#road to 200k messages
1 messages ยท Page 99 of 1
Honestly I might be back on wood now
Im always on wood tbf
Welbeck is a 70 minute man
and fix suck
Is it just PPG per 90 divided by their price @novel harbor
TBF wood is a 80minute man
Yeah him and kelleher are ok together
ok maybe Bruno wont outscore writz now im looking at fixt
Nah
Make sure he stays forgotten ๐
Gone but not verbruggen
Heโs injured anyway no?
Is paqueta staying or na? Makes a difference to Bowen 
FFS if Wissa was confirmed to stay, I'd just pick him
He's cheaper Watkins if he can keep it up
Added colour coding and new players projections
Just reliant on over performance still in terms of xg. Which is possible
1st time seeing the ui of fpl on a laptop. Omg what is this layout
Ive always been bullish on mateta, wissa is the best 7.5 if he stays at brentford though
I just can't get behind fixtures for palace
theyre really not as bad as they seem though
if theres anytime to play chelsea away its gw1 due to no preseason
Arsenal away in 9
forest at home is mid, villa away is mid
Just not for me. Already had doubts on solanke
what does solanke gotta do with palace fix?
I'm on 6/6/4.5 forwards at the moment for my 451
rotation GW1-4, then get Wood/4.5/4.5 for GW5-6 
I prefer his and I still don't know about him as a pick
Fullkrug/Thiago
mateta for me is mostly eye test tbh
Watkins fixtures aren't unreal first 4 but home fixtures for castle and palace ig
stats back him up as second best 7.5 though, disregarding fix
I'm definitely not certain on 9m for him
Tbf gw2 5-7 is ideal and the others are fine
4.9ppm at 9m. Doesn't seem great value
i quite like ekitike if isak doesnt join 
Palmer even with a massive drop off was at 5.8 ppm
Just so much more fwds have to do
Like Bowen instantly drops at least 30 pts right?
If Solanke has a cameo vs Bayern and starts vs PSG while Richarlison starts all 3 final games, does Richarlison starts GW1? LW maybe then moves to CF when Solanke gets subbed at 70?
What's Spurs LW depth without Son
8 for cs pts. And another 20 + for returns added
tel ig
Maybe bps wouldve been higher last season
Does Kudus play both wings or na?
Confirms kudus rw
Ah fuck
can do, but not his preferred
Sounds like Richarlison remains CF depth
I'll watch the actual presser later but that quote suggests no chance
Tel to go between both as he develops ig
Welp then, I'll stick to Fullkrug/Thiago rotation 
Johnson even could be used in either spot. 3-4-1-2 etc will be a chance. 3-4-3
Can play both GW4 and bench double Forest CBs 
Just 3-5-2. 3-4-3 seems least likely
It is tricky for fwds. Don't like the value picks or expensive picks for points potential
Think Watkins is ok with fixtures but he's very low upside
All of the known quantities are shite or in a transfer saga or have bad fix
So I'm going with punting on 2 unknown quantities
Watkins was .7 ppm behind wood
Cos they're cheap
And. 4 behind wissa
And might go to United
Ig pens are nerfed a bit for bps
Wonder how that impacts it
4.5 for a fwd is nice. Idc if he scores 6 goals all season lol
Wood is very mid once you filter out relegated teams. Also those 4G vs Brighton dragging his stats up. I'm not big on Wood GW1-3, those aren't easy fix, he's just not prolific vs midtable
Value on fpl says wood wissa and Raul top 3
Bowen obviously would drop so i don't count him
He'd be maybe around Watkins behind strand larsen
As if he could get more nailed lol
Which is 5th and 6th
I think fwds might just be a trap
To spend up
Only issue with not spending is how you get to one who just goes off regardless of price or position value
๐ฎ๐ช
only a couple years away from an all ireland fpl team
ill be there
Like really what is the point of owning Watkins at 9 for under 5ppm
Isak went at 6.2 ppm and he had 29 g/a in 34 games
Palmer had 5.8 ppm with 25 g/a in 36
Would have to see who is impacted more by bps changes
Just an example of mids have more potential for value

I'm probably just rambling. Either way fwds need to do more than other positions. Alarming that value for the season is higher for Larsen and Raul compared to Watkins
watkins' points per start is 5.5+
Was he benched some?
