#road to 200k messages

1 messages ยท Page 99 of 1

valid river
#

My goat wood is not a disaster

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thats so mean to Chris

latent depot
#

Honestly I might be back on wood now

novel harbor
#

still think welbeck going undernoticed by some tho ๐Ÿ‘€

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brighton can be streaky

valid river
latent depot
#

Welbeck is a 70 minute man

valid river
#

and fix suck

marsh palm
#

Is it just PPG per 90 divided by their price @novel harbor

latent depot
#

TBF wood is a 80minute man

valid river
#

80 mins of perfect

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I think bruno will outscore writz in the first 6

marsh palm
#

This looks so good for a BB1 man

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GKs are shaky but

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Oh I forgot about Verbruggen

valid river
#

Yeah him and kelleher are ok together

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ok maybe Bruno wont outscore writz now im looking at fixt

hollow ermine
#

Nah

cedar hull
latent depot
#

Gone but not verbruggen

hollow ermine
#

Heโ€™s injured anyway no?

latent depot
#

Is paqueta staying or na? Makes a difference to Bowen sobbusiness

#

FFS if Wissa was confirmed to stay, I'd just pick him

valid river
#

wood lowkey better but yeah i agree

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solanke seems fine if hes due to start gw 1

prime plinth
cedar hull
prime plinth
#

Just reliant on over performance still in terms of xg. Which is possible

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1st time seeing the ui of fpl on a laptop. Omg what is this layout

cedar hull
#

Ive always been bullish on mateta, wissa is the best 7.5 if he stays at brentford though

prime plinth
#

I just can't get behind fixtures for palace

cedar hull
#

theyre really not as bad as they seem though

prime plinth
#

3-5 is good. Forest could be good

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Everton away Chelsea away Liverpool. Idk

cedar hull
#

if theres anytime to play chelsea away its gw1 due to no preseason

prime plinth
#

Arsenal away in 9

cedar hull
#

forest at home is mid, villa away is mid

prime plinth
#

Just not for me. Already had doubts on solanke

cedar hull
#

what does solanke gotta do with palace fix?

latent depot
#

I'm on 6/6/4.5 forwards at the moment for my 451 bigbrain rotation GW1-4, then get Wood/4.5/4.5 for GW5-6 clueless

prime plinth
#

I prefer his and I still don't know about him as a pick

latent depot
#

Fullkrug/Thiago

prime plinth
#

So mateta just isn't for me as a fixtures guy

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It could be better than i think

cedar hull
#

mateta for me is mostly eye test tbh

prime plinth
#

Watkins fixtures aren't unreal first 4 but home fixtures for castle and palace ig

cedar hull
#

stats back him up as second best 7.5 though, disregarding fix

prime plinth
#

I'm definitely not certain on 9m for him

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Tbf gw2 5-7 is ideal and the others are fine

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4.9ppm at 9m. Doesn't seem great value

cedar hull
#

i quite like ekitike if isak doesnt join shrug

prime plinth
#

Palmer even with a massive drop off was at 5.8 ppm

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Just so much more fwds have to do

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Like Bowen instantly drops at least 30 pts right?

latent depot
#

If Solanke has a cameo vs Bayern and starts vs PSG while Richarlison starts all 3 final games, does Richarlison starts GW1? LW maybe then moves to CF when Solanke gets subbed at 70?

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What's Spurs LW depth without Son

prime plinth
#

8 for cs pts. And another 20 + for returns added

cedar hull
prime plinth
#

Maybe bps wouldve been higher last season

prime plinth
latent depot
#

Does Kudus play both wings or na?

prime plinth
#

Confirms kudus rw

latent depot
#

Ah fuck

cedar hull
#

can do, but not his preferred

latent depot
#

Sounds like Richarlison remains CF depth

prime plinth
#

I'll watch the actual presser later but that quote suggests no chance

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Tel to go between both as he develops ig

latent depot
#

Welp then, I'll stick to Fullkrug/Thiago rotation sobbusiness

prime plinth
#

Johnson even could be used in either spot. 3-4-1-2 etc will be a chance. 3-4-3

latent depot
#

Can play both GW4 and bench double Forest CBs bigbrain

prime plinth
#

Just 3-5-2. 3-4-3 seems least likely

prime plinth
#

Think Watkins is ok with fixtures but he's very low upside

latent depot
#

All of the known quantities are shite or in a transfer saga or have bad fix

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So I'm going with punting on 2 unknown quantities

prime plinth
#

Watkins was .7 ppm behind wood

latent depot
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Cos they're cheap

prime plinth
#

And. 4 behind wissa

latent depot
#

And might go to United

prime plinth
#

Ig pens are nerfed a bit for bps

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Wonder how that impacts it

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4.5 for a fwd is nice. Idc if he scores 6 goals all season lol

latent depot
#

Wood is very mid once you filter out relegated teams. Also those 4G vs Brighton dragging his stats up. I'm not big on Wood GW1-3, those aren't easy fix, he's just not prolific vs midtable

prime plinth
#

Value on fpl says wood wissa and Raul top 3

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Bowen obviously would drop so i don't count him

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He'd be maybe around Watkins behind strand larsen

cedar hull
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As if he could get more nailed lol

prime plinth
#

Which is 5th and 6th

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I think fwds might just be a trap

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To spend up

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Only issue with not spending is how you get to one who just goes off regardless of price or position value

trail forum
#

only a couple years away from an all ireland fpl team

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ill be there

prime plinth
#

Like really what is the point of owning Watkins at 9 for under 5ppm

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Isak went at 6.2 ppm and he had 29 g/a in 34 games

