knowing average BPS generation rate for the player type, typical BPS distribution in matches involving their team, and how often defensive vs attacking performances dominate BPS. defo easier to just ignore bonus entirely for projections and treat it as upside

#

the defcon points and clean sheets are predictable enough that bonus becomes noise in the broader calculation tbf

hollow ermine
#

Hi guys

novel harbor
#

or myb just use a flat rate like "defenders average 0.3 bonus points per game" and call it good enough shrug

hollow ermine
#

Cause how do you factor %cs with % cbit hit rate and average GI per game while managing to segregate which game was GI plus cbit and which was cs + cbit + gi etc

#

There something it’s called in math I can’t remember

novel harbor
#

ye simply u cant just multiply independent probabilities when the events are correlated

quick dawn
#

we probably would sell watkins for a price but not for cheap

hollow ermine
#

Now

#

Universal set, intersection and union

quick dawn
#

you can use bayesian inference

hollow ermine
#

New dilemma

#

Ayari vs Sarr

cedar hull
#

Also realised that the data I scraped from FPL site uses opta, fbref uses statsbomb which is arguably more accurate for post data analysis, so considering switching which seems pointless but a lot of the xa values are wildly different, Munoz gets a 50% increase for example

hollow ermine
latent depot
#

Gyokeres got marked out of the game by Danso in his cameo sobbusiness had 3 touches

lavish parcel
#

Tbf spurs were solid

#

Also saw Brentford defend like crazy against QPR

lavish parcel
#

I've seen enough Collins and VDV are locked in

novel harbor
#

dont use statsbomb anyway just use opta

lavish parcel
#

I think this is the first time I have taken Milenkovic out of my team

latent depot
lavish parcel
#

That's fair

latent depot
#

Richarlison had 2 decent opportunities at the far post from corners, that's where Solanke will be

lavish parcel
#

Vdv has some history of scoring goals but not like Romero tbf

#

But if Romero is getting cbit points, vdv has a high chance of getting it too

#

I would love to have Romero but I know he is getting a red when I have him

latent depot
#

I'm back on a 532/442/352 setup

lavish parcel
#

I've got Mateta and Watkins locked in since last night

#

Haven't touched them

#

It's the defence and mid

#

Making me anxious

latent depot
#

I'm hoping for Solanke to play at least 45 vs Bayern then at least 60 vs PSG

#

if he does that, I'll keep him

lavish parcel
#

That's my issue Solanke

#

Missing these mins

#

While Mateta is out here menacing the defences

latent depot
#

if he plays meaningful minutes in those 2 games, he'll still have had more of a preseason than Chelsea/City

#

also he has been in training

lavish parcel
#

That's huge

#

I'll have to ditch rogers but I see it as an improvement ngl

#

For Solanke

#

Even tho forwards won't get bps like before, they'll still get assist and goal if the fix is good

cedar hull
lavish parcel
#

That outweighs me having to rely on my Milenkovic to score a goal or put in some effort to tackle or clear

#

And having 3 forwards, it will make me have good rotation option for my defence when it's needed

#

Probably 433 or 343 for me IF Solanke is starting next spurs game

#

If not, 442

lavish parcel
#

Time to see what good ebenin has in store

zealous forum
hollow ermine
#

Do we gotta be careful now

lavish parcel
#

Was this thread made last year or the year before?

#

That's insane

latent depot
#

how many CBITs did Sarr get vs Arsenal? or were people only counting for defenders

zealous forum
latent depot
#

Sarr might be in my squad over Christie

hollow ermine
hollow ermine
zealous forum
lavish parcel
hollow ermine
#

Between him and ayari

quick dawn
#

no xhaka?

zealous forum
#

Will be time to create a new season one anyway

lavish parcel
#

Those 2 are gonna be direct threat to his mins

latent depot
# quick dawn no xhaka?

I already have Xhaka. it's a 532 setup with 2x 5.0 mids to rotate with defenders that have bad fix

quick dawn
#

i prefer 442 with 1 5.0 mid

latent depot
lavish parcel
#

If bissouma is sold, sarr has a chance

#

Palhinha also could be risk to bentancur

#

Not just sarr

latent depot
#

blah, I'll start with Christie until we get clarity, prob switch on wildcard

hollow ermine
#

I think Sarr is first choice rn tbh

quick dawn
#

is bentancur still there

lavish parcel
#

So it's a wait and watch

hollow ermine
#

I don’t plan on playing my 5.0 much anyway tbh cause I have vdv

#

Who I would be playing in a 442 already

thin jasper
hollow ermine
#

So sarr is more if I would like to bench lacroix or don’t see cs odds for spurs

latent depot
#

Ayy needs to change the thread name

hollow ermine
#

Road to 100k part 2

lavish parcel
#

Gray, Bissouma, Maddison, Palhinha, Bentancur, Bergvall, Sarr

Too many mids fighting for 3 spots

latent depot
#

Road to Ayy's final OR

hollow ermine
#

In sarr’s position

#

It’s just 2 players

#

And he’s prob first choice going off preseason

#

But that’s just sentiment tbh

lavish parcel
#

Hence, wait and watch until the last game in preseason

#

If he starts gw1, Frank genuinely believes in him to be a regular starter

hollow ermine
#

I just don’t care tbh, it’s a 5.0 cba

#

Also all the 5.0 have minutes risks

#

Bar baleba

lavish parcel
#

That's so true

quick dawn
#

christie seems nailed for now and is xhaka not?