I was JUST thinking abt 5atb but helping to stack the bench rather than always starting the 5
7 benched games, scored 1 off bench and 2 ycs off bench
Can't wait for Gakpo to get more clean sheet points than VVD GW1-3 cos he gets subbed off
Then he only moves to just ahead of those two 6.5s for value ig
Bowen ppm probably drops to be worse than those
Tbf bowen had a crazy run of returns
Watkins had 0.3 vapm or smth
Bowen back on the wing? I didn't watch West ham to end the season
The underlying stats just aren't there
and West Ham as a team just aren't it
Ig the benchings skew it
Healthy Fullkrug helps tho
Also we need to ignore xa as a meaningful stat
How many times does every player need to outperform it
Mateta is weird one, overperformed xG by a lot 23/24 and underperformed by a lot 24/25
2nd best 7.5 on caveman
Isak
the question is if I want a striker at that price point anyway
Xa is just seems a pointless metric based on these numbers
He's pretty similar to solanke except hes a decent finisher
Palmer and Fernandez massively underperformed xa 
What are these stats bro
Tbf iwobi +5 on his xg
Check vapm spreadsheet
Yeah true. Idk how they calculate the fpl one
Assume this excludes post cbit and stuff
Itโs literally points divide by cost
Non existent
Includes all the cbit and forward changes i think
Where do I find vapm
Sterling available
Scout?
Pinned
Ping McGrr or classic
This thread has it
Make your own
eze is getting a lot of def cons
Feel like palace hype is too much
Murrilo and milenkovic locked
๐
youd swear that cbit gives you 5 points not 2 sometimes 
still wanting to see an infographic for % of games with 6+ points, % of games with 2-5 points, % of games with 0-1 points
๐ค
Branthwaite no longer under the radar 
bro needs to play some damn minutes tho
Tarkowski is a much better option
doubling is fine
they were a top 3 defence since Moyes took over
all this rly indicates to me is that its not a terrible idea to mix floor and ceiling thats all
Ahh, right, you're the numbers guy.
They finished 13th, not sure why I would have two of their defenders.
and has furthered my anti wan-bissaka agenda
because they were atrocious before Moyes, hence why they got Moyes in
Team that were doing bad sacked their manager 
tied 3rd fewest goals conceded since Moyes, including a 19th game vs Liverpool when the rest of the league played 18
3rd lowest xGA
๐ Whatever that means
Team that finished 13th doesn't have the appeal to double on their defenders
i don't really engage with you anyway, but this shows it's futile, so you can join the ignore list
I finished 967k last season. I think I'll do just fine. Thanks
tbf i would rather pay the extra 0.5 and get an arsenal def
but then again wheres the extra 0.5 coming from ๐ญ
I'd love to have Gabriel if he was fit
I'm not gonna be on the everton hype train for sure
โ
on what basis?
I mean its Raya or petro imo 
our very own helper Mr calafiori lover told me gabs back for the pre season games
Gabriel hasn't played a minute yet
I don't hate sanchez/sels either
branthwaite better be fit the cunt
No. You should spend the money on a team who finished 13th instead pay 0.5 more on the best defenders in the world ๐
He must be then
Chelsea defence is meh, Sels isn't worth it with Murillo and milenkovic
paying 5.5 on an everton defender just doesn't sit well with me tbh
unless y'all still trust ur 4/5atbs can't see myself being part of that
doesn't have to, you do you
this should defo put you off 6m premiums imo
This was my first draft (tarks a placeholder)
Oh and konsa over vdv sorry that's not in it
yeah, 6.0 is just shiny toy tier, 5.5s + Lacroix is where the value is
still tryna just find the best 5.5m mid so i can upgrade tark to an arsenal def
Vdv > konsa anyway
what time frame?
I meant senesi sorry
just generally who's gonna score the most points
I rate ndoye at 6 if he starts which I think is likely
Who's the rogers of this season ๐
I'll have a look thanks
Anderson looks good for GW1-3, prob doesn't get DCs GW4, not as good GW5-6
you're not going to find a very consistent 5.5
oh yeah he should start
Maybe he's the elanga replacement
solid pick @cedar hull
might have to change wood and get ndoye I like what i see here
Anderson prob gets DC points GW1-3 and one game in 5-6, but might get attacking return somewhere
throw in a YC tho
maybe 2
y'all are overvaluing the DC points too much
U shouldn't be going for a mid/attacker for them atleast
Haven't looked at DC for mids once tbf
5.5 won't get you anything that outscores DC dudes
But I also haven't wanted any cheap mid to be starting
if you're looking at attacking upside, then Adingra is an ok punt
Yeah defence is okay since +2 for a defender is probably quite good but for mids I don't get it
pick Adingra until the 5.5 starting winger at Villa is clear, then switch
if that doesn't appeal, you go for Anderson and farm DC points
if isak leaves and sesko is 7.5 will any of y'all look towards him?