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Palmer had 5.8 ppm with 25 g/a in 36

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Would have to see who is impacted more by bps changes

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Just an example of mids have more potential for value

prime plinth
#

I'm probably just rambling. Either way fwds need to do more than other positions. Alarming that value for the season is higher for Larsen and Raul compared to Watkins

slim bane
sterile tree
#

watkins' points per start is 5.5+

prime plinth
#

Was he benched some?

slim bane
#

I was JUST thinking abt 5atb but helping to stack the bench rather than always starting the 5

sterile tree
#

7 benched games, scored 1 off bench and 2 ycs off bench

latent depot
#

Can't wait for Gakpo to get more clean sheet points than VVD GW1-3 cos he gets subbed off

prime plinth
#

Then he only moves to just ahead of those two 6.5s for value ig

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Bowen ppm probably drops to be worse than those

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Tbf bowen had a crazy run of returns

cedar hull
#

Watkins had 0.3 vapm or smth

prime plinth
#

Bowen back on the wing? I didn't watch West ham to end the season

latent depot
#

The underlying stats just aren't there sobbusiness and West Ham as a team just aren't it

prime plinth
latent depot
#

Healthy Fullkrug helps tho

slim bane
#

might as well punt on gyok in attack

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how are matetas stats btw

prime plinth
#

Also we need to ignore xa as a meaningful stat

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How many times does every player need to outperform it

latent depot
#

Mateta is weird one, overperformed xG by a lot 23/24 and underperformed by a lot 24/25

prime plinth
#

Rogers mgw Watkins etc etc etc

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Bowen

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Wissa

cedar hull
prime plinth
#

Isak

slim bane
#

the question is if I want a striker at that price point anyway

prime plinth
#

Xa is just seems a pointless metric based on these numbers

cedar hull
#

He's pretty similar to solanke except hes a decent finisher

prime plinth
#

Ig pen assists maybe play a part

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But not all of those get them

cedar hull
#

Palmer and Fernandez massively underperformed xa shrug

prime plinth
#

Salah top 5 value as a 14.5m player. Iwobi top 3

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According to fpl value(season)

cedar hull
#

What are these stats bro

prime plinth
#

Tbf iwobi +5 on his xg

cedar hull
#

Check vapm spreadsheet

prime plinth
prime plinth
slim bane
hollow ermine
cedar hull
hollow ermine
#

These guys need to buy an lw

prime plinth
#

Where do I find vapm

hollow ermine
#

Sterling available

prime plinth
#

Scout?

slim bane
#

Pinned

hollow ermine
slim bane
#

This thread has it

hollow ermine
#

Make your own

little delta
#

eze is getting a lot of def cons

prime plinth
#

Watkins still below most

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Benchings don't help tbf

prime plinth
#

Murrilo and milenkovic locked

novel harbor
#

๐Ÿ‘€

trail forum
novel harbor
#

still wanting to see an infographic for % of games with 6+ points, % of games with 2-5 points, % of games with 0-1 points

latent depot
#

bro needs to play some damn minutes tho

bleak island
#

Tarkowski is a much better option

latent depot
#

doubling is fine

bleak island
#

Doubling is only fine if you are doing it for Arsenal

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Everything else not reliable

latent depot
#

they were a top 3 defence since Moyes took over

novel harbor
bleak island
#

Ahh, right, you're the numbers guy.

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They finished 13th, not sure why I would have two of their defenders.

novel harbor
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and has furthered my anti wan-bissaka agenda

latent depot
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because they were atrocious before Moyes, hence why they got Moyes in

cedar hull
#

Team that were doing bad sacked their manager mindblown

latent depot
#

tied 3rd fewest goals conceded since Moyes, including a 19th game vs Liverpool when the rest of the league played 18

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3rd lowest xGA

bleak island
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Team that finished 13th doesn't have the appeal to double on their defenders

latent depot
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i don't really engage with you anyway, but this shows it's futile, so you can join the ignore list

bleak island
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I finished 967k last season. I think I'll do just fine. Thanks

violet temple
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tbf i would rather pay the extra 0.5 and get an arsenal def

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but then again wheres the extra 0.5 coming from ๐Ÿ˜ญ

latent depot
#

I'd love to have Gabriel if he was fit

violet temple
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I'm not gonna be on the everton hype train for sure

latent depot
#

no other Arsenal defenders are appealing

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I think Raya is the pick tbh

violet temple
latent depot
#

on what basis?

cedar hull
#

I mean its Raya or petro imo shrug

violet temple
#

our very own helper Mr calafiori lover told me gabs back for the pre season games

latent depot
#

Gabriel hasn't played a minute yet

violet temple
novel harbor
#

branthwaite better be fit the cunt

bleak island
cedar hull
violet temple
#

paying 5.5 on an everton defender just doesn't sit well with me tbh

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unless y'all still trust ur 4/5atbs can't see myself being part of that

latent depot
#

doesn't have to, you do you

novel harbor
violet temple
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This was my first draft (tarks a placeholder)

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Oh and konsa over vdv sorry that's not in it

latent depot
#

yeah, 6.0 is just shiny toy tier, 5.5s + Lacroix is where the value is

violet temple
#

still tryna just find the best 5.5m mid so i can upgrade tark to an arsenal def

cedar hull
#

Vdv > konsa anyway

violet temple
violet temple
cedar hull
#

I rate ndoye at 6 if he starts which I think is likely

violet temple
#

Who's the rogers of this season ๐Ÿ‘€

violet temple
latent depot
#

Anderson looks good for GW1-3, prob doesn't get DCs GW4, not as good GW5-6

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you're not going to find a very consistent 5.5

violet temple
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oh yeah he should start

