#Probability of space joker upgrade is less than 1/4

18 messages · Page 1 of 1 (latest)

astral loom
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Did a lot of test. Pretty sure it's the case.

modest shell
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if it's less than 1/4, then he should be able to miss with two oops all 6s

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for your "test" to be valid you need like a really huge sample of procs, like in ten thousands

stone bison
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Confirmation bias, no doubt

modest shell
stone bison
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Here’s a stat for you- if you play one hundred hands, the odds of getting 13 in a row without any procs is about 44%

modest shell
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that is an interesting stat

astral loom
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what about playing 100 hands and getting only 8 procs in total

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you can then blame seed, i know. If you're certain then fine I'll take it but I really suggest double checking the code for its probability. There's another post reporting 20 in a row

rotund kindle
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get a sheet of paper. start recording it. all of it. every single non-proc and every single proc. count them. don't choose when you start recording. just do it now. get the sheet of paper.

modest shell
remote hull
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lol

rotund kindle
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and don't choose when to stop recording. also i know a lot of y'all are going to be doing this, so for this to be believable we need a significant result at p<0.005 from one of y'all

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or, to be more precise, how bout this: take the lowest p-value, and multiply it by how many of y'all did the experiment

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and that's the true p-value

wanton monolith
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Space joker is 1/5 on console y’all ain’t crazy

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@astral loom