Harry Wilson is also ok at 5.5
Better off going 4 atb instead of going a 5.5mid is my thinking rn
Newcastle low on xVibes so no
Damn alr
who's the best 7.5m fwd except solanke and wood?
Mateta and wissa better than both
yeah Newcastle getting battered in preseason
wissa is interesting yeah just scared he'll leave
I saw something where he's angry since he was promised he could leave in the summer
solanke pedro wood sesko all 7,5 would make the price point interesting at least
Yeah only an option if he stays at Brentford, less open play goals but + pens
Wissa is good whatever happens, but we need certainty before he can be picked
at villa?
pedro is a bit eh for minutes
yes, Villa have a winger spot up for grabs among a bunch of 5.5s
Malen
malens been impressive in the preseason could go for him too
4 atb includes 5.5 mid rotation tho no?
so many good mids but ppl going 5atb ๐
left the 5atb train personally
451 
4atb seems perfect
smart man
Forget what I said
4atb is a lock attackers are too shit defenders are too good
5ATB would be fine if half the ideal candidates didn't have doubts over them for various reasons
451 looks best rn
How?
On 442 rn , 5atb dependent on gab I think
u going for any palace defenders?
+isak news
i mean it doesnt have to, im just thinking that with most of the common picks it almost necessarily does?
cbit tho
over the full season they might get 30 extra points !!!!
Depends on your team structure tho
ill take my chances on a 5.5m mid scoring twice than palace cleaning once
i wont
I sent it yesterday check media history
alr
all i need is my three dodgy strikers to not be dodgy ๐
๐
my cheapest mid is 7.0 ๐ฐ
I kinda like it
classiic when u planning on wildcarding
Wait why do u need a 5.5m mid?
Caveman team tbf, not making any serious drafts til we get clarity on the transfer situations
3 atb heritage
good idea
I hate chips, I really don't know
Is yr other 5.5mid the 8th attacker or?
Same lol idk when I wanna wc
Will probably fh6 if I'm on triple/double palace that's all I know
saw u starting with triple palace I was so confused ๐ญ
If it is just downgrade the 8th attacker and upgrade the 5.5 mid to a 6.5mid?
what's appealing about palace
too early for chip thinking thb, no obvious fix swings or BB opps early, and too much up in the air regarding big teams and starters
to rotate with lacroix
On second thought
get back in the loop lil bro
the only thing about palace i like is munoz ๐ฅ
im not starting lacroix against chelsea
How many cleans are y'all predicting for the first 7 to go for palace players
all they're getting is sunderland
everton palace 0-0 we will be there!
Liverpool Chelsea forest villa first 6 ๐ญ
2 clean sheets for the 4 games that I play Lacroix, and hopefully 6-8 DC points 
I'll take 20 points in 4 starts 
who are u gonna play for the other 2?
ppl keep forgetting the counterintuitive, the tough fixtures are somewhat good for DC points
tho we will see
aslong as palace
face
that's overblown, the toughest fixtures are definitely not good for DC points
okay let's assume they end up getting 2 points and that they get a -1 for villa Liverpool Chelsea on goals conceded
not true
Lacroix bullet headers tho
Arsenal/City/Chelsea will just play keep ball
come on we can't be fr rn adz
Lacroix 0.5 too cheap, sarr has absolute insane data,mateta one of the best 7.5s
the midtable opponents are where you farm DC points
Is it better to go 5m gk or 4.5m gk with 0.5 in bank?
value
the fixtures classiic in the first 6-7
they're not good
I'll definitely be owning palace players after that but to start off with? ๐ญ
i said somewhat and bar chelsea they are somewhat
who else tho
Never seen steelix this passionate before
Tbf Mateta will be in my team
I've never seen myself this passionate either but this cbit glazing is getting to me
not glazing cbit tho?
just with cbits included they are the most value
thats it
for their price points theyre one of the better options
ayy tell me the appeal with palace defence
apart from cbits
munoz is a rw
left back vs Salah 
and lacroix is the best 5M def imo
thats literally it, noone can convince me otherwise
thats it
if not who else are you gonna pick?