#

i still have josh king rn ofc

lavish parcel
#

From Fulham?

#

I have him broo

hollow ermine
#

So this is one of those “I’m going to enjoy myself picks”

#

I think Ayari is underrated but doesn’t rotate well for me

hollow ermine
hollow ermine
lavish parcel
#

Le fee too

hollow ermine
#

But he has nothing to offer

#

He’s like a 10/cm hybrid so no cbit, like 3 goals all career and doesn’t bag assists anyway

#

Only redeeming quality is pens

#

Would just rather a 50% chance of cbit most days at the very least

cedar hull
#

review draft lol, pen taker fc

latent depot
#

Kroupi froge

cedar hull
#

benda is a 4.5 keeper to rotate too

quick dawn
#

crappy jr

latent depot
#

countdown to LTFPL Andy owning Bruno GW1

lone thorn
thin jasper
#

Bruno is great!

quick dawn
#

bruno could actually be good with defconz

latent depot
#

9.0 for a CM sobbusiness

lone thorn
thin jasper
#

on penalties, gets defensive contributions like every three weeks or so, creates loads of chances,will play 100%

latent depot
#

Happy with this

quick dawn
#

bring back gakpo

latent depot
#

I can't, Rodrygo on his way soon sobbusiness

cedar hull
#

where rodrygo news?

lavish parcel
#

WATKINS GOAL

hollow ermine
valid river
#

Guys losing to Birmingham is not good

latent depot
#

I can see Nuno subbing his FBs to save their legs

quick dawn
#

they probably should sign a lb

valid river
#

Do we have any Solanke news?

latent depot
#

He's not playing tomorrow

valid river
#

Tonight?

latent depot
#

But he's expected to play vs Bayern

#

Oh, timezones

valid river
valid river
#

I don't hate Solanke as a pick

latent depot
#

Dunno feel like his mins are pretty capped at 70 for GW1

#

But forwards are dead af

valid river
#

Is that fine though vs Burnley

latent depot
#

Maybe

valid river
#

Similar defense to you

latent depot
#

Hoping for Solanke to play 45+ vs Bayern and 60+ vs PSG

valid river
#

Yeah that would be promising

#

But not sure if he's worth it over warming

#

Watkins***

quick dawn
#

id be on watkins wood (or haaland), solanke or gyokores if we have info they will start

valid river
#

True

#

I'm debating Writz + Solanke vs Watkins + Kudus

quick dawn
#

first

latent depot
#

Gyokeres did nothing in the 15mins he played vs Spurs

valid river
latent depot
#

Marked out of the game by their backup CB, had 3 touches

valid river
#

Any good thoughts on semenyo?

valid river
cedar hull
#

rogers just clears tbh

quick dawn
#

rather evanilson probably

valid river
latent depot
#

I like Semenyo a lot, best 7.0 IMO but GW1 fix is annoying while Rogers has such a clean run

valid river
#

I like semenyo and can bench him gw1 for a 4.5 deg

#

Why semenyo when Kudus right there tho

latent depot
#

Spurs winger situation isn't clear. Kudus had really bad underlying stats

valid river
#

I agree TBH but I didn't think I can punt on semenyo

#

Maybe I could

quick dawn
#

how much did they pay for tel

valid river
#

Like no one is touching semenyo

latent depot
#

Its an awkward price point

#

And Rogers has such a good and long fix run

valid river
#

But he's better than Kudus low-key

quick dawn
#

no one here has kudus

valid river
#

Oh lol

latent depot
#

Yeah who has Kudus

valid river
#

35% or smth

#

Who's good at that 6.5-7.5 that isn't ndiaye or Rogers

quick dawn
#

sarr has the best stats

humble dust
#

sarr semenyo

quick dawn
#

then you have enzo rice rodri idk if they will be good or not

#

also gakpo

valid river
#

Sarr could work if his fixtures weren't the worst thing in the world

latent depot
#

Sarr is the best 6.5 yeah

valid river
#

Fix so bad

latent depot
#

Palace don't really have a good run of fix for ages

valid river
#

Gw10 maybe

#

How troll is Schade

quick dawn
#

he is kinda under the radar

latent depot
#

Is he 5.5

humble dust
#

hes 7

latent depot
#

Not interested in Brentford tbh. Lost their best player, best midfielder, manager