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Maybe he's the elanga replacement

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solid pick @cedar hull

cedar hull
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He is, record signing

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Loved him at bologna, >0.4xvapm

violet temple
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might have to change wood and get ndoye I like what i see here

latent depot
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Anderson prob gets DC points GW1-3 and one game in 5-6, but might get attacking return somewhere

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throw in a YC tho

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maybe 2

violet temple
#

y'all are overvaluing the DC points too much

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U shouldn't be going for a mid/attacker for them atleast

cedar hull
#

Haven't looked at DC for mids once tbf

latent depot
#

5.5 won't get you anything that outscores DC dudes

cedar hull
#

But I also haven't wanted any cheap mid to be starting

latent depot
#

if you're looking at attacking upside, then Adingra is an ok punt

violet temple
latent depot
#

pick Adingra until the 5.5 starting winger at Villa is clear, then switch shrug if that doesn't appeal, you go for Anderson and farm DC points

violet temple
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if isak leaves and sesko is 7.5 will any of y'all look towards him?

latent depot
#

Harry Wilson is also ok at 5.5

jolly solstice
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Better off going 4 atb instead of going a 5.5mid is my thinking rn

cedar hull
violet temple
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who's the best 7.5m fwd except solanke and wood?

cedar hull
#

Mateta and wissa better than both

latent depot
#

yeah Newcastle getting battered in preseason

violet temple
#

I saw something where he's angry since he was promised he could leave in the summer

trail forum
cedar hull
latent depot
#

Wissa is good whatever happens, but we need certainty before he can be picked

violet temple
latent depot
#

yes, Villa have a winger spot up for grabs among a bunch of 5.5s

cedar hull
violet temple
#

malens been impressive in the preseason could go for him too

novel harbor
violet temple
#

so many good mids but ppl going 5atb ๐Ÿ’”

novel harbor
#

left the 5atb train personally

latent depot
#

451 PepeBusiness

novel harbor
#

4atb seems perfect

trail forum
#

nobody ever starts gw1 with 5atb

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no matter how much they chat

violet temple
violet temple
zenith jolt
#

4atb is a lock attackers are too shit defenders are too good

latent depot
#

5ATB would be fine if half the ideal candidates didn't have doubts over them for various reasons

zenith jolt
#

451 looks best rn

violet temple
#

352 :D

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y'all can keep ur palace defenders

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might clean once in the first 7

jolly solstice
cedar hull
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On 442 rn , 5atb dependent on gab I think

violet temple
cedar hull
#

+isak news

novel harbor
# jolly solstice How?

i mean it doesnt have to, im just thinking that with most of the common picks it almost necessarily does?

trail forum
jolly solstice
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Depends on your team structure tho

violet temple
trail forum
#

i wont

cedar hull
violet temple
novel harbor
#

my 5.5m mid is still gonna be anderson

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but i am looking at wilson

trail forum
#

all i need is my three dodgy strikers to not be dodgy ๐Ÿ˜„

violet temple
#

๐Ÿ’”

latent depot
#

my cheapest mid is 7.0 ๐Ÿ’ฐ

violet temple
#

classiic when u planning on wildcarding

jolly solstice
cedar hull
violet temple
cedar hull
jolly solstice
#

Is yr other 5.5mid the 8th attacker or?

violet temple
cedar hull
violet temple
#

saw u starting with triple palace I was so confused ๐Ÿ˜ญ

jolly solstice
#

If it is just downgrade the 8th attacker and upgrade the 5.5 mid to a 6.5mid?

violet temple
trail forum
#

too early for chip thinking thb, no obvious fix swings or BB opps early, and too much up in the air regarding big teams and starters

novel harbor
jolly solstice
#

On second thought

zenith jolt
trail forum
#

the only thing about palace i like is munoz ๐Ÿ”ฅ

novel harbor
violet temple
#

How many cleans are y'all predicting for the first 7 to go for palace players

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all they're getting is sunderland

novel harbor
#

everton palace 0-0 we will be there!

violet temple
#

Liverpool Chelsea forest villa first 6 ๐Ÿ˜ญ

latent depot
#

2 clean sheets for the 4 games that I play Lacroix, and hopefully 6-8 DC points peepoSmile

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I'll take 20 points in 4 starts stonks

violet temple
latent depot
#

I have a 7 man rotation for 5 starting spots shrug

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5 defenders + 2 forwards

novel harbor
#

tho we will see

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aslong as palace

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face

latent depot
#

that's overblown, the toughest fixtures are definitely not good for DC points

violet temple
lone thorn
#

Lacroix bullet headers tho

latent depot
#

Arsenal/City/Chelsea will just play keep ball

violet temple
cedar hull
latent depot
#

the midtable opponents are where you farm DC points

lavish parcel
#

Is it better to go 5m gk or 4.5m gk with 0.5 in bank?

slim bane
violet temple
#

they're not good

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I'll definitely be owning palace players after that but to start off with? ๐Ÿ˜ญ

novel harbor
#

i said somewhat and bar chelsea they are somewhat

slim bane
#

who else tho

zenith jolt
#

Never seen steelix this passionate before

lavish parcel
#

Tbf Mateta will be in my team

violet temple
slim bane
#

not glazing cbit tho?