gab is injured
pool def has been shaky in preseason
palace fixtures are really shit for defenders ayy
how are we justifying getting a defender for one clean in 7 weeks
who had a rly shit end of last season i thought
Forest I get they have good fixtures nothing against that
you have to accept the palace glaze, i dont understand it either
so personally im having a hard time going there
ask again in gw5
bro literally doesn't understand the impact of DC points
face more shots = more blocks needed
defend deeper = more clearances
get pressed more = more interceptions/tackles

i dont rate the CBIT but if it works they'll be flying
yeah lol cant fight off 5 ppl at once unfortunately either
I'll come back here in gw 6 to congratulate the palace owners
Fixtures aren't great but better than they seem, 7th and 9th for attack and defence respectively
Seeing people line up for 25/26 with one premium def, a 4.5 rotation and a 4.0 in defence 
this channel is CBIT cult tbf, might want to go to main chat 
Wilson/Malen
I wouldn't mind an attacker but these ain't defensive fixs one bit

Yeah I'm eyeing up malen
Is it even worth having a bench keeper for bb
forwards dont get cbits right
Seems like a waste of a transfer and funds
no 
yes its two points at least
no ๐
i'd be interested to see how many have hit defcom ever
con*
VDV/4.0 rotation has merit to cover GW2 
then why are we discussing forwards 
if you plan on bb you have to start a 4.5 rotation
2 pts isn't worth .5 and a transfer
hey leaking my plans
vdv+ esteve is nice
oh right now that ive got vdv in
Cuz they're the ones that end up scoring the good points ๐ฅ
i need esteve back
Burnley about to concede in every game this season, you heard it here first
4.5 gks are trash this season
nah mids are where its at
@cedar hull How's neco on cbits?
West ham suck. Wolves suck. Brentford suck
Saka palmer salah I'm already there ๐
Why 4.5s when sels is 5m
sunderland might just do it
?
West Ham improved if they don't lose Paqueta

Sels is so clear of the 4.5s no?
in the whole season he had 13 games with 90 minutes and CBIT โฅ 10 and in the last 19 games it was 9 games with 90 minutes and CBIT โฅ 10
Saves and cs potential with best fixtures
so Neco is close to Lacroix
so in the last 19 games he got the 2 points on average 1/2 games is that what this means
Neco isn't a 90 minute player right?
but Neco collects YCs like they're special edition Pikachus
cold reference
our attack is lowkey ass
have u calculated his vapm?
no
but i do have double ars attack atm so
Murrilo milenkovic and sels triple up?
not one to comment 
why would I when I have double CBs and they're so clear at the top
Is that gw 2 fix not calling ur name ๐
47% hit rate for the 2 DC points
that's insane
I hate defenders who accumulate YCs cos it kills them on bonus in a clean sheet
ye i was recently made aware
of how insane he is
going undernoticed
but i actually dont like him for the opening fixtures lol
they're 10x better than palaces ๐ญ
Villa chelsea city at home
not for cbit
for him
specifically
that is
lacroix is more likely to hit more cbit in his opening fixtures than neco is
except GW1
i was also recently made aware that hes practically a 90 min man now lol
didnt even realise
who are you covering for lacroix gw1
anderson personally
who was Neco's competition, where they injured so he ended up playing 90?
Things can change
alex moreno
ohhh yes
completely forgot about moreno
where is he now
again
back at villa
oh right
Neco probably fine
so its neco's spot then
Just prefer milenkovic and sels
so Toffolo is backup
Toffolo released
whos their backup lb then
Surely they sign a fb
are forest linked to any leftbacks this window
becuz if not they have no backup except zach abbott
lol
Chelsea clean sheets were mostly vs relegation tier attacks, didn't do well vs midtable
Still think sels is best as much as forest over performed
im going for sanchez i just dont like anyone but sels and raya
Can't look past their CBs so anyone else is just variance baiting with a triple up
Wc7 is the move
Or 8
Ig city have Burnley in 6. I'm just yapping
Arsenal for 7 on though
turns out this was meant to be hit 4 or more points not hit 3 or more which is even better/more important for why 6m meta is DEAD
Likewise I like the sanchez pick
Villa and Chelsea fixtures are nice for 14 gws tbf
sanchez set n forget
Wc so late just seems pointless
Which is wc 4 is still tempting
Wc4 makes Villa less valuable. Some might even try go haaland
ye late wildcard seems silly if ur playing defcommaxxers
Everything points to bb1 or 2. attack fixtures and be flexible with wc
fh 4
I just really dislike the gk taking up .5
for what?
salah / liverpool
Think the points value is non existent with variance and home fixture value for clean sheet variance
but youโd want him before gw4
would u not still have vvd and salah pre gw4?
going with haaland
Who do you even go for bb1... maybe petro gw2 bb
surely you canโt fh for one team
they have everton home gw5
how would u cover then?