valid river
#

True

latent depot
#

Wtf 7

valid river
#

I'm going semenyo screw it

#

My goat

latent depot
#

He took 10, shots last season vs Liverpool

cedar hull
#

probably got 0.2 xg then

latent depot
#

Had like 1.2xG

valid river
#

Bournemouth did get touched by united tho

latent depot
#

Bournemouth's finishing was atrocious in both games

#

Neither game should have been a clean sheet

#

Almost 3xG across those 2 games

valid river
#

This all isn't an issue if I chose Solanke over Watkins but idfk

quick dawn
#

im kinda on wirtz and haaland lolol

valid river
#

What if I told you

#

Haaland bruno

#

But I can see semenyo outscoring Bruno in the first 6

cedar hull
latent depot
#

Understat likes to double count shots from the same phase of play

cedar hull
#

oh yeah understat is so eh sometimes

#

love hate relationship with that thing

latent depot
#

I like the UI

cedar hull
#

need understat and fbref to have a child

#

fbref export is now paid as well

latent depot
#

I don't hate the methodology, a shot is a shot

#

As long as you understand it

latent depot
#

Might have to triple on Villa attack

hollow ermine
hollow ermine
lavish parcel
valid river
#

im a burno fernandes believer

broken patio
#

So is josh king the best 4.5 mid now?

#

Damn apparently Brighton played 2 friendlies Vs Southampton today

#

They played a 60 min game before the main friendly, with other players

#

Including welbeck, kadioglu etc

#

Baleba not in squad for either game

prime plinth
#

Too bad I got haaland vs salah saka palmer wrong with captain swings starting with the 3. Would've paid off long term

prime plinth
supple steeple
#

Villa, Forest and Chelsea not super solid, but then its sunderland and west ham

prime plinth
#

Chelsea away is not what it used to be

#

It is a bit tougher again

prime plinth
supple steeple
#

prob is, they played 1-1 in both games last season

#

and I think Palace showed that they can score against anybody, often several goals

prime plinth
#

I think this is pushing to fit a player you want tbh

#

Idm sarr as a pick. Just lets be reasonable. Chelsea away is not a decent fixture anymore

supple steeple
#

not quite

#

I just hate the others

prime plinth
#

Fair. Not like many have amazing fixtures

supple steeple
#

Soblanke is a below average striker in the prem, JP is dog without pens, Wood is almost my age

prime plinth
#

You could argue over the first 5. A 5.5 defender does enough to ignore a 6.5m mid

#

I want spurs player for gw1. Problem will be who

supple steeple
#

I wouldnt mind Wissa, but thats a wait and see

prime plinth
#

I will not allow slander of any kind

#

🐐

supple steeple
#

okay, he's average

#

I admit

prime plinth
#

Still had 14 g/a in 25 starts. Main concern is fitness

#

Fixtures are good enough for me to want a mid or porro as well at some point if they show the role

supple steeple
#

is Maddison washed?

#

does he fit anywhere in a Frank system?

prime plinth
#

Problem for maddison is just his body handling more than 60 minutes a game

#

Will be rotated. Likely to sign a 10 given mgw attempt

#

Maddison still a good player. Per 90 i assume his fpl stats would look good. Just not worth the risks and lower minutes

supple steeple
#

ye

#

too much unknown about spurs really

prime plinth
#

Kudus will likely pick up his numbers to be a decent pick. Just don't think he has amazing fpl upside

prime plinth
prime plinth
#

Surely malen is making a serious case for being the starter at villa

#

Pretend lacroix is on field...

little delta
#

Triple forest defence?

prime plinth
slim bane
#

They’ve not been great end of last season

#

And preseason even

prime plinth
#

First 6 are very good

lavish parcel
#

I think 2 are okay

#

3 defenders is a little too much

prime plinth
#

Everyone knows forest are much stronger at home

prime plinth
#

All 3 are individually good picks with different advantages. With the first 6 being clear and away the best fixtures

#

Murrilo with adjusted scores was at 168. He only needs to go 140 pts to be a solid pick

#

Arsenal were the only defense to concede under 40 goals. The difference between Pool and Forest was 5 goals. Prefer the fixtures

#

They also have dc advantage

marsh chasm
#

Is double palace defence fine

#

Munoz and lacroix

prime plinth
#

Fixtures aren't ideal. Still seems fine

lavish parcel
#

Shouldn't be a problem

#

I personally have gone for vdv and Lacroix rotation

#

Whoever plays at home, starts pretty much

#

And might end up putting both forest CB on bench in gw4 and play both vdv and Lacroix

valid river
#

do we have a preference on semenyo vs Kluivert?