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just with cbits included they are the most value

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thats it

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for their price points theyre one of the better options

violet temple
#

apart from cbits

slim bane
#

munoz is a rw

latent depot
#

left back vs Salah blobsweat

slim bane
#

and lacroix is the best 5M def imo

novel harbor
slim bane
#

thats it

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if not who else are you gonna pick?

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gab is injured

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pool def has been shaky in preseason

violet temple
slim bane
#

city defs are rotational hazards

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thats why the alternatives are the forest defs

violet temple
#

how are we justifying getting a defender for one clean in 7 weeks

slim bane
#

who had a rly shit end of last season i thought

violet temple
#

Forest I get they have good fixtures nothing against that

trail forum
slim bane
#

so personally im having a hard time going there

trail forum
#

ask again in gw5

latent depot
#

bro literally doesn't understand the impact of DC points

novel harbor
#

face more shots = more blocks needed
defend deeper = more clearances
get pressed more = more interceptions/tackles

MadfuttersHehe

trail forum
#

i dont rate the CBIT but if it works they'll be flying

violet temple
trail forum
#

let them cook

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its ok

violet temple
#

I'll come back here in gw 6 to congratulate the palace owners

cedar hull
zenith jolt
#

Seeing people line up for 25/26 with one premium def, a 4.5 rotation and a 4.0 in defence kekw

latent depot
#

this channel is CBIT cult tbf, might want to go to main chat pepela

orchid plank
violet temple
violet temple
prime plinth
#

Is it even worth having a bench keeper for bb

slim bane
#

forwards dont get cbits right

prime plinth
#

Seems like a waste of a transfer and funds

trail forum
#

no kekw

slim bane
violet temple
novel harbor
#

con*

latent depot
slim bane
#

then why are we discussing forwards kekw

zenith jolt
prime plinth
slim bane
#

oh right now that ive got vdv in

violet temple
slim bane
#

i need esteve back

latent depot
#

Burnley about to concede in every game this season, you heard it here first

prime plinth
trail forum
violet temple
#

@cedar hull How's neco on cbits?

prime plinth
#

West ham suck. Wolves suck. Brentford suck

violet temple
prime plinth
#

Why 4.5s when sels is 5m

slim bane
#

sunderland might just do it

prime plinth
#

?

latent depot
#

West Ham improved if they don't lose Paqueta

slim bane
prime plinth
#

Sels is so clear of the 4.5s no?

novel harbor
prime plinth
#

Saves and cs potential with best fixtures

latent depot
#

so Neco is close to Lacroix

violet temple
prime plinth
#

Neco isn't a 90 minute player right?

latent depot
#

but Neco collects YCs like they're special edition Pikachus

lone thorn
#

cold reference

slim bane
novel harbor
latent depot
#

no

slim bane
#

but i do have double ars attack atm so

prime plinth
#

Murrilo milenkovic and sels triple up?

slim bane
#

not one to comment kekw

latent depot
#

why would I when I have double CBs and they're so clear at the top

violet temple
novel harbor
violet temple
latent depot
#

I hate defenders who accumulate YCs cos it kills them on bonus in a clean sheet

violet temple
#

I'm getting him for sure

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Thanks jade

novel harbor
#

ye i was recently made aware

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of how insane he is

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going undernoticed

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but i actually dont like him for the opening fixtures lol

prime plinth
#

Kelleher fixtures suck btw

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Good fixtures are away and home fixtures suck

violet temple
prime plinth
#

Villa chelsea city at home

novel harbor
#

for him

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specifically

#

that is

prime plinth
#

Utd

novel harbor
#

lacroix is more likely to hit more cbit in his opening fixtures than neco is

latent depot
#

except GW1

prime plinth
#

Obviously. Neco subbed at 70

novel harbor
#

didnt even realise

prime plinth
#

Sanchez or sels is the wat

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Way

humble dust
#

who are you covering for lacroix gw1

novel harbor
latent depot
#

who was Neco's competition, where they injured so he ended up playing 90?

novel harbor
#

completely forgot about moreno

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where is he now

#

again

humble dust
#

back at villa

novel harbor
#

oh right

prime plinth
#

Neco probably fine

novel harbor
#

so its neco's spot then

prime plinth
#

Just prefer milenkovic and sels

latent depot
#

so Toffolo is backup

prime plinth
#

Toffolo released

novel harbor
#

whos their backup lb then

prime plinth
#

They should sign a fb

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Unless they already did

humble dust
#

Richards

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Toffolo is at MLs

prime plinth
#

Surely they sign a fb

novel harbor
#

are forest linked to any leftbacks this window

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becuz if not they have no backup except zach abbott

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lol

prime plinth
#

Might go Sanchez for gk

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Kelleher the only semi decent 4.5 given Bournemouth sales

latent depot
#

Chelsea clean sheets were mostly vs relegation tier attacks, didn't do well vs midtable

prime plinth
#

Still think sels is best as much as forest over performed

novel harbor
latent depot
#

Can't look past their CBs so anyone else is just variance baiting with a triple up

prime plinth
#

Wc7 is the move

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Or 8

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Ig city have Burnley in 6. I'm just yapping

#

Arsenal for 7 on though

novel harbor
# novel harbor ๐Ÿ‘€

turns out this was meant to be hit 4 or more points not hit 3 or more which is even better/more important for why 6m meta is DEAD

violet temple
prime plinth
#

Villa and Chelsea fixtures are nice for 14 gws tbf

pale tiger
#

sanchez set n forget

novel harbor
#

and fh13 still i think

prime plinth
#

Wc so late just seems pointless

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Which is wc 4 is still tempting

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Wc4 makes Villa less valuable. Some might even try go haaland

novel harbor
#

ye late wildcard seems silly if ur playing defcommaxxers

prime plinth
#

Everything points to bb1 or 2. attack fixtures and be flexible with wc

pale tiger
#

fh 4

prime plinth
#

I just really dislike the gk taking up .5

orchid plank
pale tiger
prime plinth
#

Think the points value is non existent with variance and home fixture value for clean sheet variance

orchid plank
#

but youโ€™d want him before gw4

orchid plank
pale tiger
prime plinth
#

Who do you even go for bb1... maybe petro gw2 bb

orchid plank
#

they have everton home gw5

#

how would u cover then?

prime plinth
#

So if salah isn't captain gw 3. Does wc 4 mean you still go without...