So if salah isn't captain gw 3. Does wc 4 mean you still go without...
That said. Bournemouth with players lost is a gimme gw1
can consider palace too , vs Sunderland on 4
Don't forget about the mighty fulham
But they have good fixture gw5
iโd back munoz and Mateta to do well against West Ham and Villa
Palace have 2 stronger fixtures in 9
Maybe 3
Villa is ok. Is away though
Romero so tempting
Like the only reason for fh4 is for forest against arsenal gw4 and they have good fixtures both sides of it
donโt see whyโd you go for it otherwise
Btw guess who had 9 clearances vs arsenal
Romero?
Shush dont reveal my differential
Romero only had 4
What about vdv
cbit stats in derbies are very nice overall
Romero was subbed at 63
i cant wait for everton vs liverpool lmao
๐
Martinelli really let porro get 11 defensive contributions
If Romero keeps goal threat and plays 90 often enough. Could be decent. Problem is danso could get minutes
Any updates on udogie's injury
Not checked
Tarkowski 90th min screamer aswel
Ndiaye scored a brace vs Southampton to end last season. Look what type of team he plays gw1
whos the best 5.5 def in your guysโ opinion
Murrilo by a landslide
Canโt help but feel a stigma about Everton early season
Last two seasons theyโve mudded me completely from taking them in GW1
warra choice
It is Moyes though
Fixtures aren't even good tbh
I think that tark is decent still
2-4-5 is trash
this lacroix glaze is odd
But could still pick up 4
hes a 10/10 pick in about 6 gws
stats say otherwise 
Palace pick is ok but overrated
yeah if I had learned anything from the last two seasons it would be let Everton settle in
Chelsea villa Liverpool 1st 6. One is good
Ndiaye does interest me though
Palace is fine just not amazing
Under Moyes he performed quite well
I mean fixtures for tark. First 3 are good for attackers
First 4
Yeah I get that entirely, but it's about value to me, id expect a few 4 pointers even if they don't clean
First 5 are pretty average at the best for defenders
Well yeah but people in here donโt care much about fixtures with him but more that he should come out with cbit in a large amount of games
I guess
good fixture = good chance of CS, bad fixture = should get CBIT I would assume is the logic
but always aim for the stars
I agree but 5.5m
had 8 cbit against chelsea, 10 and 16 against villa, 15 and 7 against liverpool
his cbit chances for every one of his opening fixtures' are perfectly fine
been disproven
He's fine, but gets dwarfed my Murillo and milenkovic, as well as lacroix too
Iโm not a CBIT gooner so just my assumption
Home fixtures is most important
its not been disproven its completely case by case theres not rly a law to it
For lesser teams
Lacroix over tark
else u just need a counterexample
For sure
nah
thats basic logic
Yes
tark hit defcom in every single one of his opening 5 fixtures this season last season
Yeah because 5 = 5
did he concede maximum one goal in each game
It's not fun, but I'm tryna to set and forget defence to save transfer for attack 
can look at first 10 too
wouldnt be surprised to find similar numbers
Point is cs potential is trash
Whatโs the first significant WC window
Only 3 of the first 9 are postive cs potential
cs potential is trash across the board
he got 10 cs last season
lol
4 I think
Cbit should be solid but remember defenders lose pts if they concede too many goals
you just saying they're bad without any reason isnt getting anywhere
6 of the better attacks itl?