lavish parcel
#

Nope

#

FH6

valid river
#

fairs

prime plinth
#

I want to go no salah wc4 bb1-2. Just so tough to go against him as captain gw1

valid river
#

Im doing that but FH4

#

Also I think semenyo + Watkins > Solanke + bruno fernandes

#

probs

sterile tree
silent jasper
#

@valid river Actually I am a bit concern with regards to Wood
Not sure if Jesus will start over him but saw him been on starting 11 during pre season
And your defence too, not sure if having murillo or milenkovic is good right now sadge

valid river
#

Please goat

#

if you can, reread everything said in preseason last yeatr

#

awoniyi propaganda went crazy

marsh palm
# prime plinth

Just wondering why Wirtz with Salah why triple Forest and why Tielemans over Rogers or even Malen if nailed

valid river
valid river
marsh palm
#

I’m trying to double Forest until Europe comes around for them

#

I’m looking at these 3

#

I’m favouring towards threemium just because it knocks out captaincy and I like my 4.5 defensive rotations

#

Baleba is Le Fee for Sunderland’s fixture coverage

marsh palm
#

Neco > Aina more than Murillo > Milenkovic tho imo

silent jasper
#

Aina getting those odd goals was my nice differential back in last season, had him from 4.5M all the way to 5.2M or something, before getting Milenkovic in WC2

valid river
#

we will see gang

silent jasper
#

if I pull my Pool biased I think I will get Neco over Murillo/Milenkovic for NFO def

silent jasper
# valid river we will see gang

who is your GK tho, I am currently on Petrovic
Might swap to Kelleher if Bournemouth doesn't get someone to replace Zab if he goes to PSG

valid river
#

sanchez

#

whos the best bournmouth defender? thinking of playing them GW2

silent jasper
valid river
#

probns

#

I have too much money

#

1 mil and nothing to spend it on

marsh palm
valid river
#

it requires explaining so here we go

#

Esteve plays GW2 over Kudus, FH4 and GW 5 I play konsa over one of the everton lads

#

WC7

#

1 mil in the bank, thinking of going Kudus to Semenyo and esteve to vdv so he plays gw1

slim bane
valid river
#

Fact

#

but i dont like solanke

marsh palm
#

Otherwise yeah this is bang on

marsh chasm
#

Good bb1 team?

acoustic edge
#

ur bbing
areola lacroix guiu dorgu

#

it’s fine yeah they all play at least

marsh palm
novel harbor
#

great bb1 team CoolCat

marsh chasm
#

Only thing I’m worried about rn is double palace defense and whether or not guiu starts

marsh palm
novel harbor
#

ye u should replace munoz with tarkowksi

novel harbor
#

think wan bissaka and konsa are useless

marsh palm
#

I’m looking at De Cuyper and Van de Van as options as well but AWB has defcon and attacking returns and Konsa has good rotation and clean sheet chances

novel harbor
#

i dont really think they have any positives

#

the only 4.5 defenders i'd even consider rn are andersen and richards

marsh palm
#

I know u have all the stats can you point some out to me that would make me look their way

#

I want to have nailed defenders too but I still think the name of the game is attacking

novel harbor
#

neco looks good for attacking

marsh palm
#

Like honestly a set and forget defence is probably Virgil and then Murillo and Neco or Lacroix

#

I just want to see what Malen does and Anderson just looks bound to break out

#

Really good DEFCON and an increased offensive role

novel harbor
#

i'm leaning towards the best structure being 3 floor defenders + 1 ceiling defender to rotate. for me thats tarkowski, murillo, lacroix + neco

marsh palm
#

U think Tark is available for gw1?

novel harbor
#

ye

cedar hull
#

It's down to branthwaite tbh

novel harbor
#

im still pro tark even without branth

#

but ye it'd be nice

marsh palm
#

Then yeah your 4 makes sense

#

At least short term

#

Forest in Europe scares me tho

#

But statistically it’s probably the 4 to go

novel harbor
#

ye this is all short term. bar murillo and maybe tarkowksi. getting live defcon data will help me decide who i want a bit later

cedar hull
#

Forest don't play Europe for a bit tho

marsh palm
#

You don’t think Virgil is a set and forget all year?

#

He had the best defcon for a 6.0 defender i’m pretty sure

cedar hull
#

Was a low bar tbf

marsh palm
#

High clean sheet chances and is still a presence in corners

cedar hull
#

None of the 6.0s have good defcon

novel harbor
cedar hull
#

I have projected to get about 22 when someone like tark can get 50 if he plays every game

marsh palm
#

Assuming you have them in your lineup

marsh palm
#

Just feel like a premium is good to have so you have the ability to adjust if someone like Ait Nouri or Frimpong will consistently provide attacking returns

novel harbor
#

but this is where im at