#

That said. Bournemouth with players lost is a gimme gw1

pale tiger
oak jasper
orchid plank
#

iโ€™d back munoz and Mateta to do well against West Ham and Villa

prime plinth
#

Palace have 2 stronger fixtures in 9

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Maybe 3

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Villa is ok. Is away though

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Romero so tempting

orchid plank
#

Like the only reason for fh4 is for forest against arsenal gw4 and they have good fixtures both sides of it

#

donโ€™t see whyโ€™d you go for it otherwise

prime plinth
#

Btw guess who had 9 clearances vs arsenal

oak jasper
prime plinth
#

Porro

#

๐Ÿ‘€

oak jasper
#

Shush dont reveal my differential

prime plinth
#

Romero only had 4

oak jasper
#

What about vdv

prime plinth
#

Sarr 10 defensive actions

#

11 porro

#

7 vdv

#

6 romero

novel harbor
#

cbit stats in derbies are very nice overall

prime plinth
#

Romero was subbed at 63

novel harbor
#

i cant wait for everton vs liverpool lmao

prime plinth
#

๐Ÿ‘€

oak jasper
#

Martinelli really let porro get 11 defensive contributions

novel harbor
#

branthwaite had 21 against pool kek

#

van dijk 16

#

tarkowski 18

prime plinth
#

If Romero keeps goal threat and plays 90 often enough. Could be decent. Problem is danso could get minutes

prime plinth
#

Not checked

humble dust
prime plinth
#

Ndiaye scored a brace vs Southampton to end last season. Look what type of team he plays gw1monkagiga

clever hollow
#

whos the best 5.5 def in your guysโ€™ opinion

prime plinth
#

Murrilo by a landslide

elder cargo
#

Canโ€™t help but feel a stigma about Everton early season

#

Last two seasons theyโ€™ve mudded me completely from taking them in GW1

valid river
elder cargo
#

It is Moyes though

prime plinth
#

I think that tark is decent still

#

2-4-5 is trash

valid river
#

this lacroix glaze is odd

prime plinth
#

But could still pick up 4

valid river
#

hes a 10/10 pick in about 6 gws

novel harbor
prime plinth
#

Palace pick is ok but overrated

elder cargo
prime plinth
#

Chelsea villa Liverpool 1st 6. One is good

elder cargo
#

Ndiaye does interest me though

prime plinth
#

Palace is fine just not amazing

elder cargo
#

Under Moyes he performed quite well

prime plinth
#

First 4

cedar hull
prime plinth
#

First 5 are pretty average at the best for defenders

elder cargo
prime plinth
#

2 good 3 bad

#

Both good away

elder cargo
#

good fixture = good chance of CS, bad fixture = should get CBIT I would assume is the logic

violet temple
#

but always aim for the stars

novel harbor
#

his cbit chances for every one of his opening fixtures' are perfectly fine

cedar hull
elder cargo
prime plinth
#

Home fixtures is most important

novel harbor
prime plinth
#

For lesser teams

slim bane
#

if there's a theory

#

to prove it you need to justify for all that it works

slim bane
#

else u just need a counterexample

prime plinth
#

For sure

novel harbor
slim bane
#

thats basic logic

prime plinth
#

Yes

novel harbor
#

tark hit defcom in every single one of his opening 5 fixtures this season last season

elder cargo
#

did he concede maximum one goal in each game

cedar hull
novel harbor
novel harbor
prime plinth
elder cargo
#

Whatโ€™s the first significant WC window

prime plinth
#

Only 3 of the first 9 are postive cs potential

novel harbor
#

he got 10 cs last season

#

lol

prime plinth
#

Brighton villa pool spurs palace city in first 9

#

It is extra bad

cedar hull
prime plinth
#

Cbit should be solid but remember defenders lose pts if they concede too many goals

novel harbor
#

you just saying they're bad without any reason isnt getting anywhere

prime plinth
orchid plank
prime plinth
#

Is that enough reason

novel harbor
#

no ๐Ÿ˜ญ

#

this is what im tryna say

prime plinth
#

Ok enough hating. First 7 is good for home fixtures

#

Liverpool the only bad away fixture

#

Beyond 7. Not ideal

hollow ermine
novel harbor
#

but it would be very useful to see

prime plinth
#

Where does alcaraz play

#

Ndiaye literally scored vs all the promoted teams 5 in 6

#

What a stat padder

hollow ermine
#

Hit rate% x starts should give you number of games with 3 points atleast, then youโ€™d have to add %cs and average
GI% then deduct from the first one

Then deduct from number of starts to give you number of games without, which would be just 2 or lower

elder cargo
hollow ermine
#

This is nonsense

elder cargo
#

Need to look into chip strategy, I usually like the later WC window

prime plinth
#

Yeah but we get 2 wcs and 5 transfers at afcon

humble dust
prime plinth
#

What's the point in late wc

cedar hull
novel harbor
prime plinth
#

4-6-7 look fine

#

6 has city vs Burnley but also is before forest swings and others

#

Maybe you punt haaland gw 6. Wc 7

hollow ermine
prime plinth
#

Nvm pool play palace. Probably just a random city player

novel harbor
#

i dont have the patience

hollow ermine
# novel harbor agreed

Iโ€™ll try to do one calculation for tarkowski (itโ€™ll be rough)

If itโ€™s accurate and straight forwards Iโ€™ll do a full one

hollow ermine
#

Bp distribution

#

Howโ€™d one even know that

Overall bp divided by stats?