Wouldnโt be surprised if they got a couple cs in them
Is that enough reason
Ok enough hating. First 7 is good for home fixtures
Liverpool the only bad away fixture
Beyond 7. Not ideal
Youโd have to calculate that yourself tbh
ye ik i cba tho
but it would be very useful to see
Where does alcaraz play
Ndiaye literally scored vs all the promoted teams 5 in 6
What a stat padder
Hit rate% x starts should give you number of games with 3 points atleast, then youโd have to add %cs and average
GI% then deduct from the first one
Then deduct from number of starts to give you number of games without, which would be just 2 or lower
I assume thatโs more aimed at those who are BB1
This is nonsense
McGrr make it
Need to look into chip strategy, I usually like the later WC window
Yeah but we get 2 wcs and 5 transfers at afcon
CAM/LW
What's the point in late wc
7/8 and 13 are popular
agreed
4-6-7 look fine
6 has city vs Burnley but also is before forest swings and others
Maybe you punt haaland gw 6. Wc 7
Left handed 10, similar to where Eze plays
However more than half of his GI actions come from the right side
Nvm pool play palace. Probably just a random city player
clean sheet %
average g/a per game
DC hit rate %
bonus point distribution
appearance vs start vs sub breakdown
long day
i dont have the patience
Iโll try to do one calculation for tarkowski (itโll be rough)
If itโs accurate and straight forwards Iโll do a full one
Yeah fuck that
Bp distribution
Howโd one even know that
Overall bp divided by stats?
Classic make it
how does the 5 transfers for AFCON work
Any transfers saved are gone from before that point
And yoy just get 5 transfers in that gw they get sent off. Forgot which it is
Like gw 17
Idk if the 5 saves for after thay gw or not
Yep, use up all FTs beforehand
So do we just go murrilo neco and milenkovic
if ur set on wc7ish its not a bad idea
Been trying to work out how to gauge expected bonus per game from baseline but it's hard due to the fact it's a ranking system
If anyone has any ideas let me know
Dunno if I'm just being dumb
Tark is still good if you take like 3 clean sheets away from him
67% DC points is wild
Omit
Orโฆ
Stop, it's not useful. It's not a science, quick and easy guidance is enough
Also bps rule changes
Main changes to note is that forwards lost a bit on bps system and defenders gained a lot
You can first separate games with cs and gi from % games with cbit and do total bp/ starts but only add them to the first metric
Idk
This seems like one of those things where youโd have to check match by match
I wanna have Mateta and Watkins but I'll surely lose Milenkovic or Tarkowski in the process
๐ญ
whats the chance to hit 10 cbit per average cbit based on a normal distribution
wdym by that
if the average is 8 for vvd theres a distribution from 0 to infinity cbit right
and its like idk 30% to get 10 or above
Neco is actually him
22.6 for Poisson distribution, 21.97 for normal distribution for vvd
I will be there no matter what
the eve dudes asw
So branthwaite? Are we sleeping
hes inj
Oh
thats the main reason not many are on tark asw
That makes tark less appealing asw
Branth-wait until September
Ok that confirms it. Triple forest and lacroix
Ayy is my echo chamber
and priced just like brentford from 2 years ago 
Romero had 6 cbit in 63 minutes
Porro 11
arsenal not the easiest to farm cbits against
Vdv 7
Wouldn't read into preseason CBITs tbh
Vdv hypetrain
VDV tackles a lot across his career
vdv vvd and dvv needed
I would prefer wait for spurs but also Burnley at home gw1
Juicy
Tark is ok but dc isn't everything
Munoz still a better pick
Tark with tc was 140s
Dc*
munoz might actually be considered since he's playing rw yeah
i dont really want to double defenses
I mean, Tark gets 12-13 clean sheets worth of DC points across a season, so yeah it's not everything, but let's not downplay this
Munoz had 46% 3+ pts but higher ceiling
U can haz both 
Let's not downplay Munoz playing a winger type role
Triple forest takes up 3 of 5 spots
id be happy to double if the dc points were more guarenteed but they arent
You only get 2
i mean i could do vvd to munoz but idk
Triple defence is just backing the logical pick over spreading risk merchants
Can't win fpl playing low risk all the time
Otherwise I'd have gab gvardiol and other picks that don't seem as worth it
Shouldn't use analytics as more than a guide for gw1
It is more about going with sensible secure picks with good fixtures. Adjust from that point
does neco actually aversge 10 cbits
Maybe in full 90s idk
Tbf sels vs Neco is maybe interesting
For positional needs
Mgw and wood worth at least considering
Anyone else on double spurs defence?