#

Classic make it

oak furnace
prime plinth
#

Any transfers saved are gone from before that point

#

And yoy just get 5 transfers in that gw they get sent off. Forgot which it is

#

Like gw 17

#

Idk if the 5 saves for after thay gw or not

latent depot
#

Yep, use up all FTs beforehand

prime plinth
#

So do we just go murrilo neco and milenkovic

slim bane
cedar hull
# hollow ermine Classic make it

Been trying to work out how to gauge expected bonus per game from baseline but it's hard due to the fact it's a ranking system

#

If anyone has any ideas let me know

#

Dunno if I'm just being dumb

latent depot
#

67% DC points is wild

prime plinth
#

Yeah idm it

#

Might sneak in

latent depot
#

Stop, it's not useful. It's not a science, quick and easy guidance is enough

#

Also bps rule changes

#

Main changes to note is that forwards lost a bit on bps system and defenders gained a lot

hollow ermine
#

You can first separate games with cs and gi from % games with cbit and do total bp/ starts but only add them to the first metric

#

Idk

#

This seems like one of those things where youโ€™d have to check match by match

lavish parcel
#

I wanna have Mateta and Watkins but I'll surely lose Milenkovic or Tarkowski in the process

#

๐Ÿ˜ญ

quick dawn
#

whats the chance to hit 10 cbit per average cbit based on a normal distribution

quick dawn
#

if the average is 8 for vvd theres a distribution from 0 to infinity cbit right

#

and its like idk 30% to get 10 or above

prime plinth
#

๐Ÿ‘€

#

Neco milenkovic and murrilo here we go

slim bane
#

lacroix smh

#

hes right up there

violet temple
#

Neco is actually him

cedar hull
violet temple
#

I will be there no matter what

slim bane
#

the eve dudes asw

prime plinth
#

So branthwaite? Are we sleeping

slim bane
#

hes inj

prime plinth
#

Oh

slim bane
#

thats the main reason not many are on tark asw

prime plinth
#

That makes tark less appealing asw

latent depot
#

Branth-wait until September

prime plinth
#

Ok that confirms it. Triple forest and lacroix

slim bane
#

dont forget tho

#

spurs have been solid in defence preseason

#

new manager

latent depot
#

Ayy is my echo chamber

slim bane
#

and priced just like brentford from 2 years ago kekw

prime plinth
#

Porro 11

slim bane
#

arsenal not the easiest to farm cbits against

prime plinth
#

Vdv 7

latent depot
#

Wouldn't read into preseason CBITs tbh

lavish parcel
#

Vdv hypetrain

latent depot
#

VDV tackles a lot across his career

quick dawn
#

tark is underrated now

#

he should still get dc points

slim bane
#

vdv vvd and dvv needed

prime plinth
#

I would prefer wait for spurs but also Burnley at home gw1

#

Juicy

#

Tark is ok but dc isn't everything

#

Munoz still a better pick

#

Tark with tc was 140s

#

Dc*

violet temple
#

munoz might actually be considered since he's playing rw yeah

quick dawn
#

i dont really want to double defenses

latent depot
#

I mean, Tark gets 12-13 clean sheets worth of DC points across a season, so yeah it's not everything, but let's not downplay this

prime plinth
#

Munoz had 46% 3+ pts but higher ceiling

latent depot
#

U can haz both mindblown

prime plinth
prime plinth
quick dawn
#

id be happy to double if the dc points were more guarenteed but they arent

prime plinth
#

You only get 2

quick dawn
#

i mean i could do vvd to munoz but idk

latent depot
#

Triple defence is just variance baiting

#

But I guess that's how you win it all

prime plinth
#

Triple defence is just backing the logical pick over spreading risk merchants

#

Can't win fpl playing low risk all the time

latent depot
#

That would be logical if Neco is clearly +EV

#

But it's definitely not clear

prime plinth
#

Otherwise I'd have gab gvardiol and other picks that don't seem as worth it

prime plinth
#

It is more about going with sensible secure picks with good fixtures. Adjust from that point

quick dawn
#

does neco actually aversge 10 cbits

prime plinth
#

Maybe in full 90s idk

#

Tbf sels vs Neco is maybe interesting

#

For positional needs

#

Mgw and wood worth at least considering

lavish parcel
#

Anyone else on double spurs defence?

prime plinth
#

Probably not mgw

lavish parcel
#

I like vicario

cedar hull
#

So it's now neco + vdv meta here?

violet temple
violet temple
cedar hull
#

If vicario is anything like old Brentford keepers he could be a pick

violet temple
novel harbor
cedar hull
#

68.9 save percentage though isn't great

novel harbor
#

and vdv iโ€™m still not buying the hype about so is a wait and see for me

lavish parcel
#

Xhaka starts for Sunderland

#

And Reinildo as CB

#

Ones to watch

#

4m def

#

Le fee maybe on bench

#

No Wissa

novel harbor
cedar hull
#

Ndoye starting already @violet temple

hollow ermine
zenith jolt
novel harbor
#

wait carvalho is still at brentford ๐Ÿ‘€

#

didnt even realise

lavish parcel
#

Xhaka tempts me over Carvalho ngl

novel harbor
#

same but something to think about

lavish parcel
#

Yeah totally

violet temple
lavish parcel
#

Mate, Lacroix 4+ is crazy wtf

novel harbor
barren geyser
lavish parcel
#

Kelleher is going to be a wall just watch

novel harbor
lavish parcel
novel harbor
lavish parcel
#

Ohh

#

My bad G

#

I misread

slim bane
#

is sanchez worth the .5 over kelleher

#

thinking mil over gab

hollow ermine
#

Iโ€™ve been discouraged off Tark

#

Going back to lacroix

lavish parcel
hollow ermine
#

Now do I use the 0.5 to get a 5.5 mid or another 5.0 def

quick dawn
#

whys branth over tark

#

random attacking returns?

novel harbor
#

whats discouraged you?

broken patio
#

Neco is a bit of a beast ngl

prime plinth
novel harbor
novel harbor
lavish parcel
#

Neco is 5 yeah?

novel harbor
#

unless zach abbott eats at his minutes which seems like a definite no

prime plinth
lavish parcel
#

Imagine one cs with all the cbits

#

That's like 24 points

hollow ermine
#

Branth injured

#

So itโ€™s either Oโ€™Brien or Keane

#

Both are shit

novel harbor
#

branth injury doesnt even look that serious but even then of the 9 games branth missed, tark's cbit were still fine

lavish parcel
#

Tark does so well with Branthwaite ngl

novel harbor
#

but i do agree

#

tark with branth is a different beast

hollow ermine
#

And Everton are conceding for potty in pre season so far

latent depot
broken patio
#

Yeah everton concern me

hollow ermine
#

Lacroix + neco looks ok

Even though palace worry me

broken patio
#

Was persuaded by you guys to drop vvd to tark but idk

barren geyser
#

do we know when branthwaite will return

hollow ermine
#

Cause the jump from 5.0 mid to 5.5 is non existent

barren geyser
#

or nah

novel harbor
broken patio
lone glade
#

do we have solanke injury news?, will he fine for gw1

lavish parcel
#

I went Mateta instead

novel harbor
#

o brien is bad tho, anyone know who actually replaces branth?

latent depot
lavish parcel
#

Solanke's xgi per 90 was meh compared to Mateta

#

Fix are there but he's a doubt so

hollow ermine
latent depot
#

Then obv everyone got injured at Spurs

lavish parcel
novel harbor
#

ugh

novel harbor
#

ok ye o'brien isnt great at all

lavish parcel
#

Mateta past 2 seasons has been consistent with his numbers

latent depot
#

Old man Coleman at RB is not happening

lavish parcel
#

And palace attack hasn't changed a lot

novel harbor
#

idk why but i thought o'brien was a fullback ngl

hollow ermine
prime plinth
latent depot
#

Solanke prob starts GW1 and gets subbed at 70 for Richarlison

hollow ermine
prime plinth
#

Adingra haters smh

lavish parcel
prime plinth
#

He only needs to score vs burnley

lavish parcel
#

Needs to score 2 atleast right to get bps?

prime plinth
#

I'll make no salad draft

lavish parcel
#

Or else it's defence and gk who will steal the bps

latent depot
#

Bench boosting Guiu for 1 point sobbusiness

prime plinth
latent depot
#

Doubt he starts

lavish parcel
#

Rutter ST no way

latent depot
#

Bro is 19 and has almost no game time

hollow ermine
hollow ermine
prime plinth
hollow ermine
#

Heโ€™s been playing ST throughout preseason

hollow ermine
lavish parcel
#

Oh

prime plinth
#

Nah guiu got a chance trust

lavish parcel
#

What happened to Welbeck?

orchid plank
orchid plank
hollow ermine
prime plinth
#

Welbeck has pens but open play underwhelming

lavish parcel
#

Oh fair

latent depot
#

Maybe Guiu ends the season first choice, but no way does he walk into the team. He needs to earn it

hollow ermine
#

Just been sharing minutes with rutter edging so far

lavish parcel
#

Didn't know they had other game

prime plinth
#

Bb needs this

#

Unless i drop saladpog

novel harbor
#

wait left or right?

#

left has 0.5m itb

latent depot
#

Xkaha stonks

novel harbor
#

back on milenkovic train

latent depot
#

Xhaka matches Anderson for 0.5 less IMO

prime plinth
#

Omg bb2. Pretend palmer cap. Wc4

#

Solanke to Evanilson gw2

slim bane
#

this is if pool shit the bed against bou?

prime plinth
#

Gyokeres hattrick vs leeds

latent depot
#

Wow spending a FT for 70mins on Solanke

prime plinth
#

Saka hattrick assists and a brace

prime plinth
broken patio
prime plinth
#

Be aggressive with wc4

slim bane
#

we've just looked poor in attack all preseason

latent depot
#

Bro has zero mins in preseason, he isn't going to be match fit GW1 sobbusiness

slim bane
#

continuation of last season

prime plinth
#

Offside

novel harbor
#

milenkovic 23% hit rate for defcon when cs and a 7.7 average. do we think forest keep up any where close to the amount of cs they kept last season?