Probably not mgw
I like vicario
So it's now neco + vdv meta here?
ndoye>mgw I'm hearing
was always the play ppl just realising now ๐ฅ
If vicario is anything like old Brentford keepers he could be a pick
he's 5.0 that's the only real issue I guess
murillo still clear
68.9 save percentage though isn't great
and vdv iโm still not buying the hype about so is a wait and see for me
Xhaka starts for Sunderland
And Reinildo as CB
Ones to watch
4m def
Le fee maybe on bench
No Wissa
if u want a 4.5 just get richards and then do neco instead of lacroix imo. just more to go off of i think
Ndoye starting already @violet temple
Carvalho at 5.0 is a sleeper
said the sdame thing last season
Xhaka tempts me over Carvalho ngl
same but something to think about
Yeah totally
๐ฅ
Mate, Lacroix 4+ is crazy wtf
ye sent this earlier. its great but this would be so much more useful
maybe we can finally win a game
Kelleher is going to be a wall just watch
the problem with single threshold stats is they dont show the shape of the distribution. like murillo at 47% hitting 4+ points could mean 47% getting 6-8 points, 53% getting 2-3 points (good) or 47% getting 4-5 points, 53% getting 0-1 points (meh)
The one you sent was 3+ and this one is 4+
its the same he just accidentally put 3+ in the first tweet
I don't think so
Now do I use the 0.5 to get a 5.5 mid or another 5.0 def
i cant fathom how
whats discouraged you?
Neco is a bit of a beast ngl
As long as he gets 90
ye i'd probably like him more if it didnt mean triple forest
few forest fans confirmed to me that they're not linked to any leftback replacements rn so seems pretty nailed for 90
Neco is 5 yeah?
unless zach abbott eats at his minutes which seems like a definite no
Ok milenkovic murrilo and neco locked
The lack of Everton defenders
Branth injured
So itโs either OโBrien or Keane
Both are shit
branth injury doesnt even look that serious but even then of the 9 games branth missed, tark's cbit were still fine
Tark does so well with Branthwaite ngl
And Everton are conceding for potty in pre season so far
Yes if you count Kinsky 
Yeah everton concern me
Lacroix + neco looks ok
Even though palace worry me
Was persuaded by you guys to drop vvd to tark but idk
do we know when branthwaite will return
Cause the jump from 5.0 mid to 5.5 is non existent
or nah
keane isnt actually that bad btw like if somehow branth is out for a while (he absolutely isnt) then keane would also look a decent pick
I might be looking at
Vvd Munoz neco lacroix
do we have solanke injury news?, will he fine for gw1
o brien is bad tho, anyone know who actually replaces branth?
Not ready for Newcastle. At this point I don't think he plays 90 GW1
Cucu Murillo neco lacroix
I have double ups though and really like vdv
But that 0.5 is basically useless to me anyway
Depends on how you filter his season. He has 0.66xGI90 during the 18 starts before he got injured in January. You can add penalties to that now
Then obv everyone got injured at Spurs
It would go as Coleman/Patterson in RB, Tark + O Brien in CB and Mykolenko LB
ugh
I kept looking at fbref
ok ye o'brien isnt great at all
Mateta past 2 seasons has been consistent with his numbers
Old man Coleman at RB is not happening
And palace attack hasn't changed a lot
idk why but i thought o'brien was a fullback ngl
Frank doesnโt think itโs serious but heโs ruled out for Sunday games, hopefully makes it for Wednesday/thursaday
Bb2
Solanke prob starts GW1 and gets subbed at 70 for Richarlison
Christ
Adingra haters smh
That's taking account for the current manager
He only needs to score vs burnley
Needs to score 2 atleast right to get bps?
I'll make no salad draft
Or else it's defence and gk who will steal the bps
Bench boosting Guiu for 1 point 
Brace vs Burnley bb


Doubt he starts
Rutter ST no way
Bro is 19 and has almost no game time
Bold assumption
Does he know
Who Sunderland got
Heโs been playing ST throughout preseason
Isidor
Oh
Nah guiu got a chance trust
What happened to Welbeck?
and Mayenda
He just played a 60min game an hour ago
Nothing
Welbeck has pens but open play underwhelming
Oh fair
Maybe Guiu ends the season first choice, but no way does he walk into the team. He needs to earn it
Just been sharing minutes with rutter edging so far
Didn't know they had other game
Believe in my 4.5m please
Bb needs this
Unless i drop salad
Xkaha 
back on milenkovic train
Xhaka matches Anderson for 0.5 less IMO
this is if pool shit the bed against bou?
Gyokeres hattrick vs leeds
Wow spending a FT for 70mins on Solanke
Saka hattrick assists and a brace
It is Burnley though
Vitaly Janelt goal will hit like crack
Be aggressive with wc4
i wish
we've just looked poor in attack all preseason

Bro has zero mins in preseason, he isn't going to be match fit GW1 
continuation of last season
Bruh
milenkovic 23% hit rate for defcon when cs and a 7.7 average. do we think forest keep up any where close to the amount of cs they kept last season?