prime plinth
#

We have psg to play

#

That will be the decider for his availability

latent depot
#

If Solanke plays 60 vs both Bayern and PSG, and looks decent, he's back in my plans

prime plinth
#

Cause he is a mountain

novel harbor
#

ye no thats fine

prime plinth
#

Mgw in the team to pick him out

novel harbor
#

but if you think they do then you go murillo

#

if you think they dont then milenkovic

#

imo

prime plinth
#

Go both

latent depot
#

Milenkovic has Gabriel tier goal threat guys, it's not that deep

prime plinth
#

He's aura

lavish parcel
#

Current draft

#

W or L?

hollow ermine
#

Time for another game of pick 1

latent depot
#

Milenkovic took 29 shots, but they were good quality at 0.16xG per shot

prime plinth
#

Ignore captaincy

#

Kelleher ig

#

He saves .5

hollow ermine
#

Bb2 wc4 sounds like theyโ€™ve held you at gun point and forced you to play chips

prime plinth
#

Bowen into evanilson gw omg

novel harbor
#

ye milenkovic's returns mainly happened when they conceded

prime plinth
#

Tbf why is sarr in my team if wc4 loo

novel harbor
#

im actually swaying towards milenkovic now

prime plinth
#

Lol

#

Nvm

#

Scrap that team

lavish parcel
prime plinth
#

No salah wc 4 makes palace options useless

hollow ermine
prime plinth
#

That draft never happened

latent depot
#

The answer to best Forest CB is Murrilenkovich

hollow ermine
prime plinth
novel harbor
#

just only when they dont keep cs

#

lol

prime plinth
#

I have triple forest defense and double palade. And salad palmer Rogers Watkins solanke

#

Cook

lavish parcel
#

F1 quali time, see you guys after an hour for more FPL brainrot

hollow ermine
novel harbor
#

williams is 40/60

prime plinth
#

Just scrap bb2 and drop petro to up adingra

novel harbor
#

8.6 average cbit when they cs

#

williams probs most well rounded out of the three kek

#

murillo 67/33
milenkovic 23/77
williams 40/60

lavish parcel
#

Williams is good but Lacroix better

acoustic edge
novel harbor
#

ye he is

prime plinth
#

Just figured it out. Amad essential

hollow ermine
lavish parcel
#

I just delete all my old drafts

acoustic edge
lavish parcel
#

Just keep the data

prime plinth
#

L ball knowledge

acoustic edge
#

sure buddy

lavish parcel
#

Looks good but double BOU attack seems too much

novel harbor
#

milen murillo is fine. set and forget (for a long period/any fixture) is for milenkovic and playing in the games with highest % clean sheet is for murillo

#

murillo to start off becuz of the "good fixture run" if ur only having one of the two

violet temple
fleet oracle
acoustic edge
fleet oracle
#

(Iโ€™m a casual but I was here first)

hollow ermine
#

Iโ€™m flipping a coin

fleet oracle
acoustic edge
#

2 more k and we can move threads ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ

slim bane
prime plinth
#

(Amad 200 pt season)

acoustic edge
violet temple
#

I've come across the idea of maybe owning tark now

#

dosent seem too bad

broken patio
#

Cook

broken patio
violet temple
fleet oracle
#

Still am yet to try a 3x 4.0m defender rotation draft. Dunno if it will be more or less viable with cbit

broken patio
violet temple
#

munoz seems fine cuz he's playing rw ig

hollow ermine
novel harbor
#

lmao

fleet oracle
#

Thatโ€™s not a coin but ok ig

violet temple
#

This with ndoye and konsa instead of senesi and rutter ๐Ÿ‘€

broken patio
prime plinth
#

Is my real team good chat

broken patio
#

With fh6 these are palace' fix

violet temple
broken patio
#

Forest is a good fix for a defender

violet temple
#

sun whu eve is fine I guess

broken patio
#

Villa is fine

violet temple
novel harbor
#

they're all fine ๐Ÿฅ€

broken patio
#

Chelsea after 0 preseason is a better fix than some people think

broken patio
obtuse shoal
#

Just go one palace defender that you can bench in gw1. And fh6.

broken patio
#

Theyre not awful fix

prime plinth
hollow ermine
elder cargo
#

Chelsea have two preseason games though no

fleet oracle
#

Is the meta likely to be FH6 WC13?

prime plinth
#

Lets not gas Chelsea away. Fixtures are fine though

novel harbor
#

except not fh 6 kekGoose

hollow ermine
violet temple
#

are dc really worth that much that I should go lacroix ๐Ÿ˜ญ

broken patio
novel harbor
elder cargo
#

And CWC had them match fit anyway so I donโ€™t think thatโ€™s a considerable factor

obtuse shoal
#

Munoz you can just play anytime.

prime plinth
#

Chelsea had strong defensive numbers at home no?

broken patio
#

I'm set on fh6 wc13 though

violet temple
#

I don't want jsl sorry

novel harbor
hollow ermine
obtuse shoal
prime plinth
#

Beat psg 3-0. "But they haven't had preseason "froge

novel harbor
#

there is like a real fundamental mispricing that could easily translate to 30-70 extra points over a full season if done well

prime plinth
#

Chelsea is just not a good fixture. Esp for attackers away

orchid plank
#

review open now

novel harbor
#

i'd guess by january the edge is mostly gone tho

fleet oracle
#

Mancity play Burnley gw6 no? And Liverpool and Chelsea have bad fix I think, so FH 6 is for people to get in haaland to the best of my knowledge

acoustic edge
violet temple
#

do lacroix and vdv rotate well or nah