If Solanke plays 60 vs both Bayern and PSG, and looks decent, he's back in my plans
Even if they don't. Elite 6 fixtures and he has elite goal threat
Cause he is a mountain
ye no thats fine
Mgw in the team to pick him out
but if you think they do then you go murillo
if you think they dont then milenkovic
imo
Go both
Milenkovic has Gabriel tier goal threat guys, it's not that deep
He's aura
Time for another game of pick 1
Milenkovic took 29 shots, but they were good quality at 0.16xG per shot
Bb2 wc4 sounds like theyโve held you at gun point and forced you to play chips
Bowen into evanilson gw omg
ye milenkovic's returns mainly happened when they conceded
Tbf why is sarr in my team if wc4 loo
im actually swaying towards milenkovic now
One that has Murillo and Milenkovic 
No salah wc 4 makes palace options useless
Hear me out
Milen Williams double up
So milen for involvements
Williams for cbit
None do?
That draft never happened
The answer to best Forest CB is Murrilenkovich
Ah
This team is so good
milen is for cbit too tho
just only when they dont keep cs
lol
I have triple forest defense and double palade. And salad palmer Rogers Watkins solanke
Cook
F1 quali time, see you guys after an hour for more FPL brainrot
Shhhh I cba to change again
williams is 40/60
Just scrap bb2 and drop petro to up adingra
8.6 average cbit when they cs
williams probs most well rounded out of the three 
murillo 67/33
milenkovic 23/77
williams 40/60
Williams is good but Lacroix better
rmt
ye he is
Just figured it out. Amad essential
Bruh
I just delete all my old drafts
this thread used to be so good man
Just keep the data
sure buddy
Looks good but double BOU attack seems too much
milen murillo is fine. set and forget (for a long period/any fixture) is for milenkovic and playing in the games with highest % clean sheet is for murillo
murillo to start off becuz of the "good fixture run" if ur only having one of the two
lol
The good old days before the casuals found it
i hope tyghes internet dies ๐๐
(Iโm a casual but I was here first)
Theyโre rerunning Gabriel vs saliba bs
Iโm flipping a coin
@ayy
2 more k and we can move threads ๐ฅ๐ฅ
the OG move
Can't take a joke
(Amad 200 pt season)
โฆthat was a joke?
I go back and forth on it
I don't like the palace defence idea tbh
Still am yet to try a 3x 4.0m defender rotation draft. Dunno if it will be more or less viable with cbit
Fh6 thoughhhh
munoz seems fine cuz he's playing rw ig
Ggs
lmao
Thatโs not a coin but ok ig
This with ndoye and konsa instead of senesi and rutter ๐
Is my real team good chat
With fh6 these are palace' fix
Che villa forest first 3 ๐ญ
Forest is a good fix for a defender
sun whu eve is fine I guess
Villa is fine
they're not cleaning villa let's not say fine...
they're all fine ๐ฅ
Chelsea after 0 preseason is a better fix than some people think
Munoz attacking return and lacroix Def con then
Just go one palace defender that you can bench in gw1. And fh6.
Theyre not awful fix
Away from home against one of the best teams itl. Yeah sure
Solanke could be jsl and senesi could be Murillo tbh
exactly
Chelsea have two preseason games though no
Is the meta likely to be FH6 WC13?
Lets not gas Chelsea away. Fixtures are fine though
except not fh 6 
Yes
are dc really worth that much that I should go lacroix ๐ญ
Nah, meta will be first WC between gw4-9
i think wildcarding late makes no sense (if ur playing defcom)
And CWC had them match fit anyway so I donโt think thatโs a considerable factor
Munoz you can just play anytime.
Jsl?
Chelsea had strong defensive numbers at home no?
I'm set on fh6 wc13 though
I don't want jsl sorry
the maths is honestly just too obvious
Iโm fh whenever I think it looks good cba
Havenโt really thought of a different strategy
Beat psg 3-0. "But they haven't had preseason "
there is like a real fundamental mispricing that could easily translate to 30-70 extra points over a full season if done well
Chelsea is just not a good fixture. Esp for attackers away
review open now
i'd guess by january the edge is mostly gone tho
Mancity play Burnley gw6 no? And Liverpool and Chelsea have bad fix I think, so FH 6 is for people to get in haaland to the best of my knowledge
ur welcome buddy
do lacroix and vdv rotate well or nah
